--- - attrs: .reference_type: 10 Author: USGCRP Institution: U.S. Global Change Research Program Pages: 9 Place Published: 'Washington, DC' Title: 'Regional Engagement Workshop Summary Report: Midwest Region ' URL: http://www.globalchange.gov/sites/globalchange/files/REW_M; idwest.pdf Year: 2017 _record_number: 21684 _uuid: 482dce0e-562a-41f9-803a-af60f0b76485 reftype: Report child_publication: /report/regional-engagement-workshop-summary-report-midwest-region href: https://data.globalchange.gov/reference/482dce0e-562a-41f9-803a-af60f0b76485.yaml identifier: 482dce0e-562a-41f9-803a-af60f0b76485 uri: /reference/482dce0e-562a-41f9-803a-af60f0b76485 - attrs: Author: 'Ogden, Nicholas H.; Lindsay, L. Robbin; Leighton, Patrick A.' DOI: 10.1111/1365-2664.12050 ISSN: 1365-2664 Issue: 2 Journal: Journal of Applied Ecology Keywords: Borrelia burgdorferi; emerging infectious disease; invasion; Ixodes scapularis; surveillance Pages: 510-518 Title: Predicting the rate of invasion of the agent of Lyme disease Borrelia burgdorferi Volume: 50 Year: 2013 _record_number: 21184 _uuid: 4a53940c-0aa5-4ef3-b11b-06ea45277445 reftype: Journal Article child_publication: /article/10.1111/1365-2664.12050 href: https://data.globalchange.gov/reference/4a53940c-0aa5-4ef3-b11b-06ea45277445.yaml identifier: 4a53940c-0aa5-4ef3-b11b-06ea45277445 uri: /reference/4a53940c-0aa5-4ef3-b11b-06ea45277445 - attrs: Author: 'Sheridan, Scott C.; Dixon, P. Grady' DOI: 10.1016/j.ancene.2016.10.001 Date: 2016/10/19/ ISSN: 2213-3054 Journal: Anthropocene Keywords: Heat mortality; Climate change; Heat wave; Distributed lag nonlinear model Title: Spatiotemporal trends in human vulnerability and adaptation to heat across the United States Year: 2016 _record_number: 21125 _uuid: 4aaadb0b-7eb3-43fa-863d-89f01f55f5fc reftype: Journal Article child_publication: /article/10.1016/j.ancene.2016.10.001 href: https://data.globalchange.gov/reference/4aaadb0b-7eb3-43fa-863d-89f01f55f5fc.yaml identifier: 4aaadb0b-7eb3-43fa-863d-89f01f55f5fc uri: /reference/4aaadb0b-7eb3-43fa-863d-89f01f55f5fc - attrs: .reference_type: 10 Author: 'Leefers, Larry A.' Institution: Michigan Department of Natural Resources. Forest Resource Division Pages: 30 Place Published: 'Lansing, MI' Title: Forest Products Industries’ Economic Contributions to Michigan’s Economy in 2013 URL: http://www.michigan.gov/documents/dnr/2016ForestProductsIndustriesContributions_535055_7.pdf Year: 2016 _record_number: 21272 _uuid: 4b945a34-aa50-4d5e-9fd7-4b7af06492e4 reftype: Report child_publication: /report/forest-products-industries-economic-contributions-michigans-economy-2013 href: https://data.globalchange.gov/reference/4b945a34-aa50-4d5e-9fd7-4b7af06492e4.yaml identifier: 4b945a34-aa50-4d5e-9fd7-4b7af06492e4 uri: /reference/4b945a34-aa50-4d5e-9fd7-4b7af06492e4 - attrs: .reference_type: 16 Author: 'Favis-Mortlock, D.' Place Published: 'Oxford, UK' Title: 'The Soil Erosion Site: Soil Erosion by Water' URL: http://soilerosion.net/water_erosion.html Year: 2017 _record_number: 21256 _uuid: 4baac62e-5892-4a0a-b435-e2cedc62f9a2 reftype: Web Page child_publication: /webpage/7b112dd4-17bc-4692-8fc4-480b22ab118f href: https://data.globalchange.gov/reference/4baac62e-5892-4a0a-b435-e2cedc62f9a2.yaml identifier: 4baac62e-5892-4a0a-b435-e2cedc62f9a2 uri: /reference/4baac62e-5892-4a0a-b435-e2cedc62f9a2 - attrs: Abstract: 'Threats to migratory animals can occur at multiple periods of the annual cycle that are separated by thousands of kilometres and span international borders. Populations of the iconic monarch butterfly (Danaus plexippus) of eastern North America have declined over the last 21 years. Three hypotheses have been posed to explain the decline: habitat loss on the overwintering grounds in Mexico, habitat loss on the breeding grounds in the United States and Canada, and extreme weather events. Our objectives were to assess population viability, determine which life stage, season and geographical region are contributing the most to population dynamics and test the three hypotheses that explain the observed population decline. We developed a spatially structured, stochastic and density-dependent periodic projection matrix model that integrates patterns of migratory connectivity and demographic vital rates across the annual cycle. We used perturbation analysis to determine the sensitivity of population abundance to changes in vital rate among life stages, seasons and geographical regions. Next, we compared the singular effects of each threat to the full model where all factors operate concurrently. Finally, we generated predictions to assess the risk of host plant loss as a result of genetically modified crops on current and future monarch butterfly population size and extinction probability. Our year-round population model predicted population declines of 14% and a quasi-extinction probability (<1000 individuals) >5% within a century. Monarch abundance was more than four times more sensitive to perturbations of vital rates on the breeding grounds than on the wintering grounds. Simulations that considered only forest loss or climate change in Mexico predicted higher population sizes compared to milkweed declines on the breeding grounds. Our model predictions also suggest that mitigating the negative effects of genetically modified crops results in higher population size and lower extinction risk. Recent population declines stem from reduction in milkweed host plants in the United States that arise from increasing adoption of genetically modified crops and land-use change, not from climate change or degradation of forest habitats in Mexico. Therefore, reducing the negative effects of host plant loss on the breeding grounds is the top conservation priority to slow or halt future population declines of monarch butterflies in North America.' Author: 'Flockhart, D. T. Tyler; Pichancourt, Jean-Baptiste; Norris, D. Ryan; Martin, Tara G.' DOI: 10.1111/1365-2656.12253 Issue: 1 Journal: Journal of Animal Ecology Pages: 155-165 Title: 'Unravelling the annual cycle in a migratory animal: Breeding-season habitat loss drives population declines of monarch butterflies' Volume: 84 Year: 2015 _record_number: 26567 _uuid: 4bc52663-2fd7-47ec-bd4e-aa79cf7ed693 reftype: Journal Article child_publication: /article/10.1111/1365-2656.12253 href: https://data.globalchange.gov/reference/4bc52663-2fd7-47ec-bd4e-aa79cf7ed693.yaml identifier: 4bc52663-2fd7-47ec-bd4e-aa79cf7ed693 uri: /reference/4bc52663-2fd7-47ec-bd4e-aa79cf7ed693 - attrs: Author: 'Whyte, Kyle Powys' DOI: 10.1504/IER.2014.063658 Issue: 2/3 Journal: Interdisciplinary Environmental Review Pages: 114-133 Title: A concern about shifting interactions between indigenous and non-indigenous parties in US climate adaptation contexts Volume: 15 Year: 2014 _record_number: 21216 _uuid: 4bc875f6-cbe6-4f26-a05b-e31593c1f8ef reftype: Journal Article child_publication: /article/10.1504/IER.2014.063658 href: https://data.globalchange.gov/reference/4bc875f6-cbe6-4f26-a05b-e31593c1f8ef.yaml identifier: 4bc875f6-cbe6-4f26-a05b-e31593c1f8ef uri: /reference/4bc875f6-cbe6-4f26-a05b-e31593c1f8ef - attrs: .reference_type: 16 Author: 'Metropolitan Sewer District,' Place Published: 'St. Louis, MO' Publisher: MSD Project Clear Title: Rainscaping URL: http://www.projectclearstl.org/get-the-rain-out/rainscaping/ Year: 2017 _record_number: 21309 _uuid: 4c84ded1-6381-469a-bf07-50f9dc76cb45 reftype: Web Page child_publication: /webpage/9cd884a1-e7a8-4a40-93ea-e5bf31b8385b href: https://data.globalchange.gov/reference/4c84ded1-6381-469a-bf07-50f9dc76cb45.yaml identifier: 4c84ded1-6381-469a-bf07-50f9dc76cb45 uri: /reference/4c84ded1-6381-469a-bf07-50f9dc76cb45 - attrs: Abstract: 'Anthropogenic climate change is predicted to be a major cause of species extinctions in the next 100 years. But what will actually cause these extinctions? For example, will it be limited physiological tolerance to high temperatures, changing biotic interactions or other factors? Here, we systematically review the proximate causes of climate-change related extinctions and their empirical support. We find 136 case studies of climatic impacts that are potentially relevant to this topic. However, only seven identified proximate causes of demonstrated local extinctions due to anthropogenic climate change. Among these seven studies, the proximate causes vary widely. Surprisingly, none show a straightforward relationship between local extinction and limited tolerances to high temperature. Instead, many studies implicate species interactions as an important proximate cause, especially decreases in food availability. We find very similar patterns in studies showing decreases in abundance associated with climate change, and in those studies showing impacts of climatic oscillations. Collectively, these results highlight our disturbingly limited knowledge of this crucial issue but also support the idea that changing species interactions are an important cause of documented population declines and extinctions related to climate change. Finally, we briefly outline general research strategies for identifying these proximate causes in future studies.' Author: 'Cahill, Abigail E.; Aiello-Lammens, Matthew E.; Fisher-Reid, M. Caitlin; Hua, Xia; Karanewsky, Caitlin J.; Yeong Ryu, Hae; Sbeglia, Gena C.; Spagnolo, Fabrizio; Waldron, John B.; Warsi, Omar; Wiens, John J.' DOI: 10.1098/rspb.2012.1890 Issue: 1750 Journal: 'Proceedings of the Royal Society B: Biological Sciences' Title: How does climate change cause extinction? Volume: 280 Year: 2013 _record_number: 21182 _uuid: 4da26e14-8c1a-4f66-8212-a98880263e91 reftype: Journal Article child_publication: /article/10.1098/rspb.2012.1890 href: https://data.globalchange.gov/reference/4da26e14-8c1a-4f66-8212-a98880263e91.yaml identifier: 4da26e14-8c1a-4f66-8212-a98880263e91 uri: /reference/4da26e14-8c1a-4f66-8212-a98880263e91 - attrs: .reference_type: 16 Access Date: March 28 Author: 'MSU,' Place Published: 'East Lansing, MI' Publisher: Michigan State University (MSU) Title: 'Solar Carport Initiative [web site]' URL: http://ipf.msu.edu/green/practices/solar-carport-initiative.html Year: 2018 _record_number: 26599 _uuid: 4e37dad2-b656-4bf7-baea-b311ab65acfb reftype: Web Page child_publication: /webpage/7055a0d3-cca8-4ac3-a56e-a94e763bfd57 href: https://data.globalchange.gov/reference/4e37dad2-b656-4bf7-baea-b311ab65acfb.yaml identifier: 4e37dad2-b656-4bf7-baea-b311ab65acfb uri: /reference/4e37dad2-b656-4bf7-baea-b311ab65acfb - attrs: .reference_type: 10 Author: 'Trice, Amy' Institution: American Rivers Pages: 32 Place Published: 'Washington, DC' Title: 'Daylighting Streams: Breathing Life into Urban Streams and Communities' URL: http://americanrivers.org/wp-content/uploads/2016/05/AmericanRivers_daylighting-streams-report.pdf Year: 2016 _record_number: 21314 _uuid: 4efa8307-3b25-4b9a-96f7-ebcab2cfdecb reftype: Report child_publication: /report/daylighting-streams-breathing-life-into-urban-streams-communities href: https://data.globalchange.gov/reference/4efa8307-3b25-4b9a-96f7-ebcab2cfdecb.yaml identifier: 4efa8307-3b25-4b9a-96f7-ebcab2cfdecb uri: /reference/4efa8307-3b25-4b9a-96f7-ebcab2cfdecb - attrs: .reference_type: 10 Author: 'Illinois Department of Public Health,' Institution: University of Illinois at Chicago School of Public Health Pages: 15 Place Published: 'Chicago, IL' Series Volume: Author Should be Title: Climate and health in Illinois URL: http://www.dph.illinois.gov/sites/default/files/publications/publicationsoprclimatehealthreport.pdf Year: 2016 _record_number: 21289 _uuid: 4f2b76ca-aaf0-4f09-9b76-d6aa021e979a reftype: Report child_publication: /report/climate-health-illinois href: https://data.globalchange.gov/reference/4f2b76ca-aaf0-4f09-9b76-d6aa021e979a.yaml identifier: 4f2b76ca-aaf0-4f09-9b76-d6aa021e979a uri: /reference/4f2b76ca-aaf0-4f09-9b76-d6aa021e979a - attrs: .reference_type: 0 Author: "Grabow, Maggie L.\rSpak, Scott N.\rHolloway, Tracey\rStone, Brian, Jr. \rMednick, Adam C.\rPatz, Jonathan A." DOI: 10.1289/ehp.1103440 Date: Jan ISSN: 0091-6765 Issue: 1 Journal: Environmental Health Perspectives Pages: 68-76 Title: Air quality and exercise-related health benefits from reduced car travel in the midwestern United States URL: http://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC3261937/pdf/ehp.1103440.pdf Volume: 120 Year: 2012 _chapter: '["Ch. 9: Human Health FINAL","Overview","Ch. 18: Midwest FINAL"]' _record_number: 63 _uuid: 4feed3ba-a773-445b-a97d-383477321352 reftype: Journal Article child_publication: /article/10.1289/ehp.1103440 href: https://data.globalchange.gov/reference/4feed3ba-a773-445b-a97d-383477321352.yaml identifier: 4feed3ba-a773-445b-a97d-383477321352 uri: /reference/4feed3ba-a773-445b-a97d-383477321352 - attrs: .publisher: Ecological Society of America .reference_type: 0 Access Date: 2014/03/04 Author: "Staudinger, Michelle D.\rCarter, Shawn L.\rCross, Molly S.\rDubois, Natalie S.\rDuffy, J. Emmett\rEnquist, Carolyn\rGriffis, Roger\rHellmann, Jessica J.\rLawler, Joshua J.\rO'Leary, John\rMorrison, Scott A.\rSneddon, Lesley\rStein, Bruce A.\rThompson, Laura M.\rTurner, Woody" DOI: 10.1890/120272 Date: 2013/11/01 ISSN: 1540-9295 Issue: 9 Journal: Frontiers in Ecology and the Environment Pages: 465-473 Title: 'Biodiversity in a changing climate: A synthesis of current and projected trends in the US' URL: http://www.esajournals.org/doi/pdf/10.1890/120272 Volume: 11 Year: 2013 _chapter: '["Ch. 8: Ecosystems FINAL"]' _record_number: 4701 _uuid: 506759aa-765f-4007-a678-17d69d139e39 reftype: Journal Article child_publication: /article/10.1890/120272 href: https://data.globalchange.gov/reference/506759aa-765f-4007-a678-17d69d139e39.yaml identifier: 506759aa-765f-4007-a678-17d69d139e39 uri: /reference/506759aa-765f-4007-a678-17d69d139e39 - attrs: Abstract: "While research focusing on how boundary organizations influence the use of climate information has expanded substantially in the past few decades, there has been relatively less attention to how these organizations innovate and adapt to different environments and users. This paper investigates how one boundary organization, the Great Lakes Integrated Sciences and Assessments Center (GLISA), has adapted by creating ?boundary chains? to diversify its client base while minimizing transaction costs, increasing scientific knowledge usability, and better meeting client climate information needs. In this approach, boundary organizations connect like links in a chain and together these links span the range between the production of knowledge and its use. Three main chain configurations are identified. In the key chain approach, GLISA has partnered with other organizations in a number of separate projects simultaneously, diversifying its client base without sacrificing customization. In the linked chain approach, GLISA is one of several linked boundary organizations that successively deepen the level of customization to meet particular users' needs. Finally, by partnering with multiple organizations and stakeholder groups in both configurations, GLISA may be laying the groundwork for enhancing their partners' own capacity to make climate-related decisions through a networked chain approach that facilitates cooperation among organizations and groups. Each of these approaches represents an adaptive strategy that both enhances the efficiency and effectiveness of participating boundary organizations' work and improves the provision of climate information that meets users needs." Author: 'Lemos, Maria Carmen; Kirchhoff, Christine J.; Kalafatis, Scott E.; Scavia, Donald; Rood, Richard B.' DOI: 10.1175/WCAS-D-13-00044.1 Date: 2014/04/01 ISSN: 1948-8327 Issue: 2 Journal: 'Weather, Climate, and Society' Pages: 273-285 Publisher: American Meteorological Society Title: 'Moving climate information off the shelf: Boundary chains and the role of RISAs as adaptive organizations' Volume: 6 Year: 2014 _record_number: 21208 _uuid: 50781eea-2acc-4a9f-898d-e6c2b511aeb8 reftype: Journal Article child_publication: /article/10.1175/WCAS-D-13-00044.1 href: https://data.globalchange.gov/reference/50781eea-2acc-4a9f-898d-e6c2b511aeb8.yaml identifier: 50781eea-2acc-4a9f-898d-e6c2b511aeb8 uri: /reference/50781eea-2acc-4a9f-898d-e6c2b511aeb8 - attrs: .publisher: American Public Health Association .reference_type: 0 Access Date: 2013/08/06 Author: "Maizlish, Neil\rWoodcock, James\rCo, Sean\rOstro, Bart\rFanai, Amir\rFairley, David" DOI: 10.2105/ajph.2012.300939 Date: 2013/04/01 ISSN: 0090-0036 Issue: 4 Journal: American Journal of Public Health Pages: 703-709 Title: Health cobenefits and transportation-related reductions in greenhouse gas emissions in the San Francisco Bay area URL: http://www.cdph.ca.gov/programs/CCDPHP/Documents/ITHIM_Technical_Report11-21-11.pdf Volume: 103 Year: 2013 _chapter: '["Ch. 9: Human Health FINAL","Overview"]' _record_number: 4229 _uuid: 50e17b29-8313-4a48-95e9-cdca2241f4ea reftype: Journal Article child_publication: /article/10.2105/ajph.2012.300939 href: https://data.globalchange.gov/reference/50e17b29-8313-4a48-95e9-cdca2241f4ea.yaml identifier: 50e17b29-8313-4a48-95e9-cdca2241f4ea uri: /reference/50e17b29-8313-4a48-95e9-cdca2241f4ea - attrs: Author: 'Gronewold, Andrew D.; Anne H. Clites; Jacob Bruxer; Keith W. Kompoltowicz; Joeseph P. Smith; Timothy S. Hunter; Cary Wong' DOI: 10.1029/2015EO026023 Journal: 'Eos, Earth & Space Science News' Pages: 14-17 Title: Water levels surge on Great Lakes Volume: 61 Year: 2015 _record_number: 21156 _uuid: 50ff2960-8650-4f26-b2e1-a5c2409db668 reftype: Journal Article child_publication: /article/10.1029/2015EO026023 href: https://data.globalchange.gov/reference/50ff2960-8650-4f26-b2e1-a5c2409db668.yaml identifier: 50ff2960-8650-4f26-b2e1-a5c2409db668 uri: /reference/50ff2960-8650-4f26-b2e1-a5c2409db668 - attrs: Author: 'Trebitz, Anett S.; Hoffman, Joel C.' DOI: 10.1080/00028487.2014.982257 Date: 2015/03/04 ISSN: 0002-8487 Issue: 2 Journal: Transactions of the American Fisheries Society Pages: 352-372 Publisher: Taylor & Francis Title: 'Coastal wetland support of Great Lakes fisheries: Progress from concept to quantification' Volume: 144 Year: 2015 _record_number: 21172 _uuid: 518ba172-f2ee-46e0-9216-b20ad2cf8047 reftype: Journal Article child_publication: /article/10.1080/00028487.2014.982257 href: https://data.globalchange.gov/reference/518ba172-f2ee-46e0-9216-b20ad2cf8047.yaml identifier: 518ba172-f2ee-46e0-9216-b20ad2cf8047 uri: /reference/518ba172-f2ee-46e0-9216-b20ad2cf8047 - attrs: Abstract: 'Urban habitats are characterized by impervious surfaces, which increase temperatures and reduce water availability to plants. The effects of these conditions on herbivorous insects are not well understood, but may provide insight into future conditions. Three primary hypotheses have been proposed to explain why multiple herbivorous arthropods are more abundant and damaging in cities, and support has been found for each. First, less complex vegetation may reduce biological control of pests. Second, plant stress can increase plant quality for pests. And third, urban warming can directly increase pest fitness and abundance. These hypotheses are not mutually exclusive, and the effects of temperature and plant stress are particularly related. Thus, we test the hypothesis that urban warming and drought stress combine to increase the fitness and abundance of the scale insect, Melanaspis tenebricosa, an urban tree pest that is more abundant in urban than rural areas of the southeastern U.S. We did this by manipulating drought stress across an existing mosaic of urban warming. We found support for the additive effect of temperature and drought stress such that female embryo production and body size increased with temperature and was greater on drought-stressed than watered trees. This study provides further evidence that drivers of pest insect outbreaks act in concert, rather than independently, and calls for more research that manipulates multiple abiotic factors related to urbanization and climate change to predict their effects on ecological interactions. As cities expand and the climate changes, warmer temperatures and drought conditions may become more widespread in the native range of this pest. These changes have direct physiological benefits for M. tenebricosa, and potentially other pests, that may increase their fitness and abundance in urban and natural forests.' Author: 'Dale, Adam G.; Frank, Steven D.' DOI: 10.1371/journal.pone.0173844 Issue: 3 Journal: PLOS ONE Pages: e0173844 Publisher: Public Library of Science Title: Warming and drought combine to increase pest insect fitness on urban trees Volume: 12 Year: 2017 _record_number: 21215 _uuid: 51f0a255-4a32-4ba3-bbb3-7ab65d43bee9 reftype: Journal Article child_publication: /article/10.1371/journal.pone.0173844 href: https://data.globalchange.gov/reference/51f0a255-4a32-4ba3-bbb3-7ab65d43bee9.yaml identifier: 51f0a255-4a32-4ba3-bbb3-7ab65d43bee9 uri: /reference/51f0a255-4a32-4ba3-bbb3-7ab65d43bee9 - attrs: .reference_type: 10 Author: 'Hatfield, Jerry; Christopher Swanston; Maria Janowiak ; Rachel F. Steele; Jon Hempel; Juliet Bochicchio; Wendy Hall; Marlene Cole; Sharon Hestvik; John Whitaker' Institution: U.S. Department of Agriculture Pages: 55 Series Editor: Terry Anderson Title: 'USDA Midwest and Northern Forests Regional Climate Hub: Assessment of Climate Change Vulnerability and Adaptation and Mitigation Strategies' URL: https://www.climatehubs.oce.usda.gov/content/usda-midwest-and-northern-forests-regional-climate-hub-assessment-climate-change Year: 2015 _record_number: 23616 _uuid: 522099e6-74b9-4e20-9b34-c2cba812d955 reftype: Report child_publication: /report/usda-midwest-northern-forests-regional-climate-hub-assessment-climate-change-vulnerability-adaptation-mitigation-strategies href: https://data.globalchange.gov/reference/522099e6-74b9-4e20-9b34-c2cba812d955.yaml identifier: 522099e6-74b9-4e20-9b34-c2cba812d955 uri: /reference/522099e6-74b9-4e20-9b34-c2cba812d955 - attrs: Abstract: 'While the Midwestern USA ranks among the world’s most important corn-soybean production regions, the area also produces a variety of high-value specialty crops. These crops are an important component of the region’s rural economy with an estimated value of $1.8 billion in 2012. More profitable per-acre than many row crops, specialty crops also have higher production-related risks. They are generally more sensitive to climatic stressors and require more comprehensive management compared to traditional row crops. Temperature and precipitation fluctuations across the Midwest directly impact specialty crop production quantity and quality and indirectly influence the timing of crucial farm operations and the economic impacts of pests, weeds, and diseases. Increasingly variable weather and climate change pose a serious threat to specialty crop production in the Midwest. In this article, we assess how climate variability and observed climatic trends are impacting Midwestern specialty crop production using USDA Risk Management Agency data. In addition, we review current trends in grower perceptions of risks associated with a changing climate and assess sustainable adaptation strategies. Our results indicate that weather-induced losses vary by state with excessive moisture resulting in the highest total number of claims across all Midwestern states followed by freeze and drought events. Overall, specialty crop growers are aware of the increased production risk under a changing climate and have identified the need for crop-specific weather, production, and financial risk management tools and increased crop insurance coverage.' Author: 'Kistner, Erica; Kellner, Olivia; Andresen, Jeffrey; Todey, Dennis; Morton, Lois Wright' DOI: 10.1007/s10584-017-2066-1 Date: January 01 ISSN: 1573-1480 Issue: 1 Journal: Climatic Change Pages: 145-158 Title: Vulnerability of specialty crops to short-term climatic variability and adaptation strategies in the Midwestern USA Type of Article: journal article Volume: 146 Year: 2018 _record_number: 26588 _uuid: 522c1b55-7d2b-4f94-a885-adeeaaec71b1 reftype: Journal Article child_publication: /article/10.1007/s10584-017-2066-1 href: https://data.globalchange.gov/reference/522c1b55-7d2b-4f94-a885-adeeaaec71b1.yaml identifier: 522c1b55-7d2b-4f94-a885-adeeaaec71b1 uri: /reference/522c1b55-7d2b-4f94-a885-adeeaaec71b1 - attrs: Abstract: 'Projections of regional climate, net basin supply (NBS), and water levels are developed for the mid- and late twenty-first century across the Laurentian Great Lakes basin. Two state-of-the-art global climate models (GCMs) are dynamically downscaled using a regional climate model (RCM) interactively coupled to a one-dimensional lake model, and then a hydrologic routing model is forced with time series of perturbed NBS. The dynamical downscaling and coupling with a lake model to represent the Great Lakes create added value beyond the parent GCM in terms of simulated seasonal cycles of temperature, precipitation, and surface fluxes. However, limitations related to this rudimentary treatment of the Great Lakes result in warm summer biases in lake temperatures, excessive ice cover, and an abnormally early peak in lake evaporation. While the downscaling of both GCMs led to consistent projections of increases in annual air temperature, precipitation, and all NBS components (overlake precipitation, basinwide runoff, and lake evaporation), the resulting projected water level trends are opposite in sign. Clearly, it is not sufficient to correctly simulate the signs of the projected change in each NBS component; one must also account for their relative magnitudes. The potential risk of more frequent episodes of lake levels below the low water datum, a critical shipping threshold, is explored.' Author: 'Notaro, Michael; Val Bennington; Brent Lofgren' DOI: 10.1175/jcli-d-14-00847.1 Issue: 24 Journal: Journal of Climate Keywords: 'Geographic location/entity,Inland seas/lakes,Atm/Ocean Structure/ Phenomena,Freshwater,Physical Meteorology and Climatology,Climate change,Hydrology,Models and modeling,Regional models,Variability,Climate variability' Pages: 9721-9745 Title: Dynamical downscaling–based projections of Great Lakes water levels Volume: 28 Year: 2015 _record_number: 21203 _uuid: 5295673e-703b-42f8-9792-4ccf8e3cf747 reftype: Journal Article child_publication: /article/10.1175/jcli-d-14-00847.1 href: https://data.globalchange.gov/reference/5295673e-703b-42f8-9792-4ccf8e3cf747.yaml identifier: 5295673e-703b-42f8-9792-4ccf8e3cf747 uri: /reference/5295673e-703b-42f8-9792-4ccf8e3cf747 - attrs: .reference_type: 0 Author: 'Fann, Neal; Nolte, Christopher G.; Dolwick, Patrick; Spero, Tanya L.; Curry Brown, Amanda; Phillips, Sharon; Anenberg, Susan' DOI: 10.1080/10962247.2014.996270 ISSN: 2162-2906 Issue: 5 Journal: Journal of the Air & Waste Management Association Pages: 570-580 Title: The geographic distribution and economic value of climate change-related ozone health impacts in the United States in 2030 Volume: 65 Year: 2015 _chapter: Ch3 _record_number: 16106 _uuid: 54a66159-1675-43bb-b5d3-a9b7f283e4de reftype: Journal Article child_publication: /article/10.1080/10962247.2014.996270 href: https://data.globalchange.gov/reference/54a66159-1675-43bb-b5d3-a9b7f283e4de.yaml identifier: 54a66159-1675-43bb-b5d3-a9b7f283e4de uri: /reference/54a66159-1675-43bb-b5d3-a9b7f283e4de - attrs: .reference_type: 10 Author: 'Nowak, David J.; Hoehn III, Robert E.; Bodine, Allison R.; Crane, Daniel E.; Dwyer, John F.; Bonnewell, Veta; Watson, Gary' DOI: 10.2737/NRS-RB-84 Institution: 'USDA, Forest Service, Northern Research Station' Pages: 106 Place Published: 'Newtown Square, PA' Report Number: Resource Bulletin NRS-84 Title: Urban trees and forests of the Chicago region URL: https://www.nrs.fs.fed.us/pubs/44566 Year: 2013 _record_number: 26602 _uuid: 5665cbdb-a35a-471e-9685-0f3dbd96fb0b reftype: Report child_publication: /report/urban-trees-forests-chicago-region href: https://data.globalchange.gov/reference/5665cbdb-a35a-471e-9685-0f3dbd96fb0b.yaml identifier: 5665cbdb-a35a-471e-9685-0f3dbd96fb0b uri: /reference/5665cbdb-a35a-471e-9685-0f3dbd96fb0b - attrs: .reference_type: 10 Author: 'Deckard, Donald L.; James A. Skurla' Institution: Minnesota Department of Natural Resources Pages: 18 Place Published: 'St. Paul, MN' Title: "Economic Contributions of Minnesota's Forest Products Industry - 2011 Edition" URL: http://files.dnr.state.mn.us/forestry/um/economiccontributionMNforestproductsindustry2011.pdf Year: 2011 _record_number: 21265 _uuid: 56f5f174-37fd-4559-b5e7-dece3629e0df reftype: Report child_publication: /report/economic-contributions-minnesotas-forest-products-industry-2011-edition href: https://data.globalchange.gov/reference/56f5f174-37fd-4559-b5e7-dece3629e0df.yaml identifier: 56f5f174-37fd-4559-b5e7-dece3629e0df uri: /reference/56f5f174-37fd-4559-b5e7-dece3629e0df - attrs: Abstract: 'The Yakima River Basin (Basin) in south-central Washington is a prime example of a place where competing water uses, coupled with over-allocation of water resources, have presented water managers with the challenge of meeting current demand, anticipating future demand, and preparing for potential impacts of climate change. We took a decision analysis approach that gathered diverse stakeholders to discuss their concerns pertaining to climate change effects on the Basin and future goals that were collectively important. One main focus was centered on how climate change may influence future salmon populations. Salmon have played a prominent role in the cultures of Basin communities, especially for tribal communities that have social, cultural, spiritual, subsistence, and economic ties to them. Stakeholders identified the need for a better understanding on how the cultural, spiritual, subsistence, and economic aspects of the Confederated Tribes and Bands of the Yakama Nation could be affected by changes in salmon populations. In an attempt to understand the complexities of these potential effects, this paper proposes a conceptual model which 1) identifies cultural values and components and the interactions between those components that could influence tribal well-being, and 2) shows how federal natural resource managers could incorporate intangible tribal cultural components into decision-making processes by understanding important components of tribal well-being. Future work includes defining the parameterization of the cultural components in order for the conceptual model to be incorporated with biophysical resource models for scenario simulations.' Author: 'Montag, J. M.; Swan, K.; Jenni, K.; Nieman, T.; Hatten, J.; Mesa, M.; Graves, D.; Voss, F.; Mastin, M.; Hardiman, J.; Maule, A.' DOI: 10.1007/s10584-013-1001-3 Date: May 01 ISSN: 1573-1480 Issue: 1 Journal: Climatic Change Pages: 385-398 Title: Climate change and Yakama Nation tribal well-being Type of Article: journal article Volume: 124 Year: 2014 _record_number: 21116 _uuid: 5a014fc7-218e-4116-88e9-c47a65b48e8c reftype: Journal Article child_publication: /article/10.1007/s10584-013-1001-3 href: https://data.globalchange.gov/reference/5a014fc7-218e-4116-88e9-c47a65b48e8c.yaml identifier: 5a014fc7-218e-4116-88e9-c47a65b48e8c uri: /reference/5a014fc7-218e-4116-88e9-c47a65b48e8c - attrs: .reference_type: 10 Author: 'Sinha, Paramita; Maureen L. Cropper' DOI: 10.3386/w18756 Institution: National Bureau of Economic Research Pages: 49 Place Published: 'Cambridge, MA' Series Volume: NBER Working Paper No. 18756 Title: 'The Value of Climate Amenities: Evidence from US Migration Decisions' Year: 2013 _record_number: 21325 _uuid: 5a61cfba-f943-4d68-b213-ed7eedc8e21e reftype: Report child_publication: /report/value-climate-amenities-evidence-us-migration-decisions href: https://data.globalchange.gov/reference/5a61cfba-f943-4d68-b213-ed7eedc8e21e.yaml identifier: 5a61cfba-f943-4d68-b213-ed7eedc8e21e uri: /reference/5a61cfba-f943-4d68-b213-ed7eedc8e21e - attrs: .reference_type: 10 Author: 'Norton-Smith, Kathryn; Kathy Lynn; Karletta Chief; Karen Cozzetto; Jamie Donatuto; Margaret Hiza Redsteer; Linda E. Kruger; Julie Maldonado; Carson Viles; Kyle P. Whyte' Institution: 'U.S. Department of Agriculture, Forest Service, Pacific Northwest Research Station' Pages: 136 Place Published: 'Portland, OR' Series Volume: Gen. Tech. Rep. PNW-GTR-944 Title: 'Climate Change and Indigenous Peoples: A Synthesis of Current Impacts and Experiences' URL: https://www.fs.usda.gov/treesearch/pubs/53156 Year: 2016 _record_number: 21324 _uuid: 5b754441-464c-49fd-90e8-c184fc2ba1f5 reftype: Report child_publication: /report/climate-change-indigenous-peoples-synthesis-current-impacts-experiences href: https://data.globalchange.gov/reference/5b754441-464c-49fd-90e8-c184fc2ba1f5.yaml identifier: 5b754441-464c-49fd-90e8-c184fc2ba1f5 uri: /reference/5b754441-464c-49fd-90e8-c184fc2ba1f5 - attrs: Abstract: 'We present a hedonic framework to estimate US households’ preferences over local climates, using detailed weather and 2000 Census data. We find that Americans favor a daily average temperature of 65 degrees Fahrenheit, that they will pay more on the margin to avoid excess heat than cold, and that damages increase less than linearly over extreme cold. These preferences vary by location due to sorting or adaptation. Changes in climate amenities under business-as-usual predictions imply annual welfare losses of 1%–4% of income by 2100, holding technology and preferences constant.' Author: 'Albouy, David; Walter Graf; Ryan Kellogg; Hendrik Wolff' DOI: 10.1086/684573 Issue: 1 Journal: Journal of the Association of Environmental and Resource Economists Keywords: 'H49,I39,Q54,R10' Pages: 205-246 Title: 'Climate amenities, climate change, and American quality of life' Volume: 3 Year: 2016 _record_number: 21320 _uuid: 5b7e5de3-722a-4010-8d86-44e9722e3da9 reftype: Journal Article child_publication: /article/10.1086/684573 href: https://data.globalchange.gov/reference/5b7e5de3-722a-4010-8d86-44e9722e3da9.yaml identifier: 5b7e5de3-722a-4010-8d86-44e9722e3da9 uri: /reference/5b7e5de3-722a-4010-8d86-44e9722e3da9 - attrs: Author: 'Sawant, Abhiman Arjun; S. C. Patil; S. B. Kalse; N. J. Thakor' ISSN: 1682-1130 Issue: 2 Journal: 'Agricultural Engineering International: CIGR Journal' Pages: 110-118 Title: 'Effect of temperature, relative humidity and moisture content on germination percentage of wheat stored in different storage structures' URL: http://www.cigrjournal.org/index.php/Ejounral/article/view/2019 Volume: 14 Year: 2012 _record_number: 21245 _uuid: 5c614c37-2c94-413e-85d1-28d44b88d452 reftype: Journal Article child_publication: /article/effect-temperature-relative-humidity-moisture-content-on-germination-percentage-wheat-stored-different-storage-structures href: https://data.globalchange.gov/reference/5c614c37-2c94-413e-85d1-28d44b88d452.yaml identifier: 5c614c37-2c94-413e-85d1-28d44b88d452 uri: /reference/5c614c37-2c94-413e-85d1-28d44b88d452 - attrs: .reference_type: 63 Author: 'Wisconsin Sea Grant Institute,' Place Published: 'Madison, WI' Publisher: University of Wisconsin Sea Grant Institute Title: 'Great Lakes and Wisconsin Water Facts: Great Lakes and Fresh Water' URL: http://www.seagrant.wisc.edu/Home/AboutUsSection/PressRoom/Details.aspx?PostID=796 Year: 2013 _record_number: 21286 _uuid: 5cdf81b6-cd80-43c7-a4d5-421aa77f16ea reftype: Press Release child_publication: /generic/d74e95e6-a4bb-491e-93a3-1e20b5c659be href: https://data.globalchange.gov/reference/5cdf81b6-cd80-43c7-a4d5-421aa77f16ea.yaml identifier: 5cdf81b6-cd80-43c7-a4d5-421aa77f16ea uri: /reference/5cdf81b6-cd80-43c7-a4d5-421aa77f16ea - attrs: .reference_type: 0 Author: "Brook, B. W.\rSodhi, N. S. \rBradshaw, C. J. A." DOI: 10.1016/j.tree.2008.03.011 Issue: 8 Journal: Trends in Ecology & Evolution Pages: 453-460 Title: Synergies among extinction drivers under global change Volume: 23 Year: 2008 _chapter: '["Ch. 18: Midwest FINAL"]' _record_number: 1639 _uuid: 5cee6e59-0713-4a56-abae-6f60119df8e5 reftype: Journal Article child_publication: /article/10.1016/j.tree.2008.03.011 href: https://data.globalchange.gov/reference/5cee6e59-0713-4a56-abae-6f60119df8e5.yaml identifier: 5cee6e59-0713-4a56-abae-6f60119df8e5 uri: /reference/5cee6e59-0713-4a56-abae-6f60119df8e5 - attrs: .reference_type: 0 Author: "Wang, J.\rBai, X.\rHu, H.\rClites, A.\rColton, M.\rLofgren, B." DOI: 10.1175/2011JCLI4066.1 ISSN: 1520-0442 Journal: Journal of Climate Pages: 1318-1329 Title: 'Temporal and spatial variability of Great Lakes ice cover, 1973-2010' Volume: 25 Year: 2012 _chapter: '["Ch. 2: Our Changing Climate FINAL","Ch. 3: Water Resources FINAL","Ch. 18: Midwest FINAL"]' _record_number: 3334 _uuid: 5d9dedb4-4383-471f-9cee-05e0b16a457c reftype: Journal Article child_publication: /article/10.1175/2011JCLI4066.1 href: https://data.globalchange.gov/reference/5d9dedb4-4383-471f-9cee-05e0b16a457c.yaml identifier: 5d9dedb4-4383-471f-9cee-05e0b16a457c uri: /reference/5d9dedb4-4383-471f-9cee-05e0b16a457c - attrs: Abstract: 'High-resolution Weather Research and Forecasting Model (WRF) simulations are used to explore the sensitivity of Great Lakes lake-effect snowfall (LES) to changes in lake ice cover and surface temperature. A control simulation with observed ice cover is compared with three sensitivity tests: complete ice cover, no lake ice, and warmer lake surface temperatures. The spatial pattern of unfrozen lake surfaces determines the placement of LES, and complete ice cover eliminates it. Removal of ice cover and an increase in lake temperatures result in an expansion of the LES area both along and downwind of the lake shore, as well as an increase in snowfall amount. While lake temperatures and phase determine the amount and spatial coverage of LES, the finescale distribution of LES is strongly affected by the interaction between lake surface fluxes, the large-scale flow, and the local lake shore geography and inland topography. As a consequence, the sensitivity of LES to topography and shore geometry differs for lakes with short versus long overwater fetch. These simulations indicate that coarse-resolution models may be able to realistically reproduce the gross features of LES in future climates, but will miss the important local-scale interactions that determine the location and intensity of LES.' Author: 'Wright, David M.; Derek J. Posselt; Allison L. Steiner' DOI: 10.1175/mwr-d-12-00038.1 Issue: 2 Journal: Monthly Weather Review Keywords: 'Lake effects,Mesoscale processes,Snowbands,Climate change,Regional effects,Mesoscale models' Pages: 670-689 Title: Sensitivity of lake-effect snowfall to lake ice cover and temperature in the Great Lakes region Volume: 141 Year: 2013 _record_number: 21206 _uuid: 5e52fc67-5cac-4d45-814b-31d3542c9aa6 reftype: Journal Article child_publication: /article/10.1175/mwr-d-12-00038.1 href: https://data.globalchange.gov/reference/5e52fc67-5cac-4d45-814b-31d3542c9aa6.yaml identifier: 5e52fc67-5cac-4d45-814b-31d3542c9aa6 uri: /reference/5e52fc67-5cac-4d45-814b-31d3542c9aa6 - attrs: .reference_type: 47 Author: 'Lewis, Craig R. G.; Bunter, Kim L.' Conference Name: AGBU Pig Genetics Workshop Date: October 2010 Pages: 87-96 Title: 'Heat stress: The effects of temperature on production and reproduction traits' URL: http://agbu.une.edu.au/pig_genetics/pdf/2010/P12-Craig-Heat%20stress.pdf Year: 2010 _record_number: 21259 _uuid: 5eace42f-0819-4bec-a799-23c78ad4b486 reftype: Conference Paper child_publication: /generic/61088891-83e5-44bf-bed7-a19fa362a2af href: https://data.globalchange.gov/reference/5eace42f-0819-4bec-a799-23c78ad4b486.yaml identifier: 5eace42f-0819-4bec-a799-23c78ad4b486 uri: /reference/5eace42f-0819-4bec-a799-23c78ad4b486 - attrs: .reference_type: 7 Author: 'Fann, Neal; Brennan, Terry; Dolwick, Patrick; Gamble, Janet L.; Ilacqua, Vito; Kolb, Laura; Nolte, Christopher G.; Spero, Tanya L.; Ziska, Lewis' Book Title: 'The Impacts of Climate Change on Human Health in the United States: A Scientific Assessment' DOI: 10.7930/J0GQ6VP6 Pages: 69–98 Place Published: 'Washington, DC' Publisher: U.S. Global Change Research Program Title: 'Ch. 3: Air quality impacts' Year: 2016 _record_number: 19375 _uuid: 5ec155e5-8b77-438f-afa9-fbcac4d27690 reftype: Book Section child_publication: /report/usgcrp-climate-human-health-assessment-2016/chapter/air-quality-impacts href: https://data.globalchange.gov/reference/5ec155e5-8b77-438f-afa9-fbcac4d27690.yaml identifier: 5ec155e5-8b77-438f-afa9-fbcac4d27690 uri: /reference/5ec155e5-8b77-438f-afa9-fbcac4d27690 - attrs: Author: 'Will, Rodney E.; Wilson, Stuart M.; Zou, Chris B.; Hennessey, Thomas C.' DOI: 10.1111/nph.12321 ISSN: 1469-8137 Issue: 2 Journal: New Phytologist Keywords: drought; mortality; seedlings; transpiration; vapor pressure deficit (VPD); water potential Pages: 366-374 Title: Increased vapor pressure deficit due to higher temperature leads to greater transpiration and faster mortality during drought for tree seedlings common to the forest–grassland ecotone Volume: 200 Year: 2013 _record_number: 21193 _uuid: 5f03ce2f-b3e2-4d1a-a240-dddf2703a576 reftype: Journal Article child_publication: /article/10.1111/nph.12321 href: https://data.globalchange.gov/reference/5f03ce2f-b3e2-4d1a-a240-dddf2703a576.yaml identifier: 5f03ce2f-b3e2-4d1a-a240-dddf2703a576 uri: /reference/5f03ce2f-b3e2-4d1a-a240-dddf2703a576 - attrs: Author: 'Honsey, Andrew E.; Donabauer, Steven B.; Höök, Tomas O.' DOI: 10.1080/00028487.2015.1125949 Date: 2016/03/03 ISSN: 0002-8487 Issue: 2 Journal: Transactions of the American Fisheries Society Pages: 363-373 Publisher: Taylor & Francis Title: An analysis of lake morphometric and land-use characteristics that promote persistence of Cisco in Indiana Volume: 145 Year: 2016 _record_number: 26576 _uuid: 5fc6b656-6d43-40ab-85f6-f52756e393a6 reftype: Journal Article child_publication: /article/10.1080/00028487.2015.1125949 href: https://data.globalchange.gov/reference/5fc6b656-6d43-40ab-85f6-f52756e393a6.yaml identifier: 5fc6b656-6d43-40ab-85f6-f52756e393a6 uri: /reference/5fc6b656-6d43-40ab-85f6-f52756e393a6 - attrs: Abstract: 'There are limited examples of efforts to systematically monitor and track climate change adaptation progress in the context of natural resource management, despite substantial investments in adaptation initiatives. To better understand the status of adaptation within state natural resource agencies, we utilized and problematized a rational decision-making framework to characterize adaptation at the level of public land managers in the Upper Midwest. We conducted in-depth interviews with 29 biologists and foresters to provide an understanding of managers’ experiences with, and perceptions of, climate change impacts, efforts towards planning for climate change, and a full range of actions implemented to address climate change. While the majority of managers identified climate change impacts affecting their region, they expressed significant uncertainty in interpreting those signals. Just under half of managers indicated planning efforts are underway, although most planning is remote from local management. Actions already implemented include both forward-looking measures and those aimed at coping with current impacts. In addition, cross-scale dynamics emerged as an important theme related to the overall adaptation process. The results hold implications for tracking future progress on climate change adaptation. Common definitions or measures of adaptation (e.g., presence of planning documents) may need to be reassessed for applicability at the level of public land managers.' Author: 'Anhalt-Depies, Christine M.; Knoot, Tricia Gorby; Rissman, Adena R.; Sharp, Anthony K.; Martin, Karl J.' DOI: 10.1007/s00267-016-0673-7 Date: May 01 ISSN: 1432-1009 Issue: 5 Journal: Environmental Management Pages: 987-997 Title: 'Understanding climate adaptation on public lands in the Upper Midwest: Implications for monitoring and tracking progress' Type of Article: journal article Volume: 57 Year: 2016 _record_number: 21112 _uuid: 5ff98034-9119-447a-be35-972392dc7c7d reftype: Journal Article child_publication: /article/10.1007/s00267-016-0673-7 href: https://data.globalchange.gov/reference/5ff98034-9119-447a-be35-972392dc7c7d.yaml identifier: 5ff98034-9119-447a-be35-972392dc7c7d uri: /reference/5ff98034-9119-447a-be35-972392dc7c7d - attrs: Author: 'Garris, Heath W.; Mitchell, Randall J.; Fraser, Lauchlan H.; Barrett, Linda R.' DOI: 10.1111/gcb.12748 ISSN: 1365-2486 Issue: 2 Journal: Global Change Biology Keywords: artificial neural network; climate projections; isothermality; midwest; modeling; wetlands; WorldClim Pages: 766-776 Title: Forecasting climate change impacts on the distribution of wetland habitat in the Midwestern United states Volume: 21 Year: 2015 _record_number: 21185 _uuid: 60953828-8a3e-44e3-857c-f4e1e54f4fe0 reftype: Journal Article child_publication: /article/10.1111/gcb.12748 href: https://data.globalchange.gov/reference/60953828-8a3e-44e3-857c-f4e1e54f4fe0.yaml identifier: 60953828-8a3e-44e3-857c-f4e1e54f4fe0 uri: /reference/60953828-8a3e-44e3-857c-f4e1e54f4fe0 - attrs: Author: 'Jiang, Liping; Fang, Xing' DOI: 10.3390/w8070279 ISSN: 2073-4441 Issue: 7 Journal: Water Pages: 279 Title: Simulation and validation of cisco lethal conditions in Minnesota lakes under past and future climate scenarios using constant survival limits Volume: 8 Year: 2016 _record_number: 26582 _uuid: 60993164-dfa3-4186-afc7-41f843ed8f43 reftype: Journal Article child_publication: /article/10.3390/w8070279 href: https://data.globalchange.gov/reference/60993164-dfa3-4186-afc7-41f843ed8f43.yaml identifier: 60993164-dfa3-4186-afc7-41f843ed8f43 uri: /reference/60993164-dfa3-4186-afc7-41f843ed8f43 - attrs: Author: 'Haigh, Tonya; Takle, Eugene; Andresen, Jeffrey; Widhalm, Melissa; Carlton, J. Stuart; Angel, Jim' DOI: 10.1016/j.crm.2015.01.004 Date: 2015/01/01/ ISSN: 2212-0963 Journal: Climate Risk Management Keywords: Decision calendar; Maps; Agriculture; Climate tools Pages: 20-30 Title: Mapping the decision points and climate information use of agricultural producers across the U.S. corn belt Volume: 7 Year: 2015 _record_number: 21128 _uuid: 60b2320f-bcbb-40fe-911b-83fa5ca983a2 reftype: Journal Article child_publication: /article/10.1016/j.crm.2015.01.004 href: https://data.globalchange.gov/reference/60b2320f-bcbb-40fe-911b-83fa5ca983a2.yaml identifier: 60b2320f-bcbb-40fe-911b-83fa5ca983a2 uri: /reference/60b2320f-bcbb-40fe-911b-83fa5ca983a2 - attrs: Author: 'Worrall, James J.; Rehfeldt, Gerald E.; Hamann, Andreas; Hogg, Edward H.; Marchetti, Suzanne B.; Michaelian, Michael; Gray, Laura K.' DOI: 10.1016/j.foreco.2012.12.033 Date: 2013/07/01/ ISSN: 0378-1127 Journal: Forest Ecology and Management Keywords: Decline; Dieback; Die-off; Drought; Climate envelope; Climatic niche Pages: 35-51 Title: Recent declines of Populus tremuloides in North America linked to climate Volume: 299 Year: 2013 _record_number: 21136 _uuid: 62b16439-014f-4a7a-9b2f-33d475e29f56 reftype: Journal Article child_publication: /article/10.1016/j.foreco.2012.12.033 href: https://data.globalchange.gov/reference/62b16439-014f-4a7a-9b2f-33d475e29f56.yaml identifier: 62b16439-014f-4a7a-9b2f-33d475e29f56 uri: /reference/62b16439-014f-4a7a-9b2f-33d475e29f56 - attrs: Author: 'Liu, Qiong; Ravanlou, Abbasali; Babadoost, Mohammad' DOI: 10.1094/PDIS-01-16-0107-RE Date: 2016/12/01 ISSN: 0191-2917 Issue: 12 Journal: Plant Disease Pages: 2377-2382 Publisher: Scientific Societies Title: Occurrence of bacterial spot on pumpkin and squash fruit in the north central region of the United States and bacteria associated with the spots Volume: 100 Year: 2016 _record_number: 21180 _uuid: 62f3e347-df12-4e10-b62e-885183b9643d reftype: Journal Article child_publication: /article/10.1094/PDIS-01-16-0107-RE href: https://data.globalchange.gov/reference/62f3e347-df12-4e10-b62e-885183b9643d.yaml identifier: 62f3e347-df12-4e10-b62e-885183b9643d uri: /reference/62f3e347-df12-4e10-b62e-885183b9643d - attrs: Author: 'Brandt, Leslie; Derby Lewis, Abigail; Fahey, Robert; Scott, Lydia; Darling, Lindsay; Swanston, Chris' DOI: 10.1016/j.envsci.2016.06.005 Date: 2016/12/01/ ISSN: 1462-9011 Journal: Environmental Science & Policy Keywords: Vulnerability; Climate change; Adaptive capacity; Urban forest; Inventory; Chicago Pages: 393-402 Title: A framework for adapting urban forests to climate change Volume: 66 Year: 2016 _record_number: 21135 _uuid: 6352c444-c49b-4dac-b375-2b72b8532ebe reftype: Journal Article child_publication: /article/10.1016/j.envsci.2016.06.005 href: https://data.globalchange.gov/reference/6352c444-c49b-4dac-b375-2b72b8532ebe.yaml identifier: 6352c444-c49b-4dac-b375-2b72b8532ebe uri: /reference/6352c444-c49b-4dac-b375-2b72b8532ebe - attrs: .reference_type: 16 Author: 'Atungulu, G. R.' Publisher: 'USDA Research, Education & Economics Information System' Title: Management of in-bin grain drying and storage systems for improved grain quality and prevention of mycotoxins URL: https://portal.nifa.usda.gov/web/crisprojectpages/1002599-management-of-in-bin-grain-drying-and-storage-systems-for-improved-grain-quality-and-prevention-of-mycotoxins.html Year: 2017 _record_number: 21251 _uuid: 64513762-d666-447a-b19d-18bcd9cb0b80 reftype: Web Page child_publication: /webpage/c88b2f45-d5b7-4901-a0e9-3e85da1b3403 href: https://data.globalchange.gov/reference/64513762-d666-447a-b19d-18bcd9cb0b80.yaml identifier: 64513762-d666-447a-b19d-18bcd9cb0b80 uri: /reference/64513762-d666-447a-b19d-18bcd9cb0b80 - attrs: .reference_type: 10 Author: 'Council for State and Territorial Epidemiologists (CSTE),' Institution: CSTE Pages: 12 Title: 'Heat-related illness syndrome query: A guidance document for implementing heat-related illness syndromic surveillance in public health practice' URL: http://c.ymcdn.com/sites/www.cste.org/resource/resmgr/pdfs/pdfs2/CSTE_Heat_Syndrome_Case_Defi.pdf Year: 2016 _record_number: 21288 _uuid: 64da1825-dd24-4bc9-9545-861f4e483498 reftype: Report child_publication: /report/heat-related-illness-syndrome-query-guidance-document-implementing-heat-related-illness-syndromic-surveillance-public-health-practice href: https://data.globalchange.gov/reference/64da1825-dd24-4bc9-9545-861f4e483498.yaml identifier: 64da1825-dd24-4bc9-9545-861f4e483498 uri: /reference/64da1825-dd24-4bc9-9545-861f4e483498 - attrs: Abstract: 'Statistical methods are commonly used to evaluate natural populations and environmental variables, yet these must recognize temporal trends in population character to be appropriate in an evolving world. New equations presented here define the statistical measures of aggregate historical populations affected by linear changes in population means and standard deviations. These can be used to extract the statistical character of present-day populations, needed to define modern variability and risk, from tables of historical data that are dominated by measurements made when conditions were different. As an example, many factors such as climate change and in-channel structures are causing flood levels to rise, so realistic estimation of future flood levels must take such secular changes into account. The new equations provide estimates of water levels for “100-year” floods in the USA Midwest that are 0.5 to 2 m higher than official calculations that routinely assume population stationarity. These equations also show that flood levels will continue to rise by several centimeters per year. This rate is nearly ten times faster than the rise of sea level, and thus represents one of the fastest and most damaging rates of change that is documented by robust data.' Author: 'Criss, Robert E.' DOI: 10.1007/s12583-015-0641-9 Date: February 01 ISSN: 1867-111X Issue: 1 Journal: Journal of Earth Science Pages: 2-8 Title: Statistics of evolving populations and their relevance to flood risk Type of Article: journal article Volume: 27 Year: 2016 _record_number: 26562 _uuid: 64e82a6d-9331-443b-9329-74e5e25536bf reftype: Journal Article child_publication: /article/10.1007/s12583-015-0641-9 href: https://data.globalchange.gov/reference/64e82a6d-9331-443b-9329-74e5e25536bf.yaml identifier: 64e82a6d-9331-443b-9329-74e5e25536bf uri: /reference/64e82a6d-9331-443b-9329-74e5e25536bf - attrs: Author: 'Kalafatis, Scott E.; Grace, Ashlee; Gibbons, Elizabeth' DOI: 10.1016/j.crm.2015.04.003 Date: 2015/01/01/ ISSN: 2212-0963 Journal: Climate Risk Management Keywords: Boundary organizations; Boundary chains; Usable science; Mainstreaming climate change adaptation; Policy entrepreneurs Pages: 30-40 Title: 'Making climate science accessible in Toledo: The linked boundary chain approach' Volume: 9 Year: 2015 _record_number: 21129 _uuid: 660ac034-1441-4d28-98e2-61c8c252348a reftype: Journal Article child_publication: /article/10.1016/j.crm.2015.04.003 href: https://data.globalchange.gov/reference/660ac034-1441-4d28-98e2-61c8c252348a.yaml identifier: 660ac034-1441-4d28-98e2-61c8c252348a uri: /reference/660ac034-1441-4d28-98e2-61c8c252348a - attrs: .reference_type: 16 Author: 'HRWC,' Place Published: 'Ann Arbor, MI' Publisher: Huron River Watershed Council (HRWC) Title: 'Assessing Urban Vulnerability [web site]' URL: https://www.hrwc.org/what-we-do/programs/climate-change/assessing-urban-vulnerability/ Year: 2018 _record_number: 26693 _uuid: 66eca1b9-a1e5-43e8-a0a3-1407feae442c reftype: Web Page child_publication: /webpage/ab200baf-5ef1-4bf1-ae17-d37f233ee4a0 href: https://data.globalchange.gov/reference/66eca1b9-a1e5-43e8-a0a3-1407feae442c.yaml identifier: 66eca1b9-a1e5-43e8-a0a3-1407feae442c uri: /reference/66eca1b9-a1e5-43e8-a0a3-1407feae442c - attrs: .reference_type: 7 Author: 'Delgado, Jorge A.; Nearing, Mark A.; Rice, Charles W.' Book Title: Advances in Agronomy DOI: 10.1016/B978-0-12-407685-3.00002-5 Date: 2013/01/01/ Editor: 'Sparks, Donald L.' ISBN: 0065-2113 Keywords: Adaptation; Climate change; Drought; Extreme events; Conservation practices; Mitigation; Soil quality; Water quality Pages: 47-115 Publisher: Academic Press Title: Conservation practices for climate change adaptation Volume: 121 Year: 2013 _record_number: 21123 _uuid: 675ce62c-a460-4f53-9e1f-47d1fa5c7a10 reftype: Book Section child_publication: /book/fdc1e329-8a1d-46ce-99f0-a2f582ded82f href: https://data.globalchange.gov/reference/675ce62c-a460-4f53-9e1f-47d1fa5c7a10.yaml identifier: 675ce62c-a460-4f53-9e1f-47d1fa5c7a10 uri: /reference/675ce62c-a460-4f53-9e1f-47d1fa5c7a10 - attrs: .publisher: Springer Netherlands .reference_type: 0 Alternate Journal: Climatic Change Author: "Lynn, Kathy\rDaigle, John\rHoffman, Jennie\rLake, Frank\rMichelle, Natalie\rRanco, Darren\rViles, Carson\rVoggesser, Garrit\rWilliams, Paul" DOI: 10.1007/s10584-013-0736-1 Date: October 2013 ISSN: 0165-0009 Issue: 3 Journal: Climatic Change Language: English Pages: 545-556 Title: The impacts of climate change on tribal traditional foods Volume: 120 Year: 2013 _chapter: '["Ch. 16: Northeast FINAL","Ch. 12: Indigenous FINAL","Ch. 1: Overview FINAL","Ch. 17: Southeast and Caribbean FINAL"]' _record_number: 3784 _uuid: 6848eec2-534b-4629-967c-53d8530089a3 reftype: Journal Article child_publication: /article/10.1007/s10584-013-0736-1 href: https://data.globalchange.gov/reference/6848eec2-534b-4629-967c-53d8530089a3.yaml identifier: 6848eec2-534b-4629-967c-53d8530089a3 uri: /reference/6848eec2-534b-4629-967c-53d8530089a3 - attrs: Abstract: 'A one-dimensional hydrodynamic lake model (DYRESM-WQ-I) is employed to simulate ice cover and water temperatures over the period 1911–2014. The effects of climate changes (air temperature and wind speed) on ice cover (ice-on, ice-off, ice cover duration, and maximum ice thickness) are modeled and compared for the three different morphometry lakes: Fish Lake, Lake Wingra, and Lake Mendota, located in Madison, Wisconsin, USA. It is found that the ice cover period has decreased due to later ice-on dates and earlier ice-off dates, and the annual maximum ice cover thickness has decreased for the three lakes during the last century. Based upon simulated perturbations of daily mean air temperatures across the range of −10°C to +10°C of historical values, Fish Lake has the most occurrences of no ice cover and Lake Wingra still remains ice covered under extreme conditions (+10°C). Overall, shallower lakes with larger surface areas appear more resilient to ice cover changes caused by climate changes.' Author: 'Magee, Madeline R.; Wu, Chin H.' DOI: 10.1002/hyp.10996 Issue: 2 Journal: Hydrological Processes Pages: 308-323 Title: Effects of changing climate on ice cover in three morphometrically different lakes Volume: 31 Year: 2017 _record_number: 26595 _uuid: 699ea5c2-0885-4919-b4d7-a099490a0575 reftype: Journal Article child_publication: /article/10.1002/hyp.10996 href: https://data.globalchange.gov/reference/699ea5c2-0885-4919-b4d7-a099490a0575.yaml identifier: 699ea5c2-0885-4919-b4d7-a099490a0575 uri: /reference/699ea5c2-0885-4919-b4d7-a099490a0575 - attrs: Author: 'Mishra, Vimal; Cherkauer, Keith A.; Bowling, Laura C.' DOI: 10.1016/j.gloplacha.2010.11.003 Date: 2011/02/01/ ISSN: 0921-8181 Issue: 3 Journal: Global and Planetary Change Keywords: lakes; VIC model; climate variability; climate change; heat storage; ice cover feedback Pages: 155-172 Title: 'Changing thermal dynamics of lakes in the Great Lakes region: Role of ice cover feedbacks' Volume: 75 Year: 2011 _record_number: 21141 _uuid: 69b7e66f-db1d-436b-a2f7-747ba397f2e9 reftype: Journal Article child_publication: /article/10.1016/j.gloplacha.2010.11.003 href: https://data.globalchange.gov/reference/69b7e66f-db1d-436b-a2f7-747ba397f2e9.yaml identifier: 69b7e66f-db1d-436b-a2f7-747ba397f2e9 uri: /reference/69b7e66f-db1d-436b-a2f7-747ba397f2e9 - attrs: .reference_type: 16 Author: 'Workboat Staff,' Title: Portion of Upper Mississippi River Closed Near St. Louis URL: https://www.workboat.com/news/coastal-inland-waterways/portion-upper-mississippi-river-closed-near-st-louis/ Year: 2017 _record_number: 21315 _uuid: 69f02922-508b-4bd8-9062-5ec8e4014e6c reftype: Web Page child_publication: /webpage/be55c5be-b1ae-4112-9916-d476b1cd6f9c href: https://data.globalchange.gov/reference/69f02922-508b-4bd8-9062-5ec8e4014e6c.yaml identifier: 69f02922-508b-4bd8-9062-5ec8e4014e6c uri: /reference/69f02922-508b-4bd8-9062-5ec8e4014e6c - attrs: Abstract: 'Numerous models and indices exist that attempt to characterize the effect of environmental factors on the comfort of animals and humans. Heat and cold indices have been utilized to adjust ambient temperature (Ta) for the effects of relative humidity (RH) or wind speed (WS) or both for the purposes of obtaining a "feels-like" or apparent temperature. However, no model has been found that incorporates adjustments for RH, WS, and radiation (RAD) over conditions that encompass hot and cold environmental conditions. The objective of this study was to develop a comprehensive climate index (CCI) that has application under a wide range of environmental conditions and provides an adjustment to Ta for RH, WS, and RAD. Environmental data were compiled from 9 separate summer periods in which heat stress events occurred and from 6 different winter periods to develop and validate the CCI. The RH adjustment is derived from an exponential relationship between Ta and RH with temperature being adjusted up or down from an RH value of 30%. At 45°C, the temperature adjustment for increasing RH from 30 to 100% equals approximately 16°C, whereas at -30°C temperature adjustments due to increasing RH from 30 to 100% equal approximately -3.0°C, with greater RH values contributing to a reduced apparent temperature under cold conditions. The relationship between WS and temperature adjustments was also determined to be exponential with a logarithmic adjustment to define appropriate declines in apparent temperature as WS increases. With this index, slower WS results in the greatest change in apparent temperature per unit of WS regardless of whether hot or cold conditions exist. As WS increases, the change in apparent temperature per unit of WS becomes less. Based on existing windchill and heat indices, the effect of WS on apparent temperature is sufficiently similar to allow one equation to be utilized under hot and cold conditions. The RAD component was separated into direct solar radiation and ground surface radiation. Both of these were found to have a linear relationship with Ta. This index will be useful for further development of biological response functions, which are associated with energy exchange, and improving decision-making processes, which are weather-dependent. In addition, the defined thresholds can serve as management and environmental mitigation guidelines to protect and ensure animal comfort.' Author: 'Mader, T. L.; Johnson, L. J.; Gaughan, J. B.' DOI: 10.2527/jas.2009-2586 Issue: 6 Journal: Journal of Animal Science Language: English Pages: 2153-2165 Title: A comprehensive index for assessing environmental stress in animals Volume: 88 Year: 2010 _record_number: 21227 _uuid: 6a1bc03d-a204-4f8c-9779-73ee5c44e413 reftype: Journal Article child_publication: /article/10.2527/jas.2009-2586 href: https://data.globalchange.gov/reference/6a1bc03d-a204-4f8c-9779-73ee5c44e413.yaml identifier: 6a1bc03d-a204-4f8c-9779-73ee5c44e413 uri: /reference/6a1bc03d-a204-4f8c-9779-73ee5c44e413 - attrs: .reference_type: 10 Author: 'Lichten, Nathaniel; Joan Iverson Nassauer; Margaret Dewar; Natalie R. Sampson; Noah J. Webster' Institution: University of Michigan Water Center Place Published: 'Ann Arbor, MI' Series Title: 'Neighborhood, Environment, and Water research collaborations for Green Infrastructure (NEW-GI)' Series Volume: NEW-GI White Paper No. 1 Title: 'Green Infrastructure on Vacant Land: Achieving Social and Environmental Benefits in Legacy Cities' URL: https://static1.squarespace.com/static/52a213fce4b0a5794c59856f/t/58d42d0f725e25f7c64240e3/1490300177284/Green+Infrastructure+on+Vacant+Land.pdf Year: 2016 _record_number: 21307 _uuid: 6a5b4177-6cae-4aed-949e-aade35b943f7 reftype: Report child_publication: /report/green-infrastructure-on-vacant-land-achieving-social-environmental-benefits-legacy-cities href: https://data.globalchange.gov/reference/6a5b4177-6cae-4aed-949e-aade35b943f7.yaml identifier: 6a5b4177-6cae-4aed-949e-aade35b943f7 uri: /reference/6a5b4177-6cae-4aed-949e-aade35b943f7 - attrs: Author: 'Cai, Ximing; Zhang, Xiao; Noël, Paul H.; Shafiee-Jood, Majid' DOI: 10.1002/wat2.1089 ISSN: 2049-1948 Issue: 5 Journal: 'Wiley Interdisciplinary Reviews: Water' Pages: 439-455 Publisher: 'John Wiley & Sons, Inc.' Title: 'Impacts of climate change on agricultural water management: A review' Volume: 2 Year: 2015 _record_number: 21111 _uuid: 6ad046b0-466c-444e-ad13-d24c6c9b4bae reftype: Journal Article child_publication: /article/10.1002/wat2.1089 href: https://data.globalchange.gov/reference/6ad046b0-466c-444e-ad13-d24c6c9b4bae.yaml identifier: 6ad046b0-466c-444e-ad13-d24c6c9b4bae uri: /reference/6ad046b0-466c-444e-ad13-d24c6c9b4bae - attrs: .reference_type: 0 Author: 'Bobb, Jennifer F.; Peng, Roger D.; Bell, Michelle L.; Dominici, Francesca' DOI: 10.1289/ehp.1307392 ISSN: 1552-9924 Issue: 8 Journal: Environmental Health Perspectives Pages: 811-816 Title: Heat-related mortality and adaptation to heat in the United States Volume: 122 Year: 2014 _chapter: Ch2 _record_number: 17588 _uuid: 6b3cd0ec-1e3e-42e8-ad82-5c12ed7ab0e8 reftype: Journal Article child_publication: /article/10.1289/ehp.1307392 href: https://data.globalchange.gov/reference/6b3cd0ec-1e3e-42e8-ad82-5c12ed7ab0e8.yaml identifier: 6b3cd0ec-1e3e-42e8-ad82-5c12ed7ab0e8 uri: /reference/6b3cd0ec-1e3e-42e8-ad82-5c12ed7ab0e8 - attrs: Author: 'Frelich, Lee E.; Reich, Peter B.' DOI: 10.1890/080191 ISSN: 1540-9309 Issue: 7 Journal: Frontiers in Ecology and the Environment Pages: 371-378 Publisher: Ecological Society of America Title: Will environmental changes reinforce the impact of global warming on the prairie–forest border of central North America? Volume: 8 Year: 2010 _record_number: 21223 _uuid: 6b72f67d-2b83-44a1-b89c-d2dffc5d6099 reftype: Journal Article child_publication: /article/10.1890/080191 href: https://data.globalchange.gov/reference/6b72f67d-2b83-44a1-b89c-d2dffc5d6099.yaml identifier: 6b72f67d-2b83-44a1-b89c-d2dffc5d6099 uri: /reference/6b72f67d-2b83-44a1-b89c-d2dffc5d6099 - attrs: Abstract: 'Invasive alien species modify pollinator biodiversity and the services they provide that underpin ecosystem function and human well-being. Building on the Intergovernmental Science-Policy Platform for Biodiversity and Ecosystem Services (IPBES) global assessment of pollinators and pollination, we synthesize current understanding of invasive alien impacts on pollinators and pollination. Invasive alien species create risks and opportunities for pollinator nutrition, re-organize species interactions to affect native pollination and community stability, and spread and select for virulent diseases. Risks are complex but substantial, and depend greatly on the ecological function and evolutionary history of both the invader and the recipient ecosystem. We highlight evolutionary implications for pollination from invasive alien species, and identify future research directions, key messages and options for decision-making.' Author: 'Vanbergen, Adam J.; Espíndola, Anahí; Aizen, Marcelo A.' DOI: 10.1038/s41559-017-0412-3 Date: 2018/01/01 ISSN: 2397-334X Issue: 1 Journal: Nature Ecology & Evolution Pages: 16-25 Title: Risks to pollinators and pollination from invasive alien species Volume: 2 Year: 2018 _record_number: 26619 _uuid: 6bfa65a5-3e60-478d-9b52-423f26ffcc5a reftype: Journal Article child_publication: /article/10.1038/s41559-017-0412-3 href: https://data.globalchange.gov/reference/6bfa65a5-3e60-478d-9b52-423f26ffcc5a.yaml identifier: 6bfa65a5-3e60-478d-9b52-423f26ffcc5a uri: /reference/6bfa65a5-3e60-478d-9b52-423f26ffcc5a - attrs: .reference_type: 10 Author: 'Asam, Susan; Spindler, Dana; Julius, Susan; Beierwagen, Brita' Institution: U.S. Environmental Protection Agency Place Published: 'Washington, DC' Report Number: EPA/600/R-15/087F Title: 'Stormwater Management in Response to Climate Change Impacts: Lessons from the Chesapeake Bay and Great Lakes Regions' URL: https://cfpub.epa.gov/ncea/global/recordisplay.cfm?deid=310045 Year: 2016 _record_number: 26553 _uuid: 6c1de119-8509-4e82-8aee-3c2c1163748e reftype: Report child_publication: /report/stormwater-management-response-climate-change-impacts-lessons-chesapeake-bay-great-lakes-regions href: https://data.globalchange.gov/reference/6c1de119-8509-4e82-8aee-3c2c1163748e.yaml identifier: 6c1de119-8509-4e82-8aee-3c2c1163748e uri: /reference/6c1de119-8509-4e82-8aee-3c2c1163748e - attrs: Author: 'Takle, Eugene S. Takle; David Gustafson; Roger Beachy; Gerald C. Nelson; Daniel Mason-D’Croz; Amanda Palazzo' DOI: '10.5018/economics-ejournal.ja.2013-34 ' Issue: 2013-34 Journal: 'Economics: The Open-Access, Open-Assessment E-Journal' Pages: 1-41 Title: 'US food security and climate change: Agricultural futures' Volume: 7 Year: 2013 _record_number: 21234 _uuid: 6e8fbacd-aff6-48ab-a950-5a8df2799046 reftype: Journal Article child_publication: /article/10.5018/economics-ejournal.ja.2013-34%20 href: https://data.globalchange.gov/reference/6e8fbacd-aff6-48ab-a950-5a8df2799046.yaml identifier: 6e8fbacd-aff6-48ab-a950-5a8df2799046 uri: /reference/6e8fbacd-aff6-48ab-a950-5a8df2799046 - attrs: Author: 'Jones, Michael L.; Shuter, Brian J.; Zhao, Yingming; Stockwell, Jason D.' DOI: 10.1139/f05-239 Date: 2006/02/01 ISSN: 0706-652X Issue: 2 Journal: Canadian Journal of Fisheries and Aquatic Sciences Pages: 457-468 Publisher: NRC Research Press Title: 'Forecasting effects of climate change on Great Lakes fisheries: Models that link habitat supply to population dynamics can help' Volume: 63 Year: 2006 _record_number: 21197 _uuid: 6f1b98a5-2c28-40b0-b038-b4be63c53929 reftype: Journal Article child_publication: /article/10.1139/f05-239 href: https://data.globalchange.gov/reference/6f1b98a5-2c28-40b0-b038-b4be63c53929.yaml identifier: 6f1b98a5-2c28-40b0-b038-b4be63c53929 uri: /reference/6f1b98a5-2c28-40b0-b038-b4be63c53929 - attrs: .reference_type: 0 Author: "MacKay, M.\rSeglenieks, F." DOI: 10.1007/s10584-012-0560-z ISSN: 0165-0009 Issue: 1-2 Journal: Climatic Change Pages: 55-67 Title: On the simulation of Laurentian Great Lakes water levels under projections of global climate change Volume: 117 Year: 2012 _chapter: '["Appendix 3: Climate Science FINAL","Ch. 18: Midwest FINAL"]' _record_number: 1835 _uuid: 6f54634b-9f91-4498-be28-49f1f6d5bf41 reftype: Journal Article child_publication: /article/10.1007/s10584-012-0560-z href: https://data.globalchange.gov/reference/6f54634b-9f91-4498-be28-49f1f6d5bf41.yaml identifier: 6f54634b-9f91-4498-be28-49f1f6d5bf41 uri: /reference/6f54634b-9f91-4498-be28-49f1f6d5bf41 - attrs: Author: 'Magnuson, J. J.; Webster, K. E.; Assel, R. A.; Bowser, C. J.; Dillon, P. J.; Eaton, J. G.; Evans, H. E.; Fee, E. J.; Hall, R. I.; Mortsch, L. R.; Schindler, D. W.; Quinn, F. H.' DOI: 10.1002/(SICI)1099-1085(19970630)11:8<825::AID-HYP509>3.0.CO;2-G ISSN: 1099-1085 Issue: 8 Journal: Hydrological Processes Keywords: Laurentian Great Lakes; Precambrian Shield; climate change; aquatic systems; north temperate glacial lakes; hydrology; paleoclimates; lake ice; water level; physical limnology; chemical limnology; phytoplankton; zooplankton; fish; terrestrial-aquatic linkages; interaction with other stresses; heterogeneity in response; biogeochemistry Pages: 825-871 Publisher: 'John Wiley & Sons, Ltd' Title: 'Potential effects of climate changes on aquatic systems: Laurentian Great Lakes and Precambrian shield region' Volume: 11 Year: 1997 _record_number: 21108 _uuid: 6fd9634a-7245-4e42-95a4-3b9527d7ce43 reftype: Journal Article child_publication: /article/10.1002/(SICI)1099-1085(19970630)11:8%3C825::AID-HYP509%3E3.0.CO;2-G href: https://data.globalchange.gov/reference/6fd9634a-7245-4e42-95a4-3b9527d7ce43.yaml identifier: 6fd9634a-7245-4e42-95a4-3b9527d7ce43 uri: /reference/6fd9634a-7245-4e42-95a4-3b9527d7ce43 - attrs: Author: 'Getter, Kristin L.; Rowe, D. Bradley; Robertson, G. Philip; Cregg, Bert M.; Andresen, Jeffrey A.' DOI: 10.1021/es901539x Date: 2009/10/01 ISSN: 0013-936X Issue: 19 Journal: Environmental Science & Technology Pages: 7564-7570 Publisher: American Chemical Society Title: Carbon sequestration potential of extensive green roofs Volume: 43 Year: 2009 _record_number: 26569 _uuid: 70651123-6aaa-4d7f-bbcf-8f00b743b380 reftype: Journal Article child_publication: /article/10.1021/es901539x href: https://data.globalchange.gov/reference/70651123-6aaa-4d7f-bbcf-8f00b743b380.yaml identifier: 70651123-6aaa-4d7f-bbcf-8f00b743b380 uri: /reference/70651123-6aaa-4d7f-bbcf-8f00b743b380 - attrs: .reference_type: 0 Author: "Groffman, P.M.\rRustad, L.E.\rTempler, P.H.\rCampbell, J.L.\rChristenson, L.M.\rLany, N.K.\rSocci, A.M.\rVadeboncouer, M.A.\rSchaberg, P.G.\rWilson, G.F.\rDriscoll, C.T.\rFahey, Timothy J.\rFisk, M.C.\rGoodale, C.L.\rGreen, M.B.\rHamburg, Steven P.\rJohnson, C.E.\rMitchell, M.J.\rMorse, J. L.\rPardo, L.H.\rRodenhouse, N.L." DOI: 10.1525/bio.2012.62.12.7 ISSN: 0006-3568 Issue: 12 Journal: BioScience Pages: 1056-1066 Title: Long-term integrated studies show complex and surprising effects of climate change in the northern hardwood forest Volume: 62 Year: 2012 _chapter: '["Ch. 8: Ecosystems FINAL"]' _record_number: 1066 _uuid: 71a27619-b62e-4138-8727-9ade35b81a60 reftype: Journal Article child_publication: /article/10.1525/bio.2012.62.12.7 href: https://data.globalchange.gov/reference/71a27619-b62e-4138-8727-9ade35b81a60.yaml identifier: 71a27619-b62e-4138-8727-9ade35b81a60 uri: /reference/71a27619-b62e-4138-8727-9ade35b81a60 - attrs: Abstract: 'There is an ever-growing body of literature on forest management strategies for climate change adaptation; however, few frameworks have been presented for integrating these strategies with the real-world challenges of forest management. We have developed a structured approach for translating broad adaptation concepts into specific management actions and silvicultural practices for forest adaptation, as well as an associated set of resources to assist managers in using this approach. A variety of public, private, nongovernmental, and tribal natural resource managers are using this approach to develop projects that implement a diversity of adaptation actions while also meeting manager-identified goals. We describe how managers can integrate climate change information into management planning and activities and provide examples of real-world forest management projects that identify actions to help forests adapt to changing conditions.' Author: 'Janowiak, Maria K.; Swanston, Christopher W.; Nagel, Linda M.; Brandt, Leslie A.; Butler, Patricia R.; Handler, Stephen D.; Shannon, P. Danielle; Iverson, Louis R.; Matthews, Stephen N.; Prasad, Anantha; Peters, Matthew P.' DOI: 10.5849/jof.13-094 Date: // Issue: 5 Journal: Journal of Forestry Keywords: adaptation; case study; climate change; forest management Pages: 424-433 Title: A practical approach for translating climate change adaptation principles into forest management actions Volume: 112 Year: 2014 _record_number: 21238 _uuid: 7242780c-93ee-4a39-9505-d0bd2f67c62b reftype: Journal Article child_publication: /article/10.5849/jof.13-094 href: https://data.globalchange.gov/reference/7242780c-93ee-4a39-9505-d0bd2f67c62b.yaml identifier: 7242780c-93ee-4a39-9505-d0bd2f67c62b uri: /reference/7242780c-93ee-4a39-9505-d0bd2f67c62b - attrs: Author: 'Jacobson, Peter C.; Stefan, Heinz G.; Pereira, Donald L.' DOI: 10.1139/F10-115 Date: 2010/12/01 ISSN: 0706-652X Issue: 12 Journal: Canadian Journal of Fisheries and Aquatic Sciences Pages: 2002-2013 Publisher: NRC Research Press Title: 'Coldwater fish oxythermal habitat in Minnesota lakes: Influence of total phosphorus, July air temperature, and relative depth' Volume: 67 Year: 2010 _record_number: 26580 _uuid: 73108c16-22f0-4984-9b69-224513f8f8ca reftype: Journal Article child_publication: /article/10.1139/F10-115 href: https://data.globalchange.gov/reference/73108c16-22f0-4984-9b69-224513f8f8ca.yaml identifier: 73108c16-22f0-4984-9b69-224513f8f8ca uri: /reference/73108c16-22f0-4984-9b69-224513f8f8ca - attrs: Abstract: 'Forest management faces an uncertain future with changing climates and disturbance regimes. Multi-aged forest management systems represent a promising approach for increasing resistance and resilience, thereby limiting major disruptions to timber production and other ecosystem services. Multi-aged stands inherently have greater resistance and resilience to disturbances because of the presence of several age classes and more potential pathways for post-disturbance management and recovery. The preponderance of research also indicates few differences in productivity between multi-aged and even-aged management strategies. These factors combined suggest that increased adoption of multi-aged management systems will lead to a reduction in long-term risks. We advocate a disturbance integration management strategy that encourages managers to emulate disturbance effects with management, anticipate disturbances in planning, integrate the management of residual stand structures into salvage operations and build variable treatment intervals or cutting cycles into management regimes.' Author: "O'Hara, Kevin L.; Ramage, Benjamin S." DOI: 10.1093/forestry/cpt012 ISSN: 0015-752X Issue: 4 Journal: 'Forestry: An International Journal of Forest Research' Pages: 401-410 Title: 'Silviculture in an uncertain world: utilizing multi-aged management systems to integrate disturbance†' Volume: 86 Year: 2013 _record_number: 21176 _uuid: 73754dea-be2e-4052-b0bc-46030f4114c1 reftype: Journal Article child_publication: /article/10.1093/forestry/cpt012 href: https://data.globalchange.gov/reference/73754dea-be2e-4052-b0bc-46030f4114c1.yaml identifier: 73754dea-be2e-4052-b0bc-46030f4114c1 uri: /reference/73754dea-be2e-4052-b0bc-46030f4114c1 - attrs: .reference_type: 10 Author: 'Vinyeta, Kirsten; Kathy Lynn' Institution: U.S. Department of Agriculture Pacific Northwest Research Station Pages: 37 Place Published: 'Portland, OR' Series Volume: General Technical Report PNW-GTR-879 Title: Exploring the Role of Traditional Ecological Knowledge in Climate Change Initiatives URL: https://www.fs.fed.us/pnw/pubs/pnw_gtr879.pdf Year: 2013 _record_number: 21326 _uuid: 7418d1d5-0316-45cc-b9e0-292cce841cda reftype: Report child_publication: /report/exploring-role-traditional-ecological-knowledge-climate-change-initiatives href: https://data.globalchange.gov/reference/7418d1d5-0316-45cc-b9e0-292cce841cda.yaml identifier: 7418d1d5-0316-45cc-b9e0-292cce841cda uri: /reference/7418d1d5-0316-45cc-b9e0-292cce841cda - attrs: .reference_type: 16 Author: 'Smith, Alexander; Elizabeth Chuck; Ali Gostanian' Place Published: New York Publisher: NBC News Title: Swollen Midwest Rivers Bring Transportation to Standstill URL: https://www.nbcnews.com/news/weather/missouri-illinois-face-slow-motion-disaster-swollen-rivers-rise-n488376 Year: 2015 _record_number: 21313 _uuid: 7529ed72-74b6-4f77-bf19-8aeeb1ab5ae0 reftype: Web Page child_publication: /webpage/564bb107-cb8b-47ee-b792-fbf0e0647e45 href: https://data.globalchange.gov/reference/7529ed72-74b6-4f77-bf19-8aeeb1ab5ae0.yaml identifier: 7529ed72-74b6-4f77-bf19-8aeeb1ab5ae0 uri: /reference/7529ed72-74b6-4f77-bf19-8aeeb1ab5ae0 - attrs: .reference_type: 10 Author: EPA Pages: 96 Place Published: 'Washington, D.C.' Publisher: U.S. Environmental Protection Agency Report Number: EPA 430-R-16-004 Title: 'Climate Change Indicators in the United States, 2016. 4th edition' URL: https://www.epa.gov/sites/production/files/2016-08/documents/climate_indicators_2016.pdf Year: 2016 _record_number: 20357 _uuid: 75c746be-4e8b-48b8-97f9-4e9d31d5df21 reftype: Report child_publication: /report/epa-430-r-16-004 href: https://data.globalchange.gov/reference/75c746be-4e8b-48b8-97f9-4e9d31d5df21.yaml identifier: 75c746be-4e8b-48b8-97f9-4e9d31d5df21 uri: /reference/75c746be-4e8b-48b8-97f9-4e9d31d5df21 - attrs: .reference_type: 10 Author: 'McDermid, J. L., S. K. Dickin, C. L. Winsborough, H. Switzman, S. Barr, J. A. Gleeson, G. Krantzberg, and P. A. Gray' Institution: Toronto and Regional Conservation Authority Notes: ISBN 987-1-77283-000-2 Pages: 118 Place Published: Toronto Series Volume: 'Prepared Jointly by the Ontario Climate Consortium and Ontario Ministry of Natural Resources and Forestry to Advise Annex 9 - Climate Change Impacts Under the Great Lakes Water Quality Agreement, October 2015' Title: 'State of climate change science in the Great Lakes basin: A focus on climatological, hydrological, and ecological effects' URL: https://climateconnections.ca/wp-content/uploads/2014/07/OCC_GreatLakes_Report_Full_Final.pdf Year: 2015 _record_number: 21284 _uuid: 75ca4c21-33fc-47ce-9830-6aa1884f0f17 reftype: Report child_publication: /report/state-climate-change-science-great-lakes-basin-focus-on-climatological-hydrological-ecological-effects href: https://data.globalchange.gov/reference/75ca4c21-33fc-47ce-9830-6aa1884f0f17.yaml identifier: 75ca4c21-33fc-47ce-9830-6aa1884f0f17 uri: /reference/75ca4c21-33fc-47ce-9830-6aa1884f0f17 - attrs: .reference_type: 10 Author: USGCRP DOI: 10.7930/J0J964J6 Pages: 470 Place Published: 'Washington, DC, USA' Publisher: U.S. Global Change Research Program Secondary Author: 'Wuebbles, D.J.; D.W. Fahey; K.A. Hibbard; D.J. Dokken; B.C. Stewart; T.K. Maycock' Title: 'Climate Science Special Report: Fourth National Climate Assessment, Volume I' Year: 2017 _record_number: 21557 _uuid: 75cf1c0b-cc62-4ca4-96a7-082afdfe2ab1 reftype: Report child_publication: /report/climate-science-special-report href: https://data.globalchange.gov/reference/75cf1c0b-cc62-4ca4-96a7-082afdfe2ab1.yaml identifier: 75cf1c0b-cc62-4ca4-96a7-082afdfe2ab1 uri: /reference/75cf1c0b-cc62-4ca4-96a7-082afdfe2ab1 - attrs: Author: 'Carmichael, Wayne W.; Boyer, Gregory L.' DOI: 10.1016/j.hal.2016.02.002 Date: 2016/04/01/ ISSN: 1568-9883 Journal: Harmful Algae Keywords: Harmful algal blooms; Cyanobacteria; Cyanotoxins; Drinking/recreational water guidelines; Human and animal health Pages: 194-212 Title: 'Health impacts from cyanobacteria harmful algae blooms: Implications for the North American Great Lakes' Volume: 54 Year: 2016 _record_number: 26558 _uuid: 7609f0c9-640d-49a3-8009-60861b00e06a reftype: Journal Article child_publication: /article/10.1016/j.hal.2016.02.002 href: https://data.globalchange.gov/reference/7609f0c9-640d-49a3-8009-60861b00e06a.yaml identifier: 7609f0c9-640d-49a3-8009-60861b00e06a uri: /reference/7609f0c9-640d-49a3-8009-60861b00e06a - attrs: Abstract: 'Changes in tree growth rates can affect tree mortality and forest feedbacks to the global carbon cycle. As air temperature increases, evaporative demand also increases, increasing effective drought in forest ecosystems. Using a spatially comprehensive network of Douglas fir (Pseudotsuga menziesii) chronologies from 122 locations that represent distinct climate environments in the western United States, we show that increased temperature decreases growth via vapor pressure deficit (VPD) across all latitudes. Using an ensemble of global circulation models, we project an increase in both the mean VPD associated with the lowest growth extremes and the probability of exceeding these VPD values. As temperature continues to increase in future decades, we can expect deficit-related stress to increase and consequently Douglas fir growth to decrease throughout its US range.' Author: 'Restaino, Christina M.; Peterson, David L.; Littell, Jeremy' DOI: 10.1073/pnas.1602384113 Date: 'August 23, 2016' Issue: 34 Journal: Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America Pages: 9557-9562 Title: Increased water deficit decreases Douglas fir growth throughout western US forests Volume: 113 Year: 2016 _record_number: 21169 _uuid: 779b7448-2f94-49da-b0ed-1877293b4bee reftype: Journal Article child_publication: /article/10.1073/pnas.1602384113 href: https://data.globalchange.gov/reference/779b7448-2f94-49da-b0ed-1877293b4bee.yaml identifier: 779b7448-2f94-49da-b0ed-1877293b4bee uri: /reference/779b7448-2f94-49da-b0ed-1877293b4bee - attrs: Author: 'Meerow, Sara; Newell, Joshua P.' DOI: 10.1016/j.landurbplan.2016.10.005 Date: 2017/03/01/ ISSN: 0169-2046 Journal: Landscape and Urban Planning Keywords: Green infrastructure; Ecosystem services; Resilience; Detroit; Spatial planning; Urban greening Pages: 62-75 Title: 'Spatial planning for multifunctional green infrastructure: Growing resilience in Detroit' Volume: 159 Year: 2017 _record_number: 26597 _uuid: 781c4f1b-e0ab-4fcd-b424-0f346d9af00a reftype: Journal Article child_publication: /article/10.1016/j.landurbplan.2016.10.005 href: https://data.globalchange.gov/reference/781c4f1b-e0ab-4fcd-b424-0f346d9af00a.yaml identifier: 781c4f1b-e0ab-4fcd-b424-0f346d9af00a uri: /reference/781c4f1b-e0ab-4fcd-b424-0f346d9af00a - attrs: .reference_type: 9 Date: December 2012 Editor: "Vose, J. M.\rPeterson, D.L.\rPatel-Weynand, T." Number of Pages: 265 Place Published: 'Portland, OR' Publisher: 'U.S. Department of Agriculture, Forest Service, Pacific Northwest Research Station' Title: 'Effects of Climatic Variability and Change on Forest Ecosystems: A Comprehensive Science Synthesis for the U.S. Forest Sector. General Technical Report PNW-GTR-870' URL: http://www.usda.gov/oce/climate_change/effects_2012/FS_Climate1114%20opt.pdf Year: 2012 _chapter: '["RF 10","Ch. 28: Adaptation FINAL","Ch. 17: Southeast and Caribbean FINAL","Ch. 7: Forests FINAL"]' _record_number: 3307 _uuid: 78f2cbd8-d8f2-4d99-abbd-017bad4d52f1 reftype: Edited Book child_publication: /report/usfs-pnw-gtr-870 href: https://data.globalchange.gov/reference/78f2cbd8-d8f2-4d99-abbd-017bad4d52f1.yaml identifier: 78f2cbd8-d8f2-4d99-abbd-017bad4d52f1 uri: /reference/78f2cbd8-d8f2-4d99-abbd-017bad4d52f1 - attrs: .reference_type: 7 Author: 'Allan, J. David; Margaret Palmer; N. Leroy Poff' Book Title: Climate Change and Biodiversity Editor: 'Lovejoy, Thomas E.; Hannah, Lee' ISBN: 978-0300119800 Pages: 274-290 Place Published: 'Ann Arbor, MI' Publisher: Yale University Press Title: Climate change and freshwater ecosystems Year: 2005 _record_number: 26623 _uuid: 793bb110-f9eb-43d2-a0bb-2898e426754d reftype: Book Section child_publication: /book/a8ea0339-22c2-48f7-ade1-0313028e645f href: https://data.globalchange.gov/reference/793bb110-f9eb-43d2-a0bb-2898e426754d.yaml identifier: 793bb110-f9eb-43d2-a0bb-2898e426754d uri: /reference/793bb110-f9eb-43d2-a0bb-2898e426754d - attrs: Abstract: "Traditional ecological knowledge (TEK) has been proposed as a basis for enhanced understanding of ecological systems and their management. TEK also can contribute to targeted inventories of resources not included in standard mensuration. We discuss the results of a cooperative effort between the Great Lakes Indian Fish and Wildlife Commission (GLIFWC) and USDA Forest Service's Forest Inventory and Analysis Program (FIA). At the urging of member tribes, GLIFWC staff worked with tribal gatherers to document TEK regarding desired characteristics of birch bark for traditional uses and translated this into an inventory field guide. The guide was provided to FIA, which incorporated the methods into its field manual and trained inventory crews in implementation of the protocol. Birch bark data were collected during three field seasons from 2004 to 2006. Results show birch bark supply has declined. Lessons learned from this multiyear, multistage project provide a model for future targeted inventory efforts." Author: 'Emery, Marla R.; Wrobel, Alexandra; Hansen, Mark H.; Dockry, Michael; Moser, W. Keith; Stark, Kekek Jason; Gilbert, Jonathan H.' DOI: 10.5849/jof.13-023 Date: // Issue: 2 Journal: Journal of Forestry Keywords: American Indians; Betula papyrifera; forest inventory and monitoring; nontimber forest products; traditional ecological knowledge Pages: 207-214 Title: 'Using traditional ecological knowledge as a basis for targeted forest inventories: Paper birch (Betula papyrifera) in the US Great Lakes region' Volume: 112 Year: 2014 _record_number: 21237 _uuid: 7ab64dd2-34e6-41b9-ae7d-af75fb48942f reftype: Journal Article child_publication: /article/10.5849/jof.13-023 href: https://data.globalchange.gov/reference/7ab64dd2-34e6-41b9-ae7d-af75fb48942f.yaml identifier: 7ab64dd2-34e6-41b9-ae7d-af75fb48942f uri: /reference/7ab64dd2-34e6-41b9-ae7d-af75fb48942f - attrs: .reference_type: 0 Author: "Pan, Z.\rAndrade, D.\rSegal, M.\rWimberley, J.\rMcKinney, N.\rTakle, E." DOI: 10.1016/j.ecolmodel.2009.11.013 ISSN: 0304-3800 Issue: 5 Journal: Ecological Modelling Pages: 876-881 Title: Uncertainty in future soil carbon trends at a central US site under an ensemble of GCM scenario climates Volume: 221 Year: 2010 _chapter: '["Ch. 6: Agriculture FINAL"]' _record_number: 2414 _uuid: 7ae7606e-7f35-456d-8ace-2456b176956b reftype: Journal Article child_publication: /article/10.1016/j.ecolmodel.2009.11.013 href: https://data.globalchange.gov/reference/7ae7606e-7f35-456d-8ace-2456b176956b.yaml identifier: 7ae7606e-7f35-456d-8ace-2456b176956b uri: /reference/7ae7606e-7f35-456d-8ace-2456b176956b - attrs: .reference_type: 10 Author: 'Leatherberry, Earl C.; Moser, W. Keith; Perry, Charles; Woodall, Christopher; Jepsen, Edward; Pennington, Steve; Flickinger, Aron.' Institution: 'U.S. Department of Agriculture, Forest Service, North Central Research Station' Pages: 84 Place Published: 'St. Paul, MN' Series Volume: Resource Bulletin NC-266A Title: Iowa’s Forests 1999-2003 (Part A) URL: https://www.nrs.fs.fed.us/pubs/rb/rb_nc266a.pdf Year: 2006 _record_number: 21271 _uuid: 7b27a46f-a250-442c-8fe1-1700b55adfd9 reftype: Report child_publication: /report/iowas-forests-1999-2003-part href: https://data.globalchange.gov/reference/7b27a46f-a250-442c-8fe1-1700b55adfd9.yaml identifier: 7b27a46f-a250-442c-8fe1-1700b55adfd9 uri: /reference/7b27a46f-a250-442c-8fe1-1700b55adfd9 - attrs: Author: 'Briley, Laura; Brown, Daniel; Kalafatis, Scott E.' DOI: 10.1016/j.crm.2015.04.004 Date: 2015/01/01/ ISSN: 2212-0963 Journal: Climate Risk Management Keywords: Climate change adaptation; Boundary organization; Information usability; Decision support Pages: 41-49 Title: Overcoming barriers during the co-production of climate information for decision-making Volume: 9 Year: 2015 _record_number: 21130 _uuid: 7b490de7-7bcd-4e31-b512-9deaa3a5eba7 reftype: Journal Article child_publication: /article/10.1016/j.crm.2015.04.004 href: https://data.globalchange.gov/reference/7b490de7-7bcd-4e31-b512-9deaa3a5eba7.yaml identifier: 7b490de7-7bcd-4e31-b512-9deaa3a5eba7 uri: /reference/7b490de7-7bcd-4e31-b512-9deaa3a5eba7 - attrs: Author: 'Magee, Madeline R.; McIntyre, Peter B.; Wu, Chin H.' DOI: 10.1139/cjfas-2017-0260 Date: 2018/08/01 ISSN: 0706-652X Issue: 8 Journal: Canadian Journal of Fisheries and Aquatic Sciences Pages: 1303-1312 Publisher: NRC Research Press Title: Modeling oxythermal stress for cool-water fishes in lakes using a cumulative dosage approach Volume: 75 Year: 2017 _record_number: 26596 _uuid: 7b8ff0c6-1f7b-4f8d-b899-a5b0427eccd3 reftype: Journal Article child_publication: /article/10.1139/cjfas-2017-0260 href: https://data.globalchange.gov/reference/7b8ff0c6-1f7b-4f8d-b899-a5b0427eccd3.yaml identifier: 7b8ff0c6-1f7b-4f8d-b899-a5b0427eccd3 uri: /reference/7b8ff0c6-1f7b-4f8d-b899-a5b0427eccd3 - attrs: .reference_type: 10 Author: 'Ozaukee Washington Land Trust,' Institution: Ozaukee Washington Land Trust Pages: 8 Place Published: 'West Bend, WI' Title: 'Open spaces: 2016 annual report' Year: 2016 _record_number: 21311 _uuid: 7badb8b5-90d3-4124-9b87-e79982c57c62 reftype: Report child_publication: /report/open-spaces-2016-annual-report href: https://data.globalchange.gov/reference/7badb8b5-90d3-4124-9b87-e79982c57c62.yaml identifier: 7badb8b5-90d3-4124-9b87-e79982c57c62 uri: /reference/7badb8b5-90d3-4124-9b87-e79982c57c62 - attrs: Abstract: 'Pollinators such as bees are essential to the functioning of terrestrial ecosystems. However, despite concerns about a global pollinator crisis, long-term data on the status of bee species are limited. We present a long-term study of relative rates of change for an entire regional bee fauna in the northeastern United States, based on >30,000 museum records representing 438 species. Over a 140-y period, aggregate native species richness weakly decreased, but richness declines were significant only for the genus Bombus. Of 187 native species analyzed individually, only three declined steeply, all of these in the genus Bombus. However, there were large shifts in community composition, as indicated by 56% of species showing significant changes in relative abundance over time. Traits associated with a declining relative abundance include small dietary and phenological breadth and large body size. In addition, species with lower latitudinal range boundaries are increasing in relative abundance, a finding that may represent a response to climate change. We show that despite marked increases in human population density and large changes in anthropogenic land use, aggregate native species richness declines were modest outside of the genus Bombus. At the same time, we find that certain ecological traits are associated with declines in relative abundance. These results should help target conservation efforts focused on maintaining native bee abundance and diversity and therefore the important ecosystems services that they provide.' Author: 'Bartomeus, I.; Ascher, J. S.; Gibbs, J.; Danforth, B. N.; Wagner, D. L.; Hedtke, S. M.; Winfree, R.' DOI: 10.1073/pnas.1218503110 Date: Mar 19 EPub Date: 2013/03/15 ISSN: "1091-6490 (Electronic)\r0027-8424 (Linking)" Issue: 12 Journal: Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America Keywords: 'Adaptation, Physiological; Animals; Bees/ physiology; Biodiversity; Humans; Pollination; Population Dynamics; United States' Language: eng Name of Database: ' ' PMCID: 3606985 Pages: 4656-4660 Title: Historical changes in northeastern US bee pollinators related to shared ecological traits Volume: 110 Year: 2013 _record_number: 4106 _uuid: 7cde5513-8e00-4645-80ec-d3c82b9f8984 reftype: Journal Article child_publication: /article/10.1073/pnas.1218503110 href: https://data.globalchange.gov/reference/7cde5513-8e00-4645-80ec-d3c82b9f8984.yaml identifier: 7cde5513-8e00-4645-80ec-d3c82b9f8984 uri: /reference/7cde5513-8e00-4645-80ec-d3c82b9f8984 - attrs: .reference_type: 10 Author: 'Stults, M.; Petersen, S.; Bell, J.; Baule, W.; Nasser, E.; Gibbons, E.; Fougerat, M.' Institution: 1854 Treaty Authority Pages: 146 Place Published: 'Duluth, MN' Title: 'Climate Change Vulnerability Assessment and Adaptation Plan: 1854 Ceded Territory Including the Bois Forte, Fond du Lac, and Grand Portage Reservations' URL: http://www.1854treatyauthority.org/images/ClimateAdaptationPlan_Final-July_2016-optimized(1).pdf Year: 2016 _record_number: 21276 _uuid: 7e39f05f-d63f-473a-87c3-93d733ea178b reftype: Report child_publication: /report/climate-change-vulnerability-assessment-adaptation-plan-1854-ceded-territory-including-bois-forte-fond-du-lac-grand-portage-reservations href: https://data.globalchange.gov/reference/7e39f05f-d63f-473a-87c3-93d733ea178b.yaml identifier: 7e39f05f-d63f-473a-87c3-93d733ea178b uri: /reference/7e39f05f-d63f-473a-87c3-93d733ea178b - attrs: Author: 'Petersen, Brian; Hall, Kimberly R.; Kahl, Katherine; Doran, Patrick J.' DOI: 10.1017/S1466046613000446 Date: 2013/12/01 ISSN: 1466-0466 Issue: 4 Journal: Environmental Practice Pages: 377-392 Publisher: Taylor & Francis Title: "Research articles: In their own words: Perceptions of climate change adaptation from the Great Lakes region's resource management community" Volume: 15 Year: 2013 _record_number: 21152 _uuid: 7eef3fed-521b-44d2-a567-628b92e45eaa reftype: Journal Article child_publication: /article/10.1017/S1466046613000446 href: https://data.globalchange.gov/reference/7eef3fed-521b-44d2-a567-628b92e45eaa.yaml identifier: 7eef3fed-521b-44d2-a567-628b92e45eaa uri: /reference/7eef3fed-521b-44d2-a567-628b92e45eaa - attrs: Abstract: 'Most Lyme disease cases in the Midwestern United States are reported in Minnesota and Wisconsin. In recent years, however, a widening geographic extent of Lyme disease has been noted with evidence of expansion eastwards into Michigan and neighboring states with historically low incidence rates.Methods.We collected confirmed and probable cases of Lyme disease from 2000 through 2014 from the Michigan Department of Health and Human Services, entering them in a geographic information system. We performed spatial focal cluster analyses to characterize Lyme disease expansion. We compared the distribution of human cases with recent Ixodes scapularis tick distribution studies.Results.Lyme disease cases in both the Upper and Lower Peninsulas of Michigan expanded more than 5-fold over the study period. Although increases were seen throughout the Upper Peninsula, the Lower Peninsula particularly expanded along the Indiana border north along the eastern shore of Lake Michigan. Human cases corresponded to a simultaneous expansion in established I scapularis tick populations.Conclusions.The geographic distribution of Lyme disease cases significantly expanded in Michigan between 2000 and 2014, particularly northward along the Lake Michigan shore. If such dynamic trends continue, Michigan—and possibly neighboring areas of Indiana, Ohio, and Ontario, Canada—can expect a continued increase in Lyme disease cases.' Author: 'Lantos, Paul M.; Tsao, Jean; Nigrovic, Lise E.; Auwaerter, Paul G.; Fowler, Vance G.; Ruffin, Felicia; Foster, Erik; Hickling, Graham' DOI: 10.1093/ofid/ofw269 Issue: 1 Journal: Open Forum Infectious Diseases Pages: Art. ofw269 Title: 'Geographic expansion of Lyme disease in Michigan, 2000–2014' Volume: 4 Year: 2017 _record_number: 21290 _uuid: 7f78088e-7e0d-429b-ba67-eeaac737f8fa reftype: Journal Article child_publication: /article/10.1093/ofid/ofw269 href: https://data.globalchange.gov/reference/7f78088e-7e0d-429b-ba67-eeaac737f8fa.yaml identifier: 7f78088e-7e0d-429b-ba67-eeaac737f8fa uri: /reference/7f78088e-7e0d-429b-ba67-eeaac737f8fa - attrs: Author: 'Heltberg, Rasmus; Siegel, Paul Bennett; Jorgensen, Steen Lau' DOI: 10.1016/j.gloenvcha.2008.11.003 Date: 2009/02/01/ ISSN: 0959-3780 Issue: 1 Journal: Global Environmental Change Keywords: Adaptation; Climate change; Social risk management; Vulnerability; No-regrets Pages: 89-99 Title: 'Addressing human vulnerability to climate change: Toward a "no-regrets" approach' Volume: 19 Year: 2009 _record_number: 21139 _uuid: 7fb36681-5694-4e74-93ec-65a153a17572 reftype: Journal Article child_publication: /article/10.1016/j.gloenvcha.2008.11.003 href: https://data.globalchange.gov/reference/7fb36681-5694-4e74-93ec-65a153a17572.yaml identifier: 7fb36681-5694-4e74-93ec-65a153a17572 uri: /reference/7fb36681-5694-4e74-93ec-65a153a17572 - attrs: Abstract: 'The sea lamprey Petromyzon marinus (Linnaeus) is both an invasive non-native species in the Laurentian Great Lakes of North America and an imperiled species in much of its native range in North America and Europe. To compare and contrast how understanding of population ecology is useful for control programs in the Great Lakes and restoration programs in Europe, we review current understanding of the population ecology of the sea lamprey in its native and introduced range. Some attributes of sea lamprey population ecology are particularly useful for both control programs in the Great Lakes and restoration programs in the native range. First, traps within fish ladders are beneficial for removing sea lampreys in Great Lakes streams and passing sea lampreys in the native range. Second, attractants and repellants are suitable for luring sea lampreys into traps for control in the Great Lakes and guiding sea lamprey passage for conservation in the native range. Third, assessment methods used for targeting sea lamprey control in the Great Lakes are useful for targeting habitat protection in the native range. Last, assessment methods used to quantify numbers of all life stages of sea lampreys would be appropriate for measuring success of control in the Great Lakes and success of conservation in the native range.' Author: 'Hansen, Michael J.; Madenjian, Charles P.; Slade, Jeffrey W.; Steeves, Todd B.; Almeida, Pedro R.; Quintella, Bernardo R.' DOI: 10.1007/s11160-016-9440-3 Date: September 01 ISSN: 1573-5184 Issue: 3 Journal: Reviews in Fish Biology and Fisheries Pages: 509-535 Title: Population ecology of the sea lamprey (Petromyzon marinus) as an invasive species in the Laurentian Great Lakes and an imperiled species in Europe Type of Article: journal article Volume: 26 Year: 2016 _record_number: 21121 _uuid: 7ff44a61-b6b5-4e65-9cdc-6b4d8265bf82 reftype: Journal Article child_publication: /article/10.1007/s11160-016-9440-3 href: https://data.globalchange.gov/reference/7ff44a61-b6b5-4e65-9cdc-6b4d8265bf82.yaml identifier: 7ff44a61-b6b5-4e65-9cdc-6b4d8265bf82 uri: /reference/7ff44a61-b6b5-4e65-9cdc-6b4d8265bf82 - attrs: Author: 'Kelly, Sara A.; Takbiri, Zeinab; Belmont, Patrick; Foufoula-Georgiou, Efi' DOI: 10.5194/hess-21-5065-2017 ISSN: 1607-7938 Issue: 10 Journal: Hydrology and Earth System Sciences Pages: 5065-5088 Publisher: Copernicus Publications Title: Human amplified changes in precipitation–runoff patterns in large river basins of the Midwestern United States Volume: 21 Year: 2017 _record_number: 26585 _uuid: 80341782-104c-4415-8650-70dd485b2246 reftype: Journal Article child_publication: /article/10.5194/hess-21-5065-2017 href: https://data.globalchange.gov/reference/80341782-104c-4415-8650-70dd485b2246.yaml identifier: 80341782-104c-4415-8650-70dd485b2246 uri: /reference/80341782-104c-4415-8650-70dd485b2246 - attrs: Abstract: 'Flooding in the Mississippi basin has become increasingly uncertain, and a succession of progressively higher, peak annual water levels is observed at many sites. Many record levels set in the central USA by the huge 1993 flood have already been superseded. Methodology developed elsewhere that recognizes trends of river stages is used to estimate present-day flood risk at 27 sites in the Mississippi basin that have >100 years of continuous stage record. Unlike official estimates that are fundamentally based on discharge, this methodology requires only data on river stage. A novel plot linearizes the official flood levels that are indirectly derived from the complex, discharge-based calculations and demonstrates that the neglect of trends has resulted in the effective use of undersized means and standard deviations in flood risk analysis. A severe consequence is that official “base flood” levels are underestimated by 0.4 to 2 m at many sites in the central USA.' Author: 'Criss, Robert E.; Luo, Mingming' DOI: 10.1002/hyp.11097 Issue: 6 Journal: Hydrological Processes Pages: 1283-1292 Title: Increasing risk and uncertainty of flooding in the Mississippi River basin Volume: 31 Year: 2017 _record_number: 26563 _uuid: 80446a6f-156b-48ee-9b50-faabef3a1e52 reftype: Journal Article child_publication: /article/10.1002/hyp.11097 href: https://data.globalchange.gov/reference/80446a6f-156b-48ee-9b50-faabef3a1e52.yaml identifier: 80446a6f-156b-48ee-9b50-faabef3a1e52 uri: /reference/80446a6f-156b-48ee-9b50-faabef3a1e52 - attrs: .reference_type: 16 Author: 'NCGA,' Place Published: 'Chesterfield, MO' Publisher: National Corn Growers Association (NCGA) Title: 'Soil Health Partnership [web page]' URL: https://www.soilhealthpartnership.org/ Year: 2018 _record_number: 26609 _uuid: 80f7a770-614e-4190-a3d5-9d860c4011f3 reftype: Web Page child_publication: /webpage/1b0315e4-0fc4-4663-955e-54d6051dfc80 href: https://data.globalchange.gov/reference/80f7a770-614e-4190-a3d5-9d860c4011f3.yaml identifier: 80f7a770-614e-4190-a3d5-9d860c4011f3 uri: /reference/80f7a770-614e-4190-a3d5-9d860c4011f3 - attrs: .reference_type: 10 Author: 'Brubaker, Michael; Bell, Jake; Berner, James; Black, Mike; Chaven, Raj; Smith, Jeff; Warren, John' Institution: Alaska Native Tribal Health Consortium Pages: 54 Place Published: 'Anchorage, AK' Title: 'Climate Change in Noatak, Alaska: Strategies for Community Health' URL: https://anthc.org/wp-content/uploads/2016/01/CCH_AR_062011_Climate-Change-in-Noatak.pdf Year: 2011 _record_number: 26556 _uuid: 82e085fc-01f9-4484-a006-e4137793c49a reftype: Report child_publication: /report/climate-change-noatak-alaska-strategies-community-health href: https://data.globalchange.gov/reference/82e085fc-01f9-4484-a006-e4137793c49a.yaml identifier: 82e085fc-01f9-4484-a006-e4137793c49a uri: /reference/82e085fc-01f9-4484-a006-e4137793c49a - attrs: Abstract: 'Maize (Zea mays L.) and soybean (Glycine max (L.) Merr.) are the dominant grain crops across the Midwest and are grown on 75% of the arable land with small but economically important crops of wheat (Triticum aestivum L.) and oats (Avena sativa L.) but economically important crops. Historically, there have been variations in annual yields for maize and soybean related to the seasonal weather patterns. Key concerns are the impacts of future climate change on maize and soybean production and their vulnerability to future climate changes. To evaluate these, we analyzed the yield gaps as the difference between the attainable and actual yield at the county level and observed meteorological data to determine which seasonal meteorological variables were dominant in quantifying the actual/attainable yields. July maximum temperatures, August minimum temperatures, and July–August total precipitation were found to be the significant factors affecting the yield gap. These relationships were used to estimate the change in the yield gap through 2100 using both the RCP 4.5 and 8.5 climate scenarios for these variables for selected counties across the Midwest. Yield gaps increased with time for maize across the Midwest with the largest increases in the southern portion of the Corn Belt showing a large north-south gradient in the increase of the yield gap and minimal east-west gradient. Soybean was not as sensitive as maize because the projected temperatures do not exceed optimum temperature ranges for growth and reductions in production that are more sensitive to precipitation changes during the reproductive stages. Adaptation strategies for maize and soybean will require more innovation than simple agronomic management and require the linkage between geneticists, agronomists, and agricultural meteorologists to develop innovative strategies to preserve production in the Midwest.' Author: 'Hatfield, J. L.; Wright-Morton, Lois; Hall, Beth' DOI: 10.1007/s10584-017-1997-x Date: June 12 ISSN: 1573-1480 Issue: 1-2 Journal: Climatic Change Pages: 263-275 Title: Vulnerability of grain crops and croplands in the Midwest to climatic variability and adaptation strategies Type of Article: journal article Volume: 146 Year: 2018 _record_number: 23530 _uuid: 83a3b10a-7eeb-4b2e-a3c0-4cf8fb10de7a reftype: Journal Article child_publication: /article/10.1007/s10584-017-1997-x href: https://data.globalchange.gov/reference/83a3b10a-7eeb-4b2e-a3c0-4cf8fb10de7a.yaml identifier: 83a3b10a-7eeb-4b2e-a3c0-4cf8fb10de7a uri: /reference/83a3b10a-7eeb-4b2e-a3c0-4cf8fb10de7a - attrs: Author: 'Kousky, Carolyn' DOI: 10.1080/19390459.2010.511451 Date: 2010/10/18 ISSN: 1939-0459 Issue: 4 Journal: Journal of Natural Resources Policy Research Pages: 343-356 Publisher: Routledge Title: Using natural capital to reduce disaster risk Volume: 2 Year: 2010 _record_number: 21175 _uuid: 83cb3cb9-c2e7-4199-8bb4-b67cd8884512 reftype: Journal Article child_publication: /article/10.1080/19390459.2010.511451 href: https://data.globalchange.gov/reference/83cb3cb9-c2e7-4199-8bb4-b67cd8884512.yaml identifier: 83cb3cb9-c2e7-4199-8bb4-b67cd8884512 uri: /reference/83cb3cb9-c2e7-4199-8bb4-b67cd8884512 - attrs: Abstract: 'U.S. hourly surface observations are examined at 145 stations to identify annual and seasonal changes in temperature, dewpoint, relative humidity, and specific humidity since 1930. Because of numerous systematic instrument changes that have occurred, a homogeneity assessment was performed on temperatures and dewpoints. Dewpoints contained higher breakpoint detection rates associated with instrumentation changes than did temperatures. Temperature trends were tempered by adjusting the data, whereas dewpoints were unaffected. The effects were the same whether the adjustments were based on statistically detected or fixed-year breakpoints. Average long-term trends (1930–2010) indicate that temperature has warmed but that little change has occurred in dewpoint and specific humidity. Warming is strongest in spring. There is evidence of inhomogeneity in the relative humidity record that primarily affects data from prior to 1950. Therefore, long-term decreases in relative humidity, which are strongest in winter, need to be viewed with caution. Trends since 1947 indicate that the warming of temperatures has coincided with increases in dewpoints and a moistening of specific humidity. This moistening is especially pronounced during the summer in the Midwest. For the nation, trends in relative humidity show little change for the period 1947–2010, during which these data are more homogeneous. Moistening has occurred throughout the central United States while other regions have experienced drying. Urban-related warming and drying trends are present in the data, but their effect is minimal. Regional changes in land use and moisture availability are likely influencing trends in atmospheric moisture.' Author: 'Brown, Paula J.; Arthur T. DeGaetano' DOI: 10.1175/jamc-d-12-035.1 Issue: 1 Journal: Journal of Applied Meteorology and Climatology Keywords: 'Climate change,Surface temperature,Water vapor' Pages: 147-163 Title: 'Trends in U.S. surface humidity, 1930–2010' Volume: 52 Year: 2013 _record_number: 21201 _uuid: 83d23b83-2a04-4a6b-bdfa-caa8b54b1ccf reftype: Journal Article child_publication: /article/10.1175/jamc-d-12-035.1 href: https://data.globalchange.gov/reference/83d23b83-2a04-4a6b-bdfa-caa8b54b1ccf.yaml identifier: 83d23b83-2a04-4a6b-bdfa-caa8b54b1ccf uri: /reference/83d23b83-2a04-4a6b-bdfa-caa8b54b1ccf