reference : Using uncertain climate and development information in health adaptation planning

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reftype Journal Article
Abstract To aid health adaptation decision-making, there are increasing efforts to provide climate projections at finer temporal and spatial scales. Relying solely on projected climate changes for longer-term decisions makes the implicit assumption that sources of vulnerability other than climate change will remain the same, which is not very probable. Over longer time horizons, this approach likely over estimates the extent to which climate change could alter the magnitude and pattern of health outcomes, introducing systematic bias into health management decisions. To balance this potential bias, decision-makers also need projections of other drivers of health outcomes that are, like climate change, recognized determinants of some disease burdens. Incorporating projections via an iterative process that allows for regular updates based on new knowledge and experience has the potential to improve the utility of fine-scale climate projections in health system adaptation to climate change.
Author Ebi, Kristie L.; Hess, Jeremy J.; Isaksen, Tania Busch
DOI 10.1007/s40572-016-0077-0
Date March 01
ISSN 2196-5412
Issue 1
Journal Current Environmental Health Reports
Pages 99-105
Title Using uncertain climate and development information in health adaptation planning
Type of Article journal article
Volume 3
Year 2016
Bibliographic identifiers
_record_number 24058
_uuid e3c4d3b0-5fa1-446c-8af4-1f466e312f99