Figure : se_tmin-above-75_v1

Projected Number of Warm Nights

Figure 19.5

North Carolina State University
Kenneth E. Kunkel

This figure appears in chapter 19 of the Impacts, Risks, and Adaptation in the United States: The Fourth National Climate Assessment, Volume II report.

The maps show the projected number of warm nights (days with minimum temperatures above 75°F) per year in the Southeast for the mid-21st century (left; 2036–2065) and the late 21st century (right; 2070–2099) under a higher scenario (RCP8.5; top row) and a lower scenario (RCP4.5; bottom row). These warm nights currently occur only a few times per year across most of the region (Figure 19.4) but are expected to become common events across much of the Southeast under a higher scenario. Increases in the number of warm nights adversely affect agriculture and reduce the ability of some people to recover from high daytime temperatures. With more heat waves expected, there will likely be a higher risk for more heat-related illness and deaths. Sources: NOAA NCEI and CICS-NC.

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This figure was created on April 18, 2017.

This figure was submitted on December 03, 2018.

Provenance
This figure was derived from scenario rcp_4_5
This figure was derived from scenario rcp_8_5


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