Free to use with credit to the original figure source.
confidence---likelihood
2
Confidence / Likelihood
Confidence levels and likelihood statements used in the report. (Figure source: adapted from USGCRP 2016 and IPCC 2013; likelihoods use the broader range from the IPCC assessment). As an example, regarding “likely,” a 66%–100% probability can be interpreted as a likelihood of greater than 2 out of 3 chances for the statement to be certain or true. Not all likelihoods are used in the report.