--- - attrs: Author: 'Yusa, Anna; Berry, Peter; J.Cheng, June; Ogden, Nicholas; Bonsal, Barrie; Stewart, Ronald; Waldick, Ruth' DOI: 10.3390/ijerph120708359 ISSN: 1660-4601 Issue: 7 Journal: International Journal of Environmental Research and Public Health Pages: 8359 Title: 'Climate change, drought and human health in Canada' Volume: 12 Year: 2015 _record_number: 24091 _uuid: 94b49b9c-97ea-4f0d-8f1a-53296c19afc7 reftype: Journal Article child_publication: /article/10.3390/ijerph120708359 href: https://data.globalchange.gov/reference/94b49b9c-97ea-4f0d-8f1a-53296c19afc7.yaml identifier: 94b49b9c-97ea-4f0d-8f1a-53296c19afc7 uri: /reference/94b49b9c-97ea-4f0d-8f1a-53296c19afc7 - attrs: Abstract: 'Determining the role of weather in waterborne infections is a priority public health research issue as climate change is predicted to increase the frequency of extreme precipitation and temperature events. To document the current knowledge on this topic, we performed a literature review of analytical research studies that have combined epidemiological and meteorological data in order to analyze associations between extreme precipitation or temperature and waterborne disease.' Author: 'Guzman Herrador, Bernardo R.; de Blasio, Birgitte Freiesleben; MacDonald, Emily; Nichols, Gordon; Sudre, Bertrand; Vold, Line; Semenza, Jan C.; Nygård, Karin' DOI: 10.1186/s12940-015-0014-y Date: March 27 ISSN: 1476-069X Issue: 1 Journal: Environmental Health Pages: 29 Title: 'Analytical studies assessing the association between extreme precipitation or temperature and drinking water-related waterborne infections: A review' Type of Article: journal article Volume: 14 Year: 2015 _record_number: 26105 _uuid: 98353f95-01ba-45b3-8194-77fd674d5faa reftype: Journal Article child_publication: /article/10.1186/s12940-015-0014-y href: https://data.globalchange.gov/reference/98353f95-01ba-45b3-8194-77fd674d5faa.yaml identifier: 98353f95-01ba-45b3-8194-77fd674d5faa uri: /reference/98353f95-01ba-45b3-8194-77fd674d5faa - attrs: Author: 'Yun, Josef; Greiner, Matthias; Höller, Christiane; Messelhäusser, Ute; Rampp, Albert; Klein, Günter' DOI: 10.1038/srep28442 Date: 06/21/online Journal: Scientific Reports Pages: 28442 Publisher: The Author(s) Title: Association between the ambient temperature and the occurrence of human Salmonella and Campylobacter infections Type of Article: Article Volume: 6 Year: 2016 _record_number: 25310 _uuid: 9a38e31c-84c2-454c-868c-0307853189ac reftype: Journal Article child_publication: /article/10.1038/srep28442 href: https://data.globalchange.gov/reference/9a38e31c-84c2-454c-868c-0307853189ac.yaml identifier: 9a38e31c-84c2-454c-868c-0307853189ac uri: /reference/9a38e31c-84c2-454c-868c-0307853189ac - attrs: Author: 'Young, Ian; Gropp, Kathleen; Fazil, Aamir; Smith, Ben A.' DOI: 10.1016/j.foodres.2014.06.035 Date: 2015/02/01/ ISSN: 0963-9969 Journal: Food Research International Keywords: Systematic review; Meta-analysis; Climate change; Oysters; Food safety Pages: 86-93 Title: 'Knowledge synthesis to support risk assessment of climate change impacts on food and water safety: A case study of the effects of water temperature and salinity on Vibrio parahaemolyticus in raw oysters and harvest waters' Volume: 68 Year: 2015 _record_number: 24092 _uuid: 9ba7142c-520b-43fa-a8a1-76dc546eb883 reftype: Journal Article child_publication: /article/10.1016/j.foodres.2014.06.035 href: https://data.globalchange.gov/reference/9ba7142c-520b-43fa-a8a1-76dc546eb883.yaml identifier: 9ba7142c-520b-43fa-a8a1-76dc546eb883 uri: /reference/9ba7142c-520b-43fa-a8a1-76dc546eb883 - attrs: Author: 'Battilani, P.; Toscano, P.; Van der Fels-Klerx, H. J.; Moretti, A.; Camardo Leggieri, M.; Brera, C.; Rortais, A.; Goumperis, T.; Robinson, T.' DOI: 10.1038/srep24328 Date: 04/12/online Journal: Scientific Reports Pages: 24328 Publisher: The Author(s) Title: Aflatoxin B1 contamination in maize in Europe increases due to climate change Type of Article: Article Volume: 6 Year: 2016 _record_number: 24140 _uuid: 9dbe51b2-f829-4774-841f-9ff6a27f1ccb reftype: Journal Article child_publication: /article/10.1038/srep24328 href: https://data.globalchange.gov/reference/9dbe51b2-f829-4774-841f-9ff6a27f1ccb.yaml identifier: 9dbe51b2-f829-4774-841f-9ff6a27f1ccb uri: /reference/9dbe51b2-f829-4774-841f-9ff6a27f1ccb - attrs: Abstract: 'OBJECTIVES: We examined how individual and area socio-demographic characteristics independently modified the extreme heat (EH)-mortality association among elderly residents of 8 Michigan cities, May-September, 1990-2007. METHODS: In a time-stratified case-crossover design, we regressed cause-specific mortality against EH (indicator for 4-day mean, minimum, maximum or apparent temperature above 97th or 99th percentiles). We examined effect modification with interactions between EH and personal marital status, age, race, sex and education and ZIP-code percent “non-green space” (National Land Cover Dataset), age, race, income, education, living alone, and housing age (U.S. Census). RESULTS: In models including multiple effect modifiers, the odds of cardiovascular mortality during EH (99(th) percentile threshold) vs. non-EH were higher among non-married individuals (1.21, 95% CI = 1.14-1.28 vs. 0.98, 95% CI = 0.90-1.07 among married individuals) and individuals in ZIP codes with high (91%) non-green space (1.17, 95% CI = 1.06-1.29 vs. 0.98, 95% CI = 0.89-1.07 among individuals in ZIP codes with low (39%) non-green space). Results suggested that housing age may also be an effect modifier. For the EH-respiratory mortality association, the results were inconsistent between temperature metrics and percentile thresholds of EH but largely insignificant. CONCLUSIONS: Green space, housing and social isolation may independently enhance elderly peoples’ heat-related cardiovascular mortality vulnerability. Local adaptation efforts should target areas and populations at greater risk.' Author: "Gronlund, Carina J.; Berrocal, Veronica J.; White-Newsome, Jalonne L.; Conlon, Kathryn C.; O'Neill, Marie S." DOI: 10.1016/j.envres.2014.08.042 Date: 11/25 ISSN: "0013-9351\r1096-0953" Journal: Environmental Research Name of Database: PMC Pages: 449-461 Title: 'Vulnerability to extreme heat by socio-demographic characteristics and area green space among the elderly in Michigan, 1990-2007' Volume: 136 Year: 2015 _record_number: 21133 _uuid: 9ef14c5c-9a31-498c-916c-c64bca251d0e reftype: Journal Article child_publication: /article/10.1016/j.envres.2014.08.042 href: https://data.globalchange.gov/reference/9ef14c5c-9a31-498c-916c-c64bca251d0e.yaml identifier: 9ef14c5c-9a31-498c-916c-c64bca251d0e uri: /reference/9ef14c5c-9a31-498c-916c-c64bca251d0e - attrs: Abstract: 'Author A combination of media attention and the declaration of a World Health Organization state of emergency have made the pandemic expansion of Zika virus a topic of great public concern. Understanding the threat North America faces from the still-expanding viral range requires an understanding of the historical range and ecology of the disease, a topic currently difficult to study due to incomplete occurrence data. We compile the most comprehensive geospatial dataset of Zika occurrences in its native range, beginning with its discovery in 1947, and build bioclimatic models that set an outer bound on where the virus is likely to persist. Our results suggest Zika is likely far more constrained than the closely-related dengue fever, on which many projections have been based. While Zika poses a serious threat in current outbreak regions and is clearly a high-priority neglected tropical disease, our models suggest that even under an extreme climate change scenario for 2050, the disease is unlikely to become cosmopolitan in most temperate regions as a vector-borne disease, a discrepant finding from the results of non-ensemble modeling methods. Despite that, sexual transmission remains a serious public health concern, and a route by which Zika could become a severe public health emergency in temperate zones, including in the United States.' Author: 'Carlson, Colin J.; Dougherty, Eric R.; Getz, Wayne' DOI: 10.1371/journal.pntd.0004968 Issue: 8 Journal: PLOS Neglected Tropical Diseases Pages: e0004968 Publisher: Public Library of Science Title: An ecological assessment of the pandemic threat of Zika virus Volume: 10 Year: 2016 _record_number: 24055 _uuid: a3bb4918-0fe2-498b-858b-e001bdf0b98d reftype: Journal Article child_publication: /article/10.1371/journal.pntd.0004968 href: https://data.globalchange.gov/reference/a3bb4918-0fe2-498b-858b-e001bdf0b98d.yaml identifier: a3bb4918-0fe2-498b-858b-e001bdf0b98d uri: /reference/a3bb4918-0fe2-498b-858b-e001bdf0b98d - attrs: Abstract: 'Dengue has been prevalent in Colombia with high risk of outbreaks in various locations. While the prediction of dengue epidemics will bring significant benefits to the society, accurate forecasts have been a challenge. Given competing health demands in Colombia, it is critical to consider the effective use of the limited healthcare resources by identifying high risk areas for dengue fever.' Author: 'Lee, Jung-Seok; Carabali, Mabel; Lim, Jacqueline K.; Herrera, Victor M.; Park, Il-Yeon; Villar, Luis; Farlow, Andrew' DOI: 10.1186/s12879-017-2577-4 Date: July 10 ISSN: 1471-2334 Issue: 1 Journal: BMC Infectious Diseases Pages: 480 Title: Early warning signal for dengue outbreaks and identification of high risk areas for dengue fever in Colombia using climate and non-climate datasets Type of Article: journal article Volume: 17 Year: 2017 _record_number: 24070 _uuid: a3de6246-8f40-448e-91e8-0abe57e79d6e reftype: Journal Article child_publication: /article/10.1186/s12879-017-2577-4 href: https://data.globalchange.gov/reference/a3de6246-8f40-448e-91e8-0abe57e79d6e.yaml identifier: a3de6246-8f40-448e-91e8-0abe57e79d6e uri: /reference/a3de6246-8f40-448e-91e8-0abe57e79d6e - attrs: Abstract: 'Previous studies examining future changes in heat/cold waves using climate model ensembles have been limited to grid cell-average quantities. Here, we make use of an urban parameterization in the Community Earth System Model (CESM) that represents the urban heat island effect, which can exacerbate extreme heat but may ameliorate extreme cold in urban relative to rural areas. Heat/cold wave characteristics are derived for U.S. regions from a bias-corrected CESM 30-member ensemble for climate outcomes driven by the RCP8.5 forcing scenario and a 15-member ensemble driven by RCP4.5. Significant differences are found between urban and grid cell-average heat/cold wave characteristics. Most notably, urban heat waves for 1981–2005 are more intense than grid cell-average by 2.1 °C (southeast) to 4.6 °C (southwest), while cold waves are less intense. We assess the avoided climate impacts of urban heat/cold waves in 2061–2080 when following the lower forcing scenario. Urban heat wave days per year increase from 6 in 1981–2005 to up to 92 (southeast) in RCP8.5. Following RCP4.5 reduces heat wave days by about 50 %. Large avoided impacts are demonstrated for individual communities; e.g., the longest heat wave for Houston in RCP4.5 is 38 days while in RCP8.5 there is one heat wave per year that is longer than a month with some lasting the entire summer. Heat waves also start later in the season in RCP4.5 (earliest are in early May) than RCP8.5 (mid-April), compared to 1981–2005 (late May). In some communities, cold wave events decrease from 2 per year for 1981–2005 to one-in-five year events in RCP4.5 and one-in-ten year events in RCP8.5.' Author: 'Oleson, K. W.; Anderson, G. B.; Jones, B.; McGinnis, S. A.; Sanderson, B.' DOI: 10.1007/s10584-015-1504-1 Date: September 23 ISSN: 1573-1480 Journal: Climatic Change Title: Avoided climate impacts of urban and rural heat and cold waves over the U.S. using large climate model ensembles for RCP8.5 and RCP4.5 Type of Article: journal article Year: 2015 _record_number: 23564 _uuid: a5d430bc-5756-42d1-924f-3dbc927e69c4 reftype: Journal Article child_publication: /article/10.1007/s10584-015-1504-1 href: https://data.globalchange.gov/reference/a5d430bc-5756-42d1-924f-3dbc927e69c4.yaml identifier: a5d430bc-5756-42d1-924f-3dbc927e69c4 uri: /reference/a5d430bc-5756-42d1-924f-3dbc927e69c4 - attrs: Abstract: 'This study assessed the health burden attributable to childhood underweight through 2050 focusing on disability-adjusted life years (DALYs), by considering the latest scenarios for climate change studies (representative concentration pathways and shared socioeconomic pathways (SSPs)) and conducting sensitivity analysis. A regression model for estimating DALYs attributable to childhood underweight (DAtU) was developed using the relationship between DAtU and childhood stunting. We combined a global computable general equilibrium model, a crop model, and two regression models to assess the future health burden. We found that (i) world total DAtU decreases from 2005 by 28 ∼ 63% in 2050 depending on the socioeconomic scenarios. Per capita DAtU also decreases in all regions under either scenario in 2050, but the decreases vary significantly by regions and scenarios. (ii) The impact of climate change is relatively small in the framework of this study but, on the other hand, socioeconomic conditions have a great impact on the future health burden. (iii) Parameter uncertainty of the regression models is the second largest factor on uncertainty of the result following the changes in socioeconomic condition, and uncertainty derived from the difference in global circulation models is the smallest in the framework of this study.' Author: 'Ishida, Hiroyuki; Shota Kobayashi; Shinjiro Kanae; Tomoko Hasegawa; Shinichiro Fujimori; Yonghee Shin; Kiyoshi Takahashi; Toshihiko Masui; Akemi Tanaka; Yasushi Honda' DOI: 10.1088/1748-9326/9/6/064014 ISSN: 1748-9326 Issue: 6 Journal: Environmental Research Letters Pages: 064014 Title: Global-scale projection and its sensitivity analysis of the health burden attributable to childhood undernutrition under the latest scenario framework for climate change research Volume: 9 Year: 2014 _record_number: 25324 _uuid: a67f6a58-73d3-49be-b161-1e4f4aab248e reftype: Journal Article child_publication: /article/10.1088/1748-9326/9/6/064014 href: https://data.globalchange.gov/reference/a67f6a58-73d3-49be-b161-1e4f4aab248e.yaml identifier: a67f6a58-73d3-49be-b161-1e4f4aab248e uri: /reference/a67f6a58-73d3-49be-b161-1e4f4aab248e - attrs: .reference_type: 10 Author: 'Anderson, Henry; Brown, Claudia; Cameron, Lorraine L.; Christenson, Megan; Conlon, Kathryn C.; Dorevitch, Samuel; Dumas, Justin; Eidson, Millicent; Ferguson, Aaron; Grossman, Elena; Hanson, Angelina; Hess, Jeremy J.; Hoppe, Brenda; Horton, Jane; Jagger, Meredith; Krueger, Stephanie; Largo, Thomas W.; Losurdo, Giovanna M.; Mack, Stephanie R.; Moran, Colleen; Mutnansky, Cassidy; Raab, Kristin; Saha, Shubhayu; Schramm, Paul J.; Shipp-Hilts, Asante; Smith, Sara J.; Thelen, Margaret; Thie, Lauren; Walker, Robert' Institution: 'Centers for Disease Control and Prevention, Climate and Health Program' Pages: 92 Place Published: 'Atlanta, GA' Series Volume: Climate and Health Technical Report Series Title: 'Climate and Health Intervention Assessment: Evidence on Public Health Interventions to Prevent the Negative Health Effects of Climate Change' URL: https://www.cdc.gov/climateandhealth/docs/ClimateAndHealthInterventionAssessment_508.pdf Year: 2017 _record_number: 24146 _uuid: a6d2d472-b084-4805-9f08-cc5e1f95f668 reftype: Report child_publication: /report/climate-health-intervention-assessment-evidence-on-public-health-interventions-prevent-negative-health-effects-climate-change href: https://data.globalchange.gov/reference/a6d2d472-b084-4805-9f08-cc5e1f95f668.yaml identifier: a6d2d472-b084-4805-9f08-cc5e1f95f668 uri: /reference/a6d2d472-b084-4805-9f08-cc5e1f95f668 - attrs: Author: 'Semenza, Jan' DOI: 10.3390/ijerph120606333 ISSN: 1660-4601 Issue: 6 Journal: International Journal of Environmental Research and Public Health Pages: 6333-6351 Title: Prototype early warning systems for vector-borne diseases in Europe Volume: 12 Year: 2015 _record_number: 24081 _uuid: a719e703-0c8d-4b9a-9b2b-baf66da770f7 reftype: Journal Article child_publication: /article/10.3390/ijerph120606333 href: https://data.globalchange.gov/reference/a719e703-0c8d-4b9a-9b2b-baf66da770f7.yaml identifier: a719e703-0c8d-4b9a-9b2b-baf66da770f7 uri: /reference/a719e703-0c8d-4b9a-9b2b-baf66da770f7 - attrs: Abstract: 'Importance  Heat exposure is known to have a complex set of physiological effects on multiple organ systems, but current understanding of the health effects is mostly based on studies investigating a small number of prespecified health outcomes such as cardiovascular and respiratory diseases.Objectives  To identify possible causes of hospital admissions during extreme heat events and to estimate their risks using historical data.Design, Setting, and Population  Matched analysis of time series data describing daily hospital admissions of Medicare enrollees (23.7 million fee-for-service beneficiaries [aged ≥65 years] per year; 85% of all Medicare enrollees) for the period 1999 to 2010 in 1943 counties in the United States with at least 5 summers of near-complete (>95%) daily temperature data.Exposures  Heat wave periods, defined as 2 or more consecutive days with temperatures exceeding the 99th percentile of county-specific daily temperatures, matched to non–heat wave periods by county and week.Main Outcomes and Measures  Daily cause-specific hospitalization rates by principal discharge diagnosis codes, grouped into 283 disease categories using a validated approach.Results  Risks of hospitalization for fluid and electrolyte disorders, renal failure, urinary tract infection, septicemia, and heat stroke were statistically significantly higher on heat wave days relative to matched non–heat wave days, but risk of hospitalization for congestive heart failure was lower (P < .05). Relative risks for these disease groups were 1.18 (95% CI, 1.12-1.25) for fluid and electrolyte disorders, 1.14 (95% CI, 1.06-1.23) for renal failure, 1.10 (95% CI, 1.04-1.16) for urinary tract infections, 1.06 (95% CI, 1.00-1.11) for septicemia, and 2.54 (95% CI, 2.14-3.01) for heat stroke. Absolute risk differences were 0.34 (95% CI, 0.22-0.46) excess admissions per 100 000 individuals at risk for fluid and electrolyte disorders, 0.25 (95% CI, 0.12-0.39) for renal failure, 0.24 (95% CI, 0.09-0.39) for urinary tract infections, 0.21 (95% CI, 0.01-0.41) for septicemia, and 0.16 (95% CI, 0.10-0.22) for heat stroke. For fluid and electrolyte disorders and heat stroke, the risk of hospitalization increased during more intense and longer-lasting heat wave periods (P < .05). Risks were generally highest on the heat wave day but remained elevated for up to 5 subsequent days.Conclusions and Relevance  Among older adults, periods of extreme heat were associated with increased risk of hospitalization for fluid and electrolyte disorders, renal failure, urinary tract infection, septicemia, and heat stroke. However, the absolute risk increase was small and of uncertain clinical importance.' Author: 'Bobb, J. F.; Obermeyer, Z.; Wang, Y.; Dominici, F.' DOI: 10.1001/jama.2014.15715 ISSN: 0098-7484 Issue: 24 Journal: JAMA Notes: 10.1001/jama.2014.15715 Pages: 2659-2667 Title: Cause-specific risk of hospital admission related to extreme heat in older adults Volume: 312 Year: 2014 _record_number: 21856 _uuid: aa10dde0-072c-459a-ab20-65ba830d43bd reftype: Journal Article child_publication: /article/10.1001/jama.2014.15715 href: https://data.globalchange.gov/reference/aa10dde0-072c-459a-ab20-65ba830d43bd.yaml identifier: aa10dde0-072c-459a-ab20-65ba830d43bd uri: /reference/aa10dde0-072c-459a-ab20-65ba830d43bd - attrs: Abstract: 'Modelling studies predicted that climate change will have strong impacts on the coffee crop, although no information on the effective impact of elevated CO2 on this plant exists. Here, we aim at providing a first glimpse on the effect of the combined impact of enhanced [CO2] and high temperature on the leaf mineral content and balance on this important tropical crop. Potted plants from two genotypes of Coffea arabica (cv. Icatu and IPR 108) and one from C. canephora (cv. Conilon Clone 153) were grown under 380 or 700 μL CO2 L−1 air, for 1 year, after which were exposed to an stepwise increase in temperature from 25/20 °C (day/night) up to 42/34 °C, over 8 weeks. Leaf macro − (N, P, K, Ca, Mg, S) and micronutrients (B, Cu, Fe, Mn, Zn) concentrations were analyzed at 25/20 °C (control), 31/25 °C, 37/30 °C and 42/34 °C. At the control temperature, the 700 μL L−1 grown plants showed a moderate dilution effect (between 7 % and 25 %) in CL 153 (for N, Mg, Ca, Fe) and Icatu (for N, K and Fe), but not in IPR 108 (except for Fe) when compared to the 380 μL L−1 plants. For temperatures higher than control most nutrients tended to increase, frequently presenting maximal contents at 42/34 °C (or 37/30 °C), although the relation between [CO2] treatments did not appreciably change. Such increases offset the few dilution effects observed under high growth [CO2] at 25/20 °C. No clear species responses were found considering [CO2] and temperature impacts, although IPR 108 seemed less sensitive to [CO2]. Despite the changes promoted by [CO2] and heat, the large majority of mineral ratios were kept within a range considered adequate, suggesting that this plant can maintain mineral balances in a context of climate changes and global warming.' Author: 'Martins, Lima D.; Tomaz, Marcelo A.; Lidon, Fernando C.; DaMatta, Fábio M.; Ramalho, José C.' DOI: 10.1007/s10584-014-1236-7 Date: October 01 ISSN: 1573-1480 Issue: 3 Journal: Climatic Change Pages: 365-379 Title: 'Combined effects of elevated [CO2] and high temperature on leaf mineral balance in Coffea spp. plants' Type of Article: journal article Volume: 126 Year: 2014 _record_number: 24112 _uuid: acc94ddf-05f0-4e5b-9ef8-47ef05db2e64 reftype: Journal Article child_publication: /article/10.1007/s10584-014-1236-7 href: https://data.globalchange.gov/reference/acc94ddf-05f0-4e5b-9ef8-47ef05db2e64.yaml identifier: acc94ddf-05f0-4e5b-9ef8-47ef05db2e64 uri: /reference/acc94ddf-05f0-4e5b-9ef8-47ef05db2e64 - attrs: Author: 'Gutierrez, Kristie; LePrevost, Catherine' DOI: 10.3390/ijerph13020189 ISSN: 1660-4601 Issue: 2 Journal: International Journal of Environmental Research and Public Health Pages: 189 Title: 'Climate justice in rural southeastern United States: A review of climate change impacts and effects on human health' Volume: 13 Year: 2016 _record_number: 25327 _uuid: b079422e-dafb-4221-83be-0b6a176acbb6 reftype: Journal Article child_publication: /article/10.3390/ijerph13020189 href: https://data.globalchange.gov/reference/b079422e-dafb-4221-83be-0b6a176acbb6.yaml identifier: b079422e-dafb-4221-83be-0b6a176acbb6 uri: /reference/b079422e-dafb-4221-83be-0b6a176acbb6 - attrs: Abstract: 'Heat stroke is a serious heat-related illness, especially among older adults. However, little is known regarding the spatiotemporal variation of heat stroke admissions during heat waves and what factors modify the adverse effects.' Author: 'Wang, Yan; Bobb, Jennifer F.; Papi, Bianca; Wang, Yun; Kosheleva, Anna; Di, Qian; Schwartz, Joel D.; Dominici, Francesca' DOI: 10.1186/s12940-016-0167-3 Date: August 08 ISSN: 1476-069X Issue: 1 Journal: Environmental Health Pages: 83 Title: 'Heat stroke admissions during heat waves in 1,916 US counties for the period from 1999 to 2010 and their effect modifiers' Type of Article: journal article Volume: 15 Year: 2016 _record_number: 24095 _uuid: b151fd56-2d07-47fb-88df-173212cd5059 reftype: Journal Article child_publication: /article/10.1186/s12940-016-0167-3 href: https://data.globalchange.gov/reference/b151fd56-2d07-47fb-88df-173212cd5059.yaml identifier: b151fd56-2d07-47fb-88df-173212cd5059 uri: /reference/b151fd56-2d07-47fb-88df-173212cd5059 - attrs: Author: 'Coopersmith, E. J.; Bell, J. E.; Benedict, K.; Shriber, J.; McCotter, O.; Cosh, M. H.' DOI: 10.1002/2016GH000033 ISSN: 2471-1403 Issue: 1 Journal: GeoHealth Keywords: 'coccidioidomycosis; valley fever; soil moisture; machine learning; modeling; 1719 Hydrology; 1866 Soil moisture; 1894 Instruments and techniques: modeling; 1984 Statistical methods: Descriptive; 1914 Data mining' Pages: 51-63 Title: Relating coccidioidomycosis (valley fever) incidence to soil moisture conditions Volume: 1 Year: 2017 _record_number: 24132 _uuid: b4d1a19f-d19a-4a91-99f9-c1680ef0a4ad reftype: Journal Article child_publication: /article/10.1002/2016GH000033 href: https://data.globalchange.gov/reference/b4d1a19f-d19a-4a91-99f9-c1680ef0a4ad.yaml identifier: b4d1a19f-d19a-4a91-99f9-c1680ef0a4ad uri: /reference/b4d1a19f-d19a-4a91-99f9-c1680ef0a4ad - attrs: Author: 'Mills, David; Russell Jones; Cameron Wobus; Julia Ekstrom; Lesley Jantarasami; St. Juliana, Alexis; Allison Crimmins' DOI: 10.1289/EHP2594 Issue: 4 Journal: Environmental Health Perspectives Pages: 047007 Title: Projecting age-stratified risk of exposure to inland flooding and wildfire smoke in the United States under two climate scenarios Volume: 126 Year: 2018 _record_number: 25202 _uuid: b77ebe86-7dac-4303-bee3-52e81a34b5ca reftype: Journal Article child_publication: /article/10.1289/EHP2594 href: https://data.globalchange.gov/reference/b77ebe86-7dac-4303-bee3-52e81a34b5ca.yaml identifier: b77ebe86-7dac-4303-bee3-52e81a34b5ca uri: /reference/b77ebe86-7dac-4303-bee3-52e81a34b5ca - attrs: Abstract: 'Given knowledge at the time, the recent 2015-2016 zika virus (ZIKV) epidemic probably could not have been predicted. Without the prior knowledge of ZIKV being already present in South America, and given the lack of understanding of key epidemiologic processes and long-term records of ZIKV cases in the continent, the best related prediction could be carried out for the potential risk of a generic Aedes-borne disease epidemic. Here we use a recently published two-vector basic reproduction number model to assess the predictability of the conditions conducive to epidemics of diseases like zika, chikungunya or dengue, transmitted by the independent or concurrent presence of Aedes aegypti and Aedes albopictus. We compare the potential risk of transmission forcing the model with the observed climate and with state-of-the-art operational forecasts from the North American Multi Model Ensemble (NMME), finding that the predictive skill of this new seasonal forecast system is highest for multiple countries in Latin America and the Caribbean during the December-February and March-May seasons, and slightly lower –but still of potential use to decision-makers– for the rest of the year. In particular, we find that above-normal suitable conditions for the occurrence of the zika epidemic at the beginning of 2015 could have been successfully predicted at least one month in advance for several zika hotspots, and in particular for Northeast Brazil: the heart of the epidemic. Nonetheless, the initiation and spread of an epidemic depends on the effect of multiple factors beyond climate conditions, and thus this type of approach must be considered as a guide and not as a formal predictive tool of vector-borne epidemics.' Author: 'Muñoz, Ángel G.; Thomson, Madeleine C.; Stewart-Ibarra, Anna M.; Vecchi, Gabriel A.; Chourio, Xandre; Nájera, Patricia; Moran, Zelda; Yang, Xiaosong' DOI: 10.3389/fmicb.2017.01291 Date: 2017-July-12 ISSN: 1664-302X Issue: 1291 Journal: Frontiers in Microbiology Keywords: 'Zika,Aedes-borne diseases,predictability,climate,basic reproduction number model,Dengue,Chikungunya' Language: English Short Title: Could the recent zika epidemic have been predicted? Title: Could the recent Zika epidemic have been predicted? Type of Article: Original Research Volume: 8 Year: 2017 _record_number: 22060 _uuid: b89b43e0-28a8-4b9d-9139-02f1b3f96533 reftype: Journal Article child_publication: /article/10.3389/fmicb.2017.01291 href: https://data.globalchange.gov/reference/b89b43e0-28a8-4b9d-9139-02f1b3f96533.yaml identifier: b89b43e0-28a8-4b9d-9139-02f1b3f96533 uri: /reference/b89b43e0-28a8-4b9d-9139-02f1b3f96533 - attrs: Author: 'Mendez, Michael Anthony' DOI: 10.1080/13549839.2015.1038227 Date: 2015/06/03 ISSN: 1354-9839 Issue: 6 Journal: Local Environment Pages: 637-663 Publisher: Routledge Title: Assessing local climate action plans for public health co-benefits in environmental justice communities Volume: 20 Year: 2015 _record_number: 24109 _uuid: b9638744-8ff8-41bd-a741-27b2fda9face reftype: Journal Article child_publication: /article/10.1080/13549839.2015.1038227 href: https://data.globalchange.gov/reference/b9638744-8ff8-41bd-a741-27b2fda9face.yaml identifier: b9638744-8ff8-41bd-a741-27b2fda9face uri: /reference/b9638744-8ff8-41bd-a741-27b2fda9face - attrs: Abstract: 'Zika, a mosquito-borne viral disease that emerged in South America in 2015, was declared a Public Health Emergency of International Concern by the WHO in February of 2016. We developed a climate-driven R0 mathematical model for the transmission risk of Zika virus (ZIKV) that explicitly includes two key mosquito vector species: Aedes aegypti and Aedes albopictus. The model was parameterized and calibrated using the most up to date information from the available literature. It was then driven by observed gridded temperature and rainfall datasets for the period 1950–2015. We find that the transmission risk in South America in 2015 was the highest since 1950. This maximum is related to favoring temperature conditions that caused the simulated biting rates to be largest and mosquito mortality rates and extrinsic incubation periods to be smallest in 2015. This event followed the suspected introduction of ZIKV in Brazil in 2013. The ZIKV outbreak in Latin America has very likely been fueled by the 2015–2016 El Niño climate phenomenon affecting the region. The highest transmission risk globally is in South America and tropical countries where Ae. aegypti is abundant. Transmission risk is strongly seasonal in temperate regions where Ae. albopictus is present, with significant risk of ZIKV transmission in the southeastern states of the United States, in southern China, and to a lesser extent, over southern Europe during the boreal summer season.' Author: 'Caminade, Cyril; Turner, Joanne; Metelmann, Soeren; Hesson, Jenny C.; Blagrove, Marcus S. C.; Solomon, Tom; Morse, Andrew P.; Baylis, Matthew' DOI: 10.1073/pnas.1614303114 Date: 'January 3, 2017' Issue: 1 Journal: Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America Pages: 119-124 Title: Global risk model for vector-borne transmission of Zika virus reveals the role of El Niño 2015 Volume: 114 Year: 2017 _record_number: 24135 _uuid: ba80e684-08bc-4d0a-ae42-ce0f0975b24e reftype: Journal Article child_publication: /article/10.1073/pnas.1614303114 href: https://data.globalchange.gov/reference/ba80e684-08bc-4d0a-ae42-ce0f0975b24e.yaml identifier: ba80e684-08bc-4d0a-ae42-ce0f0975b24e uri: /reference/ba80e684-08bc-4d0a-ae42-ce0f0975b24e - attrs: Author: 'Klein Rosenthal, Joyce; Kinney, Patrick L.; Metzger, Kristina B.' DOI: 10.1016/j.healthplace.2014.07.014 Date: 2014/11/01/ ISSN: 1353-8292 Journal: Health & Place Keywords: Neighborhood characteristics; Vulnerability; Heat-related mortality; Health disparities; Housing quality Pages: 45-60 Title: 'Intra-urban vulnerability to heat-related mortality in New York City, 1997–2006' Volume: 30 Year: 2014 _record_number: 24118 _uuid: bb6cb91e-fd58-4222-8d22-023901f265eb reftype: Journal Article child_publication: /article/10.1016/j.healthplace.2014.07.014 href: https://data.globalchange.gov/reference/bb6cb91e-fd58-4222-8d22-023901f265eb.yaml identifier: bb6cb91e-fd58-4222-8d22-023901f265eb uri: /reference/bb6cb91e-fd58-4222-8d22-023901f265eb - attrs: Abstract: 'This report summarizes and discusses current knowledge on the impact that climate change can have on occupational safety and health (OSH), with a particular focus on the Americas. Worker safety and health issues are presented on topics related to specific stressors (e.g., temperature extremes), climate associated impacts (e.g., ice melt in the Arctic), and a health condition associated with climate change (chronic kidney disease of non-traditional etiology). The article discusses research needs, including hazards, surveillance, and risk assessment activities to better characterize and understand how OSH may be associated with climate change events. Also discussed are the actions that OSH professionals can take to ensure worker health and safety in the face of climate change.' Accession Number: PMC5176103 Author: 'Kiefer, Max; Rodríguez-Guzmán, Julietta; Watson, Joanna; van Wendel de Joode, Berna; Mergler, Donna; da Silva, Agnes Soares' ISSN: "1020-4989\r1680-5348" Issue: 3 Journal: Revista panamericana de salud publica = Pan American Journal of Public Health Name of Database: PMC Notes: "27991978[pmid]\rRev Panam Salud Publica" Pages: 192-197 Title: 'Worker health and safety and climate change in the Americas: Issues and research needs' URL: http://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC5176103/ Volume: 40 Year: 2016 _record_number: 25320 _uuid: bbb07cf9-3d20-441b-8d01-8371f67f27d0 reftype: Journal Article child_publication: /article/pmid-27991978 href: https://data.globalchange.gov/reference/bbb07cf9-3d20-441b-8d01-8371f67f27d0.yaml identifier: bbb07cf9-3d20-441b-8d01-8371f67f27d0 uri: /reference/bbb07cf9-3d20-441b-8d01-8371f67f27d0 - attrs: .reference_type: 10 Author: 'Houser, Trevor; Kopp, Robert; Hsiang, Solomon; Michael Delgado; Amir Jina; Kate Larsen; Michael Mastrandrea; Shashank Mohan; Robert Muir-Wood; DJ Rasmussen; James Rising; Paul Wilson' Institution: Rhodium Group Pages: 201 Place Published: 'New York, NY' Series Title: Working Paper Series Title: 'American Climate Prospectus: Economic Risks in the United States' URL: https://gspp.berkeley.edu/assets/uploads/research/pdf/American_Climate_Prospectus.pdf Year: 2014 _record_number: 21430 _uuid: bbca6337-718b-4289-b6e7-0a2f6c1cb8f1 reftype: Report child_publication: /report/american-climate-prospectus-economic-risks-united-states href: https://data.globalchange.gov/reference/bbca6337-718b-4289-b6e7-0a2f6c1cb8f1.yaml identifier: bbca6337-718b-4289-b6e7-0a2f6c1cb8f1 uri: /reference/bbca6337-718b-4289-b6e7-0a2f6c1cb8f1 - attrs: Author: 'Ross, Michelle E.; Vicedo-Cabrera, Ana M.; Kopp, Robert E.; Song, Lihai; Goldfarb, David S.; Pulido, Jose; Warner, Steven; Furth, Susan L.; Tasian, Gregory E.' DOI: 10.1016/j.envres.2017.12.020 Date: 2018/04/01/ ISSN: 0013-9351 Journal: Environmental Research Keywords: Temperature; Kidney stone presentations; Nephrolithiasis; Humidity; Prediction Pages: 97-105 Title: Assessment of the combination of temperature and relative humidity on kidney stone presentations Volume: 162 Year: 2018 _record_number: 25314 _uuid: bc677c60-b904-4fd5-9f2b-981e36b3e0ac reftype: Journal Article child_publication: /article/10.1016/j.envres.2017.12.020 href: https://data.globalchange.gov/reference/bc677c60-b904-4fd5-9f2b-981e36b3e0ac.yaml identifier: bc677c60-b904-4fd5-9f2b-981e36b3e0ac uri: /reference/bc677c60-b904-4fd5-9f2b-981e36b3e0ac