--- - attrs: .reference_type: 10 Author: USGCRP DOI: 10.7930/J0J964J6 Pages: 470 Place Published: 'Washington, DC, USA' Publisher: U.S. Global Change Research Program Secondary Author: 'Wuebbles, D.J.; D.W. Fahey; K.A. Hibbard; D.J. Dokken; B.C. Stewart; T.K. Maycock' Title: 'Climate Science Special Report: Fourth National Climate Assessment, Volume I' Year: 2017 _record_number: 21557 _uuid: 75cf1c0b-cc62-4ca4-96a7-082afdfe2ab1 reftype: Report child_publication: /report/climate-science-special-report href: https://data.globalchange.gov/reference/75cf1c0b-cc62-4ca4-96a7-082afdfe2ab1.yaml identifier: 75cf1c0b-cc62-4ca4-96a7-082afdfe2ab1 uri: /reference/75cf1c0b-cc62-4ca4-96a7-082afdfe2ab1 - attrs: Author: 'Carmichael, Wayne W.; Boyer, Gregory L.' DOI: 10.1016/j.hal.2016.02.002 Date: 2016/04/01/ ISSN: 1568-9883 Journal: Harmful Algae Keywords: Harmful algal blooms; Cyanobacteria; Cyanotoxins; Drinking/recreational water guidelines; Human and animal health Pages: 194-212 Title: 'Health impacts from cyanobacteria harmful algae blooms: Implications for the North American Great Lakes' Volume: 54 Year: 2016 _record_number: 26558 _uuid: 7609f0c9-640d-49a3-8009-60861b00e06a reftype: Journal Article child_publication: /article/10.1016/j.hal.2016.02.002 href: https://data.globalchange.gov/reference/7609f0c9-640d-49a3-8009-60861b00e06a.yaml identifier: 7609f0c9-640d-49a3-8009-60861b00e06a uri: /reference/7609f0c9-640d-49a3-8009-60861b00e06a - attrs: Abstract: 'Changes in tree growth rates can affect tree mortality and forest feedbacks to the global carbon cycle. As air temperature increases, evaporative demand also increases, increasing effective drought in forest ecosystems. Using a spatially comprehensive network of Douglas fir (Pseudotsuga menziesii) chronologies from 122 locations that represent distinct climate environments in the western United States, we show that increased temperature decreases growth via vapor pressure deficit (VPD) across all latitudes. Using an ensemble of global circulation models, we project an increase in both the mean VPD associated with the lowest growth extremes and the probability of exceeding these VPD values. As temperature continues to increase in future decades, we can expect deficit-related stress to increase and consequently Douglas fir growth to decrease throughout its US range.' Author: 'Restaino, Christina M.; Peterson, David L.; Littell, Jeremy' DOI: 10.1073/pnas.1602384113 Date: 'August 23, 2016' Issue: 34 Journal: Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America Pages: 9557-9562 Title: Increased water deficit decreases Douglas fir growth throughout western US forests Volume: 113 Year: 2016 _record_number: 21169 _uuid: 779b7448-2f94-49da-b0ed-1877293b4bee reftype: Journal Article child_publication: /article/10.1073/pnas.1602384113 href: https://data.globalchange.gov/reference/779b7448-2f94-49da-b0ed-1877293b4bee.yaml identifier: 779b7448-2f94-49da-b0ed-1877293b4bee uri: /reference/779b7448-2f94-49da-b0ed-1877293b4bee - attrs: Author: 'Meerow, Sara; Newell, Joshua P.' DOI: 10.1016/j.landurbplan.2016.10.005 Date: 2017/03/01/ ISSN: 0169-2046 Journal: Landscape and Urban Planning Keywords: Green infrastructure; Ecosystem services; Resilience; Detroit; Spatial planning; Urban greening Pages: 62-75 Title: 'Spatial planning for multifunctional green infrastructure: Growing resilience in Detroit' Volume: 159 Year: 2017 _record_number: 26597 _uuid: 781c4f1b-e0ab-4fcd-b424-0f346d9af00a reftype: Journal Article child_publication: /article/10.1016/j.landurbplan.2016.10.005 href: https://data.globalchange.gov/reference/781c4f1b-e0ab-4fcd-b424-0f346d9af00a.yaml identifier: 781c4f1b-e0ab-4fcd-b424-0f346d9af00a uri: /reference/781c4f1b-e0ab-4fcd-b424-0f346d9af00a - attrs: .reference_type: 9 Date: December 2012 Editor: "Vose, J. M.\rPeterson, D.L.\rPatel-Weynand, T." Number of Pages: 265 Place Published: 'Portland, OR' Publisher: 'U.S. Department of Agriculture, Forest Service, Pacific Northwest Research Station' Title: 'Effects of Climatic Variability and Change on Forest Ecosystems: A Comprehensive Science Synthesis for the U.S. Forest Sector. General Technical Report PNW-GTR-870' URL: http://www.usda.gov/oce/climate_change/effects_2012/FS_Climate1114%20opt.pdf Year: 2012 _chapter: '["RF 10","Ch. 28: Adaptation FINAL","Ch. 17: Southeast and Caribbean FINAL","Ch. 7: Forests FINAL"]' _record_number: 3307 _uuid: 78f2cbd8-d8f2-4d99-abbd-017bad4d52f1 reftype: Edited Book child_publication: /report/usfs-pnw-gtr-870 href: https://data.globalchange.gov/reference/78f2cbd8-d8f2-4d99-abbd-017bad4d52f1.yaml identifier: 78f2cbd8-d8f2-4d99-abbd-017bad4d52f1 uri: /reference/78f2cbd8-d8f2-4d99-abbd-017bad4d52f1 - attrs: .reference_type: 7 Author: 'Allan, J. David; Margaret Palmer; N. Leroy Poff' Book Title: Climate Change and Biodiversity Editor: 'Lovejoy, Thomas E.; Hannah, Lee' ISBN: 978-0300119800 Pages: 274-290 Place Published: 'Ann Arbor, MI' Publisher: Yale University Press Title: Climate change and freshwater ecosystems Year: 2005 _record_number: 26623 _uuid: 793bb110-f9eb-43d2-a0bb-2898e426754d reftype: Book Section child_publication: /book/a8ea0339-22c2-48f7-ade1-0313028e645f href: https://data.globalchange.gov/reference/793bb110-f9eb-43d2-a0bb-2898e426754d.yaml identifier: 793bb110-f9eb-43d2-a0bb-2898e426754d uri: /reference/793bb110-f9eb-43d2-a0bb-2898e426754d - attrs: Abstract: "Traditional ecological knowledge (TEK) has been proposed as a basis for enhanced understanding of ecological systems and their management. TEK also can contribute to targeted inventories of resources not included in standard mensuration. We discuss the results of a cooperative effort between the Great Lakes Indian Fish and Wildlife Commission (GLIFWC) and USDA Forest Service's Forest Inventory and Analysis Program (FIA). At the urging of member tribes, GLIFWC staff worked with tribal gatherers to document TEK regarding desired characteristics of birch bark for traditional uses and translated this into an inventory field guide. The guide was provided to FIA, which incorporated the methods into its field manual and trained inventory crews in implementation of the protocol. Birch bark data were collected during three field seasons from 2004 to 2006. Results show birch bark supply has declined. Lessons learned from this multiyear, multistage project provide a model for future targeted inventory efforts." Author: 'Emery, Marla R.; Wrobel, Alexandra; Hansen, Mark H.; Dockry, Michael; Moser, W. Keith; Stark, Kekek Jason; Gilbert, Jonathan H.' DOI: 10.5849/jof.13-023 Date: // Issue: 2 Journal: Journal of Forestry Keywords: American Indians; Betula papyrifera; forest inventory and monitoring; nontimber forest products; traditional ecological knowledge Pages: 207-214 Title: 'Using traditional ecological knowledge as a basis for targeted forest inventories: Paper birch (Betula papyrifera) in the US Great Lakes region' Volume: 112 Year: 2014 _record_number: 21237 _uuid: 7ab64dd2-34e6-41b9-ae7d-af75fb48942f reftype: Journal Article child_publication: /article/10.5849/jof.13-023 href: https://data.globalchange.gov/reference/7ab64dd2-34e6-41b9-ae7d-af75fb48942f.yaml identifier: 7ab64dd2-34e6-41b9-ae7d-af75fb48942f uri: /reference/7ab64dd2-34e6-41b9-ae7d-af75fb48942f - attrs: .reference_type: 0 Author: "Pan, Z.\rAndrade, D.\rSegal, M.\rWimberley, J.\rMcKinney, N.\rTakle, E." DOI: 10.1016/j.ecolmodel.2009.11.013 ISSN: 0304-3800 Issue: 5 Journal: Ecological Modelling Pages: 876-881 Title: Uncertainty in future soil carbon trends at a central US site under an ensemble of GCM scenario climates Volume: 221 Year: 2010 _chapter: '["Ch. 6: Agriculture FINAL"]' _record_number: 2414 _uuid: 7ae7606e-7f35-456d-8ace-2456b176956b reftype: Journal Article child_publication: /article/10.1016/j.ecolmodel.2009.11.013 href: https://data.globalchange.gov/reference/7ae7606e-7f35-456d-8ace-2456b176956b.yaml identifier: 7ae7606e-7f35-456d-8ace-2456b176956b uri: /reference/7ae7606e-7f35-456d-8ace-2456b176956b - attrs: .reference_type: 10 Author: 'Leatherberry, Earl C.; Moser, W. Keith; Perry, Charles; Woodall, Christopher; Jepsen, Edward; Pennington, Steve; Flickinger, Aron.' Institution: 'U.S. Department of Agriculture, Forest Service, North Central Research Station' Pages: 84 Place Published: 'St. Paul, MN' Series Volume: Resource Bulletin NC-266A Title: Iowa’s Forests 1999-2003 (Part A) URL: https://www.nrs.fs.fed.us/pubs/rb/rb_nc266a.pdf Year: 2006 _record_number: 21271 _uuid: 7b27a46f-a250-442c-8fe1-1700b55adfd9 reftype: Report child_publication: /report/iowas-forests-1999-2003-part href: https://data.globalchange.gov/reference/7b27a46f-a250-442c-8fe1-1700b55adfd9.yaml identifier: 7b27a46f-a250-442c-8fe1-1700b55adfd9 uri: /reference/7b27a46f-a250-442c-8fe1-1700b55adfd9 - attrs: Author: 'Briley, Laura; Brown, Daniel; Kalafatis, Scott E.' DOI: 10.1016/j.crm.2015.04.004 Date: 2015/01/01/ ISSN: 2212-0963 Journal: Climate Risk Management Keywords: Climate change adaptation; Boundary organization; Information usability; Decision support Pages: 41-49 Title: Overcoming barriers during the co-production of climate information for decision-making Volume: 9 Year: 2015 _record_number: 21130 _uuid: 7b490de7-7bcd-4e31-b512-9deaa3a5eba7 reftype: Journal Article child_publication: /article/10.1016/j.crm.2015.04.004 href: https://data.globalchange.gov/reference/7b490de7-7bcd-4e31-b512-9deaa3a5eba7.yaml identifier: 7b490de7-7bcd-4e31-b512-9deaa3a5eba7 uri: /reference/7b490de7-7bcd-4e31-b512-9deaa3a5eba7 - attrs: Author: 'Magee, Madeline R.; McIntyre, Peter B.; Wu, Chin H.' DOI: 10.1139/cjfas-2017-0260 Date: 2018/08/01 ISSN: 0706-652X Issue: 8 Journal: Canadian Journal of Fisheries and Aquatic Sciences Pages: 1303-1312 Publisher: NRC Research Press Title: Modeling oxythermal stress for cool-water fishes in lakes using a cumulative dosage approach Volume: 75 Year: 2017 _record_number: 26596 _uuid: 7b8ff0c6-1f7b-4f8d-b899-a5b0427eccd3 reftype: Journal Article child_publication: /article/10.1139/cjfas-2017-0260 href: https://data.globalchange.gov/reference/7b8ff0c6-1f7b-4f8d-b899-a5b0427eccd3.yaml identifier: 7b8ff0c6-1f7b-4f8d-b899-a5b0427eccd3 uri: /reference/7b8ff0c6-1f7b-4f8d-b899-a5b0427eccd3 - attrs: .reference_type: 10 Author: 'Ozaukee Washington Land Trust,' Institution: Ozaukee Washington Land Trust Pages: 8 Place Published: 'West Bend, WI' Title: 'Open spaces: 2016 annual report' Year: 2016 _record_number: 21311 _uuid: 7badb8b5-90d3-4124-9b87-e79982c57c62 reftype: Report child_publication: /report/open-spaces-2016-annual-report href: https://data.globalchange.gov/reference/7badb8b5-90d3-4124-9b87-e79982c57c62.yaml identifier: 7badb8b5-90d3-4124-9b87-e79982c57c62 uri: /reference/7badb8b5-90d3-4124-9b87-e79982c57c62 - attrs: Abstract: 'Pollinators such as bees are essential to the functioning of terrestrial ecosystems. However, despite concerns about a global pollinator crisis, long-term data on the status of bee species are limited. We present a long-term study of relative rates of change for an entire regional bee fauna in the northeastern United States, based on >30,000 museum records representing 438 species. Over a 140-y period, aggregate native species richness weakly decreased, but richness declines were significant only for the genus Bombus. Of 187 native species analyzed individually, only three declined steeply, all of these in the genus Bombus. However, there were large shifts in community composition, as indicated by 56% of species showing significant changes in relative abundance over time. Traits associated with a declining relative abundance include small dietary and phenological breadth and large body size. In addition, species with lower latitudinal range boundaries are increasing in relative abundance, a finding that may represent a response to climate change. We show that despite marked increases in human population density and large changes in anthropogenic land use, aggregate native species richness declines were modest outside of the genus Bombus. At the same time, we find that certain ecological traits are associated with declines in relative abundance. These results should help target conservation efforts focused on maintaining native bee abundance and diversity and therefore the important ecosystems services that they provide.' Author: 'Bartomeus, I.; Ascher, J. S.; Gibbs, J.; Danforth, B. N.; Wagner, D. L.; Hedtke, S. M.; Winfree, R.' DOI: 10.1073/pnas.1218503110 Date: Mar 19 EPub Date: 2013/03/15 ISSN: "1091-6490 (Electronic)\r0027-8424 (Linking)" Issue: 12 Journal: Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America Keywords: 'Adaptation, Physiological; Animals; Bees/ physiology; Biodiversity; Humans; Pollination; Population Dynamics; United States' Language: eng Name of Database: ' ' PMCID: 3606985 Pages: 4656-4660 Title: Historical changes in northeastern US bee pollinators related to shared ecological traits Volume: 110 Year: 2013 _record_number: 4106 _uuid: 7cde5513-8e00-4645-80ec-d3c82b9f8984 reftype: Journal Article child_publication: /article/10.1073/pnas.1218503110 href: https://data.globalchange.gov/reference/7cde5513-8e00-4645-80ec-d3c82b9f8984.yaml identifier: 7cde5513-8e00-4645-80ec-d3c82b9f8984 uri: /reference/7cde5513-8e00-4645-80ec-d3c82b9f8984 - attrs: .reference_type: 10 Author: 'Stults, M.; Petersen, S.; Bell, J.; Baule, W.; Nasser, E.; Gibbons, E.; Fougerat, M.' Institution: 1854 Treaty Authority Pages: 146 Place Published: 'Duluth, MN' Title: 'Climate Change Vulnerability Assessment and Adaptation Plan: 1854 Ceded Territory Including the Bois Forte, Fond du Lac, and Grand Portage Reservations' URL: http://www.1854treatyauthority.org/images/ClimateAdaptationPlan_Final-July_2016-optimized(1).pdf Year: 2016 _record_number: 21276 _uuid: 7e39f05f-d63f-473a-87c3-93d733ea178b reftype: Report child_publication: /report/climate-change-vulnerability-assessment-adaptation-plan-1854-ceded-territory-including-bois-forte-fond-du-lac-grand-portage-reservations href: https://data.globalchange.gov/reference/7e39f05f-d63f-473a-87c3-93d733ea178b.yaml identifier: 7e39f05f-d63f-473a-87c3-93d733ea178b uri: /reference/7e39f05f-d63f-473a-87c3-93d733ea178b - attrs: Author: 'Petersen, Brian; Hall, Kimberly R.; Kahl, Katherine; Doran, Patrick J.' DOI: 10.1017/S1466046613000446 Date: 2013/12/01 ISSN: 1466-0466 Issue: 4 Journal: Environmental Practice Pages: 377-392 Publisher: Taylor & Francis Title: "Research articles: In their own words: Perceptions of climate change adaptation from the Great Lakes region's resource management community" Volume: 15 Year: 2013 _record_number: 21152 _uuid: 7eef3fed-521b-44d2-a567-628b92e45eaa reftype: Journal Article child_publication: /article/10.1017/S1466046613000446 href: https://data.globalchange.gov/reference/7eef3fed-521b-44d2-a567-628b92e45eaa.yaml identifier: 7eef3fed-521b-44d2-a567-628b92e45eaa uri: /reference/7eef3fed-521b-44d2-a567-628b92e45eaa - attrs: Abstract: 'Most Lyme disease cases in the Midwestern United States are reported in Minnesota and Wisconsin. In recent years, however, a widening geographic extent of Lyme disease has been noted with evidence of expansion eastwards into Michigan and neighboring states with historically low incidence rates.Methods.We collected confirmed and probable cases of Lyme disease from 2000 through 2014 from the Michigan Department of Health and Human Services, entering them in a geographic information system. We performed spatial focal cluster analyses to characterize Lyme disease expansion. We compared the distribution of human cases with recent Ixodes scapularis tick distribution studies.Results.Lyme disease cases in both the Upper and Lower Peninsulas of Michigan expanded more than 5-fold over the study period. Although increases were seen throughout the Upper Peninsula, the Lower Peninsula particularly expanded along the Indiana border north along the eastern shore of Lake Michigan. Human cases corresponded to a simultaneous expansion in established I scapularis tick populations.Conclusions.The geographic distribution of Lyme disease cases significantly expanded in Michigan between 2000 and 2014, particularly northward along the Lake Michigan shore. If such dynamic trends continue, Michigan—and possibly neighboring areas of Indiana, Ohio, and Ontario, Canada—can expect a continued increase in Lyme disease cases.' Author: 'Lantos, Paul M.; Tsao, Jean; Nigrovic, Lise E.; Auwaerter, Paul G.; Fowler, Vance G.; Ruffin, Felicia; Foster, Erik; Hickling, Graham' DOI: 10.1093/ofid/ofw269 Issue: 1 Journal: Open Forum Infectious Diseases Pages: Art. ofw269 Title: 'Geographic expansion of Lyme disease in Michigan, 2000–2014' Volume: 4 Year: 2017 _record_number: 21290 _uuid: 7f78088e-7e0d-429b-ba67-eeaac737f8fa reftype: Journal Article child_publication: /article/10.1093/ofid/ofw269 href: https://data.globalchange.gov/reference/7f78088e-7e0d-429b-ba67-eeaac737f8fa.yaml identifier: 7f78088e-7e0d-429b-ba67-eeaac737f8fa uri: /reference/7f78088e-7e0d-429b-ba67-eeaac737f8fa - attrs: Author: 'Heltberg, Rasmus; Siegel, Paul Bennett; Jorgensen, Steen Lau' DOI: 10.1016/j.gloenvcha.2008.11.003 Date: 2009/02/01/ ISSN: 0959-3780 Issue: 1 Journal: Global Environmental Change Keywords: Adaptation; Climate change; Social risk management; Vulnerability; No-regrets Pages: 89-99 Title: 'Addressing human vulnerability to climate change: Toward a "no-regrets" approach' Volume: 19 Year: 2009 _record_number: 21139 _uuid: 7fb36681-5694-4e74-93ec-65a153a17572 reftype: Journal Article child_publication: /article/10.1016/j.gloenvcha.2008.11.003 href: https://data.globalchange.gov/reference/7fb36681-5694-4e74-93ec-65a153a17572.yaml identifier: 7fb36681-5694-4e74-93ec-65a153a17572 uri: /reference/7fb36681-5694-4e74-93ec-65a153a17572 - attrs: Abstract: 'The sea lamprey Petromyzon marinus (Linnaeus) is both an invasive non-native species in the Laurentian Great Lakes of North America and an imperiled species in much of its native range in North America and Europe. To compare and contrast how understanding of population ecology is useful for control programs in the Great Lakes and restoration programs in Europe, we review current understanding of the population ecology of the sea lamprey in its native and introduced range. Some attributes of sea lamprey population ecology are particularly useful for both control programs in the Great Lakes and restoration programs in the native range. First, traps within fish ladders are beneficial for removing sea lampreys in Great Lakes streams and passing sea lampreys in the native range. Second, attractants and repellants are suitable for luring sea lampreys into traps for control in the Great Lakes and guiding sea lamprey passage for conservation in the native range. Third, assessment methods used for targeting sea lamprey control in the Great Lakes are useful for targeting habitat protection in the native range. Last, assessment methods used to quantify numbers of all life stages of sea lampreys would be appropriate for measuring success of control in the Great Lakes and success of conservation in the native range.' Author: 'Hansen, Michael J.; Madenjian, Charles P.; Slade, Jeffrey W.; Steeves, Todd B.; Almeida, Pedro R.; Quintella, Bernardo R.' DOI: 10.1007/s11160-016-9440-3 Date: September 01 ISSN: 1573-5184 Issue: 3 Journal: Reviews in Fish Biology and Fisheries Pages: 509-535 Title: Population ecology of the sea lamprey (Petromyzon marinus) as an invasive species in the Laurentian Great Lakes and an imperiled species in Europe Type of Article: journal article Volume: 26 Year: 2016 _record_number: 21121 _uuid: 7ff44a61-b6b5-4e65-9cdc-6b4d8265bf82 reftype: Journal Article child_publication: /article/10.1007/s11160-016-9440-3 href: https://data.globalchange.gov/reference/7ff44a61-b6b5-4e65-9cdc-6b4d8265bf82.yaml identifier: 7ff44a61-b6b5-4e65-9cdc-6b4d8265bf82 uri: /reference/7ff44a61-b6b5-4e65-9cdc-6b4d8265bf82 - attrs: Author: 'Kelly, Sara A.; Takbiri, Zeinab; Belmont, Patrick; Foufoula-Georgiou, Efi' DOI: 10.5194/hess-21-5065-2017 ISSN: 1607-7938 Issue: 10 Journal: Hydrology and Earth System Sciences Pages: 5065-5088 Publisher: Copernicus Publications Title: Human amplified changes in precipitation–runoff patterns in large river basins of the Midwestern United States Volume: 21 Year: 2017 _record_number: 26585 _uuid: 80341782-104c-4415-8650-70dd485b2246 reftype: Journal Article child_publication: /article/10.5194/hess-21-5065-2017 href: https://data.globalchange.gov/reference/80341782-104c-4415-8650-70dd485b2246.yaml identifier: 80341782-104c-4415-8650-70dd485b2246 uri: /reference/80341782-104c-4415-8650-70dd485b2246 - attrs: Abstract: 'Flooding in the Mississippi basin has become increasingly uncertain, and a succession of progressively higher, peak annual water levels is observed at many sites. Many record levels set in the central USA by the huge 1993 flood have already been superseded. Methodology developed elsewhere that recognizes trends of river stages is used to estimate present-day flood risk at 27 sites in the Mississippi basin that have >100 years of continuous stage record. Unlike official estimates that are fundamentally based on discharge, this methodology requires only data on river stage. A novel plot linearizes the official flood levels that are indirectly derived from the complex, discharge-based calculations and demonstrates that the neglect of trends has resulted in the effective use of undersized means and standard deviations in flood risk analysis. A severe consequence is that official “base flood” levels are underestimated by 0.4 to 2 m at many sites in the central USA.' Author: 'Criss, Robert E.; Luo, Mingming' DOI: 10.1002/hyp.11097 Issue: 6 Journal: Hydrological Processes Pages: 1283-1292 Title: Increasing risk and uncertainty of flooding in the Mississippi River basin Volume: 31 Year: 2017 _record_number: 26563 _uuid: 80446a6f-156b-48ee-9b50-faabef3a1e52 reftype: Journal Article child_publication: /article/10.1002/hyp.11097 href: https://data.globalchange.gov/reference/80446a6f-156b-48ee-9b50-faabef3a1e52.yaml identifier: 80446a6f-156b-48ee-9b50-faabef3a1e52 uri: /reference/80446a6f-156b-48ee-9b50-faabef3a1e52 - attrs: .reference_type: 16 Author: 'NCGA,' Place Published: 'Chesterfield, MO' Publisher: National Corn Growers Association (NCGA) Title: 'Soil Health Partnership [web page]' URL: https://www.soilhealthpartnership.org/ Year: 2018 _record_number: 26609 _uuid: 80f7a770-614e-4190-a3d5-9d860c4011f3 reftype: Web Page child_publication: /webpage/1b0315e4-0fc4-4663-955e-54d6051dfc80 href: https://data.globalchange.gov/reference/80f7a770-614e-4190-a3d5-9d860c4011f3.yaml identifier: 80f7a770-614e-4190-a3d5-9d860c4011f3 uri: /reference/80f7a770-614e-4190-a3d5-9d860c4011f3 - attrs: .reference_type: 10 Author: 'Brubaker, Michael; Bell, Jake; Berner, James; Black, Mike; Chaven, Raj; Smith, Jeff; Warren, John' Institution: Alaska Native Tribal Health Consortium Pages: 54 Place Published: 'Anchorage, AK' Title: 'Climate Change in Noatak, Alaska: Strategies for Community Health' URL: https://anthc.org/wp-content/uploads/2016/01/CCH_AR_062011_Climate-Change-in-Noatak.pdf Year: 2011 _record_number: 26556 _uuid: 82e085fc-01f9-4484-a006-e4137793c49a reftype: Report child_publication: /report/climate-change-noatak-alaska-strategies-community-health href: https://data.globalchange.gov/reference/82e085fc-01f9-4484-a006-e4137793c49a.yaml identifier: 82e085fc-01f9-4484-a006-e4137793c49a uri: /reference/82e085fc-01f9-4484-a006-e4137793c49a - attrs: Abstract: 'Maize (Zea mays L.) and soybean (Glycine max (L.) Merr.) are the dominant grain crops across the Midwest and are grown on 75% of the arable land with small but economically important crops of wheat (Triticum aestivum L.) and oats (Avena sativa L.) but economically important crops. Historically, there have been variations in annual yields for maize and soybean related to the seasonal weather patterns. Key concerns are the impacts of future climate change on maize and soybean production and their vulnerability to future climate changes. To evaluate these, we analyzed the yield gaps as the difference between the attainable and actual yield at the county level and observed meteorological data to determine which seasonal meteorological variables were dominant in quantifying the actual/attainable yields. July maximum temperatures, August minimum temperatures, and July–August total precipitation were found to be the significant factors affecting the yield gap. These relationships were used to estimate the change in the yield gap through 2100 using both the RCP 4.5 and 8.5 climate scenarios for these variables for selected counties across the Midwest. Yield gaps increased with time for maize across the Midwest with the largest increases in the southern portion of the Corn Belt showing a large north-south gradient in the increase of the yield gap and minimal east-west gradient. Soybean was not as sensitive as maize because the projected temperatures do not exceed optimum temperature ranges for growth and reductions in production that are more sensitive to precipitation changes during the reproductive stages. Adaptation strategies for maize and soybean will require more innovation than simple agronomic management and require the linkage between geneticists, agronomists, and agricultural meteorologists to develop innovative strategies to preserve production in the Midwest.' Author: 'Hatfield, J. L.; Wright-Morton, Lois; Hall, Beth' DOI: 10.1007/s10584-017-1997-x Date: June 12 ISSN: 1573-1480 Issue: 1-2 Journal: Climatic Change Pages: 263-275 Title: Vulnerability of grain crops and croplands in the Midwest to climatic variability and adaptation strategies Type of Article: journal article Volume: 146 Year: 2018 _record_number: 23530 _uuid: 83a3b10a-7eeb-4b2e-a3c0-4cf8fb10de7a reftype: Journal Article child_publication: /article/10.1007/s10584-017-1997-x href: https://data.globalchange.gov/reference/83a3b10a-7eeb-4b2e-a3c0-4cf8fb10de7a.yaml identifier: 83a3b10a-7eeb-4b2e-a3c0-4cf8fb10de7a uri: /reference/83a3b10a-7eeb-4b2e-a3c0-4cf8fb10de7a - attrs: Author: 'Kousky, Carolyn' DOI: 10.1080/19390459.2010.511451 Date: 2010/10/18 ISSN: 1939-0459 Issue: 4 Journal: Journal of Natural Resources Policy Research Pages: 343-356 Publisher: Routledge Title: Using natural capital to reduce disaster risk Volume: 2 Year: 2010 _record_number: 21175 _uuid: 83cb3cb9-c2e7-4199-8bb4-b67cd8884512 reftype: Journal Article child_publication: /article/10.1080/19390459.2010.511451 href: https://data.globalchange.gov/reference/83cb3cb9-c2e7-4199-8bb4-b67cd8884512.yaml identifier: 83cb3cb9-c2e7-4199-8bb4-b67cd8884512 uri: /reference/83cb3cb9-c2e7-4199-8bb4-b67cd8884512 - attrs: Abstract: 'U.S. hourly surface observations are examined at 145 stations to identify annual and seasonal changes in temperature, dewpoint, relative humidity, and specific humidity since 1930. Because of numerous systematic instrument changes that have occurred, a homogeneity assessment was performed on temperatures and dewpoints. Dewpoints contained higher breakpoint detection rates associated with instrumentation changes than did temperatures. Temperature trends were tempered by adjusting the data, whereas dewpoints were unaffected. The effects were the same whether the adjustments were based on statistically detected or fixed-year breakpoints. Average long-term trends (1930–2010) indicate that temperature has warmed but that little change has occurred in dewpoint and specific humidity. Warming is strongest in spring. There is evidence of inhomogeneity in the relative humidity record that primarily affects data from prior to 1950. Therefore, long-term decreases in relative humidity, which are strongest in winter, need to be viewed with caution. Trends since 1947 indicate that the warming of temperatures has coincided with increases in dewpoints and a moistening of specific humidity. This moistening is especially pronounced during the summer in the Midwest. For the nation, trends in relative humidity show little change for the period 1947–2010, during which these data are more homogeneous. Moistening has occurred throughout the central United States while other regions have experienced drying. Urban-related warming and drying trends are present in the data, but their effect is minimal. Regional changes in land use and moisture availability are likely influencing trends in atmospheric moisture.' Author: 'Brown, Paula J.; Arthur T. DeGaetano' DOI: 10.1175/jamc-d-12-035.1 Issue: 1 Journal: Journal of Applied Meteorology and Climatology Keywords: 'Climate change,Surface temperature,Water vapor' Pages: 147-163 Title: 'Trends in U.S. surface humidity, 1930–2010' Volume: 52 Year: 2013 _record_number: 21201 _uuid: 83d23b83-2a04-4a6b-bdfa-caa8b54b1ccf reftype: Journal Article child_publication: /article/10.1175/jamc-d-12-035.1 href: https://data.globalchange.gov/reference/83d23b83-2a04-4a6b-bdfa-caa8b54b1ccf.yaml identifier: 83d23b83-2a04-4a6b-bdfa-caa8b54b1ccf uri: /reference/83d23b83-2a04-4a6b-bdfa-caa8b54b1ccf