uri,href,identifier,attrs.Abstract,attrs.Author,attrs.DOI,attrs.Date,attrs.Issue,attrs.Journal,attrs.Pages,attrs.Title,attrs.Volume,attrs.Year,attrs._record_number,attrs._uuid,attrs.reftype,child_publication
/reference/43a19300-856f-4beb-bd20-1410cd6d71da,https://data.globalchange.gov/reference/43a19300-856f-4beb-bd20-1410cd6d71da,43a19300-856f-4beb-bd20-1410cd6d71da,"Because habitat loss is the main cause of extinction, where and how much society chooses to protect is vital for saving species. The United States is well positioned economically and politically to pursue habitat conservation should it be a societal goal. We assessed the US protected area portfolio with respect to biodiversity in the country. New synthesis maps for terrestrial vertebrates, freshwater fish, and trees permit comparison with protected areas to identify priorities for future conservation investment. Although the total area protected is substantial, its geographic configuration is nearly the opposite of patterns of endemism within the country. Most protected lands are in the West, whereas the vulnerable species are largely in the Southeast. Private land protections are significant, but they are not concentrated where the priorities are. To adequately protect the nation’s unique biodiversity, we recommend specific areas deserving additional protection, some of them including public lands, but many others requiring private investment.","Jenkins, Clinton N.; Van Houtan, Kyle S.; Pimm, Stuart L.; Sexton, Joseph O.",10.1073/pnas.1418034112,"April 21, 2015",16,"Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America",5081-5086,"US protected lands mismatch biodiversity priorities",112,2015,24331,43a19300-856f-4beb-bd20-1410cd6d71da,"Journal Article",/article/10.1073/pnas.1418034112
/reference/43afbc10-9da8-467e-b65f-448599b05dd0,https://data.globalchange.gov/reference/43afbc10-9da8-467e-b65f-448599b05dd0,43afbc10-9da8-467e-b65f-448599b05dd0,,"Storey, Margaret; Gudger, E. W.",10.2307/1932762,,4,Ecology,640-648,"Mortality of fishes due to cold at Sanibel Island, Florida, 1886-1936",17,1936,24382,43afbc10-9da8-467e-b65f-448599b05dd0,"Journal Article",/article/10.2307/1932762
/reference/446a98e1-77e4-4654-9125-277eab402a9f,https://data.globalchange.gov/reference/446a98e1-77e4-4654-9125-277eab402a9f,446a98e1-77e4-4654-9125-277eab402a9f,,"Census Bureau,",,,,,,,,2017,24450,446a98e1-77e4-4654-9125-277eab402a9f,Blog,/webpage/11e41065-29ab-493f-8e01-a5ee4e8b1545
/reference/44cdf44a-701f-4752-9980-cd02c4542d08,https://data.globalchange.gov/reference/44cdf44a-701f-4752-9980-cd02c4542d08,44cdf44a-701f-4752-9980-cd02c4542d08,"Projected changes in the relative abundance and timing of autumn-winter migration are assessed for seven dabbling duck species across the Mississippi and Atlantic Flyways for the mid- and late 21st century. Species-specific observed relationships are established between cumulative weather severity in autumn-winter and duck population rate of change. Dynamically downscaled projections of weather severity are developed using a high-resolution regional climate model, interactively coupled to a one-dimensional lake model to represent the Great Lakes and associated lake-effect snowfall. Based on the observed relationships and downscaled climate projections of rising air temperatures and reduced snow cover, delayed autumn-winter migration is expected for all species, with the least delays for the Northern Pintail and the greatest delays for the Mallard. Indeed, the Mallard, the most common and widespread duck in North America, may overwinter in the Great Lakes region by the late 21st century. This highlights the importance of protecting and restoring wetlands across the mid-latitudes of North America, including the Great Lakes Basin, because dabbling ducks are likely to spend more time there, which would impact existing wetlands through increased foraging pressure. Furthermore, inconsistency in the timing and intensity of the traditional autumn-winter migration of dabbling ducks in the Mississippi and Atlantic Flyways could have social and economic consequences to communities to the south, where hunting and birdwatching would be affected.","Notaro, Michael; Schummer, Michael; Zhong, Yafang; Vavrus, Stephen; Van Den Elsen, Lena; Coluccy, John; Hoving, Christopher",10.1371/journal.pone.0167506,,12,"PLOS ONE",e0167506,"Projected influences of changes in weather severity on autumn-winter distributions of dabbling ducks in the Mississippi and Atlantic flyways during the twenty-first century",11,2016,24364,44cdf44a-701f-4752-9980-cd02c4542d08,"Journal Article",/article/10.1371/journal.pone.0167506
/reference/465fa644-f252-49a8-ae70-b1a8ca976c04,https://data.globalchange.gov/reference/465fa644-f252-49a8-ae70-b1a8ca976c04,465fa644-f252-49a8-ae70-b1a8ca976c04,,"Smith, Thomas J., III; Robblee, Michael B.; Wanless, Harold R.; Doyle, Thomas W.",10.2307/1312230,,4,BioScience,256-262,"Mangroves, hurricanes, and lightning strikes: Assessment of Hurricane Andrew suggests an interaction across two differing scales of disturbance",44,1994,24378,465fa644-f252-49a8-ae70-b1a8ca976c04,"Journal Article",/article/10.2307/1312230
/reference/47e2e36b-27de-461f-8188-2d04216da2a5,https://data.globalchange.gov/reference/47e2e36b-27de-461f-8188-2d04216da2a5,47e2e36b-27de-461f-8188-2d04216da2a5,,"Enwright, Nicholas M.; Griffith, Kereen T.; Osland, Michael J.",10.1002/fee.1282,,6,"Frontiers in Ecology and the Environment",307-316,"Barriers to and opportunities for landward migration of coastal wetlands with sea-level rise",14,2016,24315,47e2e36b-27de-461f-8188-2d04216da2a5,"Journal Article",/article/10.1002/fee.1282
/reference/480ff362-8434-4861-a8bb-2dc6615bdcdc,https://data.globalchange.gov/reference/480ff362-8434-4861-a8bb-2dc6615bdcdc,480ff362-8434-4861-a8bb-2dc6615bdcdc,,"Sallenger, Asbury H.
Doran, Kara S.
Howd, Peter A.",10.1038/nclimate1597,,,"Nature Climate Change",884-888,"Hotspot of accelerated sea-level rise on the Atlantic coast of North America",2,2012,2733,480ff362-8434-4861-a8bb-2dc6615bdcdc,"Journal Article",/article/10.1038/nclimate1597
/reference/4ac9e33c-35e4-4d28-a720-da17cb3baa49,https://data.globalchange.gov/reference/4ac9e33c-35e4-4d28-a720-da17cb3baa49,4ac9e33c-35e4-4d28-a720-da17cb3baa49,,"Duehl, Adrian J.; Koch, Frank H.; Hain, Fred P.",10.1016/j.foreco.2010.10.032,2011/02/01/,3,"Forest Ecology and Management",473-479,"Southern pine beetle regional outbreaks modeled on landscape, climate and infestation history",261,2011,24314,4ac9e33c-35e4-4d28-a720-da17cb3baa49,"Journal Article",/article/10.1016/j.foreco.2010.10.032
/reference/4b55e347-52cb-4301-9eea-ad3858c6fc1d,https://data.globalchange.gov/reference/4b55e347-52cb-4301-9eea-ad3858c6fc1d,4b55e347-52cb-4301-9eea-ad3858c6fc1d,"Exposures to dangerously high temperatures are a public health threat expected to increase with global climate change. Heat waves exacerbate the risks associated with heat exposure, and urban residents are particularly vulnerable to threats of heat waves due to the urban heat island effect. To understand how heat waves are changing over time, we examine changes in four heat wave characteristics from 1961 to 2010, frequency, duration, intensity, and timing, in 50 large US cities. Our purpose in measuring these trends is to assess the extent to which urban populations are increasingly exposed to heat-related health hazards resulting from changing trends in extreme heat. We find each of these heat wave characteristics to be rising significantly when measured over a five-decade period, with the annual number of heat waves increasing by 0.6 heat waves per decade for the average US city. Additionally, on average, we find the length of heat waves to be increasing by a fifth of a day, the intensity to be increasing 0.1 A degrees C above local thresholds, and the length of the heat wave season (time between first and last heat wave) to be increasing by 6 days per decade. The regions most at risk due to increasing heat wave trends must plan appropriately to manage this growing threat by enhancing emergency preparedness plans and minimizing the urban heat island effect.","Habeeb, D.; Vargo, J.; Stone, B.",10.1007/s11069-014-1563-z,Apr,3,"Natural Hazards",1651-1665,"Rising heat wave trends in large US cities",76,2015,22742,4b55e347-52cb-4301-9eea-ad3858c6fc1d,"Journal Article",/article/10.1007/s11069-014-1563-z
/reference/4c1d952b-234b-4f64-8757-d94e3565b067,https://data.globalchange.gov/reference/4c1d952b-234b-4f64-8757-d94e3565b067,4c1d952b-234b-4f64-8757-d94e3565b067,,"Poloczanska, Elvira S.; Brown, Christopher J.; Sydeman, William J.; Kiessling, Wolfgang; Schoeman, David S.; Moore, Pippa J.; Brander, Keith; Bruno, John F.; Buckley, Lauren B.; Burrows, Michael T.; Duarte, Carlos M.; Halpern, Benjamin S.; Holding, Johnna; Kappel, Carrie V.; O’Connor, Mary I.; Pandolfi, John M.; Parmesan, Camille; Schwing, Franklin; Thompson, Sarah Ann; Richardson, Anthony J.",10.1038/nclimate1958,08/04/online,,"Nature Climate Change",919-925,"Global imprint of climate change on marine life",3,2013,23438,4c1d952b-234b-4f64-8757-d94e3565b067,"Journal Article",/article/10.1038/nclimate1958
/reference/4cb8e89f-8ad1-4276-9435-2ae8b1315fbe,https://data.globalchange.gov/reference/4cb8e89f-8ad1-4276-9435-2ae8b1315fbe,4cb8e89f-8ad1-4276-9435-2ae8b1315fbe,,,,,,,26,"Brazilian Pepper Management Plan for Florida",,1997,24418,4cb8e89f-8ad1-4276-9435-2ae8b1315fbe,"Edited Report",/report/brazilian-pepper-management-plan-florida
/reference/4cf69f1f-d269-4a5d-8aae-cdd7cedec70f,https://data.globalchange.gov/reference/4cf69f1f-d269-4a5d-8aae-cdd7cedec70f,4cf69f1f-d269-4a5d-8aae-cdd7cedec70f,,"Christensen, Norman L.",,,,,112-136,"Fire regimes in southeastern ecosystems",,1981,24441,4cf69f1f-d269-4a5d-8aae-cdd7cedec70f,"Conference Paper",/generic/7c7b3164-35ee-4a9d-a346-5e9714e3c9c4
/reference/4d9c1f53-d81f-47a1-a2d6-aefd36fca0de,https://data.globalchange.gov/reference/4d9c1f53-d81f-47a1-a2d6-aefd36fca0de,4d9c1f53-d81f-47a1-a2d6-aefd36fca0de,,"Gonzalez, Carmen G.; Alice Kaswan; Robert Verchick; Yee Huang; Nowal Jamhour; Shawn Bowen",,,,,97,"Climate Change, Resilience, and Fairness: How Nonstructural Adaptation Can Protect and Empower Socially Vulnerable Communities on the Gulf Coast",,2016,24416,4d9c1f53-d81f-47a1-a2d6-aefd36fca0de,Report,/report/climate-change-resilience-fairness-how-nonstructural-adaptation-can-protect-empower-socially-vulnerable-communities-on-gulf-coast
/reference/4dfdd8ce-b51b-488f-ac53-0522b91111cd,https://data.globalchange.gov/reference/4dfdd8ce-b51b-488f-ac53-0522b91111cd,4dfdd8ce-b51b-488f-ac53-0522b91111cd,,"Rehage, J. S.; Blanchard, J. R.; Boucek, R. E.; Lorenz, J. J.; Robinson, M.",10.1002/ecs2.1268,,6,Ecosphere,e01268,"Knocking back invasions: Variable resistance and resilience to multiple cold spells in native vs. nonnative fishes",7,2016,24371,4dfdd8ce-b51b-488f-ac53-0522b91111cd,"Journal Article",/article/10.1002/ecs2.1268
/reference/4ea5bc03-4042-48cf-ba69-b36283bf8c1c,https://data.globalchange.gov/reference/4ea5bc03-4042-48cf-ba69-b36283bf8c1c,4ea5bc03-4042-48cf-ba69-b36283bf8c1c,,"NDRC,",,,,,7-8,"State of Louisiana",,2016,26337,4ea5bc03-4042-48cf-ba69-b36283bf8c1c,"Book Section",/report/national-disaster-resilience-competition-ndrc-grantee-profiles
/reference/4ee62705-7f16-4bd9-871b-cd103d8439fa,https://data.globalchange.gov/reference/4ee62705-7f16-4bd9-871b-cd103d8439fa,4ee62705-7f16-4bd9-871b-cd103d8439fa,"Massive declines in population abundances of marine animals have been documented over century-long time scales. However, analogous loss of spatial extent of habitat-forming organisms is less well known because georeferenced data are rare over long time scales, particularly in subtidal, tropical marine regions. We use high-resolution historical nautical charts to quantify changes to benthic structure over 240 years in the Florida Keys, finding an overall loss of 52% (SE, 6.4%) of the area of the seafloor occupied by corals. We find a strong spatial dimension to this decline; the spatial extent of coral in Florida Bay and nearshore declined by 87.5% (SE, 7.2%) and 68.8% (SE, 7.5%), respectively, whereas that of offshore areas of coral remained largely intact. These estimates add to finer-scale loss in live coral cover exceeding 90% in some locations in recent decades. The near-complete elimination of the spatial coverage of nearshore coral represents an underappreciated spatial component of the shifting baseline syndrome, with important lessons for other species and ecosystems. That is, modern surveys are typically designed to assess change only within the species’ known, extant range. For species ranging from corals to sea turtles, this approach may overlook spatial loss over longer time frames, resulting in both overly optimistic views of their current conservation status and underestimates of their restoration potential.","McClenachan, Loren; O’Connor, Grace; Neal, Benjamin P.; Pandolfi, John M.; Jackson, Jeremy B. C.",10.1126/sciadv.1603155,,9,"Science Advances",e1603155,"Ghost reefs: Nautical charts document large spatial scale of coral reef loss over 240 years",3,2017,24353,4ee62705-7f16-4bd9-871b-cd103d8439fa,"Journal Article",/article/10.1126/sciadv.1603155
/reference/4f009186-9288-483f-a082-a85dbfee0e79,https://data.globalchange.gov/reference/4f009186-9288-483f-a082-a85dbfee0e79,4f009186-9288-483f-a082-a85dbfee0e79,,"Krakauer, Nir Y.",10.1155/2012/404876,,,"Advances in Meteorology","Article ID 404876","Estimating climate trends: Application to United States plant hardiness zones",2012,2012,24341,4f009186-9288-483f-a082-a85dbfee0e79,"Journal Article",/article/10.1155/2012/404876
/reference/504c60ae-db5f-4b9c-bb9f-2dd7701dc31c,https://data.globalchange.gov/reference/504c60ae-db5f-4b9c-bb9f-2dd7701dc31c,504c60ae-db5f-4b9c-bb9f-2dd7701dc31c,,"Luedeling, Eike",10.1016/j.scienta.2012.07.011,,0,"Scientia Horticulturae",218-229,"Climate change impacts on winter chill for temperate fruit and nut production: A review",144,2012,3946,504c60ae-db5f-4b9c-bb9f-2dd7701dc31c,"Journal Article",/article/10.1016/j.scienta.2012.07.011
/reference/5140beac-68a3-41a0-a370-7a06a809d3e5,https://data.globalchange.gov/reference/5140beac-68a3-41a0-a370-7a06a809d3e5,5140beac-68a3-41a0-a370-7a06a809d3e5,,"Jackson, Stephen T.; Webb, Robert S.; Anderson, Katharine H.; Overpeck, Jonathan T.; Webb III, Thompson; Williams, John W.; Hansen, Barbara C. S.",10.1016/S0277-3791(99)00093-1,2000/02/01/,6,"Quaternary Science Reviews",489-508,"Vegetation and environment in Eastern North America during the Last Glacial Maximum",19,2000,24328,5140beac-68a3-41a0-a370-7a06a809d3e5,"Journal Article",/article/10.1016/S0277-3791(99)00093-1
/reference/52b8c0e6-00b2-42aa-9df5-6d46fe600b7d,https://data.globalchange.gov/reference/52b8c0e6-00b2-42aa-9df5-6d46fe600b7d,52b8c0e6-00b2-42aa-9df5-6d46fe600b7d,,"Mitchell, Robert J.; Liu, Yongqiang; O’Brien, Joseph J.; Elliott, Katherine J.; Starr, Gregory; Miniat, Chelcy Ford; Hiers, J. Kevin",10.1016/j.foreco.2013.12.003,2014/09/01/,,"Forest Ecology and Management",316-326,"Future climate and fire interactions in the southeastern region of the United States",327,2014,24249,52b8c0e6-00b2-42aa-9df5-6d46fe600b7d,"Journal Article",/article/10.1016/j.foreco.2013.12.003
/reference/52ce1b63-1b04-4728-9f1b-daee39af665e,https://data.globalchange.gov/reference/52ce1b63-1b04-4728-9f1b-daee39af665e,52ce1b63-1b04-4728-9f1b-daee39af665e,,"Kossin, J.P.; T. Hall; T. Knutson; K.E. Kunkel; R.J. Trapp; D.E. Waliser; M.F. Wehner",10.7930/J07S7KXX,,,,257-276,"Extreme Storms",,2017,21567,52ce1b63-1b04-4728-9f1b-daee39af665e,"Book Section",/report/climate-science-special-report/chapter/extreme-storms
/reference/53677485-6005-45b6-98eb-9f0c1a4d1935,https://data.globalchange.gov/reference/53677485-6005-45b6-98eb-9f0c1a4d1935,53677485-6005-45b6-98eb-9f0c1a4d1935,,"Pederson, Neil; D'Amato, Anthony W.; Dyer, James M.; Foster, David R.; Goldblum, David; Hart, Justin L.; Hessl, Amy E.; Iverson, Louis R.; Jackson, Stephen T.; Martin-Benito, Dario; McCarthy, Brian C.; McEwan, Ryan W.; Mladenoff, David J.; Parker, Albert J.; Shuman, Bryan; Williams, John W.",10.1111/gcb.12779,,6,"Global Change Biology",2105-2110,"Climate remains an important driver of post-European vegetation change in the eastern United States",21,2015,21961,53677485-6005-45b6-98eb-9f0c1a4d1935,"Journal Article",/article/10.1111/gcb.12779
/reference/541baa00-0f34-41b9-a10f-adf41b03961d,https://data.globalchange.gov/reference/541baa00-0f34-41b9-a10f-adf41b03961d,541baa00-0f34-41b9-a10f-adf41b03961d,,"ARC,",,,,,,"Population & Employment Forecasts",,2017,24433,541baa00-0f34-41b9-a10f-adf41b03961d,"Web Page",/webpage/f0fe38d2-ec44-4624-9185-fdb6b7e9f065
/reference/54bc1048-87de-40b1-9f21-7482e2de3883,https://data.globalchange.gov/reference/54bc1048-87de-40b1-9f21-7482e2de3883,54bc1048-87de-40b1-9f21-7482e2de3883,,"Littell, Jeremy S.; Peterson, David L.; Riley, Karin L.; Liu, Yongquiang; Luce, Charles H.",10.1111/gcb.13275,,7,"Global Change Biology",2353-2369,"A review of the relationships between drought and forest fire in the United States",22,2016,21555,54bc1048-87de-40b1-9f21-7482e2de3883,"Journal Article",/article/10.1111/gcb.13275
/reference/558f520b-2054-428d-9c91-ed31241c30b2,https://data.globalchange.gov/reference/558f520b-2054-428d-9c91-ed31241c30b2,558f520b-2054-428d-9c91-ed31241c30b2,,"Dahl, Kristina A; Spanger-Siegfried, Erika; Caldas, Astrid; Udvardy, Shana",10.1525/elementa.234,,,"Elementa: Science of the Anthropocene","Article 37","Effective inundation of continental United States communities with 21st century sea level rise",5,2017,24304,558f520b-2054-428d-9c91-ed31241c30b2,"Journal Article",/article/10.1525/elementa.234