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@prefix dcterms: <http://purl.org/dc/terms/> .
@prefix xsd: <http://www.w3.org/2001/XMLSchema#> .
@prefix gcis: <http://data.globalchange.gov/gcis.owl#> .
@prefix cito: <http://purl.org/spar/cito/> .
@prefix biro: <http://purl.org/spar/biro/> .

<https://data.globalchange.gov/report/nca3/chapter/great-plains/finding/water-energy-demands-add-stress>
   dcterms:identifier "water-energy-demands-add-stress";
   gcis:findingNumber "19.1"^^xsd:string;
   gcis:findingStatement "Rising temperatures are leading to increased demand for water and energy. In parts of the region, this will constrain development, stress natural resources, and increase competition for water among communities, agriculture, energy production, and ecological needs."^^xsd:string;
   gcis:isFindingOf <https://data.globalchange.gov/report/nca3/chapter/great-plains>;
   gcis:isFindingOf <https://data.globalchange.gov/report/nca3>;

## Properties of the finding:
   gcis:findingProcess "A central component of the assessment process was the Great Plains Regional Climate assessment workshop that was held in August 2011 in Denver, CO, with approximately 40 attendees. The workshop began the process leading to a foundational Technical Input Report (TIR), the Great Plains Regional Climate Assessment Technical Report. The TIR consists of 18 chapters assembled by 37 authors representing a wide range of inputs including governmental agencies, non-governmental organizations, tribes, and other entities. \r\nThe chapter author team engaged in multiple technical discussions via regular teleconferences. These included careful review of the foundational TIR and of approximately 50 additional technical inputs provided by the public, as well as the other published literature, and professional judgment. These discussions were followed by expert deliberation of draft key messages by the authors during an in-person meeting in Kansas City in April 2012, wherein each message was defended before the entire author team prior to the key message being selected for inclusion in the report. These discussions were supported by targeted consultation with additional experts by the lead author of each message, and they were based on criteria that help define “key vulnerabilities”."^^xsd:string;
   
   gcis:descriptionOfEvidenceBase "The key message and supporting text summarizes extensive evidence documented in the Technical Input Report. Technical inputs (47) on a wide range of topics were also received and reviewed as part of the Federal Register Notice solicitation for public input. \r\nTemperatures are rising across the United States (Ch. 2: Our Changing Climate, Key Message 3 and its Traceable Account). Specific details for the Great Plains are provided in the Regional Climate Trends and Scenarios for the U.S. National Climate Assessment with its references.\r\nRising temperatures impact energy and water (Ch.10: Energy, Water, and Land; Ch. 4: Energy). Publications have explored the projected increase in water competition and stress for natural resources and the fragmentation of natural habitats and agricultural lands. These sources provided numerous references that were drawn from to lead to this key message.\r\n"^^xsd:string;
   
   gcis:assessmentOfConfidenceBasedOnEvidence "Very High for all aspects of the key message. The relationship between increased temperatures and higher evapotranspiration is well established. Model projections of higher temperatures are robust. Confidence is highest for the southern Great Plains, where competition among sectors, cities, and states for future supply is already readily apparent, and where population growth (demand-side) and projected increases in precipitation deficits are greatest."^^xsd:string;
   
   gcis:newInformationAndRemainingUncertainties "A key uncertainty is the exact rate and magnitude of the projected changes in precipitation, because high inter-annual variability may either obscure or highlight the long-term trends over the next few years. \r\nAlso unknown is ecological demand for water. Water use by native and invasive species under current climate needs to be quantified so that it can be modeled under future scenarios to map out potential impact envelopes. There is also uncertainty over the projections of changes in precipitation due to difficulty of modeling projections of convective precipitation, which is the primary source of water for most of the Great Plains.\r\n"^^xsd:string;

   a gcis:Finding .

## This finding cites the following entities:


<https://data.globalchange.gov/report/nca3/chapter/great-plains/finding/water-energy-demands-add-stress>
   cito:cites <https://data.globalchange.gov/report/nca-techreport-great-plains-2013>;
   biro:references <https://data.globalchange.gov/reference/5552509e-9af3-46dd-8920-78083bee05bc>.

<https://data.globalchange.gov/report/nca3/chapter/great-plains/finding/water-energy-demands-add-stress>
   cito:cites <https://data.globalchange.gov/webpage/f97e5615-b7a3-47d4-af90-22dbcfc9bd92>;
   biro:references <https://data.globalchange.gov/reference/78a7461f-c382-4432-9b04-3698ccb9c49e>.

<https://data.globalchange.gov/report/nca3/chapter/great-plains/finding/water-energy-demands-add-stress>
   cito:cites <https://data.globalchange.gov/article/10.1088/1748-9326/8/1/015001>;
   biro:references <https://data.globalchange.gov/reference/843cf523-c36c-4e7d-8824-22f65394aad9>.

<https://data.globalchange.gov/report/nca3/chapter/great-plains/finding/water-energy-demands-add-stress>
   cito:cites <https://data.globalchange.gov/report/noaa-techreport-nesdis-142-4>;
   biro:references <https://data.globalchange.gov/reference/994416dc-705b-4063-b8f5-bd3ed21d4a71>.

<https://data.globalchange.gov/report/nca3/chapter/great-plains/finding/water-energy-demands-add-stress>
   cito:cites <https://data.globalchange.gov/article/10.1021/es204602t>;
   biro:references <https://data.globalchange.gov/reference/b9f0598c-741f-46aa-84e0-87fceb0bf1ac>.

<https://data.globalchange.gov/report/nca3/chapter/great-plains/finding/water-energy-demands-add-stress>
   cito:cites <https://data.globalchange.gov/article/10.1088/1748-9326/7/4/045803>;
   biro:references <https://data.globalchange.gov/reference/d0828222-3fd7-4527-8d2a-895581c96ca3>.

<https://data.globalchange.gov/report/nca3/chapter/great-plains/finding/water-energy-demands-add-stress>
   cito:cites <https://data.globalchange.gov/report/usgs-factsheet-2009-3098>;
   biro:references <https://data.globalchange.gov/reference/d1ca2d6f-f8f7-488e-b087-22921057250c>.

<https://data.globalchange.gov/report/nca3/chapter/great-plains/finding/water-energy-demands-add-stress>
   cito:cites <https://data.globalchange.gov/report/gpa-costateu-prepcentralgreatplains-2002>;
   biro:references <https://data.globalchange.gov/reference/d873710b-8d1f-43fa-bb4f-2ffe216c089c>.

<https://data.globalchange.gov/report/nca3/chapter/great-plains/finding/water-energy-demands-add-stress>
   cito:cites <https://data.globalchange.gov/report/usgs-circular-1344>;
   biro:references <https://data.globalchange.gov/reference/f532697a-e122-4502-8c18-9504efa60700>.