--- - attrs: .reference_type: 9 Author: 'Mani, Muthukumara; Bandyopadhyay, Sushenjit; Chonabayashi, Shun; Markandya, Anil; Mosier, Thomas' ISBN: 978-1-4648-1155-5 Place Published: 'Washington, DC' Publisher: World Bank Series Title: South Asia Development Matters Title: "South Asia's Hotspots: Impacts of Temperature and Precipitation Changes on Living Standards" URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10986/28723 Year: 2018 _record_number: 26160 _uuid: 4ac63226-2d2f-4ecd-b36b-65d37693e3e3 reftype: Book child_publication: /book/south-asias-hotspots-impacts-temperature-precipitation-changes-on-living-standards href: https://data.globalchange.gov/reference/4ac63226-2d2f-4ecd-b36b-65d37693e3e3.yaml identifier: 4ac63226-2d2f-4ecd-b36b-65d37693e3e3 uri: /reference/4ac63226-2d2f-4ecd-b36b-65d37693e3e3 - attrs: .reference_type: 10 Author: 'Hallegatte, Stephane; Vogt-Schilb, Adrien; Bangalore, Mook; Rozenberg, Julie' Institution: World Bank Notes: 'ISBN: 978-1-4648-1003-9' Pages: 187 Place Published: 'Washington, D.C' Series Title: Climate Change and Development Title: 'Unbreakable: Building the Resilience of the Poor in the Face of Natural Disasters' URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10986/25335 Year: 2017 _record_number: 25766 _uuid: 4afe2318-f2cd-4af5-8607-5b251d28a0ba reftype: Report child_publication: /report/unbreakable-building-resilience-poor-face-natural-disasters href: https://data.globalchange.gov/reference/4afe2318-f2cd-4af5-8607-5b251d28a0ba.yaml identifier: 4afe2318-f2cd-4af5-8607-5b251d28a0ba uri: /reference/4afe2318-f2cd-4af5-8607-5b251d28a0ba - attrs: .reference_type: 10 Author: 'TCFD,' Institution: Task Force on Climate-Related Financial Disclosures (TCFD) Pages: 66 Place Published: 'Basel, Switzerland' Title: 'Final Report: Recommendations of the Task Force on Climate-Related Financial Disclosures' URL: https://www.fsb-tcfd.org/publications/final-recommendations-report/ Year: 2017 _record_number: 24165 _uuid: 4c92405f-7756-474c-b8d9-a251d29823ab reftype: Report child_publication: /report/final-report-recommendations-task-force-on-climate-related-financial-disclosures href: https://data.globalchange.gov/reference/4c92405f-7756-474c-b8d9-a251d29823ab.yaml identifier: 4c92405f-7756-474c-b8d9-a251d29823ab uri: /reference/4c92405f-7756-474c-b8d9-a251d29823ab - attrs: .reference_type: 16 Access Date: July 13 Access Year: 2017 Author: 'Pickersgill, Robert' Place Published: 'Kingston, Jamaica' Publisher: Jamaica Information Service Title: Joint Ministerial Statement on the Effects of Drought on Schools and Agriculture URL: http://jis.gov.jm/joint-ministerial-statement-effects-drought-schools-agriculture/ Year: 2014 _record_number: 22105 _uuid: 4f887160-ccc8-4ab6-806b-4f988419e4f0 reftype: Web Page child_publication: /webpage/d5ebe326-6f34-4071-8186-9faa34c9b464 href: https://data.globalchange.gov/reference/4f887160-ccc8-4ab6-806b-4f988419e4f0.yaml identifier: 4f887160-ccc8-4ab6-806b-4f988419e4f0 uri: /reference/4f887160-ccc8-4ab6-806b-4f988419e4f0 - attrs: Author: 'Feitelson, Eran; Tubi, Amit' DOI: 10.1016/j.gloenvcha.2017.03.001 Date: 2017/05/01/ ISSN: 0959-3780 Journal: Global Environmental Change Keywords: Climate change; Drought; Conflict; Middle East; Euphrates River; Jordan River Pages: 39-48 Title: 'A main driver or an intermediate variable? Climate change, water and security in the Middle East' Volume: 44 Year: 2017 _record_number: 22078 _uuid: 502dae25-1744-4257-bb04-c9793af9bea3 reftype: Journal Article child_publication: /article/10.1016/j.gloenvcha.2017.03.001 href: https://data.globalchange.gov/reference/502dae25-1744-4257-bb04-c9793af9bea3.yaml identifier: 502dae25-1744-4257-bb04-c9793af9bea3 uri: /reference/502dae25-1744-4257-bb04-c9793af9bea3 - attrs: Author: 'Zhang, Yu-quan; Cai, Yong-xia; Beach, Robert H.; McCarl, Bruce A.' DOI: 10.1016/S2095-3119(13)60699-1 Date: 2014/04/01/ ISSN: 2095-3119 Issue: 4 Journal: Journal of Integrative Agriculture Keywords: climate change; relative competitiveness; trade; agricultural sector model (ASM) Pages: 666-676 Title: Modeling climate change impacts on the US agricultural exports Volume: 13 Year: 2014 _record_number: 25757 _uuid: 51b05cd6-f9b3-4d92-9c64-2f3b7b265e0b reftype: Journal Article child_publication: /article/10.1016/S2095-3119(13)60699-1 href: https://data.globalchange.gov/reference/51b05cd6-f9b3-4d92-9c64-2f3b7b265e0b.yaml identifier: 51b05cd6-f9b3-4d92-9c64-2f3b7b265e0b uri: /reference/51b05cd6-f9b3-4d92-9c64-2f3b7b265e0b - attrs: Author: 'Grubaugh, Nathan D.; Ladner, Jason T.; Kraemer, Moritz U. G.; Dudas, Gytis; Tan, Amanda L.; Gangavarapu, Karthik; Wiley, Michael R.; White, Stephen; Thézé, Julien; Magnani, Diogo M.; Prieto, Karla; Reyes, Daniel; Bingham, Andrea M.; Paul, Lauren M.; Robles-Sikisaka, Refugio; Oliveira, Glenn; Pronty, Darryl; Barcellona, Carolyn M.; Metsky, Hayden C.; Baniecki, Mary Lynn; Barnes, Kayla G.; Chak, Bridget; Freije, Catherine A.; Gladden-Young, Adrianne; Gnirke, Andreas; Luo, Cynthia; MacInnis, Bronwyn; Matranga, Christian B.; Park, Daniel J.; Qu, James; Schaffner, Stephen F.; Tomkins-Tinch, Christopher; West, Kendra L.; Winnicki, Sarah M.; Wohl, Shirlee; Yozwiak, Nathan L.; Quick, Joshua; Fauver, Joseph R.; Khan, Kamran; Brent, Shannon E.; Reiner Jr, Robert C.; Lichtenberger, Paola N.; Ricciardi, Michael J.; Bailey, Varian K.; Watkins, David I.; Cone, Marshall R.; Kopp Iv, Edgar W.; Hogan, Kelly N.; Cannons, Andrew C.; Jean, Reynald; Monaghan, Andrew J.; Garry, Robert F.; Loman, Nicholas J.; Faria, Nuno R.; Porcelli, Mario C.; Vasquez, Chalmers; Nagle, Elyse R.; Cummings, Derek A. T.; Stanek, Danielle; Rambaut, Andrew; Sanchez-Lockhart, Mariano; Sabeti, Pardis C.; Gillis, Leah D.; Michael, Scott F.; Bedford, Trevor; Pybus, Oliver G.; Isern, Sharon; Palacios, Gustavo; Andersen, Kristian G.' DOI: 10.1038/nature22400 Date: 06/15/print ISSN: 0028-0836 Issue: 7658 Journal: Nature Pages: 401-405 Publisher: 'Macmillan Publishers Limited, part of Springer Nature. All rights reserved.' Title: Genomic epidemiology reveals multiple introductions of Zika virus into the United States Type of Article: Letter Volume: 546 Year: 2017 _record_number: 22073 _uuid: 52a96ab3-3bff-41d0-a5f3-58b0f6b34703 reftype: Journal Article child_publication: /article/10.1038/nature22400 href: https://data.globalchange.gov/reference/52a96ab3-3bff-41d0-a5f3-58b0f6b34703.yaml identifier: 52a96ab3-3bff-41d0-a5f3-58b0f6b34703 uri: /reference/52a96ab3-3bff-41d0-a5f3-58b0f6b34703 - attrs: .reference_type: 7 Author: 'Kossin, J.P.; T. Hall; T. Knutson; K.E. Kunkel; R.J. Trapp; D.E. Waliser; M.F. Wehner' Book Title: 'Climate Science Special Report: Fourth National Climate Assessment, Volume I' DOI: 10.7930/J07S7KXX Editor: 'Wuebbles, D.J.; D.W. Fahey; K.A. Hibbard; D.J. Dokken; B.C. Stewart; T.K. Maycock' Pages: 257-276 Place Published: 'Washington, DC, USA' Publisher: U.S. Global Change Research Program Title: Extreme Storms Year: 2017 _record_number: 21567 _uuid: 52ce1b63-1b04-4728-9f1b-daee39af665e reftype: Book Section child_publication: /report/climate-science-special-report/chapter/extreme-storms href: https://data.globalchange.gov/reference/52ce1b63-1b04-4728-9f1b-daee39af665e.yaml identifier: 52ce1b63-1b04-4728-9f1b-daee39af665e uri: /reference/52ce1b63-1b04-4728-9f1b-daee39af665e - attrs: Abstract: 'To date, the research community has failed to reach a consensus on the nature and significance of the relationship between climate variability and armed conflict. We argue that progress has been hampered by insufficient attention paid to the context in which droughts and other climatic extremes may increase the risk of violent mobilization. Addressing this shortcoming, this study presents an actor-oriented analysis of the drought–conflict relationship, focusing specifically on politically relevant ethnic groups and their sensitivity to growing-season drought under various political and socioeconomic contexts. To this end, we draw on new conflict event data that cover Asia and Africa, 1989–2014, updated spatial ethnic settlement data, and remote sensing data on agricultural land use. Our procedure allows quantifying, for each ethnic group, drought conditions during the growing season of the locally dominant crop. A comprehensive set of multilevel mixed effects models that account for the groups’ livelihood, economic, and political vulnerabilities reveals that a drought under most conditions has little effect on the short-term risk that a group challenges the state by military means. However, for agriculturally dependent groups as well as politically excluded groups in very poor countries, a local drought is found to increase the likelihood of sustained violence. We interpret this as evidence of the reciprocal relationship between drought and conflict, whereby each phenomenon makes a group more vulnerable to the other.' Author: 'von Uexkull, Nina; Croicu, Mihai; Fjelde, Hanne; Buhaug, Halvard' DOI: 10.1073/pnas.1607542113 Date: 'November 1, 2016' Issue: 44 Journal: Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America Pages: 12391-12396 Title: Civil conflict sensitivity to growing-season drought Volume: 113 Year: 2016 _record_number: 22038 _uuid: 5592b6e0-1793-4ad7-89cd-e979f53e7d22 reftype: Journal Article child_publication: /article/10.1073/pnas.1607542113 href: https://data.globalchange.gov/reference/5592b6e0-1793-4ad7-89cd-e979f53e7d22.yaml identifier: 5592b6e0-1793-4ad7-89cd-e979f53e7d22 uri: /reference/5592b6e0-1793-4ad7-89cd-e979f53e7d22 - attrs: .reference_type: 10 Author: ACIA Institution: Cambridge University Press Pages: 1042 Publisher: ACIA Secretariat and Cooperative Institute for Arctic Research Title: Arctic Climate Impact Assessment URL: http://www.acia.uaf.edu/pages/scientific.html Year: 2005 _record_number: 20141 _uuid: 56f7d484-3935-4b75-b3c0-2265edae42c2 reftype: Report child_publication: /report/acia-2005 href: https://data.globalchange.gov/reference/56f7d484-3935-4b75-b3c0-2265edae42c2.yaml identifier: 56f7d484-3935-4b75-b3c0-2265edae42c2 uri: /reference/56f7d484-3935-4b75-b3c0-2265edae42c2 - attrs: Author: 'Rai, Amelia; Robinson, Julie A.; Tate-Brown, Judy; Buckley, Nicole; Zell, Martin; Tasaki, Kazuyuki; Karabadzhak, Georgy; Sorokin, Igor V.; Pignataro, Salvatore' DOI: 10.1016/j.actaastro.2016.06.030 Date: 2016/09/01/ ISSN: 0094-5765 Journal: Acta Astronautica Pages: 463-474 Title: Expanded benefits for humanity from the International Space Station Volume: 126 Year: 2016 _record_number: 22057 _uuid: 5788812e-2a77-456a-a114-ff9d923aeddf reftype: Journal Article child_publication: /article/10.1016/j.actaastro.2016.06.030 href: https://data.globalchange.gov/reference/5788812e-2a77-456a-a114-ff9d923aeddf.yaml identifier: 5788812e-2a77-456a-a114-ff9d923aeddf uri: /reference/5788812e-2a77-456a-a114-ff9d923aeddf - attrs: Author: 'Dombrowski, U.; Ernst, S.' DOI: 10.1016/j.procir.2014.06.012 Date: 2014/01/01/ ISSN: 2212-8271 Journal: Procedia CIRP Keywords: Factory Life Cycle; Climate Change; Global Warming; Factory Planning; Advanced Industrial Management Pages: 337-342 Title: Effects of climate change on factory life cycle Volume: 15 Year: 2014 _record_number: 25763 _uuid: 58b28591-2a59-4f75-bc7c-db2f1efc914d reftype: Journal Article child_publication: /article/10.1016/j.procir.2014.06.012 href: https://data.globalchange.gov/reference/58b28591-2a59-4f75-bc7c-db2f1efc914d.yaml identifier: 58b28591-2a59-4f75-bc7c-db2f1efc914d uri: /reference/58b28591-2a59-4f75-bc7c-db2f1efc914d - attrs: .reference_type: 16 Author: 'GFCS,' Place Published: 'Geneva, Switzerland' Publisher: 'Global Framework for Climate Services (GRCS) [web site]' Title: GRCS website URL: http://www.gfcs-climate.org/ Year: 2017 _record_number: 22099 _uuid: 5905712d-508b-4109-85e6-fb8a831c6e01 reftype: Web Page child_publication: /webpage/8acf1854-b87c-4dad-85aa-b341bc2fc2e3 href: https://data.globalchange.gov/reference/5905712d-508b-4109-85e6-fb8a831c6e01.yaml identifier: 5905712d-508b-4109-85e6-fb8a831c6e01 uri: /reference/5905712d-508b-4109-85e6-fb8a831c6e01 - attrs: Abstract: 'This article reviews the economic impacts of climate change and the policy implications of the results. Current estimates indicate that climate change will likely have a limited impact on the economy and human welfare in the twenty-first century. In fact, the initial impacts of climate change may well be positive. However, in the long run the negative impacts dominate the positive ones. Negative impacts will be substantially greater in poorer, hotter, and lower-lying countries. Poverty reduction complements greenhouse gas emissions reduction as a means to reduce climate change impacts. Although climate change may affect the growth rate of the global economy and may trap more people in poverty, quantification of these impacts remains difficult. The optimal carbon tax in the near term is somewhere between a few tens and a few hundreds of dollars per ton of carbon.' Author: 'Tol, Richard S. J.' DOI: 10.1093/reep/rex027 ISSN: 1750-6816 Issue: 1 Journal: Review of Environmental Economics and Policy Pages: 4-25 Title: The economic impacts of climate change Volume: 12 Year: 2018 _record_number: 25756 _uuid: 596e5e36-2692-44df-943c-88681c51f60c reftype: Journal Article child_publication: /article/10.1093/reep/rex027 href: https://data.globalchange.gov/reference/596e5e36-2692-44df-943c-88681c51f60c.yaml identifier: 596e5e36-2692-44df-943c-88681c51f60c uri: /reference/596e5e36-2692-44df-943c-88681c51f60c - attrs: .reference_type: 16 Author: 'Philanthropy Roundtable,' Place Published: 'Washington, DC' Publisher: Philanthropy Roundtable Title: 'Percentage of U.S. Donations Going to Various Causes [Graph 2 on web page]' URL: https://www.philanthropyroundtable.org/almanac/statistics/u.s.-generosity Year: 2018 _record_number: 25770 _uuid: 598fb928-51ec-4215-ae15-8b0a1e3efd6b reftype: Web Page child_publication: /webpage/87ce0d1a-729b-40cb-8877-09529e4dba8e href: https://data.globalchange.gov/reference/598fb928-51ec-4215-ae15-8b0a1e3efd6b.yaml identifier: 598fb928-51ec-4215-ae15-8b0a1e3efd6b uri: /reference/598fb928-51ec-4215-ae15-8b0a1e3efd6b - attrs: .reference_type: 10 Author: DOD Date: February 2010 Institution: ' U.S. Department of Defense' Pages: 128 Title: Quadrennial Defense Review URL: http://www.defense.gov/qdr/qdr%20as%20of%2029jan10%201600.pdf Year: 2010 _chapter: '["Appendix 6: Future Topics FINAL"]' _record_number: 4648 _uuid: 5b76182a-549a-4148-b4bb-017e09e572f8 reftype: Report child_publication: /report/dod-qdr-2010 href: https://data.globalchange.gov/reference/5b76182a-549a-4148-b4bb-017e09e572f8.yaml identifier: 5b76182a-549a-4148-b4bb-017e09e572f8 uri: /reference/5b76182a-549a-4148-b4bb-017e09e572f8 - attrs: Author: 'González-Delgado, Amir; Shukla, Manoj K.; DuBois, David W.; Flores-Márgez, Juan P.; Hernández Escamilla, Joel A.; Olivas, Evangelina' DOI: 10.1016/j.jes.2015.10.037 Date: 2017/03/01/ ISSN: 1001-0742 Journal: Journal of Environmental Sciences Keywords: Fungal spores; Sticky tape; Particle size; Microorganism; Dust Pages: 207-216 Title: Microbial and size characterization of airborne particulate matter collected on sticky tapes along US–Mexico border Volume: 53 Year: 2017 _record_number: 22074 _uuid: 5be5a1f9-7144-41ba-a80d-e3c77a49986f reftype: Journal Article child_publication: /article/10.1016/j.jes.2015.10.037 href: https://data.globalchange.gov/reference/5be5a1f9-7144-41ba-a80d-e3c77a49986f.yaml identifier: 5be5a1f9-7144-41ba-a80d-e3c77a49986f uri: /reference/5be5a1f9-7144-41ba-a80d-e3c77a49986f - attrs: .reference_type: 10 Author: 'Beaver, Janice Cheryl' Institution: Congressional Research Service Pages: 5 Place Published: 'Washington, DC' Report Number: Order code RS21729 Series Volume: CRS Report for Congress Title: 'U.S. International Border: Brief Facts' URL: https://fas.org/sgp/crs/misc/RS21729.pdf Year: 2006 _record_number: 26150 _uuid: 5d21e376-d21c-4273-bb71-398ae53193b5 reftype: Report child_publication: /report/us-international-border-brief-facts href: https://data.globalchange.gov/reference/5d21e376-d21c-4273-bb71-398ae53193b5.yaml identifier: 5d21e376-d21c-4273-bb71-398ae53193b5 uri: /reference/5d21e376-d21c-4273-bb71-398ae53193b5 - attrs: .reference_type: 0 Abstract: "A rapidly growing body of research examines whether human conflict can be affected by climatic changes. Drawing from archaeology, criminology, economics, geography, history, political science, and psychology, we assemble and analyze the 60 most rigorous quantitative studies and document, for the first time, a striking convergence of results. We find strong causal evidence linking climatic events to human conflict across a range of spatial and temporal scales and across all major regions of the world. The magnitude of climate's influence is substantial: for each one standard deviation (1sigma) change in climate toward warmer temperatures or more extreme rainfall, median estimates indicate that the frequency of interpersonal violence rises 4% and the frequency of intergroup conflict rises 14%. Because locations throughout the inhabited world are expected to warm 2sigma to 4sigma by 2050, amplified rates of human conflict could represent a large and critical impact of anthropogenic climate change." Author: 'Hsiang, S. M.; Burke, M.; Miguel, E.' Author Address: 'Program in Science, Technology and Environmental Policy, Woodrow Wilson School of Public and International Affairs, Princeton University, Princeton, NJ 08544, USA. shsiang@berkeley.edu' DOI: 10.1126/science.1235367 Date: Sep 13 ISSN: 1095-9203 Issue: 6151 Journal: Science Keywords: Climate; Climate Change/ statistics & numerical data; Conflict (Psychology); Crime/ statistics & numerical data; Humans; Literature Based Discovery; Violence/statistics & numerical data Language: eng Notes: "Hsiang, Solomon M Burke, Marshall Miguel, Edward Research Support, Non-U.S. Gov't Research Support, U.S. Gov't, Non-P.H.S. United States Science. 2013 Sep 13;341(6151):1235367. doi: 10.1126/science.1235367. Epub 2013 Aug 1." Pages: 1235367 Title: Quantifying the influence of climate on human conflict Volume: 341 Year: 2013 _record_number: 4568 _uuid: 6013994a-8717-4a99-935a-8a13800fcdc5 reftype: Journal Article child_publication: /article/10.1126/science.1235367 href: https://data.globalchange.gov/reference/6013994a-8717-4a99-935a-8a13800fcdc5.yaml identifier: 6013994a-8717-4a99-935a-8a13800fcdc5 uri: /reference/6013994a-8717-4a99-935a-8a13800fcdc5 - attrs: .reference_type: 7 Author: 'Taylor, P.C.; W. Maslowski; J. Perlwitz; D.J. Wuebbles' Book Title: 'Climate Science Special Report: Fourth National Climate Assessment, Volume I' DOI: 10.7930/J00863GK Editor: 'Wuebbles, D.J.; D.W. Fahey; K.A. Hibbard; D.J. Dokken; B.C. Stewart; T.K. Maycock' Pages: 303-332 Place Published: 'Washington, DC, USA' Publisher: U.S. Global Change Research Program Title: Arctic Changes and their Effects on Alaska and the Rest of the United States Year: 2017 _record_number: 21569 _uuid: 61d6757d-3f7a-4e90-add7-b03de796c6c4 reftype: Book Section child_publication: /report/climate-science-special-report/chapter/arctic href: https://data.globalchange.gov/reference/61d6757d-3f7a-4e90-add7-b03de796c6c4.yaml identifier: 61d6757d-3f7a-4e90-add7-b03de796c6c4 uri: /reference/61d6757d-3f7a-4e90-add7-b03de796c6c4 - attrs: .reference_type: 10 Author: 'Peace, Janet; Katy Maher' Institution: Center for Climate and Energy Solutions (C2ES) Pages: 58 Place Published: 'Arlington, VA' Title: 'Weathering the Next Storm: A Closer Look at Business Resilience' URL: https://www.c2es.org/publications/weathering-next-storm-closer-look-business-resilience Year: 2015 _record_number: 22116 _uuid: 6293e798-6b97-452e-b9e2-25022e0af38a reftype: Report child_publication: /report/weathering-next-storm-closer-look-at-business-resilience href: https://data.globalchange.gov/reference/6293e798-6b97-452e-b9e2-25022e0af38a.yaml identifier: 6293e798-6b97-452e-b9e2-25022e0af38a uri: /reference/6293e798-6b97-452e-b9e2-25022e0af38a - attrs: Author: 'Paz, Shlomit; Semenza, Jan C.' DOI: 10.1016/S0140-6736(16)00256-7 Date: 2016/02/20/ ISSN: 0140-6736 Issue: 10020 Journal: The Lancet Pages: 745 Title: 'El Niño and climate change - Contributing factors in the dispersal of Zika virus in the Americas?' Volume: 387 Year: 2016 _record_number: 22058 _uuid: 649439d8-b5ea-44da-b200-300192cc9450 reftype: Journal Article child_publication: /article/10.1016/S0140-6736(16)00256-7 href: https://data.globalchange.gov/reference/649439d8-b5ea-44da-b200-300192cc9450.yaml identifier: 649439d8-b5ea-44da-b200-300192cc9450 uri: /reference/649439d8-b5ea-44da-b200-300192cc9450 - attrs: Author: 'Rajagopalan, K.; K. Chinayakanahalli; C.O. Stockle; R.L. Nelson; C.E. Kruger; M.P. Brady; K. Malek; S.T. Dinesh; M.E. Barber; A.F. Hamlet; G.G. Yorgey; J.C. Adam' DOI: 10.1002/2017WR020954 Issue: 3 Journal: Water Resources Research Pages: 2152-2182 Title: Impacts of near-term regional climate change on irrigation demands and crop yields in the Columbia River Basin Volume: 54 Year: 2018 _record_number: 22056 _uuid: 65b54f14-ed24-4e9f-a6f3-7589ba9b5160 reftype: Journal Article child_publication: /article/10.1002/2017WR020954 href: https://data.globalchange.gov/reference/65b54f14-ed24-4e9f-a6f3-7589ba9b5160.yaml identifier: 65b54f14-ed24-4e9f-a6f3-7589ba9b5160 uri: /reference/65b54f14-ed24-4e9f-a6f3-7589ba9b5160 - attrs: Abstract: 'Confirmed local transmission of Zika Virus (ZIKV) in Texas and Florida have heightened the need for early and accurate indicators of self-sustaining transmission in high risk areas across the southern United States. Given ZIKV’s low reporting rates and the geographic variability in suitable conditions, a cluster of reported cases may reflect diverse scenarios, ranging from independent introductions to a self-sustaining local epidemic.' Author: 'Castro, Lauren A.; Fox, Spencer J.; Chen, Xi; Liu, Kai; Bellan, Steven E.; Dimitrov, Nedialko B.; Galvani, Alison P.; Meyers, Lauren Ancel' DOI: 10.1186/s12879-017-2394-9 Date: May 04 ISSN: 1471-2334 Issue: 1 Journal: BMC Infectious Diseases Pages: 284 Title: Assessing real-time Zika risk in the United States Type of Article: journal article Volume: 17 Year: 2017 _record_number: 22086 _uuid: 65e9b7c4-0da6-42b4-852f-bb3bd6418937 reftype: Journal Article child_publication: /article/10.1186/s12879-017-2394-9 href: https://data.globalchange.gov/reference/65e9b7c4-0da6-42b4-852f-bb3bd6418937.yaml identifier: 65e9b7c4-0da6-42b4-852f-bb3bd6418937 uri: /reference/65e9b7c4-0da6-42b4-852f-bb3bd6418937 - attrs: .reference_type: 9 Author: 'Nordhaus, William D.' ISBN: 9780262140553 Place Published: 'Cambridge, MA' Publisher: MIT Press Title: ' Managing the Global Commons: The Economics of Climate Change' Year: 1994 _record_number: 25769 _uuid: 67a3627d-c737-41bf-b6cb-f730ce3dfd58 reftype: Book child_publication: /book/managing-global-commons-economics-climate-change href: https://data.globalchange.gov/reference/67a3627d-c737-41bf-b6cb-f730ce3dfd58.yaml identifier: 67a3627d-c737-41bf-b6cb-f730ce3dfd58 uri: /reference/67a3627d-c737-41bf-b6cb-f730ce3dfd58 - attrs: .reference_type: 10 Author: 'USAID,' Institution: U.S. Agency for International Development Pages: 40 Place Published: 'Washington, DC' Research Notes: https://issuu.com/usaid/docs/usaid_gcci_report_2016b Title: 'USAID Climate Action Review: 2010-2016' URL: https://www.usaid.gov/climate/climate-action-review-2010-2016 Year: 2016 _record_number: 25774 _uuid: 685bf347-03c2-44ba-817f-919966c6face reftype: Report child_publication: /report/usaid-climate-action-review-2010-2016 href: https://data.globalchange.gov/reference/685bf347-03c2-44ba-817f-919966c6face.yaml identifier: 685bf347-03c2-44ba-817f-919966c6face uri: /reference/685bf347-03c2-44ba-817f-919966c6face - attrs: Article Number: 678645 Author: 'Añez, Germán ; Rios, Maria' DOI: 10.1155/2013/678645 Journal: BioMed Research International Pages: 678645 Title: 'Dengue in the United States of America: A worsening scenario?' Volume: 2013 Year: 2013 _record_number: 22092 _uuid: 68a1f34a-2103-4e4a-8e65-026687a9979f reftype: Journal Article child_publication: /article/10.1155/2013/678645 href: https://data.globalchange.gov/reference/68a1f34a-2103-4e4a-8e65-026687a9979f.yaml identifier: 68a1f34a-2103-4e4a-8e65-026687a9979f uri: /reference/68a1f34a-2103-4e4a-8e65-026687a9979f - attrs: Author: 'Kavouras, I. G.; DuBois, D. W.; Nikolich, G.; Corral Avittia, A. Y.; Etyemezian, V.' DOI: 10.1016/j.jaridenv.2015.07.015 Date: 2016/01/01/ ISSN: 0140-1963 Journal: Journal of Arid Environments Keywords: PM; Road dust; Mineral particles; Air pollution; Climate Pages: 189-192 Title: Particulate dust emission factors from unpaved roads in the U.S.–Mexico border semi-arid region Volume: 124 Year: 2016 _record_number: 22069 _uuid: 69fe7cf7-52d4-4bc1-ba55-f6d994a47687 reftype: Journal Article child_publication: /article/10.1016/j.jaridenv.2015.07.015 href: https://data.globalchange.gov/reference/69fe7cf7-52d4-4bc1-ba55-f6d994a47687.yaml identifier: 69fe7cf7-52d4-4bc1-ba55-f6d994a47687 uri: /reference/69fe7cf7-52d4-4bc1-ba55-f6d994a47687 - attrs: Author: 'Sticklor, Russell' Issue: 2 Journal: Global Waters Place Published: 'Washington, DC' Publisher: U.S. Agency for International Development (USAID) Title: 'Changing climate, changing minds: How one Philippine city is preparing for a water-scarce future' URL: https://medium.com/usaid-global-waters/changing-climate-changing-minds-how-one-philippine-city-is-preparing-for-a-water-scarce-future-29327b5c5bfa Volume: 7 Year: 2016 _record_number: 22131 _uuid: 6a6627dd-dc1d-4755-8f22-65cd9ff24e79 reftype: Journal Article child_publication: /generic/ea37af81-7635-4a50-9e07-3bfd96184bcd href: https://data.globalchange.gov/reference/6a6627dd-dc1d-4755-8f22-65cd9ff24e79.yaml identifier: 6a6627dd-dc1d-4755-8f22-65cd9ff24e79 uri: /reference/6a6627dd-dc1d-4755-8f22-65cd9ff24e79 - attrs: .reference_type: 16 Author: 'START International,' Place Published: 'Washington, DC' Publisher: START International Title: 'START [web site]' URL: http://start.org/ Year: 2017 _record_number: 22120 _uuid: 6a9ea783-fd77-4c7d-ba34-f2e629cb70ac reftype: Web Page child_publication: /webpage/f45e5694-a651-4402-8aee-7b7def72d00e href: https://data.globalchange.gov/reference/6a9ea783-fd77-4c7d-ba34-f2e629cb70ac.yaml identifier: 6a9ea783-fd77-4c7d-ba34-f2e629cb70ac uri: /reference/6a9ea783-fd77-4c7d-ba34-f2e629cb70ac - attrs: Author: 'Cai, Ximing; Zhang, Xiao; Noël, Paul H.; Shafiee-Jood, Majid' DOI: 10.1002/wat2.1089 ISSN: 2049-1948 Issue: 5 Journal: 'Wiley Interdisciplinary Reviews: Water' Pages: 439-455 Publisher: 'John Wiley & Sons, Inc.' Title: 'Impacts of climate change on agricultural water management: A review' Volume: 2 Year: 2015 _record_number: 21111 _uuid: 6ad046b0-466c-444e-ad13-d24c6c9b4bae reftype: Journal Article child_publication: /article/10.1002/wat2.1089 href: https://data.globalchange.gov/reference/6ad046b0-466c-444e-ad13-d24c6c9b4bae.yaml identifier: 6ad046b0-466c-444e-ad13-d24c6c9b4bae uri: /reference/6ad046b0-466c-444e-ad13-d24c6c9b4bae - attrs: Author: 'Dell, Melissa; Jones, Benjamin F.; Olken, Benjamin A.' DOI: 10.1257/mac.4.3.66 Issue: 3 Journal: 'American Economic Journal: Macroeconomics' Pages: 66-95 Title: 'Temperature shocks and economic growth: Evidence from the last half century' Volume: 4 Year: 2012 _record_number: 22082 _uuid: 6b8104da-6197-461f-b530-f73b42d81f08 reftype: Journal Article child_publication: /article/10.1257/mac.4.3.66 href: https://data.globalchange.gov/reference/6b8104da-6197-461f-b530-f73b42d81f08.yaml identifier: 6b8104da-6197-461f-b530-f73b42d81f08 uri: /reference/6b8104da-6197-461f-b530-f73b42d81f08 - attrs: .reference_type: 7 Author: 'Kopp, R.E.; D.R. Easterling; T. Hall; K. Hayhoe; R. Horton; K.E. Kunkel; A.N. LeGrande' Book Title: 'Climate Science Special Report: Fourth National Climate Assessment, Volume I' Chapter: Ch. 15 DOI: 10.7930/J0GB227J Editor: 'Wuebbles, D.J.; D.W. Fahey; K.A. Hibbard; D.J. Dokken; B.C. Stewart; T.K. Maycock' Pages: 411-429 Place Published: 'Washington, DC, USA' Publisher: U.S. Global Change Research Program Title: 'Potential Surprises: Compound Extremes and Tipping Elements' Year: 2017 _record_number: 21573 _uuid: 6b87bc9c-d8f5-438a-9693-7b33324f4c22 reftype: Book Section child_publication: /report/climate-science-special-report/chapter/potential-surprises href: https://data.globalchange.gov/reference/6b87bc9c-d8f5-438a-9693-7b33324f4c22.yaml identifier: 6b87bc9c-d8f5-438a-9693-7b33324f4c22 uri: /reference/6b87bc9c-d8f5-438a-9693-7b33324f4c22 - attrs: Abstract: 'A growing body of evidence shows a causal relationship between extreme weather events and civil conflict incidence at the global level. We find that this causality is also valid for droughts and local violent conflicts in a within-country setting over a short time frame in the case of Somalia. We estimate that a one standard deviation increase in drought intensity and length raises the likelihood of conflict by 62%. We also find that drought affects conflict through livestock price changes, establishing livestock markets as the primary channel of transmission in Somalia.' Author: 'Maystadt, Jean-François; Ecker, Olivier' DOI: 10.1093/ajae/aau010 ISSN: 0002-9092 Issue: 4 Journal: American Journal of Agricultural Economics Notes: 10.1093/ajae/aau010 Pages: 1157-1182 Title: 'Extreme weather and civil war: Does drought fuel conflict in Somalia through livestock price shocks?' Volume: 96 Year: 2014 _record_number: 22063 _uuid: 6e24be7e-dee5-4ca3-a54f-434c8bf69f1d reftype: Journal Article child_publication: /article/10.1093/ajae/aau010 href: https://data.globalchange.gov/reference/6e24be7e-dee5-4ca3-a54f-434c8bf69f1d.yaml identifier: 6e24be7e-dee5-4ca3-a54f-434c8bf69f1d uri: /reference/6e24be7e-dee5-4ca3-a54f-434c8bf69f1d - attrs: .reference_type: 10 Author: 'SEC,' Institution: U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) Title: 'Filing Form 10-K: Coca Cola Bottling Co. Consolidated' URL: https://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/317540/000119312514100068/d642117d10k.htm Year: 2014 _record_number: 22137 _uuid: 715696f5-157d-41b3-8a32-03f41449f883 reftype: Report child_publication: /report/filing-form-10-k-coca-cola-bottling-co-consolidated href: https://data.globalchange.gov/reference/715696f5-157d-41b3-8a32-03f41449f883.yaml identifier: 715696f5-157d-41b3-8a32-03f41449f883 uri: /reference/715696f5-157d-41b3-8a32-03f41449f883 - attrs: .reference_type: 10 Author: 'Killeen, Timothy J.; Grady Harper' Institution: Conservation International Pages: 37 Place Published: 'Arlington, VA' Title: 'Coffee in the 21st Century: Will Climate Change and Increased Demand Lead to New Deforestation?' URL: https://www.conservation.org/publications/Documents/CI-Coffee-Report.pdf Year: 2016 _record_number: 22095 _uuid: 7188c008-b0f9-41ff-b8c9-f7d4fe8093d5 reftype: Report child_publication: /report/coffee-21st-century-will-climate-change-increased-demand-lead-new-deforestation href: https://data.globalchange.gov/reference/7188c008-b0f9-41ff-b8c9-f7d4fe8093d5.yaml identifier: 7188c008-b0f9-41ff-b8c9-f7d4fe8093d5 uri: /reference/7188c008-b0f9-41ff-b8c9-f7d4fe8093d5 - attrs: .reference_type: 10 Author: USGCRP DOI: 10.7930/J0J964J6 Pages: 470 Place Published: 'Washington, DC, USA' Publisher: U.S. Global Change Research Program Secondary Author: 'Wuebbles, D.J.; D.W. Fahey; K.A. Hibbard; D.J. Dokken; B.C. Stewart; T.K. Maycock' Title: 'Climate Science Special Report: Fourth National Climate Assessment, Volume I' Year: 2017 _record_number: 21557 _uuid: 75cf1c0b-cc62-4ca4-96a7-082afdfe2ab1 reftype: Report child_publication: /report/climate-science-special-report href: https://data.globalchange.gov/reference/75cf1c0b-cc62-4ca4-96a7-082afdfe2ab1.yaml identifier: 75cf1c0b-cc62-4ca4-96a7-082afdfe2ab1 uri: /reference/75cf1c0b-cc62-4ca4-96a7-082afdfe2ab1 - attrs: .reference_type: 7 Author: 'Chambwera, M.; Heal, G.; Dubeux, C.; Hallegatte, S.; Leclerc, L.; Markandya, A.; McCarl, B. A.; Mechler, R.; Neumann, J. E.' Book Title: 'Climate Change 2014: Impacts, Adaptation, and Vulnerability. Part A: Global and Sectoral Aspects. Contribution of Working Group II to the Fifth Assessment Report of the Intergovernmental Panel of Climate Change' Editor: 'Field, C. B.; Barros, V. R.; Dokken, D. J.; Mach, K. J.; Mastrandrea, M. D.; Bilir, T. E.; Chatterjee, M.; Ebi, K. L.; Estrada, Y. O.; Genova, R. C.; Girma, B.; Kissel, E. S.; Levy, A. N.; MacCracken, S.; Mastrandrea, P. R.; White, L. L.' Pages: 945-977 Place Published: 'Cambridge, United Kingdom and New York, NY, USA' Publisher: Cambridge University Press Short Title: Economics of adaptation Title: Economics of adaptation Year: 2014 _record_number: 17673 _uuid: 76d1846f-82d5-454b-974b-9a51954a05da reftype: Book Section child_publication: /report/ipcc-ar5-wg2-parta/chapter/wg2-ar5-chap17-final href: https://data.globalchange.gov/reference/76d1846f-82d5-454b-974b-9a51954a05da.yaml identifier: 76d1846f-82d5-454b-974b-9a51954a05da uri: /reference/76d1846f-82d5-454b-974b-9a51954a05da - attrs: .reference_type: 0 Author: 'Stephanie C. Herring; Andrew Hoell; Martin P. Hoerling; James P. Kossin; Schreck III, Carl J.; Peter A. Stott' DOI: 10.1175/BAMS-ExplainingExtremeEvents2015.1 Issue: 12 Journal: Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society Pages: S1-S145 Title: Explaining extreme events of 2015 from a climate perspective Volume: 97 Year: 2016 _record_number: 20827 _uuid: 77026696-4273-40c2-9226-05e83bdf7ea9 reftype: Journal Article child_publication: /article/10.1175/BAMS-ExplainingExtremeEvents2015.1 href: https://data.globalchange.gov/reference/77026696-4273-40c2-9226-05e83bdf7ea9.yaml identifier: 77026696-4273-40c2-9226-05e83bdf7ea9 uri: /reference/77026696-4273-40c2-9226-05e83bdf7ea9 - attrs: Author: 'Fredericks, Anthony C.; Fernandez-Sesma, Ana' DOI: 10.1016/j.aogh.2015.02.006 Date: 2014/11/01/ ISSN: 2214-9996 Issue: 6 Journal: Annals of Global Health Keywords: arbovirus; antiviral; California; chikungunya; dengue; flavivirus; vaccine Pages: 466-475 Title: 'The burden of dengue and chikungunya worldwide: Implications for the southern United States and California' Volume: 80 Year: 2014 _record_number: 22077 _uuid: 79452198-3659-4878-b466-c3ee6da27325 reftype: Journal Article child_publication: /article/10.1016/j.aogh.2015.02.006 href: https://data.globalchange.gov/reference/79452198-3659-4878-b466-c3ee6da27325.yaml identifier: 79452198-3659-4878-b466-c3ee6da27325 uri: /reference/79452198-3659-4878-b466-c3ee6da27325 - attrs: .reference_type: 10 Author: 'USAID,' Institution: U.S. Agency for International Development (USAID) Pages: 25 Place Published: 'Washington, DC' Title: 'Climate Risk Management for USAID Projects and Activities: A Mandatory Reference for ADS Chapter 201' URL: https://www.usaid.gov/sites/default/files/documents/1868/201mal_042817.pdf Year: 2017 _record_number: 22129 _uuid: 79c201c5-4c2d-4c5f-96f6-b0bb6a6de89f reftype: Report child_publication: /report/climate-risk-management-usaid-projects-activities-mandatory-reference-ads-chapter-201 href: https://data.globalchange.gov/reference/79c201c5-4c2d-4c5f-96f6-b0bb6a6de89f.yaml identifier: 79c201c5-4c2d-4c5f-96f6-b0bb6a6de89f uri: /reference/79c201c5-4c2d-4c5f-96f6-b0bb6a6de89f - attrs: .reference_type: 10 Author: 'Ørts Hansen, Carsten; Peter Grønsedt; Lindstrøm Graversen, Christian ; Christian Hendriksen' Institution: 'Copenhagen Business School, CBS Maritime' Notes: ISBN 978-87-93262-03-4 Pages: 93 Place Published: 'Copenhagen, Denmark' Title: Arctic Shipping – Commercial Opportunities and Challenges URL: https://services-webdav.cbs.dk/doc/CBS.dk/Arctic%20Shipping%20-%20Commercial%20Opportunities%20and%20Challenges.pdf Year: 2016 _record_number: 22112 _uuid: 7a75ac9e-f051-4a73-a809-e5a5f7faef34 reftype: Report child_publication: /report/arctic-shipping-commercial-opportunities-challenges href: https://data.globalchange.gov/reference/7a75ac9e-f051-4a73-a809-e5a5f7faef34.yaml identifier: 7a75ac9e-f051-4a73-a809-e5a5f7faef34 uri: /reference/7a75ac9e-f051-4a73-a809-e5a5f7faef34 - attrs: Abstract: 'Social and political tensions keep on fueling armed conflicts around the world. Although each conflict is the result of an individual context-specific mixture of interconnected factors, ethnicity appears to play a prominent and almost ubiquitous role in many of them. This overall state of affairs is likely to be exacerbated by anthropogenic climate change and in particular climate-related natural disasters. Ethnic divides might serve as predetermined conflict lines in case of rapidly emerging societal tensions arising from disruptive events like natural disasters. Here, we hypothesize that climate-related disaster occurrence enhances armed-conflict outbreak risk in ethnically fractionalized countries. Using event coincidence analysis, we test this hypothesis based on data on armed-conflict outbreaks and climate-related natural disasters for the period 1980–2010. Globally, we find a coincidence rate of 9% regarding armed-conflict outbreak and disaster occurrence such as heat waves or droughts. Our analysis also reveals that, during the period in question, about 23% of conflict outbreaks in ethnically highly fractionalized countries robustly coincide with climatic calamities. Although we do not report evidence that climate-related disasters act as direct triggers of armed conflicts, the disruptive nature of these events seems to play out in ethnically fractionalized societies in a particularly tragic way. This observation has important implications for future security policies as several of the world’s most conflict-prone regions, including North and Central Africa as well as Central Asia, are both exceptionally vulnerable to anthropogenic climate change and characterized by deep ethnic divides.' Author: 'Schleussner, Carl-Friedrich; Donges, Jonathan F.; Donner, Reik V.; Schellnhuber, Hans Joachim' DOI: 10.1073/pnas.1601611113 Date: 'August 16, 2016' Issue: 33 Journal: Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America Pages: 9216-9221 Title: Armed-conflict risks enhanced by climate-related disasters in ethnically fractionalized countries Volume: 113 Year: 2016 _record_number: 22049 _uuid: 7b1fc35e-bf68-443f-a11a-272be556be6e reftype: Journal Article child_publication: /article/10.1073/pnas.1601611113 href: https://data.globalchange.gov/reference/7b1fc35e-bf68-443f-a11a-272be556be6e.yaml identifier: 7b1fc35e-bf68-443f-a11a-272be556be6e uri: /reference/7b1fc35e-bf68-443f-a11a-272be556be6e - attrs: .reference_type: 10 Author: 'Wilson, Jill H.' Institution: Congressional Research Service Pages: 15 Place Published: 'Washington, DC' Report Number: RS20844 Title: 'Temporary Protected Status: Overview and Current Issues' URL: https://fas.org/sgp/crs/homesec/RS20844.pdf Year: 2018 _record_number: 26734 _uuid: 7b822eca-94c6-4519-a714-10e2fb5c92dc reftype: Report child_publication: /report/temporary-protected-status-overview-current-issues href: https://data.globalchange.gov/reference/7b822eca-94c6-4519-a714-10e2fb5c92dc.yaml identifier: 7b822eca-94c6-4519-a714-10e2fb5c92dc uri: /reference/7b822eca-94c6-4519-a714-10e2fb5c92dc - attrs: .reference_type: 16 Author: 'FEWS NET,' Place Published: '[Washington, DC]' Publisher: 'USAID, FEWS NET' Title: Famine Early Warning Systems Network (FEWS NET) web site URL: http://www.fews.net/ Year: 2017 _record_number: 22144 _uuid: 7d62f13c-08f1-4970-b155-ede3fad2b41a reftype: Web Page child_publication: /webpage/adfcf1d6-ea17-4648-90ac-2fb64710f1af href: https://data.globalchange.gov/reference/7d62f13c-08f1-4970-b155-ede3fad2b41a.yaml identifier: 7d62f13c-08f1-4970-b155-ede3fad2b41a uri: /reference/7d62f13c-08f1-4970-b155-ede3fad2b41a - attrs: .reference_type: 10 Author: 'Briggs, M.' Institution: 'World Wildlife Fund, Rio Grande–Rio Bravo Program' Place Published: 'Washington, DC' Title: Climate Adaptation in the Big Bend Region of the Chihuahuan Desert Year: 2016 _record_number: 26735 _uuid: 80bbd74d-9d21-4c01-a19c-7411ff153b20 reftype: Report child_publication: /report/climate-adaptation-big-bend-region-chihuahuan-desert href: https://data.globalchange.gov/reference/80bbd74d-9d21-4c01-a19c-7411ff153b20.yaml identifier: 80bbd74d-9d21-4c01-a19c-7411ff153b20 uri: /reference/80bbd74d-9d21-4c01-a19c-7411ff153b20 - attrs: Author: 'Parker, Thomas; Sean P. Carroll; Gregg Sanders; Jason E. King; Imes Chiu' ISSN: 1070-0692 Journal: Joint Force Quarterly Pages: 54-61 Title: The U.S. Pacific Command response to Super Typhoon Haiyan URL: http://ndupress.ndu.edu/Portals/68/Documents/jfq/jfq-82/jfq-82_54-61_Parker-et-al.pdf Volume: 82 Year: 2016 _record_number: 22115 _uuid: 80ea7182-f744-434a-a827-7e0656a51e41 reftype: Journal Article child_publication: /article/us-pacific-command-response-super-typhoon-haiyan href: https://data.globalchange.gov/reference/80ea7182-f744-434a-a827-7e0656a51e41.yaml identifier: 80ea7182-f744-434a-a827-7e0656a51e41 uri: /reference/80ea7182-f744-434a-a827-7e0656a51e41 - attrs: .reference_type: 16 Author: 'Torresan, Laura Zink; Curt D. Storlazzi' DOI: 10.5066/F7QR4V4C Publisher: 'US Geological Survey, Pacific Coastal and Marine Science Center' Title: The Impact of Sea-Level Rise and Climate Change on Pacific Ocean Atolls That House Department of Defense Installations URL: https://walrus.wr.usgs.gov/climate-change/atolls/ Year: 2014 _record_number: 26155 _uuid: 85bf61ce-6eca-4180-bab3-6e30df2a5f77 reftype: Web Page child_publication: /webpage/f0e20bc3-8695-4a6b-b8df-6449511f965a href: https://data.globalchange.gov/reference/85bf61ce-6eca-4180-bab3-6e30df2a5f77.yaml identifier: 85bf61ce-6eca-4180-bab3-6e30df2a5f77 uri: /reference/85bf61ce-6eca-4180-bab3-6e30df2a5f77 - attrs: .reference_type: 10 Author: 'WMO,' Institution: 'World Meteorological Organization (WMO), Global Framework for Climate Services' Place Published: 'Geneva, Switzerland' Title: Regional Climate Outlook Forum URL: https://library.wmo.int/opac/doc_num.php?explnum_id=3191 Year: 2016 _record_number: 22034 _uuid: 8785260f-fe94-4347-a064-a068bae50618 reftype: Report child_publication: /report/regional-climate-outlook-forum href: https://data.globalchange.gov/reference/8785260f-fe94-4347-a064-a068bae50618.yaml identifier: 8785260f-fe94-4347-a064-a068bae50618 uri: /reference/8785260f-fe94-4347-a064-a068bae50618 - attrs: Abstract: "Armed conflict within nations has had disastrous humanitarian consequences throughout much of the world. Here we undertake the first comprehensive examination of the potential impact of global climate change on armed conflict in sub-Saharan Africa. We find strong historical linkages between civil war and temperature in Africa, with warmer years leading to significant increases in the likelihood of war. When combined with climate model projections of future temperature trends, this historical response to temperature suggests a roughly 54% increase in armed conflict incidence by 2030, or an additional 393,000 battle deaths if future wars are as deadly as recent wars. Our results suggest an urgent need to reform African governments' and foreign aid donors' policies to deal with rising temperatures." Author: 'Burke, Marshall B.; Miguel, Edward; Satyanath, Shanker; Dykema, John A.; Lobell, David B.' DOI: 10.1073/pnas.0907998106 Date: 'December 8, 2009' Issue: 49 Journal: Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America Pages: 20670-20674 Title: Warming increases the risk of civil war in Africa Volume: 106 Year: 2009 _record_number: 22088 _uuid: 8816e89b-8604-4ebf-9646-13b7352a2ecd reftype: Journal Article child_publication: /article/10.1073/pnas.0907998106 href: https://data.globalchange.gov/reference/8816e89b-8604-4ebf-9646-13b7352a2ecd.yaml identifier: 8816e89b-8604-4ebf-9646-13b7352a2ecd uri: /reference/8816e89b-8604-4ebf-9646-13b7352a2ecd