--- - attrs: Author: 'Bryan, A. M.; Steiner, A. L.; Posselt, D. J.' DOI: 10.1002/2014JD022316 ISSN: 2169-8996 Issue: 3 Journal: Journal of Geophysical Research Atmospheres Keywords: land-atmosphere interactions; lake feedbacks; regional climate modeling; Great Lakes; hydroclimate; 1818 Evapotranspiration; 3322 Land/atmosphere interactions; 3355 Regional modeling Pages: 1044-1064 Title: Regional modeling of surface-atmosphere interactions and their impact on Great Lakes hydroclimate Volume: 120 Year: 2015 _record_number: 21106 _uuid: 03f91fdd-6d7d-431b-997b-91f63f52fe45 reftype: Journal Article child_publication: /article/10.1002/2014JD022316 href: https://data.globalchange.gov/reference/03f91fdd-6d7d-431b-997b-91f63f52fe45.yaml identifier: 03f91fdd-6d7d-431b-997b-91f63f52fe45 uri: /reference/03f91fdd-6d7d-431b-997b-91f63f52fe45 - attrs: .reference_type: 10 Author: 'EPA,' Institution: U.S. Environmental Protection Agency (EPA) Pages: 271 Place Published: 'Washington, DC' Series Volume: EPA 430‐R‐17‐001 Title: 'Multi-model Framework for Quantitative Sectoral Impacts Analysis: A Technical Report for the Fourth National Climate Assessment' URL: https://cfpub.epa.gov/si/si_public_record_Report.cfm?dirEntryId=335095 Year: 2017 _record_number: 21365 _uuid: 0b30f1ab-e4c4-4837-aa8b-0e19faccdb94 reftype: Report child_publication: /report/epa-multi-model-framework-for-quantitative-sectoral-impacts-analysis-2017 href: https://data.globalchange.gov/reference/0b30f1ab-e4c4-4837-aa8b-0e19faccdb94.yaml identifier: 0b30f1ab-e4c4-4837-aa8b-0e19faccdb94 uri: /reference/0b30f1ab-e4c4-4837-aa8b-0e19faccdb94 - attrs: Author: 'Mallard, M. S.; Nolte, C. G.; Spero, T. L.; Bullock, O. R.; Alapaty, K.; Herwehe, J. A.; Gula, J.; Bowden, J. H.' DOI: 10.5194/gmd-8-1085-2015 ISSN: 1991-9603 Issue: 4 Journal: Geoscientific Model Development Pages: 1085-1096 Publisher: Copernicus Publications Title: Technical challenges and solutions in representing lakes when using WRF in downscaling applications Volume: 8 Year: 2015 _record_number: 21235 _uuid: 1cd8ac44-e9d5-4a2e-ab8e-e48c8988bbc2 reftype: Journal Article child_publication: /article/10.5194/gmd-8-1085-2015 href: https://data.globalchange.gov/reference/1cd8ac44-e9d5-4a2e-ab8e-e48c8988bbc2.yaml identifier: 1cd8ac44-e9d5-4a2e-ab8e-e48c8988bbc2 uri: /reference/1cd8ac44-e9d5-4a2e-ab8e-e48c8988bbc2 - attrs: Abstract: 'After Hurricane Katrina, many New Orleans homes remained flooded for weeks, promoting heavy microbial growth. OBJECTIVES: A small demonstration project was conducted November 2005–January 2006 aiming to recommend safe remediation techniques and safe levels of worker protection, and to characterize airborne mold and endotoxin throughout cleanup. METHODS: Three houses with floodwater lines between 0.3 and 2 m underwent intervention, including disposal of damaged furnishings and drywall, cleaning surfaces, drying remaining structure, and treatment with a biostatic agent. We measured indoor and outdoor bioaerosols before, during, and after intervention. Samples were analyzed for fungi [culture, spore analysis, polymerase chain reaction (PCR)] and endotoxin. In one house, real-time particle counts were also assessed, and respirator-efficiency testing was performed to establish workplace protection factors (WPF). RESULTS: At baseline, culturable mold ranged from 22,000 to 515,000 colony-forming units/m(3), spore counts ranged from 82,000 to 630,000 spores/m(3), and endotoxin ranged from 17 to 139 endotoxin units/m(3). Culture, spore analysis, and PCR indicated that Penicillium, Aspergillus, and Paecilomyces predominated. After intervention, levels of mold and endotoxin were generally lower (sometimes, orders of magnitude). The average WPF against fungal spores for elastomeric respirators was higher than for the N-95 respirators. CONCLUSIONS: During baseline and intervention, mold and endotoxin levels were similar to those found in agricultural environments. We strongly recommend that those entering, cleaning, and repairing flood-damaged homes wear respirators at least as protective as elastomeric respirators. Recommendations based on this demonstration will benefit those involved in the current cleanup activities and will inform efforts to respond to future disasters.' Author: 'Chew, Ginger L.; Wilson, Jonathan; Rabito, Felicia A.; Grimsley, Faye; Iqbal, Shahed; Reponen, Tiina; Muilenberg, Michael L.; Thorne, Peter S.; Dearborn, Dorr G.; Morley, Rebecca L.' DOI: 10.1289/ehp.9258 Date: "08/24\r04/11/received\r08/24/accepted" ISSN: "0091-6765\r1552-9924" Issue: 12 Journal: Environmental Health Perspectives Name of Database: PMC Pages: 1883-1889 Publisher: National Institute of Environmental Health Sciences Title: 'Mold and endotoxin levels in the aftermath of Hurricane Katrina: A pilot project of homes in New Orleans undergoing renovation' Volume: 114 Year: 2006 _record_number: 21210 _uuid: 1db82525-813a-488c-ab9b-8e726b05eac1 reftype: Journal Article child_publication: /article/10.1289/ehp.9258 href: https://data.globalchange.gov/reference/1db82525-813a-488c-ab9b-8e726b05eac1.yaml identifier: 1db82525-813a-488c-ab9b-8e726b05eac1 uri: /reference/1db82525-813a-488c-ab9b-8e726b05eac1 - attrs: .reference_type: 0 Abstract: 'An understanding of the spatial distribution of the black-legged tick, Ixodes scapularis, is a fundamental component in assessing human risk for Lyme disease in much of the United States. Although a county-level vector distribution map exists for the United States, its accuracy is limited by arbitrary categories of its reported presence. It is unknown whether reported positive areas can support established populations and whether negative areas are suitable for established populations. The steadily increasing range of I. scapularis in the United States suggests that all suitable habitats are not currently occupied. Therefore, we developed a spatially predictive logistic model for I. scapularis in the 48 conterminous states to improve the previous vector distribution map. We used ground-observed environmental data to predict the probability of established I. scapularis populations. The autologistic analysis showed that maximum, minimum, and mean temperatures as well as vapor pressure significantly contribute to population maintenance with an accuracy of 95% (p < 0.0001). A cutoff probability for habitat suitability was assessed by sensitivity analysis and was used to reclassify the previous distribution map. The spatially modeled relationship between I. scapularis presence and large-scale environmental data provides a robust suitability model that reveals essential environmental determinants of habitat suitability, predicts emerging areas of Lyme disease risk, and generates the future pattern of I. scapularis across the United States.' Author: 'Brownstein, John S.; Holford, Theodore R.; Fish, Durland' DOI: 10.1289/ehp.6052 ISSN: 1552-9924 Issue: 9 Journal: Environmental Health Perspectives Notes: '12842766[pmid] Environ Health Perspect' Pages: 1152-1157 Title: A climate-based model predicts the spatial distribution of the Lyme disease vector Ixodes scapularis in the United States Volume: 111 Year: 2003 _record_number: 18337 _uuid: 2471c8e7-348f-40c2-9a28-0d46d3d1f1df reftype: Journal Article child_publication: /article/10.1289/ehp.6052 href: https://data.globalchange.gov/reference/2471c8e7-348f-40c2-9a28-0d46d3d1f1df.yaml identifier: 2471c8e7-348f-40c2-9a28-0d46d3d1f1df uri: /reference/2471c8e7-348f-40c2-9a28-0d46d3d1f1df - attrs: .reference_type: 0 Article Number: 40 Author: 'Basu, R.' DOI: 10.1186/1476-069X-8-40 ISSN: '1476-069X ' Issue: 1 Journal: Environmental Health Pages: 1-13 Title: 'High ambient temperature and mortality: A review of epidemiologic studies from 2001 to 2008' Volume: 8 Year: 2009 _chapter: '["Ch. 9: Human Health FINAL","Overview"]' _record_number: 846 _uuid: 28b8aa29-bfe6-4d88-b73f-fe736f5042b6 reftype: Journal Article child_publication: /article/10.1186/1476-069X-8-40 href: https://data.globalchange.gov/reference/28b8aa29-bfe6-4d88-b73f-fe736f5042b6.yaml identifier: 28b8aa29-bfe6-4d88-b73f-fe736f5042b6 uri: /reference/28b8aa29-bfe6-4d88-b73f-fe736f5042b6 - attrs: .reference_type: 10 Author: 'Cameron, Lorraine; Ferguson, Aaron; Walker, Robert; Briley, Laura; Brown, Daniel' Institution: Michigan Department of Health & Human Services Pages: 97 Place Published: 'Lansing, MI' Title: "Michigan climate and health profile report 2015: Building resilience against climate effects on Michigan's health" URL: http://www.michigan.gov/documents/mdhhs/MI_Climate_and_Health_Profile_517517_7.pdf Year: 2015 _record_number: 21287 _uuid: 2a412bb3-bcc0-47f7-aef0-5c098c61ffa5 reftype: Report child_publication: /report/michigan-climate-health-profile-report-2015-building-resilience-against-climate-effects-on-michigans-health href: https://data.globalchange.gov/reference/2a412bb3-bcc0-47f7-aef0-5c098c61ffa5.yaml identifier: 2a412bb3-bcc0-47f7-aef0-5c098c61ffa5 uri: /reference/2a412bb3-bcc0-47f7-aef0-5c098c61ffa5 - attrs: .reference_type: 0 Abstract: 'A fundamental aspect of climate change is the potential shifts in flowering phenology and pollen initiation associated with milder winters and warmer seasonal air temperature. Earlier floral anthesis has been suggested, in turn, to have a role in human disease by increasing time of exposure to pollen that causes allergic rhinitis and related asthma. However, earlier floral initiation does not necessarily alter the temporal duration of the pollen season, and, to date, no consistent continental trend in pollen season length has been demonstrated. Here we report that duration of the ragweed (Ambrosia spp.) pollen season has been increasing in recent decades as a function of latitude in North America. Latitudinal effects on increasing season length were associated primarily with a delay in first frost of the fall season and lengthening of the frost free period. Overall, these data indicate a significant increase in the length of the ragweed pollen season by as much as 13-27 d at latitudes above similar to 44 degrees N since 1995. This is consistent with recent Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change projections regarding enhanced warming as a function of latitude. If similar warming trends accompany long-term climate change, greater exposure times to seasonal allergens may occur with subsequent effects on public health.' Accession Number: ISI:000288120400079 Alternate Journal: P Natl Acad Sci USA Author: "Ziska, L.\rKnowlton, K.\rRogers, C.\rDalan, D.\rTierney, N.\rElder, M. A.\rFilley, W.\rShropshire, J.\rFord, L. B.\rHedberg, C.\rFleetwood, P.\rHovanky, K. T.\rKavanaugh, T.\rFulford, G.\rVrtis, R. F.\rPatz, J. A.\rPortnoy, J.\rCoates, F.\rBielory, L.\rFrenz, D." Author Address: 'Ziska, L; ARS, Crop Syst & Global Change Lab, USDA, Beltsville, MD 20705 USA; ARS, Crop Syst & Global Change Lab, USDA, Beltsville, MD 20705 USA; ARS, Crop Syst & Global Change Lab, USDA, Beltsville, MD 20705 USA; Columbia Univ, Mailman Sch Publ Hlth, Hlth & Environm Program, Nat Resources Def Council, New York, NY 10032 USA; Columbia Univ, Mailman Sch Publ Hlth, Dept Environm Hlth Sci, New York, NY 10032 USA; Univ Massachusetts, Amherst, MA 01003 USA; Allergy & Asthma Care Ctr, Fargo, ND 58103 USA; Allergy & Asthma Specialists, Minneapolis, MN 55402 USA; Oklahoma Allergy & Asthma Clin, Oklahoma City, OK 73104 USA; Ctr Asthma & Allergy, Omaha, NE 68123 USA; Hedberg Allergy & Asthma Ctr, Rogers, AR 72758 USA; Allergy & Asthma Ctr Georgetown, Georgetown, TX 78628 USA; Allergy Associates, La Crosse, WI 54602 USA; Univ Wisconsin, Nelson Inst Environm Studies, Madison, WI 53706 USA; Univ Wisconsin, Dept Populat Hlth Sci, Madison, WI 53706 USA; Univ Missouri, Sch Med, Childrens Mercy Hosp, Sect Allergy Asthma & Immunol, Kansas City, MO 64108 USA; Aerobiol Res Labs, Nepean, ON K2E 7Y5, Canada; Rutgers State Univ, Ctr Environm Predict, New Brunswick, NJ 08901 USA; HealthE Care Syst, St Paul, MN 55102 USA' DOI: 10.1073/pnas.1014107108 Date: Mar 8 ISSN: 0027-8424 Issue: 10 Journal: Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America Keywords: aerobiology; allergies; global warming; ambrosia-artemisiifolia l.; climate-change; common ragweed; public-health; united-states; aeroallergens; allergy; urbanization; temperatures; counts Language: English Notes: 731PA; Times Cited:9; Cited References Count:34 Pages: 4248-4251 Title: Recent warming by latitude associated with increased length of ragweed pollen season in central North America URL: http://www.pnas.org/content/108/10/4248.full.pdf+html Volume: 108 Year: 2011 _chapter: '["Ch. 9: Human Health FINAL","Ch. 16: Northeast FINAL","Ch. 19: Great Plains FINAL","Ch. 2: Our Changing Climate FINAL","Overview","RF 1","Ch. 18: Midwest FINAL"]' _record_number: 3557 _uuid: 2d1ffd71-6c31-4d2e-9867-bdf330be45c1 reftype: Journal Article child_publication: /article/10.1073/pnas.1014107108 href: https://data.globalchange.gov/reference/2d1ffd71-6c31-4d2e-9867-bdf330be45c1.yaml identifier: 2d1ffd71-6c31-4d2e-9867-bdf330be45c1 uri: /reference/2d1ffd71-6c31-4d2e-9867-bdf330be45c1 - attrs: Abstract: '[This study focuses on mental health and psychosocial distress sequelae of Hurricane Katrina cataclysm among survivors. The purpose of this article is to: (1) assess the variation in psychosocial distress among the survivors of Katrina by socio-demographic, structural and situational factors; (2) determine if there are significant racial and gender differences in the extent of psychological stress, especially between Black and White, male and female survivors; and (3) to evaluate the influence of resource loss or financial burden imposed, social support, and perceived victimization on psychosocial distress among survivors. The Gallup/CNN/USA Today survey data collected in 2005 and 2006 from a representative (random) sample of Katrina survivors are used. Among the results, significant racial differences were found in psychological impacts including reported symptoms of sleeplessness, anxiety, depression, and worries about the future. In a series of multivariate analyses including factor analysis and OLS regression models, residency in Orleans parish prior to the storm, older age, female gender, having dependent children, unemployment, extent of property damage, and financial impacts sustained consistently predict psychological distress among the survivors. The theoretical, methodological, and applied policy implications of these findings are discussed.]' Author: 'Adeola, Francis O.' ISSN: '10744827, 22040919' Issue: 2 Journal: Human Ecology Review Legal Note: 'Full publication date: Winter 2009' Pages: 195-210 Publisher: '[Society for Human Ecology, ANU Press]' Title: 'Mental health & psychosocial distress sequelae of Katrina: An empirical study of survivors' URL: http://www.jstor.org/stable/24707543 Volume: 16 Year: 2009 _record_number: 25927 _uuid: 327a1728-7992-448b-9e5b-267328259994 reftype: Journal Article child_publication: /article/mental-health-psychosocial-distress-sequelae-katrina-an-empirical-study-survivors href: https://data.globalchange.gov/reference/327a1728-7992-448b-9e5b-267328259994.yaml identifier: 327a1728-7992-448b-9e5b-267328259994 uri: /reference/327a1728-7992-448b-9e5b-267328259994 - attrs: Abstract: 'West Nile virus (WNV) is a leading cause of mosquito-borne disease in the United States. Annual seasonal outbreaks vary in size and location. Predicting where and when higher than normal WNV transmission will occur can help direct limited public health resources. We developed models for the contiguous United States to identify meteorological anomalies associated with above average incidence of WNV neuroinvasive disease from 2004 to 2012. We used county-level WNV data reported to ArboNET and meteorological data from the North American Land Data Assimilation System. As a result of geographic differences in WNV transmission, we divided the United States into East and West, and 10 climate regions. Above average annual temperature was associated with increased likelihood of higher than normal WNV disease incidence, nationally and in most regions. Lower than average annual total precipitation was associated with higher disease incidence in the eastern United States, but the opposite was true in most western regions. Although multiple factors influence WNV transmission, these findings show that anomalies in temperature and precipitation are associated with above average WNV disease incidence. Readily accessible meteorological data may be used to develop predictive models to forecast geographic areas with elevated WNV disease risk before the coming season.' Author: 'Hahn, Micah B.; Monaghan, Andrew J.; Hayden, Mary H.; Eisen, Rebecca J.; Delorey, Mark J.; Lindsey, Nicole P.; Nasci, Roger S.; Fischer, Marc' DOI: 10.4269/ajtmh.14-0737 Date: "11/30/received\r02/08/accepted" ISSN: "0002-9637\r1476-1645" Issue: 5 Journal: The American Journal of Tropical Medicine and Hygiene Name of Database: PMC Pages: 1013-1022 Publisher: American Society of Tropical Medicine and Hygiene Title: 'Meteorological conditions associated with increased incidence of West Nile virus disease in the United States, 2004–2012' Volume: 92 Year: 2015 _record_number: 21231 _uuid: 3d6b2a18-fbfd-4751-8eb9-a35b7502ac9f reftype: Journal Article child_publication: /article/10.4269/ajtmh.14-0737 href: https://data.globalchange.gov/reference/3d6b2a18-fbfd-4751-8eb9-a35b7502ac9f.yaml identifier: 3d6b2a18-fbfd-4751-8eb9-a35b7502ac9f uri: /reference/3d6b2a18-fbfd-4751-8eb9-a35b7502ac9f - attrs: Author: 'Ogden, Nicholas H.; Lindsay, L. Robbin; Leighton, Patrick A.' DOI: 10.1111/1365-2664.12050 ISSN: 1365-2664 Issue: 2 Journal: Journal of Applied Ecology Keywords: Borrelia burgdorferi; emerging infectious disease; invasion; Ixodes scapularis; surveillance Pages: 510-518 Title: Predicting the rate of invasion of the agent of Lyme disease Borrelia burgdorferi Volume: 50 Year: 2013 _record_number: 21184 _uuid: 4a53940c-0aa5-4ef3-b11b-06ea45277445 reftype: Journal Article child_publication: /article/10.1111/1365-2664.12050 href: https://data.globalchange.gov/reference/4a53940c-0aa5-4ef3-b11b-06ea45277445.yaml identifier: 4a53940c-0aa5-4ef3-b11b-06ea45277445 uri: /reference/4a53940c-0aa5-4ef3-b11b-06ea45277445 - attrs: Author: 'Sheridan, Scott C.; Dixon, P. Grady' DOI: 10.1016/j.ancene.2016.10.001 Date: 2016/10/19/ ISSN: 2213-3054 Journal: Anthropocene Keywords: Heat mortality; Climate change; Heat wave; Distributed lag nonlinear model Title: Spatiotemporal trends in human vulnerability and adaptation to heat across the United States Year: 2016 _record_number: 21125 _uuid: 4aaadb0b-7eb3-43fa-863d-89f01f55f5fc reftype: Journal Article child_publication: /article/10.1016/j.ancene.2016.10.001 href: https://data.globalchange.gov/reference/4aaadb0b-7eb3-43fa-863d-89f01f55f5fc.yaml identifier: 4aaadb0b-7eb3-43fa-863d-89f01f55f5fc uri: /reference/4aaadb0b-7eb3-43fa-863d-89f01f55f5fc - attrs: .reference_type: 10 Author: 'Illinois Department of Public Health,' Institution: University of Illinois at Chicago School of Public Health Pages: 15 Place Published: 'Chicago, IL' Series Volume: Author Should be Title: Climate and health in Illinois URL: http://www.dph.illinois.gov/sites/default/files/publications/publicationsoprclimatehealthreport.pdf Year: 2016 _record_number: 21289 _uuid: 4f2b76ca-aaf0-4f09-9b76-d6aa021e979a reftype: Report child_publication: /report/climate-health-illinois href: https://data.globalchange.gov/reference/4f2b76ca-aaf0-4f09-9b76-d6aa021e979a.yaml identifier: 4f2b76ca-aaf0-4f09-9b76-d6aa021e979a uri: /reference/4f2b76ca-aaf0-4f09-9b76-d6aa021e979a - attrs: Abstract: 'Projections of regional climate, net basin supply (NBS), and water levels are developed for the mid- and late twenty-first century across the Laurentian Great Lakes basin. Two state-of-the-art global climate models (GCMs) are dynamically downscaled using a regional climate model (RCM) interactively coupled to a one-dimensional lake model, and then a hydrologic routing model is forced with time series of perturbed NBS. The dynamical downscaling and coupling with a lake model to represent the Great Lakes create added value beyond the parent GCM in terms of simulated seasonal cycles of temperature, precipitation, and surface fluxes. However, limitations related to this rudimentary treatment of the Great Lakes result in warm summer biases in lake temperatures, excessive ice cover, and an abnormally early peak in lake evaporation. While the downscaling of both GCMs led to consistent projections of increases in annual air temperature, precipitation, and all NBS components (overlake precipitation, basinwide runoff, and lake evaporation), the resulting projected water level trends are opposite in sign. Clearly, it is not sufficient to correctly simulate the signs of the projected change in each NBS component; one must also account for their relative magnitudes. The potential risk of more frequent episodes of lake levels below the low water datum, a critical shipping threshold, is explored.' Author: 'Notaro, Michael; Val Bennington; Brent Lofgren' DOI: 10.1175/jcli-d-14-00847.1 Issue: 24 Journal: Journal of Climate Keywords: 'Geographic location/entity,Inland seas/lakes,Atm/Ocean Structure/ Phenomena,Freshwater,Physical Meteorology and Climatology,Climate change,Hydrology,Models and modeling,Regional models,Variability,Climate variability' Pages: 9721-9745 Title: Dynamical downscaling–based projections of Great Lakes water levels Volume: 28 Year: 2015 _record_number: 21203 _uuid: 5295673e-703b-42f8-9792-4ccf8e3cf747 reftype: Journal Article child_publication: /article/10.1175/jcli-d-14-00847.1 href: https://data.globalchange.gov/reference/5295673e-703b-42f8-9792-4ccf8e3cf747.yaml identifier: 5295673e-703b-42f8-9792-4ccf8e3cf747 uri: /reference/5295673e-703b-42f8-9792-4ccf8e3cf747 - attrs: .reference_type: 7 Author: 'Fann, Neal; Brennan, Terry; Dolwick, Patrick; Gamble, Janet L.; Ilacqua, Vito; Kolb, Laura; Nolte, Christopher G.; Spero, Tanya L.; Ziska, Lewis' Book Title: 'The Impacts of Climate Change on Human Health in the United States: A Scientific Assessment' DOI: 10.7930/J0GQ6VP6 Pages: 69–98 Place Published: 'Washington, DC' Publisher: U.S. Global Change Research Program Title: 'Ch. 3: Air quality impacts' Year: 2016 _record_number: 19375 _uuid: 5ec155e5-8b77-438f-afa9-fbcac4d27690 reftype: Book Section child_publication: /report/usgcrp-climate-human-health-assessment-2016/chapter/air-quality-impacts href: https://data.globalchange.gov/reference/5ec155e5-8b77-438f-afa9-fbcac4d27690.yaml identifier: 5ec155e5-8b77-438f-afa9-fbcac4d27690 uri: /reference/5ec155e5-8b77-438f-afa9-fbcac4d27690 - attrs: .reference_type: 0 Author: 'Bobb, Jennifer F.; Peng, Roger D.; Bell, Michelle L.; Dominici, Francesca' DOI: 10.1289/ehp.1307392 ISSN: 1552-9924 Issue: 8 Journal: Environmental Health Perspectives Pages: 811-816 Title: Heat-related mortality and adaptation to heat in the United States Volume: 122 Year: 2014 _chapter: Ch2 _record_number: 17588 _uuid: 6b3cd0ec-1e3e-42e8-ad82-5c12ed7ab0e8 reftype: Journal Article child_publication: /article/10.1289/ehp.1307392 href: https://data.globalchange.gov/reference/6b3cd0ec-1e3e-42e8-ad82-5c12ed7ab0e8.yaml identifier: 6b3cd0ec-1e3e-42e8-ad82-5c12ed7ab0e8 uri: /reference/6b3cd0ec-1e3e-42e8-ad82-5c12ed7ab0e8 - attrs: Abstract: 'Most Lyme disease cases in the Midwestern United States are reported in Minnesota and Wisconsin. In recent years, however, a widening geographic extent of Lyme disease has been noted with evidence of expansion eastwards into Michigan and neighboring states with historically low incidence rates.Methods.We collected confirmed and probable cases of Lyme disease from 2000 through 2014 from the Michigan Department of Health and Human Services, entering them in a geographic information system. We performed spatial focal cluster analyses to characterize Lyme disease expansion. We compared the distribution of human cases with recent Ixodes scapularis tick distribution studies.Results.Lyme disease cases in both the Upper and Lower Peninsulas of Michigan expanded more than 5-fold over the study period. Although increases were seen throughout the Upper Peninsula, the Lower Peninsula particularly expanded along the Indiana border north along the eastern shore of Lake Michigan. Human cases corresponded to a simultaneous expansion in established I scapularis tick populations.Conclusions.The geographic distribution of Lyme disease cases significantly expanded in Michigan between 2000 and 2014, particularly northward along the Lake Michigan shore. If such dynamic trends continue, Michigan—and possibly neighboring areas of Indiana, Ohio, and Ontario, Canada—can expect a continued increase in Lyme disease cases.' Author: 'Lantos, Paul M.; Tsao, Jean; Nigrovic, Lise E.; Auwaerter, Paul G.; Fowler, Vance G.; Ruffin, Felicia; Foster, Erik; Hickling, Graham' DOI: 10.1093/ofid/ofw269 Issue: 1 Journal: Open Forum Infectious Diseases Pages: Art. ofw269 Title: 'Geographic expansion of Lyme disease in Michigan, 2000–2014' Volume: 4 Year: 2017 _record_number: 21290 _uuid: 7f78088e-7e0d-429b-ba67-eeaac737f8fa reftype: Journal Article child_publication: /article/10.1093/ofid/ofw269 href: https://data.globalchange.gov/reference/7f78088e-7e0d-429b-ba67-eeaac737f8fa.yaml identifier: 7f78088e-7e0d-429b-ba67-eeaac737f8fa uri: /reference/7f78088e-7e0d-429b-ba67-eeaac737f8fa - attrs: Abstract: 'This study examined the relative importance of climate change and drinking-water treatment for gastrointestinal illness incidence in children (age <5 years) from period 2046–2065 compared to 1991–2010. The northern Wisconsin (USA) study focused on municipalities distributing untreated groundwater. A time-series analysis first quantified the observed (1991–2010) precipitation and gastrointestinal illness associations after controlling for seasonality and temporal trends. Precipitation likely transported pathogens into drinking-water sources or into leaking water-distribution networks. Building on observed relationships, the second analysis projected how climate change and drinking-water treatment installation may alter gastrointestinal illness incidence. Future precipitation values were modeled by 13 global climate models and three greenhouse-gas emissions levels. The second analysis was rerun using three pathways: (1) only climate change, (2) climate change and the same slow pace of treatment installation observed over 1991–2010, and (3) climate change and the rapid rate of installation observed over 2011–2016. The results illustrate the risks that climate change presents to small rural groundwater municipalities without drinking water treatment. Climate-change-related seasonal precipitation changes will marginally increase the gastrointestinal illness incidence rate (mean: ∼1.5%, range: −3.6–4.3%). A slow pace of treatment installation somewhat decreased precipitation-associated gastrointestinal illness incidence (mean: ∼3.0%, range: 0.2–7.8%) in spite of climate change. The rapid treatment installation rate largely decreases the gastrointestinal illness incidence (mean: ∼82.0%, range: 82.0–83.0%).' Author: 'Uejio, Christopher K.; Christenson, Megan; Moran, Colleen; Gorelick, Mark' DOI: 10.1007/s10040-016-1521-9 Date: June 01 ISSN: 1435-0157 Issue: 4 Journal: Hydrogeology Journal Pages: 969-979 Title: 'Drinking-water treatment, climate change, and childhood gastrointestinal illness projections for northern Wisconsin (USA) communities drinking untreated groundwater' Type of Article: journal article Volume: 25 Year: 2017 _record_number: 21114 _uuid: 851e275f-5e31-42ef-93e5-eed46db465aa reftype: Journal Article child_publication: /article/10.1007/s10040-016-1521-9 href: https://data.globalchange.gov/reference/851e275f-5e31-42ef-93e5-eed46db465aa.yaml identifier: 851e275f-5e31-42ef-93e5-eed46db465aa uri: /reference/851e275f-5e31-42ef-93e5-eed46db465aa - attrs: .reference_type: 10 Author: 'Minnesota Department of Health,' Institution: Minnesota Department of Health Pages: 100 Place Published: 'St. Paul, MN' Title: 'Minnesota Climate and Health Profile Report 2015: An Assessment of Climate Change Impacts on the Health & Well-Being of Minnesotans' URL: http://www.health.state.mn.us/divs/climatechange/docs/mnprofile2015.pdf Year: 2015 _record_number: 21292 _uuid: 8cf8bbe8-0eac-4ec0-abb3-d84b483606ea reftype: Report child_publication: /report/minnesota-climate-health-profile-report-2015-an-assessment-climate-change-impacts-on-health-well-being-minnesotans href: https://data.globalchange.gov/reference/8cf8bbe8-0eac-4ec0-abb3-d84b483606ea.yaml identifier: 8cf8bbe8-0eac-4ec0-abb3-d84b483606ea uri: /reference/8cf8bbe8-0eac-4ec0-abb3-d84b483606ea - attrs: Author: 'Hamer, Sarah A.; Hickling, Graham J.; Walker, Edward D.; Tsao, Jean I.' DOI: 10.1016/j.meegid.2014.06.003 Date: 2014/10/01/ ISSN: 1567-1348 Journal: 'Infection, Genetics and Evolution' Keywords: American Midwest Pages: 531-542 Title: Increased diversity of zoonotic pathogens and Borrelia burgdorferi strains in established versus incipient Ixodes scapularis populations across the Midwestern United States Volume: 27 Year: 2014 _record_number: 21147 _uuid: 93155d7a-31a3-4d21-9d39-f438ecc7d372 reftype: Journal Article child_publication: /article/10.1016/j.meegid.2014.06.003 href: https://data.globalchange.gov/reference/93155d7a-31a3-4d21-9d39-f438ecc7d372.yaml identifier: 93155d7a-31a3-4d21-9d39-f438ecc7d372 uri: /reference/93155d7a-31a3-4d21-9d39-f438ecc7d372 - attrs: Abstract: 'Aedes ( Stegomyia ) aegypti (L.) and Aedes ( Stegomyia ) albopictus (Skuse) transmit arboviruses that are increasing threats to human health in the Americas, particularly dengue, chikungunya, and Zika viruses. Epidemics of the associated arboviral diseases have been limited to South and Central America, Mexico, and the Caribbean in the Western Hemisphere, with only minor localized outbreaks in the United States. Nevertheless, accurate and up-to-date information for the geographical ranges of Ae. aegypti and Ae. albopictus in the United States is urgently needed to guide surveillance and enhance control capacity for these mosquitoes. We compiled county records for presence of Ae. aegypti and Ae. albopictus in the United States from 1995-2016, presented here in map format. Records were derived from the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention ArboNET database, VectorMap, the published literature, and a survey of mosquito control agencies, university researchers, and state and local health departments. Between January 1995 and March 2016, 183 counties from 26 states and the District of Columbia reported occurrence of Ae. aegypti , and 1,241 counties from 40 states and the District of Columbia reported occurrence of Ae. albopictus . During the same time period, Ae. aegypti was collected in 3 or more years from 94 counties from 14 states and the District of Columbia, and Ae. albopictus was collected during 3 or more years from 514 counties in 34 states and the District of Columbia. Our findings underscore the need for systematic surveillance of Ae. aegypti and Ae. albopictus in the United States and delineate areas with risk for the transmission of these introduced arboviruses.' Author: 'Hahn, Micah B.; Eisen, Rebecca J.; Eisen, Lars; Boegler, Karen A.; Moore, Chester G.; McAllister, Janet; Savage, Harry M.; Mutebi, John-Paul' DOI: 10.1093/jme/tjw072 ISSN: 0022-2585 Issue: 5 Journal: Journal of Medical Entomology Pages: 1169-1175 Title: 'Reported distribution of Aedes (Stegomyia) aegypti and Aedes (Stegomyia) albopictus in the United States, 1995-2016 (Diptera: Culicidae)' Volume: 53 Year: 2016 _record_number: 21178 _uuid: 9463d1f1-764f-4185-9a2b-41fb7d2071d7 reftype: Journal Article child_publication: /article/10.1093/jme/tjw072 href: https://data.globalchange.gov/reference/9463d1f1-764f-4185-9a2b-41fb7d2071d7.yaml identifier: 9463d1f1-764f-4185-9a2b-41fb7d2071d7 uri: /reference/9463d1f1-764f-4185-9a2b-41fb7d2071d7 - attrs: Author: 'Harding, Keith J.; Snyder, Peter K.; Liess, Stefan' DOI: 10.1002/2013JD019994 ISSN: 2169-8996 Issue: 22 Journal: Journal of Geophysical Research Atmospheres Keywords: dynamical downscaling; CMIP5; Great Plains; WRF; extreme rainfall events; model evaluation; 0550 Model verification and validation; 1626 Global climate models; 1817 Extreme events; 1854 Precipitation; 3355 Regional modeling Pages: '12,522-12,536' Title: Use of dynamical downscaling to improve the simulation of Central U.S. warm season precipitation in CMIP5 models Volume: 118 Year: 2013 _record_number: 21105 _uuid: 94a4d51e-96a4-4155-926d-31be60e2206a reftype: Journal Article child_publication: /article/10.1002/2013JD019994 href: https://data.globalchange.gov/reference/94a4d51e-96a4-4155-926d-31be60e2206a.yaml identifier: 94a4d51e-96a4-4155-926d-31be60e2206a uri: /reference/94a4d51e-96a4-4155-926d-31be60e2206a - attrs: Author: 'Rajkovich, Nicholas B.' DOI: 10.3998/mjs.12333712.0004.007 Journal: Michigan Journal of Sustainability Pages: 81-101 Title: 'A system of professions approach to reducing heat exposure in Cuyahoga County, Ohio' Volume: 4 Year: 2016 _record_number: 21293 _uuid: 99b4f914-06f7-4489-836a-04ea02b99ded reftype: Journal Article child_publication: /article/10.3998/mjs.12333712.0004.007 href: https://data.globalchange.gov/reference/99b4f914-06f7-4489-836a-04ea02b99ded.yaml identifier: 99b4f914-06f7-4489-836a-04ea02b99ded uri: /reference/99b4f914-06f7-4489-836a-04ea02b99ded - attrs: Abstract: 'The effects of climate change on north temperate freshwater ecosystems include increasing water temperatures and decreasing ice cover. Here we compare those trends in the Laurentian Great Lakes at three spatial scales to evaluate how warming varies across the surface of these massive inland water bodies. We compiled seasonal ice cover duration (1973–2013) and lake summer surface water temperatures (LSSWT; 1994–2013), and analyzed spatial patterns and trends at lake-wide, lake sub-basin, and fine spatial scales and compared those to reported lake- and basin-wide trends. At the lake-wide scale we found declining ice duration and warming LSSWT patterns consistent with previous studies. At the lake sub-basin scale, our statistical models identified distinct warming trends within each lake that included significant breakpoints in ice duration for 13 sub-basins, consistent linear declines in 11 sub-basins, and no trends in 4 sub-basins. At the finest scale, we found that the northern- and eastern-most portions of each Great Lake, especially in nearshore areas, have experienced faster rates of LSSWT warming and shortening ice duration than those previously reported from trends at the lake scale. We conclude that lake-level analyses mask significant spatial and temporal variation in warming patterns within the Laurentian Great Lakes. Recognizing spatial variability in rates of change can inform both mechanistic modeling of ecosystem responses and planning for long-term management of these large freshwater ecosystems.' Author: 'Mason, Lacey A.; Riseng, Catherine M.; Gronewold, Andrew D.; Rutherford, Edward S.; Wang, Jia; Clites, Anne; Smith, Sigrid D. P.; McIntyre, Peter B.' DOI: 10.1007/s10584-016-1721-2 Date: September 01 ISSN: 1573-1480 Issue: 1 Journal: Climatic Change Pages: 71-83 Title: Fine-scale spatial variation in ice cover and surface temperature trends across the surface of the Laurentian Great Lakes Type of Article: journal article Volume: 138 Year: 2016 _record_number: 21117 _uuid: 9db319af-7cec-440e-8dda-41526fed6cd0 reftype: Journal Article child_publication: /article/10.1007/s10584-016-1721-2 href: https://data.globalchange.gov/reference/9db319af-7cec-440e-8dda-41526fed6cd0.yaml identifier: 9db319af-7cec-440e-8dda-41526fed6cd0 uri: /reference/9db319af-7cec-440e-8dda-41526fed6cd0