People


Name ORCID Organizations Publications
Michael A. Taylor The University of the West Indies The Climate Studies Group Mona The University of the West Indies at Mona Department of Physics The University of the West Indies Institute of Caribbean Studies Future climate of the Caribbean from a regional climate model Characterization of future Caribbean rainfall and temperature extremes across rainfall zones Climate change and Caribbean: Review and response Future Caribbean climates in a world of rising temperatures: The 1.5 vs 2.0 dilemma Global observed changes in daily climate extremes of temperature and precipitation
Mitchell Taylor Lakehead University Faculty of Science and Environmental Studies A tale of two polar bear populations: ice habitat, harvest, and body condition
Nathan Tye Taylor Hendrix College Department of Biology Land-use and ecosystem services costs of unconventional US oil and gas development
Nick G. H. Taylor Centre for Environment, Fisheries and Aquaculture Science CEFAS Emerging Vibrio risk at high latitudes in response to ocean warming
Patrick C. Taylor 0000-0002-8098-8447 NASA Langley Research Center National Aeronautics and Space Administration 11.1: Change in Annual Sea Ice Extent Climate Science Special Report: The Fourth National Climate Assessment: Volume I 11.2: Trends in Sea Ice Melt Season 11.5: Permafrost Temperature Individual feedback contributions to the seasonality of surface warming Covariance between Arctic sea ice and clouds within atmospheric state regimes at the satellite footprint level A decomposition of feedback contributions to polar warming amplification 11.4: Changes in Muir Glacier Extent -.10: Multiyear Sea Ice Has Declined Dramatically 11.3: Glacier Mass Loss Geographical distribution of climate feedbacks in the NCAR CCSM3.0 Seasonal variations of climate feedbacks in the NCAR CCSM3
Rebecca L. Taylor 0000-0001-8459-7614 U.S. Geological Survey Alaska Science Center Potential population-level effects of increased haulout-related mortality of Pacific walrus calves Demography of the Pacific walrus (Odobenus rosmarus divergens): 1974–2006
Richard G. Taylor University College London Department of Geography Ground water and climate change
Sidney G. Taylor National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration Alaska Fisheries Science Center Climate warming causes phenological shift in Pink Salmon, Oncorhynchus gorbuscha, behavior at Auke Creek, Alaska
William W. Taylor Michigan State University Department of Fisheries and Wildlife Center for Systems Integration and Sustainability Great Lakes Fisheries Policy a...
Sarah Taylor Lovell 0000-0001-8857-409X University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign Department of Crop Sciences Supplying urban ecosystem services through multifunctional green infrastructure in the United States
Jeff Tayman University of California, San Diego A Practitioner's Guide to Stat...
Paul B. Tchounwou Cellomics and Toxicogenomics Research Laboratory Review: Environmental exposure to mercury and its toxicopathologic implications for public health
Timothy H. Tear The Nature Conservancy Effects of air pollution on ecosystems and biological diversity in the eastern United States
John R. Teasdale U.S. Department of Agriculture Agricultural Research Service Weed Science Laboratory Sustained growth and increased tolerance to glyphosate observed in a C3 perennial weed, quackgrass (Elytrigia repens), grown at elevated carbon dioxide Future atmospheric carbon dioxide may increase tolerance to glyphosate
Pierre-Jonathan Teasdale Multilevel risk governance and urban adaptation policy
Claudia Tebaldi 0000-0001-9233-8903 Climate Central National Center for Atmospheric Research National Center for Atmospheric Research Climate and Global Dynamics Division National Center for Atmospheric Research Institute for Society and the Environment National Center for Atmospheric Research Research Applications Laboratory University of British Columbia Department of Statistics Estimated impacts of emission reductions on wheat and maize crops Future population exposure to US heat extremes Probabilistic 21st and 22nd century sea-level projections at a global network of tide-gauge sites Allowances for evolving coastal flood risk under uncertain local sea-level rise What would it take to achieve the Paris temperature targets? Avoiding population exposure to heat-related extremes: demographic change vs climate change Pattern scaling: Its strengths and limitations, and an update on the latest model simulations A comparison of U.S. precipitation extremes under RCP8.5 and RCP4.5 with an application of pattern scaling Changes in frost days in simulations of twentyfirst century climate Going to the Extremes: An Intercomparison of Model-Simulated Historical and Future Changes in Extreme Events Getting caught with our plants down: The risks of a global crop yield slowdown from climate trends in the next two decades Combinations of natural and anthropogenic forcings in twentieth-century climate Reframing climate change assessments around risk: Recommendations for the US National Climate Assessment Stochastic modeling of the effects of large-scale circulation on daily weather in the southeastern US Increasing prevalence of extreme summer temperatures in the U.S. Modelling sea level rise impacts on storm surges along US coasts US daily temperature records past, present, and future Prioritizing Climate Change Adaptation Needs for Food Security in 2030 The Benefits of Reduced Anthropogenic Climate changE (BRACE): A synthesis Delayed detection of climate mitigation benefits due to climate inertia and variability Toward a Quantitative Estimate of Future Heat Wave Mortality under Global Climate Change Past and future sea-level rise along the coast of North Carolina, USA Relative increase of record high maximum temperatures compared to record low minimum temperatures in the U.S. Benefits of mitigation for future heat extremes under RCP4.5 compared to RCP8.5 Climate Change Global Food Security and the U.S. Food System Developing and applying uncertain global climate change projections for regional water management planning
Lani Teddy Te Kotahitanga Research and Development Centre University of Waikato Place attachment of Ngāi Te Ahi to Hairini Marae
Molly Tedesche University of Alaska Fairbanks International Arctic Research Center Planning for climate change impacts on hydropower in the Far North
Richard G. Tedeschi The University of North Carolina at Charlotte Department of Psychology The posttraumatic growth inventory: Measuring the positive legacy of trauma
Kathy Ann Tedesco National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration Ocean Observing and Monitoring Division University Corporation for Atmospheric Research second-state-carbon-cycle-report-soccr2-sustained-assessment-report chapter ES : Executive Summary Second State of the Carbon Cycle Report (SOCCR2): A Sustained Assessment Report
Marco Tedesco The City College of New York The City College of New York Department of Earth and Atmospheric Sciences Columbia University Lamont-Doherty Earth Observatory Goddard Institute for Space Studies Melting trends over the Greenland ice sheet (1958–2009) from spaceborne microwave data and regional climate models The role of albedo and accumulation in the 2010 melting record in Greenland Arctic cut-off high drives the poleward shift of a new Greenland melting record The darkening of the Greenland ice sheet: Trends, drivers, and projections (1981–2100) The extreme melt across the Greenland ice sheet in 2012 Evidence and analysis of 2012 Greenland records from spaceborne observations, a regional climate model and reanalysis data
P. Grace Tee The University of Texas Health Science Center at Houston School of Public Health Social and Mental Health Needs Assessment of Katrina Evacuees
Ramesh Teegavarapu Florida Atlantic University College of Engineering and Computer Science Florida Water Management and Adaptation in the Face of Climate Change
Pete D. Teel Texas A&M University Department of Entomology Integrated strategy for sustainable cattle fever tick eradication in USA is required to mitigate the impact of global change Off-host physiological ecology of ixodid ticks
Michael T. Tees 0000-0002-2160-2786 New York University School of Medicine Department of Medicine Tulane University Department of Epidemiology Hurricane Katrina-related maternal stress, maternal mental health, and early infant temperament
Eric J. Teeters Earth Resource Technology Inc National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration Office of Sustainable Fisheries A vulnerability assessment of fish and invertebrates to climate change on the northeast U.S. continental shelf
Amy Teffer University of Victoria Department of Biology Infectious disease, shifting climates, and opportunistic predators: Cumulative factors potentially impacting wild salmon declines
Louise Teh University of British Columbia Institute for the Oceans and Fisheries Coral reefs and people in a high-CO2 world: Where can science make a difference to people?
Parsa Tehranchian University of Arkansas Department of Crop, Soil and Environmental Science Cultivars to face climate change effects on crops and weeds: a review
Faraz S. Tehrani 0000-0002-3962-4879 Deltares Department of Geoengineering Resilience of MSE walls with marginal backfill under a changing climate: Quantitative assessment for extreme precipitation events
Hannah Teicher Massachusetts Institute of Technology Equity impacts of urban land use planning for climate adaptation: Critical perspectives from the global north and south
Thomas J. Teisberg Teisberg Associates Heat watch/warning systems save lives: Estimated costs and benefits for Philadelphia 1995-1998: ISEE-165 Heat watch/warning systems save lives: Estimated costs and benefits for Philadelphia 1995–98
Joao Teixeira California Institute of Technology NASA Jet Propulsion Laboratory Satellite Observations for CMIP5: The Genesis of Obs4MIPs
Franco Teixeira-de Mello Impacts of climate warming on lake fish community structure and potential effects on ecosystem function
Paul Telford National Centre for Atmospheric Science NCAS-Climate University of Cambridge Department of Chemistry University of Cambridge Department of Chemistry Centre for Atmospheric Science Lightning NO x , a key chemistry–climate interaction: Impacts of future climate change and consequences for tropospheric oxidising capacity Impacts of climate change, ozone recovery, and increasing methane on surface ozone and the tropospheric oxidizing capacity
Pamela Telis U.S. Geological Survey Impact of Anthropogenic Development on Coastal Ground-Water Hydrology in Southeastern Florida, 1900-2000
Stacy Tellinghuisen Western Resource Advocates Freshwater Use by US Power Plants: Electricity’s Thirst for a Precious Resource. A Report of the Energy and Water in a Warming World initiative
James D. Temerius The University of Arizona Department of Geography and Regional Development Climate and human health: Synthesizing environmental complexity and uncertainty
Hailemariam Temesgen Oregon State University Oregon State University Department of Forest Engineering, Resources, and Management Mapping and imputing potential productivity of Pacific Northwest forests using climate variables Analysis of potential impacts of climate change on forests of the United States Pacific Northwest
Stijn Temmerman 0000-0003-3346-9115 University of Antwerp Department of Biology University of Antwerp Ecosystem Management Research Group ECOBE Ecosystem-based coastal defence in the face of global change Overestimation of marsh vulnerability to sea level rise Limits on the adaptability of coastal marshes to rising sea level
Stanley A. Temple Aldo Leopold Wilderness Research Institute University of Wisconsin-Madison Department of Forest and Wildlife Ecology Record-breaking early flowering in the eastern United States
Pamela H. Templer 0000-0002-6570-3837 Boston University Department of Biology Boston University Biogeochemical Cycles and Biogenic Greenhouse Gases from North American Terrestrial Ecosystems Changes in autumn senescence in northern hemisphere deciduous trees: A meta-analysis of autumn phenology studies Long-Term Integrated Studies Show Complex and Surprising Effects of Climate Change in the Northern Hardwood Forest second-state-carbon-cycle-report-soccr2-sustained-assessment-report chapter 9 : Forests Estimating potential productivity cobenefits for crops and trees from reduced ozone with U.S. coal power plant carbon standards
Lida Teneva A short-term in situ CO2 enrichment experiment on Heron Island (GBR)
Haiyan Teng National Center for Atmospheric Research National Center for Atmospheric Research Climate and Global Dynamics Division Causes of extreme ridges that induce California droughts Antarctic sea-ice expansion between 2000 and 2014 driven by tropical Pacific decadal climate variability Uncertainty in climate change projections: the role of internal variability Potential impact of initialization on decadal predictions as assessed for CMIP5 models Multi-model changes in El Niño teleconnections over North America in a future warmer climate
Joseph Teng Oak Ridge Institute for Science and Education Electricity end uses, energy efficiency, and distributed energy resources baseline
W. John Tennent Poleward shifts in geographical ranges of butterfly species associated with regional warming
Adam Terando 0000-0002-9280-043X North Carolina State University Department of Applied Ecology Southeast Climate Adaptation Science Center U.S. Geological Survey North Carolina State University The sensitivity of WRF downscaled precipitation in Puerto Rico to cumulus parameterization and interior grid nudging Downscaling future climate change projections over Puerto Rico using a non-hydrostatic atmospheric model Climate change implications for tropical islands: Interpolating and interpreting statistically downscaled GCM projections for management and planning Climate change and water resources in a tropical island system: Propagation of uncertainty from statistically downscaled climate models to hydrologic models 20.7: Projected Change in Annual Streamflow nca4 chapter 20 : U.S. Caribbean 20.4: Projected Precipitation Change for Puerto Rico 20.5: Ocean Chemistry and Temperature nca4 chapter 19 : Southeast 19.8: Range of Daily Highest Water Levels in Norfolk, Virginia second-state-carbon-cycle-report-soccr2-sustained-assessment-report chapter 17 : Biogeochemical Effects of Rising Atmospheric Carbon Dioxide
Nabila Terbaoui Hospital Bichat-Claude Bernard Emergency Department Prognostic factors in non-exertional heatstroke
John Terenzi U.S. Geological Survey Alaska Science Center Storm-surge flooding on the Yukon-Kuskokwim delta, Alaska
Judith ter Maat Deltares Dynamic adaptive policy pathways: A method for crafting robust decisions for a deeply uncertain world
Mette Termansen 0000-0003-4875-2810 National Environmental Research Institute of Denmark University of Leeds School of Earth and Environment “Vulnerability hotspots”: Integrating socio-economic and hydrological models to identify where cereal production may decline in the future due to climate change induced drought
Piet Termonia 0000-0003-2095-0567 Royal Meteorological Institute of Belgium Effects of urbanization and climate change on surface runoff of the Brussels Capital Region: A case study using an urban soil–vegetation–atmosphere‐transfer model
Laurent Terray 0000-0001-5512-7074 European Centre for Research and Advanced Training in Scientific Computation CERFACS Application of regularised optimal fingerprinting to attribution. Part II: Application to global near-surface temperature Evidence for multiple drivers of North Atlantic multi-decadal climate variability Identifying human influences on atmospheric temperature Forced and internal components of winter air temperature trends over North America during the past 50 years: Mechanisms and implications
James P. Terry 0000-0003-2686-1362 National University of Singapore Department of Geography Responses of atoll freshwater lenses to storm-surge overwash in the Northern Cook Islands
Kay Teschke Water and sewage systems, socio-demographics, and duration of residence associated with endemic intestinal infectious diseases: A cohort study
Teklu Tesfa Pacific Northwest National Laboratory 21st century United States emissions mitigation could increase water stress more than the climate change it is mitigating
Helen Tesfai Tulane University School of Public Health and Tropical Medicine Experience of Hurricane Katrina and reported intimate partner violence
Robert B. Tesh Institute for Human Infections and Immunity Sealy Center for Vaccine Development The University of Texas Medical Branch at Galveston Department of Pathology The University of Texas Medical Branch at Galveston Microbiology and Immunology Program Resurgence of West Nile neurologic disease in the United States in 2012: What happened? What needs to be done?
R.O Teskey The University of Georgia Daniel B. Warnell School of Forest Resources Effect of complete competition control and annual fertilization on stem growth and canopy relations for a chronosequence of loblolly pine plantations in the lower coastal plain of Georgia
Jeremy M. Testa Chesapeake Biological Laboratory University of Maryland Center for Environmental Science Horn Point Laboratory Quantifying the effects of nutrient loading on dissolved O2 cycling and hypoxia in Chesapeake Bay using a coupled hydrodynamic–biogeochemical model
Patricia A. Tester National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration Southeast Fisheries Science Center National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration Center for Coastal Fisheries and Habitat Research National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration National Ocean Service Ocean Tester, LLC An expatriate red tide bloom: Transport, distribution, and persistence Taxonomy of Gambierdiscus including four new species, Gambierdiscus caribaeus, Gambierdiscus carolinianus, Gambierdiscus carpenteri and Gambierdiscus ruetzleri (Gonyaulacales, Dinophyceae) Ciguatera fish poisoning and sea surface temperatures in the Caribbean Sea and the West Indies Effects of ocean warming on growth and distribution of dinoflagellates associated with ciguatera fish poisoning in the Caribbean Global distribution of ciguatera causing dinoflagellates in the genus Gambierdiscus
Simon F. B. Tett 0000-0001-7526-560X Hadley Centre for Climate Prediction and Research University of Edinburgh School of GeoSciences Small influence of solar variability on climate over the past millennium Separating forced from chaotic climate variability over the past millennium Testing the linearity of the response to combined greenhouse gas and sulfate aerosol forcing
Doerthe Tetzlaff 0000-0002-7183-8674 University of Aberdeen School of Geosciences Northern Rivers Institute Potential effects of climate change on streambed scour and risks to salmonid survival in snow-dominated mountain basins
Martin Teufel University of Tübingen Department of Internal Medicine VI -Psychosomatic Medicine and Psychotherapy Psychological burden of food allergy
Adriaan J. Teuling 0000-0003-4302-2835 ETH Zurich Institute for Atmospheric and Climate Science Wageningen University Hydrology and Quantitative Water Management Group Evaluation of global observations-based evapotranspiration datasets and IPCC AR4 simulations
Mukul Tewari National Center for Atmospheric Research High-resolution coupled climate runoff simulations of seasonal snowfall over Colorado: A process study of current and warmer climate
Nicolai Tewes Allianz Major Tipping Points in the Earth’s Climate System and Consequences for the Insurance Sector
Joshua J. Tewksbury 0000-0002-9786-1477 University of Washington Department of Biology Connectivity Planning to Address Climate Change
H. Leon Thacker Purdue University Department of Veterinary Pathobiology Investigation of an outbreak of encephalomyelitis caused by West Nile virus in 136 horses
Maria T.F. Thacker Agency for Toxic Substances and Disease Registry Division of Toxicology and Human Health Sciences DTHHS Overview of deaths associated with natural events, United States, 1979-2004
Stephen J. Thackeray Lancaster Environment Centre Centre for Ecology and Hydrology Lake Ecosystems Group When phenology matters: Age–size truncation alters population response to trophic mismatch
N. J. Thakor Dr. Balasaheb Sawant Konkan Krishi Vidyapeeth College of Agricultural Engineering and Technology Department of Agricultural Process Engineeing Effect of temperature, relative humidity and moisture content on germination percentage of wheat stored in different storage structures
Meloth Thamban 0000-0003-3379-8189 National Centre for Antarctic and Ocean Research Continental-scale temperature variability during the past two millennia
Rebecca E. Tharme International Water Management Institute The ecological limits of hydrologic alteration (ELOHA): a new framework for developing regional environmental flow standards
Andra T. Tharp Baylor College of Medicine Department of Psychiatry and Behavioral Sciences Preexisting mental illness and risk for developing a new disorder after hurricane Katrina
M. Lynn Tharp CompSci Consulting, LLC Modeling transient response of forests to climate change
Cindy A. Thatcher 0000-0003-0331-071X U.S. Geological Survey National Wetlands Research Center Economic vulnerability to sea-level rise along the northern U.S. Gulf Coast
David Thau Google High-resolution global maps of 21st-century forest cover change
Jeffrey P. Thayer 0000-0001-7127-8251 University of Colorado Boulder Ann and H.J. Smead Aerospace Engineering Sciences Recent anthropogenic increases in SO 2 from Asia have minimal impact on stratospheric aerosol
Susan Thayer Carnegie Institute of Washington Department of Plant Biology Responses of Grassland Production to Single and Multiple Global Environmental Changes
Ole Magnus Theisen Centre for the Study of Civil War Norwegian University of Science and Technology NTNU Climate wars? Assessing the claim that drought breeds conflict
Andrew J. Theising Southern Illinois University Edwardsville St. Louis Currents: The Fifth ...
Jürgen Theiss Theiss Research Santa Ana winds of Southern California: Their climatology, extremes, and behavior spanning six and a half decades
Peter Thejll 0000-0002-5074-699X Danish Climate Centre Improved confidence in climate change projections of precipitation evaluated using daily statistics from the PRUDENCE ensemble
Mathias Themeßl University of Graz Wegener Center for Climate and Global Change Impacts of climate change on stream flow and hydro power generation in the Alpine region
Prasad Thenkabail 0000-0002-2182-8822 U.S. Geological Survey Global land cover mapping: A review and uncertainty analysis
David M. Theobald Colorado State University Department of Fish, Wildlife, and Conservation Biology Colorado State University Department of Human Dimensions of Natural Resources Colorado State University Department of Natural Resource Recreation & Tourism Colorado State University Natural Resource Ecology Laboratory NREL Conservation Science Partners Divergent projections of future land use in the United States arising from different models and scenarios Rural Land-Use Trends in the Conterminous United States, 1950-2000 Expansion of the US wildland–urban interface Climate Change in Wildlands: P... Implementation of National Fire Plan treatments near the wildland–urban interface in the western United States National housing and impervious surface scenarios for integrated climate impact assessments Historic and future extent of wildfires in the Southern Rockies Ecoregion, USA Development and Applications of a Comprehensive Land Use Classification and Map for the US Achieving climate connectivity in a fragmented landscape
Phil W. Theobald AgResearch Effects of long-term exposure to enriched CO2 on the nutrient-supplying capacity of a grassland soil
Rebecca Theobald University of Colorado Boulder Department of Geography Water and poverty in the United States
Kathleen A. Theoharides University of Massachusetts Boston Department of Biology Responses of insect pests, pathogens, and invasive plant species to climate change in the forests of northeastern North America: What can we predict?This article is one of a selection of papers from NE Forests 2100: A Synthesis of Climate Change Impacts on Forests of the Northeastern US and Eastern Canada.
Jean-Noël Thépaut European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts ECMWF Northern Hemisphere atmospheric stilling partly attributed to an increase in surface roughness
Matthew Therrell 0000-0002-9174-6005 Southern Illinois University Department of Geography and Environmental Resources University of Arkansas Tree-Ring Laboratory Waniyetu Wówapi: Native American Records of Weather and Climate Sacramento River Flow Reconstructed to A.D. 869 from Tree Rings
Anne E. Thessen 0000-0002-2908-3327 University of Maryland Center for Environmental Science Horn Point Laboratory Effect of salinity on the distribution, growth, and toxicity of Karenia spp
Ethan J. Theuerkauf 0000-0002-9035-7454 The University of North Carolina at Chapel Hill Institute of Marine Sciences Sea level anomalies exacerbate beach erosion Oyster reefs can outpace sea-level rise
Jeanne Thibeault University of Connecticut University of Connecticut Department of Geography Recent and projected annual cycles of temperature and precipitation in the northeast United States from CMIP5 Changing climate extremes in the Northeast United States: Observations and projections from CMIP5
Patricia Thibodeau 0000-0002-6005-8816 Northwest Fisheries Science Center Conservation Biology Division Shell condition and survival of Puget Sound pteropods are impaired by ocean acidification conditions
E. Robert Thieler 0000-0003-4311-9717 U.S. Geological Survey Woods Hole Coastal and Marine Science Center Smartphone-based distributed data collection enables rapid assessment of shorebird habitat suitability Smartphone technologies and Bayesian networks to assess shorebird habitat selection National assessment of coastal vulnerability to sea-level rise: Preliminary results for the U.S. Pacific Coast. U.S. Geological Survey Open-File Report 00-178, 1 map sheet. Using a Bayesian network to predict barrier island geomorphologic characteristics A Bayesian network approach to predicting nest presence of the federally-threatened piping plover (Charadrius melodus) using barrier island features 18.7: Coastal Impacts of Climate Change National assessment of coastal vulnerability to sea-level rise: Preliminary results for the U.S. Gulf of Mexico Coast. U.S. Geological Survey Open-File Report 00-179, 1 map sheet. nca4 chapter 18 : Northeast National Assessment of Coastal Vulnerability to Sea-Level Rise: Preliminary Results for the U.S. Atlantic Coast. U.S. Geological Survey Open-File Report 99-593, 1 Map Sheet. National Assessment of Coastal Vulnerability to Future Sea-Level Rise: Preliminary Results for the US Atlantic, Pacific and Gulf of Mexico Coasts. US Reports 99–593, 00-178, and 00-179 Effects of sea-level rise on barrier island groundwater system dynamics — Ecohydrological implications Evaluation of dynamic coastal response to sea-level rise modifies inundation likelihood Coastal Sensitivity to Sea Level Rise: A Focus on the Mid-Atlantic Region. A report by the U.S. Climate Change Science Program and the Subcommittee on Global Change Research A Bayesian network to predict coastal vulnerability to sea level rise
Mark H. Thiemens University of California, San Diego Cold season emissions dominate the Arctic tundra methane budget Increased threat of tropical cyclones and coastal flooding to New York City during the anthropogenic era Elevated CO2 further lengthens growing season under warming conditions
Francis Thien 0000-0003-0925-6566 Eastern Health Respiratory Medicine The Melbourne thunderstorm asthma event: Can we avert another strike?
Joshua R. Thienpont 0000-0003-1856-8756 Queen's University Department of Biology Paleoecological Environmental Assessment and Research Lab Arctic climate warming and sea ice declines lead to increased storm surge activity