uri,href,identifier,attrs.Abstract,attrs.Author,attrs.DOI,attrs.ISSN,attrs.Issue,attrs.Journal,attrs.Pages,attrs.Title,"attrs.Type of Article",attrs.Volume,attrs.Year,attrs._record_number,attrs._uuid,attrs.reftype,child_publication
/reference/28ab77d2-73c7-4554-82ef-c8bd5e095887,https://data.globalchange.gov/reference/28ab77d2-73c7-4554-82ef-c8bd5e095887,28ab77d2-73c7-4554-82ef-c8bd5e095887,"Climate adaptation planning and implementation are likely to increase rapidly within the forest sector not only as climate continues to change but also as we intentionally learn from real-world examples. We sought to better understand how adaptation is being incorporated in land management decision-making across diverse land ownership types in the Midwest by evaluating project-level adaptation plans from a suite of forest management projects developed through the Climate Change Response Framework. We used quantitative content analysis to evaluate 44 adaptation-planning documents developed through the Framework’s Adaptation Workbook within two ecoregional provinces of the Midwest. This approach was used to assess the components of adaptation planning, including the resources that adaptation actions targeted within planning documents, the climate changes and impacts of concern, and the adaptation strategies managers identified. Analyses of adaptation plans show that the most frequent climate changes and impacts of concern included alterations in the amount and timing of precipitation, increased vegetation moisture stress, and forest pest and pathogen impacts. Individual projects identified a diversity of adaptation options, rather than focusing singly on actions that aimed to resist climate impacts, enhance resilience, or transition systems. Multivariate analyses indicate that ecoregion and land ownership influenced adaptation planning, while the type of resources and the climate change impacts managers were concerned with were significantly correlated with the adaptation strategies selected during planning. This finding reinforces the idea that one-size-fits-all guidance on adaptation will be insufficient for land managers. Perceptions of relevant climate impacts differ based on regional and ownership contexts, which naturally leads to differences in preferred adaptation actions.","Ontl, Todd A.; Swanston, Chris; Brandt, Leslie A.; Butler, Patricia R.; D’Amato, Anthony W.; Handler, Stephen D.; Janowiak, Maria K.; Shannon, P. Danielle",10.1007/s10584-017-1983-3,1573-1480,1,"Climatic Change",75-88,"Adaptation pathways: Ecoregion and land ownership influences on climate adaptation decision-making in forest management","journal article",146,2018,21119,28ab77d2-73c7-4554-82ef-c8bd5e095887,"Journal Article",/article/10.1007/s10584-017-1983-3
/reference/28b8aa29-bfe6-4d88-b73f-fe736f5042b6,https://data.globalchange.gov/reference/28b8aa29-bfe6-4d88-b73f-fe736f5042b6,28b8aa29-bfe6-4d88-b73f-fe736f5042b6,,"Basu, R.",10.1186/1476-069X-8-40,"1476-069X ",1,"Environmental Health",1-13,"High ambient temperature and mortality: A review of epidemiologic studies from 2001 to 2008",,8,2009,846,28b8aa29-bfe6-4d88-b73f-fe736f5042b6,"Journal Article",/article/10.1186/1476-069X-8-40
/reference/28f14838-e631-417c-9e51-7b1dadf7c17d,https://data.globalchange.gov/reference/28f14838-e631-417c-9e51-7b1dadf7c17d,28f14838-e631-417c-9e51-7b1dadf7c17d,,"Kaiser-Bunbury, Christopher N.; Mougal, James; Whittington, Andrew E.; Valentin, Terence; Gabriel, Ronny; Olesen, Jens M.; Blüthgen, Nico",10.1038/nature21071,,,Nature,223-227,"Ecosystem restoration strengthens pollination network resilience and function",,542,2017,26584,28f14838-e631-417c-9e51-7b1dadf7c17d,"Journal Article",/article/10.1038/nature21071
/reference/2941609e-203a-445a-994a-2c92ec14c289,https://data.globalchange.gov/reference/2941609e-203a-445a-994a-2c92ec14c289,2941609e-203a-445a-994a-2c92ec14c289,,"U.S. Bureau of Economic Analysis,",,,,,,"Gross Domestic Product by State: Fourth Quarter and Annual 2016",,,2017,21249,2941609e-203a-445a-994a-2c92ec14c289,"Press Release",/generic/2920ea28-7af7-41bc-a64c-71bd349840bf
/reference/294d545f-948a-4185-bc4a-393f35cc4e0c,https://data.globalchange.gov/reference/294d545f-948a-4185-bc4a-393f35cc4e0c,294d545f-948a-4185-bc4a-393f35cc4e0c,"Climate change is predicted to become a major threat to biodiversity in the 21st century, but accurate predictions and effective solutions have proved difficult to formulate. Alarming predictions have come from a rather narrow methodological base, but a new, integrated science of climate-change biodiversity assessment is emerging, based on multiple sources and approaches. Drawing on evidence from paleoecological observations, recent phenological and microevolutionary responses, experiments, and computational models, we review the insights that different approaches bring to anticipating and managing the biodiversity consequences of climate change, including the extent of species’ natural resilience. We introduce a framework that uses information from different sources to identify vulnerability and to support the design of conservation responses. Although much of the information reviewed is on species, our framework and conclusions are also applicable to ecosystems, habitats, ecological communities, and genetic diversity, whether terrestrial, marine, or fresh water.","Dawson, Terence P.; Jackson, Stephen T.; House, Joanna I.; Prentice, Iain Colin; Mace, Georgina M.",10.1126/science.1200303,,6025,Science,53-58,"Beyond predictions: Biodiversity conservation in a changing climate",,332,2011,21195,294d545f-948a-4185-bc4a-393f35cc4e0c,"Journal Article",/article/10.1126/science.1200303
/reference/2967c8a9-063e-4118-92a4-71f266341e2f,https://data.globalchange.gov/reference/2967c8a9-063e-4118-92a4-71f266341e2f,2967c8a9-063e-4118-92a4-71f266341e2f,,"Schauberger, Bernhard; Archontoulis, Sotirios; Arneth, Almut; Balkovic, Juraj; Ciais, Philippe; Deryng, Delphine; Elliott, Joshua; Folberth, Christian; Khabarov, Nikolay; Müller, Christoph; Pugh, Thomas A. M.; Rolinski, Susanne; Schaphoff, Sibyll; Schmid, Erwin; Wang, Xuhui; Schlenker, Wolfram; Frieler, Katja",10.1038/ncomms13931,,,"Nature Communications",13931,"Consistent negative response of US crops to high temperatures in observations and crop models",Article,8,2017,21163,2967c8a9-063e-4118-92a4-71f266341e2f,"Journal Article",/article/10.1038/ncomms13931
/reference/29960c69-6168-4fb0-9af0-d50bdd91acd3,https://data.globalchange.gov/reference/29960c69-6168-4fb0-9af0-d50bdd91acd3,29960c69-6168-4fb0-9af0-d50bdd91acd3,,"Vose, R.S.; D.R. Easterling; K.E. Kunkel; A.N. LeGrande; M.F. Wehner",10.7930/J0N29V45,,,,185-206,"Temperature Changes in the United States",,,2017,21564,29960c69-6168-4fb0-9af0-d50bdd91acd3,"Book Section",/report/climate-science-special-report/chapter/temperature-change
/reference/2a412bb3-bcc0-47f7-aef0-5c098c61ffa5,https://data.globalchange.gov/reference/2a412bb3-bcc0-47f7-aef0-5c098c61ffa5,2a412bb3-bcc0-47f7-aef0-5c098c61ffa5,,"Cameron, Lorraine; Ferguson, Aaron; Walker, Robert; Briley, Laura; Brown, Daniel",,,,,97,"Michigan climate and health profile report 2015: Building resilience against climate effects on Michigan's health",,,2015,21287,2a412bb3-bcc0-47f7-aef0-5c098c61ffa5,Report,/report/michigan-climate-health-profile-report-2015-building-resilience-against-climate-effects-on-michigans-health
/reference/2ba3b30d-3093-4eb1-98e3-3f59a751b764,https://data.globalchange.gov/reference/2ba3b30d-3093-4eb1-98e3-3f59a751b764,2ba3b30d-3093-4eb1-98e3-3f59a751b764,"Excess nitrogen (N) impairs inland water quality and creates hypoxia in coastal ecosystems. Agriculture is the primary source of N; agricultural management and hydrology together control aquatic ecosystem N loading. Future N loading will be determined by how agriculture and hydrology intersect with climate change, yet the interactions between changing climate and water quality remain poorly understood. Here, we show that changing precipitation patterns, resulting from climate change, interact with agricultural land use to deteriorate water quality. We focus on the 2012–2013 Midwestern U.S. drought as a “natural experiment”. The transition from drought conditions in 2012 to a wet spring in 2013 was abrupt; the media dubbed this “weather whiplash”. We use recent (2010–2015) and historical data (1950–2015) to connect weather whiplash (drought-to-flood transitions) to increases in riverine N loads and concentrations. The drought likely created highly N-enriched soils; this excess N mobilized during heavy spring rains (2013), resulting in a 34% increase (10.5 vs. 7.8 mg N L−1) in the flow-weighted mean annual nitrate concentration compared to recent years. Furthermore, we show that climate change will likely intensify weather whiplash. Increased weather whiplash will, in part, increase the frequency of riverine N exceeding E.P.A. drinking water standards. Thus, our observations suggest increased climatic variation will amplify negative trends in water quality in a region already grappling with severe impairments.","Loecke, Terrance D.; Burgin, Amy J.; Riveros-Iregui, Diego A.; Ward, Adam S.; Thomas, Steven A.; Davis, Caroline A.; Clair, Martin A. St.",10.1007/s10533-017-0315-z,1573-515X,1,Biogeochemistry,7-15,"Weather whiplash in agricultural regions drives deterioration of water quality","journal article",133,2017,21115,2ba3b30d-3093-4eb1-98e3-3f59a751b764,"Journal Article",/article/10.1007/s10533-017-0315-z
/reference/2c728c37-ab8c-4270-9b27-68cb2a47b1b5,https://data.globalchange.gov/reference/2c728c37-ab8c-4270-9b27-68cb2a47b1b5,2c728c37-ab8c-4270-9b27-68cb2a47b1b5,"Past attempts to estimate rainfall-driven flood risk across the US either have incomplete coverage, coarse resolution or use overly simplified models of the flooding process. In this paper, we use a new 30 m resolution model of the entire conterminous US with a 2D representation of flood physics to produce estimates of flood hazard, which match to within 90% accuracy the skill of local models built with detailed data. These flood depths are combined with exposure datasets of commensurate resolution to calculate current and future flood risk. Our data show that the total US population exposed to serious flooding is 2.6–3.1 times higher than previous estimates, and that nearly 41 million Americans live within the 1% annual exceedance probability floodplain (compared to only 13 million when calculated using FEMA flood maps). We find that population and GDP growth alone are expected to lead to significant future increases in exposure, and this change may be exacerbated in the future by climate change.","Wing, Oliver E. J.; Paul D. Bates; Andrew M. Smith; Christopher C. Sampson; Kris A. Johnson; Joseph Fargione; Philip Morefield",10.1088/1748-9326/aaac65,1748-9326,3,"Environmental Research Letters",034023,"Estimates of present and future flood risk in the conterminous United States",,13,2018,26620,2c728c37-ab8c-4270-9b27-68cb2a47b1b5,"Journal Article",/article/10.1088/1748-9326/aaac65
/reference/2d1ffd71-6c31-4d2e-9867-bdf330be45c1,https://data.globalchange.gov/reference/2d1ffd71-6c31-4d2e-9867-bdf330be45c1,2d1ffd71-6c31-4d2e-9867-bdf330be45c1,"A fundamental aspect of climate change is the potential shifts in flowering phenology and pollen initiation associated with milder winters and warmer seasonal air temperature. Earlier floral anthesis has been suggested, in turn, to have a role in human disease by increasing time of exposure to pollen that causes allergic rhinitis and related asthma. However, earlier floral initiation does not necessarily alter the temporal duration of the pollen season, and, to date, no consistent continental trend in pollen season length has been demonstrated. Here we report that duration of the ragweed (Ambrosia spp.) pollen season has been increasing in recent decades as a function of latitude in North America. Latitudinal effects on increasing season length were associated primarily with a delay in first frost of the fall season and lengthening of the frost free period. Overall, these data indicate a significant increase in the length of the ragweed pollen season by as much as 13-27 d at latitudes above similar to 44 degrees N since 1995. This is consistent with recent Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change projections regarding enhanced warming as a function of latitude. If similar warming trends accompany long-term climate change, greater exposure times to seasonal allergens may occur with subsequent effects on public health.","Ziska, L.
Knowlton, K.
Rogers, C.
Dalan, D.
Tierney, N.
Elder, M. A.
Filley, W.
Shropshire, J.
Ford, L. B.
Hedberg, C.
Fleetwood, P.
Hovanky, K. T.
Kavanaugh, T.
Fulford, G.
Vrtis, R. F.
Patz, J. A.
Portnoy, J.
Coates, F.
Bielory, L.
Frenz, D.",10.1073/pnas.1014107108,0027-8424,10,"Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America",4248-4251,"Recent warming by latitude associated with increased length of ragweed pollen season in central North America",,108,2011,3557,2d1ffd71-6c31-4d2e-9867-bdf330be45c1,"Journal Article",/article/10.1073/pnas.1014107108
/reference/2d8993e4-2b69-4ae5-830d-41e07decfb12,https://data.globalchange.gov/reference/2d8993e4-2b69-4ae5-830d-41e07decfb12,2d8993e4-2b69-4ae5-830d-41e07decfb12,"Responses to climate change have been observed across many species. There is a general trend for species to shift their ranges poleward or up in elevation. Not all species, however, can make such shifts, and these species might experience more rapid declines. Kerr et al. looked at data on bumblebees across North America and Europe over the past 110 years. Bumblebees have not shifted northward and are experiencing shrinking distributions in the southern ends of their range. Such failures to shift may be because of their origins in a cooler climate, and suggest an elevated susceptibility to rapid climate change.Science, this issue p. 177For many species, geographical ranges are expanding toward the poles in response to climate change, while remaining stable along range edges nearest the equator. Using long-term observations across Europe and North America over 110 years, we tested for climate change–related range shifts in bumblebee species across the full extents of their latitudinal and thermal limits and movements along elevation gradients. We found cross-continentally consistent trends in failures to track warming through time at species’ northern range limits, range losses from southern range limits, and shifts to higher elevations among southern species. These effects are independent of changing land uses or pesticide applications and underscore the need to test for climate impacts at both leading and trailing latitudinal and thermal limits for species.","Kerr, Jeremy T.; Pindar, Alana; Galpern, Paul; Packer, Laurence; Potts, Simon G.; Roberts, Stuart M.; Rasmont, Pierre; Schweiger, Oliver; Colla, Sheila R.; Richardson, Leif L.; Wagner, David L.; Gall, Lawrence F.; Sikes, Derek S.; Pantoja, Alberto",10.1126/science.aaa7031,,6244,Science,177-180,"Climate change impacts on bumblebees converge across continents",,349,2015,26586,2d8993e4-2b69-4ae5-830d-41e07decfb12,"Journal Article",/article/10.1126/science.aaa7031
/reference/2e355af9-a451-4abc-9874-4b96e7866e34,https://data.globalchange.gov/reference/2e355af9-a451-4abc-9874-4b96e7866e34,2e355af9-a451-4abc-9874-4b96e7866e34,,"Norton, Richard K.; Nina P. David; Stephen Buckman; Patricia D. Koman",10.1016/j.landusepol.2017.11.049,,,"Land Use Policy",183-203,"Overlooking the coast: Limited local planning for coastal area management along Michigan’s Great Lakes",,71,2018,21285,2e355af9-a451-4abc-9874-4b96e7866e34,"Journal Article",/article/10.1016/j.landusepol.2017.11.049
/reference/2ed3cfa2-6661-492b-be97-bea100a48d41,https://data.globalchange.gov/reference/2ed3cfa2-6661-492b-be97-bea100a48d41,2ed3cfa2-6661-492b-be97-bea100a48d41,,"City of Chicago,",,,,,44,"Green Stormwater Infrastructure Strategy",,,2014,26560,2ed3cfa2-6661-492b-be97-bea100a48d41,Report,/report/green-stormwater-infrastructure-strategy
/reference/2f60bab7-0e45-4743-b83c-5f93dd3c7dd3,https://data.globalchange.gov/reference/2f60bab7-0e45-4743-b83c-5f93dd3c7dd3,2f60bab7-0e45-4743-b83c-5f93dd3c7dd3,,"Henstra, Daniel",10.1080/13876988.2012.665215,1387-6988,2,"Journal of Comparative Policy Analysis: Research and Practice",175-194,"Toward the climate-resilient city: Extreme weather and urban climate adaptation policies in two Canadian provinces",,14,2012,21174,2f60bab7-0e45-4743-b83c-5f93dd3c7dd3,"Journal Article",/article/10.1080/13876988.2012.665215
/reference/2fa8c165-f92b-4a65-be00-6701d05b83d9,https://data.globalchange.gov/reference/2fa8c165-f92b-4a65-be00-6701d05b83d9,2fa8c165-f92b-4a65-be00-6701d05b83d9,,"Madenjian, Charles P.; O'Gorman, Robert; Bunnell, David B.; Argyle, Ray L.; Roseman, Edward F.; Warner, David M.; Stockwell, Jason D.; Stapanian, Martin A.",10.1577/M07-012.1,0275-5947,1,"North American Journal of Fisheries Management",263-282,"Adverse effects of alewives on Laurentian Great Lakes fish communities",,28,2008,21217,2fa8c165-f92b-4a65-be00-6701d05b83d9,"Journal Article",/article/10.1577/M07-012.1
/reference/30188288-dfb2-45c9-b6f6-3d70455a6f28,https://data.globalchange.gov/reference/30188288-dfb2-45c9-b6f6-3d70455a6f28,30188288-dfb2-45c9-b6f6-3d70455a6f28,,"Samples, Amy",10.3998/mjs.12333712.0003.004,,,"Michigan Journal of Sustainability",65-72,"Engaging marina and harbor operators in climate adaptation",,3,2015,21230,30188288-dfb2-45c9-b6f6-3d70455a6f28,"Journal Article",/article/10.3998/mjs.12333712.0003.004
/reference/3224ad08-bbf9-4f0d-a118-2b0ba9a23282,https://data.globalchange.gov/reference/3224ad08-bbf9-4f0d-a118-2b0ba9a23282,3224ad08-bbf9-4f0d-a118-2b0ba9a23282,,"IPBES,",,,,,502,"The Assessment Report  on Pollinators, Pollination and Food Production",,,2017,26577,3224ad08-bbf9-4f0d-a118-2b0ba9a23282,Report,/report/assessment-report-on-pollinators-pollination-food-production
/reference/327a1728-7992-448b-9e5b-267328259994,https://data.globalchange.gov/reference/327a1728-7992-448b-9e5b-267328259994,327a1728-7992-448b-9e5b-267328259994,"[This study focuses on mental health and psychosocial distress sequelae of Hurricane Katrina cataclysm among survivors. The purpose of this article is to: (1) assess the variation in psychosocial distress among the survivors of Katrina by socio-demographic, structural and situational factors; (2) determine if there are significant racial and gender differences in the extent of psychological stress, especially between Black and White, male and female survivors; and (3) to evaluate the influence of resource loss or financial burden imposed, social support, and perceived victimization on psychosocial distress among survivors. The Gallup/CNN/USA Today survey data collected in 2005 and 2006 from a representative (random) sample of Katrina survivors are used. Among the results, significant racial differences were found in psychological impacts including reported symptoms of sleeplessness, anxiety, depression, and worries about the future. In a series of multivariate analyses including factor analysis and OLS regression models, residency in Orleans parish prior to the storm, older age, female gender, having dependent children, unemployment, extent of property damage, and financial impacts sustained consistently predict psychological distress among the survivors. The theoretical, methodological, and applied policy implications of these findings are discussed.]","Adeola, Francis O.",,"10744827, 22040919",2,"Human Ecology Review",195-210,"Mental health & psychosocial distress sequelae of Katrina: An empirical study of survivors",,16,2009,25927,327a1728-7992-448b-9e5b-267328259994,"Journal Article",/article/mental-health-psychosocial-distress-sequelae-katrina-an-empirical-study-survivors
/reference/3299a99e-7096-4f8d-a9d2-265934f9cf62,https://data.globalchange.gov/reference/3299a99e-7096-4f8d-a9d2-265934f9cf62,3299a99e-7096-4f8d-a9d2-265934f9cf62,,"Duveneck, Matthew J.; Scheller, Robert M.; White, Mark A.; Handler, Stephen D.; Ravenscroft, Catherine",10.1890/ES13-00370.1,2150-8925,2,Ecosphere,1-26,"Climate change effects on northern Great Lake (USA) forests: A case for preserving diversity",,5,2014,21225,3299a99e-7096-4f8d-a9d2-265934f9cf62,"Journal Article",/article/10.1890/ES13-00370.1
/reference/34db2d46-ef90-43a4-99ab-40dae17afcce,https://data.globalchange.gov/reference/34db2d46-ef90-43a4-99ab-40dae17afcce,34db2d46-ef90-43a4-99ab-40dae17afcce,,"Larsen, Larissa",10.1890/150103,1540-9309,9,"Frontiers in Ecology and the Environment",486-492,"Urban climate and adaptation strategies",,13,2015,21224,34db2d46-ef90-43a4-99ab-40dae17afcce,"Journal Article",/article/10.1890/150103
/reference/355060bf-5c1d-40d6-9635-14a92d0054cb,https://data.globalchange.gov/reference/355060bf-5c1d-40d6-9635-14a92d0054cb,355060bf-5c1d-40d6-9635-14a92d0054cb,"Invasive alien plant species threaten native biodiversity, disrupt ecosystem functions and can cause large economic damage. Plant invasions have been predicted to further increase under ongoing global environmental change. Numerous case studies have compared the performance of invasive and native plant species in response to global environmental change components (i.e. changes in mean levels of precipitation, temperature, atmospheric CO2 concentration or nitrogen deposition). Individually, these studies usually involve low numbers of species and therefore the results cannot be generalized. Therefore, we performed a phylogenetically controlled meta-analysis to assess whether there is a general pattern of differences in invasive and native plant performance under each component of global environmental change. We compiled a database of studies that reported performance measures for 74 invasive alien plant species and 117 native plant species in response to one of the above-mentioned global environmental change components. We found that elevated temperature and CO2 enrichment increased the performance of invasive alien plants more strongly than was the case for native plants. Invasive alien plants tended to also have a slightly stronger positive response to increased N deposition and increased precipitation than native plants, but these differences were not significant (N deposition: P = 0.051; increased precipitation: P = 0.679). Invasive alien plants tended to have a slightly stronger negative response to decreased precipitation than native plants, although this difference was also not significant (P = 0.060). So while drought could potentially reduce plant invasion, increases in the four other components of global environmental change considered, particularly global warming and atmospheric CO2 enrichment, may further increase the spread of invasive plants in the future.","Liu, Yanjie; Oduor, Ayub M. O.; Zhang, Zhen; Manea, Anthony; Tooth, Ifeanna M.; Leishman, Michelle R.; Xu, Xingliang; Kleunen, Mark",10.1111/gcb.13579,,8,"Global Change Biology",3363-3370,"Do invasive alien plants benefit more from global environmental change than native plants?",,23,2017,26592,355060bf-5c1d-40d6-9635-14a92d0054cb,"Journal Article",/article/10.1111/gcb.13579
/reference/3824f8f5-1314-4781-9321-52f8ff9e351d,https://data.globalchange.gov/reference/3824f8f5-1314-4781-9321-52f8ff9e351d,3824f8f5-1314-4781-9321-52f8ff9e351d,,"Croley II, Thomas E.",,,,,77,"Great Lakes Climate Change Hydrologic Impact Assessment I.J.C. Lake Ontario-St. Lawrence River Regulation Study",,,2003,26565,3824f8f5-1314-4781-9321-52f8ff9e351d,Report,/report/great-lakes-climate-change-hydrologic-impact-assessment-ijc-lake-ontario-st-lawrence-river-regulation-study
/reference/39081664-4e4d-4cbc-aa98-7d33f8f87491,https://data.globalchange.gov/reference/39081664-4e4d-4cbc-aa98-7d33f8f87491,39081664-4e4d-4cbc-aa98-7d33f8f87491,,"Moore, Kirk",,,,,,"High River Water Creates Navigation Turmoil",,,2016,21316,39081664-4e4d-4cbc-aa98-7d33f8f87491,"Web Page",/webpage/ea34b31c-98cc-489e-9fc6-2b0d2fe918ab