Figure : projected-global-temperatures-cssr

Projected Global Temperatures

Figure 1.4

Cooperative Institute for Climate and Satellites - NC
Kenneth E. Kunkel

This figure appears in chapter 1 of the Climate Science Special Report: The Fourth National Climate Assessment: Volume I report.

Multimodel simulated time series from 1900 to 2100 for the change in global annual mean surface temperature relative to 1901–1960 for a range of the Representative Concentration Pathways (RCPs; see Ch. 4: Projections for more information). These scenarios account for the uncertainty in future emissions from human activities (as analyzed with the 20+ models from around the world used in the most recent international assessmentf03117be-ccfe-4f88-b70a-ffd4351b8190 ). The mean (solid lines) and associated uncertainties (shading, showing ±2 standard deviations [5%–95%] across the distribution of individual models based on the average over 2081–2100) are given for all of the RCP scenarios as colored vertical bars. The numbers of models used to calculate the multimodel means are indicated. (Figure source: adapted from Walsh et al. 2014a6a312ba-6fd1-4006-9a60-45112db52190 ).

Free to use with credit to the original figure source.

This figure was created on August 30, 2016.

This figure was submitted on October 25, 2017.

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