reference : Assessing the roles of temperature, precipitation, and ENSO in dengue re-emergence on the Texas-Mexico border region

JSON YAML text HTML Turtle N-Triples JSON Triples RDF+XML RDF+JSON Graphviz SVG
/reference/10d79a4e-fb2f-4f3a-ae97-6bd6c583da69
Bibliographic fields
reftype Journal Article
Abstract OBJECTIVE: The goal of this study was to assess linkages between microclimate and longer-term ENSO-related weather forcing on the week-to-week changes in dengue prevalence in Matamoros, Tamaulipas, Mexico, over a recent decade of dengue observations. MATERIAL AND METHODS: An auto-regressive model to evaluate the role of climatic factors (sea-surface temperature) and weather (maximum temperature, minimum temperature, precipitation) on dengue incidence over the period 1995-2005, was developed by conducting time-series analysis. RESULTS: Dengue incidence increased by 2.6% (95% CI: 0.2-5.1) one week after every 1 degree Celsius increase in weekly maximum temperature and increased 1.9% (95% CI: -0.1-3.9) two weeks after every 1 cm increase in weekly precipitation. Every 1 masculineC increase in sea surface temperatures (El Nino region 3.4 ) was followed by a 19.4% (95% CI: -4.7-43.5) increase in dengue incidence (18 weeks later). CONCLUSIONS: Climate and weather factors play a small but significant role in dengue transmission in Matamoros, Mexico. This study may provide baseline information for identifying potential longer-term effects of global climate change on dengue expected in the coming decades. To our knowledge, this is the first study to investigate the potential associations between climate and weather events and dengue incidence in this geographical area.
Author Brunkard, J. M.; Cifuentes, E.; Rothenberg, S. J.
DOI 10.1590/S0036-36342008000300006
Date May-Jun
ISSN 0036-3634
Issue 3
Journal Salud Publica Mex
Keywords Communicable Diseases, Emerging/*epidemiology; Dengue/*epidemiology; Humans; Mexico/epidemiology; *Models, Theoretical; Rain; Temperature; Texas/epidemiology; *Weather
Notes Brunkard, Joan M Cifuentes, Enrique Rothenberg, Stephen J eng Mexico 2008/06/03 09:00 Salud Publica Mex. 2008 May-Jun;50(3):227-34.
Pages 227-234
Title Assessing the roles of temperature, precipitation, and ENSO in dengue re-emergence on the Texas-Mexico border region
Volume 50
Year 2008
Bibliographic identifiers
.reference_type 0
_record_number 17994
_uuid 10d79a4e-fb2f-4f3a-ae97-6bd6c583da69