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table : probability-exceeding-interagency-gmsl-scenarios
Probability of exceeding the Interagency GMSL scenarios
table 12.4
This table appears in chapter 12 of the Climate Science Special Report: The Fourth National Climate Assessment: Volume I report.
Probability of exceeding the Interagency GMSL scenarios in 2100 per Kopp et al. New evidence regarding the Antarctic ice sheet, if sustained, may significantly increase the probability of the intermediate-high, high, and extreme scenarios, particularly under the higher scenario (RCP8.5), but these results have not yet been incorporated into a probabilistic analysis.
This table is composed of this array :| Scenario | RCP2.6 | RCP4.5 | RCP8.5 |
| Low | 94% | 98% | 100% |
| Intermediate-Low | 49% | 73% | 96% |
| Intermediate | 2% | 3% | 17% |
| Intermediate-High | 0.4% | 0.5% | 1.3% |
| High | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.3% |
| Extreme | 0.05% | 0.05% | 0.1% |
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