---
- attrs:
    .reference_type: 0
    Author: 'Fawcett, Allen A.; Iyer, Gokul C.; Clarke, Leon E.; Edmonds, James A.; Hultman, Nathan E.; McJeon, Haewon C.; Rogelj, Joeri; Schuler, Reed; Alsalam, Jameel; Asrar, Ghassem R.; Creason, Jared; Jeong, Minji; McFarland, James; Mundra, Anupriya; Shi, Wenjing'
    DOI: 10.1126/science.aad5761
    Issue: 6265
    Journal: Science
    Pages: 1168-1169
    Title: Can Paris pledges avert severe climate change?
    Volume: 350
    Year: 2015
    _record_number: 20049
    _uuid: 2c0a368b-b699-4640-98c9-7799c9e6b18a
    reftype: Journal Article
  child_publication: /article/10.1126/science.aad5761
  href: https://data.globalchange.gov/reference/2c0a368b-b699-4640-98c9-7799c9e6b18a.yaml
  identifier: 2c0a368b-b699-4640-98c9-7799c9e6b18a
  uri: /reference/2c0a368b-b699-4640-98c9-7799c9e6b18a
- attrs:
    .reference_type: 0
    Author: "Sanderson, Benjamin M.; O'Neill, Brian C.; Tebaldi, Claudia"
    DOI: 10.1002/2016GL069563
    Issue: 13
    Journal: Geophysical Research Letters
    Keywords: emissions; climate; targets; 1622 Earth system modeling; 3305 Climate change and variability; 3320 Idealized model; 3333 Model calibration; 6309 Decision making under uncertainty
    Pages: 7133-7142
    Title: What would it take to achieve the Paris temperature targets?
    Volume: 43
    Year: 2016
    _record_number: 20058
    _uuid: bf91f878-c82a-409b-8d96-e21320366a69
    reftype: Journal Article
  child_publication: /article/10.1002/2016GL069563
  href: https://data.globalchange.gov/reference/bf91f878-c82a-409b-8d96-e21320366a69.yaml
  identifier: bf91f878-c82a-409b-8d96-e21320366a69
  uri: /reference/bf91f878-c82a-409b-8d96-e21320366a69
- attrs:
    .publisher: 'Nature Publishing Group, a division of Macmillan Publishers Limited. All Rights Reserved.'
    .reference_type: 0
    Abstract: 'The Paris climate agreement aims at holding global warming to well below 2 degrees Celsius and to “pursue efforts” to limit it to 1.5 degrees Celsius. To accomplish this, countries have submitted Intended Nationally Determined Contributions (INDCs) outlining their post-2020 climate action. Here we assess the effect of current INDCs on reducing aggregate greenhouse gas emissions, its implications for achieving the temperature objective of the Paris climate agreement, and potential options for overachievement. The INDCs collectively lower greenhouse gas emissions compared to where current policies stand, but still imply a median warming of 2.6–3.1 degrees Celsius by 2100. More can be achieved, because the agreement stipulates that targets for reducing greenhouse gas emissions are strengthened over time, both in ambition and scope. Substantial enhancement or over-delivery on current INDCs by additional national, sub-national and non-state actions is required to maintain a reasonable chance of meeting the target of keeping warming well below 2 degrees Celsius.'
    Author: 'Rogelj, Joeri; den Elzen, Michel; Höhne, Niklas; Fransen, Taryn; Fekete, Hanna; Winkler, Harald; Schaeffer, Roberto; Sha, Fu; Riahi, Keywan; Meinshausen, Malte'
    DOI: 10.1038/nature18307
    Date: 06/30/print
    Issue: 7609
    Journal: Nature
    Pages: 631-639
    Title: Paris Agreement climate proposals need a boost to keep warming well below 2 °C
    Volume: 534
    Year: 2016
    _record_number: 20319
    _uuid: c34c20b8-6d8a-41ba-8f34-1ed561aceeb8
    reftype: Journal Article
  child_publication: /article/10.1038/nature18307
  href: https://data.globalchange.gov/reference/c34c20b8-6d8a-41ba-8f34-1ed561aceeb8.yaml
  identifier: c34c20b8-6d8a-41ba-8f34-1ed561aceeb8
  uri: /reference/c34c20b8-6d8a-41ba-8f34-1ed561aceeb8
- attrs:
    .reference_type: 16
    Author: Climate Action Tracker
    Number: 9/16/2016
    Title: Climate Action Tracker
    URL: http://climateactiontracker.org/global.html
    Year: 2016
    _record_number: 20617
    _uuid: e210c59e-516f-4f73-9649-5b8b407e7b4f
    reftype: Web Page
  child_publication: /webpage/4414bf59-fc54-44dc-82e9-8b2eca200e1e
  href: https://data.globalchange.gov/reference/e210c59e-516f-4f73-9649-5b8b407e7b4f.yaml
  identifier: e210c59e-516f-4f73-9649-5b8b407e7b4f
  uri: /reference/e210c59e-516f-4f73-9649-5b8b407e7b4f