reference : Estimating heat wave-related mortality in Europe using singular spectrum analysis

JSON YAML text HTML Turtle N-Triples JSON Triples RDF+XML RDF+JSON Graphviz SVG
/reference/c97a2716-9162-4e1d-ad39-ca1589a8d760.html
Bibliographic fields
reftype Journal Article
Abstract Estimating the impact of heat waves on human mortality is key when it comes to the design of effective climate change adaptation measures. As the usual approach—relying on detailed health data in form of hospital records—is not feasible for many countries, a different methodology is needed. This work presents such an approach. Based on singular spectrum analysis and using monthly mortality rates—partly ranging back to 1960—it derives excess mortality estimates for 27 European countries. Excess mortality is then regressed against a heat wave measure in order to assess the health impacts of extreme heat. The analysis demonstrates that many European countries are severely affected by heat waves: On average, 0.61%—and up to 1.14% in case of Portugal—of all deaths are caused by extreme heat events. This finding confirms the understanding that climate change is a major environmental risk to public health: In the 27 examined European countries, over 28,000 people die every year due to exposure to extreme heat.
Author Merte, Steffen
DOI 10.1007/s10584-017-1937-9
Date June 01
ISSN 1573-1480
Issue 3
Journal Climatic Change
Pages 321-330
Title Estimating heat wave-related mortality in Europe using singular spectrum analysis
Type of Article journal article
Volume 142
Year 2017
Bibliographic identifiers
_record_number 23562
_uuid c97a2716-9162-4e1d-ad39-ca1589a8d760