finding 4.1 : weather-affects-energy-production

Extreme weather events are affecting energy production and delivery facilities, causing supply disruptions of varying lengths and magnitudes and affecting other infrastructure that depends on energy supply. The frequency and intensity of certain types of extreme weather events are expected to change.



This finding is from chapter 4 of Climate Change Impacts in the United States: The Third National Climate Assessment.

Process for developing key messages: The author team met bi-weekly by teleconference during the months of March through July 2012. Early in the development of key messages and a chapter outline, the authors reviewed all of the four dozen relevant technical input reports that were received in response to the Federal Register solicitation for public input. Selected authors participated in a U.S. Department of Energy (DOE) sponsored workshop on Energy Supply and Use, December 29-30, 2011 in Washington, D.C. The workshop was organized specifically to inform a DOE technical input report and this National Climate Assessment and to engage stakeholders in this process. The authors selected key messages based on the risk and likelihood of impacts, associated consequences, and available evidence. Relevance to decision support within the energy sector was also an important criterion. The U.S. maintains extensive data on energy supply and use. The Energy Information Administration (EIA) of the U.S. Department of Energy is a primary organization in this activity, and data with quality control, quality assurance, and expert review are available through EIA Web pages (for example, EIA 2012, EIA 20132af3709d-81eb-48b7-9183-afc6c27015ea 9f0adb9b-5a9c-4fc2-8df7-ebed4322e185).

Description of evidence base: A series of NCA workshops reviewed potential influences of climate change thus far on the frequency and intensity of certain types of extreme events.f03c8590-8b20-442a-a603-dee6c3bf70e1 Numerous past extreme events demonstrate damage to energy facilities and infrastructure. Data assembled and reviewed by the Federal Government summarize typical costs associated with damage to energy facilities by extreme events.8949c886-8b4a-4845-9acf-1047f829c0ea State and regional reports as well as data provided by public utilities document specific examples.f0803451-5a89-474a-974f-99c13fdc725d 207ddc2e-343a-4017-83e1-9ac70c02f723 f9a98705-cc7b-4332-aea0-f91373199c86 5e6d87ec-ca2c-4a4d-8dbf-e6669f8c4677 Damage to Gulf Coast energy facilities and infrastructure by Hurricanes Katrina and Rita in 2005 provides excellent examples to support this key message.733c1cfe-178e-401d-8f80-b8cec0bbc6b3 207ddc2e-343a-4017-83e1-9ac70c02f723 Wildfire also damages transmission grids.f9a98705-cc7b-4332-aea0-f91373199c86 The authors benefited from Agency-sponsored technical input reports summarizing relevant data and information on energy supply and use as well as urban systems and infrastructure.f0803451-5a89-474a-974f-99c13fdc725d 3c34748e-be5d-4831-896e-70cbae0f0d22 6ac1aea5-6b76-46e1-822e-664cb3d11e9a A number of other technical input reports were relevant as well. These were reviewed carefully, particularly with regard to the identification of key messages.

New information and remaining uncertainties: A series of NCA workshops reviewed potential influences of climate change thus far on the frequency and intensity of certain types of extreme events.f03c8590-8b20-442a-a603-dee6c3bf70e1 Numerous past extreme events demonstrate damage to energy facilities and infrastructure. Data assembled and reviewed by the Federal Government summarize typical costs associated with damage to energy facilities by extreme events.8949c886-8b4a-4845-9acf-1047f829c0ea State and regional reports as well as data provided by public utilities document specific examples.f0803451-5a89-474a-974f-99c13fdc725d 207ddc2e-343a-4017-83e1-9ac70c02f723 f9a98705-cc7b-4332-aea0-f91373199c86 5e6d87ec-ca2c-4a4d-8dbf-e6669f8c4677 Damage to Gulf Coast energy facilities and infrastructure by Hurricanes Katrina and Rita in 2005 provides excellent examples to support this key message.733c1cfe-178e-401d-8f80-b8cec0bbc6b3 207ddc2e-343a-4017-83e1-9ac70c02f723 Wildfire also damages transmission grids.f9a98705-cc7b-4332-aea0-f91373199c86 The authors benefited from Agency-sponsored technical input reports summarizing relevant data and information on energy supply and use as well as urban systems and infrastructure.f0803451-5a89-474a-974f-99c13fdc725d 3c34748e-be5d-4831-896e-70cbae0f0d22 6ac1aea5-6b76-46e1-822e-664cb3d11e9a A number of other technical input reports were relevant as well. These were reviewed carefully, particularly with regard to the identification of key messages.

Assessment of confidence based on evidence: High. There is high consensus with moderate evidence that extreme weather events associated with climate change will increase disruptions of energy infrastructure and services in some locations.

You are viewing /report/nca3/chapter/energy-supply-and-use/finding/weather-affects-energy-production in HTML

Alternatives : JSON YAML Turtle N-Triples JSON Triples RDF+XML RDF+JSON Graphviz SVG