table : projected-changes-annual-average-temperature-nca-regions

Projected changes in annual average temperature (°F) for each NCA region in the contiguous United States

table 6.4


This table appears in chapter 6 of the Climate Science Special Report: The Fourth National Climate Assessment: Volume I report.

Projected changes in annual average temperature (°F) for each National Climate Assessment region in the contiguous United States. Changes are the difference between the average for mid-century (2036–2065) or late-century (2071–2100) and the average for near-present (1976–2005) under the higher scenario (RCP8.5) and a lower scenario (RCP4.5). Estimates are derived from 32 climate models that were statistically downscaled using the Localized Constructed Analogs technique. Increases are statistically significant in all areas (that is, more than 50% of the models show a statistically significant change, and more than 67% agree on the sign of the change ).

This table is composed of this array :
57bd6a57 (8x5)
NCA Region RCP4.5 Mid-Century (2036-2065) RCP8.5 Mid-Century (2036-2065) RCP4.5 Late-Century (2071-2100) RCP8.5 Late-Century (2071-2100)
Northeast 3.98°F 5.09°F 5.27°F 9.11°F
Southeast 3.40°F 4.30°F 4.43°F 7.72°F
Midwest 4.21°F 5.29°F 5.57°F 9.49°F
Great Plains North 4.05°F 5.10°F 5.44°F 9.37°F
Great Plains South 3.62°F 4.61°F 4.78°F 8.44°F
Southwest 3.72°F 4.80°F 4.93°F 8.65°F
Northwest 3.66°F 4.67°F 4.99°F 8.51°F
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