--- - attrs: Abstract: 'Climate change impact assessments often apply models of individual sectors such as agriculture, forestry and water use without considering interactions between these sectors. This is likely to lead to misrepresentation of impacts, and consequently to poor decisions about climate adaptation. However, no published research assesses the differences between impacts simulated by single-sector and integrated models. Here we compare 14 indicators derived from a set of impact models run within single-sector and integrated frameworks across a range of climate and socio-economic scenarios in Europe. We show that single-sector studies misrepresent the spatial pattern, direction and magnitude of most impacts because they omit the complex interdependencies within human and environmental systems. The discrepancies are particularly pronounced for indicators such as food production and water exploitation, which are highly influenced by other sectors through changes in demand, land suitability and resource competition. Furthermore, the discrepancies are greater under different socio-economic scenarios than different climate scenarios, and at the sub-regional rather than Europe-wide scale.' Author: 'Harrison, Paula A.; Dunford, Robert W.; Holman, Ian P.; Rounsevell, Mark D. A.' DOI: 10.1038/nclimate3039 Date: 09//print ISSN: 1758-678X Issue: 9 Journal: Nature Climate Change Pages: 885-890 Publisher: Nature Publishing Group Title: Climate change impact modelling needs to include cross-sectoral interactions Type of Article: Article Volume: 6 Year: 2016 _record_number: 21434 _uuid: 2a131189-94cc-4c86-bb51-2fc0bf6a4504 reftype: Journal Article child_publication: /article/10.1038/nclimate3039 href: https://data.globalchange.gov/reference/2a131189-94cc-4c86-bb51-2fc0bf6a4504.yaml identifier: 2a131189-94cc-4c86-bb51-2fc0bf6a4504 uri: /reference/2a131189-94cc-4c86-bb51-2fc0bf6a4504 - attrs: .reference_type: 7 Author: 'Eldredge, Niles, and Stephen Jay Gould' Book Title: Models in Paleobiology Editor: 'Schopf, Thomas J. M.' ISBN: 978-0877353256 Pages: 82-115 Place Published: 'San Francisco, CA' Publisher: Freeman & Cooper Title: 'Punctuated equilibria: An alternative to phyletic gradualism' Year: 1972 _record_number: 21445 _uuid: 82abbb5d-1c8e-4178-82c3-249fb0fdf168 reftype: Book Section child_publication: /book/d1870c8d-bea7-4eac-bf18-45badcbf0555 href: https://data.globalchange.gov/reference/82abbb5d-1c8e-4178-82c3-249fb0fdf168.yaml identifier: 82abbb5d-1c8e-4178-82c3-249fb0fdf168 uri: /reference/82abbb5d-1c8e-4178-82c3-249fb0fdf168 - attrs: .reference_type: 47 Author: 'Simon, Herbert A.' Conference Location: 'Nashua, New Hampshire, USA' Conference Name: Proceedings from the International Conference on Complex Systems on Unifying Themes in Complex Systems Pages: 3-14 Place Published: 331794 Publisher: Perseus Books Title: Can there be a science of complex systems? Year: 2000 _record_number: 21403 _uuid: 87e9e534-034f-450c-b205-f268be5c2152 reftype: Conference Paper child_publication: /generic/353cabe8-5993-46f4-9c7a-b086f9d098e3 href: https://data.globalchange.gov/reference/87e9e534-034f-450c-b205-f268be5c2152.yaml identifier: 87e9e534-034f-450c-b205-f268be5c2152 uri: /reference/87e9e534-034f-450c-b205-f268be5c2152 - attrs: .reference_type: 47 Author: 'Darley, Vince' Conference Location: 'Massachusette Institute of Technology, Boston' Conference Name: 'Artificial Life IV: Proceedings of the Fourth International Workshop on the Synthesis and Simulation of Living Systems' Date: 6-8 July 1994 Notes: 'ISBN: 9780262521901 (out of stock)' Pages: 411-406 Publisher: MIT Press Title: Emergent phenomena and complexity URL: http://citeseerx.ist.psu.edu/viewdoc/download?doi=10.1.1.76.9965&rep=rep1&type=pdf Year: 1994 _record_number: 21453 _uuid: a4feb2d0-0a82-4f20-98af-89c295b177c0 reftype: Conference Paper child_publication: /generic/5e4deda1-51f0-4b47-91f3-45a78c581bfe href: https://data.globalchange.gov/reference/a4feb2d0-0a82-4f20-98af-89c295b177c0.yaml identifier: a4feb2d0-0a82-4f20-98af-89c295b177c0 uri: /reference/a4feb2d0-0a82-4f20-98af-89c295b177c0 - attrs: Author: 'Holling, C. S.' DOI: 10.1146/annurev.es.04.110173.000245 Issue: 1 Journal: Annual Review of Ecology and Systematics Pages: 1-23 Title: Resilience and stability of ecological systems Volume: 4 Year: 1973 _record_number: 25292 _uuid: ceb49ae3-99c4-4009-a382-c3f26891e687 reftype: Journal Article child_publication: /article/10.1146/annurev.es.04.110173.000245 href: https://data.globalchange.gov/reference/ceb49ae3-99c4-4009-a382-c3f26891e687.yaml identifier: ceb49ae3-99c4-4009-a382-c3f26891e687 uri: /reference/ceb49ae3-99c4-4009-a382-c3f26891e687 - attrs: Abstract: 'Finite systems of deterministic ordinary nonlinear differential equations may be designed to represent forced dissipative hydrodynamic flow. Solutions of these equations can be identified with trajectories in phase space. For those systems with bounded solutions, it is found that nonperiodic solutions are ordinarily unstable with respect to small modifications, so that slightly differing initial states can evolve into considerably different states. Systems with bounded solutions are shown to possess bounded numerical solutions. A simple system representing cellular convection is solved numerically. All of the solutions are found to be unstable, and almost all of them are nonperiodic. The feasibility of very-long-range weather prediction is examined in the light of these results.' Author: 'Lorenz, Edward N.' DOI: 10.1175/1520-0469(1963)020<0130:dnf>2.0.co;2 Issue: 2 Journal: Journal of the Atmospheric Sciences Pages: 130-141 Title: Deterministic nonperiodic flow Volume: 20 Year: 1963 _record_number: 21424 _uuid: ff6f1e9a-1875-438b-b628-c107c5de2396 reftype: Journal Article child_publication: /article/10.1175/1520-0469(1963)020%3C0130:dnf%3E2.0.co;2 href: https://data.globalchange.gov/reference/ff6f1e9a-1875-438b-b628-c107c5de2396.yaml identifier: ff6f1e9a-1875-438b-b628-c107c5de2396 uri: /reference/ff6f1e9a-1875-438b-b628-c107c5de2396