--- - attrs: Author: 'Kaiser-Bunbury, Christopher N.; Mougal, James; Whittington, Andrew E.; Valentin, Terence; Gabriel, Ronny; Olesen, Jens M.; Blüthgen, Nico' DOI: 10.1038/nature21071 Date: 01/30/online Journal: Nature Pages: 223-227 Publisher: 'Macmillan Publishers Limited, part of Springer Nature. All rights reserved.' Title: Ecosystem restoration strengthens pollination network resilience and function Volume: 542 Year: 2017 _record_number: 26584 _uuid: 28f14838-e631-417c-9e51-7b1dadf7c17d reftype: Journal Article child_publication: /article/10.1038/nature21071 href: https://data.globalchange.gov/reference/28f14838-e631-417c-9e51-7b1dadf7c17d.yaml identifier: 28f14838-e631-417c-9e51-7b1dadf7c17d uri: /reference/28f14838-e631-417c-9e51-7b1dadf7c17d - attrs: .reference_type: 63 Author: 'U.S. Bureau of Economic Analysis,' Date: 11 May 2017 Number of Pages: 13 Place Published: 'Washington, DC' Publisher: U.S. Department of Commerce Secondary Title: BEA 17-22 Title: 'Gross Domestic Product by State: Fourth Quarter and Annual 2016' URL: https://bea.gov/newsreleases/regional/gdp_state/2017/pdf/qgsp0517.pdf Year: 2017 _record_number: 21249 _uuid: 2941609e-203a-445a-994a-2c92ec14c289 reftype: Press Release child_publication: /generic/2920ea28-7af7-41bc-a64c-71bd349840bf href: https://data.globalchange.gov/reference/2941609e-203a-445a-994a-2c92ec14c289.yaml identifier: 2941609e-203a-445a-994a-2c92ec14c289 uri: /reference/2941609e-203a-445a-994a-2c92ec14c289 - attrs: Abstract: 'Climate change is predicted to become a major threat to biodiversity in the 21st century, but accurate predictions and effective solutions have proved difficult to formulate. Alarming predictions have come from a rather narrow methodological base, but a new, integrated science of climate-change biodiversity assessment is emerging, based on multiple sources and approaches. Drawing on evidence from paleoecological observations, recent phenological and microevolutionary responses, experiments, and computational models, we review the insights that different approaches bring to anticipating and managing the biodiversity consequences of climate change, including the extent of species’ natural resilience. We introduce a framework that uses information from different sources to identify vulnerability and to support the design of conservation responses. Although much of the information reviewed is on species, our framework and conclusions are also applicable to ecosystems, habitats, ecological communities, and genetic diversity, whether terrestrial, marine, or fresh water.' Author: 'Dawson, Terence P.; Jackson, Stephen T.; House, Joanna I.; Prentice, Iain Colin; Mace, Georgina M.' DOI: 10.1126/science.1200303 Issue: 6025 Journal: Science Pages: 53-58 Title: 'Beyond predictions: Biodiversity conservation in a changing climate' Volume: 332 Year: 2011 _record_number: 21195 _uuid: 294d545f-948a-4185-bc4a-393f35cc4e0c reftype: Journal Article child_publication: /article/10.1126/science.1200303 href: https://data.globalchange.gov/reference/294d545f-948a-4185-bc4a-393f35cc4e0c.yaml identifier: 294d545f-948a-4185-bc4a-393f35cc4e0c uri: /reference/294d545f-948a-4185-bc4a-393f35cc4e0c - attrs: Author: 'Schauberger, Bernhard; Archontoulis, Sotirios; Arneth, Almut; Balkovic, Juraj; Ciais, Philippe; Deryng, Delphine; Elliott, Joshua; Folberth, Christian; Khabarov, Nikolay; Müller, Christoph; Pugh, Thomas A. M.; Rolinski, Susanne; Schaphoff, Sibyll; Schmid, Erwin; Wang, Xuhui; Schlenker, Wolfram; Frieler, Katja' DOI: 10.1038/ncomms13931 Date: 01/19/online Journal: Nature Communications Pages: 13931 Publisher: The Author(s) Title: Consistent negative response of US crops to high temperatures in observations and crop models Type of Article: Article Volume: 8 Year: 2017 _record_number: 21163 _uuid: 2967c8a9-063e-4118-92a4-71f266341e2f reftype: Journal Article child_publication: /article/10.1038/ncomms13931 href: https://data.globalchange.gov/reference/2967c8a9-063e-4118-92a4-71f266341e2f.yaml identifier: 2967c8a9-063e-4118-92a4-71f266341e2f uri: /reference/2967c8a9-063e-4118-92a4-71f266341e2f - attrs: .reference_type: 7 Author: 'Vose, R.S.; D.R. Easterling; K.E. Kunkel; A.N. LeGrande; M.F. Wehner' Book Title: 'Climate Science Special Report: Fourth National Climate Assessment, Volume I' DOI: 10.7930/J0N29V45 Editor: 'Wuebbles, D.J.; D.W. Fahey; K.A. Hibbard; D.J. Dokken; B.C. Stewart; T.K. Maycock' Pages: 185-206 Place Published: 'Washington, DC, USA' Publisher: U.S. Global Change Research Program Title: Temperature Changes in the United States Year: 2017 _record_number: 21564 _uuid: 29960c69-6168-4fb0-9af0-d50bdd91acd3 reftype: Book Section child_publication: /report/climate-science-special-report/chapter/temperature-change href: https://data.globalchange.gov/reference/29960c69-6168-4fb0-9af0-d50bdd91acd3.yaml identifier: 29960c69-6168-4fb0-9af0-d50bdd91acd3 uri: /reference/29960c69-6168-4fb0-9af0-d50bdd91acd3 - attrs: .reference_type: 10 Author: 'Cameron, Lorraine; Ferguson, Aaron; Walker, Robert; Briley, Laura; Brown, Daniel' Institution: Michigan Department of Health & Human Services Pages: 97 Place Published: 'Lansing, MI' Title: "Michigan climate and health profile report 2015: Building resilience against climate effects on Michigan's health" URL: http://www.michigan.gov/documents/mdhhs/MI_Climate_and_Health_Profile_517517_7.pdf Year: 2015 _record_number: 21287 _uuid: 2a412bb3-bcc0-47f7-aef0-5c098c61ffa5 reftype: Report child_publication: /report/michigan-climate-health-profile-report-2015-building-resilience-against-climate-effects-on-michigans-health href: https://data.globalchange.gov/reference/2a412bb3-bcc0-47f7-aef0-5c098c61ffa5.yaml identifier: 2a412bb3-bcc0-47f7-aef0-5c098c61ffa5 uri: /reference/2a412bb3-bcc0-47f7-aef0-5c098c61ffa5 - attrs: Abstract: 'Excess nitrogen (N) impairs inland water quality and creates hypoxia in coastal ecosystems. Agriculture is the primary source of N; agricultural management and hydrology together control aquatic ecosystem N loading. Future N loading will be determined by how agriculture and hydrology intersect with climate change, yet the interactions between changing climate and water quality remain poorly understood. Here, we show that changing precipitation patterns, resulting from climate change, interact with agricultural land use to deteriorate water quality. We focus on the 2012–2013 Midwestern U.S. drought as a “natural experiment”. The transition from drought conditions in 2012 to a wet spring in 2013 was abrupt; the media dubbed this “weather whiplash”. We use recent (2010–2015) and historical data (1950–2015) to connect weather whiplash (drought-to-flood transitions) to increases in riverine N loads and concentrations. The drought likely created highly N-enriched soils; this excess N mobilized during heavy spring rains (2013), resulting in a 34% increase (10.5 vs. 7.8 mg N L−1) in the flow-weighted mean annual nitrate concentration compared to recent years. Furthermore, we show that climate change will likely intensify weather whiplash. Increased weather whiplash will, in part, increase the frequency of riverine N exceeding E.P.A. drinking water standards. Thus, our observations suggest increased climatic variation will amplify negative trends in water quality in a region already grappling with severe impairments.' Author: 'Loecke, Terrance D.; Burgin, Amy J.; Riveros-Iregui, Diego A.; Ward, Adam S.; Thomas, Steven A.; Davis, Caroline A.; Clair, Martin A. St.' DOI: 10.1007/s10533-017-0315-z Date: March 01 ISSN: 1573-515X Issue: 1 Journal: Biogeochemistry Pages: 7-15 Title: Weather whiplash in agricultural regions drives deterioration of water quality Type of Article: journal article Volume: 133 Year: 2017 _record_number: 21115 _uuid: 2ba3b30d-3093-4eb1-98e3-3f59a751b764 reftype: Journal Article child_publication: /article/10.1007/s10533-017-0315-z href: https://data.globalchange.gov/reference/2ba3b30d-3093-4eb1-98e3-3f59a751b764.yaml identifier: 2ba3b30d-3093-4eb1-98e3-3f59a751b764 uri: /reference/2ba3b30d-3093-4eb1-98e3-3f59a751b764 - attrs: Abstract: 'Past attempts to estimate rainfall-driven flood risk across the US either have incomplete coverage, coarse resolution or use overly simplified models of the flooding process. In this paper, we use a new 30 m resolution model of the entire conterminous US with a 2D representation of flood physics to produce estimates of flood hazard, which match to within 90% accuracy the skill of local models built with detailed data. These flood depths are combined with exposure datasets of commensurate resolution to calculate current and future flood risk. Our data show that the total US population exposed to serious flooding is 2.6–3.1 times higher than previous estimates, and that nearly 41 million Americans live within the 1% annual exceedance probability floodplain (compared to only 13 million when calculated using FEMA flood maps). We find that population and GDP growth alone are expected to lead to significant future increases in exposure, and this change may be exacerbated in the future by climate change.' Author: 'Wing, Oliver E. J.; Paul D. Bates; Andrew M. Smith; Christopher C. Sampson; Kris A. Johnson; Joseph Fargione; Philip Morefield' DOI: 10.1088/1748-9326/aaac65 ISSN: 1748-9326 Issue: 3 Journal: Environmental Research Letters Pages: 034023 Title: Estimates of present and future flood risk in the conterminous United States Volume: 13 Year: 2018 _record_number: 26620 _uuid: 2c728c37-ab8c-4270-9b27-68cb2a47b1b5 reftype: Journal Article child_publication: /article/10.1088/1748-9326/aaac65 href: https://data.globalchange.gov/reference/2c728c37-ab8c-4270-9b27-68cb2a47b1b5.yaml identifier: 2c728c37-ab8c-4270-9b27-68cb2a47b1b5 uri: /reference/2c728c37-ab8c-4270-9b27-68cb2a47b1b5 - attrs: .reference_type: 0 Abstract: 'A fundamental aspect of climate change is the potential shifts in flowering phenology and pollen initiation associated with milder winters and warmer seasonal air temperature. Earlier floral anthesis has been suggested, in turn, to have a role in human disease by increasing time of exposure to pollen that causes allergic rhinitis and related asthma. However, earlier floral initiation does not necessarily alter the temporal duration of the pollen season, and, to date, no consistent continental trend in pollen season length has been demonstrated. Here we report that duration of the ragweed (Ambrosia spp.) pollen season has been increasing in recent decades as a function of latitude in North America. Latitudinal effects on increasing season length were associated primarily with a delay in first frost of the fall season and lengthening of the frost free period. Overall, these data indicate a significant increase in the length of the ragweed pollen season by as much as 13-27 d at latitudes above similar to 44 degrees N since 1995. This is consistent with recent Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change projections regarding enhanced warming as a function of latitude. If similar warming trends accompany long-term climate change, greater exposure times to seasonal allergens may occur with subsequent effects on public health.' Accession Number: ISI:000288120400079 Alternate Journal: P Natl Acad Sci USA Author: "Ziska, L.\rKnowlton, K.\rRogers, C.\rDalan, D.\rTierney, N.\rElder, M. A.\rFilley, W.\rShropshire, J.\rFord, L. B.\rHedberg, C.\rFleetwood, P.\rHovanky, K. T.\rKavanaugh, T.\rFulford, G.\rVrtis, R. F.\rPatz, J. A.\rPortnoy, J.\rCoates, F.\rBielory, L.\rFrenz, D." Author Address: 'Ziska, L; ARS, Crop Syst & Global Change Lab, USDA, Beltsville, MD 20705 USA; ARS, Crop Syst & Global Change Lab, USDA, Beltsville, MD 20705 USA; ARS, Crop Syst & Global Change Lab, USDA, Beltsville, MD 20705 USA; Columbia Univ, Mailman Sch Publ Hlth, Hlth & Environm Program, Nat Resources Def Council, New York, NY 10032 USA; Columbia Univ, Mailman Sch Publ Hlth, Dept Environm Hlth Sci, New York, NY 10032 USA; Univ Massachusetts, Amherst, MA 01003 USA; Allergy & Asthma Care Ctr, Fargo, ND 58103 USA; Allergy & Asthma Specialists, Minneapolis, MN 55402 USA; Oklahoma Allergy & Asthma Clin, Oklahoma City, OK 73104 USA; Ctr Asthma & Allergy, Omaha, NE 68123 USA; Hedberg Allergy & Asthma Ctr, Rogers, AR 72758 USA; Allergy & Asthma Ctr Georgetown, Georgetown, TX 78628 USA; Allergy Associates, La Crosse, WI 54602 USA; Univ Wisconsin, Nelson Inst Environm Studies, Madison, WI 53706 USA; Univ Wisconsin, Dept Populat Hlth Sci, Madison, WI 53706 USA; Univ Missouri, Sch Med, Childrens Mercy Hosp, Sect Allergy Asthma & Immunol, Kansas City, MO 64108 USA; Aerobiol Res Labs, Nepean, ON K2E 7Y5, Canada; Rutgers State Univ, Ctr Environm Predict, New Brunswick, NJ 08901 USA; HealthE Care Syst, St Paul, MN 55102 USA' DOI: 10.1073/pnas.1014107108 Date: Mar 8 ISSN: 0027-8424 Issue: 10 Journal: Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America Keywords: aerobiology; allergies; global warming; ambrosia-artemisiifolia l.; climate-change; common ragweed; public-health; united-states; aeroallergens; allergy; urbanization; temperatures; counts Language: English Notes: 731PA; Times Cited:9; Cited References Count:34 Pages: 4248-4251 Title: Recent warming by latitude associated with increased length of ragweed pollen season in central North America URL: http://www.pnas.org/content/108/10/4248.full.pdf+html Volume: 108 Year: 2011 _chapter: '["Ch. 9: Human Health FINAL","Ch. 16: Northeast FINAL","Ch. 19: Great Plains FINAL","Ch. 2: Our Changing Climate FINAL","Overview","RF 1","Ch. 18: Midwest FINAL"]' _record_number: 3557 _uuid: 2d1ffd71-6c31-4d2e-9867-bdf330be45c1 reftype: Journal Article child_publication: /article/10.1073/pnas.1014107108 href: https://data.globalchange.gov/reference/2d1ffd71-6c31-4d2e-9867-bdf330be45c1.yaml identifier: 2d1ffd71-6c31-4d2e-9867-bdf330be45c1 uri: /reference/2d1ffd71-6c31-4d2e-9867-bdf330be45c1 - attrs: Abstract: 'Responses to climate change have been observed across many species. There is a general trend for species to shift their ranges poleward or up in elevation. Not all species, however, can make such shifts, and these species might experience more rapid declines. Kerr et al. looked at data on bumblebees across North America and Europe over the past 110 years. Bumblebees have not shifted northward and are experiencing shrinking distributions in the southern ends of their range. Such failures to shift may be because of their origins in a cooler climate, and suggest an elevated susceptibility to rapid climate change.Science, this issue p. 177For many species, geographical ranges are expanding toward the poles in response to climate change, while remaining stable along range edges nearest the equator. Using long-term observations across Europe and North America over 110 years, we tested for climate change–related range shifts in bumblebee species across the full extents of their latitudinal and thermal limits and movements along elevation gradients. We found cross-continentally consistent trends in failures to track warming through time at species’ northern range limits, range losses from southern range limits, and shifts to higher elevations among southern species. These effects are independent of changing land uses or pesticide applications and underscore the need to test for climate impacts at both leading and trailing latitudinal and thermal limits for species.' Author: 'Kerr, Jeremy T.; Pindar, Alana; Galpern, Paul; Packer, Laurence; Potts, Simon G.; Roberts, Stuart M.; Rasmont, Pierre; Schweiger, Oliver; Colla, Sheila R.; Richardson, Leif L.; Wagner, David L.; Gall, Lawrence F.; Sikes, Derek S.; Pantoja, Alberto' DOI: 10.1126/science.aaa7031 Issue: 6244 Journal: Science Pages: 177-180 Title: Climate change impacts on bumblebees converge across continents Volume: 349 Year: 2015 _record_number: 26586 _uuid: 2d8993e4-2b69-4ae5-830d-41e07decfb12 reftype: Journal Article child_publication: /article/10.1126/science.aaa7031 href: https://data.globalchange.gov/reference/2d8993e4-2b69-4ae5-830d-41e07decfb12.yaml identifier: 2d8993e4-2b69-4ae5-830d-41e07decfb12 uri: /reference/2d8993e4-2b69-4ae5-830d-41e07decfb12 - attrs: Author: 'Norton, Richard K.; Nina P. David; Stephen Buckman; Patricia D. Koman' DOI: 10.1016/j.landusepol.2017.11.049 Journal: Land Use Policy Pages: 183-203 Title: 'Overlooking the coast: Limited local planning for coastal area management along Michigan’s Great Lakes' Volume: 71 Year: 2018 _record_number: 21285 _uuid: 2e355af9-a451-4abc-9874-4b96e7866e34 reftype: Journal Article child_publication: /article/10.1016/j.landusepol.2017.11.049 href: https://data.globalchange.gov/reference/2e355af9-a451-4abc-9874-4b96e7866e34.yaml identifier: 2e355af9-a451-4abc-9874-4b96e7866e34 uri: /reference/2e355af9-a451-4abc-9874-4b96e7866e34 - attrs: .reference_type: 10 Author: 'City of Chicago,' Pages: 44 Title: Green Stormwater Infrastructure Strategy URL: https://www.cityofchicago.org/content/dam/city/progs/env/ChicagoGreenStormwaterInfrastructureStrategy.pdf Year: 2014 _record_number: 26560 _uuid: 2ed3cfa2-6661-492b-be97-bea100a48d41 reftype: Report child_publication: /report/green-stormwater-infrastructure-strategy href: https://data.globalchange.gov/reference/2ed3cfa2-6661-492b-be97-bea100a48d41.yaml identifier: 2ed3cfa2-6661-492b-be97-bea100a48d41 uri: /reference/2ed3cfa2-6661-492b-be97-bea100a48d41 - attrs: Author: 'Henstra, Daniel' DOI: 10.1080/13876988.2012.665215 Date: 2012/04/01 ISSN: 1387-6988 Issue: 2 Journal: 'Journal of Comparative Policy Analysis: Research and Practice' Pages: 175-194 Publisher: Routledge Title: 'Toward the climate-resilient city: Extreme weather and urban climate adaptation policies in two Canadian provinces' Volume: 14 Year: 2012 _record_number: 21174 _uuid: 2f60bab7-0e45-4743-b83c-5f93dd3c7dd3 reftype: Journal Article child_publication: /article/10.1080/13876988.2012.665215 href: https://data.globalchange.gov/reference/2f60bab7-0e45-4743-b83c-5f93dd3c7dd3.yaml identifier: 2f60bab7-0e45-4743-b83c-5f93dd3c7dd3 uri: /reference/2f60bab7-0e45-4743-b83c-5f93dd3c7dd3 - attrs: Author: "Madenjian, Charles P.; O'Gorman, Robert; Bunnell, David B.; Argyle, Ray L.; Roseman, Edward F.; Warner, David M.; Stockwell, Jason D.; Stapanian, Martin A." DOI: 10.1577/M07-012.1 Date: 2008/02/01 ISSN: 0275-5947 Issue: 1 Journal: North American Journal of Fisheries Management Pages: 263-282 Publisher: Taylor & Francis Title: Adverse effects of alewives on Laurentian Great Lakes fish communities Volume: 28 Year: 2008 _record_number: 21217 _uuid: 2fa8c165-f92b-4a65-be00-6701d05b83d9 reftype: Journal Article child_publication: /article/10.1577/M07-012.1 href: https://data.globalchange.gov/reference/2fa8c165-f92b-4a65-be00-6701d05b83d9.yaml identifier: 2fa8c165-f92b-4a65-be00-6701d05b83d9 uri: /reference/2fa8c165-f92b-4a65-be00-6701d05b83d9 - attrs: Author: 'Samples, Amy' DOI: 10.3998/mjs.12333712.0003.004 Journal: Michigan Journal of Sustainability Pages: 65-72 Title: Engaging marina and harbor operators in climate adaptation Volume: 3 Year: 2015 _record_number: 21230 _uuid: 30188288-dfb2-45c9-b6f6-3d70455a6f28 reftype: Journal Article child_publication: /article/10.3998/mjs.12333712.0003.004 href: https://data.globalchange.gov/reference/30188288-dfb2-45c9-b6f6-3d70455a6f28.yaml identifier: 30188288-dfb2-45c9-b6f6-3d70455a6f28 uri: /reference/30188288-dfb2-45c9-b6f6-3d70455a6f28 - attrs: .reference_type: 10 Author: 'IPBES,' Institution: Intergovernmental Science-Policy Platform on Biodiversity and Ecosystem Services (IPBES) Notes: 'ISBN: 978-92-807-3567-3' Pages: 502 Place Published: 'Bonn, Germany' Series Editor: 'Potts, Simon G.; Imperatriz-Fonseca, Vera; Ngo, Hien T.' Title: 'The Assessment Report on Pollinators, Pollination and Food Production' URL: https://www.ipbes.net/sites/default/files/downloads/pdf/individual_chapters_pollination_20170305.pdf Year: 2017 _record_number: 26577 _uuid: 3224ad08-bbf9-4f0d-a118-2b0ba9a23282 reftype: Report child_publication: /report/assessment-report-on-pollinators-pollination-food-production href: https://data.globalchange.gov/reference/3224ad08-bbf9-4f0d-a118-2b0ba9a23282.yaml identifier: 3224ad08-bbf9-4f0d-a118-2b0ba9a23282 uri: /reference/3224ad08-bbf9-4f0d-a118-2b0ba9a23282 - attrs: Abstract: '[This study focuses on mental health and psychosocial distress sequelae of Hurricane Katrina cataclysm among survivors. The purpose of this article is to: (1) assess the variation in psychosocial distress among the survivors of Katrina by socio-demographic, structural and situational factors; (2) determine if there are significant racial and gender differences in the extent of psychological stress, especially between Black and White, male and female survivors; and (3) to evaluate the influence of resource loss or financial burden imposed, social support, and perceived victimization on psychosocial distress among survivors. The Gallup/CNN/USA Today survey data collected in 2005 and 2006 from a representative (random) sample of Katrina survivors are used. Among the results, significant racial differences were found in psychological impacts including reported symptoms of sleeplessness, anxiety, depression, and worries about the future. In a series of multivariate analyses including factor analysis and OLS regression models, residency in Orleans parish prior to the storm, older age, female gender, having dependent children, unemployment, extent of property damage, and financial impacts sustained consistently predict psychological distress among the survivors. The theoretical, methodological, and applied policy implications of these findings are discussed.]' Author: 'Adeola, Francis O.' ISSN: '10744827, 22040919' Issue: 2 Journal: Human Ecology Review Legal Note: 'Full publication date: Winter 2009' Pages: 195-210 Publisher: '[Society for Human Ecology, ANU Press]' Title: 'Mental health & psychosocial distress sequelae of Katrina: An empirical study of survivors' URL: http://www.jstor.org/stable/24707543 Volume: 16 Year: 2009 _record_number: 25927 _uuid: 327a1728-7992-448b-9e5b-267328259994 reftype: Journal Article child_publication: /article/mental-health-psychosocial-distress-sequelae-katrina-an-empirical-study-survivors href: https://data.globalchange.gov/reference/327a1728-7992-448b-9e5b-267328259994.yaml identifier: 327a1728-7992-448b-9e5b-267328259994 uri: /reference/327a1728-7992-448b-9e5b-267328259994 - attrs: Article Number: art23 Author: 'Duveneck, Matthew J.; Scheller, Robert M.; White, Mark A.; Handler, Stephen D.; Ravenscroft, Catherine' DOI: 10.1890/ES13-00370.1 ISSN: 2150-8925 Issue: 2 Journal: Ecosphere Keywords: 'biodiversity; climate change; forest management; forest simulation model; LANDIS-II; Michigan, USA; Minnesota, USA' Pages: 1-26 Publisher: Ecological Society of America Title: 'Climate change effects on northern Great Lake (USA) forests: A case for preserving diversity' Volume: 5 Year: 2014 _record_number: 21225 _uuid: 3299a99e-7096-4f8d-a9d2-265934f9cf62 reftype: Journal Article child_publication: /article/10.1890/ES13-00370.1 href: https://data.globalchange.gov/reference/3299a99e-7096-4f8d-a9d2-265934f9cf62.yaml identifier: 3299a99e-7096-4f8d-a9d2-265934f9cf62 uri: /reference/3299a99e-7096-4f8d-a9d2-265934f9cf62 - attrs: Author: 'Larsen, Larissa' DOI: 10.1890/150103 ISSN: 1540-9309 Issue: 9 Journal: Frontiers in Ecology and the Environment Pages: 486-492 Publisher: Ecological Society of America Title: Urban climate and adaptation strategies Volume: 13 Year: 2015 _record_number: 21224 _uuid: 34db2d46-ef90-43a4-99ab-40dae17afcce reftype: Journal Article child_publication: /article/10.1890/150103 href: https://data.globalchange.gov/reference/34db2d46-ef90-43a4-99ab-40dae17afcce.yaml identifier: 34db2d46-ef90-43a4-99ab-40dae17afcce uri: /reference/34db2d46-ef90-43a4-99ab-40dae17afcce - attrs: Abstract: 'Invasive alien plant species threaten native biodiversity, disrupt ecosystem functions and can cause large economic damage. Plant invasions have been predicted to further increase under ongoing global environmental change. Numerous case studies have compared the performance of invasive and native plant species in response to global environmental change components (i.e. changes in mean levels of precipitation, temperature, atmospheric CO2 concentration or nitrogen deposition). Individually, these studies usually involve low numbers of species and therefore the results cannot be generalized. Therefore, we performed a phylogenetically controlled meta-analysis to assess whether there is a general pattern of differences in invasive and native plant performance under each component of global environmental change. We compiled a database of studies that reported performance measures for 74 invasive alien plant species and 117 native plant species in response to one of the above-mentioned global environmental change components. We found that elevated temperature and CO2 enrichment increased the performance of invasive alien plants more strongly than was the case for native plants. Invasive alien plants tended to also have a slightly stronger positive response to increased N deposition and increased precipitation than native plants, but these differences were not significant (N deposition: P = 0.051; increased precipitation: P = 0.679). Invasive alien plants tended to have a slightly stronger negative response to decreased precipitation than native plants, although this difference was also not significant (P = 0.060). So while drought could potentially reduce plant invasion, increases in the four other components of global environmental change considered, particularly global warming and atmospheric CO2 enrichment, may further increase the spread of invasive plants in the future.' Author: 'Liu, Yanjie; Oduor, Ayub M. O.; Zhang, Zhen; Manea, Anthony; Tooth, Ifeanna M.; Leishman, Michelle R.; Xu, Xingliang; Kleunen, Mark' DOI: 10.1111/gcb.13579 Issue: 8 Journal: Global Change Biology Pages: 3363-3370 Title: Do invasive alien plants benefit more from global environmental change than native plants? Volume: 23 Year: 2017 _record_number: 26592 _uuid: 355060bf-5c1d-40d6-9635-14a92d0054cb reftype: Journal Article child_publication: /article/10.1111/gcb.13579 href: https://data.globalchange.gov/reference/355060bf-5c1d-40d6-9635-14a92d0054cb.yaml identifier: 355060bf-5c1d-40d6-9635-14a92d0054cb uri: /reference/355060bf-5c1d-40d6-9635-14a92d0054cb - attrs: .reference_type: 10 Author: 'Croley II, Thomas E.' Institution: Great Lakes Environmental Research Laboratory Pages: 77 Place Published: 'Ann Arbor, MI' Report Number: NOAA Technical Memorandum GLERL-126 Title: Great Lakes Climate Change Hydrologic Impact Assessment I.J.C. Lake Ontario-St. Lawrence River Regulation Study URL: https://www.glerl.noaa.gov/pubs/tech_reports/glerl-126/tm-126.pdf Year: 2003 _record_number: 26565 _uuid: 3824f8f5-1314-4781-9321-52f8ff9e351d reftype: Report child_publication: /report/great-lakes-climate-change-hydrologic-impact-assessment-ijc-lake-ontario-st-lawrence-river-regulation-study href: https://data.globalchange.gov/reference/3824f8f5-1314-4781-9321-52f8ff9e351d.yaml identifier: 3824f8f5-1314-4781-9321-52f8ff9e351d uri: /reference/3824f8f5-1314-4781-9321-52f8ff9e351d - attrs: .reference_type: 16 Author: 'Moore, Kirk' Publisher: WorkBoat.com Title: High River Water Creates Navigation Turmoil URL: https://www.workboat.com/archive/high-river-water-creates-navigation-turmoil/ Year: 2016 _record_number: 21316 _uuid: 39081664-4e4d-4cbc-aa98-7d33f8f87491 reftype: Web Page child_publication: /webpage/ea34b31c-98cc-489e-9fc6-2b0d2fe918ab href: https://data.globalchange.gov/reference/39081664-4e4d-4cbc-aa98-7d33f8f87491.yaml identifier: 39081664-4e4d-4cbc-aa98-7d33f8f87491 uri: /reference/39081664-4e4d-4cbc-aa98-7d33f8f87491 - attrs: Abstract: 'With increasing pressure placed on natural systems by growing human populations, both scientists and resource managers need a better understanding of the relationships between cumulative stress from human activities and valued ecosystem services. Societies often seek to mitigate threats to these services through large-scale, costly restoration projects, such as the over one billion dollar Great Lakes Restoration Initiative currently underway. To help inform these efforts, we merged high-resolution spatial analyses of environmental stressors with mapping of ecosystem services for all five Great Lakes. Cumulative ecosystem stress is highest in near-shore habitats, but also extends offshore in Lakes Erie, Ontario, and Michigan. Variation in cumulative stress is driven largely by spatial concordance among multiple stressors, indicating the importance of considering all stressors when planning restoration activities. In addition, highly stressed areas reflect numerous different combinations of stressors rather than a single suite of problems, suggesting that a detailed understanding of the stressors needing alleviation could improve restoration planning. We also find that many important areas for fisheries and recreation are subject to high stress, indicating that ecosystem degradation could be threatening key services. Current restoration efforts have targeted high-stress sites almost exclusively, but generally without knowledge of the full range of stressors affecting these locations or differences among sites in service provisioning. Our results demonstrate that joint spatial analysis of stressors and ecosystem services can provide a critical foundation for maximizing social and ecological benefits from restoration investments.' Author: 'Allan, J. David; McIntyre, Peter B.; Smith, Sigrid D. P.; Halpern, Benjamin S.; Boyer, Gregory L.; Buchsbaum, Andy; Burton, G. A.; Campbell, Linda M.; Chadderton, W. Lindsay; Ciborowski, Jan J. H.; Doran, Patrick J.; Eder, Tim; Infante, Dana M.; Johnson, Lucinda B.; Joseph, Christine A.; Marino, Adrienne L.; Prusevich, Alexander; Read, Jennifer G.; Rose, Joan B.; Rutherford, Edward S.; Sowa, Scott P.; Steinman, Alan D.' DOI: 10.1073/pnas.1213841110 Date: 'January 2, 2013' Issue: 1 Journal: Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America Pages: 372-377 Title: Joint analysis of stressors and ecosystem services to enhance restoration effectiveness Volume: 110 Year: 2013 _record_number: 21167 _uuid: 393cee48-0707-4475-a786-ca8fcaef77a3 reftype: Journal Article child_publication: /article/10.1073/pnas.1213841110 href: https://data.globalchange.gov/reference/393cee48-0707-4475-a786-ca8fcaef77a3.yaml identifier: 393cee48-0707-4475-a786-ca8fcaef77a3 uri: /reference/393cee48-0707-4475-a786-ca8fcaef77a3 - attrs: .reference_type: 0 Author: 'Slater, Louise J.; Singer, Michael Bliss; Kirchner, James W.' DOI: 10.1002/2014GL062482 ISSN: 1944-8007 Issue: 2 Journal: Geophysical Research Letters Keywords: 'flood frequency; morphodynamics; climate change; flood hazard trends; streamflow; hazards; 1821 Floods; 1825 Geomorphology: fluvial; 1860 Streamflow; 1872 Time series analysis; 4321 Climate impact' Pages: 370-376 Title: Hydrologic versus geomorphic drivers of trends in flood hazard Volume: 42 Year: 2015 _record_number: 20971 _uuid: 397fc975-a56c-4d94-a91d-76ba800562d4 reftype: Journal Article child_publication: /article/10.1002/2014GL062482 href: https://data.globalchange.gov/reference/397fc975-a56c-4d94-a91d-76ba800562d4.yaml identifier: 397fc975-a56c-4d94-a91d-76ba800562d4 uri: /reference/397fc975-a56c-4d94-a91d-76ba800562d4 - attrs: Author: 'JOC,' ISSN: 15423867 Journal: Journal of Commerce Title: Norfolk Southern Reroutes Shipments to Avoid Midwest Flooding Volume: 25 Apr Year: 2013 _record_number: 21304 _uuid: 3a526a0c-963a-46d5-a774-1673ff962adc reftype: Journal Article child_publication: /article/norfolk-southern-reroutes-shipments-avoid-midwest-flooding href: https://data.globalchange.gov/reference/3a526a0c-963a-46d5-a774-1673ff962adc.yaml identifier: 3a526a0c-963a-46d5-a774-1673ff962adc uri: /reference/3a526a0c-963a-46d5-a774-1673ff962adc - attrs: Abstract: 'Most nations recently agreed to hold global average temperature rise to well below 2 °C. We examine how much climate mitigation nature can contribute to this goal with a comprehensive analysis of “natural climate solutions” (NCS): 20 conservation, restoration, and/or improved land management actions that increase carbon storage and/or avoid greenhouse gas emissions across global forests, wetlands, grasslands, and agricultural lands. We show that NCS can provide over one-third of the cost-effective climate mitigation needed between now and 2030 to stabilize warming to below 2 °C. Alongside aggressive fossil fuel emissions reductions, NCS offer a powerful set of options for nations to deliver on the Paris Climate Agreement while improving soil productivity, cleaning our air and water, and maintaining biodiversity.Better stewardship of land is needed to achieve the Paris Climate Agreement goal of holding warming to below 2 °C; however, confusion persists about the specific set of land stewardship options available and their mitigation potential. To address this, we identify and quantify “natural climate solutions” (NCS): 20 conservation, restoration, and improved land management actions that increase carbon storage and/or avoid greenhouse gas emissions across global forests, wetlands, grasslands, and agricultural lands. We find that the maximum potential of NCS—when constrained by food security, fiber security, and biodiversity conservation—is 23.8 petagrams of CO2 equivalent (PgCO2e) y−1 (95% CI 20.3–37.4). This is ≥30% higher than prior estimates, which did not include the full range of options and safeguards considered here. About half of this maximum (11.3 PgCO2e y−1) represents cost-effective climate mitigation, assuming the social cost of CO2 pollution is ≥100 USD MgCO2e−1 by 2030. Natural climate solutions can provide 37% of cost-effective CO2 mitigation needed through 2030 for a >66% chance of holding warming to below 2 °C. One-third of this cost-effective NCS mitigation can be delivered at or below 10 USD MgCO2−1. Most NCS actions—if effectively implemented—also offer water filtration, flood buffering, soil health, biodiversity habitat, and enhanced climate resilience. Work remains to better constrain uncertainty of NCS mitigation estimates. Nevertheless, existing knowledge reported here provides a robust basis for immediate global action to improve ecosystem stewardship as a major solution to climate change.' Author: 'Griscom, Bronson W.; Adams, Justin; Ellis, Peter W.; Houghton, Richard A.; Lomax, Guy; Miteva, Daniela A.; Schlesinger, William H.; Shoch, David; Siikamäki, Juha V.; Smith, Pete; Woodbury, Peter; Zganjar, Chris; Blackman, Allen; Campari, João; Conant, Richard T.; Delgado, Christopher; Elias, Patricia; Gopalakrishna, Trisha; Hamsik, Marisa R.; Herrero, Mario; Kiesecker, Joseph; Landis, Emily; Laestadius, Lars; Leavitt, Sara M.; Minnemeyer, Susan; Polasky, Stephen; Potapov, Peter; Putz, Francis E.; Sanderman, Jonathan; Silvius, Marcel; Wollenberg, Eva; Fargione, Joseph' DOI: 10.1073/pnas.1710465114 Issue: 44 Journal: Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America Pages: 11645-11650 Title: Natural climate solutions Volume: 114 Year: 2017 _record_number: 25724 _uuid: 3a575724-2a5d-4330-97e0-7c5552c1e80d reftype: Journal Article child_publication: /article/10.1073/pnas.1710465114 href: https://data.globalchange.gov/reference/3a575724-2a5d-4330-97e0-7c5552c1e80d.yaml identifier: 3a575724-2a5d-4330-97e0-7c5552c1e80d uri: /reference/3a575724-2a5d-4330-97e0-7c5552c1e80d - attrs: Author: 'Higgins, S. N.; Zanden, M. J. Vander' DOI: 10.1890/09-1249.1 ISSN: 1557-7015 Issue: 2 Journal: Ecological Monographs Keywords: benthic–pelagic coupling; biological invasion; cross-habitat subsidies; Dreissena spp.; ecosystem engineer; exotic species; facilitation; food web disruption; invasive species; quagga mussel; zebra mussel Pages: 179-196 Publisher: Ecological Society of America Title: 'What a difference a species makes: A meta–analysis of dreissenid mussel impacts on freshwater ecosystems' Volume: 80 Year: 2010 _record_number: 21218 _uuid: 3a801b36-a7a1-4224-9920-0f60068e398e reftype: Journal Article child_publication: /article/10.1890/09-1249.1 href: https://data.globalchange.gov/reference/3a801b36-a7a1-4224-9920-0f60068e398e.yaml identifier: 3a801b36-a7a1-4224-9920-0f60068e398e uri: /reference/3a801b36-a7a1-4224-9920-0f60068e398e - attrs: Author: 'Howk, Forrest' DOI: 10.1016/j.jglr.2008.11.002 Date: 2009/03/01/ ISSN: 0380-1330 Issue: 1 Journal: Journal of Great Lakes Research Keywords: Ice; Navigation; Bayfield; Lake Superior Pages: 159-162 Title: 'Changes in Lake Superior ice cover at Bayfield, Wisconsin' Volume: 35 Year: 2009 _record_number: 26575 _uuid: 3b19d9fb-e7c3-4203-80aa-5f862d60aec6 reftype: Journal Article child_publication: /article/10.1016/j.jglr.2008.11.002 href: https://data.globalchange.gov/reference/3b19d9fb-e7c3-4203-80aa-5f862d60aec6.yaml identifier: 3b19d9fb-e7c3-4203-80aa-5f862d60aec6 uri: /reference/3b19d9fb-e7c3-4203-80aa-5f862d60aec6 - attrs: Author: 'Austin, Jay; Colman, Steve' DOI: 10.4319/lo.2008.53.6.2724 ISSN: 1939-5590 Issue: 6 Journal: Limnology and Oceanography Pages: 2724-2730 Title: A century of temperature variability in Lake Superior Volume: 53 Year: 2008 _record_number: 21232 _uuid: 3b6270f6-f42f-43b2-ac39-cc7faf622fdd reftype: Journal Article child_publication: /article/10.4319/lo.2008.53.6.2724 href: https://data.globalchange.gov/reference/3b6270f6-f42f-43b2-ac39-cc7faf622fdd.yaml identifier: 3b6270f6-f42f-43b2-ac39-cc7faf622fdd uri: /reference/3b6270f6-f42f-43b2-ac39-cc7faf622fdd - attrs: .reference_type: 10 .text_styles: '' Author: 'Walthall, C.; Backlund, P.; Hatfield, J.; Lengnick, L.; Marshall, E.; Walsh, M.; Adkins, S.; Aillery, M.; Ainsworth, E.A.; Amman, C.; Anderson, C.J.; Bartomeus, I.; Baumgard, L.H.; Booker, F.; Bradley, B.; Blumenthal, D.M.; Bunce, J.; Burkey, K.; Dabney, S.M.; Delgado, J.A.; Dukes, J.; Funk, A.; Garrett, K.; Glenn, M.; Grantz, D.A.; Goodrich, D.; Hu, S.; Izaurralde, R.C.; Jones, R.A.C.; Kim, S-H.; Leaky, A.D.B.; Lewers, K.; Mader, T.L.; McClung, A.; Morgan, J.; Muth, D.J.; Nearing, M.; Oosterhuis, D.M.; Ort, D.; Parmesan, C.; Pettigrew, W.T.; Polley, W.; Rader, R.; Rice, C.; Rivington, M.; Rosskopf, E.; Salas, W.A.; Sollenberger, L.E.; Srygley, R.; Stockle, C.; Takle, E.S.; Timlin, D.; White, J.W.; Winfree, R.; Wright-Morton, L.; Ziska, L.H.' Institution: U.S. Department of Agriculture Pages: 186 Place Published: 'Washington, D.C.' Series Volume: USDA Technical Bulletin 1935 Title: 'Climate Change and Agriculture in the United States: Effects and Adaptation' URL: http://www.usda.gov/oce/climate_change/effects_2012/CC%20and%20Agriculture%20Report%20(02-04-2013)b.pdf Year: 2012 _chapter: '["Ch. 14: Rural Communities FINAL","Ch. 6: Agriculture FINAL"]' _record_number: 3329 _uuid: 3baf471f-751f-4d68-9227-4197fdbb6e5d reftype: Report child_publication: /report/usda-techbul-1935 href: https://data.globalchange.gov/reference/3baf471f-751f-4d68-9227-4197fdbb6e5d.yaml identifier: 3baf471f-751f-4d68-9227-4197fdbb6e5d uri: /reference/3baf471f-751f-4d68-9227-4197fdbb6e5d - attrs: .reference_type: 10 Author: 'Vogel, Jason; Karen M. Carney; Joel B. Smith; Charles Herrick; Missy Stults; Megan O’Grady; Alexis St. Juliana; Heather Hosterman; Lorine Giangola' Institution: Kresge Foundation Keywords: urban; climate change; adaptation Place Published: Detroit Title: Climate Adaptation — The State of Practice in U.S. Communities URL: http://kresge.org/sites/default/files/library/climate-adaptation-the-state-of-practice-in-us-communities-full-report.pdf Year: 2016 _record_number: 22874 _uuid: 3c3cc09b-c2d7-4c52-bf8f-c064efa78e93 reftype: Report child_publication: /report/climate-adaptation-state-practice-us-communities href: https://data.globalchange.gov/reference/3c3cc09b-c2d7-4c52-bf8f-c064efa78e93.yaml identifier: 3c3cc09b-c2d7-4c52-bf8f-c064efa78e93 uri: /reference/3c3cc09b-c2d7-4c52-bf8f-c064efa78e93 - attrs: Abstract: 'As they have in response to past climatic changes, many species will shift their distributions in response to modern climate change. However, due to the unprecedented rapidity of projected climatic changes, some species may not be able to move their ranges fast enough to track shifts in suitable climates and associated habitats. Here, we investigate the ability of 493 mammals to keep pace with projected climatic changes in the Western Hemisphere. We modeled the velocities at which species will likely need to move to keep pace with projected changes in suitable climates. We compared these velocities with the velocities at which species are able to move as a function of dispersal distances and dispersal frequencies. Across the Western Hemisphere, on average, 9.2% of mammals at a given location will likely be unable to keep pace with climate change. In some places, up to 39% of mammals may be unable to track shifts in suitable climates. Eighty-seven percent of mammalian species are expected to experience reductions in range size and 20% of these range reductions will likely be due to limited dispersal abilities as opposed to reductions in the area of suitable climate. Because climate change will likely outpace the response capacity of many mammals, mammalian vulnerability to climate change may be more extensive than previously anticipated.' Author: 'Schloss, C. A.; Nunez, T. A.; Lawler, J. J.' Author Address: 'School of Environmental and Forest Sciences, University of Washington, Seattle, WA 98195, USA. cschloss@u.washington.edu' DOI: 10.1073/pnas.1116791109 Database Provider: CCII PubMed NLM Date: May 29 EPub Date: 2012/05/16 ISSN: "1091-6490 (Electronic)\r0027-8424 (Linking)" Issue: 22 Journal: Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America Keywords: 'Algorithms; Animals; Climate; Climate Change; Ecosystem; Geography; Humans; Mammals/classification/ growth & development; Models, Biological; North America; Population Dynamics; South America; Species Specificity' Language: eng NIHMSID: ' NIEHS' Name of Database: ' ' PMCID: 3365214 Pages: 8606-11 Title: Dispersal will limit ability of mammals to track climate change in the Western Hemisphere Volume: 109 Year: 2012 _record_number: 5137 _uuid: 3c96d70c-9523-49e8-b7aa-0a86be8992a0 reftype: Journal Article child_publication: /article/10.1073/pnas.1116791109 href: https://data.globalchange.gov/reference/3c96d70c-9523-49e8-b7aa-0a86be8992a0.yaml identifier: 3c96d70c-9523-49e8-b7aa-0a86be8992a0 uri: /reference/3c96d70c-9523-49e8-b7aa-0a86be8992a0 - attrs: Abstract: "Rising temperatures and increasing drought severity linked to global climate change are negatively impacting forest growth and function at the equatorial range edge of species distributions. Rapid dieback and range retractions are predicted to occur in many areas as temperatures continue to rise. Despite widespread negative impacts at the ecosystem level, equatorial range edges are not well studied, and their responses to climate change are poorly understood. Effective monitoring of tree responses to climate in these regions is of critical importance in order to predict and manage threats to populations. Remote sensing of impacts on forests can be combined with ground-based assessment of environmental and ecological changes to identify populations most at risk. Modelling may be useful as a 'first-filter' to identify populations of concern but, together with many remote sensing methods, often lacks adequate resolution for application at the range edge. A multidisciplinary approach, combining remote observation with targeted ground-based monitoring of local susceptible and resistant populations, is therefore required. Once at-risk regions have been identified, management can be adapted to reduce immediate risks in priority populations, and promote long-term adaptation to change. However, management to protect forest ecosystem function may be preferable where the maintenance of historical species assemblages is no longer viable." Author: 'Jump, Alistair S.; Cavin, Liam; Hunter, Peter D.' DOI: 10.1039/B923773A ISSN: 1464-0325 Issue: 10 Journal: Journal of Environmental Monitoring Pages: 1791-1798 Publisher: The Royal Society of Chemistry Title: Monitoring and managing responses to climate change at the retreating range edge of forest trees Type of Article: 10.1039/B923773A Volume: 12 Year: 2010 _record_number: 21165 _uuid: 3cd12f10-190b-49a2-bf7b-640487e70e9d reftype: Journal Article child_publication: /article/10.1039/B923773A href: https://data.globalchange.gov/reference/3cd12f10-190b-49a2-bf7b-640487e70e9d.yaml identifier: 3cd12f10-190b-49a2-bf7b-640487e70e9d uri: /reference/3cd12f10-190b-49a2-bf7b-640487e70e9d - attrs: Abstract: 'West Nile virus (WNV) is a leading cause of mosquito-borne disease in the United States. Annual seasonal outbreaks vary in size and location. Predicting where and when higher than normal WNV transmission will occur can help direct limited public health resources. We developed models for the contiguous United States to identify meteorological anomalies associated with above average incidence of WNV neuroinvasive disease from 2004 to 2012. We used county-level WNV data reported to ArboNET and meteorological data from the North American Land Data Assimilation System. As a result of geographic differences in WNV transmission, we divided the United States into East and West, and 10 climate regions. Above average annual temperature was associated with increased likelihood of higher than normal WNV disease incidence, nationally and in most regions. Lower than average annual total precipitation was associated with higher disease incidence in the eastern United States, but the opposite was true in most western regions. Although multiple factors influence WNV transmission, these findings show that anomalies in temperature and precipitation are associated with above average WNV disease incidence. Readily accessible meteorological data may be used to develop predictive models to forecast geographic areas with elevated WNV disease risk before the coming season.' Author: 'Hahn, Micah B.; Monaghan, Andrew J.; Hayden, Mary H.; Eisen, Rebecca J.; Delorey, Mark J.; Lindsey, Nicole P.; Nasci, Roger S.; Fischer, Marc' DOI: 10.4269/ajtmh.14-0737 Date: "11/30/received\r02/08/accepted" ISSN: "0002-9637\r1476-1645" Issue: 5 Journal: The American Journal of Tropical Medicine and Hygiene Name of Database: PMC Pages: 1013-1022 Publisher: American Society of Tropical Medicine and Hygiene Title: 'Meteorological conditions associated with increased incidence of West Nile virus disease in the United States, 2004–2012' Volume: 92 Year: 2015 _record_number: 21231 _uuid: 3d6b2a18-fbfd-4751-8eb9-a35b7502ac9f reftype: Journal Article child_publication: /article/10.4269/ajtmh.14-0737 href: https://data.globalchange.gov/reference/3d6b2a18-fbfd-4751-8eb9-a35b7502ac9f.yaml identifier: 3d6b2a18-fbfd-4751-8eb9-a35b7502ac9f uri: /reference/3d6b2a18-fbfd-4751-8eb9-a35b7502ac9f - attrs: Abstract: 'Although disturbances such as fire and native insects can contribute to natural dynamics of forest health, exceptional droughts, directly and in combination with other disturbance factors, are pushing some temperate forests beyond thresholds of sustainability. Interactions from increasing temperatures, drought, native insects and pathogens, and uncharacteristically severe wildfire are resulting in forest mortality beyond the levels of 20th-century experience. Additional anthropogenic stressors, such as atmospheric pollution and invasive species, further weaken trees in some regions. Although continuing climate change will likely drive many areas of temperate forest toward large-scale transformations, management actions can help ease transitions and minimize losses of socially valued ecosystem services.' Author: 'Millar, Constance I.; Stephenson, Nathan L.' DOI: 10.1126/science.aaa9933 Issue: 6250 Journal: Science Pages: 823-826 Title: Temperate forest health in an era of emerging megadisturbance Volume: 349 Year: 2015 _record_number: 21196 _uuid: 3def47b9-0e32-440b-bef1-f9bc176a7dd0 reftype: Journal Article child_publication: /article/10.1126/science.aaa9933 href: https://data.globalchange.gov/reference/3def47b9-0e32-440b-bef1-f9bc176a7dd0.yaml identifier: 3def47b9-0e32-440b-bef1-f9bc176a7dd0 uri: /reference/3def47b9-0e32-440b-bef1-f9bc176a7dd0 - attrs: Abstract: 'Metrics that synthesize the complex effects of climate change are essential tools for mapping future threats to biodiversity and predicting which species are likely to adapt in place to new climatic conditions, disperse and establish in areas with newly suitable climate, or face the prospect of extirpation. The most commonly used of such metrics is the velocity of climate change, which estimates the speed at which species must migrate over the earth’s surface to maintain constant climatic conditions. However, “analog-based” velocities, which represent the actual distance to where analogous climates will be found in the future, may provide contrasting results to the more common form of velocity based on local climate gradients. Additionally, whereas climatic velocity reflects the exposure of organisms to climate change, resultant biotic effects are dependent on the sensitivity of individual species as reflected in part by their climatic niche width. This has motivated development of biotic velocity, a metric which uses data on projected species range shifts to estimate the velocity at which species must move to track their climatic niche. We calculated climatic and biotic velocity for the Western Hemisphere for 1961–2100, and applied the results to example ecological and conservation planning questions, to demonstrate the potential of such analog-based metrics to provide information on broad-scale patterns of exposure and sensitivity. Geographic patterns of biotic velocity for 2954 species of birds, mammals, and amphibians differed from climatic velocity in north temperate and boreal regions. However, both biotic and climatic velocities were greatest at low latitudes, implying that threats to equatorial species arise from both the future magnitude of climatic velocities and the narrow climatic tolerances of species in these regions, which currently experience low seasonal and interannual climatic variability. Biotic and climatic velocity, by approximating lower and upper bounds on migration rates, can inform conservation of species and locally-adapted populations, respectively, and in combination with backward velocity, a function of distance to a source of colonizers adapted to a site’s future climate, can facilitate conservation of diversity at multiple scales in the face of climate change.' Author: 'Carroll, Carlos; Lawler, Joshua J.; Roberts, David R.; Hamann, Andreas' DOI: 10.1371/journal.pone.0140486 Issue: 10 Journal: PLOS ONE Pages: e0140486 Publisher: Public Library of Science Title: Biotic and climatic velocity identify contrasting areas of vulnerability to climate change Volume: 10 Year: 2015 _record_number: 21213 _uuid: 3e243243-eb72-4795-aeec-62d5d8326d4b reftype: Journal Article child_publication: /article/10.1371/journal.pone.0140486 href: https://data.globalchange.gov/reference/3e243243-eb72-4795-aeec-62d5d8326d4b.yaml identifier: 3e243243-eb72-4795-aeec-62d5d8326d4b uri: /reference/3e243243-eb72-4795-aeec-62d5d8326d4b - attrs: .reference_type: 16 Author: 'USDN,' Title: 'Urban Sustainability Directors Network [web site]' URL: https://www.usdn.org/ Year: 2018 _record_number: 26625 _uuid: 3e6abdbd-2026-4318-9392-1a5766a5f344 reftype: Web Page child_publication: /webpage/deb87e77-7d3e-429d-b28b-b836bb74f5c6 href: https://data.globalchange.gov/reference/3e6abdbd-2026-4318-9392-1a5766a5f344.yaml identifier: 3e6abdbd-2026-4318-9392-1a5766a5f344 uri: /reference/3e6abdbd-2026-4318-9392-1a5766a5f344 - attrs: .reference_type: 7 Author: 'Babinszky, László; Halas, Veronika; Verstegen, Martin W. A.' Book Title: 'Climate Change - Socioeconomic Effects' DOI: 10.5772/23840 Editor: 'Blanco, Juan; Kheradmand, Houshang' Pages: Ch. 10 Place Published: 'Rijeka, Croatia' Publisher: InTech Title: Impacts of climate change on animal production and quality of animal food products Year: 2011 _record_number: 21253 _uuid: 3f7db557-5407-40cf-9078-d5be0f25ee0a reftype: Book Section child_publication: /book/a080a9d3-f7f4-4a68-868e-74b842caf055 href: https://data.globalchange.gov/reference/3f7db557-5407-40cf-9078-d5be0f25ee0a.yaml identifier: 3f7db557-5407-40cf-9078-d5be0f25ee0a uri: /reference/3f7db557-5407-40cf-9078-d5be0f25ee0a - attrs: .reference_type: 16 Access Date: '7:53 AM; May 4, 2017' Author: 'Missouri Department of Transportation,' Title: 'Traveler Information Report [web site]' URL: http://traveler.modot.org/report/modottext.aspx?type=all#tag_flood_closed Year: 2017 _record_number: 26694 _uuid: 3fb9a087-cc62-47fb-8fe4-b6f557ca9a7c reftype: Web Page child_publication: /webpage/f55e1d02-5bf8-4347-bd92-eef7ceafc197 href: https://data.globalchange.gov/reference/3fb9a087-cc62-47fb-8fe4-b6f557ca9a7c.yaml identifier: 3fb9a087-cc62-47fb-8fe4-b6f557ca9a7c uri: /reference/3fb9a087-cc62-47fb-8fe4-b6f557ca9a7c - attrs: Author: 'Scott, Robert W.; Huff, Floyd A.' DOI: 10.1016/S0380-1330(96)71006-7 Date: 1996/01/01/ ISSN: 0380-1330 Issue: 4 Journal: Journal of Great Lakes Research Keywords: Great Lakes; precipitation; temperature; clouds; vapor pressure; climate impacts Pages: 845-863 Title: Impacts of the Great Lakes on regional climate conditions Volume: 22 Year: 1996 _record_number: 21151 _uuid: 4060c7db-3392-402b-a41f-d0609edeef56 reftype: Journal Article child_publication: /article/10.1016/S0380-1330(96)71006-7 href: https://data.globalchange.gov/reference/4060c7db-3392-402b-a41f-d0609edeef56.yaml identifier: 4060c7db-3392-402b-a41f-d0609edeef56 uri: /reference/4060c7db-3392-402b-a41f-d0609edeef56 - attrs: .reference_type: 0 Author: "Jump, Alistair S.\rMátyás, Csaba\rPeñuelas, Josep" DOI: 10.1016/j.tree.2009.06.007 Date: Dec ISSN: 0169-5347 Issue: 12 Journal: Trends in Ecology & Evolution Pages: 694-701 Title: The altitude-for-latitude disparity in the range retractions of woody species Volume: 24 Year: 2009 _chapter: '["Ch. 18: Midwest FINAL"]' _record_number: 72 _uuid: 41f154f3-d0e4-47eb-8fba-a47fe3a70c84 reftype: Journal Article child_publication: /article/10.1016/j.tree.2009.06.007 href: https://data.globalchange.gov/reference/41f154f3-d0e4-47eb-8fba-a47fe3a70c84.yaml identifier: 41f154f3-d0e4-47eb-8fba-a47fe3a70c84 uri: /reference/41f154f3-d0e4-47eb-8fba-a47fe3a70c84 - attrs: Author: 'Hall, Kimberly R.; Herbert, Matthew E.; Sowa, Scott P.; Mysorekar, Sagar; Woznicki, Sean A.; Nejadhashemi, Pouyan A.; Wang, Lizhu' DOI: 10.1016/j.jglr.2016.11.005 Date: 2017/02/01/ ISSN: 0380-1330 Issue: 1 Journal: Journal of Great Lakes Research Keywords: Climate adaptation; Climate change; Great Lakes; Fish; Conservation outcomes; Agricultural impacts; Nutrient loading Pages: 59-68 Title: 'Reducing current and future risks: Using climate change scenarios to test an agricultural conservation framework' Volume: 43 Year: 2017 _record_number: 26570 _uuid: 42e9f5ac-4b72-40b4-bc2b-8200dfac3177 reftype: Journal Article child_publication: /article/10.1016/j.jglr.2016.11.005 href: https://data.globalchange.gov/reference/42e9f5ac-4b72-40b4-bc2b-8200dfac3177.yaml identifier: 42e9f5ac-4b72-40b4-bc2b-8200dfac3177 uri: /reference/42e9f5ac-4b72-40b4-bc2b-8200dfac3177 - attrs: .reference_type: 0 Author: "Rosenzweig, C.\rTubiello, F.N.\rGoldberg, R.\rMills, E.\rBloomfield, J." DOI: 10.1016/S0959-3780(02)00008-0 Journal: Global Environmental Change Pages: 197-202 Title: Increased crop damage in the US from excess precipitation under climate change Volume: 12 Year: 2002 _chapter: '["RG 3 Midwest","Ch. 18: Midwest FINAL"]' _record_number: 2692 _uuid: 42f23c97-2bf8-4ae2-950d-f5906df59fa0 reftype: Journal Article child_publication: /article/10.1016/S0959-3780(02)00008-0 href: https://data.globalchange.gov/reference/42f23c97-2bf8-4ae2-950d-f5906df59fa0.yaml identifier: 42f23c97-2bf8-4ae2-950d-f5906df59fa0 uri: /reference/42f23c97-2bf8-4ae2-950d-f5906df59fa0 - attrs: .reference_type: 0 Author: 'Frans, Chris; Istanbulluoglu, Erkan; Mishra, Vimal; Munoz-Arriola, Francisco; Lettenmaier, Dennis P.' DOI: 10.1002/grl.50262 ISSN: 1944-8007 Issue: 6 Journal: Geophysical Research Letters Keywords: Climate; Streamflow; LULC; 1632 Land cover change; 1637 Regional climate change; 1807 Climate impacts; 1834 Human impacts; 1833 Hydroclimatology Pages: 1104-1110 Title: Are climatic or land cover changes the dominant cause of runoff trends in the Upper Mississippi River Basin? Volume: 40 Year: 2013 _record_number: 20918 _uuid: 43a6ac94-f12c-4ed4-b942-02c9480acc93 reftype: Journal Article child_publication: /article/10.1002/grl.50262 href: https://data.globalchange.gov/reference/43a6ac94-f12c-4ed4-b942-02c9480acc93.yaml identifier: 43a6ac94-f12c-4ed4-b942-02c9480acc93 uri: /reference/43a6ac94-f12c-4ed4-b942-02c9480acc93 - attrs: Abstract: "Global warming is expected to lead to a more vigorous hydrological cycle, including more total rainfall and more frequent high intensity rainfall events. Rainfall amounts and intensities increased on average in the United States during the 20th century, and according to climate change models they are expected to continue to increase during the 21st century. These rainfall changes, along with expected changes in temperature, solar radiation, and atmospheric C02 concentrations, will have significant impacts on soil erosion rates. The processes involved in the impact of climate change on soil erosion by water are complex, involving changes in rainfall amounts and intensities, number of days of precipitation, ratio of rain to snow, plant biomass production, plant residue decomposition rates, soil microbial activity, evapo-transpiration rates, and shifts in land use necessary to accommodate a new climatic regime. This paper reviews several recent studies conducted by the authors that address the potential effects of climate change on soil erosion rates. The results show cause for concern. Rainfall erosivity levels may be on the rise across much of the United States. Where rainfall amounts increase, erosion and runoff will increase at an even greater rate: the ratio of erosion increase to annual rainfall increase is on the order of 1.7. Even in cases where annual rainfall would decrease, system feedbacks related to decreased biomass production could lead to greater susceptibility of the soil to erode. Results also show how farmers' response to climate change can potentially exacerbate, or ameliorate, the changes in erosion rates expected." Author: "Nearing, MA; Pruski, F.F.; O'Neal, M.R." Date: 'January 1, 2004' Issue: 1 Journal: Journal of Soil and Water Conservation Pages: 43-50 Title: 'Expected climate change impacts on soil erosion rates: A review' URL: http://www.jswconline.org/content/59/1/43.abstract Volume: 59 Year: 2004 _record_number: 21246 _uuid: 43e7bfdb-30c7-407d-89ae-e94f7bff36a1 reftype: Journal Article child_publication: /article/expected-climate-change-impacts-on-soil-erosion-rates-review href: https://data.globalchange.gov/reference/43e7bfdb-30c7-407d-89ae-e94f7bff36a1.yaml identifier: 43e7bfdb-30c7-407d-89ae-e94f7bff36a1 uri: /reference/43e7bfdb-30c7-407d-89ae-e94f7bff36a1 - attrs: Abstract: 'This article explores the generation, transmission, and nature of ecological knowledge used by tribal and nontribal natural resource management agency personnel who collectively manage a 666,542-acre forest in northern Minnesota. Using key informant interviews and an adapted grounded theory analysis, we documented the forms of knowledge participants expressed in their descriptions of the forest and forest management, including traditional and western scientific ecological knowledge. We found that study participants across agencies use multiple forms of knowledge, that this knowledge is generated and transferred in distinct ways, and that participants acknowledge several challenges and opportunities to integration of traditional and western scientific knowledge in forest management. Overall, ecological knowledge expressed by study participants revealed multiple ways of knowing the forest. Knowledge varied most distinctly in the influence of cultural identity and spiritual or metaphysical connections to the forest on knowledge generation, transmission, and content. Formalizing existing informal knowledge integration efforts with attention to power structures, institutional culture, and knowledge application is recommended.

Management and Policy Implications: Forest values, beliefs, and knowledge can vary dramatically and sometimes clash among natural resource professionals involved in comanaged forests, particularly those managed by tribal and nontribal agencies. Findings from in-depth interviews with tribal and nontribal resource managers reveal both distinct and shared perspectives on a comanaged forest in northern Minnesota; most notable were the unique roles of cultural identity and spiritual or metaphysical connections in knowledge generation, transmission, and content. Resource managers interested in the integration of traditional and western scientific ecological knowledge may find success in formalizing ongoing informal activities including mutual learning or training in cross-cultural contexts, relationship building among agency and tribal leaders, cooperation in forest and cultural resource management projects, and collaborative forest planning. Still, attention to existing power structures, institutional cultural differences, and knowledge application practices will be important to these efforts.' Author: 'Bussey, John; Davenport, Mae A.; Emery, Marla R.; Carroll, Clint' DOI: 10.5849/jof.14-130 Date: // Issue: 2 Journal: Journal of Forestry Keywords: adaptation; comanagement; forest management; traditional ecological knowledge; western scientific ecological knowledge Pages: 97-107 Title: '"A lot of it comes from the heart": The nature and integration of ecological knowledge in tribal and nontribal forest management' Volume: 114 Year: 2016 _record_number: 21239 _uuid: 44b1444b-29ab-4edd-b285-f8820660fc32 reftype: Journal Article child_publication: /article/10.5849/jof.14-130 href: https://data.globalchange.gov/reference/44b1444b-29ab-4edd-b285-f8820660fc32.yaml identifier: 44b1444b-29ab-4edd-b285-f8820660fc32 uri: /reference/44b1444b-29ab-4edd-b285-f8820660fc32 - attrs: .reference_type: 10 Author: 'Settle, Jeffrey; Gonso, Chris; Seidl, Mike' Institution: Indiana State Department of Agriculture Pages: 25 Place Published: 'Indianapolis, IN' Series Volume: (Update of the 2010 Hoover/Settle Report) Title: 'Indiana’s Hardwood Industry: Its Economic Impact ' URL: https://in.gov/isda/files/Indiana_Hardwoods_and_Their_Economic_Impact.pdf Year: 2016 _record_number: 21275 _uuid: 45571656-3f15-4349-8ed5-b84e65ecb75d reftype: Report child_publication: /report/indianas-hardwood-industry-its-economic-impact href: https://data.globalchange.gov/reference/45571656-3f15-4349-8ed5-b84e65ecb75d.yaml identifier: 45571656-3f15-4349-8ed5-b84e65ecb75d uri: /reference/45571656-3f15-4349-8ed5-b84e65ecb75d - attrs: Author: 'Tavakol-Davani, Hessam; Goharian, Erfan; Hansen, Carly H.; Tavakol-Davani, Hassan; Apul, Defne; Burian, Steven J.' DOI: 10.1016/j.scs.2016.07.003 Date: 2016/11/01/ ISSN: 2210-6707 Journal: Sustainable Cities and Society Keywords: Change factor; Climate change; Combined sewer overflow; Hydrologic-hydraulic modeling; Rainwater harvesting Pages: 430-438 Title: How does climate change affect combined sewer overflow in a system benefiting from rainwater harvesting systems? Volume: 27 Year: 2016 _record_number: 26613 _uuid: 46a9dec0-9540-44c9-9eea-5a6d666887cf reftype: Journal Article child_publication: /article/10.1016/j.scs.2016.07.003 href: https://data.globalchange.gov/reference/46a9dec0-9540-44c9-9eea-5a6d666887cf.yaml identifier: 46a9dec0-9540-44c9-9eea-5a6d666887cf uri: /reference/46a9dec0-9540-44c9-9eea-5a6d666887cf - attrs: .reference_type: 7 Author: 'Brenden, Travis O.; Russell W. Brown; Mark P. Ebener; Kevin Reid; Tammy J. Newcomb' Book Title: 'Great Lakes Fisheries Policy and Management: A Binational Perspective' Edition: 2nd Editor: William W. Taylor; Abigail J. Lynch; Nancy J. Leonard ISBN: 978-1611860245 Pages: 339-397 Place Published: 'Lansing, MI' Publisher: Michigan State University Press Title: 'Great Lakes commercial fisheries: Historical overview and prognoses for the future' Year: 2013 _record_number: 21282 _uuid: 46bc1606-306e-4205-b2b7-46f87c4e14ee reftype: Book Section child_publication: /book/58be613a-c30d-45b8-9a69-1a171157c019 href: https://data.globalchange.gov/reference/46bc1606-306e-4205-b2b7-46f87c4e14ee.yaml identifier: 46bc1606-306e-4205-b2b7-46f87c4e14ee uri: /reference/46bc1606-306e-4205-b2b7-46f87c4e14ee - attrs: Author: 'Vose, James M.; Miniat, Chelcy Ford; Luce, Charles H.; Asbjornsen, Heidi; Caldwell, Peter V.; Campbell, John L.; Grant, Gordon E.; Isaak, Daniel J.; Loheide Ii, Steven P.; Sun, Ge' DOI: 10.1016/j.foreco.2016.03.025 Date: 11/15/ ISSN: 0378-1127 Journal: Forest Ecology and Management Keywords: Transpiration; Streamflow; Water balance; Water quality; Climate change; Management options Pages: 335-345 Title: Ecohydrological implications of drought for forests in the United States Volume: 380 Year: 2016 _record_number: 21138 _uuid: 47f83403-7592-41e6-994d-62b7586eca6c reftype: Journal Article child_publication: /article/10.1016/j.foreco.2016.03.025 href: https://data.globalchange.gov/reference/47f83403-7592-41e6-994d-62b7586eca6c.yaml identifier: 47f83403-7592-41e6-994d-62b7586eca6c uri: /reference/47f83403-7592-41e6-994d-62b7586eca6c