reference : Population projection of US adults with lifetime experience of depressive disorder by age and sex from year 2005 to 2050

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Bibliographic fields
reftype Journal Article
Abstract OBJECTIVE: To estimate the projected population of US adults aged 18 years or older with lifetime experience of doctor-diagnosed depressive disorder from 2005-2050. METHODS: Based on nationally representative survey data from the year 2006 Behavioral Risk Factor Surveillance Survey (BRFSS), prevalence estimates of doctor-diagnosed depression (minor or major, and dysthymia) were weighted to incorporate the complex sampling design and increase generalizability of the findings. The weighted prevalence data by age and sex in 2006 were then used to estimate the projected adult population with lifetime experience of depressive disorder based on the sex-specific US Census national population projections from year 2005-2050. RESULTS: In year 2006 the (weighted) prevalence of lifetime experience of depressive disorder was 15.7% among 188,292 respondents aged 18 years or older. Female prevalence was 20.6%, which was about twice as high as the prevalence among males (11%). From year 2005-2050, the total number of US adults with depressive disorder will increase from 33.9 million to 45.8 million, a 35% increase. The increase is projected to be greater in the elderly population aged >or=65 years (3.8-8.2, a 117% increase) than in the young population aged <65 years (30.1-37.7, a 25% increase). CONCLUSIONS: By year 2050, approximately 46 million US adults aged 18 years or older will be diagnosed with a depressive disorder. The increase will be more pronounced in adults aged 65 or older. Prevention, detection, and treatment of depressive disorders might attenuate the magnitude of this estimate.
Author Heo, M.; Murphy, C. F.; Fontaine, K. R.; Bruce, M. L.; Alexopoulos, G. S.
DOI 10.1002/gps.2061
Date Dec
ISSN 1099-1166
Issue 12
Journal International Journal of Geriatric Psychiatry
Keywords Adolescent; Age Distribution; Aged; Behavioral Risk Factor Surveillance System; Censuses; Depressive Disorder/*epidemiology/prevention & control; Female; *Forecasting; Humans; Male; Middle Aged; Prevalence; Risk Factors; Sex Distribution; United States/epidemiology; Young Adult
Language eng
Notes 1099-1166 Heo, Moonseong Murphy, Christopher F Fontaine, Kevin R Bruce, Martha L Alexopoulos, George S K23AR049720/AR/NIAMS NIH HHS/United States K23MH67702/MH/NIMH NIH HHS/United States P30MH068638/MH/NIMH NIH HHS/United States R01 AR053168/AR/NIAMS NIH HHS/United States R01AR053168/AR/NIAMS NIH HHS/United States R24MH64608/MH/NIMH NIH HHS/United States Journal Article Research Support, N.I.H., Extramural England Int J Geriatr Psychiatry. 2008 Dec;23(12):1266-70. doi: 10.1002/gps.2061.
Pages 1266-1270
Title Population projection of US adults with lifetime experience of depressive disorder by age and sex from year 2005 to 2050
Volume 23
Year 2008
Bibliographic identifiers
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_record_number 18101
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