---
- caption: "This table describes the meaning of various categories of confidence level and likelihood assessment used in NCA4. The levels of confidence are the same as they appear in the CSSR (NCA4 Volume I). And while the likelihood scale is consistent with the CSSR, there are fewer categories, as that report relies more heavily on quantitative methods and statistics. This “binning” of likelihood is consistent with other USGCRP sustained assessment products, such as the Climate and Health Assessment4 and NCA3.{{< tbib '8' '372aedbf-1493-48d9-8703-5bec046576fe' >}}"
  chapter_identifier: nca4-front-matter
  href: https://data.globalchange.gov/report/nca4/chapter/nca4-front-matter/table/confidence-level-and-likelihood.yaml
  identifier: confidence-level-and-likelihood
  ordinal: 1
  report_identifier: nca4
  title: Confidence Level & Likelihood
  uri: /report/nca4/chapter/nca4-front-matter/table/confidence-level-and-likelihood
  url: ~