reference : Atmospheric warming and the amplification of precipitation extremes

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Bibliographic fields
reftype Journal Article
Abstract Climate models suggest that extreme precipitation events will become more common in an anthropogenically warmed climate. However, observational limitations have hindered a direct evaluation of model-projected changes in extreme precipitation. We used satellite observations and model simulations to examine the response of tropical precipitation events to naturally driven changes in surface temperature and atmospheric moisture content. These observations reveal a distinct link between rainfall extremes and temperature, with heavy rain events increasing during warm periods and decreasing during cold periods. Furthermore, the observed amplification of rainfall extremes is found to be larger than that predicted by models, implying that projections of future changes in rainfall extremes in response to anthropogenic global warming may be underestimated.
Author Allan, Richard P.; Soden, Brian J.
DOI 10.1126/science.1160787
Issue 5895
Journal Science
Pages 1481-1484
Title Atmospheric warming and the amplification of precipitation extremes
Volume 321
Year 2008
Bibliographic identifiers
_record_number 24286
_uuid 6acb342f-f144-4fad-ae46-a6ff80f812cf