reference : Comparing climate projections to observations up to 2011

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Bibliographic fields
reftype Journal Article
Abstract We analyse global temperature and sea-level data for the past few decades and compare them to projections published in the third and fourth assessment reports of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC). The results show that global temperature continues to increase in good agreement with the best estimates of the IPCC, especially if we account for the effects of short-term variability due to the El NiƱo/Southern Oscillation, volcanic activity and solar variability. The rate of sea-level rise of the past few decades, on the other hand, is greater than projected by the IPCC models. This suggests that IPCC sea-level projections for the future may also be biased low.
Author Rahmstorf, S. G. Foster A. Cazenave
DOI 10.1088/1748-9326/7/4/044035
ISSN 1748-9326
Issue 4
Journal Environmental Research Letters
Pages 044035
Title Comparing climate projections to observations up to 2011
Volume 7
Year 2012
Bibliographic identifiers
.reference_type 0
_chapter ["Ch. 2: Our Changing Climate FINAL"]
_record_number 2577
_uuid ba174f74-8a34-40a1-8314-dd0fa8d77f2e