uri,href,identifier,attrs.Abstract,attrs.Author,attrs.DOI,attrs.Issue,attrs.Journal,attrs.Pages,attrs.Publisher,attrs.Title,attrs.Volume,attrs.Year,attrs._record_number,attrs._uuid,attrs.reftype,child_publication
/reference/f82a2e76-95bb-4a33-8877-8c16ca217397,https://data.globalchange.gov/reference/f82a2e76-95bb-4a33-8877-8c16ca217397,f82a2e76-95bb-4a33-8877-8c16ca217397,"Background Climate change poses a major public health threat. A survey of U.S. local health department directors in 2008 found widespread recognition of the threat, but limited adaptive capacity, due to perceived lack of expertise and other resources. Methods We assessed changes between 2008 and 2012 in local public health departments' preparedness for the public health threats of climate change, in light of increasing national polarization on the issue, and widespread funding cutbacks for public health. A geographically representative online survey of directors of local public health departments was conducted in 2011–2012 (N = 174; response rate = 50%), and compared to the 2008 telephone survey results (N = 133; response rate = 61%). Results Significant polarization had occurred: more respondents in 2012 were certain that the threat of local climate change impacts does/does not exist, and fewer were unsure. Roughly 10% said it is not a threat, compared to 1% in 2008. Adaptation capacity decreased in several areas: perceived departmental expertise in climate change risk assessment; departmental prioritization of adaptation; and the number of adaptation-related programs and services departments provided. In 2008, directors' perceptions of local impacts predicted the number of adaptation-related programs and services their departments offered, but in 2012, funding predicted programming and directors' impact perceptions did not. This suggests that budgets were constraining directors' ability to respond to local climate change-related health threats. Results also suggest that departmental expertise may mitigate funding constraints. Strategies for overcoming these obstacles to local public health departments' preparations for climate change are discussed.","Roser-Renouf, Connie; Maibach, Edward W.; Li, Jennifer",10.1371/journal.pone.0151558,3,"PLOS ONE",e0151558,"Public Library of Science","Adapting to the changing climate: An assessment of local health department preparations for climate change-related health threats, 2008-2012",11,2016,24080,f82a2e76-95bb-4a33-8877-8c16ca217397,"Journal Article",/article/10.1371/journal.pone.0151558
/reference/f85a7ac1-b6ad-49b6-ba44-881259d28775,https://data.globalchange.gov/reference/f85a7ac1-b6ad-49b6-ba44-881259d28775,f85a7ac1-b6ad-49b6-ba44-881259d28775,,"Ziegler, Carol; Morelli, Vincent; Fawibe, Omotayo",10.1016/j.pop.2016.09.017,1,"Primary Care: Clinics in Office Practice",171-184,,"Climate change and underserved communities",44,2017,23895,f85a7ac1-b6ad-49b6-ba44-881259d28775,"Journal Article",/article/10.1016/j.pop.2016.09.017
/reference/f87eee42-afc9-4594-af20-4c5ddaf17c7e,https://data.globalchange.gov/reference/f87eee42-afc9-4594-af20-4c5ddaf17c7e,f87eee42-afc9-4594-af20-4c5ddaf17c7e,,"Semenza, Jan C.; Joaquin Trinanes;  Wolfgang Lohr; Bertrand Sudre; Margareta Löfdahl; Jaime Martinez-Urtaza; Gordon L. Nichols; Joacim Rocklöv",10.1289/EHP2198,10,"Environmental Health Perspectives",107004,,"Environmental suitability of Vibrio infections in a warming climate: An early warning system",125,2017,25338,f87eee42-afc9-4594-af20-4c5ddaf17c7e,"Journal Article",/article/10.1289/EHP2198
/reference/f9703346-dc6b-4b3e-aad6-2643c74f5292,https://data.globalchange.gov/reference/f9703346-dc6b-4b3e-aad6-2643c74f5292,f9703346-dc6b-4b3e-aad6-2643c74f5292,"Heat waves are among the most dangerous climate-related hazards, and they are projected to increase in frequency and intensity over the coming century. Exposure to heat waves is a function of the spatial distribution of physical events and the corresponding population distribution, and future exposure will be impacted by changes in both distributions. Here, we project future exposure using ensembles of climate projections that account for the urban heat island effect, for two alternative emission scenarios (RCP4.5/RCP8.5) and two alternative population and urbanization (SSP3/SSP5) outcomes. We characterize exposure at the global, regional, and grid-cell level; estimate the exposure that would be avoided by mitigating future levels of climate change (to RCP4.5); and quantify the dependence of exposure on population outcomes. We find that climate change is a stronger determinant of exposure than demographic change in these scenarios, with a global reduction in exposure of over 50% under a lower emissions pathway, while a slower population growth pathway leads to roughly 30% less exposure. Exposure reduction varies at the regional level, but in almost all cases, the RCP remains more influential than the SSP. Uncertainty in outcomes is dominated by inter-annual variability in heat extremes (relative to variability across initial condition ensemble members). For some regions, this variability is large enough that a reduction in annual exposure is not guaranteed in each individual year by following the lower forcing pathway. Finally, we find that explicitly considering the urban heat island effect and separate urban and rural heat extremes and populations can substantially influence results, generally increasing projected exposure.","Jones, Bryan; Tebaldi, Claudia; O’Neill, Brian C.; Oleson, Keith; Gao, Jing",10.1007/s10584-017-2133-7,3,"Climatic Change",423-437,,"Avoiding population exposure to heat-related extremes: Demographic change vs climate change",146,2018,25322,f9703346-dc6b-4b3e-aad6-2643c74f5292,"Journal Article",/article/10.1007/s10584-017-2133-7
/reference/f9c23819-1207-495b-9b70-b81f37a78c8f,https://data.globalchange.gov/reference/f9c23819-1207-495b-9b70-b81f37a78c8f,f9c23819-1207-495b-9b70-b81f37a78c8f,"This review examined the likely impact of climate change upon food-borne disease in the UK using Campylobacter and Salmonella as example organisms. Campylobacter is an important food-borne disease and an increasing public health threat. There is a reasonable evidence base that the environment and weather play a role in its transmission to humans. However, uncertainty as to the precise mechanisms through which weather affects disease, make it difficult to assess the likely impact of climate change. There are strong positive associations between Salmonella cases and ambient temperature, and a clear understanding of the mechanisms behind this. However, because the incidence of Salmonella disease is declining in the UK, any climate change increases are likely to be small. For both Salmonella and Campylobacter the disease incidence is greatest in older adults and young children. There are many pathways through which climate change may affect food but only a few of these have been rigorously examined. This provides a high degree of uncertainty as to what the impacts of climate change will be. Food is highly controlled at the National and EU level. This provides the UK with resilience to climate change as well as potential to adapt to its consequences but it is unknown whether these are sufficient in the context of a changing climate.","Lake, Iain R.",10.1186/s12940-017-0327-0,1,"Environmental Health",117,,"Food-borne disease and climate change in the United Kingdom",16,2017,25319,f9c23819-1207-495b-9b70-b81f37a78c8f,"Journal Article",/article/10.1186/s12940-017-0327-0
/reference/fad9e8ec-8951-4daa-9a9c-e093ef86af16,https://data.globalchange.gov/reference/fad9e8ec-8951-4daa-9a9c-e093ef86af16,fad9e8ec-8951-4daa-9a9c-e093ef86af16,"Episodes of severe weather in the United States, such as the present abundance of rainfall in California, are brandished as tangible evidence of the future costs of current climate trends. Hsiang et al. collected national data documenting the responses in six economic sectors to short-term weather fluctuations. These data were integrated with probabilistic distributions from a set of global climate models and used to estimate future costs during the remainder of this century across a range of scenarios (see the Perspective by Pizer). In terms of overall effects on gross domestic product, the authors predict negative impacts in the southern United States and positive impacts in some parts of the Pacific Northwest and New England.Science, this issue p. 1362; see also p. 1330Estimates of climate change damage are central to the design of climate policies. Here, we develop a flexible architecture for computing damages that integrates climate science, econometric analyses, and process models. We use this approach to construct spatially explicit, probabilistic, and empirically derived estimates of economic damage in the United States from climate change. The combined value of market and nonmarket damage across analyzed sectors—agriculture, crime, coastal storms, energy, human mortality, and labor—increases quadratically in global mean temperature, costing roughly 1.2% of gross domestic product per +1°C on average. Importantly, risk is distributed unequally across locations, generating a large transfer of value northward and westward that increases economic inequality. By the late 21st century, the poorest third of counties are projected to experience damages between 2 and 20% of county income (90% chance) under business-as-usual emissions (Representative Concentration Pathway 8.5).","Hsiang, Solomon; Kopp, Robert; Jina, Amir; Rising, James; Delgado, Michael; Mohan, Shashank; Rasmussen, D. J.; Muir-Wood, Robert; Wilson, Paul; Oppenheimer, Michael; Larsen, Kate; Houser, Trevor",10.1126/science.aal4369,6345,Science,1362-1369,,"Estimating economic damage from climate change in the United States",356,2017,23965,fad9e8ec-8951-4daa-9a9c-e093ef86af16,"Journal Article",/article/10.1126/science.aal4369
/reference/fe91b27d-3625-468e-b7d2-40686e8a55a7,https://data.globalchange.gov/reference/fe91b27d-3625-468e-b7d2-40686e8a55a7,fe91b27d-3625-468e-b7d2-40686e8a55a7,,"Ogden, Nick H.; Lindsay, L. Robbin",10.1016/j.pt.2016.04.015,8,"Trends in Parasitology",646-656,Elsevier,"Effects of climate and climate change on vectors and vector-borne diseases: Ticks are different",32,2016,26109,fe91b27d-3625-468e-b7d2-40686e8a55a7,"Journal Article",/article/10.1016/j.pt.2016.04.015
/reference/ffc5112e-8b2d-4768-afac-f65d1545dbef,https://data.globalchange.gov/reference/ffc5112e-8b2d-4768-afac-f65d1545dbef,ffc5112e-8b2d-4768-afac-f65d1545dbef,,"Myers, Samuel S.; Wessells, K. Ryan; Kloog, Itai; Zanobetti, Antonella; Schwartz, Joel",10.1016/S2214-109X(15)00093-5,10,"The Lancet Global Health",e639-e645,Elsevier,"Effect of increased concentrations of atmospheric carbon dioxide on the global threat of zinc deficiency: A modelling study",3,2015,24106,ffc5112e-8b2d-4768-afac-f65d1545dbef,"Journal Article",/article/10.1016/S2214-109X(15)00093-5
/reference/fff9b83e-10cf-4700-a26e-9461fefd7e5d,https://data.globalchange.gov/reference/fff9b83e-10cf-4700-a26e-9461fefd7e5d,fff9b83e-10cf-4700-a26e-9461fefd7e5d,,"Ha, Sandie; Danping Liu; Yeyi Zhu; Sung Soo Kim; Seth Sherman; Pauline Mendola",10.1289/EHP97,,"Environmental Health Perspectives",453-459,,"Ambient temperature and early delivery of singleton pregnancies",125,2017,24122,fff9b83e-10cf-4700-a26e-9461fefd7e5d,"Journal Article",/article/10.1289/EHP97