reference : Anthropogenic and natural causes of climate change

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Bibliographic fields
reftype Journal Article
Abstract We test for causality between radiative forcing and temperature using multivariate time series models and Granger causality tests that are robust to the non-stationary (trending) nature of global climate data. We find that both natural and anthropogenic forcings cause temperature change and also that temperature causes greenhouse gas concentration changes. Although the effects of greenhouse gases and volcanic forcing are robust across model specifications, we cannot detect any effect of black carbon on temperature, the effect of changes in solar irradiance is weak, and the effect of anthropogenic sulfate aerosols may be only around half that usually attributed to them.
Author Stern, David I.; Kaufmann, Robert K.
DOI 10.1007/s10584-013-1007-x
Issue 1
Journal Climatic Change
Pages 257-269
Title Anthropogenic and natural causes of climate change
Volume 122
Year 2014
Bibliographic identifiers
.reference_type 0
_record_number 20831
_uuid 51154582-e2f1-4ea6-9850-9aae42127ffe