--- - attrs: Author: 'Smith, Adam B Matthews, Jessica L' DOI: 10.1007/s11069-015-1678-x ISSN: 1573-0840 Issue: 3 Journal: Natural Hazards Pages: 1829-1851 Title: Quantifying uncertainty and variable sensitivity within the US billion-dollar weather and climate disaster cost estimates Volume: 77 Year: 2015 reftype: Journal Article child_publication: /article/10.1007/s11069-015-1678-x href: https://data.globalchange.gov/reference/fe5fe27c-9bd5-4b05-b60f-2a2680d39968.yaml identifier: fe5fe27c-9bd5-4b05-b60f-2a2680d39968 uri: /reference/fe5fe27c-9bd5-4b05-b60f-2a2680d39968 - attrs: Abstract: 'Human appropriation of land for agriculture has greatly altered the terrestrial carbon balance, creating a large but uncertain carbon debt in soils. Estimating the size and spatial distribution of soil organic carbon (SOC) loss due to land use and land cover change has been difficult but is a critical step in understanding whether SOC sequestration can be an effective climate mitigation strategy. In this study, a machine learning-based model was fitted using a global compilation of SOC data and the History Database of the Global Environment (HYDE) land use data in combination with climatic, landform and lithology covariates. Model results compared favorably with a global compilation of paired plot studies. Projection of this model onto a world without agriculture indicated a global carbon debt due to agriculture of 133 Pg C for the top 2 m of soil, with the rate of loss increasing dramatically in the past 200 years. The HYDE classes "grazing" and "cropland" contributed nearly equally to the loss of SOC. There were higher percent SOC losses on cropland but since more than twice as much land is grazed, slightly higher total losses were found from grazing land. Important spatial patterns of SOC loss were found: Hotspots of SOC loss coincided with some major cropping regions as well as semiarid grazing regions, while other major agricultural zones showed small losses and even net gains in SOC. This analysis has demonstrated that there are identifiable regions which can be targeted for SOC restoration efforts.' Accession Number: 28827323 Author: 'Sanderman, J.; Hengl, T.; Fiske, G. J.' Author Address: "Woods Hole Research Center, Falmouth MA 02540; jsanderman@whrc.org.\rThe International Soil Resource and Information Center - World Soil Information, 6708 PB Wageningen, The Netherlands.\rWoods Hole Research Center, Falmouth MA 02540." DOI: 10.1073/pnas.1706103114 Date: Sep 5 ISSN: "1091-6490 (Electronic)\r0027-8424 (Linking)" Issue: 36 Journal: Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences USA Keywords: 'Agriculture/history; *Carbon Sequestration; Databases, Factual; History, 15th Century; History, 16th Century; History, 17th Century; History, 18th Century; History, 19th Century; History, 20th Century; History, 21st Century; History, Ancient; History, Medieval; Humans; Machine Learning; Natural Resources; Soil/*chemistry; *agriculture; *climate change; *soil degradation; *soil organic matter' Notes: "Sanderman, Jonathan\rHengl, Tomislav\rFiske, Gregory J\reng\rHistorical Article\rResearch Support, Non-U.S. Gov't\r2017/08/23 06:00\rProc Natl Acad Sci U S A. 2017 Sep 5;114(36):9575-9580. doi: 10.1073/pnas.1706103114. Epub 2017 Aug 21." PMCID: PMC5594668 Pages: 9575-9580 Title: 'Soil carbon debt of 12,000 years of human land use' URL: https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/28827323 Volume: 114 Year: 2017 _record_number: 3513 _uuid: fe610d5c-087d-4db2-8c16-293e990663d8 reftype: Journal Article child_publication: ~ href: https://data.globalchange.gov/reference/fe610d5c-087d-4db2-8c16-293e990663d8.yaml identifier: fe610d5c-087d-4db2-8c16-293e990663d8 uri: /reference/fe610d5c-087d-4db2-8c16-293e990663d8 - attrs: .reference_type: 0 Author: "Fisk, W.J.\rLei-Gomez, Q.\rMendell, M.J." DOI: 10.1111/j.1600-0668.2007.00475.x ISSN: 1600-0668 Issue: 4 Journal: Indoor Air Pages: 284-296 Title: Meta-analyses of the associations of respiratory health effects with dampness and mold in homes URL: http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1111/j.1600-0668.2007.00475.x/pdf Volume: 17 Year: 2007 _chapter: '["Ch. 9: Human Health FINAL","Overview"]' _record_number: 1104 _uuid: fe69d52e-ac37-4d64-9307-9076bb5270a7 reftype: Journal Article child_publication: /article/10.1111/j.1600-0668.2007.00475.x href: https://data.globalchange.gov/reference/fe69d52e-ac37-4d64-9307-9076bb5270a7.yaml identifier: fe69d52e-ac37-4d64-9307-9076bb5270a7 uri: /reference/fe69d52e-ac37-4d64-9307-9076bb5270a7 - attrs: .publisher: 'Nature Publishing Group, a division of Macmillan Publishers Limited. All Rights Reserved.' .reference_type: 0 Author: 'Seneviratne, Sonia I.; Donat, Markus G.; Mueller, Brigitte; Alexander, Lisa V.' DOI: 10.1038/nclimate2145 Date: 03//print Issue: 3 Journal: Nature Climate Change Pages: 161-163 Title: No pause in the increase of hot temperature extremes Volume: 4 Year: 2014 _record_number: 19455 _uuid: fe69e36b-d8ee-4a5f-ac48-cd62eb38ad8f reftype: Journal Article child_publication: /article/10.1038/nclimate2145 href: https://data.globalchange.gov/reference/fe69e36b-d8ee-4a5f-ac48-cd62eb38ad8f.yaml identifier: fe69e36b-d8ee-4a5f-ac48-cd62eb38ad8f uri: /reference/fe69e36b-d8ee-4a5f-ac48-cd62eb38ad8f - attrs: .reference_type: 0 Author: "Post, E.S.\rGrambsch, A.\rWeaver, C.\rMorefield, P.\rHuang, J.\rLeung, L.-Y.\rNolte, C.G.\rAdams, P.\rLiang, X.-Z.\rZhu, J.-H.\rMahone, H." DOI: 10.1289/ehp.1104271 ISSN: 1552-9924 Issue: 11 Journal: Environmental Health Perspectives Pages: 1559-1564 Title: Variation in estimated ozone-related health impacts of climate change due to modeling choices and assumptions URL: http://ehp.niehs.nih.gov/wp-content/uploads/2012/10/ehp.11042711.pdf Volume: 120 Year: 2012 _chapter: '["Ch. 9: Human Health FINAL"]' _record_number: 2520 _uuid: fe6d1c69-790d-46cc-89c4-26dc24585dcf reftype: Journal Article child_publication: /article/10.1289/ehp.1104271 href: https://data.globalchange.gov/reference/fe6d1c69-790d-46cc-89c4-26dc24585dcf.yaml identifier: fe6d1c69-790d-46cc-89c4-26dc24585dcf uri: /reference/fe6d1c69-790d-46cc-89c4-26dc24585dcf - attrs: .reference_type: 0 Author: James D. Scott; Michael A. Alexander; Donald R. Murray; Dustin Swales; Jon Eischeid DOI: 10.1175/bams-d-15-00035.1 Issue: 4 Journal: Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society Pages: 523-530 Title: 'The climate change web portal: A system to access and display climate and earth system model output from the CMIP5 archive' Volume: 97 Year: 2016 _record_number: 21044 _uuid: fe7192a7-4324-47bb-bb20-48c266616522 reftype: Journal Article child_publication: /article/10.1175/bams-d-15-00035.1 href: https://data.globalchange.gov/reference/fe7192a7-4324-47bb-bb20-48c266616522.yaml identifier: fe7192a7-4324-47bb-bb20-48c266616522 uri: /reference/fe7192a7-4324-47bb-bb20-48c266616522 - attrs: .reference_type: 10 Author: 'CCCCC,' Institution: Caribbean Community Climate Change Centre (CCCCC) Pages: 188 Place Published: 'Belmopan, Belize' Title: Impact assessment and national adaptation strategy and action plan to address climate change in the tourism sector of Saint Lucia. Volumes I and II URL: http://www.climatechange.govt.lc/wp-content/uploads/2017/10/Impact-Assessment-National-Adaptation-Strategy-and-Action-Plan-in-Tourism-Sector.pdf Year: 2015 _record_number: 26446 _uuid: fe7795e1-ecba-43eb-a69a-6e1217526a2c reftype: Report child_publication: /report/impact-assessment-national-adaptation-strategy-action-plan-address-climate-change-tourism-sector-saint-lucia-volumes-i-ii href: https://data.globalchange.gov/reference/fe7795e1-ecba-43eb-a69a-6e1217526a2c.yaml identifier: fe7795e1-ecba-43eb-a69a-6e1217526a2c uri: /reference/fe7795e1-ecba-43eb-a69a-6e1217526a2c - attrs: .reference_type: 0 Abstract: 'Seasonal extreme daily precipitation is analyzed in the ensemble of NARCAPP regional climate models. Significant variation in these models’ abilities to reproduce observed precipitation extremes over the contiguous United States is found. Model performance metrics are introduced to characterize overall biases, seasonality, spatial extent and the shape of the precipitation distribution. Comparison of the models to gridded observations that include an elevation correction is found to be better than to gridded observations without this correction. A complicated model weighting scheme based on model performance in simulating observations is found to cause significant improvements in ensemble mean skill only if some of the models are poorly performing outliers. The effect of lateral boundary conditions are explored by comparing the integrations driven by reanalysis to those driven by global climate models. Projected mid-century future changes in seasonal precipitation means and extremes are presented and discussions of the sources of uncertainty and the mechanisms causing these changes are presented.' Author: 'Wehner, M.F.' DOI: 10.1007/s00382-012-1393-1 ISSN: 0930-7575 Issue: 1-2 Journal: Climate Dynamics Keywords: Extreme precipitation; Climate models; Return value; Uncertainty; High resolution Pages: 59-80 Title: 'Very extreme seasonal precipitation in the NARCCAP ensemble: Model performance and projections' Volume: 40 Year: 2013 _chapter: '["Ch. 2: Our Changing Climate FINAL","Appendix 3: Climate Science FINAL","Ch. 21: Northwest FINAL"]' _record_number: 3376 _uuid: fe7cfee1-62d4-4a3f-8d9b-f3ec33912f87 reftype: Journal Article child_publication: /article/10.1007/s00382-012-1393-1 href: https://data.globalchange.gov/reference/fe7cfee1-62d4-4a3f-8d9b-f3ec33912f87.yaml identifier: fe7cfee1-62d4-4a3f-8d9b-f3ec33912f87 uri: /reference/fe7cfee1-62d4-4a3f-8d9b-f3ec33912f87 - attrs: .publisher: American Meteorological Society .reference_type: 0 Access Date: 2013/11/04 Author: "Greene, Scott\rKalkstein, Laurence S.\rMills, David M.\rSamenow, Jason" DOI: 10.1175/WCAS-D-11-00055.1 Date: 2011/10/01 ISSN: 1948-8327 Issue: 4 Journal: 'Weather, Climate, and Society' Pages: 281-292 Title: An examination of climate change on extreme heat events and climate–mortality relationships in large U.S. cities URL: http://journals.ametsoc.org/doi/abs/10.1175/WCAS-D-11-00055.1 Volume: 3 Year: 2011 _chapter: '["Ch. 9: Human Health FINAL"]' _record_number: 4491 _uuid: fe80908b-c181-4da8-8163-5abaade99c7e reftype: Journal Article child_publication: /article/10.1175/WCAS-D-11-00055.1 href: https://data.globalchange.gov/reference/fe80908b-c181-4da8-8163-5abaade99c7e.yaml identifier: fe80908b-c181-4da8-8163-5abaade99c7e uri: /reference/fe80908b-c181-4da8-8163-5abaade99c7e - attrs: .reference_type: 10 Author: 'U.S. Department of the Interior Fish and Wildlife Service, ; U.S. Department of Commerce Census Bureau,' Institution: 'U.S. Department of the Interior, Fish and Wildlife Service' Pages: 82 Series Volume: FHW/11-WY (RV) Title: '2011 National Survey of Fishing, Hunting, and Wildlife-Associated Recreation: Wyoming' URL: https://www.census.gov/prod/2013pubs/fhw11-wy.pdf Year: 2014 _record_number: 21659 _uuid: fe814136-288f-46e2-ac5f-efa36c045b92 reftype: Report child_publication: /report/2011-national-survey-fishing-hunting-wildlife-associated-recreation-wyoming href: https://data.globalchange.gov/reference/fe814136-288f-46e2-ac5f-efa36c045b92.yaml identifier: fe814136-288f-46e2-ac5f-efa36c045b92 uri: /reference/fe814136-288f-46e2-ac5f-efa36c045b92 - attrs: Author: 'Vavrus, Stephen J.; Notaro, Michael; Lorenz, David J.' DOI: 10.1016/j.wace.2015.10.005 Date: 2015/12/01/ ISSN: 2212-0947 Issue: Part B Journal: Weather and Climate Extremes Keywords: Climate Model; Uncertainty; CMIP; Downscaled; Extremes Pages: 10-28 Title: Interpreting climate model projections of extreme weather events Volume: 10 Year: 2015 _record_number: 21149 _uuid: fe83e7d3-3f29-4aef-81ae-28abd70dda2e reftype: Journal Article child_publication: /article/10.1016/j.wace.2015.10.005 href: https://data.globalchange.gov/reference/fe83e7d3-3f29-4aef-81ae-28abd70dda2e.yaml identifier: fe83e7d3-3f29-4aef-81ae-28abd70dda2e uri: /reference/fe83e7d3-3f29-4aef-81ae-28abd70dda2e - attrs: .reference_type: 10 Author: 'Ross Strategic,' Institution: Association of Metropolitan Water Agencies Pages: 19 Place Published: 'Washington, DC' Title: 'International Water and Climate Forum, 2015. Synthesis Report' URL: http://www.waterclimateforum.org/wp/wp-content/uploads/2016/03/WaterClimateForumSynthesisReport_04Mar2016.pdf Year: 2016 _record_number: 24414 _uuid: fe86238e-eab4-4c02-a7dd-19bcd96a2613 reftype: Report child_publication: /report/international-water-climate-forum-2015-synthesis-report href: https://data.globalchange.gov/reference/fe86238e-eab4-4c02-a7dd-19bcd96a2613.yaml identifier: fe86238e-eab4-4c02-a7dd-19bcd96a2613 uri: /reference/fe86238e-eab4-4c02-a7dd-19bcd96a2613 - attrs: Author: 'Ogden, Nick H.; Lindsay, L. Robbin' DOI: 10.1016/j.pt.2016.04.015 ISSN: 1471-4922 Issue: 8 Journal: Trends in Parasitology Pages: 646-656 Publisher: Elsevier Title: 'Effects of climate and climate change on vectors and vector-borne diseases: Ticks are different' Volume: 32 Year: 2016 _record_number: 26109 _uuid: fe91b27d-3625-468e-b7d2-40686e8a55a7 reftype: Journal Article child_publication: /article/10.1016/j.pt.2016.04.015 href: https://data.globalchange.gov/reference/fe91b27d-3625-468e-b7d2-40686e8a55a7.yaml identifier: fe91b27d-3625-468e-b7d2-40686e8a55a7 uri: /reference/fe91b27d-3625-468e-b7d2-40686e8a55a7 - attrs: Author: 'Karegar, Makan A.; Dixon, Timothy H.; Engelhart, Simon E.' DOI: 10.1002/2016GL068015 ISSN: 1944-8007 Issue: 7 Journal: Geophysical Research Letters Keywords: 'Holocene relative sea level; GPS; glacial isostatic adjustment; Atlantic Coast of North America; groundwater depletion; 1240 Satellite geodesy: results; 1641 Sea level change; 1829 Groundwater hydrology; 4217 Coastal processes; 9350 North America' Pages: 3126-3133 Title: 'Subsidence along the Atlantic Coast of North America: Insights from GPS and late Holocene relative sea level data' Volume: 43 Year: 2016 _record_number: 21763 _uuid: fe939844-ef16-412c-afe6-42017bad20d5 reftype: Journal Article child_publication: /article/10.1002/2016GL068015 href: https://data.globalchange.gov/reference/fe939844-ef16-412c-afe6-42017bad20d5.yaml identifier: fe939844-ef16-412c-afe6-42017bad20d5 uri: /reference/fe939844-ef16-412c-afe6-42017bad20d5 - attrs: .reference_type: 0 Author: "Paltsev, Sergey\rReilly, John M.\rJacoby, Henry D.\rMorris, Jennifer F." DOI: 10.1016/j.eneco.2009.06.005 ISSN: 0140-9883 Issue: Supplement 2 Journal: Energy Economics Keywords: "Climate policy\rCap-and-trade\rGreenhouse gas emission reductions\rEnergy system\rEconomic cost" Pages: S235-S243 Title: The cost of climate policy in the United States Volume: 31 Year: 2009 _chapter: '["Ch. 27: Mitigation FINAL"]' _record_number: 4091 _uuid: fe9aa513-b084-48d0-b025-c1ec5f31e389 reftype: Journal Article child_publication: /article/10.1016/j.eneco.2009.06.005 href: https://data.globalchange.gov/reference/fe9aa513-b084-48d0-b025-c1ec5f31e389.yaml identifier: fe9aa513-b084-48d0-b025-c1ec5f31e389 uri: /reference/fe9aa513-b084-48d0-b025-c1ec5f31e389 - attrs: .reference_type: 0 Author: 'Perkins, S. E.; S. C. Lewis; A. D. King; L. V. Alexander' DOI: 10.1175/1520-0477-95.9.S1.1 Journal: Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society Pages: S34-S37 Title: 'Increased simulated risk of the hot Australian summer of 2012/13 due to anthropogenic activity as measured by heat wave frequency and intensity [in “Explaining Extreme Events of 2013 from a Climate Perspective”]' Volume: 95 (9) Year: 2014 _record_number: 20257 _uuid: fea0a36a-f898-489f-9e71-cf094f69350d reftype: Journal Article child_publication: /report/bams-explaining-extreme-events-2013-climate-perspective href: https://data.globalchange.gov/reference/fea0a36a-f898-489f-9e71-cf094f69350d.yaml identifier: fea0a36a-f898-489f-9e71-cf094f69350d uri: /reference/fea0a36a-f898-489f-9e71-cf094f69350d - attrs: .reference_type: 10 Author: "Stark, Melissa \rAllingham, Rory\rCalder, John\rLennartz-Walker, Tessa\rWai, Karly\rThompson, Peter\rZhao, Shengkai" Institution: Accenture Pages: 72 Title: 'Water and Shale Gas Development: Leveraging the US Experience in New Shale Developments' URL: http://www.accenture.com/SiteCollectionDocuments/PDF/Accenture-Water-And-Shale-Gas-Development.pdf Year: 2012 _chapter: '["Ch. 10: Energy Water Land FINAL"]' _record_number: 4282 _uuid: fea2851b-1ae2-4d79-a85d-89ea2996ee2f reftype: Report child_publication: /report/accenture-watershalegas-2012 href: https://data.globalchange.gov/reference/fea2851b-1ae2-4d79-a85d-89ea2996ee2f.yaml identifier: fea2851b-1ae2-4d79-a85d-89ea2996ee2f uri: /reference/fea2851b-1ae2-4d79-a85d-89ea2996ee2f - attrs: Accession Number: WOS:000257984500011 Alternate Title: Nat Geosci Author: 'Reay, D. S.; Dentener, F.; Smith, P.; Grace, J.; Feely, R. A.' Author Address: "Univ Edinburgh, Sch Geosci, Edinburgh EH9 3JN, Midlothian, Scotland\rCommiss European Communities, Joint Res Ctr, Inst Environm & Sustainabil, Climate Change Unit, I-21020 Ispra, Italy\rUniv Aberdeen, Sch Biol Sci, Inst Environm & Biol Sci, Aberdeen AB24 3UU, Scotland\rNOAA, Pacific Marine Environm Lab, Seattle, WA 98115 USA" DOI: 10.1038/ngeo230 Date: Jul ISSN: 1752-0894 Issue: 7 Journal: Nature Geoscience Keywords: litter decomposition; forest ecosystems; temperate forest; climate-change; terrestrial ecosystems; atmospheric nitrogen; soil respiration; european forests; organic-matter; harvard forest Language: English Pages: 430-437 Title: Global Nitrogen Deposition and Carbon Sinks Volume: 1 Year: 2008 _record_number: 2222 _uuid: fea7a023-a63a-4ed1-9d9e-4a28eba30446 reftype: Journal Article child_publication: /article/10.1038/ngeo230 href: https://data.globalchange.gov/reference/fea7a023-a63a-4ed1-9d9e-4a28eba30446.yaml identifier: fea7a023-a63a-4ed1-9d9e-4a28eba30446 uri: /reference/fea7a023-a63a-4ed1-9d9e-4a28eba30446 - attrs: Author: 'Smith, Stephen M.' DOI: 10.1656/045.016.0203 Date: 2009/07/01 ISSN: 1092-6194 Issue: 2 Journal: Northeastern Naturalist Pages: 183-208 Publisher: Eagle Hill Institute Title: 'Multi-decadal changes in salt marshes of Cape Cod, MA: Photographic analyses of vegetation loss, species shifts, and geomorphic change' Volume: 16 Year: 2009 _record_number: 26235 _uuid: feb05a46-1a26-4007-85d7-d455699e651d reftype: Journal Article child_publication: /article/10.1656/045.016.0203 href: https://data.globalchange.gov/reference/feb05a46-1a26-4007-85d7-d455699e651d.yaml identifier: feb05a46-1a26-4007-85d7-d455699e651d uri: /reference/feb05a46-1a26-4007-85d7-d455699e651d - attrs: .reference_type: 0 Abstract: 'Global warming seems to have paused over the past 15 years while the deep ocean takes the heat instead. The thermal capacity of the oceans far exceeds that of the atmosphere, so the oceans can store up to 90% of the heat buildup caused by increased concentrations of greenhouse gases such as carbon dioxide. Chen and Tung used observational data to trace the pathways of recent ocean heating. They conclude that the deep Atlantic and Southern Oceans, but not the Pacific, have absorbed the excess heat that would otherwise have fueled continued warming.Science, this issue p. 897 A vacillating global heat sink at intermediate ocean depths is associated with different climate regimes of surface warming under anthropogenic forcing: The latter part of the 20th century saw rapid global warming as more heat stayed near the surface. In the 21st century, surface warming slowed as more heat moved into deeper oceans. In situ and reanalyzed data are used to trace the pathways of ocean heat uptake. In addition to the shallow La Niña–like patterns in the Pacific that were the previous focus, we found that the slowdown is mainly caused by heat transported to deeper layers in the Atlantic and the Southern oceans, initiated by a recurrent salinity anomaly in the subpolar North Atlantic. Cooling periods associated with the latter deeper heat-sequestration mechanism historically lasted 20 to 35 years.%U http://science.sciencemag.org/content/sci/345/6199/897.full.pdf' Author: 'Chen, Xianyao; Tung, Ka-Kit' DOI: 10.1126/science.1254937 Issue: 6199 Journal: Science Pages: 897-903 Title: Varying planetary heat sink led to global-warming slowdown and acceleration Volume: 345 Year: 2014 _record_number: 20193 _uuid: feb25d58-a196-4c46-8e93-9bf13944df50 reftype: Journal Article child_publication: /article/10.1126/science.1254937 href: https://data.globalchange.gov/reference/feb25d58-a196-4c46-8e93-9bf13944df50.yaml identifier: feb25d58-a196-4c46-8e93-9bf13944df50 uri: /reference/feb25d58-a196-4c46-8e93-9bf13944df50 - attrs: .reference_type: 0 Author: 'Min, Seung-Ki; Zhang, Xuebin; Zwiers, Francis W.; Agnew, Tom' DOI: 10.1029/2008GL035725 Issue: 21 Journal: Geophysical Research Letters Keywords: climate change detection; Arctic sea ice; 1620 Climate dynamics; 1616 Climate variability; 1621 Cryospheric change; 1626 Global climate models Pages: L21701 Title: Human influence on Arctic sea ice detectable from early 1990s onwards Volume: 35 Year: 2008 _record_number: 20799 _uuid: feb5303e-2e2a-4476-9495-d74ffc174cf4 reftype: Journal Article child_publication: /article/10.1029/2008GL035725 href: https://data.globalchange.gov/reference/feb5303e-2e2a-4476-9495-d74ffc174cf4.yaml identifier: feb5303e-2e2a-4476-9495-d74ffc174cf4 uri: /reference/feb5303e-2e2a-4476-9495-d74ffc174cf4 - attrs: Author: 'Hutchins, D. A.; Fu, F. X.; Zhang, Y.; Warner, M. E.; Feng, Y.; Portune, K.; Bernhardt, P. W.; Mulholland, M. R.' DOI: 10.4319/lo.2007.52.4.1293 ISSN: 00243590 Issue: 4 Journal: Limnology and Oceanography Pages: 1293-1304 Title: 'CO2 Control of Trichodesmium N2 Fixation, Photosynthesis, Growth Rates, and Elemental Ratios: Implications For Past, Present, and Future Ocean Biogeochemistry' Volume: 52 Year: 2007 _record_number: 3620 _uuid: feb93ea3-e565-4eb1-8f76-5d75aff12261 reftype: Journal Article child_publication: ~ href: https://data.globalchange.gov/reference/feb93ea3-e565-4eb1-8f76-5d75aff12261.yaml identifier: feb93ea3-e565-4eb1-8f76-5d75aff12261 uri: /reference/feb93ea3-e565-4eb1-8f76-5d75aff12261 - attrs: .publisher: Public Library of Science .reference_type: 0 Abstract: ' Background

Tidal marshes will be threatened by increasing rates of sea-level rise (SLR) over the next century. Managers seek guidance on whether existing and restored marshes will be resilient under a range of potential future conditions, and on prioritizing marsh restoration and conservation activities.

 Methodology

Building upon established models, we developed a hybrid approach that involves a mechanistic treatment of marsh accretion dynamics and incorporates spatial variation at a scale relevant for conservation and restoration decision-making. We applied this model to San Francisco Bay, using best-available elevation data and estimates of sediment supply and organic matter accumulation developed for 15 Bay subregions. Accretion models were run over 100 years for 70 combinations of starting elevation, mineral sediment, organic matter, and SLR assumptions. Results were applied spatially to evaluate eight Bay-wide climate change scenarios.

 Principal Findings

Model results indicated that under a high rate of SLR (1.65 m/century), short-term restoration of diked subtidal baylands to mid marsh elevations (−0.2 m MHHW) could be achieved over the next century with sediment concentrations greater than 200 mg/L. However, suspended sediment concentrations greater than 300 mg/L would be required for 100-year mid marsh sustainability (i.e., no elevation loss). Organic matter accumulation had minimal impacts on this threshold. Bay-wide projections of marsh habitat area varied substantially, depending primarily on SLR and sediment assumptions. Across all scenarios, however, the model projected a shift in the mix of intertidal habitats, with a loss of high marsh and gains in low marsh and mudflats.

 Conclusions/Significance

Results suggest a bleak prognosis for long-term natural tidal marsh sustainability under a high-SLR scenario. To minimize marsh loss, we recommend conserving adjacent uplands for marsh migration, redistributing dredged sediment to raise elevations, and concentrating restoration efforts in sediment-rich areas. To assist land managers, we developed a web-based decision support tool (www.prbo.org/sfbayslr).

' Author: "Stralberg, Diana\rBrennan, Matthew\rCallaway, John C.\rWood, Julian K.\rSchile, Lisa M.\rJongsomjit, Dennis\rKelly, Maggi\rParker, V. Thomas\rCrooks, Stephen" DOI: 10.1371/journal.pone.0027388 Issue: 11 Journal: PLoS ONE Pages: e27388 Title: 'Evaluating tidal marsh sustainability in the face of sea-level rise: A hybrid modeling approach applied to San Francisco Bay' URL: http://www.plosone.org/article/fetchObject.action?uri=info%3Adoi%2F10.1371%2Fjournal.pone.0027388&representation=PDF Volume: 6 Year: 2011 _chapter: '["Ch. 25: Coastal Zone FINAL"]' _record_number: 3856 _uuid: febd979a-7e7b-4ae3-8fdc-d9aa62dea49c reftype: Journal Article child_publication: /article/10.1371/journal.pone.0027388 href: https://data.globalchange.gov/reference/febd979a-7e7b-4ae3-8fdc-d9aa62dea49c.yaml identifier: febd979a-7e7b-4ae3-8fdc-d9aa62dea49c uri: /reference/febd979a-7e7b-4ae3-8fdc-d9aa62dea49c - attrs: Author: 'Reimer, Janet J.; Vargas, Rodrigo; Smith, Stephen V.; Lara-Lara, Ruben; Gaxiola-Castro, Gilberto; Martín Hernández-Ayón, J.; Castro, Angel; Escoto-Rodriguez, Martin; Martínez-Osuna, Juan' DOI: 10.1002/jgrc.20319 ISSN: 2169-9291 Issue: 10 Journal: 'Journal of Geophysical Research: Oceans' Keywords: air-sea CO2 flux; upwelling; sea surface temperature; 4504 Air/sea interactions; 4217 Coastal processes; 4279 Upwelling and convergences; 4806 Carbon cycling Pages: 4795-4810 Title: Air-sea CO2 fluxes in the near-shore and intertidal zones influenced by the California Current Volume: 118 Year: 2013 _record_number: 2918 _uuid: fec2aec7-6fe2-467f-8c6a-3905f0da784f reftype: Journal Article child_publication: ~ href: https://data.globalchange.gov/reference/fec2aec7-6fe2-467f-8c6a-3905f0da784f.yaml identifier: fec2aec7-6fe2-467f-8c6a-3905f0da784f uri: /reference/fec2aec7-6fe2-467f-8c6a-3905f0da784f - attrs: .reference_type: 10 Author: 'Renken, Robert A.; Dixon, Joann; Koehmstedt, John; Ishman, Scott; Lietz, A.C.; Marella, Richard L.; Telis, Pamela; Rogers, Jeff; Memberg, Steven' ISBN: U.S. Geological Survey Circular 1275 Pages: 77 Place Published: 'Reston, VA' Publisher: U.S. Geological Survey Title: 'Impact of Anthropogenic Development on Coastal Ground-Water Hydrology in Southeastern Florida, 1900-2000' URL: http://sofia.usgs.gov/publications/circular/1275/cir1275_renken.pdf Year: 2005 _record_number: 18617 _uuid: fec5847d-912a-40a2-ab9d-af741496b80c reftype: Report child_publication: /report/usgs-circular-1275 href: https://data.globalchange.gov/reference/fec5847d-912a-40a2-ab9d-af741496b80c.yaml identifier: fec5847d-912a-40a2-ab9d-af741496b80c uri: /reference/fec5847d-912a-40a2-ab9d-af741496b80c