reference : Observed heavy precipitation increase confirms theory and early models

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/reference/6a85cf26-c057-4c91-b60e-9d9e58bbc41a
Bibliographic fields
reftype Journal Article
Abstract Environmental phenomena are often observed first, and then explained quantitatively. The complexity of processes, the range of scales involved, and the lack of first principles make it challenging to predict conditions beyond the ones observed. Here we use the intensification of heavy precipitation as a counterexample, where seemingly complex and potentially computationally intractable processes manifest themselves to first order in simple ways: heavy precipitation intensification is now emerging in the observed record across many regions of the world, confirming both theory and model predictions made decades ago. As the anthropogenic climate signal strengthens, there will be more opportunities to test climate predictions for other variables against observations and across a hierarchy of different models and theoretical concepts.
Author Fischer, E. M.; Knutti, R.
DOI 10.1038/nclimate3110
Date 11//print
ISSN 1758-678X
Issue 11
Journal Nature Climate Change
Pages 986-991
Title Observed heavy precipitation increase confirms theory and early models
Volume 6
Year 2016
Bibliographic identifiers
.publisher Nature Publishing Group, a division of Macmillan Publishers Limited. All Rights Reserved.
.reference_type 0
_record_number 21055
_uuid 6a85cf26-c057-4c91-b60e-9d9e58bbc41a