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@prefix dcterms: <http://purl.org/dc/terms/> .
@prefix xsd: <http://www.w3.org/2001/XMLSchema#> .
@prefix gcis: <http://data.globalchange.gov/gcis.owl#> .
@prefix cito: <http://purl.org/spar/cito/> .
@prefix biro: <http://purl.org/spar/biro/> .

<https://data.globalchange.gov/report/climate-science-special-report/chapter/sea-level-rise/finding/key-finding-12-3>
   dcterms:identifier "key-finding-12-3";
   gcis:findingNumber "12.3"^^xsd:string;
   gcis:findingStatement "Relative sea level (RSL) rise in this century will vary along U.S. coastlines due, in part, to changes in Earth’s gravitational field and rotation from melting of land ice, changes in ocean circulation, and vertical land motion (<em>very high confidence</em>). For almost all future GMSL rise scenarios, RSL rise is <em>likely</em> to be greater than the global average in the U.S. Northeast and the western Gulf of Mexico. In intermediate and low GMSL rise scenarios, RSL rise is <em>likely</em> to be less than the global average in much of the Pacific Northwest and Alaska. For high GMSL rise scenarios, RSL rise is <em>likely</em> to be higher than the global average along all U.S. coastlines outside Alaska. Almost all U.S. coastlines experience more than global-mean sea-level rise in response to Antarctic ice loss, and thus would be particularly affected under extreme GMSL rise scenarios involving substantial Antarctic mass loss (<em>high confidence</em>)."^^xsd:string;
   gcis:isFindingOf <https://data.globalchange.gov/report/climate-science-special-report/chapter/sea-level-rise>;
   gcis:isFindingOf <https://data.globalchange.gov/report/climate-science-special-report>;

## Properties of the finding:
   gcis:findingProcess "The part of the key finding regarding the existence of geographic variability is based upon a broader observational, modeling, and theoretical literature. The specific differences are based upon the scenarios described by the Interagency Sea Level Rise Task Force."^^xsd:string;
   
   gcis:descriptionOfEvidenceBase "The processes that cause geographic variability in RSL change are reviewed by Kopp et al.  Long tide gauge data sets show the RSL rise caused by vertical land motion due to glacio-isostatic adjustment and fluid withdrawal along many U.S. coastlines. These observations are corroborated by glacio-isostatic adjustment models, by GPS observations, and by geological data (e.g., Engelhart and Horton 2012). The physics of the gravitational, rotational and flexural “static-equilibrium fingerprint” response of sea level to redistribution of mass from land ice to the oceans is well established. GCM studies indicate the potential for a Gulf Stream contribution to sea level rise in the U.S. Northeast. Kopp et al. and Slangen et al. accounted for land motion (only glacial isostatic adjustment for Slangen et al.), fingerprint, and ocean dynamic responses. Comparing projections of local RSL change and GMSL change in these studies indicate that local rise is likely to be greater than the global average along the U.S. Atlantic and Gulf Coasts and less than the global average in most of the Pacific Northwest. Sea level rise projections in this report are developed by an Interagency Sea Level Rise Task Force."^^xsd:string;
   
   gcis:assessmentOfConfidenceBasedOnEvidence "Because of the enumerated physical processes, there is <em>very high</em> confidence that RSL change will vary across U.S. coastlines. There is <em>high</em> confidence in the likely differences of RSL change from GMSL change under different levels of GMSL change, based on projections incorporating the different relevant processes."^^xsd:string;
   
   gcis:newInformationAndRemainingUncertainties "Since NCA3, multiple authors have produced global or regional studies synthesizing the major process that causes global and local sea level change to diverge. The largest sources of uncertainty in the geographic variability of sea level change are ocean dynamic sea level change and, for those regions where sea level fingerprints for Greenland and Antarctica differ from the global mean in different directions, the relative contributions of these two sources to projected sea level change."^^xsd:string;

   a gcis:Finding .

## This finding cites the following entities:


<https://data.globalchange.gov/report/climate-science-special-report/chapter/sea-level-rise/finding/key-finding-12-3>
   cito:cites <https://data.globalchange.gov/article/10.1038/ngeo462>;
   biro:references <https://data.globalchange.gov/reference/0e116266-7679-409f-b1d6-99c31edfcd9e>.

<https://data.globalchange.gov/report/climate-science-special-report/chapter/sea-level-rise/finding/key-finding-12-3>
   cito:cites <https://data.globalchange.gov/article/10.1111/j.1365-246X.1976.tb01252.x>;
   biro:references <https://data.globalchange.gov/reference/1823b427-f097-418f-9d4b-c2f7e9291874>.

<https://data.globalchange.gov/report/climate-science-special-report/chapter/sea-level-rise/finding/key-finding-12-3>
   cito:cites <https://data.globalchange.gov/article/10.1002/2014EF000239>;
   biro:references <https://data.globalchange.gov/reference/38924fa0-a0dd-44c9-a2a0-366ca610b280>.

<https://data.globalchange.gov/report/climate-science-special-report/chapter/sea-level-rise/finding/key-finding-12-3>
   cito:cites <https://data.globalchange.gov/article/10.1016/j.quascirev.2011.09.013>;
   biro:references <https://data.globalchange.gov/reference/427648bc-547c-4161-8d97-14ec813adcc8>.

<https://data.globalchange.gov/report/climate-science-special-report/chapter/sea-level-rise/finding/key-finding-12-3>
   cito:cites <https://data.globalchange.gov/article/10.2112/JCOASTRES-D-12-00175.1>;
   biro:references <https://data.globalchange.gov/reference/4c41b38a-7d35-470c-82cb-fec14a4307cf>.

<https://data.globalchange.gov/report/climate-science-special-report/chapter/sea-level-rise/finding/key-finding-12-3>
   cito:cites <https://data.globalchange.gov/article/10.1111/j.1365-246X.2011.05090.x>;
   biro:references <https://data.globalchange.gov/reference/7c979a1d-a012-4e44-8824-fa4a44c3736a>.

<https://data.globalchange.gov/report/climate-science-special-report/chapter/sea-level-rise/finding/key-finding-12-3>
   cito:cites <https://data.globalchange.gov/article/10.1002/2014GL061356>;
   biro:references <https://data.globalchange.gov/reference/9a5f3738-4283-4df2-adb6-8a0cac785d22>.

<https://data.globalchange.gov/report/climate-science-special-report/chapter/sea-level-rise/finding/key-finding-12-3>
   cito:cites <https://data.globalchange.gov/article/10.1002/2013GL057992>;
   biro:references <https://data.globalchange.gov/reference/9d9fd9a7-2def-4cf2-8e2e-2c23423f0a6e>.

<https://data.globalchange.gov/report/climate-science-special-report/chapter/sea-level-rise/finding/key-finding-12-3>
   cito:cites <https://data.globalchange.gov/webpage/5626d40a-adb7-457f-8db8-09fa002ad080>;
   biro:references <https://data.globalchange.gov/reference/ab69428a-34a4-412f-8c85-b3bb8043509c>.

<https://data.globalchange.gov/report/climate-science-special-report/chapter/sea-level-rise/finding/key-finding-12-3>
   cito:cites <https://data.globalchange.gov/report/global-regional-sea-level-rise-scenarios-united-states>;
   biro:references <https://data.globalchange.gov/reference/c66bf5a9-a6d7-4043-ad99-db0ae6ae562c>.

<https://data.globalchange.gov/report/climate-science-special-report/chapter/sea-level-rise/finding/key-finding-12-3>
   cito:cites <https://data.globalchange.gov/article/10.7282/T37W6F4P%20>;
   biro:references <https://data.globalchange.gov/reference/e8f60819-839e-4772-8a49-7c57d9c53424>.



<https://data.globalchange.gov/report/climate-science-special-report/chapter/sea-level-rise/finding/key-finding-12-3>
   prov:wasDerivedFrom <https://data.globalchange.gov/report/climate-science-special-report/chapter/front-matter/figure/confidence---likelihood>.