reference : Atlantic hurricane trends linked to climate change

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Bibliographic fields
reftype Journal Article
Abstract Increases in key measures of Atlantic hurricane activity over recent decades are believed to reflect, in large part, contemporaneous increases in tropical Atlantic warmth [e.g., Emanuel, 2005]. Some recent studies [e.g., Goldenberg et al., 2001] have attributed these increases to a natural climate cycle termed the Atlantic Multidecadal Oscillation (AMO), while other studies suggest that climate change may instead be playing the dominant role [Emanuel, 2005; Webster et al., 2005]. ; ; Using a formal statistical analysis to separate the estimated influences of anthropogenic climate change from possible natural cyclical influences, this article presents results indicating that anthropogenic factors are likely responsible for long-term trends in tropical Atlantic warmth and tropical cyclone activity. In addition, this analysis indicates that late twentieth century tropospheric aerosol cooling has offset a substantial fraction of anthropogenic warming in the region and has thus likely suppressed even greater potential increases in tropical cyclone activity.;
Author Mann, M.E. K.A. Emanuel
DOI 10.1029/2006EO240001
ISSN 0096-3941
Issue 24
Journal Eos, Transactions, American Geophysical Union
Pages 233-244
Title Atlantic hurricane trends linked to climate change
Volume 87
Year 2006
Bibliographic identifiers
.reference_type 0
_chapter ["Ch. 2: Our Changing Climate FINAL"]
_record_number 1866
_uuid 3f236ffc-bac8-4ab7-8207-66d3c64e2dc6