table : interpretations-interagency-gmsl-rise-scenarios

Interpretations of the Interagency GMSL rise scenarios

table 12.3


This table appears in chapter 12 of the Climate Science Special Report: The Fourth National Climate Assessment: Volume I report.

This table is composed of this array :
f85a83b2 (14x2)
Scenario Interpretation
Low Continuing current rate of GMSL rise, as calculated since 1993
Low end of very likely range under RCP2.6
Intermediate-Low Modest increase in rate
Middle of likely range under RCP2.6
Low end of likely range under RCP4.5
Low end of very likely range under RCP8.5
Intermediate High end of very likely range under RCP4.5
High end of likely range under RCP8.5
Middle of likely range under RCP4.5 when accounting for possible ice cliff instabilities
Intermediate-High Slightly above high end of very likely range under RCP8.5
Middle of likely range under RCP8.5 when accounting for possible ice cliff instabilities
High High end of very likely range under RCP8.5 when accounting for possible ice cliff instabilities
Extreme Consistent with estimates of physically possible “worst case”
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