--- - attrs: Author: 'Ebi, Kristie L.; Nealon, Joshua' DOI: 10.1016/j.envres.2016.07.026 Date: 2016/11/01/ ISSN: 0013-9351 Journal: Environmental Research Keywords: Climate change; Dengue; Vector control; Dengue vaccine Pages: 115-123 Title: Dengue in a changing climate Volume: 151 Year: 2016 _record_number: 23246 _uuid: b61cb4f4-19bd-4342-8817-9b42e069afc7 reftype: Journal Article child_publication: /article/10.1016/j.envres.2016.07.026 href: https://data.globalchange.gov/reference/b61cb4f4-19bd-4342-8817-9b42e069afc7.yaml identifier: b61cb4f4-19bd-4342-8817-9b42e069afc7 uri: /reference/b61cb4f4-19bd-4342-8817-9b42e069afc7 - attrs: .reference_type: 10 Author: 'Sun, Liqiang; Kunkel, Kenneth E.; Stevens, Laura E.; Buddenberg, Andrew; Dobson, J.Greg; Easterling, David R.' DOI: 10.7289/V5RB72KG Pages: 111 Publisher: 'National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration, National Environmental Satellite, Data, and Information Service' Report Number: NOAA Technical Report NESDIS 144 Title: 'Regional Surface Climate Conditions in CMIP3 and CMIP5 for the United States: Differences, Similarities, and Implications for the U.S. National Climate Assessment' URL: https://docs.lib.noaa.gov/noaa_documents/NESDIS/TR_NESDIS/TR_NESDIS_144.pdf Year: 2015 _record_number: 19332 _uuid: b63c9720-f770-4718-89cc-53b3616e2bec reftype: Report child_publication: /report/noaa-techreport-nesdis-144 href: https://data.globalchange.gov/reference/b63c9720-f770-4718-89cc-53b3616e2bec.yaml identifier: b63c9720-f770-4718-89cc-53b3616e2bec uri: /reference/b63c9720-f770-4718-89cc-53b3616e2bec - attrs: .reference_type: 16 Author: 'SFRCCC,' Place Published: 'Broward, Miami-Dade, Monroe, and Palm Beach Counties, FL' Publisher: South Florida Regional Climate Change Compact (SFRCCC) Title: 'Regional Climate Action Plan 2.0 [web tool]' URL: http://www.southeastfloridaclimatecompact.org/regional-climate-action-plan/ Year: 2017 _record_number: 26308 _uuid: b8b0eba6-9f78-4777-95d7-42640d763906 reftype: Web Page child_publication: /webpage/e5cbff38-3e8e-4601-9991-37a51053ada7 href: https://data.globalchange.gov/reference/b8b0eba6-9f78-4777-95d7-42640d763906.yaml identifier: b8b0eba6-9f78-4777-95d7-42640d763906 uri: /reference/b8b0eba6-9f78-4777-95d7-42640d763906 - attrs: Author: 'Doyle, Thomas W.; Smith, Thomas J., III; Michael B. Robblee ' Journal: Journal of Coastal Research Pages: 159-168 Title: 'Wind damage effects of Hurricane Andrew on mangrove communities along the southwest coast of Florida, USA' URL: 'http://www.jstor.org/stable/25736006; ' Volume: SI 21 Year: 1995 _record_number: 24312 _uuid: babe9483-5a5a-4167-b004-9e80ab8f0db1 reftype: Journal Article child_publication: /article/wind-damage-effects-hurricane-andrew-on-mangrove-communities-along-southwest-coast-florida-usa href: https://data.globalchange.gov/reference/babe9483-5a5a-4167-b004-9e80ab8f0db1.yaml identifier: babe9483-5a5a-4167-b004-9e80ab8f0db1 uri: /reference/babe9483-5a5a-4167-b004-9e80ab8f0db1 - attrs: Abstract: 'Concern over increasing wildfire activity in the last few decades has prompted increased investment in fuels reduction treatments worldwide. Prescribed fire is a commonly used management tool for reducing fuels and modifying subsequent wildfire dynamics, yet the influence of prescribed fire on wildfire is difficult to evaluate empirically due to the often unpredictable nature of wildfire. In this study we evaluated a 30-year record of wildfire, prescribed fire and drought at Fort Benning, a 74 000-ha military training installation in west-central Georgia, USA. Annual wildfire incidence declined sharply from 1982 to 2012 as prescribed fire hectares increased. Multiple regression models including both prescribed fire and drought (assessed using the Keetch–Byram Drought Index; KBDI) explained ~80% and 54% of the variation in annual wildfire incidence and areal extent, respectively. Current- and previous-year prescribed fire were strongly inversely related to current-year wildfire, suggesting that the cumulative area burned by prescription is important in explaining current-year wildfire incidence. Wildfire activity overall (both incidence and areal extent) was highest during drought years when cumulative prescribed fire hectares were low. Our results suggest some inevitability of wildfire during drought, but also provide evidence for the positive effects of sustained landscape-scale prescribed fire in reducing wildfire activity over time.' Author: 'Addington, Robert N.; Hudson, Stephen J.; Hiers, J. Kevin; Hurteau, Matthew D.; Hutcherson, Thomas F.; Matusick, George; Parker, James M.' DOI: 10.1071/WF14187 Issue: 6 Journal: International Journal of Wildland Fire Keywords: 'Fort Benning, fuels reduction, Keetch–Byram Drought Index, longleaf pine.' Pages: 778-783 Title: 'Relationships among wildfire, prescribed fire, and drought in a fire-prone landscape in the south-eastern United States' Volume: 24 Year: 2015 _record_number: 24285 _uuid: bb7efb4d-1cf9-4ce8-84e7-768910318053 reftype: Journal Article child_publication: /article/10.1071/WF14187 href: https://data.globalchange.gov/reference/bb7efb4d-1cf9-4ce8-84e7-768910318053.yaml identifier: bb7efb4d-1cf9-4ce8-84e7-768910318053 uri: /reference/bb7efb4d-1cf9-4ce8-84e7-768910318053 - attrs: .reference_type: 10 Author: William Sweet; Joseph Park; John Marra; Chris Zervas; Stephen Gill Date Published: June 2014 ISBN: NOAA Technical Report NOS CO-OPS 073 Pages: 58 Place Published: 'Silver Spring, MD' Publisher: 'U.S. Department of Commerce, National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration, National Ocean Service' Series Volume: NOAA Technical Report NOS CO-OPS 073 Title: Sea Level Rise and Nuisance Flood Frequency Changes Around the United States URL: http://tidesandcurrents.noaa.gov/publications/NOAA_Technical_Report_NOS_COOPS_073.pdf Year: 2014 _record_number: 19061 _uuid: bbf3043e-9999-4f0e-8d0c-6012450d9d84 reftype: Report child_publication: /report/noaa-nos-co-ops-073 href: https://data.globalchange.gov/reference/bbf3043e-9999-4f0e-8d0c-6012450d9d84.yaml identifier: bbf3043e-9999-4f0e-8d0c-6012450d9d84 uri: /reference/bbf3043e-9999-4f0e-8d0c-6012450d9d84 - attrs: Abstract: 'High-quality hazard mitigation plans may improve postdisaster outcomes in many ways, including establishing a community fact base and providing rationales for protective policies and actions. Hazard mitigation plans in eighty-four rural counties in the Southeastern United States were scored using an established protocol. To supplement quantitative data, twenty-one key informant interviews were conducted in a subsample of seven counties. While overall plan quality was poor, informants identified areas for improvement. Understanding potential shortcomings of rural hazard mitigation plans can help communities identify areas to direct limited resources to improve plans, particularly in communities that self-identify as highly vulnerable to disasters.' Author: 'Horney, Jennifer; Mai Nguyen; David Salvesen; Caroline Dwyer; John Cooper; Philip Berke' DOI: 10.1177/0739456x16628605 Issue: 1 Journal: Journal of Planning Education and Research Keywords: 'methods,neighborhood planning,sustainability' Pages: 56-65 Title: Assessing the quality of rural hazard mitigation plans in the southeastern United States Volume: 37 Year: 2017 _record_number: 24324 _uuid: bc63cd69-0f13-4d07-8854-1e0e759a31b2 reftype: Journal Article child_publication: /article/10.1177/0739456x16628605 href: https://data.globalchange.gov/reference/bc63cd69-0f13-4d07-8854-1e0e759a31b2.yaml identifier: bc63cd69-0f13-4d07-8854-1e0e759a31b2 uri: /reference/bc63cd69-0f13-4d07-8854-1e0e759a31b2 - attrs: Issue Date: September 6 Newspaper: The News & Observer Place Published: 'Raleigh, NC' Reporter: 'Shaffer, Josh; Bennett, Abbie; Bylythe, Anne' Title: "NC governor declares state of emergency ahead of 'powerful' Hurricane Irma: 'Get ready'" URL: https://www.newsobserver.com/news/weather/article171616057.html Year: 2017 _record_number: 26311 _uuid: bce3d1d1-26b2-4706-98dc-00d191ed25e0 reftype: Newspaper Article child_publication: /generic/cd530903-31c1-45f3-80c9-6a970aede354 href: https://data.globalchange.gov/reference/bce3d1d1-26b2-4706-98dc-00d191ed25e0.yaml identifier: bce3d1d1-26b2-4706-98dc-00d191ed25e0 uri: /reference/bce3d1d1-26b2-4706-98dc-00d191ed25e0 - attrs: .reference_type: 10 Author: 'EPA,' Institution: 'U.S. Environmental Protection Agency (EPA), Office of Atmospheric Programs' Pages: 93 Place Published: 'Washington, DC' Series Volume: EPA 430-R-15-001 Title: 'Climate Change in the United States: Benefits of Global Action' URL: https://www.epa.gov/cira/downloads-cira-report Year: 2015 _record_number: 21925 _uuid: bd3dbfa7-8dc4-4442-9cf2-14f583dc4a36 reftype: Report child_publication: /report/epa-430-r-15-001 href: https://data.globalchange.gov/reference/bd3dbfa7-8dc4-4442-9cf2-14f583dc4a36.yaml identifier: bd3dbfa7-8dc4-4442-9cf2-14f583dc4a36 uri: /reference/bd3dbfa7-8dc4-4442-9cf2-14f583dc4a36 - attrs: Author: 'Williams, John W.; Jackson, Stephen T.' DOI: 10.1890/070037 ISSN: 1540-9309 Issue: 9 Journal: Frontiers in Ecology and the Environment Pages: 475-482 Publisher: Ecological Society of America Title: 'Novel climates, no-analog communities, and ecological surprises' Volume: 5 Year: 2007 _record_number: 23471 _uuid: bd8f4080-8145-4758-894f-24228709de18 reftype: Journal Article child_publication: /article/10.1890/070037 href: https://data.globalchange.gov/reference/bd8f4080-8145-4758-894f-24228709de18.yaml identifier: bd8f4080-8145-4758-894f-24228709de18 uri: /reference/bd8f4080-8145-4758-894f-24228709de18 - attrs: Abstract: 'A recent record cold spell in southern Florida (2–11 January 2010) provided an opportunity to evaluate responses of an established population of Burmese pythons (Python molurus bivittatus) to a prolonged period of unusually cold weather. We observed behavior, characterized thermal biology, determined fate of radio-telemetered (n = 10) and non-telemetered (n = 104) Burmese pythons, and analyzed habitat and environmental conditions experienced by pythons during and after a historic cold spell. Telemetered pythons had been implanted with radio-transmitters and temperature-recording data loggers prior to the cold snap. Only one of 10 telemetered pythons survived the cold snap, whereas 59 of 99 (60%) non-telemetered pythons for which we determined fate survived. Body temperatures of eight dead telemetered pythons fluctuated regularly prior to 9 January 2010, then declined substantially during the cold period (9–11 January) and exhibited no further evidence of active thermoregulation indicating they were likely dead. Unusually cold temperatures in January 2010 were clearly associated with mortality of Burmese pythons in the Everglades. Some radio-telemetered pythons appeared to exhibit maladaptive behavior during the cold spell, including attempting to bask instead of retreating to sheltered refugia. We discuss implications of our findings for persistence and spread of introduced Burmese pythons in the United States and for maximizing their rate of removal.' Author: 'Mazzotti, Frank J.; Cherkiss, Michael S.; Hart, Kristen M.; Snow, Ray W.; Rochford, Michael R.; Dorcas, Michael E.; Reed, Robert N.' DOI: 10.1007/s10530-010-9797-5 Date: January 01 ISSN: 1573-1464 Issue: 1 Journal: Biological Invasions Pages: 143-151 Title: Cold-induced mortality of invasive Burmese pythons in south Florida Type of Article: journal article Volume: 13 Year: 2011 _record_number: 24351 _uuid: bda0487d-9603-4376-888a-328dcd46008d reftype: Journal Article child_publication: /article/10.1007/s10530-010-9797-5 href: https://data.globalchange.gov/reference/bda0487d-9603-4376-888a-328dcd46008d.yaml identifier: bda0487d-9603-4376-888a-328dcd46008d uri: /reference/bda0487d-9603-4376-888a-328dcd46008d - attrs: Abstract: 'High summer temperatures in extratropical areas have an impact on the public’s health, mainly through heat stress, high air pollution concentrations, and the transmission of tropical diseases. The purpose of this study is to examine the current characteristics of heat events and future projections of summer apparent temperature (AT)–and associated health concerns–throughout the southeastern United States. Synoptic climatology was used to assess the atmospheric characteristics of extreme heat days (EHDs) from 1979–2015. Ozone concentrations also were examined during EHDs. Trends in summer-season AT over the 37-year period and correlations between AT and atmospheric circulation were determined. Mid-century estimates of summer AT were calculated using downscaled data from an ensemble of global climate models. EHDs throughout the Southeast were characterized by ridging and anticyclones over the Southeast and the presence of moist tropical air masses. Exceedingly high ozone concentrations occurred on EHDs in the Atlanta area and throughout central North Carolina. While summer ATs did not increase significantly from 1979–2015, summer ATs are projected to increase substantially by mid-century, with most the Southeast having ATs similar to that of present-day southern Florida (i.e., a tropical climate). High ozone concentrations should continue to occur during future heat events. Large urban areas are expected to be the most affected by the future warming, resulting from intensifying and expanding urban heat islands, a large increase in heat-vulnerable populations, and climate conditions that will be highly suitable for tropical-disease transmission by the Aedes aegypti mosquito. This nexus of vulnerability creates the potential for heat-related morbidity and mortality, as well as the appearance of disease not previously seen in the region. These effects can be attenuated by policies that reduce urban heat (e.g., cool roofs and green roofs) and that improve infrastructure (e.g. emergency services, conditioned space).' Author: 'Diem, Jeremy E.; Stauber, Christine E.; Rothenberg, Richard' DOI: 10.1371/journal.pone.0177937 Issue: 5 Journal: PLOS ONE Pages: e0177937 Publisher: Public Library of Science Title: 'Heat in the southeastern United States: Characteristics, trends, and potential health impact' Volume: 12 Year: 2017 _record_number: 26327 _uuid: c0e06dd5-dfa5-40cc-8e99-ba6af9a13902 reftype: Journal Article child_publication: /article/10.1371/journal.pone.0177937 href: https://data.globalchange.gov/reference/c0e06dd5-dfa5-40cc-8e99-ba6af9a13902.yaml identifier: c0e06dd5-dfa5-40cc-8e99-ba6af9a13902 uri: /reference/c0e06dd5-dfa5-40cc-8e99-ba6af9a13902 - attrs: Abstract: 'Whooping crane (Grus americana), a rare and critically endangered species, are wetland dependent throughout their life cycle. The whooping crane’s small population size, limited distribution, and wetland habitat requirements make them vulnerable to potential climate changes. Climate change predictions suggest overall temperature increases and significant changes in precipitation regimes throughout North America. At the individual level, temperature changes should have neutral to positive effects on thermoregulation and overall energy expenditure throughout the whooping crane’s range. In the breeding grounds, earlier snow melt and increasing temperatures should improve food resources. However, increased precipitation and more extreme rainfall events could impact chick survival if rainfall occurs during hatching. Increased precipitation may also alter fire regimes leading to increased woody plant abundance thus reducing nesting habitat quality. During winter, higher temperatures will lead to a northward shifting of the freeze line, which will decrease habitat quality via invasion of black mangrove. Large portions of current winter habitat may be lost if predicted sea level changes occur. Stopover wetland availability during migration may decrease due to drier conditions in the Great Plains. Current and future conservation actions should be planned in light of not only current needs but also considering future expectations.' Author: 'Chavez-Ramirez, Felipe; Wehtje, Walter' DOI: 10.1007/s13157-011-0250-z Date: February 01 ISSN: 1943-6246 Issue: 1 Journal: Wetlands Pages: 11-20 Title: Potential impact of climate change scenarios on whooping crane life history Type of Article: journal article Volume: 32 Year: 2012 _record_number: 24301 _uuid: c1f9ff31-29ac-4182-bb12-87e081d33f1a reftype: Journal Article child_publication: /article/10.1007/s13157-011-0250-z href: https://data.globalchange.gov/reference/c1f9ff31-29ac-4182-bb12-87e081d33f1a.yaml identifier: c1f9ff31-29ac-4182-bb12-87e081d33f1a uri: /reference/c1f9ff31-29ac-4182-bb12-87e081d33f1a - attrs: .publisher: American Institute of Biological Sciences .reference_type: 0 Author: "Dale, Virginia H.\rJoyce, Linda A.\rMcNulty, Steve\rNeilson, Ronald P.\rAyres, Matthew P.\rFlannigan, Michael D.\rHanson, Paul J.\rIrland, Lloyd C.\rLugo, Ariel E.\rPeterson, Chris J.\rSimberloff, Daniel\rSwanson, Frederick J.\rStocks, Brian J.\rWotton, B.M." DOI: '10.1641/0006-3568(2001)051[0723:ccafd]2.0.co;2' Date: 2001/09/01 ISSN: 0006-3568 Issue: 9 Journal: BioScience Pages: 723-734 Title: 'Climate change and forest disturbances: Climate change can affect forests by altering the frequency, intensity, duration, and timing of fire, drought, introduced species, insect and pathogen outbreaks, hurricanes, windstorms, ice storms, or landslides' Volume: 51 Year: 2001 _chapter: '["Ch. 7: Forests FINAL"]' _record_number: 279 _uuid: c3002370-0cf9-4544-a128-fbc42f3ab137 reftype: Journal Article child_publication: /article/10.1641/0006-3568(2001)051%5B0723:ccafd%5D2.0.co;2 href: https://data.globalchange.gov/reference/c3002370-0cf9-4544-a128-fbc42f3ab137.yaml identifier: c3002370-0cf9-4544-a128-fbc42f3ab137 uri: /reference/c3002370-0cf9-4544-a128-fbc42f3ab137 - attrs: Abstract: 'River deltas all over the world are sinking beneath sea-level rise, causing significant threats to natural and social systems. This is due to the combined effects of anthropogenic changes to sediment supply and river flow, subsidence, and sea-level rise, posing an immediate threat to the 500–1,000 million residents, many in megacities that live on deltaic coasts. The Mississippi River Deltaic Plain (MRDP) provides examples for many of the functions and feedbacks, regarding how human river management has impacted source-sink processes in coastal deltaic basins, resulting in human settlements more at risk to coastal storms. The survival of human settlement on the MRDP is arguably coupled to a shifting mass balance between a deltaic landscape occupied by either land built by the Mississippi River or water occupied by the Gulf of Mexico. We developed an approach to compare 50 % L:W isopleths (L:W is ratio of land to water) across the Atchafalaya and Terrebonne Basins to test landscape behavior over the last six decades to measure delta instability in coastal deltaic basins as a function of reduced sediment supply from river flooding. The Atchafalaya Basin, with continued sediment delivery, compared to Terrebonne Basin, with reduced river inputs, allow us to test assumptions of how coastal deltaic basins respond to river management over the last 75 years by analyzing landward migration rate of 50 % L:W isopleths between 1932 and 2010. The average landward migration for Terrebonne Basin was nearly 17,000 m (17 km) compared to only 22 m in Atchafalaya Basin over the last 78 years (p < 0.001), resulting in migration rates of 218 m/year (0.22 km/year) and <0.5 m/year, respectively. In addition, freshwater vegetation expanded in Atchafalaya Basin since 1949 compared to migration of intermediate and brackish marshes landward in the Terrebonne Basin. Changes in salt marsh vegetation patterns were very distinct in these two basins with gain of 25 % in the Terrebonne Basin compared to 90 % decrease in the Atchafalaya Basin since 1949. These shifts in vegetation types as L:W ratio decreases with reduced sediment input and increase in salinity also coincide with an increase in wind fetch in Terrebonne Bay. In the upper Terrebonne Bay, where the largest landward migration of the 50 % L:W ratio isopleth occurred, we estimate that the wave power has increased by 50–100 % from 1932 to 2010, as the bathymetric and topographic conditions changed, and increase in maximum storm-surge height also increased owing to the landward migration of the L:W ratio isopleth. We argue that this balance of land relative to water in this delta provides a much clearer understanding of increased flood risk from tropical cyclones rather than just estimates of areal land loss. We describe how coastal deltaic basins of the MRDP can be used as experimental landscapes to provide insights into how varying degrees of sediment delivery to coastal deltaic floodplains change flooding risks of a sinking delta using landward migrations of 50 % L:W isopleths. The nonlinear response of migrating L:W isopleths as wind fetch increases is a critical feedback effect that should influence human river-management decisions in deltaic coast. Changes in land area alone do not capture how corresponding landscape degradation and increased water area can lead to exponential increase in flood risk to human populations in low-lying coastal regions. Reduced land formation in coastal deltaic basins (measured by changes in the land:water ratio) can contribute significantly to increasing flood risks by removing the negative feedback of wetlands on wave and storm-surge that occur during extreme weather events. Increased flood risks will promote population migration as human risks associated with living in a deltaic landscape increase, as land is submerged and coastal inundation threats rise. These system linkages in dynamic deltaic coasts define a balance of river management and human settlement dependent on a certain level of land area within coastal deltaic basins (L)' Author: 'Twilley, Robert R.; Bentley, Samuel J.; Chen, Qin; Edmonds, Douglas A.; Hagen, Scott C.; Lam, Nina S.-N.; Willson, Clinton S.; Xu, Kehui; Braud, DeWitt; Hampton Peele, R.; McCall, Annabeth' DOI: 10.1007/s11625-016-0374-4 Date: July 01 ISSN: 1862-4057 Issue: 4 Journal: Sustainability Science Pages: 711-731 Title: 'Co-evolution of wetland landscapes, flooding, and human settlement in the Mississippi River Delta Plain' Type of Article: journal article Volume: 11 Year: 2016 _record_number: 24385 _uuid: c3ddb7b6-bf3e-4521-81ec-f8026a355249 reftype: Journal Article child_publication: /article/10.1007/s11625-016-0374-4 href: https://data.globalchange.gov/reference/c3ddb7b6-bf3e-4521-81ec-f8026a355249.yaml identifier: c3ddb7b6-bf3e-4521-81ec-f8026a355249 uri: /reference/c3ddb7b6-bf3e-4521-81ec-f8026a355249 - attrs: Abstract: "The biological and economic values of coral reefs are highly vulnerable to increasing atmospheric and ocean carbon dioxide concentrations. We applied the COMBO simulation model (COral Mortality and Bleaching Output) to three major U.S. locations for shallow water reefs: South Florida, Puerto Rico, and Hawaii. We compared estimates of future coral cover from 2000 to 2100 for a “business as usual” (BAU) greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions scenario with a GHG mitigation policy scenario involving full international participation in reducing GHG emissions. We also calculated the economic value of changes in coral cover using a benefit transfer approach based on published studies of consumers' recreational values for snorkeling and diving on coral reefs as well as existence values for coral reefs. Our results suggest that a reduced emissions scenario would provide a large benefit to shallow water reefs in Hawaii by delaying or avoiding potential future bleaching events. For Hawaii, reducing emissions is projected to result in an estimated “avoided loss” from 2000 to 2100 of approximately $10.6 billion in recreational use values compared to a BAU scenario. However, reducing emissions is projected to provide only a minor economic benefit in Puerto Rico and South Florida, where sea-surface temperatures are already close to bleaching thresholds and coral cover is projected to drop well below 5% cover under both scenarios by 2050, and below 1% cover under both scenarios by 2100." Author: 'Lane, Diana R.; Ready, Richard C.; Buddemeier, Robert W.; Martinich, Jeremy A.; Shouse, Kate Cardamone; Wobus, Cameron W.' DOI: 10.1371/journal.pone.0082579 Issue: 12 Journal: PLOS ONE Pages: e82579 Publisher: Public Library of Science Title: 'Quantifying and valuing potential climate change impacts on coral reefs in the United States: Comparison of two scenarios' Volume: 8 Year: 2013 _record_number: 24344 _uuid: c3eee222-c3b5-4e90-a034-5e90f96c2687 reftype: Journal Article child_publication: /article/10.1371/journal.pone.0082579 href: https://data.globalchange.gov/reference/c3eee222-c3b5-4e90-a034-5e90f96c2687.yaml identifier: c3eee222-c3b5-4e90-a034-5e90f96c2687 uri: /reference/c3eee222-c3b5-4e90-a034-5e90f96c2687 - attrs: .reference_type: 0 Author: "Luedeling, E.\rGirvetz, E.H.\rSemenov, M.A.\rBrown, P.H." DOI: 10.1371/journal.pone.0020155 ISSN: 1932-6203 Issue: 5 Journal: PLoS ONE Pages: e20155 Title: Climate change affects winter chill for temperate fruit and nut trees URL: http://www.plosone.org/article/info%3Adoi%2F10.1371%2Fjournal.pone.0020155 Volume: 6 Year: 2011 _chapter: '["Ch. 20: Southwest FINAL","RG 5 Southwest"]' _record_number: 269 _uuid: c620a37e-b020-4b91-94af-a2511bb66898 reftype: Journal Article child_publication: /article/10.1371/journal.pone.0020155 href: https://data.globalchange.gov/reference/c620a37e-b020-4b91-94af-a2511bb66898.yaml identifier: c620a37e-b020-4b91-94af-a2511bb66898 uri: /reference/c620a37e-b020-4b91-94af-a2511bb66898 - attrs: .reference_type: 10 Author: 'Sweet, W.V.; R.E. Kopp; C.P. Weaver; J. Obeysekera; R.M. Horton; E.R. Thieler; C. Zervas ' Pages: 75 Place Published: 'Silver Spring, MD' Publisher: 'National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration, National Ocean Service' Series Volume: NOAA Tech. Rep. NOS CO-OPS 083 Title: Global and Regional Sea Level Rise Scenarios for the United States URL: https://tidesandcurrents.noaa.gov/publications/techrpt83_Global_and_Regional_SLR_Scenarios_for_the_US_final.pdf Year: 2017 _record_number: 20608 _uuid: c66bf5a9-a6d7-4043-ad99-db0ae6ae562c reftype: Report child_publication: /report/global-regional-sea-level-rise-scenarios-united-states href: https://data.globalchange.gov/reference/c66bf5a9-a6d7-4043-ad99-db0ae6ae562c.yaml identifier: c66bf5a9-a6d7-4043-ad99-db0ae6ae562c uri: /reference/c66bf5a9-a6d7-4043-ad99-db0ae6ae562c - attrs: .reference_type: 10 Author: 'Kinniburgh, Fiona; Mary Greer Simonton; Candice Allouch' Institution: Risky Business Project Pages: 109 Place Published: New York Series Editor: Kate Gordon Title: 'Come heat and high water: Climate risk in the Southeastern U.S. and Texas' URL: https://riskybusiness.org/site/assets/uploads/2015/09/Climate-Risk-in-Southeast-and-Texas.pdf Year: 2015 _record_number: 24446 _uuid: c6bbdca8-9aa4-4288-8fbe-383ca982cf8f reftype: Report child_publication: /report/come-heat-high-water-climate-risk-southeastern-us-texas href: https://data.globalchange.gov/reference/c6bbdca8-9aa4-4288-8fbe-383ca982cf8f.yaml identifier: c6bbdca8-9aa4-4288-8fbe-383ca982cf8f uri: /reference/c6bbdca8-9aa4-4288-8fbe-383ca982cf8f - attrs: Author: 'Kelleway, Jeffrey J.; Cavanaugh, Kyle; Rogers, Kerrylee; Feller, Ilka C.; Ens, Emilie; Doughty, Cheryl; Saintilan, Neil' DOI: 10.1111/gcb.13727 ISSN: 1365-2486 Issue: 10 Journal: Global Change Biology Keywords: blue carbon; climate change; coastal protection; cultural values; habitat function; mangrove expansion; nutrient cycling; salt marsh; sea-level rise; threatened species Pages: 3967-3983 Title: Review of the ecosystem service implications of mangrove encroachment into salt marshes Volume: 23 Year: 2017 _record_number: 24333 _uuid: c6d06eee-5571-481e-9b9e-37d22ef3b9d3 reftype: Journal Article child_publication: /article/10.1111/gcb.13727 href: https://data.globalchange.gov/reference/c6d06eee-5571-481e-9b9e-37d22ef3b9d3.yaml identifier: c6d06eee-5571-481e-9b9e-37d22ef3b9d3 uri: /reference/c6d06eee-5571-481e-9b9e-37d22ef3b9d3 - attrs: .reference_type: 0 Abstract: 'Forests worldwide are in a state of flux, with accelerating losses in some regions and gains in others. Hansen et al. (p. 850) examined global Landsat data at a 30-meter spatial resolution to characterize forest extent, loss, and gain from 2000 to 2012. Globally, 2.3 million square kilometers of forest were lost during the 12-year study period and 0.8 million square kilometers of new forest were gained. The tropics exhibited both the greatest losses and the greatest gains (through regrowth and plantation), with losses outstripping gains. Quantification of global forest change has been lacking despite the recognized importance of forest ecosystem services. In this study, Earth observation satellite data were used to map global forest loss (2.3 million square kilometers) and gain (0.8 million square kilometers) from 2000 to 2012 at a spatial resolution of 30 meters. The tropics were the only climate domain to exhibit a trend, with forest loss increasing by 2101 square kilometers per year. Brazil’s well-documented reduction in deforestation was offset by increasing forest loss in Indonesia, Malaysia, Paraguay, Bolivia, Zambia, Angola, and elsewhere. Intensive forestry practiced within subtropical forests resulted in the highest rates of forest change globally. Boreal forest loss due largely to fire and forestry was second to that in the tropics in absolute and proportional terms. These results depict a globally consistent and locally relevant record of forest change.' Author: 'Hansen, M. C.; Potapov, P. V.; Moore, R.; Hancher, M.; Turubanova, S. A.; Tyukavina, A.; Thau, D.; Stehman, S. V.; Goetz, S. J.; Loveland, T. R.; Kommareddy, A.; Egorov, A.; Chini, L.; Justice, C. O.; Townshend, J. R. G.' DOI: 10.1126/science.1244693 Issue: 6160 Journal: Science Pages: 850-853 Title: High-resolution global maps of 21st-century forest cover change Volume: 342 Year: 2013 _record_number: 21038 _uuid: c7b0af41-0488-4efa-9216-592dc6f30805 reftype: Journal Article child_publication: /article/10.1126/science.1244693 href: https://data.globalchange.gov/reference/c7b0af41-0488-4efa-9216-592dc6f30805.yaml identifier: c7b0af41-0488-4efa-9216-592dc6f30805 uri: /reference/c7b0af41-0488-4efa-9216-592dc6f30805 - attrs: Author: 'Fu, Tzung-May; Zheng, Yiqi; Paulot, Fabien; Mao, Jingqiu; Yantosca, Robert M.' DOI: 10.1038/nclimate2567 Date: 03/23/online Journal: Nature Climate Change Pages: 454-458 Publisher: Nature Publishing Group Title: Positive but variable sensitivity of August surface ozone to large-scale warming in the southeast United States Volume: 5 Year: 2015 _record_number: 24386 _uuid: ca0d310d-2a40-4081-b999-b8d5afc8c63c reftype: Journal Article child_publication: /article/10.1038/nclimate2567 href: https://data.globalchange.gov/reference/ca0d310d-2a40-4081-b999-b8d5afc8c63c.yaml identifier: ca0d310d-2a40-4081-b999-b8d5afc8c63c uri: /reference/ca0d310d-2a40-4081-b999-b8d5afc8c63c - attrs: Abstract: 'PREMISE OF THE STUDY: The Last Glacial Maximum (LGM) was a period of massive range contraction. Post-LGM, water-dispersed coastal species, including the red mangrove (Rhizophora mangle), expanded poleward as propagules were transported by ocean currents. We assessed postglacial marine expansion pathways for R. mangle within the Caribbean Basin and Florida.METHODS: Six microsatellite loci were used to genotype 237 individuals from nine R. mangle populations in the Caribbean, Florida, and Northwest Africa. We evaluated genetic variation, population structure, gene flow along alternative post-LGM expansion pathways to Florida, and potential long-distance dispersal (LDD) from West Africa to Caribbean islands.KEY RESULTS: These R. mangle populations had substantial genetic structure (FST = 0.37, P < 0.0001) with three discrete population clusters (Caribbean mainland, Caribbean islands, and Florida). Genetic connectivity along the mainland pathway (Caribbean mainland to Florida) vs. limited gene dispersal along the Antilles Island pathway (Caribbean islands to Florida) supported Florida recolonization from Caribbean mainland sources. Genetic similarity of Northwest Africa and two Caribbean islands provided evidence for trans-Atlantic LDD. We did not find a pattern of decreasing genetic diversity with latitude.CONCLUSIONS: We outline a complex expansion history for R. mangle, with discrete pathways of recolonization for Florida and Caribbean islands. Contrary to expectation, connectivity to putative Caribbean mainland refugial populations via ocean currents, and not latitude, appears to dictate genetic diversity within Caribbean island and Florida R. mangle. These findings provide a framework for further investigation of additional water-dispersed neotropical species, and insights for management initiatives.' Author: 'Kennedy, John Paul; Pil, Maria W.; Proffitt, C. Edward; Boeger, Walter A.; Stanford, Alice M.; Devlin, Donna J.' DOI: 10.3732/ajb.1500183 Date: 'February 1, 2016' Issue: 2 Journal: American Journal of Botany Pages: 260-276 Title: 'Postglacial expansion pathways of red mangrove, Rhizophora mangle, in the Caribbean Basin and Florida' Volume: 103 Year: 2016 _record_number: 24334 _uuid: cbf0ef25-6799-499e-ab22-2be669a046dd reftype: Journal Article child_publication: /article/10.3732/ajb.1500183 href: https://data.globalchange.gov/reference/cbf0ef25-6799-499e-ab22-2be669a046dd.yaml identifier: cbf0ef25-6799-499e-ab22-2be669a046dd uri: /reference/cbf0ef25-6799-499e-ab22-2be669a046dd - attrs: .reference_type: 10 Author: 'McNulty, Steve; Weiner, Sarah; Moore Myers, Jennifer; Farahani, Hamid; Fouladbash, Lisa; Marshall, David; Steele, Rachel F.' Institution: USDA Agricultural Research Service Pages: 61 Place Published: 'Washington, DC' Series Editor: Terry Anderson Title: Southeast regional climate hub assessment of climate change vulnerability and adaptation and mitigation strategies URL: https://www.srs.fs.usda.gov/pubs/50521 Year: 2015 _record_number: 24409 _uuid: cc31a438-8e10-4957-88f9-cb6e763e2b5e reftype: Report child_publication: /report/southeast-regional-climate-hub-assessment-climate-change-vulnerability-adaptation-mitigation-strategies href: https://data.globalchange.gov/reference/cc31a438-8e10-4957-88f9-cb6e763e2b5e.yaml identifier: cc31a438-8e10-4957-88f9-cb6e763e2b5e uri: /reference/cc31a438-8e10-4957-88f9-cb6e763e2b5e