--- attributes: ~ cited_by: [] contributors: [] create_dt: 2014-07-21T12:51:00 description: ~ figures: - _origination: "[{\"filepath\": \"sites/default/files/intro_project-changes-temp-precip-mid-century_v2.png\", \"t2\": null, \"copyright\": \"obtained\", \"nid\": \"3635\", \"t1\": {\"same_images\": \"No\", \"datasets\": [{\"dataset_url\": \"http://cmip-pcmdi.llnl.gov/cmip5/data_portal.html\", \"imageSelect\": [\"on\", \"on\", \"on\", \"on\"], \"dataset_name\": \"World Climate Research Program's (WCRP's) Coupled Model Intercomparison Project phase 5 (CMIP5) multi-model ensemble\"}], \"n_datasets\": \"1\", \"poc_email\": \"ken.kunkel@noaa.gov\", \"figure\": {\"graphics_create_date\": \"2014-07-21 12:51\", \"period_record\": [\"2021-01-01\", \"2070-12-31\"], \"origination\": \"Adapted\", \"graphics_title\": \"1.3 Projected Changes in Temperature and Precipitation by Mid-Century\", \"figure_id\": \"\", \"spatial_extent\": [\"24.50\", \"49.38\", \"-124.80\", \"-66.95\"], \"adaptedFrom\": \"images are assembled from different panels\", \"publication\": {\"report_publisher\": \"NOAA/NESDIS\", \"report_isbn\": \"\", \"report_publication_year\": \"2015\", \"report_pages\": \"\", \"publication_type_identifier\": \"Report\", \"label\": \"Regional Surface Climate Conditions in CMIP3 and CMIP5 for the United States: Differences, Similarities, and Implications for the U.S. National Climate Assessment\", \"report_url\": \"http://www.nesdis.noaa.gov/technical_reports/NOAA_NESDIS_Technical_Report_144.pdf\", \"report_edition\": \"NOAA Technical Report NESDIS 144\", \"report_place_published\": \"Washington, DC\", \"report_editor\": [\"\", \"\", \"\", \"\", \"\", \"\", \"\", \"\"], \"report_institution\": \"NOAA/NESDIS\", \"report_author\": [\"L. Sun, K.E. Kunkel, L.E. Stevens, A. Buddenburg, J.G. Dobson, and D.R. Easterling\", \"\", \"\", \"\", \"\", \"\", \"\", \"\"]}}, \"version\": 1, \"images\": [{\"graphics_create_date\": \"2014-07-21 12:51\", \"period_record\": [\"2021-01-01\", \"2050-12-31\"], \"origination\": \"Directly Cited\", \"graphics_title\": \"(Top) Projected Temperature Change (Left) 2021-2050\", \"image_id\": \"\", \"spatial_extent\": [\"24.50\", \"49.38\", \"-124.80\", \"-66.95\"], \"publication\": {\"report_publisher\": \"NOAA/NESDIS\", \"report_isbn\": \"\", \"report_publication_year\": \"\", \"report_pages\": \"\", \"publication_type_identifier\": \"Report\", \"label\": \"Regional Surface Climate Conditions in CMIP3 and CMIP5 for the United States: Differences, Similarities, and Implications for the U.S. National Climate Assessment\", \"report_url\": \"http://www.nesdis.noaa.gov/technical_reports/NOAA_NESDIS_Technical_Report_144.pdf\", \"report_edition\": \"\", \"report_place_published\": \"\", \"report_editor\": [\"\", \"\", \"\", \"\", \"\", \"\", \"\", \"\"], \"report_institution\": \"NOAA.NESDIS\", \"report_author\": [\"L. Sun, K.E. Kunkel, L.E. Stevens, A. Buddenburg, J.G. Dobson, and D.R. Easterling\", \"\", \"\", \"\", \"\", \"\", \"\", \"\"]}}, {\"graphics_create_date\": \"2014-07-21 12:51\", \"period_record\": [\"2041-01-01\", \"2070-12-31\"], \"origination\": \"Directly Cited\", \"graphics_title\": \"(Top) Projected Temperature Change (Right) 2041-2070\", \"image_id\": \"\", \"spatial_extent\": [\"24.50\", \"49.38\", \"-124.80\", \"-66.95\"], \"publication\": {\"report_publisher\": \"NOAA/NESDIS\", \"report_isbn\": \"\", \"report_publication_year\": \"2015\", \"report_pages\": \"\", \"publication_type_identifier\": \"Report\", \"label\": \"Regional Surface Climate Conditions in CMIP3 and CMIP5 for the United States: Differences, Similarities, and Implications for the U.S. National Climate Assessment\", \"report_url\": \"http://www.nesdis.noaa.gov/technical_reports/NOAA_NESDIS_Technical_Report_144.pdf\", \"report_edition\": \"\", \"report_place_published\": \"\", \"report_editor\": [\"\", \"\", \"\", \"\", \"\", \"\", \"\", \"\"], \"report_institution\": \"NOAA/NESDIS\", \"report_author\": [\"L. Sun, K.E. Kunkel, L.E. Stevens, A. Buddenburg, J.G. Dobson, and D.R. Easterling\", \"\", \"\", \"\", \"\", \"\", \"\", \"\"]}}, {\"graphics_create_date\": \"2014-07-21 12:51\", \"period_record\": [\"2021-01-01\", \"2050-12-31\"], \"origination\": \"Directly Cited\", \"graphics_title\": \"(Bottom) Projected Precipitation Change (Left) 2021-2050\", \"image_id\": \"\", \"spatial_extent\": [\"24.50\", \"49.38\", \"-124.80\", \"-66.95\"], \"publication\": {\"report_publisher\": \"NOAA/NESDIS\", \"report_isbn\": \"\", \"report_publication_year\": \"2015\", \"report_pages\": \"\", \"publication_type_identifier\": \"Report\", \"label\": \"Regional Surface Climate Conditions in CMIP3 and CMIP5 for the United States: Differences, Similarities, and Implications for the U.S. National Climate Assessment\", \"report_url\": \"http://www.nesdis.noaa.gov/technical_reports/NOAA_NESDIS_Technical_Report_144.pdf\", \"report_edition\": \"\", \"report_place_published\": \"\", \"report_editor\": [\"\", \"\", \"\", \"\", \"\", \"\", \"\", \"\"], \"report_institution\": \"NOAA/NESDIS\", \"report_author\": [\"L. Sun, K.E. Kunkel, L.E. Stevens, A. Buddenburg, J.G. Dobson, and D.R. Easterling\", \"\", \"\", \"\", \"\", \"\", \"\", \"\"]}}, {\"graphics_create_date\": \"2014-07-21 12:51\", \"period_record\": [\"2041-01-01\", \"2070-12-31\"], \"origination\": \"Directly Cited\", \"graphics_title\": \"(Bottom) Projected Precipitation Change (Right) 2041-2070\", \"image_id\": \"\", \"spatial_extent\": [\"24.50\", \"49.38\", \"-124.80\", \"-66.95\"], \"publication\": {\"report_publisher\": \"NOAA/NESDIS\", \"report_isbn\": \"\", \"report_publication_year\": \"2015\", \"report_pages\": \"\", \"publication_type_identifier\": \"Report\", \"label\": \"Regional Surface Climate Conditions in CMIP3 and CMIP5 for the United States: Differences, Similarities, and Implications for the U.S. National Climate Assessment\", \"report_url\": \"http://www.nesdis.noaa.gov/technical_reports/NOAA_NESDIS_Technical_Report_144.pdf\", \"report_edition\": \"\", \"report_place_published\": \"\", \"report_editor\": [\"\", \"\", \"\", \"\", \"\", \"\", \"\", \"\"], \"report_institution\": \"NOAA/NESDIS\", \"report_author\": [\"L. Sun, K.E. Kunkel, L.E. Stevens, A. Buddenburg, J.G. Dobson, and D.R. Easterling\", \"\", \"\", \"\", \"\", \"\", \"\", \"\"]}}], \"poc\": \"Kenneth Kunkel\", \"n_images\": \"4\"}}]" attributes: ~ caption: 'Projected changes in annual average temperature (top) and precipitation (bottom) for 2021–2050 (left) and 2041–2070 (right) with respect to the average for 1971­–2000 for the RCP6.0 scenario. The RCP6.0 pathway projects an average global temperature increase of 5.2°F in 2100 over the 1901–1960 global average temperature (the RCPs are described in more detail in Appendix 1: Technical Support Document). Temperature increases in the United States for this scenario (top panels) are in the 2°F to 3°F range for 2021 to 2050 and 2°F to 4°F for 2041­ to 2070. This means that the increase in temperature projected in the United States over the next 50 years under this scenario would be larger than the 1°F to 2°F increase in temperature that has already been observed over the previous century. Precipitation is projected to decrease in the Southwest and increase in the Northeast (bottom panels). These projected changes are statistically significant (95% confidence) in small portions of the Northeast, as indicated by the hatching. (Figure source: adapted from Sun et al. 2015)b63c9720-f770-4718-89cc-53b3616e2bec' chapter_identifier: climate-change-and-human-health create_dt: 2014-07-21T12:51:00 identifier: projected-changes-in-temperature-and-precipitation-by-mid-century lat_max: 49.38 lat_min: 24.50 lon_max: -66.95 lon_min: -124.80 ordinal: 3 report_identifier: usgcrp-climate-human-health-assessment-2016 source_citation: ~ submission_dt: ~ time_end: 2070-12-31T23:59:59 time_start: 2021-01-01T00:00:00 title: Projected Changes in Temperature and Precipitation by Mid-Century url: ~ usage_limits: Copyright protected. Obtain permission from the original figure source. files: - file: Figure-1.3_d.png href: https://s3.amazonaws.com/climatehealth2016/gcis-figures/Figure-1.3_d.png identifier: 728d7405-d492-4e88-9ed5-ae3f105e286e landing_page: ~ location: https://s3.amazonaws.com/climatehealth2016/gcis-figures mime_type: image/png sha1: f76a00d2cc450bb771f683853a317c10566cb5a4 size: 116529 thumbnail: 08/b2/113caa1b89e410c63ea321542b03/.thumb-728d7405-d492-4e88-9ed5-ae3f105e286e.png thumbnail_href: https://data.globalchange.gov/assets/08/b2/113caa1b89e410c63ea321542b03/.thumb-728d7405-d492-4e88-9ed5-ae3f105e286e.png uri: /file/728d7405-d492-4e88-9ed5-ae3f105e286e url: https://s3.amazonaws.com/climatehealth2016/gcis-figures/Figure-1.3_d.png gcmd_keywords: [] href: https://data.globalchange.gov/image/91a67783-f1b5-4c01-b8b9-20a1d0302ac4.yaml identifier: 91a67783-f1b5-4c01-b8b9-20a1d0302ac4 lat_max: 49.38 lat_min: 24.50 lon_max: -66.95 lon_min: -124.80 parents: - activity_uri: ~ label: dataset World Climate Research Program's (WCRP's) Coupled Model Intercomparison Project phase 5 (CMIP5) multi-model ensemble note: ~ publication_type_identifier: dataset relationship: prov:wasDerivedFrom url: /dataset/nca3-cmip5-r1 - activity_uri: ~ label: 'Regional Surface Climate Conditions in CMIP3 and CMIP5 for the United States: Differences, Similarities, and Implications for the U.S. National Climate Assessment' note: ~ publication_type_identifier: report relationship: prov:wasDerivedFrom url: /report/noaa-techreport-nesdis-144 position: ~ references: [] regions: [] submission_dt: ~ time_end: 2070-12-31T23:59:59 time_start: 2041-01-01T00:00:00 title: (Bottom) Projected Precipitation Change (Right) 2041-2070 uri: /image/91a67783-f1b5-4c01-b8b9-20a1d0302ac4 url: ~ usage_limits: ~