reference : Climate change and interpersonal violence: A “global” estimate and regional inequities

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/reference/736eb62c-3f9f-48fc-b7d0-189ff408aef2
Bibliographic fields
reftype Journal Article
Abstract This study estimates the predicted impact of climate change on levels of violence in a sample of 57 countries. We sample western and non-western countries and perform a multilevel ARFIMA regression to examine if warmer temperatures are associated with higher levels of homicide. Our results indicate that each degree Celsius increase in annual temperatures is associated with a nearly 6 % average increase in homicides. Regional variation in this predicted effect is detected, for example, with no apparent effects in former Soviet countries and far stronger effects found in Africa. Such variation indicates that climate change may acutely increase violence in areas that already are affected by higher levels of homicides and other social dislocations.
Author Mares, Dennis M.; Moffett, Kenneth W.
DOI 10.1007/s10584-015-1566-0
Date March 01
ISSN 1573-1480
Issue 2
Journal Climatic Change
Pages 297-310
Title Climate change and interpersonal violence: A “global” estimate and regional inequities
Type of Article journal article
Volume 135
Year 2016
Bibliographic identifiers
_record_number 24076
_uuid 736eb62c-3f9f-48fc-b7d0-189ff408aef2