--- - attrs: Author: 'Deryng, Delphine; Elliott, Joshua; Folberth, Christian; Muller, Christoph; Pugh, Thomas A. M.; Boote, Kenneth J.; Conway, Declan; Ruane, Alex C.; Gerten, Dieter; Jones, James W.; Khabarov, Nikolay; Olin, Stefan; Schaphoff, Sibyll; Schmid, Erwin; Yang, Hong; Rosenzweig, Cynthia' DOI: 10.1038/nclimate2995 Date: 08//print ISSN: 1758-678X Issue: 8 Journal: Nature Climate Change Pages: 786-790 Publisher: Nature Publishing Group Title: Regional disparities in the beneficial effects of rising CO2 concentrations on crop water productivity Type of Article: Letter Volume: 6 Year: 2016 _record_number: 21159 _uuid: 01e5478f-21b6-4ecb-a360-d3ecb4416f3e reftype: Journal Article child_publication: /article/10.1038/nclimate2995 href: https://data.globalchange.gov/reference/01e5478f-21b6-4ecb-a360-d3ecb4416f3e.yaml identifier: 01e5478f-21b6-4ecb-a360-d3ecb4416f3e uri: /reference/01e5478f-21b6-4ecb-a360-d3ecb4416f3e - attrs: Author: 'Bryan, A. M.; Steiner, A. L.; Posselt, D. J.' DOI: 10.1002/2014JD022316 ISSN: 2169-8996 Issue: 3 Journal: Journal of Geophysical Research Atmospheres Keywords: land-atmosphere interactions; lake feedbacks; regional climate modeling; Great Lakes; hydroclimate; 1818 Evapotranspiration; 3322 Land/atmosphere interactions; 3355 Regional modeling Pages: 1044-1064 Title: Regional modeling of surface-atmosphere interactions and their impact on Great Lakes hydroclimate Volume: 120 Year: 2015 _record_number: 21106 _uuid: 03f91fdd-6d7d-431b-997b-91f63f52fe45 reftype: Journal Article child_publication: /article/10.1002/2014JD022316 href: https://data.globalchange.gov/reference/03f91fdd-6d7d-431b-997b-91f63f52fe45.yaml identifier: 03f91fdd-6d7d-431b-997b-91f63f52fe45 uri: /reference/03f91fdd-6d7d-431b-997b-91f63f52fe45 - attrs: Abstract: 'While there has been considerable focus on understanding barriers to climate information use associated with the character of climate knowledge, individuals’ negative perception of its usability and constraints of decision-contexts, less attention has been paid to understanding how different scales of decision-making influence information use. In this study, we explore how water and resource managers’ scales of decision-making and scope of decision responsibilities influence climate information use in two Great Lakes watersheds. We find that despite availability of tailored climate information, actual use of information remains low. Reasons include (a) lack of willingness to place climate on agendas because local managers perceive climate change as politically risky, (b) lack of formal mandate or authority at the city and county scale to translate climate information into on-the-ground action, (c) problems with the information itself, and (d) perceived lack of demand for climate information by those managers who have the mandate and authority to use (or help others use) climate information. Our findings suggest that (1) scientists and information brokers should produce information that meets a range of decision needs and reserve intensive tailoring efforts for decision makers who have willingness and authority to use climate information; (2) without support from higher levels of decision-making (e.g., state), it is unlikely that climate information use will accelerate significantly; and (3) the trend towards characterizing climate specific actions within a broader concept of sustainability practices, or “adaptation by stealth,” should be supported as a component of the climate adaptation repertoire.' Author: 'Rasmussen, Laura Vang; Kirchhoff, Christine J.; Lemos, Maria Carmen' DOI: 10.1007/s10584-016-1857-0 Date: February 01 ISSN: 1573-1480 Issue: 3 Journal: Climatic Change Pages: 451-465 Title: 'Adaptation by stealth: Climate information use in the Great Lakes region across scales' Type of Article: journal article Volume: 140 Year: 2017 _record_number: 21118 _uuid: 041b2d97-efb7-4c25-9c23-8e8db788bd25 reftype: Journal Article child_publication: /article/10.1007/s10584-016-1857-0 href: https://data.globalchange.gov/reference/041b2d97-efb7-4c25-9c23-8e8db788bd25.yaml identifier: 041b2d97-efb7-4c25-9c23-8e8db788bd25 uri: /reference/041b2d97-efb7-4c25-9c23-8e8db788bd25 - attrs: Abstract: 'The role of extreme weather events in shaping people’s climate change beliefs and adaptation attitudes has been extensively studied and discussed in academic literature, the popular press, and policy circles. In this manuscript, we contribute to the debate by using data from pre- and post-extreme event surveys to examine the effects of the 2012 Midwestern US drought on agricultural advisors’ climate change beliefs, adaptation attitudes, and risk perceptions. We found that neither climate change beliefs nor attitudes toward adaptation changed significantly as a result of the drought. Risk perceptions did change, however, with advisors becoming more concerned about risks from drought and pests and less concerned about risks related to flooding and ponding. Though increased risk perceptions were significantly associated with more favorable adaptation attitudes, the effects were not large enough to cause an overall shift to more favorable attitudes toward adaptation. The results suggest that extreme climate events might not cause significant shifts in climate beliefs, at least not immediately. Additionally, the results caution that policy designs that rely on increasing risk perceptions to motivate action on climate change may be overestimating the effects of extreme events on feeling at risk, at least in the context of buffered systems such as large commercial agriculture in the US.' Author: 'Carlton, J. Stuart; Mase, Amber S.; Knutson, Cody L.; Lemos, Maria Carmen; Haigh, Tonya; Todey, Dennis P.; Prokopy, Linda S.' DOI: 10.1007/s10584-015-1561-5 Date: March 01 ISSN: 1573-1480 Issue: 2 Journal: Climatic Change Pages: 211-226 Title: 'The effects of extreme drought on climate change beliefs, risk perceptions, and adaptation attitudes' Type of Article: journal article Volume: 135 Year: 2016 _record_number: 26559 _uuid: 043c2a1a-cb49-4ceb-b03e-a32771bd3292 reftype: Journal Article child_publication: /article/10.1007/s10584-015-1561-5 href: https://data.globalchange.gov/reference/043c2a1a-cb49-4ceb-b03e-a32771bd3292.yaml identifier: 043c2a1a-cb49-4ceb-b03e-a32771bd3292 uri: /reference/043c2a1a-cb49-4ceb-b03e-a32771bd3292 - attrs: .reference_type: 16 Author: 'NOAA NCEI,' Place Published: 'Asheville, NC' Publisher: NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information Title: 'Billion-Dollar Weather and Climate Disasters [web page]' URL: https://www.ncdc.noaa.gov/billions/events/US/1980-2017 Year: 2018 _record_number: 21310 _uuid: 04aa6da1-18ac-435a-b31d-f4f65da727df reftype: Web Page child_publication: /webpage/0e668d96-b03f-403d-9e60-a816c99c6ac4 href: https://data.globalchange.gov/reference/04aa6da1-18ac-435a-b31d-f4f65da727df.yaml identifier: 04aa6da1-18ac-435a-b31d-f4f65da727df uri: /reference/04aa6da1-18ac-435a-b31d-f4f65da727df - attrs: Abstract: "Achieving health benefits while reducing greenhouse gas emissions from transport offers a potential policy win-win; the magnitude of potential benefits, however, is likely to vary. This study uses an Integrated Transport and Health Impact Modelling tool (ITHIM) to evaluate the health and environmental impacts of high walking and cycling transport scenarios for English and Welsh urban areas outside London. Methods Three scenarios with increased walking and cycling and lower car use were generated based upon the Visions 2030 Walking and Cycling project. Changes to carbon dioxide emissions were estimated by environmental modelling. Health impact assessment modelling was used to estimate changes in Disability Adjusted Life Years (DALYs) resulting from changes in exposure to air pollution, road traffic injury risk, and physical activity. We compare the findings of the model with results generated using the World Health Organization's Health Economic Assessment of Transport (HEAT) tools. Results This study found considerable reductions in disease burden under all three scenarios, with the largest health benefits attributed to reductions in ischemic heart disease. The pathways that produced the largest benefits were, in order, physical activity, road traffic injuries, and air pollution. The choice of dose response relationship for physical activity had a large impact on the size of the benefits. Modelling the impact on all-cause mortality rather than through individual diseases suggested larger benefits. Using the best available evidence we found fewer road traffic injuries for all scenarios compared with baseline but alternative assumptions suggested potential increases. Conclusions Methods to estimate the health impacts from transport related physical activity and injury risk are in their infancy; this study has demonstrated an integration of transport and health impact modelling approaches. The findings add to the case for a move from car transport to walking and cycling, and have implications for empirical and modelling research." Author: 'Woodcock, James; Givoni, Moshe; Morgan, Andrei Scott' DOI: 10.1371/journal.pone.0051462 Issue: 1 Journal: PLOS ONE Pages: e51462 Publisher: Public Library of Science Title: Health impact modelling of active travel visions for England and Wales using an integrated transport and health impact modelling tool (ITHIM) Volume: 8 Year: 2013 _record_number: 21211 _uuid: 06634d89-c838-4a06-ad76-6fca7deef5c0 reftype: Journal Article child_publication: /article/10.1371/journal.pone.0051462 href: https://data.globalchange.gov/reference/06634d89-c838-4a06-ad76-6fca7deef5c0.yaml identifier: 06634d89-c838-4a06-ad76-6fca7deef5c0 uri: /reference/06634d89-c838-4a06-ad76-6fca7deef5c0 - attrs: Abstract: "Their higher production performance and feed conversion efficiency make today's chickens more susceptible to heat stress than ever before. The increasing proportion of poultry production in tropical and subtropical regions makes it necessary to reconsider the long-term selection strategy of today's commercial breeding programmes. Also, the importance of the potential use of Naked neck and Frizzle genes is accentuated. Nutritional strategies aimed to alleviate the negative effects of heat stress by maintaining feed intake, electrolytic and water balance or by supplementing micronutrients such as Vitamins and minerals to satisfy the special needs during heat stress have been proven advantageous. To enhance the birds' thermotolerance by early heat conditioning or feed restriction seems to be one of the most promising management methods in enhancing the heat resistance of broiler chickens in the short run." Author: 'Lin, H.; Jiao, H. C.; Buyse, J.; Decuypere, E.' DOI: 10.1079/WPS200585 Database Provider: Cambridge University Press EPub Date: 09/01 ISSN: 0043-9339 Issue: 1 Journal: World's Poultry Science Journal Keywords: heat stress; heat tolerance; naked neck gene; major gene; Vitamin; electrolyte; feeding; environment Name of Database: Cambridge Core Pages: 71-86 Publisher: Cambridge University Press on behalf of World's Poultry Science Association Title: Strategies for preventing heat stress in poultry Volume: 62 Year: 2007 _record_number: 21171 _uuid: 06f01e99-7afa-4be6-93ab-881cab8e56b8 reftype: Journal Article child_publication: /article/10.1079/WPS200585 href: https://data.globalchange.gov/reference/06f01e99-7afa-4be6-93ab-881cab8e56b8.yaml identifier: 06f01e99-7afa-4be6-93ab-881cab8e56b8 uri: /reference/06f01e99-7afa-4be6-93ab-881cab8e56b8 - attrs: Author: 'Hondula, David M.; Davis, Robert E.; Saha, Michael V.; Wegner, Carleigh R.; Veazey, Lindsay M.' DOI: 10.1016/j.envres.2015.02.033 Date: 2015/04/01/ ISSN: 0013-9351 Journal: Environmental Research Keywords: Heat; Mortality; Spatial; Vulnerability; Urban Pages: 439-452 Title: Geographic dimensions of heat-related mortality in seven U.S. cities Volume: 138 Year: 2015 _record_number: 21134 _uuid: 07bf9911-7206-4013-a51c-5c14abc490e0 reftype: Journal Article child_publication: /article/10.1016/j.envres.2015.02.033 href: https://data.globalchange.gov/reference/07bf9911-7206-4013-a51c-5c14abc490e0.yaml identifier: 07bf9911-7206-4013-a51c-5c14abc490e0 uri: /reference/07bf9911-7206-4013-a51c-5c14abc490e0 - attrs: .reference_type: 7 Author: 'Takle, Eugene S.; Chris Anderson; Manoj Jha; Philip W. Gassman' Book Title: Coastal Hydrology and Processes Editor: 'Singh, Vijay P.; Y. Jun Xu' ISBN: "978-1-887201-46-9\r\n" Pages: 135-142 Place Published: 'Highlands Ranch, CO' Publisher: Water Resources Publications LLC Title: 'Upper Mississippi River Basin Modeling Systems Part 4: Climate change impacts on flow and water quality' Year: 2006 _record_number: 25924 _uuid: 08a5617e-0a70-464a-acca-2fa167c19980 reftype: Book Section child_publication: /book/cc6cee77-d798-4a46-87c6-1e0b2bfd722c href: https://data.globalchange.gov/reference/08a5617e-0a70-464a-acca-2fa167c19980.yaml identifier: 08a5617e-0a70-464a-acca-2fa167c19980 uri: /reference/08a5617e-0a70-464a-acca-2fa167c19980 - attrs: Author: 'Anderson, Pamela K.; Cunningham, Andrew A.; Patel, Nikkita G.; Morales, Francisco J.; Epstein, Paul R.; Daszak, Peter' DOI: 10.1016/j.tree.2004.07.021 Date: 2004/10/01/ ISSN: 0169-5347 Issue: 10 Journal: Trends in Ecology & Evolution Pages: 535-544 Title: 'Emerging infectious diseases of plants: Pathogen pollution, climate change and agrotechnology drivers' Volume: 19 Year: 2004 _record_number: 21148 _uuid: 08aa118d-3131-4d8a-894f-8b342f1b6187 reftype: Journal Article child_publication: /article/10.1016/j.tree.2004.07.021 href: https://data.globalchange.gov/reference/08aa118d-3131-4d8a-894f-8b342f1b6187.yaml identifier: 08aa118d-3131-4d8a-894f-8b342f1b6187 uri: /reference/08aa118d-3131-4d8a-894f-8b342f1b6187 - attrs: Author: 'Werkheiser, Ian' DOI: 10.1080/02691728.2014.971911 Date: 2016/01/02 ISSN: 0269-1728 Issue: 1 Journal: Social Epistemology Pages: 25-44 Publisher: Routledge Title: Community epistemic capacity Volume: 30 Year: 2016 _record_number: 21173 _uuid: 093cbfa3-b7b8-44bd-b828-415363041d34 reftype: Journal Article child_publication: /article/10.1080/02691728.2014.971911 href: https://data.globalchange.gov/reference/093cbfa3-b7b8-44bd-b828-415363041d34.yaml identifier: 093cbfa3-b7b8-44bd-b828-415363041d34 uri: /reference/093cbfa3-b7b8-44bd-b828-415363041d34 - attrs: .reference_type: 10 Author: 'Swanston, Chris; Janowiak, Maria; Brandt, Leslie; Butler, Patricia; Handler, Stephen D.; Shannon, P. Danielle; Derby Lewis, Abigail; Hall, Kimbery; Fahey, Robert T.; Scott, Lydia; Kerber, Angela; Miesbauer, Jason W.; Darling, Lindsay' Institution: 'U.S. Department of Agriculture, Forest Service, Northern Research Station' Pages: 161 Place Published: 'Newtown Square, PA' Series Volume: Gen. Tech. Rep. NRS-87-2 Title: 'Forest Adaptation Resources: Climate Change Tools and Approaches for Land Managers, 2nd ed' URL: https://www.fs.fed.us/nrs/pubs/gtr/gtr_nrs87-2.pdf Year: 2016 _record_number: 21278 _uuid: 0a09b8e3-ab3b-43fc-8aa2-836e74c38dc6 reftype: Report child_publication: /report/forest-adaptation-resources-climate-change-tools-approaches-land-managers-2nd-ed href: https://data.globalchange.gov/reference/0a09b8e3-ab3b-43fc-8aa2-836e74c38dc6.yaml identifier: 0a09b8e3-ab3b-43fc-8aa2-836e74c38dc6 uri: /reference/0a09b8e3-ab3b-43fc-8aa2-836e74c38dc6 - attrs: .reference_type: 10 Author: 'GRAEF,; Hey and Associates Inc.,; CDM Smith,' Institution: Milwaukee Metropolitan Sewerage District Pages: 9 Place Published: 'Milwaukee, WI' Research Notes: https://www.mmsd.com/application/files/4314/9522/1491/KK_Watershed_Flood_Management_Plan_05_04_17_-_-EXECUTIVE_SUMMARY_002.pdf Title: 'Kinnickinnic River Watershed Flood Management Plan: Final Report. Executive Summary' URL: https://www.mmsd.com/application/files/4314/9522/1491/KK_Watershed_Flood_Management_Plan_05_04_17_-_-EXECUTIVE_SUMMARY_002.pdf Year: 2017 _record_number: 26598 _uuid: 0a2139b3-514c-4784-8fed-37831138aa6e reftype: Report child_publication: /report/kinnickinnic-river-watershed-flood-management-plan-final-report-executive-summary href: https://data.globalchange.gov/reference/0a2139b3-514c-4784-8fed-37831138aa6e.yaml identifier: 0a2139b3-514c-4784-8fed-37831138aa6e uri: /reference/0a2139b3-514c-4784-8fed-37831138aa6e - attrs: Author: "O'Reilly, Catherine M.; Sharma, Sapna; Gray, Derek K.; Hampton, Stephanie E.; Read, Jordan S.; Rowley, Rex J.; Schneider, Philipp; Lenters, John D.; McIntyre, Peter B.; Kraemer, Benjamin M.; Weyhenmeyer, Gesa A.; Straile, Dietmar; Dong, Bo; Adrian, Rita; Allan, Mathew G.; Anneville, Orlane; Arvola, Lauri; Austin, Jay; Bailey, John L.; Baron, Jill S.; Brookes, Justin D.; de Eyto, Elvira; Dokulil, Martin T.; Hamilton, David P.; Havens, Karl; Hetherington, Amy L.; Higgins, Scott N.; Hook, Simon; Izmest'eva, Lyubov R.; Joehnk, Klaus D.; Kangur, Kulli; Kasprzak, Peter; Kumagai, Michio; Kuusisto, Esko; Leshkevich, George; Livingstone, David M.; MacIntyre, Sally; May, Linda; Melack, John M.; Mueller-Navarra, Doerthe C.; Naumenko, Mikhail; Noges, Peeter; Noges, Tiina; North, Ryan P.; Plisnier, Pierre-Denis; Rigosi, Anna; Rimmer, Alon; Rogora, Michela; Rudstam, Lars G.; Rusak, James A.; Salmaso, Nico; Samal, Nihar R.; Schindler, Daniel E.; Schladow, S. Geoffrey; Schmid, Martin; Schmidt, Silke R.; Silow, Eugene; Soylu, M. Evren; Teubner, Katrin; Verburg, Piet; Voutilainen, Ari; Watkinson, Andrew; Williamson, Craig E.; Zhang, Guoqing" DOI: 10.1002/2015GL066235 ISSN: 1944-8007 Issue: 24 Journal: Geophysical Research Letters Keywords: lakes; climate change; temperature; 0746 Lakes; 1605 Abrupt/rapid climate change; 1807 Climate impacts; 4942 Limnology Pages: '10,773-10,781' Title: Rapid and highly variable warming of lake surface waters around the globe Volume: 42 Year: 2015 _record_number: 21107 _uuid: 0a32a5fe-c148-4fc4-a7bb-d8f971dd6958 reftype: Journal Article child_publication: /article/10.1002/2015GL066235 href: https://data.globalchange.gov/reference/0a32a5fe-c148-4fc4-a7bb-d8f971dd6958.yaml identifier: 0a32a5fe-c148-4fc4-a7bb-d8f971dd6958 uri: /reference/0a32a5fe-c148-4fc4-a7bb-d8f971dd6958 - attrs: Author: 'Jacobson, Peter C.; Jones, Thomas S.; Rivers, Pat; Pereira, Donald L.' DOI: 10.1577/T07-148.1 Date: 2008/09/01 ISSN: 0002-8487 Issue: 5 Journal: Transactions of the American Fisheries Society Pages: 1464-1474 Publisher: Taylor & Francis Title: Field estimation of a lethal oxythermal niche boundary for adult ciscoes in Minnesota lakes Volume: 137 Year: 2008 _record_number: 26579 _uuid: 0af726e2-a84b-4ac8-bb59-6aa07326ef7b reftype: Journal Article child_publication: /article/10.1577/T07-148.1 href: https://data.globalchange.gov/reference/0af726e2-a84b-4ac8-bb59-6aa07326ef7b.yaml identifier: 0af726e2-a84b-4ac8-bb59-6aa07326ef7b uri: /reference/0af726e2-a84b-4ac8-bb59-6aa07326ef7b - attrs: .reference_type: 10 Author: 'EPA,' Institution: U.S. Environmental Protection Agency (EPA) Pages: 271 Place Published: 'Washington, DC' Series Volume: EPA 430‐R‐17‐001 Title: 'Multi-model Framework for Quantitative Sectoral Impacts Analysis: A Technical Report for the Fourth National Climate Assessment' URL: https://cfpub.epa.gov/si/si_public_record_Report.cfm?dirEntryId=335095 Year: 2017 _record_number: 21365 _uuid: 0b30f1ab-e4c4-4837-aa8b-0e19faccdb94 reftype: Report child_publication: /report/epa-multi-model-framework-for-quantitative-sectoral-impacts-analysis-2017 href: https://data.globalchange.gov/reference/0b30f1ab-e4c4-4837-aa8b-0e19faccdb94.yaml identifier: 0b30f1ab-e4c4-4837-aa8b-0e19faccdb94 uri: /reference/0b30f1ab-e4c4-4837-aa8b-0e19faccdb94 - attrs: Author: 'Grigal, David F.' DOI: 10.1016/S0378-1127(00)00395-9 Date: 2000/11/01/ ISSN: 0378-1127 Issue: 1 Journal: Forest Ecology and Management Keywords: Soil productivity; Forest harvest; Nutrient depletion; Soil physical properties Pages: 167-185 Title: Effects of extensive forest management on soil productivity Volume: 138 Year: 2000 _record_number: 21150 _uuid: 0b311f1c-c76f-4e2d-81a2-fab6626c2efb reftype: Journal Article child_publication: /article/10.1016/S0378-1127(00)00395-9 href: https://data.globalchange.gov/reference/0b311f1c-c76f-4e2d-81a2-fab6626c2efb.yaml identifier: 0b311f1c-c76f-4e2d-81a2-fab6626c2efb uri: /reference/0b311f1c-c76f-4e2d-81a2-fab6626c2efb - attrs: Author: 'Landis, Douglas A.' DOI: 10.1088/1748-9326/aa825c ISSN: 1748-9326 Issue: 10 Journal: Environmental Research Letters Pages: 101003 Title: Productive engagement with agriculture essential to monarch butterfly conservation Volume: 12 Year: 2017 _record_number: 26591 _uuid: 0b9ab850-d8fc-45df-b2d4-64b0f3f09585 reftype: Journal Article child_publication: /article/10.1088/1748-9326/aa825c href: https://data.globalchange.gov/reference/0b9ab850-d8fc-45df-b2d4-64b0f3f09585.yaml identifier: 0b9ab850-d8fc-45df-b2d4-64b0f3f09585 uri: /reference/0b9ab850-d8fc-45df-b2d4-64b0f3f09585 - attrs: Abstract: 'The eastern migratory population of monarch butterflies ( Danaus plexippus plexippus ) has declined by >80% within the last two decades. One possible cause of this decline is the loss of ≥1.3 billion stems of milkweed ( Asclepias spp.), which monarchs require for reproduction. In an effort to restore monarchs to a population goal established by the US Fish and Wildlife Service and adopted by Mexico, Canada, and the US, we developed scenarios for amending the Midwestern US landscape with milkweed. Scenarios for milkweed restoration were developed for protected area grasslands, Conservation Reserve Program land, powerline, rail and roadside rights of way, urban/suburban lands, and land in agricultural production. Agricultural land was further divided into productive and marginal cropland. We elicited expert opinion as to the biological potential (in stems per acre) for lands in these individual sectors to support milkweed restoration and the likely adoption (probability) of management practices necessary for affecting restoration. Sixteen of 218 scenarios we developed for restoring milkweed to the Midwestern US were at levels (>1.3 billion new stems) necessary to reach the monarch population goal. One of these scenarios would convert all marginal agriculture to conserved status. The other 15 scenarios converted half of marginal agriculture (730 million stems), with remaining stems contributed by other societal sectors. Scenarios without substantive agricultural participation were insufficient for attaining the population goal. Agricultural lands are essential to reaching restoration targets because they occupy 77% of all potential monarch habitat. Barring fundamental changes to policy, innovative application of economic tools such as habitat exchanges may provide sufficient resources to tip the balance of the agro-ecological landscape toward a setting conducive to both robust agricultural production and reduced imperilment of the migratory monarch butterfly.' Author: 'Thogmartin, Wayne E.; Laura López-Hoffman; Jason Rohweder; Jay Diffendorfer; Ryan Drum; Darius Semmens; Scott Black; Iris Caldwell; Donita Cotter; Pauline Drobney; Laura L. Jackson; Michael Gale; Doug Helmers; Steve Hilburger; Elizabeth Howard; Karen Oberhauser; John Pleasants; Brice Semmens; Orley Taylor; Patrick Ward; Jake F. Weltzin; Ruscena Wiederholt' DOI: 10.1088/1748-9326/aa7637 ISSN: 1748-9326 Issue: 7 Journal: Environmental Research Letters Pages: 074005 Title: 'Restoring monarch butterfly habitat in the Midwestern US: "All hands on deck"' Volume: 12 Year: 2017 _record_number: 26614 _uuid: 0bdba9e3-4213-43a8-86bd-3e37a80f1783 reftype: Journal Article child_publication: /article/10.1088/1748-9326/aa7637 href: https://data.globalchange.gov/reference/0bdba9e3-4213-43a8-86bd-3e37a80f1783.yaml identifier: 0bdba9e3-4213-43a8-86bd-3e37a80f1783 uri: /reference/0bdba9e3-4213-43a8-86bd-3e37a80f1783 - attrs: Abstract: 'Our improved capability to adapt to the future changes in discharge is linked to our capability to predict the magnitude or at least the direction of these changes. For the agricultural United States Midwest, too much or too little water has severe socioeconomic impacts. Here, we focus on the Raccoon River at Van Meter, Iowa, and use a statistical approach to examine projected changes in discharge. We build on statistical models using rainfall and harvested corn and soybean acreage to explain the observed discharge variability. We then use projections of these two predictors to examine the projected discharge response. Results are based on seven global climate models part of the Coupled Model Intercomparison Project Phase 5 and two representative concentration pathways (RCPs 4.5 and 8.5). There is not a strong signal of change in the discharge projections under the RCP 4.5. However, the results for the RCP 8.5 point to a stronger changing signal related to larger projected increases in rainfall, resulting in increased trends, in particular, in the upper part of the discharge distribution (i.e., 60th percentile and above). Examination of two hypothetical agricultural scenarios indicates that these increasing trends could be alleviated by decreasing the extent of the agricultural production. We also discuss how the methodology presented in this study represents a viable approach to move forward with the concept of return period for engineering design and management in a nonstationary world.' Author: 'Villarini, Gabriele; Scoccimarro, Enrico; White, Kathleen D.; Arnold, Jeffrey R.; Schilling, Keith E.; Ghosh, Joyee' DOI: 10.1111/1752-1688.12318 Issue: 5 Journal: JAWRA Journal of the American Water Resources Association Pages: 1361-1371 Title: Projected changes in discharge in an agricultural watershed in Iowa Volume: 51 Year: 2015 _record_number: 26621 _uuid: 0e1b2c5a-3aa2-4df2-8596-11b1398bedbf reftype: Journal Article child_publication: /article/10.1111/1752-1688.12318 href: https://data.globalchange.gov/reference/0e1b2c5a-3aa2-4df2-8596-11b1398bedbf.yaml identifier: 0e1b2c5a-3aa2-4df2-8596-11b1398bedbf uri: /reference/0e1b2c5a-3aa2-4df2-8596-11b1398bedbf - attrs: Abstract: 'By 2050, the world population is likely to be 9.1 billion, the CO(2) concentration 550 ppm, the ozone concentration 60 ppb and the climate warmer by ca 2 degrees C. In these conditions, what contribution can increased crop yield make to feeding the world? CO(2) enrichment is likely to increase yields of most crops by approximately 13 per cent but leave yields of C4 crops unchanged. It will tend to reduce water consumption by all crops, but this effect will be approximately cancelled out by the effect of the increased temperature on evaporation rates. In many places increased temperature will provide opportunities to manipulate agronomy to improve crop performance. Ozone concentration increases will decrease yields by 5 per cent or more. Plant breeders will probably be able to increase yields considerably in the CO(2)-enriched environment of the future, and most weeds and airborne pests and diseases should remain controllable, so long as policy changes do not remove too many types of crop-protection chemicals. However, soil-borne pathogens are likely to be an increasing problem when warmer weather will increase their multiplication rates; control is likely to need a transgenic approach to breeding for resistance. There is a large gap between achievable yields and those delivered by farmers, even in the most efficient agricultural systems. A gap is inevitable, but there are large differences between farmers, even between those who have used the same resources. If this gap is closed and accompanied by improvements in potential yields then there is a good prospect that crop production will increase by approximately 50 per cent or more by 2050 without extra land. However, the demands for land to produce bio-energy have not been factored into these calculations.' Author: 'Jaggard, K. W.; Qi, A.; Ober, E. S.' Author Address: "Rothamsted Research, Broom's Barn Research Centre, Higham, Bury St Edmunds, Suffolk, UK. keith.jaggard@bbsrc.ac.uk" DOI: 10.1098/rstb.2010.0153 Database Provider: CCII PubMed NLM Date: Sep 27 EPub Date: 2010/08/18 ISSN: "1471-2970 (Electronic)\r0962-8436 (Linking)" Issue: 1554 Journal: Philosophical Transactions of the Royal Society B Biological Sciences Keywords: 'Agriculture/ methods; Carbon Dioxide; Climate Change; Crops, Agricultural/ growth & development; Food Supply; Humans; Ozone; Water' Language: eng NIHMSID: ' NIEHS' PMCID: 2935124 Pages: 2835-2851 Title: Possible changes to arable crop yields by 2050 Volume: 365 Year: 2010 _record_number: 7134 _uuid: 0f174dcb-f759-4605-9bec-030c1b09309c reftype: Journal Article child_publication: /article/10.1098/rstb.2010.0153 href: https://data.globalchange.gov/reference/0f174dcb-f759-4605-9bec-030c1b09309c.yaml identifier: 0f174dcb-f759-4605-9bec-030c1b09309c uri: /reference/0f174dcb-f759-4605-9bec-030c1b09309c - attrs: .reference_type: 10 Author: 'Winters, Brad A.; Jim Angel; Clayton Ballerine; Jennifer Byard; Amanda Flegel; Daniel Gambill; Emily Jenkins; Sally McConkey; Momcilo Markus; Bruce A. Bender; Molly J. O’Toole' Institution: Illinois Department of Natural Resources Pages: 89 Place Published: 'Springfield, IL' Title: Report for the Urban Flooding Awareness Act URL: https://www.dnr.illinois.gov/WaterResources/Documents/Final_UFAA_Report.pdf Year: 2015 _record_number: 21244 _uuid: 0fe1cea1-aae3-4a35-b78f-61dcb5d6df49 reftype: Report child_publication: /report/report-urban-flooding-awareness-act href: https://data.globalchange.gov/reference/0fe1cea1-aae3-4a35-b78f-61dcb5d6df49.yaml identifier: 0fe1cea1-aae3-4a35-b78f-61dcb5d6df49 uri: /reference/0fe1cea1-aae3-4a35-b78f-61dcb5d6df49 - attrs: Abstract: 'Worldwide, human appropriation of ecosystems is disrupting plant–pollinator communities and pollination function through habitat conversion and landscape homogenisation. Conversion to agriculture is destroying and degrading semi-natural ecosystems while conventional land-use intensification (e.g. industrial management of large-scale monocultures with high chemical inputs) homogenises landscape structure and quality. Together, these anthropogenic processes reduce the connectivity of populations and erode floral and nesting resources to undermine pollinator abundance and diversity, and ultimately pollination services. Ecological intensification of agriculture represents a strategic alternative to ameliorate these drivers of pollinator decline while supporting sustainable food production, by promoting biodiversity beneficial to agricultural production through management practices such as intercropping, crop rotations, farm-level diversification and reduced agrochemical use. We critically evaluate its potential to address and reverse the land use and management trends currently degrading pollinator communities and potentially causing widespread pollination deficits. We find that many of the practices that constitute ecological intensification can contribute to mitigating the drivers of pollinator decline. Our findings support ecological intensification as a solution to pollinator declines, and we discuss ways to promote it in agricultural policy and practice.' Author: 'Kovács-Hostyánszki, Anikó; Espíndola, Anahí; Vanbergen, Adam J.; Settele, Josef; Kremen, Claire; Dicks, Lynn V.' DOI: 10.1111/ele.12762 Issue: 5 Journal: Ecology Letters Pages: 673-689 Title: Ecological intensification to mitigate impacts of conventional intensive land use on pollinators and pollination Volume: 20 Year: 2017 _record_number: 26590 _uuid: 10d95adc-3607-4080-b10d-d42f28b69a21 reftype: Journal Article child_publication: /article/10.1111/ele.12762 href: https://data.globalchange.gov/reference/10d95adc-3607-4080-b10d-d42f28b69a21.yaml identifier: 10d95adc-3607-4080-b10d-d42f28b69a21 uri: /reference/10d95adc-3607-4080-b10d-d42f28b69a21 - attrs: .reference_type: 16 Author: 'Workboat Staff,' Publisher: WorkBoat.com Title: Flooding delays barge traffic URL: https://www.workboat.com/news/coastal-inland-waterways/flooding-delays-barge-traffic/ Year: 2015 _record_number: 21317 _uuid: 126256c6-a9c1-4b9f-bb8f-c43638c7db15 reftype: Web Page child_publication: /webpage/5d30592d-0f15-47a2-87ff-74549e542bbb href: https://data.globalchange.gov/reference/126256c6-a9c1-4b9f-bb8f-c43638c7db15.yaml identifier: 126256c6-a9c1-4b9f-bb8f-c43638c7db15 uri: /reference/126256c6-a9c1-4b9f-bb8f-c43638c7db15 - attrs: Author: 'Staff Writer,' Last Update Date: September 30 Place Published: 'Columbus, OH' Publisher: Agri Communicators Inc. Title of Entry: 'Country life: Wetland rehabilitation effort paying off' Title of WebLog: Ohio Ag Net URL: http://ocj.com/2015/09/wetland-rehabilitation-effort-paying-off/ Year: 2015 _record_number: 26606 _uuid: 14e7314e-8e50-4e32-a245-3f6dd328b627 reftype: Blog child_publication: /webpage/ec212232-9141-4685-a8ea-3b03051b03f6 href: https://data.globalchange.gov/reference/14e7314e-8e50-4e32-a245-3f6dd328b627.yaml identifier: 14e7314e-8e50-4e32-a245-3f6dd328b627 uri: /reference/14e7314e-8e50-4e32-a245-3f6dd328b627 - attrs: Author: 'Auclair, Allan N. D.; Heilman, Warren E.; Brinkman, Blondel' DOI: 10.1139/X10-023 Date: 2010/04/01 ISSN: 0045-5067 Issue: 4 Journal: Canadian Journal of Forest Research Pages: 687-702 Publisher: NRC Research Press Title: 'Predicting forest dieback in Maine, USA: A simple model based on soil frost and drought' Volume: 40 Year: 2010 _record_number: 21199 _uuid: 156c6133-407b-4462-8e60-3a1824be3479 reftype: Journal Article child_publication: /article/10.1139/X10-023 href: https://data.globalchange.gov/reference/156c6133-407b-4462-8e60-3a1824be3479.yaml identifier: 156c6133-407b-4462-8e60-3a1824be3479 uri: /reference/156c6133-407b-4462-8e60-3a1824be3479 - attrs: Author: 'Weed, Aaron S.; Ayres, Matthew P.; Hicke, Jeffrey A.' DOI: 10.1890/13-0160.1 ISSN: 1557-7015 Issue: 4 Journal: Ecological Monographs Keywords: atmospheric drivers; bark beetles; defoliators; economic impact; ecosystem interactions; forest health management; greenhouses gases; outbreak; pathogens Pages: 441-470 Publisher: Ecological Society of America Title: Consequences of climate change for biotic disturbances in North American forests Volume: 83 Year: 2013 _record_number: 21220 _uuid: 176185dd-5730-4b29-97b4-427d3dccfe84 reftype: Journal Article child_publication: /article/10.1890/13-0160.1 href: https://data.globalchange.gov/reference/176185dd-5730-4b29-97b4-427d3dccfe84.yaml identifier: 176185dd-5730-4b29-97b4-427d3dccfe84 uri: /reference/176185dd-5730-4b29-97b4-427d3dccfe84 - attrs: .reference_type: 10 Author: 'Decision Innovation Solutions,' Institution: Missouri Department of Agriculture Pages: 30 Title: Economic Contributions of Missouri Agriculture and Forestry URL: http://agriculture.mo.gov/economicimpact/county-pdf/MissouriAgForestryEconomicContributionStudy.pdf Year: 2016 _record_number: 21264 _uuid: 17b3037b-161a-435e-b278-5c052af1c6be reftype: Report child_publication: /report/economic-contributions-missouri-agriculture-forestry href: https://data.globalchange.gov/reference/17b3037b-161a-435e-b278-5c052af1c6be.yaml identifier: 17b3037b-161a-435e-b278-5c052af1c6be uri: /reference/17b3037b-161a-435e-b278-5c052af1c6be - attrs: .reference_type: 0 Author: 'Millerd, Frank' DOI: 10.1007/s10584-010-9872-z ISSN: 0165-0009; 1573-1480 Issue: 3-4 Journal: Climatic Change Keywords: Climate change Pages: 629-652 Title: The potential impact of climate change on Great Lakes international shipping Volume: 104 Year: 2011 _chapter: '["RG 3 Midwest","Ch. 3: Water Resources FINAL","Ch. 18: Midwest FINAL"]' _record_number: 2037 _uuid: 17e20751-a864-4308-8d54-f952c5d46762 reftype: Journal Article child_publication: /article/10.1007/s10584-010-9872-z href: https://data.globalchange.gov/reference/17e20751-a864-4308-8d54-f952c5d46762.yaml identifier: 17e20751-a864-4308-8d54-f952c5d46762 uri: /reference/17e20751-a864-4308-8d54-f952c5d46762 - attrs: .reference_type: 10 Author: 'Environment and Climate Change Canada,; the U.S. National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration,' Title: 2017 Annual Climate Trends and Impacts Summary for the Great Lakes Basin URL: https://binational.net/2018/07/10/ctis-ctic-2017/ Year: 2018 _record_number: 26624 _uuid: 1843feb7-b0ae-48ba-834b-0c6b929e186c reftype: Report child_publication: /report/2017-annual-climate-trends-impacts-summary-great-lakes-basin href: https://data.globalchange.gov/reference/1843feb7-b0ae-48ba-834b-0c6b929e186c.yaml identifier: 1843feb7-b0ae-48ba-834b-0c6b929e186c uri: /reference/1843feb7-b0ae-48ba-834b-0c6b929e186c - attrs: .reference_type: 0 Author: 'Drayna, Patrick; McLellan, Sandra L.; Simpson, Pippa; Li, Shun-Hwa; Gorelick, Marc H.' DOI: 10.1289/ehp.0901671 ISSN: 1552-9924 Issue: 10 Journal: Environmental Health Perspectives Notes: 'Ch5,9' Pages: 1439-1443 Title: Association between rainfall and pediatric emergency department visits for acute gastrointestinal illness Volume: 118 Year: 2010 _chapter: 'Ch5,9' _record_number: 16488 _uuid: 197b91b6-04d3-429a-9a6c-90c784d86c1f reftype: Journal Article child_publication: /article/10.1289/ehp.0901671 href: https://data.globalchange.gov/reference/197b91b6-04d3-429a-9a6c-90c784d86c1f.yaml identifier: 197b91b6-04d3-429a-9a6c-90c784d86c1f uri: /reference/197b91b6-04d3-429a-9a6c-90c784d86c1f - attrs: Author: 'Dolan, David M.; Chapra, Steven C.' DOI: 10.1016/j.jglr.2012.10.001 Date: 2012/12/01/ ISSN: 0380-1330 Issue: 4 Journal: Journal of Great Lakes Research Keywords: Phosphorus; Loadings; Eutrophication; Tributary; Municipal; Industrial Pages: 730-740 Title: 'Great Lakes total phosphorus revisited: 1. Loading analysis and update (1994–2008)' Volume: 38 Year: 2012 _record_number: 21143 _uuid: 1ad0a817-e32c-45e1-9978-873d3d5b1a52 reftype: Journal Article child_publication: /article/10.1016/j.jglr.2012.10.001 href: https://data.globalchange.gov/reference/1ad0a817-e32c-45e1-9978-873d3d5b1a52.yaml identifier: 1ad0a817-e32c-45e1-9978-873d3d5b1a52 uri: /reference/1ad0a817-e32c-45e1-9978-873d3d5b1a52 - attrs: .reference_type: 7 Author: 'Sarofim, Marcus C.; Saha, Shubhayu; Hawkins, Michelle D.; Mills, David M.; Hess, Jeremy; Horton, Radley; Kinney, Patrick; Schwartz, Joel; St. Juliana, Alexis' Book Title: 'The Impacts of Climate Change on Human Health in the United States: A Scientific Assessment' DOI: 10.7930/J0MG7MDX Pages: 43–68 Place Published: 'Washington, DC' Publisher: U.S. Global Change Research Program Title: 'Ch. 2: Temperature-related death and illness' Year: 2016 _record_number: 19374 _uuid: 1ad1d794-bc57-4e48-ab28-0e2b65767cb9 reftype: Book Section child_publication: /report/usgcrp-climate-human-health-assessment-2016/chapter/temperature-related-death-and-illness href: https://data.globalchange.gov/reference/1ad1d794-bc57-4e48-ab28-0e2b65767cb9.yaml identifier: 1ad1d794-bc57-4e48-ab28-0e2b65767cb9 uri: /reference/1ad1d794-bc57-4e48-ab28-0e2b65767cb9 - attrs: .reference_type: 7 Author: 'Hibbard, K.A.; F.M. Hoffman; D. Huntzinger; T.O. West' Book Title: 'Climate Science Special Report: Fourth National Climate Assessment, Volume I' DOI: 10.7930/J0416V6X Editor: 'Wuebbles, D.J.; D.W. Fahey; K.A. Hibbard; D.J. Dokken; B.C. Stewart; T.K. Maycock' Pages: 277-302 Place Published: 'Washington, DC, USA' Publisher: U.S. Global Change Research Program Title: Changes in Land Cover and Terrestrial Biogeochemistry Year: 2017 _record_number: 21568 _uuid: 1b0ce605-0f6c-4e1f-8fea-71e87cb4304f reftype: Book Section child_publication: /report/climate-science-special-report/chapter/land-cover href: https://data.globalchange.gov/reference/1b0ce605-0f6c-4e1f-8fea-71e87cb4304f.yaml identifier: 1b0ce605-0f6c-4e1f-8fea-71e87cb4304f uri: /reference/1b0ce605-0f6c-4e1f-8fea-71e87cb4304f - attrs: Abstract: 'Forests of the Midwest and Northeast significantly define the character, culture, and economy of this large region but face an uncertain future as the climate continues to change. Forests vary widely across the region, and vulnerabilities are strongly influenced by regional differences in climate impacts and adaptive capacity. Not all forests are vulnerable; longer growing seasons and warmer temperatures will increase suitable habitat and biomass for many temperate species. Upland systems dominated by oak species generally have low vulnerability due to greater tolerance of hot and dry conditions, and some oak, hickory, and pine species are expected to become more competitive under hotter and physiologically drier conditions. However, changes in precipitation patterns, disturbance regimes, soil moisture, pest and disease outbreaks, and nonnative invasive species are expected to contribute forest vulnerability across the region. Northern, boreal, and montane forests have the greatest assessed vulnerability as many of their dominant tree species are projected to decline under warmer conditions. Coastal forests have high vulnerability, as sea level rise along the Atlantic coast increases damage from inundation, greater coastal erosion, flooding, and saltwater intrusion. Considering these potential forest vulnerabilities and opportunities is a critical step in making climate-informed decisions in long-term conservation planning.' Author: 'Swanston, Chris; Brandt, Leslie A.; Janowiak, Maria K.; Handler, Stephen D.; Butler-Leopold, Patricia; Iverson, Louis; Thompson III, Frank R.; Ontl, Todd A.; Shannon, P. Danielle' DOI: 10.1007/s10584-017-2065-2 Date: January 01 ISSN: 1573-1480 Issue: 1 Journal: Climatic Change Pages: 103-116 Title: Vulnerability of forests of the Midwest and Northeast United States to climate change Type of Article: journal article Volume: 146 Year: 2018 _record_number: 25180 _uuid: 1b7a06b8-7d34-467f-86c8-3755fe9306c0 reftype: Journal Article child_publication: /article/10.1007/s10584-017-2065-2 href: https://data.globalchange.gov/reference/1b7a06b8-7d34-467f-86c8-3755fe9306c0.yaml identifier: 1b7a06b8-7d34-467f-86c8-3755fe9306c0 uri: /reference/1b7a06b8-7d34-467f-86c8-3755fe9306c0 - attrs: Abstract: 'In 2011, Lake Erie experienced the largest harmful algal bloom in its recorded history, with a peak intensity over three times greater than any previously observed bloom. Here we show that long-term trends in agricultural practices are consistent with increasing phosphorus loading to the western basin of the lake, and that these trends, coupled with meteorological conditions in spring 2011, produced record-breaking nutrient loads. An extended period of weak lake circulation then led to abnormally long residence times that incubated the bloom, and warm and quiescent conditions after bloom onset allowed algae to remain near the top of the water column and prevented flushing of nutrients from the system. We further find that all of these factors are consistent with expected future conditions. If a scientifically guided management plan to mitigate these impacts is not implemented, we can therefore expect this bloom to be a harbinger of future blooms in Lake Erie.' Author: 'Michalak, Anna M.; Anderson, Eric J.; Beletsky, Dmitry; Boland, Steven; Bosch, Nathan S.; Bridgeman, Thomas B.; Chaffin, Justin D.; Cho, Kyunghwa; Confesor, Rem; Daloğlu, Irem; DePinto, Joseph V.; Evans, Mary Anne; Fahnenstiel, Gary L.; He, Lingli; Ho, Jeff C.; Jenkins, Liza; Johengen, Thomas H.; Kuo, Kevin C.; LaPorte, Elizabeth; Liu, Xiaojian; McWilliams, Michael R.; Moore, Michael R.; Posselt, Derek J.; Richards, R. Peter; Scavia, Donald; Steiner, Allison L.; Verhamme, Ed; Wright, David M.; Zagorski, Melissa A.' DOI: 10.1073/pnas.1216006110 Date: 'April 16, 2013' Issue: 16 Journal: Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America Pages: 6448-6452 Title: Record-setting algal bloom in Lake Erie caused by agricultural and meteorological trends consistent with expected future conditions Volume: 110 Year: 2013 _record_number: 21168 _uuid: 1bf4e65c-8836-479e-9f15-ac10a9e1879b reftype: Journal Article child_publication: /article/10.1073/pnas.1216006110 href: https://data.globalchange.gov/reference/1bf4e65c-8836-479e-9f15-ac10a9e1879b.yaml identifier: 1bf4e65c-8836-479e-9f15-ac10a9e1879b uri: /reference/1bf4e65c-8836-479e-9f15-ac10a9e1879b - attrs: .reference_type: 0 Author: "Wu, F.\rBhatnagar, D.\rBui-Klimke, T.\rCarbone, I.\rHellmich, R.\rMunkvold, G.\rPaul, P.\rPayne, G.\rTakle, E." DOI: 10.3920/WMJ2010.1246 ISSN: 1875-0710 Issue: 1 Journal: World Mycotoxin Journal Pages: 79-93 Title: Climate change impacts on mycotoxin risks in US maize Volume: 4 Year: 2011 _chapter: '["Ch. 6: Agriculture FINAL"]' _record_number: 3489 _uuid: 1ca7e70d-66b3-42e1-9a68-31b976d2622f reftype: Journal Article child_publication: /article/10.3920/WMJ2010.1246 href: https://data.globalchange.gov/reference/1ca7e70d-66b3-42e1-9a68-31b976d2622f.yaml identifier: 1ca7e70d-66b3-42e1-9a68-31b976d2622f uri: /reference/1ca7e70d-66b3-42e1-9a68-31b976d2622f - attrs: Author: 'Mallard, M. S.; Nolte, C. G.; Spero, T. L.; Bullock, O. R.; Alapaty, K.; Herwehe, J. A.; Gula, J.; Bowden, J. H.' DOI: 10.5194/gmd-8-1085-2015 ISSN: 1991-9603 Issue: 4 Journal: Geoscientific Model Development Pages: 1085-1096 Publisher: Copernicus Publications Title: Technical challenges and solutions in representing lakes when using WRF in downscaling applications Volume: 8 Year: 2015 _record_number: 21235 _uuid: 1cd8ac44-e9d5-4a2e-ab8e-e48c8988bbc2 reftype: Journal Article child_publication: /article/10.5194/gmd-8-1085-2015 href: https://data.globalchange.gov/reference/1cd8ac44-e9d5-4a2e-ab8e-e48c8988bbc2.yaml identifier: 1cd8ac44-e9d5-4a2e-ab8e-e48c8988bbc2 uri: /reference/1cd8ac44-e9d5-4a2e-ab8e-e48c8988bbc2 - attrs: Abstract: 'After Hurricane Katrina, many New Orleans homes remained flooded for weeks, promoting heavy microbial growth. OBJECTIVES: A small demonstration project was conducted November 2005–January 2006 aiming to recommend safe remediation techniques and safe levels of worker protection, and to characterize airborne mold and endotoxin throughout cleanup. METHODS: Three houses with floodwater lines between 0.3 and 2 m underwent intervention, including disposal of damaged furnishings and drywall, cleaning surfaces, drying remaining structure, and treatment with a biostatic agent. We measured indoor and outdoor bioaerosols before, during, and after intervention. Samples were analyzed for fungi [culture, spore analysis, polymerase chain reaction (PCR)] and endotoxin. In one house, real-time particle counts were also assessed, and respirator-efficiency testing was performed to establish workplace protection factors (WPF). RESULTS: At baseline, culturable mold ranged from 22,000 to 515,000 colony-forming units/m(3), spore counts ranged from 82,000 to 630,000 spores/m(3), and endotoxin ranged from 17 to 139 endotoxin units/m(3). Culture, spore analysis, and PCR indicated that Penicillium, Aspergillus, and Paecilomyces predominated. After intervention, levels of mold and endotoxin were generally lower (sometimes, orders of magnitude). The average WPF against fungal spores for elastomeric respirators was higher than for the N-95 respirators. CONCLUSIONS: During baseline and intervention, mold and endotoxin levels were similar to those found in agricultural environments. We strongly recommend that those entering, cleaning, and repairing flood-damaged homes wear respirators at least as protective as elastomeric respirators. Recommendations based on this demonstration will benefit those involved in the current cleanup activities and will inform efforts to respond to future disasters.' Author: 'Chew, Ginger L.; Wilson, Jonathan; Rabito, Felicia A.; Grimsley, Faye; Iqbal, Shahed; Reponen, Tiina; Muilenberg, Michael L.; Thorne, Peter S.; Dearborn, Dorr G.; Morley, Rebecca L.' DOI: 10.1289/ehp.9258 Date: "08/24\r04/11/received\r08/24/accepted" ISSN: "0091-6765\r1552-9924" Issue: 12 Journal: Environmental Health Perspectives Name of Database: PMC Pages: 1883-1889 Publisher: National Institute of Environmental Health Sciences Title: 'Mold and endotoxin levels in the aftermath of Hurricane Katrina: A pilot project of homes in New Orleans undergoing renovation' Volume: 114 Year: 2006 _record_number: 21210 _uuid: 1db82525-813a-488c-ab9b-8e726b05eac1 reftype: Journal Article child_publication: /article/10.1289/ehp.9258 href: https://data.globalchange.gov/reference/1db82525-813a-488c-ab9b-8e726b05eac1.yaml identifier: 1db82525-813a-488c-ab9b-8e726b05eac1 uri: /reference/1db82525-813a-488c-ab9b-8e726b05eac1 - attrs: Issue Date: May 2 Reporter: 'Associated Press,' Title: Amtrak suspends rail service across Missouri URL: http://fox2now.com/2017/05/02/amtrack-suspends-rail-service-across-missouri/ Year: 2017 _record_number: 26554 _uuid: 1e28d91b-3344-4106-8fe5-49c6a9c84431 reftype: Newspaper Article child_publication: /generic/4684b81d-b886-4450-9514-4e01d90bf4ac href: https://data.globalchange.gov/reference/1e28d91b-3344-4106-8fe5-49c6a9c84431.yaml identifier: 1e28d91b-3344-4106-8fe5-49c6a9c84431 uri: /reference/1e28d91b-3344-4106-8fe5-49c6a9c84431 - attrs: .reference_type: 10 Author: 'Marcouiller, Dave; Mace, Terry' Institution: University of Wisconsin Cooperative Extension Pages: 43 Place Published: 'Madison, WI' Series Volume: G3694 RP-10/05 Title: 'Forests and regional development: Economic impacts of woodland use for recreation and timber in Wisconsin' URL: http://learningstore.uwex.edu/Assets/pdfs/G3694.pdf Year: 2005 _record_number: 21273 _uuid: 1f2c64c3-714f-4b2b-90d4-a54f9ae34d31 reftype: Report child_publication: /report/forests-regional-development-economic-impacts-woodland-use-recreation-timber-wisconsin href: https://data.globalchange.gov/reference/1f2c64c3-714f-4b2b-90d4-a54f9ae34d31.yaml identifier: 1f2c64c3-714f-4b2b-90d4-a54f9ae34d31 uri: /reference/1f2c64c3-714f-4b2b-90d4-a54f9ae34d31 - attrs: Author: 'Garbrecht, Jurgen D.; Steiner, Jean L.; Cox, Craig A.' DOI: 10.1029/2007EO110016 ISSN: 2324-9250 Issue: 11 Journal: 'Eos, Transactions, American Geophysical Union' Keywords: 9815 Notices and announcements Pages: 136-136 Title: Climate change impacts on soil and water conservation Volume: 88 Year: 2007 _record_number: 21154 _uuid: 232aa0b0-6c75-46f6-90df-85b58cfbb3b1 reftype: Journal Article child_publication: /article/10.1029/2007EO110016 href: https://data.globalchange.gov/reference/232aa0b0-6c75-46f6-90df-85b58cfbb3b1.yaml identifier: 232aa0b0-6c75-46f6-90df-85b58cfbb3b1 uri: /reference/232aa0b0-6c75-46f6-90df-85b58cfbb3b1 - attrs: .reference_type: 0 Abstract: 'An understanding of the spatial distribution of the black-legged tick, Ixodes scapularis, is a fundamental component in assessing human risk for Lyme disease in much of the United States. Although a county-level vector distribution map exists for the United States, its accuracy is limited by arbitrary categories of its reported presence. It is unknown whether reported positive areas can support established populations and whether negative areas are suitable for established populations. The steadily increasing range of I. scapularis in the United States suggests that all suitable habitats are not currently occupied. Therefore, we developed a spatially predictive logistic model for I. scapularis in the 48 conterminous states to improve the previous vector distribution map. We used ground-observed environmental data to predict the probability of established I. scapularis populations. The autologistic analysis showed that maximum, minimum, and mean temperatures as well as vapor pressure significantly contribute to population maintenance with an accuracy of 95% (p < 0.0001). A cutoff probability for habitat suitability was assessed by sensitivity analysis and was used to reclassify the previous distribution map. The spatially modeled relationship between I. scapularis presence and large-scale environmental data provides a robust suitability model that reveals essential environmental determinants of habitat suitability, predicts emerging areas of Lyme disease risk, and generates the future pattern of I. scapularis across the United States.' Author: 'Brownstein, John S.; Holford, Theodore R.; Fish, Durland' DOI: 10.1289/ehp.6052 ISSN: 1552-9924 Issue: 9 Journal: Environmental Health Perspectives Notes: '12842766[pmid] Environ Health Perspect' Pages: 1152-1157 Title: A climate-based model predicts the spatial distribution of the Lyme disease vector Ixodes scapularis in the United States Volume: 111 Year: 2003 _record_number: 18337 _uuid: 2471c8e7-348f-40c2-9a28-0d46d3d1f1df reftype: Journal Article child_publication: /article/10.1289/ehp.6052 href: https://data.globalchange.gov/reference/2471c8e7-348f-40c2-9a28-0d46d3d1f1df.yaml identifier: 2471c8e7-348f-40c2-9a28-0d46d3d1f1df uri: /reference/2471c8e7-348f-40c2-9a28-0d46d3d1f1df - attrs: Abstract: 'There is mounting concern over the source and genetic history of plant propagules used for habitat restoration because introduced genotypes may destabilize remnant local populations through competition and introgression. We examined whether introduced dune grass, Ammophila breviligulata, from Michigan is genetically distinct from a threatened local Minnesota population by comparing local and nonlocal genotypes in well-established stands in the field and in experimental common gardens. Both observational and experimental studies suggest that Michigan plants differed genetically and had an advantage over local plants in terms of vegetative spread and sexual reproduction. Well-established restoration populations composed of Michigan plants produced fertile culms that were 1.8 times taller than Minnesota plants and more than twice as fecund. Introgression is unlikely, however, because Minnesota genotypes flowered on average 6.7 weeks earlier than Michigan plants and only 20% of Minnesota pollen remained viable after 4 weeks. In the common gardens, Michigan plants from two sources were larger in size, grew faster, and flowered more frequently than Minnesota plants. Plant surveys across the study area suggest that nonlocal genotypes have spread beyond documented restoration areas and into local stands, particularly in foredunes. Even if gene flow between local and nonlocal plants is limited due to differences in flowering phenology, Michigan genotypes may out-compete plants in the threatened Minnesota population through greater vegetative and sexual reproduction. The fitness consequences of this change in the genetic composition of the local population have yet to be determined.' Author: 'Holmstrom, Rebecca M.; Etterson, Julie R.; Schimpf, David J.' DOI: 10.1111/j.1526-100X.2009.00593.x Issue: s2 Journal: Restoration Ecology Pages: 426-437 Title: 'Dune restoration introduces genetically distinct American beachgrass, Ammophila breviligulata, into a threatened local population' Volume: 18 Year: 2010 _record_number: 26574 _uuid: 264b9d1d-a385-4d10-8c5f-18dfb997af93 reftype: Journal Article child_publication: /article/10.1111/j.1526-100X.2009.00593.x href: https://data.globalchange.gov/reference/264b9d1d-a385-4d10-8c5f-18dfb997af93.yaml identifier: 264b9d1d-a385-4d10-8c5f-18dfb997af93 uri: /reference/264b9d1d-a385-4d10-8c5f-18dfb997af93 - attrs: .reference_type: 0 Author: 'Miraglia, M.; Marvin, H. J. P.; Kleter, G. A.; Battilani, P.; Brera, C.; Coni, E.; Cubadda, F.; Croci, L.; De Santis, B.; Dekkers, S.; Filippi, L.; Hutjes, R. W. A.; Noordam, M. Y.; Pisante, M.; Piva, G.; Prandini, A.; Toti, L.; van den Born, G. J.; Vespermann, A.' DOI: 10.1016/j.fct.2009.02.005 ISSN: 0278-6915 Issue: 5 Journal: Food and Chemical Toxicology Pages: 1009-1021 Title: 'Climate change and food safety: An emerging issue with special focus on Europe' Volume: 47 Year: 2009 _chapter: Ch6 _record_number: 17927 _uuid: 2688cf64-d71f-4e21-84ad-f5cae499ed61 reftype: Journal Article child_publication: /article/10.1016/j.fct.2009.02.005 href: https://data.globalchange.gov/reference/2688cf64-d71f-4e21-84ad-f5cae499ed61.yaml identifier: 2688cf64-d71f-4e21-84ad-f5cae499ed61 uri: /reference/2688cf64-d71f-4e21-84ad-f5cae499ed61 - attrs: Author: 'Nowak, David J.; Greenfield, Eric J.; Hoehn, Robert E.; Lapoint, Elizabeth' DOI: 10.1016/j.envpol.2013.03.019 Date: 2013/07/01/ ISSN: 0269-7491 Journal: Environmental Pollution Keywords: Ecosystem services; Global climate change; Urban forestry; Tree cover; Forest inventory Pages: 229-236 Title: Carbon storage and sequestration by trees in urban and community areas of the United States Volume: 178 Year: 2013 _record_number: 26601 _uuid: 27f77b97-106e-4aed-a9a1-e4e8525f58ee reftype: Journal Article child_publication: /article/10.1016/j.envpol.2013.03.019 href: https://data.globalchange.gov/reference/27f77b97-106e-4aed-a9a1-e4e8525f58ee.yaml identifier: 27f77b97-106e-4aed-a9a1-e4e8525f58ee uri: /reference/27f77b97-106e-4aed-a9a1-e4e8525f58ee - attrs: Author: 'Chapra, Steven C.; Boehlert, Brent; Fant, Charles; Bierman, Victor J.; Henderson, Jim; Mills, David; Mas, Diane M. L.; Rennels, Lisa; Jantarasami, Lesley; Martinich, Jeremy; Strzepek, Kenneth M.; Paerl, Hans W.' DOI: 10.1021/acs.est.7b01498 Date: 2017/08/15 ISSN: 0013-936X Issue: 16 Journal: Environmental Science & Technology Pages: 8933-8943 Publisher: American Chemical Society Title: 'Climate change impacts on harmful algal blooms in U.S. freshwaters: A screening-level assessment' Volume: 51 Year: 2017 _record_number: 21473 _uuid: 28077cd1-c29f-48ae-a068-2cdcef880807 reftype: Journal Article child_publication: /article/10.1021/acs.est.7b01498 href: https://data.globalchange.gov/reference/28077cd1-c29f-48ae-a068-2cdcef880807.yaml identifier: 28077cd1-c29f-48ae-a068-2cdcef880807 uri: /reference/28077cd1-c29f-48ae-a068-2cdcef880807 - attrs: .publisher: The Author(s) .reference_type: 0 Author: 'Feng, Zhe; Leung, L. Ruby; Hagos, Samson; Houze, Robert A.; Burleyson, Casey D.; Balaguru, Karthik' DOI: 10.1038/ncomms13429 Date: 11/11/online Journal: Nature Communications Pages: 13429 Title: More frequent intense and long-lived storms dominate the springtime trend in central US rainfall Volume: 7 Year: 2016 _record_number: 20864 _uuid: 28675f8a-8858-40ac-b53a-710b489bca07 reftype: Journal Article child_publication: /article/10.1038/ncomms13429 href: https://data.globalchange.gov/reference/28675f8a-8858-40ac-b53a-710b489bca07.yaml identifier: 28675f8a-8858-40ac-b53a-710b489bca07 uri: /reference/28675f8a-8858-40ac-b53a-710b489bca07 - attrs: Abstract: 'Climate adaptation planning and implementation are likely to increase rapidly within the forest sector not only as climate continues to change but also as we intentionally learn from real-world examples. We sought to better understand how adaptation is being incorporated in land management decision-making across diverse land ownership types in the Midwest by evaluating project-level adaptation plans from a suite of forest management projects developed through the Climate Change Response Framework. We used quantitative content analysis to evaluate 44 adaptation-planning documents developed through the Framework’s Adaptation Workbook within two ecoregional provinces of the Midwest. This approach was used to assess the components of adaptation planning, including the resources that adaptation actions targeted within planning documents, the climate changes and impacts of concern, and the adaptation strategies managers identified. Analyses of adaptation plans show that the most frequent climate changes and impacts of concern included alterations in the amount and timing of precipitation, increased vegetation moisture stress, and forest pest and pathogen impacts. Individual projects identified a diversity of adaptation options, rather than focusing singly on actions that aimed to resist climate impacts, enhance resilience, or transition systems. Multivariate analyses indicate that ecoregion and land ownership influenced adaptation planning, while the type of resources and the climate change impacts managers were concerned with were significantly correlated with the adaptation strategies selected during planning. This finding reinforces the idea that one-size-fits-all guidance on adaptation will be insufficient for land managers. Perceptions of relevant climate impacts differ based on regional and ownership contexts, which naturally leads to differences in preferred adaptation actions.' Author: 'Ontl, Todd A.; Swanston, Chris; Brandt, Leslie A.; Butler, Patricia R.; D’Amato, Anthony W.; Handler, Stephen D.; Janowiak, Maria K.; Shannon, P. Danielle' DOI: 10.1007/s10584-017-1983-3 ISSN: 1573-1480 Issue: 1 Journal: Climatic Change Pages: 75-88 Title: 'Adaptation pathways: Ecoregion and land ownership influences on climate adaptation decision-making in forest management' Type of Article: journal article Volume: 146 Year: 2018 _record_number: 21119 _uuid: 28ab77d2-73c7-4554-82ef-c8bd5e095887 reftype: Journal Article child_publication: /article/10.1007/s10584-017-1983-3 href: https://data.globalchange.gov/reference/28ab77d2-73c7-4554-82ef-c8bd5e095887.yaml identifier: 28ab77d2-73c7-4554-82ef-c8bd5e095887 uri: /reference/28ab77d2-73c7-4554-82ef-c8bd5e095887 - attrs: .reference_type: 0 Article Number: 40 Author: 'Basu, R.' DOI: 10.1186/1476-069X-8-40 ISSN: '1476-069X ' Issue: 1 Journal: Environmental Health Pages: 1-13 Title: 'High ambient temperature and mortality: A review of epidemiologic studies from 2001 to 2008' Volume: 8 Year: 2009 _chapter: '["Ch. 9: Human Health FINAL","Overview"]' _record_number: 846 _uuid: 28b8aa29-bfe6-4d88-b73f-fe736f5042b6 reftype: Journal Article child_publication: /article/10.1186/1476-069X-8-40 href: https://data.globalchange.gov/reference/28b8aa29-bfe6-4d88-b73f-fe736f5042b6.yaml identifier: 28b8aa29-bfe6-4d88-b73f-fe736f5042b6 uri: /reference/28b8aa29-bfe6-4d88-b73f-fe736f5042b6