reference : National housing and impervious surface scenarios for integrated climate impact assessments

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/reference/ec43666d-2895-4fe3-a0f7-23d11ab8b750
Bibliographic fields
reftype Journal Article
Abstract Understanding the impacts of climate change on people and the environment requires an understanding of the dynamics of both climate and land use/land cover changes. A range of future climate scenarios is available for the conterminous United States that have been developed based on widely used international greenhouse gas emissions storylines. Climate scenarios derived from these emissions storylines have not been matched with logically consistent land use/cover maps for the United States. This gap is a critical barrier to conducting effective integrated assessments. This study develops novel national scenarios of housing density and impervious surface cover that are logically consistent with emissions storylines. Analysis of these scenarios suggests that combinations of climate and land use/cover can be important in determining environmental conditions regulated under the Clean Air and Clean Water Acts. We found significant differences in patterns of habitat loss and the distribution of potentially impaired watersheds among scenarios, indicating that compact development patterns can reduce habitat loss and the number of impaired watersheds. These scenarios are also associated with lower global greenhouse gas emissions and, consequently, the potential to reduce both the drivers of anthropogenic climate change and the impacts of changing conditions. The residential housing and impervious surface datasets provide a substantial first step toward comprehensive national land use/land cover scenarios, which have broad applicability for integrated assessments as these data and tools are publicly available.
Accession Number 21078956
Author Bierwagen, B. G.; Theobald, D. M.; Pyke, C. R.; Choate, A.; Groth, P.; Thomas, J. V.; Morefield, P.
Author Address Global Change Research Program, National Center for Environmental Assessment, Office of Research and Development, US Environmental Protection Agency, 1200 Pennsylvania Avenue NW, Washington, DC 20460, USA.
DOI 10.1073/pnas.1002096107
Database Provider CCII PubMed NLM
Date Dec 7
EPub Date 2010/11/17
ISSN 1091-6490 (Electronic) 0027-8424 (Linking)
Issue 49
Journal Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America
Keywords Air; Climate Change; Ecosystem; Environmental Remediation/legislation & jurisprudence/trends; Forecasting; Fresh Water; Greenhouse Effect/legislation & jurisprudence; Humans; Models, Theoretical; Ownership/ trends; Population Density; Public Policy/legislation & jurisprudence; United States; Vehicle Emissions
Language eng
NIHMSID NIEHS
Notes Bierwagen, Britta G Theobald, David M Pyke, Christopher R Choate, Anne Groth, Philip Thomas, John V Morefield, Philip Research Support, U.S. Gov't, Non-P.H.S. United States Proc Natl Acad Sci U S A. 2010 Dec 7;107(49):20887-92. doi: 10.1073/pnas.1002096107. Epub 2010 Nov 15.
PMCID 3000269
Pages 20887-92
Research Notes CCII Unique
Title National housing and impervious surface scenarios for integrated climate impact assessments
Volume 107
Year 2010
Bibliographic identifiers
_record_number 6259
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