reference : Global warming–induced changes in El Niño teleconnections over the North Pacific and North America

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/report/climate-science-special-report/chapter/circulation-variability/reference/0cc23089-0001-453b-b3f7-99b53325f44b
Bibliographic fields
reftype Journal Article
Abstract El Niño–Southern Oscillation (ENSO) induces climate anomalies around the globe. Atmospheric general circulation model simulations are used to investigate how ENSO-induced teleconnection patterns during boreal winter might change in response to global warming in the Pacific–North American sector. As models disagree on changes in the amplitude and spatial pattern of ENSO in response to global warming, for simplicity the same sea surface temperature (SST) pattern of ENSO is prescribed before and after the climate warming. In a warmer climate, precipitation anomalies intensify and move eastward over the equatorial Pacific during El Niño because the enhanced mean SST warming reduces the barrier to deep convection in the eastern basin. Associated with the eastward shift of tropical convective anomalies, the ENSO-forced Pacific–North American (PNA) teleconnection pattern moves eastward and intensifies under the climate warming. By contrast, the PNA mode of atmospheric internal variability remains largely unchanged in pattern, suggesting the importance of tropical convection in shifting atmospheric teleconnections. As the ENSO-induced PNA pattern shifts eastward, rainfall anomalies are expected to intensify on the west coast of North America, and the El Niño–induced surface warming to expand eastward and occupy all of northern North America. The spatial pattern of the mean SST warming affects changes in ENSO teleconnections. The teleconnection changes are larger with patterned mean warming than in an idealized case where the spatially uniform warming is prescribed in the mean state. The results herein suggest that the eastward-shifted PNA pattern is a robust change to be expected in the future, independent of the uncertainty in changes of ENSO itself.
Author Zhen-Qiang Zhou; Shang-Ping Xie; Xiao-Tong Zheng; Qinyu Liu; Hai Wang
DOI 10.1175/JCLI-D-14-00254.1
Issue 24
Journal Journal of Climate
Keywords Teleconnections,ENSO,Greenhouse gases,Pacific-North American pattern/oscillation,Climate change
Pages 9050-9064
Title Global warming–induced changes in El Niño teleconnections over the North Pacific and North America
Volume 27
Year 2014
Bibliographic identifiers
.reference_type 0
_record_number 19664
_uuid 0cc23089-0001-453b-b3f7-99b53325f44b