--- - attrs: Author: 'Yusa, Anna; Berry, Peter; J.Cheng, June; Ogden, Nicholas; Bonsal, Barrie; Stewart, Ronald; Waldick, Ruth' DOI: 10.3390/ijerph120708359 ISSN: 1660-4601 Issue: 7 Journal: International Journal of Environmental Research and Public Health Pages: 8359 Title: 'Climate change, drought and human health in Canada' Volume: 12 Year: 2015 _record_number: 24091 _uuid: 94b49b9c-97ea-4f0d-8f1a-53296c19afc7 reftype: Journal Article child_publication: /article/10.3390/ijerph120708359 href: https://data.globalchange.gov/reference/94b49b9c-97ea-4f0d-8f1a-53296c19afc7.yaml identifier: 94b49b9c-97ea-4f0d-8f1a-53296c19afc7 uri: /reference/94b49b9c-97ea-4f0d-8f1a-53296c19afc7 - attrs: Abstract: 'Determining the role of weather in waterborne infections is a priority public health research issue as climate change is predicted to increase the frequency of extreme precipitation and temperature events. To document the current knowledge on this topic, we performed a literature review of analytical research studies that have combined epidemiological and meteorological data in order to analyze associations between extreme precipitation or temperature and waterborne disease.' Author: 'Guzman Herrador, Bernardo R.; de Blasio, Birgitte Freiesleben; MacDonald, Emily; Nichols, Gordon; Sudre, Bertrand; Vold, Line; Semenza, Jan C.; Nygård, Karin' DOI: 10.1186/s12940-015-0014-y Date: March 27 ISSN: 1476-069X Issue: 1 Journal: Environmental Health Pages: 29 Title: 'Analytical studies assessing the association between extreme precipitation or temperature and drinking water-related waterborne infections: A review' Type of Article: journal article Volume: 14 Year: 2015 _record_number: 26105 _uuid: 98353f95-01ba-45b3-8194-77fd674d5faa reftype: Journal Article child_publication: /article/10.1186/s12940-015-0014-y href: https://data.globalchange.gov/reference/98353f95-01ba-45b3-8194-77fd674d5faa.yaml identifier: 98353f95-01ba-45b3-8194-77fd674d5faa uri: /reference/98353f95-01ba-45b3-8194-77fd674d5faa - attrs: Author: 'Yun, Josef; Greiner, Matthias; Höller, Christiane; Messelhäusser, Ute; Rampp, Albert; Klein, Günter' DOI: 10.1038/srep28442 Date: 06/21/online Journal: Scientific Reports Pages: 28442 Publisher: The Author(s) Title: Association between the ambient temperature and the occurrence of human Salmonella and Campylobacter infections Type of Article: Article Volume: 6 Year: 2016 _record_number: 25310 _uuid: 9a38e31c-84c2-454c-868c-0307853189ac reftype: Journal Article child_publication: /article/10.1038/srep28442 href: https://data.globalchange.gov/reference/9a38e31c-84c2-454c-868c-0307853189ac.yaml identifier: 9a38e31c-84c2-454c-868c-0307853189ac uri: /reference/9a38e31c-84c2-454c-868c-0307853189ac - attrs: Author: 'Young, Ian; Gropp, Kathleen; Fazil, Aamir; Smith, Ben A.' DOI: 10.1016/j.foodres.2014.06.035 Date: 2015/02/01/ ISSN: 0963-9969 Journal: Food Research International Keywords: Systematic review; Meta-analysis; Climate change; Oysters; Food safety Pages: 86-93 Title: 'Knowledge synthesis to support risk assessment of climate change impacts on food and water safety: A case study of the effects of water temperature and salinity on Vibrio parahaemolyticus in raw oysters and harvest waters' Volume: 68 Year: 2015 _record_number: 24092 _uuid: 9ba7142c-520b-43fa-a8a1-76dc546eb883 reftype: Journal Article child_publication: /article/10.1016/j.foodres.2014.06.035 href: https://data.globalchange.gov/reference/9ba7142c-520b-43fa-a8a1-76dc546eb883.yaml identifier: 9ba7142c-520b-43fa-a8a1-76dc546eb883 uri: /reference/9ba7142c-520b-43fa-a8a1-76dc546eb883 - attrs: Author: 'Battilani, P.; Toscano, P.; Van der Fels-Klerx, H. J.; Moretti, A.; Camardo Leggieri, M.; Brera, C.; Rortais, A.; Goumperis, T.; Robinson, T.' DOI: 10.1038/srep24328 Date: 04/12/online Journal: Scientific Reports Pages: 24328 Publisher: The Author(s) Title: Aflatoxin B1 contamination in maize in Europe increases due to climate change Type of Article: Article Volume: 6 Year: 2016 _record_number: 24140 _uuid: 9dbe51b2-f829-4774-841f-9ff6a27f1ccb reftype: Journal Article child_publication: /article/10.1038/srep24328 href: https://data.globalchange.gov/reference/9dbe51b2-f829-4774-841f-9ff6a27f1ccb.yaml identifier: 9dbe51b2-f829-4774-841f-9ff6a27f1ccb uri: /reference/9dbe51b2-f829-4774-841f-9ff6a27f1ccb - attrs: Abstract: 'OBJECTIVES: We examined how individual and area socio-demographic characteristics independently modified the extreme heat (EH)-mortality association among elderly residents of 8 Michigan cities, May-September, 1990-2007. METHODS: In a time-stratified case-crossover design, we regressed cause-specific mortality against EH (indicator for 4-day mean, minimum, maximum or apparent temperature above 97th or 99th percentiles). We examined effect modification with interactions between EH and personal marital status, age, race, sex and education and ZIP-code percent “non-green space” (National Land Cover Dataset), age, race, income, education, living alone, and housing age (U.S. Census). RESULTS: In models including multiple effect modifiers, the odds of cardiovascular mortality during EH (99(th) percentile threshold) vs. non-EH were higher among non-married individuals (1.21, 95% CI = 1.14-1.28 vs. 0.98, 95% CI = 0.90-1.07 among married individuals) and individuals in ZIP codes with high (91%) non-green space (1.17, 95% CI = 1.06-1.29 vs. 0.98, 95% CI = 0.89-1.07 among individuals in ZIP codes with low (39%) non-green space). Results suggested that housing age may also be an effect modifier. For the EH-respiratory mortality association, the results were inconsistent between temperature metrics and percentile thresholds of EH but largely insignificant. CONCLUSIONS: Green space, housing and social isolation may independently enhance elderly peoples’ heat-related cardiovascular mortality vulnerability. Local adaptation efforts should target areas and populations at greater risk.' Author: "Gronlund, Carina J.; Berrocal, Veronica J.; White-Newsome, Jalonne L.; Conlon, Kathryn C.; O'Neill, Marie S." DOI: 10.1016/j.envres.2014.08.042 Date: 11/25 ISSN: "0013-9351\r1096-0953" Journal: Environmental Research Name of Database: PMC Pages: 449-461 Title: 'Vulnerability to extreme heat by socio-demographic characteristics and area green space among the elderly in Michigan, 1990-2007' Volume: 136 Year: 2015 _record_number: 21133 _uuid: 9ef14c5c-9a31-498c-916c-c64bca251d0e reftype: Journal Article child_publication: /article/10.1016/j.envres.2014.08.042 href: https://data.globalchange.gov/reference/9ef14c5c-9a31-498c-916c-c64bca251d0e.yaml identifier: 9ef14c5c-9a31-498c-916c-c64bca251d0e uri: /reference/9ef14c5c-9a31-498c-916c-c64bca251d0e - attrs: Abstract: 'Author A combination of media attention and the declaration of a World Health Organization state of emergency have made the pandemic expansion of Zika virus a topic of great public concern. Understanding the threat North America faces from the still-expanding viral range requires an understanding of the historical range and ecology of the disease, a topic currently difficult to study due to incomplete occurrence data. We compile the most comprehensive geospatial dataset of Zika occurrences in its native range, beginning with its discovery in 1947, and build bioclimatic models that set an outer bound on where the virus is likely to persist. Our results suggest Zika is likely far more constrained than the closely-related dengue fever, on which many projections have been based. While Zika poses a serious threat in current outbreak regions and is clearly a high-priority neglected tropical disease, our models suggest that even under an extreme climate change scenario for 2050, the disease is unlikely to become cosmopolitan in most temperate regions as a vector-borne disease, a discrepant finding from the results of non-ensemble modeling methods. Despite that, sexual transmission remains a serious public health concern, and a route by which Zika could become a severe public health emergency in temperate zones, including in the United States.' Author: 'Carlson, Colin J.; Dougherty, Eric R.; Getz, Wayne' DOI: 10.1371/journal.pntd.0004968 Issue: 8 Journal: PLOS Neglected Tropical Diseases Pages: e0004968 Publisher: Public Library of Science Title: An ecological assessment of the pandemic threat of Zika virus Volume: 10 Year: 2016 _record_number: 24055 _uuid: a3bb4918-0fe2-498b-858b-e001bdf0b98d reftype: Journal Article child_publication: /article/10.1371/journal.pntd.0004968 href: https://data.globalchange.gov/reference/a3bb4918-0fe2-498b-858b-e001bdf0b98d.yaml identifier: a3bb4918-0fe2-498b-858b-e001bdf0b98d uri: /reference/a3bb4918-0fe2-498b-858b-e001bdf0b98d - attrs: Abstract: 'Dengue has been prevalent in Colombia with high risk of outbreaks in various locations. While the prediction of dengue epidemics will bring significant benefits to the society, accurate forecasts have been a challenge. Given competing health demands in Colombia, it is critical to consider the effective use of the limited healthcare resources by identifying high risk areas for dengue fever.' Author: 'Lee, Jung-Seok; Carabali, Mabel; Lim, Jacqueline K.; Herrera, Victor M.; Park, Il-Yeon; Villar, Luis; Farlow, Andrew' DOI: 10.1186/s12879-017-2577-4 Date: July 10 ISSN: 1471-2334 Issue: 1 Journal: BMC Infectious Diseases Pages: 480 Title: Early warning signal for dengue outbreaks and identification of high risk areas for dengue fever in Colombia using climate and non-climate datasets Type of Article: journal article Volume: 17 Year: 2017 _record_number: 24070 _uuid: a3de6246-8f40-448e-91e8-0abe57e79d6e reftype: Journal Article child_publication: /article/10.1186/s12879-017-2577-4 href: https://data.globalchange.gov/reference/a3de6246-8f40-448e-91e8-0abe57e79d6e.yaml identifier: a3de6246-8f40-448e-91e8-0abe57e79d6e uri: /reference/a3de6246-8f40-448e-91e8-0abe57e79d6e - attrs: Abstract: 'Previous studies examining future changes in heat/cold waves using climate model ensembles have been limited to grid cell-average quantities. Here, we make use of an urban parameterization in the Community Earth System Model (CESM) that represents the urban heat island effect, which can exacerbate extreme heat but may ameliorate extreme cold in urban relative to rural areas. Heat/cold wave characteristics are derived for U.S. regions from a bias-corrected CESM 30-member ensemble for climate outcomes driven by the RCP8.5 forcing scenario and a 15-member ensemble driven by RCP4.5. Significant differences are found between urban and grid cell-average heat/cold wave characteristics. Most notably, urban heat waves for 1981–2005 are more intense than grid cell-average by 2.1 °C (southeast) to 4.6 °C (southwest), while cold waves are less intense. We assess the avoided climate impacts of urban heat/cold waves in 2061–2080 when following the lower forcing scenario. Urban heat wave days per year increase from 6 in 1981–2005 to up to 92 (southeast) in RCP8.5. Following RCP4.5 reduces heat wave days by about 50 %. Large avoided impacts are demonstrated for individual communities; e.g., the longest heat wave for Houston in RCP4.5 is 38 days while in RCP8.5 there is one heat wave per year that is longer than a month with some lasting the entire summer. Heat waves also start later in the season in RCP4.5 (earliest are in early May) than RCP8.5 (mid-April), compared to 1981–2005 (late May). In some communities, cold wave events decrease from 2 per year for 1981–2005 to one-in-five year events in RCP4.5 and one-in-ten year events in RCP8.5.' Author: 'Oleson, K. W.; Anderson, G. B.; Jones, B.; McGinnis, S. A.; Sanderson, B.' DOI: 10.1007/s10584-015-1504-1 Date: September 23 ISSN: 1573-1480 Journal: Climatic Change Title: Avoided climate impacts of urban and rural heat and cold waves over the U.S. using large climate model ensembles for RCP8.5 and RCP4.5 Type of Article: journal article Year: 2015 _record_number: 23564 _uuid: a5d430bc-5756-42d1-924f-3dbc927e69c4 reftype: Journal Article child_publication: /article/10.1007/s10584-015-1504-1 href: https://data.globalchange.gov/reference/a5d430bc-5756-42d1-924f-3dbc927e69c4.yaml identifier: a5d430bc-5756-42d1-924f-3dbc927e69c4 uri: /reference/a5d430bc-5756-42d1-924f-3dbc927e69c4 - attrs: Abstract: 'This study assessed the health burden attributable to childhood underweight through 2050 focusing on disability-adjusted life years (DALYs), by considering the latest scenarios for climate change studies (representative concentration pathways and shared socioeconomic pathways (SSPs)) and conducting sensitivity analysis. A regression model for estimating DALYs attributable to childhood underweight (DAtU) was developed using the relationship between DAtU and childhood stunting. We combined a global computable general equilibrium model, a crop model, and two regression models to assess the future health burden. We found that (i) world total DAtU decreases from 2005 by 28 ∼ 63% in 2050 depending on the socioeconomic scenarios. Per capita DAtU also decreases in all regions under either scenario in 2050, but the decreases vary significantly by regions and scenarios. (ii) The impact of climate change is relatively small in the framework of this study but, on the other hand, socioeconomic conditions have a great impact on the future health burden. (iii) Parameter uncertainty of the regression models is the second largest factor on uncertainty of the result following the changes in socioeconomic condition, and uncertainty derived from the difference in global circulation models is the smallest in the framework of this study.' Author: 'Ishida, Hiroyuki; Shota Kobayashi; Shinjiro Kanae; Tomoko Hasegawa; Shinichiro Fujimori; Yonghee Shin; Kiyoshi Takahashi; Toshihiko Masui; Akemi Tanaka; Yasushi Honda' DOI: 10.1088/1748-9326/9/6/064014 ISSN: 1748-9326 Issue: 6 Journal: Environmental Research Letters Pages: 064014 Title: Global-scale projection and its sensitivity analysis of the health burden attributable to childhood undernutrition under the latest scenario framework for climate change research Volume: 9 Year: 2014 _record_number: 25324 _uuid: a67f6a58-73d3-49be-b161-1e4f4aab248e reftype: Journal Article child_publication: /article/10.1088/1748-9326/9/6/064014 href: https://data.globalchange.gov/reference/a67f6a58-73d3-49be-b161-1e4f4aab248e.yaml identifier: a67f6a58-73d3-49be-b161-1e4f4aab248e uri: /reference/a67f6a58-73d3-49be-b161-1e4f4aab248e - attrs: .reference_type: 10 Author: 'Anderson, Henry; Brown, Claudia; Cameron, Lorraine L.; Christenson, Megan; Conlon, Kathryn C.; Dorevitch, Samuel; Dumas, Justin; Eidson, Millicent; Ferguson, Aaron; Grossman, Elena; Hanson, Angelina; Hess, Jeremy J.; Hoppe, Brenda; Horton, Jane; Jagger, Meredith; Krueger, Stephanie; Largo, Thomas W.; Losurdo, Giovanna M.; Mack, Stephanie R.; Moran, Colleen; Mutnansky, Cassidy; Raab, Kristin; Saha, Shubhayu; Schramm, Paul J.; Shipp-Hilts, Asante; Smith, Sara J.; Thelen, Margaret; Thie, Lauren; Walker, Robert' Institution: 'Centers for Disease Control and Prevention, Climate and Health Program' Pages: 92 Place Published: 'Atlanta, GA' Series Volume: Climate and Health Technical Report Series Title: 'Climate and Health Intervention Assessment: Evidence on Public Health Interventions to Prevent the Negative Health Effects of Climate Change' URL: https://www.cdc.gov/climateandhealth/docs/ClimateAndHealthInterventionAssessment_508.pdf Year: 2017 _record_number: 24146 _uuid: a6d2d472-b084-4805-9f08-cc5e1f95f668 reftype: Report child_publication: /report/climate-health-intervention-assessment-evidence-on-public-health-interventions-prevent-negative-health-effects-climate-change href: https://data.globalchange.gov/reference/a6d2d472-b084-4805-9f08-cc5e1f95f668.yaml identifier: a6d2d472-b084-4805-9f08-cc5e1f95f668 uri: /reference/a6d2d472-b084-4805-9f08-cc5e1f95f668 - attrs: Author: 'Semenza, Jan' DOI: 10.3390/ijerph120606333 ISSN: 1660-4601 Issue: 6 Journal: International Journal of Environmental Research and Public Health Pages: 6333-6351 Title: Prototype early warning systems for vector-borne diseases in Europe Volume: 12 Year: 2015 _record_number: 24081 _uuid: a719e703-0c8d-4b9a-9b2b-baf66da770f7 reftype: Journal Article child_publication: /article/10.3390/ijerph120606333 href: https://data.globalchange.gov/reference/a719e703-0c8d-4b9a-9b2b-baf66da770f7.yaml identifier: a719e703-0c8d-4b9a-9b2b-baf66da770f7 uri: /reference/a719e703-0c8d-4b9a-9b2b-baf66da770f7 - attrs: Abstract: 'Importance  Heat exposure is known to have a complex set of physiological effects on multiple organ systems, but current understanding of the health effects is mostly based on studies investigating a small number of prespecified health outcomes such as cardiovascular and respiratory diseases.Objectives  To identify possible causes of hospital admissions during extreme heat events and to estimate their risks using historical data.Design, Setting, and Population  Matched analysis of time series data describing daily hospital admissions of Medicare enrollees (23.7 million fee-for-service beneficiaries [aged ≥65 years] per year; 85% of all Medicare enrollees) for the period 1999 to 2010 in 1943 counties in the United States with at least 5 summers of near-complete (>95%) daily temperature data.Exposures  Heat wave periods, defined as 2 or more consecutive days with temperatures exceeding the 99th percentile of county-specific daily temperatures, matched to non–heat wave periods by county and week.Main Outcomes and Measures  Daily cause-specific hospitalization rates by principal discharge diagnosis codes, grouped into 283 disease categories using a validated approach.Results  Risks of hospitalization for fluid and electrolyte disorders, renal failure, urinary tract infection, septicemia, and heat stroke were statistically significantly higher on heat wave days relative to matched non–heat wave days, but risk of hospitalization for congestive heart failure was lower (P < .05). Relative risks for these disease groups were 1.18 (95% CI, 1.12-1.25) for fluid and electrolyte disorders, 1.14 (95% CI, 1.06-1.23) for renal failure, 1.10 (95% CI, 1.04-1.16) for urinary tract infections, 1.06 (95% CI, 1.00-1.11) for septicemia, and 2.54 (95% CI, 2.14-3.01) for heat stroke. Absolute risk differences were 0.34 (95% CI, 0.22-0.46) excess admissions per 100 000 individuals at risk for fluid and electrolyte disorders, 0.25 (95% CI, 0.12-0.39) for renal failure, 0.24 (95% CI, 0.09-0.39) for urinary tract infections, 0.21 (95% CI, 0.01-0.41) for septicemia, and 0.16 (95% CI, 0.10-0.22) for heat stroke. For fluid and electrolyte disorders and heat stroke, the risk of hospitalization increased during more intense and longer-lasting heat wave periods (P < .05). Risks were generally highest on the heat wave day but remained elevated for up to 5 subsequent days.Conclusions and Relevance  Among older adults, periods of extreme heat were associated with increased risk of hospitalization for fluid and electrolyte disorders, renal failure, urinary tract infection, septicemia, and heat stroke. However, the absolute risk increase was small and of uncertain clinical importance.' Author: 'Bobb, J. F.; Obermeyer, Z.; Wang, Y.; Dominici, F.' DOI: 10.1001/jama.2014.15715 ISSN: 0098-7484 Issue: 24 Journal: JAMA Notes: 10.1001/jama.2014.15715 Pages: 2659-2667 Title: Cause-specific risk of hospital admission related to extreme heat in older adults Volume: 312 Year: 2014 _record_number: 21856 _uuid: aa10dde0-072c-459a-ab20-65ba830d43bd reftype: Journal Article child_publication: /article/10.1001/jama.2014.15715 href: https://data.globalchange.gov/reference/aa10dde0-072c-459a-ab20-65ba830d43bd.yaml identifier: aa10dde0-072c-459a-ab20-65ba830d43bd uri: /reference/aa10dde0-072c-459a-ab20-65ba830d43bd - attrs: Abstract: 'Modelling studies predicted that climate change will have strong impacts on the coffee crop, although no information on the effective impact of elevated CO2 on this plant exists. Here, we aim at providing a first glimpse on the effect of the combined impact of enhanced [CO2] and high temperature on the leaf mineral content and balance on this important tropical crop. Potted plants from two genotypes of Coffea arabica (cv. Icatu and IPR 108) and one from C. canephora (cv. Conilon Clone 153) were grown under 380 or 700 μL CO2 L−1 air, for 1 year, after which were exposed to an stepwise increase in temperature from 25/20 °C (day/night) up to 42/34 °C, over 8 weeks. Leaf macro − (N, P, K, Ca, Mg, S) and micronutrients (B, Cu, Fe, Mn, Zn) concentrations were analyzed at 25/20 °C (control), 31/25 °C, 37/30 °C and 42/34 °C. At the control temperature, the 700 μL L−1 grown plants showed a moderate dilution effect (between 7 % and 25 %) in CL 153 (for N, Mg, Ca, Fe) and Icatu (for N, K and Fe), but not in IPR 108 (except for Fe) when compared to the 380 μL L−1 plants. For temperatures higher than control most nutrients tended to increase, frequently presenting maximal contents at 42/34 °C (or 37/30 °C), although the relation between [CO2] treatments did not appreciably change. Such increases offset the few dilution effects observed under high growth [CO2] at 25/20 °C. No clear species responses were found considering [CO2] and temperature impacts, although IPR 108 seemed less sensitive to [CO2]. Despite the changes promoted by [CO2] and heat, the large majority of mineral ratios were kept within a range considered adequate, suggesting that this plant can maintain mineral balances in a context of climate changes and global warming.' Author: 'Martins, Lima D.; Tomaz, Marcelo A.; Lidon, Fernando C.; DaMatta, Fábio M.; Ramalho, José C.' DOI: 10.1007/s10584-014-1236-7 Date: October 01 ISSN: 1573-1480 Issue: 3 Journal: Climatic Change Pages: 365-379 Title: 'Combined effects of elevated [CO2] and high temperature on leaf mineral balance in Coffea spp. plants' Type of Article: journal article Volume: 126 Year: 2014 _record_number: 24112 _uuid: acc94ddf-05f0-4e5b-9ef8-47ef05db2e64 reftype: Journal Article child_publication: /article/10.1007/s10584-014-1236-7 href: https://data.globalchange.gov/reference/acc94ddf-05f0-4e5b-9ef8-47ef05db2e64.yaml identifier: acc94ddf-05f0-4e5b-9ef8-47ef05db2e64 uri: /reference/acc94ddf-05f0-4e5b-9ef8-47ef05db2e64 - attrs: Author: 'Gutierrez, Kristie; LePrevost, Catherine' DOI: 10.3390/ijerph13020189 ISSN: 1660-4601 Issue: 2 Journal: International Journal of Environmental Research and Public Health Pages: 189 Title: 'Climate justice in rural southeastern United States: A review of climate change impacts and effects on human health' Volume: 13 Year: 2016 _record_number: 25327 _uuid: b079422e-dafb-4221-83be-0b6a176acbb6 reftype: Journal Article child_publication: /article/10.3390/ijerph13020189 href: https://data.globalchange.gov/reference/b079422e-dafb-4221-83be-0b6a176acbb6.yaml identifier: b079422e-dafb-4221-83be-0b6a176acbb6 uri: /reference/b079422e-dafb-4221-83be-0b6a176acbb6 - attrs: Abstract: 'Heat stroke is a serious heat-related illness, especially among older adults. However, little is known regarding the spatiotemporal variation of heat stroke admissions during heat waves and what factors modify the adverse effects.' Author: 'Wang, Yan; Bobb, Jennifer F.; Papi, Bianca; Wang, Yun; Kosheleva, Anna; Di, Qian; Schwartz, Joel D.; Dominici, Francesca' DOI: 10.1186/s12940-016-0167-3 Date: August 08 ISSN: 1476-069X Issue: 1 Journal: Environmental Health Pages: 83 Title: 'Heat stroke admissions during heat waves in 1,916 US counties for the period from 1999 to 2010 and their effect modifiers' Type of Article: journal article Volume: 15 Year: 2016 _record_number: 24095 _uuid: b151fd56-2d07-47fb-88df-173212cd5059 reftype: Journal Article child_publication: /article/10.1186/s12940-016-0167-3 href: https://data.globalchange.gov/reference/b151fd56-2d07-47fb-88df-173212cd5059.yaml identifier: b151fd56-2d07-47fb-88df-173212cd5059 uri: /reference/b151fd56-2d07-47fb-88df-173212cd5059 - attrs: Author: 'Coopersmith, E. J.; Bell, J. E.; Benedict, K.; Shriber, J.; McCotter, O.; Cosh, M. H.' DOI: 10.1002/2016GH000033 ISSN: 2471-1403 Issue: 1 Journal: GeoHealth Keywords: 'coccidioidomycosis; valley fever; soil moisture; machine learning; modeling; 1719 Hydrology; 1866 Soil moisture; 1894 Instruments and techniques: modeling; 1984 Statistical methods: Descriptive; 1914 Data mining' Pages: 51-63 Title: Relating coccidioidomycosis (valley fever) incidence to soil moisture conditions Volume: 1 Year: 2017 _record_number: 24132 _uuid: b4d1a19f-d19a-4a91-99f9-c1680ef0a4ad reftype: Journal Article child_publication: /article/10.1002/2016GH000033 href: https://data.globalchange.gov/reference/b4d1a19f-d19a-4a91-99f9-c1680ef0a4ad.yaml identifier: b4d1a19f-d19a-4a91-99f9-c1680ef0a4ad uri: /reference/b4d1a19f-d19a-4a91-99f9-c1680ef0a4ad - attrs: Author: 'Mills, David; Russell Jones; Cameron Wobus; Julia Ekstrom; Lesley Jantarasami; St. Juliana, Alexis; Allison Crimmins' DOI: 10.1289/EHP2594 Issue: 4 Journal: Environmental Health Perspectives Pages: 047007 Title: Projecting age-stratified risk of exposure to inland flooding and wildfire smoke in the United States under two climate scenarios Volume: 126 Year: 2018 _record_number: 25202 _uuid: b77ebe86-7dac-4303-bee3-52e81a34b5ca reftype: Journal Article child_publication: /article/10.1289/EHP2594 href: https://data.globalchange.gov/reference/b77ebe86-7dac-4303-bee3-52e81a34b5ca.yaml identifier: b77ebe86-7dac-4303-bee3-52e81a34b5ca uri: /reference/b77ebe86-7dac-4303-bee3-52e81a34b5ca - attrs: Abstract: 'Given knowledge at the time, the recent 2015-2016 zika virus (ZIKV) epidemic probably could not have been predicted. Without the prior knowledge of ZIKV being already present in South America, and given the lack of understanding of key epidemiologic processes and long-term records of ZIKV cases in the continent, the best related prediction could be carried out for the potential risk of a generic Aedes-borne disease epidemic. Here we use a recently published two-vector basic reproduction number model to assess the predictability of the conditions conducive to epidemics of diseases like zika, chikungunya or dengue, transmitted by the independent or concurrent presence of Aedes aegypti and Aedes albopictus. We compare the potential risk of transmission forcing the model with the observed climate and with state-of-the-art operational forecasts from the North American Multi Model Ensemble (NMME), finding that the predictive skill of this new seasonal forecast system is highest for multiple countries in Latin America and the Caribbean during the December-February and March-May seasons, and slightly lower –but still of potential use to decision-makers– for the rest of the year. In particular, we find that above-normal suitable conditions for the occurrence of the zika epidemic at the beginning of 2015 could have been successfully predicted at least one month in advance for several zika hotspots, and in particular for Northeast Brazil: the heart of the epidemic. Nonetheless, the initiation and spread of an epidemic depends on the effect of multiple factors beyond climate conditions, and thus this type of approach must be considered as a guide and not as a formal predictive tool of vector-borne epidemics.' Author: 'Muñoz, Ángel G.; Thomson, Madeleine C.; Stewart-Ibarra, Anna M.; Vecchi, Gabriel A.; Chourio, Xandre; Nájera, Patricia; Moran, Zelda; Yang, Xiaosong' DOI: 10.3389/fmicb.2017.01291 Date: 2017-July-12 ISSN: 1664-302X Issue: 1291 Journal: Frontiers in Microbiology Keywords: 'Zika,Aedes-borne diseases,predictability,climate,basic reproduction number model,Dengue,Chikungunya' Language: English Short Title: Could the recent zika epidemic have been predicted? Title: Could the recent Zika epidemic have been predicted? Type of Article: Original Research Volume: 8 Year: 2017 _record_number: 22060 _uuid: b89b43e0-28a8-4b9d-9139-02f1b3f96533 reftype: Journal Article child_publication: /article/10.3389/fmicb.2017.01291 href: https://data.globalchange.gov/reference/b89b43e0-28a8-4b9d-9139-02f1b3f96533.yaml identifier: b89b43e0-28a8-4b9d-9139-02f1b3f96533 uri: /reference/b89b43e0-28a8-4b9d-9139-02f1b3f96533 - attrs: Author: 'Mendez, Michael Anthony' DOI: 10.1080/13549839.2015.1038227 Date: 2015/06/03 ISSN: 1354-9839 Issue: 6 Journal: Local Environment Pages: 637-663 Publisher: Routledge Title: Assessing local climate action plans for public health co-benefits in environmental justice communities Volume: 20 Year: 2015 _record_number: 24109 _uuid: b9638744-8ff8-41bd-a741-27b2fda9face reftype: Journal Article child_publication: /article/10.1080/13549839.2015.1038227 href: https://data.globalchange.gov/reference/b9638744-8ff8-41bd-a741-27b2fda9face.yaml identifier: b9638744-8ff8-41bd-a741-27b2fda9face uri: /reference/b9638744-8ff8-41bd-a741-27b2fda9face - attrs: Abstract: 'Zika, a mosquito-borne viral disease that emerged in South America in 2015, was declared a Public Health Emergency of International Concern by the WHO in February of 2016. We developed a climate-driven R0 mathematical model for the transmission risk of Zika virus (ZIKV) that explicitly includes two key mosquito vector species: Aedes aegypti and Aedes albopictus. The model was parameterized and calibrated using the most up to date information from the available literature. It was then driven by observed gridded temperature and rainfall datasets for the period 1950–2015. We find that the transmission risk in South America in 2015 was the highest since 1950. This maximum is related to favoring temperature conditions that caused the simulated biting rates to be largest and mosquito mortality rates and extrinsic incubation periods to be smallest in 2015. This event followed the suspected introduction of ZIKV in Brazil in 2013. The ZIKV outbreak in Latin America has very likely been fueled by the 2015–2016 El Niño climate phenomenon affecting the region. The highest transmission risk globally is in South America and tropical countries where Ae. aegypti is abundant. Transmission risk is strongly seasonal in temperate regions where Ae. albopictus is present, with significant risk of ZIKV transmission in the southeastern states of the United States, in southern China, and to a lesser extent, over southern Europe during the boreal summer season.' Author: 'Caminade, Cyril; Turner, Joanne; Metelmann, Soeren; Hesson, Jenny C.; Blagrove, Marcus S. C.; Solomon, Tom; Morse, Andrew P.; Baylis, Matthew' DOI: 10.1073/pnas.1614303114 Date: 'January 3, 2017' Issue: 1 Journal: Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America Pages: 119-124 Title: Global risk model for vector-borne transmission of Zika virus reveals the role of El Niño 2015 Volume: 114 Year: 2017 _record_number: 24135 _uuid: ba80e684-08bc-4d0a-ae42-ce0f0975b24e reftype: Journal Article child_publication: /article/10.1073/pnas.1614303114 href: https://data.globalchange.gov/reference/ba80e684-08bc-4d0a-ae42-ce0f0975b24e.yaml identifier: ba80e684-08bc-4d0a-ae42-ce0f0975b24e uri: /reference/ba80e684-08bc-4d0a-ae42-ce0f0975b24e - attrs: Author: 'Klein Rosenthal, Joyce; Kinney, Patrick L.; Metzger, Kristina B.' DOI: 10.1016/j.healthplace.2014.07.014 Date: 2014/11/01/ ISSN: 1353-8292 Journal: Health & Place Keywords: Neighborhood characteristics; Vulnerability; Heat-related mortality; Health disparities; Housing quality Pages: 45-60 Title: 'Intra-urban vulnerability to heat-related mortality in New York City, 1997–2006' Volume: 30 Year: 2014 _record_number: 24118 _uuid: bb6cb91e-fd58-4222-8d22-023901f265eb reftype: Journal Article child_publication: /article/10.1016/j.healthplace.2014.07.014 href: https://data.globalchange.gov/reference/bb6cb91e-fd58-4222-8d22-023901f265eb.yaml identifier: bb6cb91e-fd58-4222-8d22-023901f265eb uri: /reference/bb6cb91e-fd58-4222-8d22-023901f265eb - attrs: Abstract: 'This report summarizes and discusses current knowledge on the impact that climate change can have on occupational safety and health (OSH), with a particular focus on the Americas. Worker safety and health issues are presented on topics related to specific stressors (e.g., temperature extremes), climate associated impacts (e.g., ice melt in the Arctic), and a health condition associated with climate change (chronic kidney disease of non-traditional etiology). The article discusses research needs, including hazards, surveillance, and risk assessment activities to better characterize and understand how OSH may be associated with climate change events. Also discussed are the actions that OSH professionals can take to ensure worker health and safety in the face of climate change.' Accession Number: PMC5176103 Author: 'Kiefer, Max; Rodríguez-Guzmán, Julietta; Watson, Joanna; van Wendel de Joode, Berna; Mergler, Donna; da Silva, Agnes Soares' ISSN: "1020-4989\r1680-5348" Issue: 3 Journal: Revista panamericana de salud publica = Pan American Journal of Public Health Name of Database: PMC Notes: "27991978[pmid]\rRev Panam Salud Publica" Pages: 192-197 Title: 'Worker health and safety and climate change in the Americas: Issues and research needs' URL: http://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC5176103/ Volume: 40 Year: 2016 _record_number: 25320 _uuid: bbb07cf9-3d20-441b-8d01-8371f67f27d0 reftype: Journal Article child_publication: /article/pmid-27991978 href: https://data.globalchange.gov/reference/bbb07cf9-3d20-441b-8d01-8371f67f27d0.yaml identifier: bbb07cf9-3d20-441b-8d01-8371f67f27d0 uri: /reference/bbb07cf9-3d20-441b-8d01-8371f67f27d0 - attrs: .reference_type: 10 Author: 'Houser, Trevor; Kopp, Robert; Hsiang, Solomon; Michael Delgado; Amir Jina; Kate Larsen; Michael Mastrandrea; Shashank Mohan; Robert Muir-Wood; DJ Rasmussen; James Rising; Paul Wilson' Institution: Rhodium Group Pages: 201 Place Published: 'New York, NY' Series Title: Working Paper Series Title: 'American Climate Prospectus: Economic Risks in the United States' URL: https://gspp.berkeley.edu/assets/uploads/research/pdf/American_Climate_Prospectus.pdf Year: 2014 _record_number: 21430 _uuid: bbca6337-718b-4289-b6e7-0a2f6c1cb8f1 reftype: Report child_publication: /report/american-climate-prospectus-economic-risks-united-states href: https://data.globalchange.gov/reference/bbca6337-718b-4289-b6e7-0a2f6c1cb8f1.yaml identifier: bbca6337-718b-4289-b6e7-0a2f6c1cb8f1 uri: /reference/bbca6337-718b-4289-b6e7-0a2f6c1cb8f1 - attrs: Author: 'Ross, Michelle E.; Vicedo-Cabrera, Ana M.; Kopp, Robert E.; Song, Lihai; Goldfarb, David S.; Pulido, Jose; Warner, Steven; Furth, Susan L.; Tasian, Gregory E.' DOI: 10.1016/j.envres.2017.12.020 Date: 2018/04/01/ ISSN: 0013-9351 Journal: Environmental Research Keywords: Temperature; Kidney stone presentations; Nephrolithiasis; Humidity; Prediction Pages: 97-105 Title: Assessment of the combination of temperature and relative humidity on kidney stone presentations Volume: 162 Year: 2018 _record_number: 25314 _uuid: bc677c60-b904-4fd5-9f2b-981e36b3e0ac reftype: Journal Article child_publication: /article/10.1016/j.envres.2017.12.020 href: https://data.globalchange.gov/reference/bc677c60-b904-4fd5-9f2b-981e36b3e0ac.yaml identifier: bc677c60-b904-4fd5-9f2b-981e36b3e0ac uri: /reference/bc677c60-b904-4fd5-9f2b-981e36b3e0ac - attrs: Author: 'Soneja, Sutyajeet; Jiang, Chengsheng; Romeo Upperman, Crystal; Murtugudde, Raghu; S. Mitchell, Clifford; Blythe, David; Sapkota, Amy R.; Sapkota, Amir' DOI: 10.1016/j.envres.2016.05.021 Date: 2016/08/01/ ISSN: 0013-9351 Journal: Environmental Research Keywords: Campylobacteriosis; Climate change; Coastal vulnerability; El Niño; La Niña Pages: 216-221 Title: 'Extreme precipitation events and increased risk of campylobacteriosis in Maryland, U.S.A' Volume: 149 Year: 2016 _record_number: 21707 _uuid: bcbd5def-bcf4-454a-b744-ff131acdbf39 reftype: Journal Article child_publication: /article/10.1016/j.envres.2016.05.021 href: https://data.globalchange.gov/reference/bcbd5def-bcf4-454a-b744-ff131acdbf39.yaml identifier: bcbd5def-bcf4-454a-b744-ff131acdbf39 uri: /reference/bcbd5def-bcf4-454a-b744-ff131acdbf39 - attrs: .reference_type: 9 Author: 'Doppelt, Bob' ISBN: 978-1783535286 Place Published: New York Publisher: Greenleaf Publishing (Routledge/Taylor & Francis) Title: 'Transformational Resilience: How Building Human Resilience to Climate Disruption Can Safeguard Society and Increase Wellbeing' Year: 2016 _record_number: 24130 _uuid: bf23355b-aa5e-48f6-916a-d2d32e46fe2b reftype: Book child_publication: /book/transformational-resilience-how-building-human-resilience-climate-disruption-can-safeguard-society-increase-wellbeing href: https://data.globalchange.gov/reference/bf23355b-aa5e-48f6-916a-d2d32e46fe2b.yaml identifier: bf23355b-aa5e-48f6-916a-d2d32e46fe2b uri: /reference/bf23355b-aa5e-48f6-916a-d2d32e46fe2b - attrs: Author: "Springmann, Marco; Mason-D'Croz, Daniel; Robinson, Sherman; Garnett, Tara; Godfray, H. Charles J.; Gollin, Douglas; Rayner, Mike; Ballon, Paola; Scarborough, Peter" DOI: 10.1016/S0140-6736(15)01156-3 Date: 2016/05/07/ ISSN: 0140-6736 Issue: 10031 Journal: The Lancet Pages: 1937-1946 Title: 'Global and regional health effects of future food production under climate change: A modelling study' Volume: 387 Year: 2016 _record_number: 25312 _uuid: bf93d053-588d-4611-a824-94f52018ef18 reftype: Journal Article child_publication: /article/10.1016/S0140-6736(15)01156-3 href: https://data.globalchange.gov/reference/bf93d053-588d-4611-a824-94f52018ef18.yaml identifier: bf93d053-588d-4611-a824-94f52018ef18 uri: /reference/bf93d053-588d-4611-a824-94f52018ef18 - attrs: Abstract: 'The unabated rise in anthropogenic CO₂ emissions is predicted to strongly influence the ocean’s environment, increasing the mean sea-surface temperature by 4°C and causing a pH decline of 0.3 units by the year 2100. These changes are likely to affect the nutritional value of marine food sources since temperature and CO₂ can influence the fatty (FA) and amino acid (AA) composition of marine primary producers. Here, essential amino (EA) and polyunsaturated fatty (PUFA) acids are of particular importance due to their nutritional value to higher trophic levels. In order to determine the interactive effects of CO₂ and temperature on the nutritional quality of a primary producer, we analyzed the relative PUFA and EA composition of the diatom Cylindrotheca fusiformis cultured under a factorial matrix of 2 temperatures (14 and 19°C) and 3 partial pressures of CO₂ (180, 380, 750 μatm) for >250 generations. Our results show a decay of ~3% and ~6% in PUFA and EA content in algae kept at a pCO₂ of 750 μatm (high) compared to the 380 μatm (intermediate) CO₂ treatments at 14°C. Cultures kept at 19°C displayed a ~3% lower PUFA content under high compared to intermediate pCO₂, while EA did not show differences between treatments. Algae grown at a pCO₂ of 180 μatm (low) had a lower PUFA and AA content in relation to those at intermediate and high CO₂ levels at 14°C, but there were no differences in EA at 19°C for any CO₂ treatment. This study is the first to report adverse effects of warming and acidification on the EA of a primary producer, and corroborates previous observations of negative effects of these stressors on PUFA. Considering that only ~20% of essential biomolecules such as PUFA (and possibly EA) are incorporated into new biomass at the next trophic level, the potential impacts of adverse effects of ocean warming and acidification at the base of the food web may be amplified towards higher trophic levels, which rely on them as source of essential biomolecules.' Author: 'Bermúdez, Rafael; Feng, Yuanyuan; Roleda, Michael Y.; Tatters, Avery O.; Hutchins, David A.; Larsen, Thomas; Boyd, Philip W.; Hurd, Catriona L.; Riebesell, Ulf; Winder, Monika' DOI: 10.1371/journal.pone.0123945 Issue: 5 Journal: PLOS ONE Pages: e0123945 Publisher: Public Library of Science Title: Long-term conditioning to elevated pCO2 and warming influences the fatty and amino acid composition of the diatom Cylindrotheca fusiformis Volume: 10 Year: 2015 _record_number: 24137 _uuid: c11491c3-1997-4aff-aecc-fdc3f6bbd58a reftype: Journal Article child_publication: /article/10.1371/journal.pone.0123945 href: https://data.globalchange.gov/reference/c11491c3-1997-4aff-aecc-fdc3f6bbd58a.yaml identifier: c11491c3-1997-4aff-aecc-fdc3f6bbd58a uri: /reference/c11491c3-1997-4aff-aecc-fdc3f6bbd58a - attrs: Author: 'Choudhary, Ekta; Vaidyanathan, Ambarish' ISSN: 1545-8636 Issue: 13 Journal: MMWR Surveillance Summaries Pages: 1-10 Title: 'Heat stress illness hospitalizations—Environmental public health tracking program, 20 States, 2001-2010.' URL: https://www.cdc.gov/mmwr/preview/mmwrhtml/ss6313a1.htm Volume: 63 Year: 2014 _record_number: 23742 _uuid: c2022b30-10b5-40f8-b14b-82c43209dd3d reftype: Journal Article child_publication: /article/heat-stress-illness-hospitalizationsenvironmental-public-health-tracking-program-20-states-2001-2010 href: https://data.globalchange.gov/reference/c2022b30-10b5-40f8-b14b-82c43209dd3d.yaml identifier: c2022b30-10b5-40f8-b14b-82c43209dd3d uri: /reference/c2022b30-10b5-40f8-b14b-82c43209dd3d - attrs: Author: 'Berman, Jesse D.; Ebisu, Keita; Peng, Roger D.; Dominici, Francesca; Bell, Michelle L.' DOI: 10.1016/S2542-5196(17)30002-5 Date: 2017/04/01/ ISSN: 2542-5196 Issue: 1 Journal: The Lancet Planetary Health Pages: e17-e25 Title: 'Drought and the risk of hospital admissions and mortality in older adults in western USA from 2000 to 2013: A retrospective study ' Volume: 1 Year: 2017 _record_number: 21858 _uuid: c2e222fc-c5e0-4e34-8f28-ab1fad575053 reftype: Journal Article child_publication: /article/10.1016/S2542-5196(17)30002-5 href: https://data.globalchange.gov/reference/c2e222fc-c5e0-4e34-8f28-ab1fad575053.yaml identifier: c2e222fc-c5e0-4e34-8f28-ab1fad575053 uri: /reference/c2e222fc-c5e0-4e34-8f28-ab1fad575053 - attrs: Author: 'Munro, Alice; Kovats, R. Sari; Rubin, G. James; Waite, Thomas David; Bone, Angie; Armstrong, Ben' DOI: 10.1016/S2542-5196(17)30047-5 Date: 2017/07/01/ ISSN: 2542-5196 Issue: 4 Journal: The Lancet Planetary Health Pages: e134-e141 Title: 'Effect of evacuation and displacement on the association between flooding and mental health outcomes: A cross-sectional analysis of UK survey data' Volume: 1 Year: 2017 _record_number: 25337 _uuid: c6947fa0-0aa6-43c4-bd6c-3af95cc1dd03 reftype: Journal Article child_publication: /article/10.1016/S2542-5196(17)30047-5 href: https://data.globalchange.gov/reference/c6947fa0-0aa6-43c4-bd6c-3af95cc1dd03.yaml identifier: c6947fa0-0aa6-43c4-bd6c-3af95cc1dd03 uri: /reference/c6947fa0-0aa6-43c4-bd6c-3af95cc1dd03 - attrs: .reference_type: 7 Author: 'Gamble, Janet L.; Balbus, John; Berger, Martha; Bouye, Karen; Campbell, Vince; Chief, Karletta; Conlon, Kathryn; Crimmins, Allison; Flanagan, Barry; Gonzalez-Maddux, Cristina; Hallisey, Elaine; Hutchins, Sonja; Jantarasami, Lesley; Khoury, Samar; Kiefer, Max; Kolling, Jessica; Lynn, Kathy; Manangan, Arie; McDonald, Marian; Morello-Frosch, Rachel; Redsteer, Margaret Hiza; Sheffield, Perry; Thigpen Tart, Kimberly; Watson, Joanna; Whyte, Kyle Powys; Wolkin, Amy Funk' Book Title: 'The Impacts of Climate Change on Human Health in the United States: A Scientific Assessment' DOI: 10.7930/J0Q81B0T Pages: 247–286 Place Published: 'Washington, DC' Publisher: U.S. Global Change Research Program Title: 'Ch. 9: Populations of concern' Year: 2016 _record_number: 19381 _uuid: c76d7935-9da3-4c4b-9186-86dc658bcc74 reftype: Book Section child_publication: /report/usgcrp-climate-human-health-assessment-2016/chapter/populations-of-concern href: https://data.globalchange.gov/reference/c76d7935-9da3-4c4b-9186-86dc658bcc74.yaml identifier: c76d7935-9da3-4c4b-9186-86dc658bcc74 uri: /reference/c76d7935-9da3-4c4b-9186-86dc658bcc74 - attrs: Abstract: 'While the impacts of heat upon mortality and morbidity have been frequently studied, few studies have examined the relationship between heat, morbidity, and mortality across the same events. This research assesses the relationship between heat events and morbidity and mortality in New York City for the period 1991–2004. Heat events are defined based on oppressive weather types as determined by the Spatial Synoptic Classification. Morbidity data include hospitalizations for heat-related, respiratory, and cardiovascular causes; mortality data include these subsets as well as all-cause totals. Distributed-lag models assess the relationship between heat and health outcome for a cumulative 15-day period following exposure. To further refine analysis, subset analyses assess the differences between early- and late-season events, shorter and longer events, and earlier and later years. The strongest heat–health relationships occur with all-cause mortality, cardiovascular mortality, and heat-related hospital admissions. The impacts of heat are greater during longer heat events and during the middle of summer, when increased mortality is still statistically significant after accounting for mortality displacement. Early-season heat waves have increases in mortality that appear to be largely short-term displacement. The impacts of heat on mortality have decreased over time. Heat-related hospital admissions have increased during this time, especially during the earlier days of heat events. Given the trends observed, it suggests that a greater awareness of heat hazards may have led to increased short-term hospitalizations with a commensurate decrease in mortality.' Author: 'Sheridan, Scott C.; Lin, Shao' DOI: 10.1007/s10393-014-0970-7 Date: December 01 ISSN: 1612-9210 Issue: 4 Journal: EcoHealth Pages: 512-525 Title: 'Assessing variability in the impacts of heat on health outcomes in New York City over time, season, and heat-wave duration' Type of Article: journal article Volume: 11 Year: 2014 _record_number: 23854 _uuid: c93425cc-9026-4a9d-abde-cb2d73327a71 reftype: Journal Article child_publication: /article/10.1007/s10393-014-0970-7 href: https://data.globalchange.gov/reference/c93425cc-9026-4a9d-abde-cb2d73327a71.yaml identifier: c93425cc-9026-4a9d-abde-cb2d73327a71 uri: /reference/c93425cc-9026-4a9d-abde-cb2d73327a71 - attrs: Abstract: 'Global warming is leading to increased frequency and severity of storms that are associated with flooding, increasing the risk to urban, coastal populations. This study examined perceptions of the relationship between severe storms, sea level rise, climate change and ecological barriers by a vulnerable environmental justice population in New Jersey. Patients using New Jersey’s Federally Qualified Health Centers were interviewed after Hurricane [Superstorm] Sandy because it is essential to understand the perceptions of uninsured, underinsured, and economically challenged people to better develop a resiliency strategy for the most vulnerable people. Patients (N = 355) using 6 centers were interviewed using a structured interview form. Patients were interviewed in the order they entered the reception area, in either English or Spanish. Respondents were asked to rate their agreement with environmental statements. Respondents 1) agreed with experts that “severe storms were due to climate change”, “storms will come more often”, and that “flooding was due to sea level rise”, 2) did not agree as strongly that “climate change was due to human activity”, 3) were neutral for statements that “Sandy damages were due to loss of dunes or salt marshes”. 4) did not differ as a function of ethnic/racial categories, and 5) showed few gender differences. It is imperative that the public understand that climate change and sea level rise are occurring so that they support community programs (and funding) to prepare for increased frequency of storms and coastal flooding. The lack of high ratings for the role of dunes and marshes in preventing flooding indicates a lack of understanding that ecological structures protect coasts, and suggests a lack of support for management actions to restore dunes as part of a coastal preparedness strategy. Perceptions that do not support a public policy of coastal zone management to protect coastlines can lead to increased flooding, extensive property damages, and injuries or loss of life.' Author: 'Burger, Joanna; Gochfeld, Michael' DOI: 10.1007/s11252-017-0678-x Date: December 01 ISSN: 1573-1642 Issue: 6 Journal: Urban Ecosystems Pages: 1261-1275 Title: 'Perceptions of severe storms, climate change, ecological structures and resiliency three years post-hurricane Sandy in New Jersey' Type of Article: journal article Volume: 20 Year: 2017 _record_number: 25331 _uuid: cab3885c-a808-40f4-9b4a-79808bbdf202 reftype: Journal Article child_publication: /article/10.1007/s11252-017-0678-x href: https://data.globalchange.gov/reference/cab3885c-a808-40f4-9b4a-79808bbdf202.yaml identifier: cab3885c-a808-40f4-9b4a-79808bbdf202 uri: /reference/cab3885c-a808-40f4-9b4a-79808bbdf202 - attrs: .reference_type: 7 Author: 'Linthicum, Kenneth J.; Assaf Anyamba; Seth C. Britch; Jennifer L. Small; Compton J. Tucker' Book Title: 'Global Health Impacts of Vector-Borne Diseases: Workshop Summary' DOI: 10.17226/21792 Editor: A. Mack ISBN: 978-0-309-37759-1 Pages: 202-220 Place Published: 'Washington, DC' Publisher: National Academies Press Title: 'Climate teleconnections, weather extremes, and vector-borne disease outbreaks' Year: 2016 _record_number: 26107 _uuid: caee7e9f-762a-4b4c-a1db-1c7153933499 reftype: Book Section child_publication: /book/1d952efe-6f8b-40e3-8f90-b93f123453e5 href: https://data.globalchange.gov/reference/caee7e9f-762a-4b4c-a1db-1c7153933499.yaml identifier: caee7e9f-762a-4b4c-a1db-1c7153933499 uri: /reference/caee7e9f-762a-4b4c-a1db-1c7153933499 - attrs: .reference_type: 10 Author: 'Baussan, Danielle' Institution: Center for American Progress Pages: 10 Place Published: 'Washington, DC' Title: "When You Can't Go Home: The Gulf Coast 10 Years after Katrina" URL: https://www.americanprogress.org/issues/green/reports/2015/08/18/119511/when-you-cant-go-home/ Year: 2015 _record_number: 24139 _uuid: cdf943a1-008a-4b9a-93d4-d0e49df114ae reftype: Report child_publication: /report/when-you-cant-go-home-gulf-coast-10-years-after-katrina href: https://data.globalchange.gov/reference/cdf943a1-008a-4b9a-93d4-d0e49df114ae.yaml identifier: cdf943a1-008a-4b9a-93d4-d0e49df114ae uri: /reference/cdf943a1-008a-4b9a-93d4-d0e49df114ae - attrs: Abstract: 'Introduction Although many studies have delineated the variety and magnitude of impacts that climate change is likely to have on health, very little is known about how well hospitals are poised to respond to these impacts. Hypothesis/Problem The hypothesis is that most modern hospitals in urban areas in the United States need to augment their current disaster planning to include climate-related impacts. Methods Using Los Angeles County (California USA) as a case study, historical data for emergency department (ED) visits and projections for extreme-heat events were used to determine how much climate change is likely to increase ED visits by mid-century for each hospital. In addition, historical data about the location of wildfires in Los Angeles County and projections for increased frequency of both wildfires and flooding related to sea-level rise were used to identify which area hospitals will have an increased risk of climate-related wildfires or flooding at mid-century. Results Only a small fraction of the total number of predicted ED visits at mid-century would likely to be due to climate change. By contrast, a significant portion of hospitals in Los Angeles County are in close proximity to very high fire hazard severity zones (VHFHSZs) and would be at greater risk to wildfire impacts as a result of climate change by mid-century. One hospital in Los Angeles County was anticipated to be at greater risk due to flooding by mid-century as a result of climate-related sea-level rise. Conclusion This analysis suggests that several Los Angeles County hospitals should focus their climate-change-related planning on building resiliency to wildfires. Adelaine SA , Sato M , Jin Y , Godwin H . An Assessment of Climate Change Impacts on Los Angeles (California USA) Hospitals, Wildfires Highest Priority. Prehosp Disaster Med. 2017;32(5):556–562.' Author: 'Adelaine, Sabrina A.; Sato, Mizuki; Jin, Yufang; Godwin, Hilary' DOI: 10.1017/S1049023X17006586 Database Provider: Cambridge University Press EPub Date: 2017/06/13 ISSN: 1049-023X Issue: 5 Journal: Prehospital and Disaster Medicine Keywords: climate change; hospital; wildfire Name of Database: Cambridge Core Pages: 556-562 Publisher: Cambridge University Press Title: 'An assessment of climate change impacts on Los Angeles (California USA) hospitals, wildfires highest priority' Volume: 32 Year: 2017 _record_number: 25332 _uuid: d256036d-2155-4037-8b60-3ac77b22adbd reftype: Journal Article child_publication: /article/10.1017/S1049023X17006586 href: https://data.globalchange.gov/reference/d256036d-2155-4037-8b60-3ac77b22adbd.yaml identifier: d256036d-2155-4037-8b60-3ac77b22adbd uri: /reference/d256036d-2155-4037-8b60-3ac77b22adbd - attrs: .reference_type: 0 Author: 'Akil, Luma; Ahmad, H. Anwar; Reddy, Remata S.' DOI: 10.1089/fpd.2014.1802 ISSN: 1556-7125 Issue: 12 Journal: Foodborne Pathogens and Disease Pages: 974-980 Title: Effects of climate change on Salmonella infections Volume: 11 Year: 2014 _chapter: Ch6 _record_number: 17623 _uuid: d429eeff-a10c-42e2-861e-5ce4506d77cf reftype: Journal Article child_publication: /article/10.1089/fpd.2014.1802 href: https://data.globalchange.gov/reference/d429eeff-a10c-42e2-861e-5ce4506d77cf.yaml identifier: d429eeff-a10c-42e2-861e-5ce4506d77cf uri: /reference/d429eeff-a10c-42e2-861e-5ce4506d77cf - attrs: .reference_type: 0 Author: 'Mills, David; Schwartz, Joel; Lee, Mihye; Sarofim, Marcus; Jones, Russell; Lawson, Megan; Duckworth, Michael; Deck, Leland' DOI: 10.1007/s10584-014-1154-8 ISSN: 1573-1480 Issue: 1 Journal: Climatic Change Pages: 83-95 Title: Climate change impacts on extreme temperature mortality in select metropolitan areas in the United States Volume: 131 Year: 2015 _chapter: Ch2 _record_number: 17612 _uuid: d4613be9-fc30-44b5-afdb-e6d6daf4b490 reftype: Journal Article child_publication: /article/10.1007/s10584-014-1154-8 href: https://data.globalchange.gov/reference/d4613be9-fc30-44b5-afdb-e6d6daf4b490.yaml identifier: d4613be9-fc30-44b5-afdb-e6d6daf4b490 uri: /reference/d4613be9-fc30-44b5-afdb-e6d6daf4b490 - attrs: Abstract: 'Acute gastro-intestinal illness (AGI) is a major cause of mortality and morbidity worldwide and an important public health problem. Despite the fact that AGI is currently responsible for a huge burden of disease throughout the world, important knowledge gaps exist in terms of its epidemiology. Specifically, an understanding of seasonality and those factors driving seasonal variation remain elusive. This paper aims to assess variation in the incidence of AGI in British Columbia (BC), Canada over an 11-year study period. We assessed variation in AGI dynamics in general, and disaggregated by hydroclimatic regime and drinking water source. We used several different visual and statistical techniques to describe and characterize seasonal and annual patterns in AGI incidence over time. Our results consistently illustrate marked seasonal patterns; seasonality remains when the dataset is disaggregated by hydroclimatic regime and drinking water source; however, differences in the magnitude and timing of the peaks and troughs are noted. We conclude that systematic descriptions of infectious illness dynamics over time is a valuable tool for informing disease prevention strategies and generating hypotheses to guide future research in an era of global environmental change.' Author: 'Galway, Lindsay P.; Allen, Diana M.; Parkes, Margot W.; Takaro, Tim K.' DOI: 10.2166/wh.2013.105 Issue: 1 Journal: Journal of Water and Health Pages: 122-135 Title: 'Seasonal variation of acute gastro-intestinal illness by hydroclimatic regime and drinking water source: A retrospective population-based study' Volume: 12 Year: 2014 _record_number: 24062 _uuid: d46e068d-361c-4b50-a96b-670a5b9a95bf reftype: Journal Article child_publication: /article/10.2166/wh.2013.105 href: https://data.globalchange.gov/reference/d46e068d-361c-4b50-a96b-670a5b9a95bf.yaml identifier: d46e068d-361c-4b50-a96b-670a5b9a95bf uri: /reference/d46e068d-361c-4b50-a96b-670a5b9a95bf - attrs: .reference_type: 7 Author: 'Trtanj, Juli; Jantarasami, Lesley; Brunkard, Joan; Collier, Tracy; Jacobs, John; Lipp, Erin; McLellan, Sandra; Moore, Stephanie; Paerl, Hans; Ravenscroft, John; Sengco, Mario; Thurston, Jeanette' Book Title: 'The Impacts of Climate Change on Human Health in the United States: A Scientific Assessment' DOI: 10.7930/J03F4MH4 Pages: 157–188 Place Published: 'Washington, DC' Publisher: U.S. Global Change Research Program Title: 'Ch. 6: Climate impacts on water-related illness' Year: 2016 _record_number: 19378 _uuid: d4ed906f-cc7b-422c-aef1-96a1b1d5c80f reftype: Book Section child_publication: /report/usgcrp-climate-human-health-assessment-2016/chapter/water-related-illnesses href: https://data.globalchange.gov/reference/d4ed906f-cc7b-422c-aef1-96a1b1d5c80f.yaml identifier: d4ed906f-cc7b-422c-aef1-96a1b1d5c80f uri: /reference/d4ed906f-cc7b-422c-aef1-96a1b1d5c80f - attrs: .reference_type: 10 Author: 'Brown, M.E.; J.M. Antle; P. Backlund; E.R. Carr; W.E. Easterling; M.K. Walsh; C. Ammann; W. Attavanich; C.B. Barrett; M.F. Bellemare; V. Dancheck; C. Funk; K. Grace; J.S.I. Ingram; H. Jiang; H. Maletta; T. Mata; A. Murray; M. Ngugi; D. Ojima; B. O’Neill; C. Tebaldi' DOI: 10.7930/J0862DC7 Institution: U.S. Global Change Research Program Pages: 146 Place Published: 'Washington, DC' Title: 'Climate Change, Global Food Security, and the U.S. Food System' Year: 2015 _record_number: 23655 _uuid: d51156cc-0034-4afc-b2b7-1ad99efde458 reftype: Report child_publication: /report/usda-climate-change-global-food-security-us-food-system-2015 href: https://data.globalchange.gov/reference/d51156cc-0034-4afc-b2b7-1ad99efde458.yaml identifier: d51156cc-0034-4afc-b2b7-1ad99efde458 uri: /reference/d51156cc-0034-4afc-b2b7-1ad99efde458 - attrs: Author: 'Glibert, Patricia M.; Icarus Allen, J.; Artioli, Yuri; Beusen, Arthur; Bouwman, Lex; Harle, James; Holmes, Robert; Holt, Jason' DOI: 10.1111/gcb.12662 ISSN: 1365-2486 Issue: 12 Journal: Global Change Biology Keywords: GCOMS-POLCOMS-ERSIM model; IPCC scenarios; Karenia spp; nutrient stoichiometry; Prorocentrum spp Pages: 3845-3858 Title: 'Vulnerability of coastal ecosystems to changes in harmful algal bloom distribution in response to climate change: Projections based on model analysis' Volume: 20 Year: 2014 _record_number: 24063 _uuid: d515604c-1a1e-4ea1-8587-6d1807657ccf reftype: Journal Article child_publication: /article/10.1111/gcb.12662 href: https://data.globalchange.gov/reference/d515604c-1a1e-4ea1-8587-6d1807657ccf.yaml identifier: d515604c-1a1e-4ea1-8587-6d1807657ccf uri: /reference/d515604c-1a1e-4ea1-8587-6d1807657ccf - attrs: .reference_type: 0 Author: 'Jagai, J.S.; Li, Quanlin; Wang, Shiliang; Messier, K.P.; Wade, Timothy J.; Hilborn, Elizabeth D.' DOI: 10.1289/ehp.1408971 ISSN: 1552-9924 Issue: 9 Journal: Environmental Health Perspectives Pages: 873-879 Title: 'Extreme precipitation and emergency room visits for gastrointestinal illness in areas with and without combined sewer systems: An analysis of Massachusetts data, 2003-2007' Volume: 123 Year: 2015 _record_number: 19179 _uuid: d746e578-c6fd-4b73-8a3c-d91365668348 reftype: Journal Article child_publication: /article/10.1289/ehp.1408971 href: https://data.globalchange.gov/reference/d746e578-c6fd-4b73-8a3c-d91365668348.yaml identifier: d746e578-c6fd-4b73-8a3c-d91365668348 uri: /reference/d746e578-c6fd-4b73-8a3c-d91365668348 - attrs: Abstract: "Zika virus was identified in Uganda in 1947; since then, it has enveloped the tropics, causing disease of varying severity. Lessler et al. review the historical literature to remind us that Zika's neurotropism was observed in mice even before clinical case reports in Nigeria in 1953. What determines the clinical manifestations; how local conditions, vectors, genetics, and wild hosts affect transmission and geographical spread; what the best control strategy is; and how to develop effective drugs, vaccines, and diagnostics are all critical questions that are begging for data.Science, this issue p. 663BACKGROUNDFirst discovered in 1947, Zika virus (ZIKV) received little attention until a surge in microcephaly cases was reported after a 2015 outbreak in Brazil. The size of the outbreak and the severity of associated birth defects prompted the World Health Organization (WHO) to declare a Public Health Emergency of International Concern on 1 February 2016. In response, there has been an explosion in research and planning as the global health community has turned its attention to understanding and controlling ZIKV. Still, much of the information needed to evaluate the global health threat from ZIKV is lacking. The global threat posed by any emerging pathogen depends on its epidemiology, its clinical features, and our ability to implement effective control measures. Whether introductions of ZIKV result in epidemics depends on local ecology, population immunity, regional demographics, and, to no small degree, random chance. The same factors determine whether the virus will establish itself as an endemic disease. The burden of ZIKV spread on human health is mediated by its natural history and pathogenesis, particularly during pregnancy, and our ability to control the virus’s spread. In this Review, we examine the empirical evidence for a global threat from ZIKV through the lens of these processes, examining historic and current evidence, as well as parallel processes in closely related viruses.ADVANCESBecause ZIKV was not recognized as an important disease in humans until recently, it was little studied before the recent crisis. Nevertheless, the limited data from the decades following its discovery provide important clues into ZIKV’s epidemiology and suggest that some populations were at risk for the virus for years in the mid-20th century, although this risk may predominantly have been the result of spillover infections from a sylvatic reservoir. Recent outbreaks on Yap Island (2007) and in French Polynesia (2014) provide the only previous observations of large epidemics and are the basis for the little that we do know about ZIKV’s acute symptoms (e.g., rash, fever, conjunctivitis, and arthralgia), the risk of birth defects, such as microcephaly (estimated to be 1 per 100 in French Polynesia), and the incidence of severe neurological outcomes (e.g., Guillain-Barré is estimated to occur in approximately 2 out of every 10,000 cases). The observation of an association between ZIKV and a surge in microcephaly cases in Brazil and the subsequent declaration of a Public Health Emergency of International Concern by the WHO have rapidly accelerated research into the virus. Small, but very important, studies have begun to identify the substantial risk the virus can pose throughout a pregnancy, and careful surveillance has established that ZIKV can be transmitted sexually. Numerous modeling studies have helped to estimate the potential range of ZIKV and measured its reproductive number R0 (estimates range from 1.4 to 6.6), a key measure of transmissibility in a number of settings. Still, it remains unclear whether the recent epidemic in the Americas is the result of fundamental changes in the virus or merely a chance event.OUTLOOKZIKV research is progressing rapidly, and over the coming months and years our understanding of the virus will undoubtedly deepen considerably. Key questions about the virus’s range, its ability to persist, and its clinical severity will be answered as the current epidemic in the Americas runs its cou se. Moving forward, it is important that information on ZIKV be placed within the context of its effect on human health and that we remain cognizant of the structure of postinvasion epidemic dynamics as we respond to this emerging threat. The effect of ZIKV is a function of the local transmission regime and viral pathogenesis.(A) Many countries cannot maintain ongoing vector-mediated ZIKV transmission and are only at risk from importation by travelers and limited onward transmission (e.g., through sex). (B) If conditions are appropriate, importations can lead to postinvasion epidemics with high incidence across age ranges, after which the virus may go locally extinct or remain endemic. (C) There is evidence of ongoing ZIKV incidence in humans over years (e.g., a 1952 serosurvey in Nigeria), but it is unknown whether this is the result of ongoing circulation in humans or frequent spillover infections from a sylvatic cycle. (D) In other areas, ZIKV appears to have been maintained in animals with few human infections. (E) The majority of infections are asymptomatic, and severe outcomes, such as Guillain-Barré syndrome, are rare. (F) However, there is considerable risk of microcephaly and other fetal sequelae when infection occurs during pregnancy.First discovered in 1947, Zika virus (ZIKV) infection remained a little-known tropical disease until 2015, when its apparent association with a considerable increase in the incidence of microcephaly in Brazil raised alarms worldwide. There is limited information on the key factors that determine the extent of the global threat from ZIKV infection and resulting complications. Here, we review what is known about the epidemiology, natural history, and public health effects of ZIKV infection, the empirical basis for this knowledge, and the critical knowledge gaps that need to be filled." Author: 'Lessler, Justin; Chaisson, Lelia H.; Kucirka, Lauren M.; Bi, Qifang; Grantz, Kyra; Salje, Henrik; Carcelen, Andrea C.; Ott, Cassandra T.; Sheffield, Jeanne S.; Ferguson, Neil M.; Cummings, Derek A. T.; Metcalf, C. Jessica E.; Rodriguez-Barraquer, Isabel' DOI: 10.1126/science.aaf8160 Issue: 6300 Journal: Science Title: Assessing the global threat from Zika virus Volume: 353 Year: 2016 _record_number: 24071 _uuid: d802722a-1f2c-4b64-932e-74e17a1c2209 reftype: Journal Article child_publication: /article/10.1126/science.aaf8160 href: https://data.globalchange.gov/reference/d802722a-1f2c-4b64-932e-74e17a1c2209.yaml identifier: d802722a-1f2c-4b64-932e-74e17a1c2209 uri: /reference/d802722a-1f2c-4b64-932e-74e17a1c2209 - attrs: Author: 'Lowe, Rachel; Caio AS Coelho; Christovam Barcellos; Marilia Sá Carvalho; Rafael De Castro Catão; Giovanini E Coelho; Walter Massa Ramalho; Trevor C Bailey; David B Stephenson; Xavier Rodó ' DOI: 10.7554/eLife.11285 Journal: eLIFE Pages: e11285 Title: Evaluating probabilistic dengue risk forecasts from a prototype early warning system for Brazil Volume: 5 Year: 2016 _record_number: 24114 _uuid: d903a4ad-f3f6-484a-baaa-468f5928e740 reftype: Journal Article child_publication: /article/10.7554/eLife.11285 href: https://data.globalchange.gov/reference/d903a4ad-f3f6-484a-baaa-468f5928e740.yaml identifier: d903a4ad-f3f6-484a-baaa-468f5928e740 uri: /reference/d903a4ad-f3f6-484a-baaa-468f5928e740 - attrs: .reference_type: 10 Author: 'Cushing, Lara J.; Madeline Wander; Rachel Morello-Frosch; Manuel Pastor; Allen Zhu; James Sadd' Institution: USC Dornsife Pages: 17 Place Published: 'Los Angeles, CA' Series Volume: Program for Environmental and Regional Equity (PERE) Publication Title: A Preliminary Environmental Equity Assessment Of California’s Cap-and-Trade Program URL: https://dornsife.usc.edu/assets/sites/242/docs/Climate_Equity_Brief_CA_Cap_and_Trade_Sept2016_FINAL2.pdf Year: 2016 _record_number: 24131 _uuid: dae0a009-a0ca-498e-ab92-12d1bd644db7 reftype: Report child_publication: /report/preliminary-environmental-equity-assessment-californias-cap-and-trade-program href: https://data.globalchange.gov/reference/dae0a009-a0ca-498e-ab92-12d1bd644db7.yaml identifier: dae0a009-a0ca-498e-ab92-12d1bd644db7 uri: /reference/dae0a009-a0ca-498e-ab92-12d1bd644db7 - attrs: .reference_type: 7 Author: 'Beard, Charles B.; Eisen, Rebecca J.; Barker, Christopher M.; Garofalo, Jada F.; Hahn, Micah; Hayden, Mary; Monaghan, Andrew J.; Ogden, Nicholas H.; Schramm, Paul J.' Book Title: 'The Impacts of Climate Change on Human Health in the United States: A Scientific Assessment' DOI: 10.7930/J0765C7V Pages: 129–156 Place Published: 'Washington, DC' Publisher: ' U.S. Global Change Research Program' Title: 'Ch. 5: Vector-borne diseases ' Year: 2016 _record_number: 19377 _uuid: dbfb7cd9-7c82-43ea-a4e2-9e2eb0b851fd reftype: Book Section child_publication: /report/usgcrp-climate-human-health-assessment-2016/chapter/vectorborne-diseases href: https://data.globalchange.gov/reference/dbfb7cd9-7c82-43ea-a4e2-9e2eb0b851fd.yaml identifier: dbfb7cd9-7c82-43ea-a4e2-9e2eb0b851fd uri: /reference/dbfb7cd9-7c82-43ea-a4e2-9e2eb0b851fd - attrs: Abstract: 'Objectives. To evaluate health impacts of drought during the most severe drought in California’s recorded history with a rapid assessment method.Methods. We conducted Community Assessments for Public Health Emergency Response during October through November 2015 in Tulare County and Mariposa County to evaluate household water access, acute stressors, exacerbations of chronic diseases and behavioral health issues, and financial impacts. We evaluated pairwise associations by logistic regression with pooled data.Results. By assessment area, households reported not having running water (3%–12%); impacts on finances (25%–39%), property (39%–54%), health (10%–20%), and peace of mind (33%–61%); worsening of a chronic disease (16%–46%); acute stress (8%–26%); and considering moving (14%–34%). Impacts on finances or property were each associated with impacts on health and peace of mind, and acute stress.Conclusions. Drought-impacted households might perceive physical and mental health effects and might experience financial or property impacts related to the drought.Public Health Implications. Local jurisdictions should consider implementing drought assistance programs, including behavioral health, and consider rapid assessments to inform public health action.' Author: 'Barreau, Tracy; David Conway; Karen Haught; Rebecca Jackson; Richard Kreutzer; Andrew Lockman; Sharon Minnick; Rachel Roisman; David Rozell; Svetlana Smorodinsky; Dana Tafoya; Jason A. Wilken' DOI: 10.2105/ajph.2017.303695 Issue: 5 Journal: American Journal of Public Health Pages: 783-790 Title: 'Physical, mental, and financial impacts from drought in two California counties, 2015' Volume: 107 Year: 2017 _record_number: 24142 _uuid: dde27300-db21-434e-a44e-4aae19cbe8a4 reftype: Journal Article child_publication: /article/10.2105/ajph.2017.303695 href: https://data.globalchange.gov/reference/dde27300-db21-434e-a44e-4aae19cbe8a4.yaml identifier: dde27300-db21-434e-a44e-4aae19cbe8a4 uri: /reference/dde27300-db21-434e-a44e-4aae19cbe8a4 - attrs: .reference_type: 10 Author: 'Island Press,' Institution: Island Press and the Kresge Foundation Pages: 36 Place Published: 'Washington, DC and Troy, MI' Title: 'Bounce Forward: Urban Resilience in the Era of Climate Change' URL: https://kresge.org/sites/default/files/Bounce-Forward-Urban-Resilience-in-Era-of-Climate-Change-2015.pdf Year: 2015 _record_number: 25323 _uuid: e00dbf25-7f96-4894-9182-5a9955bb2df3 reftype: Report child_publication: /report/bounce-forward-urban-resilience-era-climate-change href: https://data.globalchange.gov/reference/e00dbf25-7f96-4894-9182-5a9955bb2df3.yaml identifier: e00dbf25-7f96-4894-9182-5a9955bb2df3 uri: /reference/e00dbf25-7f96-4894-9182-5a9955bb2df3 - attrs: Abstract: 'To aid health adaptation decision-making, there are increasing efforts to provide climate projections at finer temporal and spatial scales. Relying solely on projected climate changes for longer-term decisions makes the implicit assumption that sources of vulnerability other than climate change will remain the same, which is not very probable. Over longer time horizons, this approach likely over estimates the extent to which climate change could alter the magnitude and pattern of health outcomes, introducing systematic bias into health management decisions. To balance this potential bias, decision-makers also need projections of other drivers of health outcomes that are, like climate change, recognized determinants of some disease burdens. Incorporating projections via an iterative process that allows for regular updates based on new knowledge and experience has the potential to improve the utility of fine-scale climate projections in health system adaptation to climate change.' Author: 'Ebi, Kristie L.; Hess, Jeremy J.; Isaksen, Tania Busch' DOI: 10.1007/s40572-016-0077-0 Date: March 01 ISSN: 2196-5412 Issue: 1 Journal: Current Environmental Health Reports Pages: 99-105 Title: Using uncertain climate and development information in health adaptation planning Type of Article: journal article Volume: 3 Year: 2016 _record_number: 24058 _uuid: e3c4d3b0-5fa1-446c-8af4-1f466e312f99 reftype: Journal Article child_publication: /article/10.1007/s40572-016-0077-0 href: https://data.globalchange.gov/reference/e3c4d3b0-5fa1-446c-8af4-1f466e312f99.yaml identifier: e3c4d3b0-5fa1-446c-8af4-1f466e312f99 uri: /reference/e3c4d3b0-5fa1-446c-8af4-1f466e312f99 - attrs: Abstract: 'This study quantified the impacts of climate change on human health through undernourishment using two economic measures. First, changes in morbidity and mortality due to nine diseases caused by being underweight as a child were analyzed using a Computable General Equilibrium (CGE) model with changes in the labor force, population, and demands for healthcare taken into consideration. Second, changes in mortality were taken from the CGE simulation and assessed economically by the value of lives lost and willingness to pay to reduce the risk. Model uncertainties in future crop yields and climate conditions were considered using future projections from six global crop models and five global climate models. We found that the economic valuation of healthy lives lost due to undernourishment under climate change was equivalent to −0.4 % to 0.0 % of global gross domestic product (GDP) and was regionally heterogeneous, ranging from −4.0 % to 0.0 % of regional GDP in 2100. In contrast, the actual economic losses associated with the effects of additional health expenditure and the decrease in the labor force due to undernourishment resulting from climate change corresponded to a − 0.1 % to 0.0 % change in GDP and a − 0.2 % to 0.0 % change in household consumption, respectively, at the global level.' Author: 'Hasegawa, Tomoko; Fujimori, Shinichiro; Takahashi, Kiyoshi; Yokohata, Tokuta; Masui, Toshihiko' DOI: 10.1007/s10584-016-1606-4 Date: May 01 ISSN: 1573-1480 Issue: 2 Journal: Climatic Change Pages: 189-202 Title: Economic implications of climate change impacts on human health through undernourishment Type of Article: journal article Volume: 136 Year: 2016 _record_number: 25326 _uuid: e68d35d6-086b-4044-a56a-d023149c0551 reftype: Journal Article child_publication: /article/10.1007/s10584-016-1606-4 href: https://data.globalchange.gov/reference/e68d35d6-086b-4044-a56a-d023149c0551.yaml identifier: e68d35d6-086b-4044-a56a-d023149c0551 uri: /reference/e68d35d6-086b-4044-a56a-d023149c0551 - attrs: Abstract: 'Valley fever is endemic to the southwestern United States. Humans contract this fungal disease by inhaling spores of Coccidioides spp. Changes in the environment can influence the abundance and dispersal of Coccidioides spp., causing fluctuations in valley fever incidence. We combined county‐level case records from state health agencies to create a regional valley fever database for the southwestern United States, including Arizona, California, Nevada, New Mexico, and Utah. We used this data set to explore how environmental factors influenced the spatial pattern and temporal dynamics of valley fever incidence during 2000–2015. We compiled climate and environmental geospatial data sets from multiple sources to compare with valley fever incidence. These variables included air temperature, precipitation, soil moisture, surface dust concentration, normalized difference vegetation index, and cropland area. We found that valley fever incidence was greater in areas with warmer air temperatures and drier soils. The mean annual cycle of incidence varied throughout the southwestern United States and peaked following periods of low precipitation and soil moisture. From year‐to‐year, however, autumn incidence was higher following cooler, wetter, and productive springs in the San Joaquin Valley of California. In southcentral Arizona, incidence increased significantly through time. By 2015, incidence in this region was more than double the rate in the San Joaquin Valley. Our analysis provides a framework for interpreting the influence of climate change on valley fever incidence dynamics. Our results may allow the U.S. Centers for Disease Control and Prevention to improve their estimates of the spatial pattern and intensity of valley fever endemicity.' Author: 'Gorris, M. E.; L. A. Cat; C. S. Zender; K. K. Treseder; J. T. Randerson' DOI: 10.1002/2017GH000095 Issue: 1 Journal: GeoHealth Pages: 6-24 Title: Coccidioidomycosis dynamics in relation to climate in the southwestern United States Volume: 2 Year: 2018 _record_number: 25334 _uuid: e7604efd-b24b-43f7-93b9-5046de36a18a reftype: Journal Article child_publication: /article/10.1002/2017GH000095 href: https://data.globalchange.gov/reference/e7604efd-b24b-43f7-93b9-5046de36a18a.yaml identifier: e7604efd-b24b-43f7-93b9-5046de36a18a uri: /reference/e7604efd-b24b-43f7-93b9-5046de36a18a - attrs: Abstract: 'The association between food insecurity and mental health is established. Increasingly, associations between drought and mental health and drought and food insecurity have been observed in a number of countries. The impact of drought on the association between food insecurity and mental health has received little attention.' Author: 'Friel, Sharon; Berry, Helen; Dinh, Huong; O’Brien, Léan; Walls, Helen L.' DOI: 10.1186/1471-2458-14-1102 Date: October 24 ISSN: 1471-2458 Issue: 1 Journal: BMC Public Health Pages: 1102 Title: The impact of drought on the association between food security and mental health in a nationally representative Australian sample Type of Article: journal article Volume: 14 Year: 2014 _record_number: 24126 _uuid: e967634e-e689-46ef-ac7b-51c962ecd582 reftype: Journal Article child_publication: /article/10.1186/1471-2458-14-1102 href: https://data.globalchange.gov/reference/e967634e-e689-46ef-ac7b-51c962ecd582.yaml identifier: e967634e-e689-46ef-ac7b-51c962ecd582 uri: /reference/e967634e-e689-46ef-ac7b-51c962ecd582 - attrs: Abstract: 'Some rare heatwaves have extreme daily mortality impacts; moderate heatwaves have lower daily impacts but occur much more frequently at present and so account for large aggregated impacts. We applied health-based models to project trends in high-mortality heatwaves, including proportion of all heatwaves expected to be high-mortality, using the definition that a high-mortality heatwave increases mortality risk by ≥20 %. We projected these trends in 82 US communities in 2061–2080 under two scenarios of climate change (RCP4.5, RCP8.5), two scenarios of population change (SSP3, SSP5), and three scenarios of community adaptation to heat (none, lagged, on-pace) for large- and medium-ensemble versions of the National Center for Atmospheric Research’s Community Earth System Model. More high-mortality heatwaves were expected compared to present under all scenarios except on-pace adaptation, and population exposure was expected to increase under all scenarios. At least seven more high-mortality heatwaves were expected in a twenty-year period in the 82 study communities under RCP8.5 than RCP4.5 when assuming no adaptation. However, high-mortality heatwaves were expected to remain <1 % of all heatwaves and heatwave exposure under all scenarios. Projections were most strongly influenced by the adaptation scenario—going from a scenario of on-pace to lagged adaptation or from lagged to no adaptation more than doubled the projected number of and exposure to high-mortality heatwaves. Based on our results, fewer high-mortality heatwaves are expected when following RCP4.5 versus RCP8.5 and under higher levels of adaptation, but high-mortality heatwaves are expected to remain a very small proportion of total heatwave exposure.' Author: 'Anderson, G. Brooke; Oleson, Keith W.; Jones, Bryan; Peng, Roger D.' DOI: 10.1007/s10584-016-1779-x Date: August 30 ISSN: 1573-1480 Journal: Climatic Change Title: 'Projected trends in high-mortality heatwaves under different scenarios of climate, population, and adaptation in 82 US communities' Type of Article: journal article Year: 2016 _record_number: 24145 _uuid: ea2ea20a-5d62-49ac-a89b-9a7951711a1b reftype: Journal Article child_publication: /article/10.1007/s10584-016-1779-x href: https://data.globalchange.gov/reference/ea2ea20a-5d62-49ac-a89b-9a7951711a1b.yaml identifier: ea2ea20a-5d62-49ac-a89b-9a7951711a1b uri: /reference/ea2ea20a-5d62-49ac-a89b-9a7951711a1b - attrs: Author: 'Wolch, Jennifer R.; Byrne, Jason; Newell, Joshua P.' DOI: 10.1016/j.landurbplan.2014.01.017 Journal: Landscape and Urban Planning Keywords: added by ERG Pages: 234-244 Title: 'Urban green space, public health, and environmental justice: The challenge of making cities "just green enough"' Volume: 125 Year: 2014 _record_number: 23142 _uuid: ea8728bd-b961-4115-98d9-f834d50568ab reftype: Journal Article child_publication: /article/10.1016/j.landurbplan.2014.01.017 href: https://data.globalchange.gov/reference/ea8728bd-b961-4115-98d9-f834d50568ab.yaml identifier: ea8728bd-b961-4115-98d9-f834d50568ab uri: /reference/ea8728bd-b961-4115-98d9-f834d50568ab - attrs: .reference_type: 10 Author: 'Gonzalez, Rosa; other contributors,' Institution: National Association of Climate Resilience Planners Series Editor: Taj James; Jovida Ross Title: 'Community-driven climate resilience planning: A framework, version 2.0' URL: http://movementstrategy.org/b/wp-content/uploads/2017/05/WEB-CD-CRP_Updated-5.11.17.pdf Year: 2017 _record_number: 24028 _uuid: ec4d3830-c3b9-491b-9bc0-facccd717e00 reftype: Report child_publication: /report/community-driven-climate-resilience-planning-framework-version-20 href: https://data.globalchange.gov/reference/ec4d3830-c3b9-491b-9bc0-facccd717e00.yaml identifier: ec4d3830-c3b9-491b-9bc0-facccd717e00 uri: /reference/ec4d3830-c3b9-491b-9bc0-facccd717e00 - attrs: Author: 'Schulte, P. A.; Bhattacharya, A.; Butler, C. R.; Chun, H. K.; Jacklitsch, B.; Jacobs, T.; Kiefer, M.; Lincoln, J.; Pendergrass, S.; Shire, J.; Watson, J.; Wagner, G. R.' DOI: 10.1080/15459624.2016.1179388 Date: 2016/11/01 ISSN: 1545-9624 Issue: 11 Journal: Journal of Occupational and Environmental Hygiene Pages: 847-865 Publisher: Taylor & Francis Title: Advancing the framework for considering the effects of climate change on worker safety and health Volume: 13 Year: 2016 _record_number: 25313 _uuid: edf0082f-a1b6-48ef-b8d4-e20a458e4bc8 reftype: Journal Article child_publication: /article/10.1080/15459624.2016.1179388 href: https://data.globalchange.gov/reference/edf0082f-a1b6-48ef-b8d4-e20a458e4bc8.yaml identifier: edf0082f-a1b6-48ef-b8d4-e20a458e4bc8 uri: /reference/edf0082f-a1b6-48ef-b8d4-e20a458e4bc8 - attrs: Author: 'Forman, Fonna; Solomon, Gina; Morello-Frosch, Rachel; Pezzoli, Keith' DOI: 10.1525/collabra.67 Issue: 1 Journal: Collabra Pages: 22 Title: 'Chapter 8. Bending the curve and closing the gap: Climate justice and public health' Volume: 2 Year: 2016 _record_number: 25329 _uuid: efed1341-a8a0-4743-8ec6-5fa87142a4e3 reftype: Journal Article child_publication: /article/10.1525/collabra.67 href: https://data.globalchange.gov/reference/efed1341-a8a0-4743-8ec6-5fa87142a4e3.yaml identifier: efed1341-a8a0-4743-8ec6-5fa87142a4e3 uri: /reference/efed1341-a8a0-4743-8ec6-5fa87142a4e3 - attrs: Abstract: 'Several individual-level factors are known to promote psychological resilience in the aftermath of disasters. Far less is known about the role of community-level factors in shaping postdisaster mental health. The purpose of this study was to explore the influence of both individual- and community-level factors on resilience after Hurricane Sandy. A representative sample of household residents (N = 418) from 293 New York City census tracts that were most heavily affected by the storm completed telephone interviews approximately 13–16 months postdisaster. Multilevel multivariable models explored the independent and interactive contributions of individual- and community-level factors to posttraumatic stress and depression symptoms. At the individual-level, having experienced or witnessed any lifetime traumatic event was significantly associated with higher depression and posttraumatic stress, whereas demographic characteristics (e.g., older age, non-Hispanic Black race) and more disaster-related stressors were significantly associated with higher posttraumatic stress only. At the community-level, living in an area with higher social capital was significantly associated with higher posttraumatic stress. Additionally, higher community economic development was associated with lower risk of depression only among participants who did not experience any disaster-related stressors. These results provide evidence that individual- and community-level resources and exposure operate in tandem to shape postdisaster resilience.' Author: 'Lowe, Sarah R.; Sampson, Laura; Gruebner, Oliver; Galea, Sandro' DOI: 10.1371/journal.pone.0125761 Issue: 5 Journal: PLOS ONE Pages: e0125761 Publisher: Public Library of Science Title: 'Psychological resilience after Hurricane Sandy: The influence of individual- and community-level factors on mental health after a large-scale natural disaster' Volume: 10 Year: 2015 _record_number: 24074 _uuid: f0d93632-880b-473f-9ab3-a39c815a9d17 reftype: Journal Article child_publication: /article/10.1371/journal.pone.0125761 href: https://data.globalchange.gov/reference/f0d93632-880b-473f-9ab3-a39c815a9d17.yaml identifier: f0d93632-880b-473f-9ab3-a39c815a9d17 uri: /reference/f0d93632-880b-473f-9ab3-a39c815a9d17 - attrs: Abstract: 'Preventing heat-associated morbidity and mortality is a public health priority in Maricopa County, Arizona (United States). The objective of this project was to evaluate Maricopa County cooling centers and gain insight into their capacity to provide relief for the public during extreme heat events. During the summer of 2014, 53 cooling centers were evaluated to assess facility and visitor characteristics. Maricopa County staff collected data by directly observing daily operations and by surveying managers and visitors. The cooling centers in Maricopa County were often housed within community, senior, or religious centers, which offered various services for at least 1500 individuals daily. Many visitors were unemployed and/or homeless. Many learned about a cooling center by word of mouth or by having seen the cooling center’s location. The cooling centers provide a valuable service and reach some of the region’s most vulnerable populations. This project is among the first to systematically evaluate cooling centers from a public health perspective and provides helpful insight to community leaders who are implementing or improving their own network of cooling centers.' Author: 'Berisha, Vjollca; David Hondula; Matthew Roach; Jessica R. White; Benita McKinney; Darcie Bentz; Ahmed Mohamed; Joshua Uebelherr; Kate Goodin' DOI: 10.1175/wcas-d-16-0033.1 Issue: 1 Journal: 'Weather, Climate, and Society' Keywords: 'Climate change,Emergency preparedness,Societal impacts' Pages: 71-80 Title: 'Assessing adaptation strategies for extreme heat: A public health evaluation of cooling centers in Maricopa County, Arizona' Volume: 9 Year: 2017 _record_number: 24138 _uuid: f0f92922-8e59-42f9-b94b-1ca2f2b239f4 reftype: Journal Article child_publication: /article/10.1175/wcas-d-16-0033.1 href: https://data.globalchange.gov/reference/f0f92922-8e59-42f9-b94b-1ca2f2b239f4.yaml identifier: f0f92922-8e59-42f9-b94b-1ca2f2b239f4 uri: /reference/f0f92922-8e59-42f9-b94b-1ca2f2b239f4 - attrs: .reference_type: 9 Author: USGCRP DOI: 10.7930/J0R49NQX Number of Pages: 312 Place Published: 'Washington, DC' Publisher: U.S. Global Change Research Program Title: 'The Impacts of Climate Change on Human Health in the United States: A Scientific Assessment' Year: 2016 _record_number: 19368 _uuid: f1e633d5-070a-4a7d-935b-a2281a0c9cb6 reftype: Book child_publication: /report/usgcrp-climate-human-health-assessment-2016 href: https://data.globalchange.gov/reference/f1e633d5-070a-4a7d-935b-a2281a0c9cb6.yaml identifier: f1e633d5-070a-4a7d-935b-a2281a0c9cb6 uri: /reference/f1e633d5-070a-4a7d-935b-a2281a0c9cb6 - attrs: Author: 'Chretien, Jean-Paul; Assaf Anyamba; Jennifer Small; Seth Britch; Jose L. Sanchez; Alaina C. Halbach; Compton Tucker; Kenneth J. Linthicum' DOI: 10.1371/currents.outbreaks.95fbc4a8fb4695e049baabfc2fc8289f Journal: PLOS Currents Outbreaks Pages: Edition 1 Title: 'Global climate anomalies and potential infectious disease risks: 2014-2015' Volume: 2015 Year: 2015 _record_number: 24133 _uuid: f22294d5-f052-4908-9eb7-4d8cdbe0c5b9 reftype: Journal Article child_publication: /article/10.1371/currents.outbreaks.95fbc4a8fb4695e049baabfc2fc8289f href: https://data.globalchange.gov/reference/f22294d5-f052-4908-9eb7-4d8cdbe0c5b9.yaml identifier: f22294d5-f052-4908-9eb7-4d8cdbe0c5b9 uri: /reference/f22294d5-f052-4908-9eb7-4d8cdbe0c5b9 - attrs: Abstract: 'The intensely active 2017 Atlantic basin hurricane season provided an opportunity to examine how climate drivers, including warming oceans and rising seas, exacerbated tropical cyclone hazards. The season also highlighted the unique vulnerabilities of populations residing on Small Island Developing States (SIDS) to the catastrophic potential of these storms. During 2017, 22 of the 29 Caribbean SIDS were affected by at least one named storm, and multiple SIDS experienced extreme damage. This paper aims to review the multiplicity of storm impacts on Caribbean SIDS throughout the 2017 season, to explicate the influences of climate drivers on storm formation and intensity, to explore the propensity of SIDS to sustain severe damage and prolonged disruption of essential services, to document the spectrum of public health consequences, and to delineate the daunting hurdles that challenged emergency response and recovery operations for island-based, disaster-affected populations. (Disaster Med Public Health Preparedness. 2018;page 1 of 13)' Author: 'Shultz, James M.; Kossin, James P.; Shepherd, J. Marshall; Ransdell, Justine M.; Walshe, Rory; Kelman, Ilan; Galea, Sandro' DOI: 10.1017/dmp.2018.28 Database Provider: Cambridge University Press EPub Date: 2018/04/06 ISSN: 1935-7893 Journal: Disaster Medicine and Public Health Preparedness Keywords: climate change; climate driver; disaster; disaster response; hazard; health consequences; hurricane; risk; Small Island Developing States; tropical cyclone; tropical storm; vulnerability Name of Database: Cambridge Core Pages: 1-13 Publisher: Cambridge University Press Title: 'Risk, health consequences, and response challenges for small-island-based populations: Observations from the 2017 Atlantic hurricane season' Year: 2018 _record_number: 25240 _uuid: f27d73b2-8618-4674-a111-a92276930d26 reftype: Journal Article child_publication: /article/10.1017/dmp.2018.28 href: https://data.globalchange.gov/reference/f27d73b2-8618-4674-a111-a92276930d26.yaml identifier: f27d73b2-8618-4674-a111-a92276930d26 uri: /reference/f27d73b2-8618-4674-a111-a92276930d26 - attrs: .reference_type: 16 Author: 'DHS,' Place Published: 'Washington, DC' Publisher: U.S. Department of Homeland Security (DHS) Title: 'Homeland Infrastructure Foundation-Level Data (HIFLD) [web tool]' URL: https://hifld-geoplatform.opendata.arcgis.com/ Year: 2018 _record_number: 26116 _uuid: f40f0493-f23a-476c-9900-2dd34eb7fd6a reftype: Web Page child_publication: /webpage/0fbdd9b1-e4d0-45d0-af1e-1f8d94e484b6 href: https://data.globalchange.gov/reference/f40f0493-f23a-476c-9900-2dd34eb7fd6a.yaml identifier: f40f0493-f23a-476c-9900-2dd34eb7fd6a uri: /reference/f40f0493-f23a-476c-9900-2dd34eb7fd6a - attrs: Author: 'Vins, Holly; Bell, Jesse; Saha, Shubhayu; Hess, Jeremy' DOI: 10.3390/ijerph121013251 ISSN: 1660-4601 Issue: 10 Journal: International Journal of Environmental Research and Public Health Pages: 13251 Title: 'The mental health outcomes of drought: A systematic review and causal process diagram' Volume: 12 Year: 2015 _record_number: 23879 _uuid: f5b5a424-29ee-4cd3-a179-68668613933d reftype: Journal Article child_publication: /article/10.3390/ijerph121013251 href: https://data.globalchange.gov/reference/f5b5a424-29ee-4cd3-a179-68668613933d.yaml identifier: f5b5a424-29ee-4cd3-a179-68668613933d uri: /reference/f5b5a424-29ee-4cd3-a179-68668613933d - attrs: Abstract: 'The U.S. health care sector is highly interconnected with industrial activities that emit much of the nation’s pollution to air, water, and soils. We estimate emissions directly and indirectly attributable to the health care sector, and potential harmful effects on public health. Negative environmental and public health outcomes were estimated through economic input-output life cycle assessment (EIOLCA) modeling using National Health Expenditures (NHE) for the decade 2003–2013 and compared to national totals. In 2013, the health care sector was also responsible for significant fractions of national air pollution emissions and impacts, including acid rain (12%), greenhouse gas emissions (10%), smog formation (10%) criteria air pollutants (9%), stratospheric ozone depletion (1%), and carcinogenic and non-carcinogenic air toxics (1–2%). The largest contributors to impacts are discussed from both the supply side (EIOLCA economic sectors) and demand side (NHE categories), as are trends over the study period. Health damages from these pollutants are estimated at 470,000 DALYs lost from pollution-related disease, or 405,000 DALYs when adjusted for recent shifts in power generation sector emissions. These indirect health burdens are commensurate with the 44,000–98,000 people who die in hospitals each year in the U.S. as a result of preventable medical errors, but are currently not attributed to our health system. Concerted efforts to improve environmental performance of health care could reduce expenditures directly through waste reduction and energy savings, and indirectly through reducing pollution burden on public health, and ought to be included in efforts to improve health care quality and safety.' Author: 'Eckelman, Matthew J.; Sherman, Jodi' DOI: 10.1371/journal.pone.0157014 Issue: 6 Journal: PLOS ONE Pages: e0157014 Publisher: Public Library of Science Title: Environmental impacts of the U.S. health care system and effects on public health Volume: 11 Year: 2016 _record_number: 24128 _uuid: f5ba1ac5-c7b1-4f39-9b93-fbea12e405df reftype: Journal Article child_publication: /article/10.1371/journal.pone.0157014 href: https://data.globalchange.gov/reference/f5ba1ac5-c7b1-4f39-9b93-fbea12e405df.yaml identifier: f5ba1ac5-c7b1-4f39-9b93-fbea12e405df uri: /reference/f5ba1ac5-c7b1-4f39-9b93-fbea12e405df - attrs: Abstract: "Background Climate change poses a major public health threat. A survey of U.S. local health department directors in 2008 found widespread recognition of the threat, but limited adaptive capacity, due to perceived lack of expertise and other resources. Methods We assessed changes between 2008 and 2012 in local public health departments' preparedness for the public health threats of climate change, in light of increasing national polarization on the issue, and widespread funding cutbacks for public health. A geographically representative online survey of directors of local public health departments was conducted in 2011–2012 (N = 174; response rate = 50%), and compared to the 2008 telephone survey results (N = 133; response rate = 61%). Results Significant polarization had occurred: more respondents in 2012 were certain that the threat of local climate change impacts does/does not exist, and fewer were unsure. Roughly 10% said it is not a threat, compared to 1% in 2008. Adaptation capacity decreased in several areas: perceived departmental expertise in climate change risk assessment; departmental prioritization of adaptation; and the number of adaptation-related programs and services departments provided. In 2008, directors' perceptions of local impacts predicted the number of adaptation-related programs and services their departments offered, but in 2012, funding predicted programming and directors' impact perceptions did not. This suggests that budgets were constraining directors' ability to respond to local climate change-related health threats. Results also suggest that departmental expertise may mitigate funding constraints. Strategies for overcoming these obstacles to local public health departments' preparations for climate change are discussed." Author: 'Roser-Renouf, Connie; Maibach, Edward W.; Li, Jennifer' DOI: 10.1371/journal.pone.0151558 Issue: 3 Journal: PLOS ONE Pages: e0151558 Publisher: Public Library of Science Title: 'Adapting to the changing climate: An assessment of local health department preparations for climate change-related health threats, 2008-2012' Volume: 11 Year: 2016 _record_number: 24080 _uuid: f82a2e76-95bb-4a33-8877-8c16ca217397 reftype: Journal Article child_publication: /article/10.1371/journal.pone.0151558 href: https://data.globalchange.gov/reference/f82a2e76-95bb-4a33-8877-8c16ca217397.yaml identifier: f82a2e76-95bb-4a33-8877-8c16ca217397 uri: /reference/f82a2e76-95bb-4a33-8877-8c16ca217397 - attrs: Author: 'Ziegler, Carol; Morelli, Vincent; Fawibe, Omotayo' DOI: 10.1016/j.pop.2016.09.017 Date: 2017/03/01/ ISSN: 0095-4543 Issue: 1 Journal: 'Primary Care: Clinics in Office Practice' Keywords: Climate change; Global warming; Greenhouse gases; Greenhouse gas emissions; Patient education Pages: 171-184 Title: Climate change and underserved communities Volume: 44 Year: 2017 _record_number: 23895 _uuid: f85a7ac1-b6ad-49b6-ba44-881259d28775 reftype: Journal Article child_publication: /article/10.1016/j.pop.2016.09.017 href: https://data.globalchange.gov/reference/f85a7ac1-b6ad-49b6-ba44-881259d28775.yaml identifier: f85a7ac1-b6ad-49b6-ba44-881259d28775 uri: /reference/f85a7ac1-b6ad-49b6-ba44-881259d28775 - attrs: Author: 'Semenza, Jan C.; Joaquin Trinanes; Wolfgang Lohr; Bertrand Sudre; Margareta Löfdahl; Jaime Martinez-Urtaza; Gordon L. Nichols; Joacim Rocklöv' DOI: 10.1289/EHP2198 Issue: 10 Journal: Environmental Health Perspectives Pages: 107004 Title: 'Environmental suitability of Vibrio infections in a warming climate: An early warning system' Volume: 125 Year: 2017 _record_number: 25338 _uuid: f87eee42-afc9-4594-af20-4c5ddaf17c7e reftype: Journal Article child_publication: /article/10.1289/EHP2198 href: https://data.globalchange.gov/reference/f87eee42-afc9-4594-af20-4c5ddaf17c7e.yaml identifier: f87eee42-afc9-4594-af20-4c5ddaf17c7e uri: /reference/f87eee42-afc9-4594-af20-4c5ddaf17c7e - attrs: Abstract: 'Heat waves are among the most dangerous climate-related hazards, and they are projected to increase in frequency and intensity over the coming century. Exposure to heat waves is a function of the spatial distribution of physical events and the corresponding population distribution, and future exposure will be impacted by changes in both distributions. Here, we project future exposure using ensembles of climate projections that account for the urban heat island effect, for two alternative emission scenarios (RCP4.5/RCP8.5) and two alternative population and urbanization (SSP3/SSP5) outcomes. We characterize exposure at the global, regional, and grid-cell level; estimate the exposure that would be avoided by mitigating future levels of climate change (to RCP4.5); and quantify the dependence of exposure on population outcomes. We find that climate change is a stronger determinant of exposure than demographic change in these scenarios, with a global reduction in exposure of over 50% under a lower emissions pathway, while a slower population growth pathway leads to roughly 30% less exposure. Exposure reduction varies at the regional level, but in almost all cases, the RCP remains more influential than the SSP. Uncertainty in outcomes is dominated by inter-annual variability in heat extremes (relative to variability across initial condition ensemble members). For some regions, this variability is large enough that a reduction in annual exposure is not guaranteed in each individual year by following the lower forcing pathway. Finally, we find that explicitly considering the urban heat island effect and separate urban and rural heat extremes and populations can substantially influence results, generally increasing projected exposure.' Author: 'Jones, Bryan; Tebaldi, Claudia; O’Neill, Brian C.; Oleson, Keith; Gao, Jing' DOI: 10.1007/s10584-017-2133-7 Date: February 01 ISSN: 1573-1480 Issue: 3 Journal: Climatic Change Pages: 423-437 Title: 'Avoiding population exposure to heat-related extremes: Demographic change vs climate change' Type of Article: journal article Volume: 146 Year: 2018 _record_number: 25322 _uuid: f9703346-dc6b-4b3e-aad6-2643c74f5292 reftype: Journal Article child_publication: /article/10.1007/s10584-017-2133-7 href: https://data.globalchange.gov/reference/f9703346-dc6b-4b3e-aad6-2643c74f5292.yaml identifier: f9703346-dc6b-4b3e-aad6-2643c74f5292 uri: /reference/f9703346-dc6b-4b3e-aad6-2643c74f5292 - attrs: Abstract: 'This review examined the likely impact of climate change upon food-borne disease in the UK using Campylobacter and Salmonella as example organisms. Campylobacter is an important food-borne disease and an increasing public health threat. There is a reasonable evidence base that the environment and weather play a role in its transmission to humans. However, uncertainty as to the precise mechanisms through which weather affects disease, make it difficult to assess the likely impact of climate change. There are strong positive associations between Salmonella cases and ambient temperature, and a clear understanding of the mechanisms behind this. However, because the incidence of Salmonella disease is declining in the UK, any climate change increases are likely to be small. For both Salmonella and Campylobacter the disease incidence is greatest in older adults and young children. There are many pathways through which climate change may affect food but only a few of these have been rigorously examined. This provides a high degree of uncertainty as to what the impacts of climate change will be. Food is highly controlled at the National and EU level. This provides the UK with resilience to climate change as well as potential to adapt to its consequences but it is unknown whether these are sufficient in the context of a changing climate.' Author: 'Lake, Iain R.' DOI: 10.1186/s12940-017-0327-0 Date: December 05 ISSN: 1476-069X Issue: 1 Journal: Environmental Health Pages: 117 Title: Food-borne disease and climate change in the United Kingdom Type of Article: journal article Volume: 16 Year: 2017 _record_number: 25319 _uuid: f9c23819-1207-495b-9b70-b81f37a78c8f reftype: Journal Article child_publication: /article/10.1186/s12940-017-0327-0 href: https://data.globalchange.gov/reference/f9c23819-1207-495b-9b70-b81f37a78c8f.yaml identifier: f9c23819-1207-495b-9b70-b81f37a78c8f uri: /reference/f9c23819-1207-495b-9b70-b81f37a78c8f - attrs: Abstract: 'Episodes of severe weather in the United States, such as the present abundance of rainfall in California, are brandished as tangible evidence of the future costs of current climate trends. Hsiang et al. collected national data documenting the responses in six economic sectors to short-term weather fluctuations. These data were integrated with probabilistic distributions from a set of global climate models and used to estimate future costs during the remainder of this century across a range of scenarios (see the Perspective by Pizer). In terms of overall effects on gross domestic product, the authors predict negative impacts in the southern United States and positive impacts in some parts of the Pacific Northwest and New England.Science, this issue p. 1362; see also p. 1330Estimates of climate change damage are central to the design of climate policies. Here, we develop a flexible architecture for computing damages that integrates climate science, econometric analyses, and process models. We use this approach to construct spatially explicit, probabilistic, and empirically derived estimates of economic damage in the United States from climate change. The combined value of market and nonmarket damage across analyzed sectors—agriculture, crime, coastal storms, energy, human mortality, and labor—increases quadratically in global mean temperature, costing roughly 1.2% of gross domestic product per +1°C on average. Importantly, risk is distributed unequally across locations, generating a large transfer of value northward and westward that increases economic inequality. By the late 21st century, the poorest third of counties are projected to experience damages between 2 and 20% of county income (90% chance) under business-as-usual emissions (Representative Concentration Pathway 8.5).' Author: 'Hsiang, Solomon; Kopp, Robert; Jina, Amir; Rising, James; Delgado, Michael; Mohan, Shashank; Rasmussen, D. J.; Muir-Wood, Robert; Wilson, Paul; Oppenheimer, Michael; Larsen, Kate; Houser, Trevor' DOI: 10.1126/science.aal4369 Issue: 6345 Journal: Science Pages: 1362-1369 Title: Estimating economic damage from climate change in the United States Volume: 356 Year: 2017 _record_number: 23965 _uuid: fad9e8ec-8951-4daa-9a9c-e093ef86af16 reftype: Journal Article child_publication: /article/10.1126/science.aal4369 href: https://data.globalchange.gov/reference/fad9e8ec-8951-4daa-9a9c-e093ef86af16.yaml identifier: fad9e8ec-8951-4daa-9a9c-e093ef86af16 uri: /reference/fad9e8ec-8951-4daa-9a9c-e093ef86af16 - attrs: Author: 'Ogden, Nick H.; Lindsay, L. Robbin' DOI: 10.1016/j.pt.2016.04.015 ISSN: 1471-4922 Issue: 8 Journal: Trends in Parasitology Pages: 646-656 Publisher: Elsevier Title: 'Effects of climate and climate change on vectors and vector-borne diseases: Ticks are different' Volume: 32 Year: 2016 _record_number: 26109 _uuid: fe91b27d-3625-468e-b7d2-40686e8a55a7 reftype: Journal Article child_publication: /article/10.1016/j.pt.2016.04.015 href: https://data.globalchange.gov/reference/fe91b27d-3625-468e-b7d2-40686e8a55a7.yaml identifier: fe91b27d-3625-468e-b7d2-40686e8a55a7 uri: /reference/fe91b27d-3625-468e-b7d2-40686e8a55a7 - attrs: Author: 'Myers, Samuel S.; Wessells, K. Ryan; Kloog, Itai; Zanobetti, Antonella; Schwartz, Joel' DOI: 10.1016/S2214-109X(15)00093-5 ISSN: 2214-109X Issue: 10 Journal: The Lancet Global Health Pages: e639-e645 Publisher: Elsevier Title: 'Effect of increased concentrations of atmospheric carbon dioxide on the global threat of zinc deficiency: A modelling study' Volume: 3 Year: 2015 _record_number: 24106 _uuid: ffc5112e-8b2d-4768-afac-f65d1545dbef reftype: Journal Article child_publication: /article/10.1016/S2214-109X(15)00093-5 href: https://data.globalchange.gov/reference/ffc5112e-8b2d-4768-afac-f65d1545dbef.yaml identifier: ffc5112e-8b2d-4768-afac-f65d1545dbef uri: /reference/ffc5112e-8b2d-4768-afac-f65d1545dbef - attrs: Author: 'Ha, Sandie; Danping Liu; Yeyi Zhu; Sung Soo Kim; Seth Sherman; Pauline Mendola' DOI: 10.1289/EHP97 Journal: Environmental Health Perspectives Pages: 453-459 Title: Ambient temperature and early delivery of singleton pregnancies Volume: 125 Year: 2017 _record_number: 24122 _uuid: fff9b83e-10cf-4700-a26e-9461fefd7e5d reftype: Journal Article child_publication: /article/10.1289/EHP97 href: https://data.globalchange.gov/reference/fff9b83e-10cf-4700-a26e-9461fefd7e5d.yaml identifier: fff9b83e-10cf-4700-a26e-9461fefd7e5d uri: /reference/fff9b83e-10cf-4700-a26e-9461fefd7e5d