--- - attrs: .publisher: Nature Publishing Group .reference_type: 0 Author: "Blum, Michael D.\rRoberts, Harry H." DOI: 10.1038/ngeo553 ISSN: 1752-0894 Issue: 7 Journal: Nature Geoscience Pages: 488-491 Title: Drowning of the Mississippi Delta due to insufficient sediment supply and global sea-level rise Volume: 2 Year: 2009 _chapter: '["Ch. 25: Coastal Zone FINAL"]' _record_number: 548 _uuid: cd487d31-a410-4b5d-9c03-35dd4b235785 reftype: Journal Article child_publication: /article/10.1038/ngeo553 href: https://data.globalchange.gov/reference/cd487d31-a410-4b5d-9c03-35dd4b235785.yaml identifier: cd487d31-a410-4b5d-9c03-35dd4b235785 uri: /reference/cd487d31-a410-4b5d-9c03-35dd4b235785 - attrs: Author: 'Lindsay, Steve W.; Anne Wilson; Nick Golding; Thomas W. Scott; Willem Takken' DOI: 10.2471/BLT.16.189688 Issue: 8 Journal: Bulletin of the World Health Organization Pages: 607-608 Title: Improving the built environment in urban areas to control Aedes aegypti-borne diseases Volume: 95 Year: 2017 _record_number: 26314 _uuid: ce3c600e-87ab-4235-861e-349346b27019 reftype: Journal Article child_publication: /article/10.2471/BLT.16.189688 href: https://data.globalchange.gov/reference/ce3c600e-87ab-4235-861e-349346b27019.yaml identifier: ce3c600e-87ab-4235-861e-349346b27019 uri: /reference/ce3c600e-87ab-4235-861e-349346b27019 - attrs: Article Number: 3407325 Author: 'Houghton, Adele; Austin, Jessica; Beerman, Abby; Horton, Clayton' DOI: 10.1155/2017/3407325 Journal: Journal of Environmental and Public Health Pages: 16 Title: An approach to developing local climate change environmental public health indicators in a rural district Volume: 2017 Year: 2017 _record_number: 23534 _uuid: ced8505a-f36f-4c7b-8a0d-ec7f08482297 reftype: Journal Article child_publication: /article/10.1155/2017/3407325 href: https://data.globalchange.gov/reference/ced8505a-f36f-4c7b-8a0d-ec7f08482297.yaml identifier: ced8505a-f36f-4c7b-8a0d-ec7f08482297 uri: /reference/ced8505a-f36f-4c7b-8a0d-ec7f08482297 - attrs: Author: 'Noss, Reed F.; Platt, William J.; Sorrie, Bruce A.; Weakley, Alan S.; Means, D. Bruce; Costanza, Jennifer; Peet, Robert K.' DOI: 10.1111/ddi.12278 ISSN: 1472-4642 Issue: 2 Journal: Diversity and Distributions Keywords: Biodiversity; conservation planning; endemism; hotspot; prioritization Pages: 236-244 Title: 'How global biodiversity hotspots may go unrecognized: Lessons from the North American Coastal Plain' Volume: 21 Year: 2015 _record_number: 24363 _uuid: cfc7534a-a88e-47c0-bff4-47f7416ccc1e reftype: Journal Article child_publication: /article/10.1111/ddi.12278 href: https://data.globalchange.gov/reference/cfc7534a-a88e-47c0-bff4-47f7416ccc1e.yaml identifier: cfc7534a-a88e-47c0-bff4-47f7416ccc1e uri: /reference/cfc7534a-a88e-47c0-bff4-47f7416ccc1e - attrs: .reference_type: 0 Author: "Doney, S.C.\rM. Ruckelshaus\rJ.E. Duffy\rJ.P. Barry\rF. Chan\rC.A. English\rH.M. Galindo\rJ.M. Grebmeier\rA.B. Hollowed\rN. Knowlton\rPolovina, J. \rRabalais, N.N.\rSydeman, W.J.\rTalley, L.D." DOI: 10.1146/annurev-marine-041911-111611 Journal: Annual Review of Marine Science Pages: 11-37 Title: Climate change impacts on marine ecosystems URL: http://www.annualreviews.org/eprint/fzUZd7Z748TeHmB7p8cn/full/10.1146/annurev-marine-041911-111611 Volume: 4 Year: 2012 _chapter: '["Ch. 25: Coastal Zone FINAL","Ch. 24: Oceans FINAL","Ch. 2: Our Changing Climate FINAL","RF 11"]' _record_number: 309 _uuid: cfdaea11-95e2-4789-914b-74901b2f26b0 reftype: Journal Article child_publication: /article/10.1146/annurev-marine-041911-111611 href: https://data.globalchange.gov/reference/cfdaea11-95e2-4789-914b-74901b2f26b0.yaml identifier: cfdaea11-95e2-4789-914b-74901b2f26b0 uri: /reference/cfdaea11-95e2-4789-914b-74901b2f26b0 - attrs: Abstract: 'Despite hazard mitigation efforts and scientific and technological advances, extreme weather events continue to cause substantial losses. The impacts of extreme weather result from complex interactions among physical and human systems across spatial and temporal scales. This article synthesizes current interdisciplinary knowledge about extreme weather, including temperature extremes (heat and cold waves), precipitation extremes (including floods and droughts), and storms and severe weather (including tropical cyclones). We discuss hydrometeorological aspects of extreme weather; projections of changes in extremes with anthropogenic climate change; and how social vulnerability, coping, and adaptation shape the societal impacts of extreme weather. We find four critical gaps where work is needed to improve outcomes of extreme weather: (a) reducing vulnerability; (b) enhancing adaptive capacity, including decision-making flexibility; (c) improving the usability of scientific information in decision making, and (d) understanding and addressing local causes of harm through participatory, community-based efforts formulated within the larger policy context.' Author: 'Morss, Rebecca E.; Olga V. Wilhelmi; Gerald A. Meehl; Lisa Dilling' DOI: 10.1146/annurev-environ-060809-100145 Issue: 1 Journal: Annual Review of Environment and Resources Keywords: 'vulnerability,adaptive capacity,adaptation,disasters,natural hazards,uncertainty' Pages: 1-25 Title: 'Improving societal outcomes of extreme weather in a changing climate: An integrated perspective' Volume: 36 Year: 2011 _record_number: 26313 _uuid: cffe7cf9-79b7-43a7-9a93-4bab73465ba7 reftype: Journal Article child_publication: /article/10.1146/annurev-environ-060809-100145 href: https://data.globalchange.gov/reference/cffe7cf9-79b7-43a7-9a93-4bab73465ba7.yaml identifier: cffe7cf9-79b7-43a7-9a93-4bab73465ba7 uri: /reference/cffe7cf9-79b7-43a7-9a93-4bab73465ba7 - attrs: Author: 'Boucek, Ross E.; Rehage, Jennifer S.' DOI: 10.1111/gcb.12574 ISSN: 1365-2486 Issue: 6 Journal: Global Change Biology Keywords: climate extremes; cold fronts; community ecology; disturbance; droughts; estuaries; functional trait structure Pages: 1821-1831 Title: Climate extremes drive changes in functional community structure Volume: 20 Year: 2014 _record_number: 24297 _uuid: d01b509f-4eeb-44e9-ba26-e7d21b81e3eb reftype: Journal Article child_publication: /article/10.1111/gcb.12574 href: https://data.globalchange.gov/reference/d01b509f-4eeb-44e9-ba26-e7d21b81e3eb.yaml identifier: d01b509f-4eeb-44e9-ba26-e7d21b81e3eb uri: /reference/d01b509f-4eeb-44e9-ba26-e7d21b81e3eb - attrs: Abstract: 'Uncertainty remains about whether current rates of forest carbon uptake will be maintained with on-going climate change and increasing rates of disturbance. The potential exists for climate and disturbance to exceed the physiological tolerances of certain tree species and push forest ecosystems to a point where they become C sources. Thus, a diversity of tree species with a range of physiological tolerances could provide adaptive capacity and potentially sustain a C sink despite adverse abiotic influences. The fire-prone pine forests of the southeastern USA have been impacted by a combination of land use and fire exclusion, which has altered the demographics and composition of these historically diverse forests. We sought to quantify how prescribed fire and planting of climate-resilient tree species would alter forest carbon dynamics under projected climate change at Fort Benning, Georgia. This landscape is comprised of a diversity of forest types with a range of land-use histories and is heavily managed to meet military training objectives and federally listed species habitat requirements. We used a simulation approach to determine species-specific growth responses to projected climate and develop two management scenarios: no-management and prescribed fire coupled with planting. We ran landscape simulations of these two management scenarios under climate projections from ten global climate models to quantify how active management would alter forest carbon dynamics as a function of changing climate and wildfire. We found that the prescribed fire and plant scenario increased total ecosystem carbon (TEC) over our no-management scenario by over 20 Mg C/m2 by late century. Despite the differences in TEC, differences in net ecosystem exchange were not realized over the entire simulation. The primary drivers of TEC differences were sustained carbon uptake and lower carbon loss to wildfire in the prescribed fire and plant scenario. Our results demonstrate that under projected climate, managing to reduce the impacts of fire and planting climate-adapted species can increase the mitigation potential of these forests.' Author: 'Swanteson-Franz, Rachel J.; Krofcheck, Daniel J.; Hurteau, Matthew D.' DOI: 10.1002/ecs2.2191 Issue: 4 Journal: Ecosphere Pages: e02191 Title: Quantifying forest carbon dynamics as a function of tree species composition and management under projected climate Volume: 9 Year: 2018 _record_number: 26300 _uuid: d11b78fa-f35c-46d3-aede-f41af1e9028e reftype: Journal Article child_publication: /article/10.1002/ecs2.2191 href: https://data.globalchange.gov/reference/d11b78fa-f35c-46d3-aede-f41af1e9028e.yaml identifier: d11b78fa-f35c-46d3-aede-f41af1e9028e uri: /reference/d11b78fa-f35c-46d3-aede-f41af1e9028e - attrs: .reference_type: 10 Author: 'Sustain Louisville,' Institution: Office of Sustainability Pages: 24 Place Published: 'Louisville, KY' Title: 2016 progress report URL: https://louisvilleky.gov/sites/default/files/sustainability/sustain_louisville_2016_progress_report.pdf Year: 2017 _record_number: 26307 _uuid: d2b0b99f-6573-49a0-b1d4-b8bb72d61b3f reftype: Report child_publication: /report/2016-progress-report href: https://data.globalchange.gov/reference/d2b0b99f-6573-49a0-b1d4-b8bb72d61b3f.yaml identifier: d2b0b99f-6573-49a0-b1d4-b8bb72d61b3f uri: /reference/d2b0b99f-6573-49a0-b1d4-b8bb72d61b3f - attrs: .reference_type: 10 Author: John A. Hall; Stephen Gill; Jayantha Obeysekera; William Sweet; Kevin Knuuti; John Marburger Pages: 224 Place Published: Alexandria VA Publisher: 'U.S. Department of Defense, Strategic Environmental Research and Development Program' Title: 'Regional Sea Level Scenarios for Coastal Risk Management: Managing the Uncertainty of Future Sea Level Change and Extreme Water Levels for Department of Defense Coastal Sites Worldwide' URL: https://www.usfsp.edu/icar/files/2015/08/CARSWG-SLR-FINAL-April-2016.pdf Year: 2016 _record_number: 20603 _uuid: d2dc9855-41bc-4e94-bb79-f0ba2ff2684b reftype: Report child_publication: /report/regional-sea-level-scenarios-coastal-risk-management-managing-uncertainty-future-sea-level-change-extreme-water-levels-department-defense-coastal-sites-worldwide href: https://data.globalchange.gov/reference/d2dc9855-41bc-4e94-bb79-f0ba2ff2684b.yaml identifier: d2dc9855-41bc-4e94-bb79-f0ba2ff2684b uri: /reference/d2dc9855-41bc-4e94-bb79-f0ba2ff2684b - attrs: Author: 'Nowacki, Gregory J.; Abrams, Marc D.' DOI: 10.1641/B580207 Date: 2008/02/01 ISSN: 0006-3568 Issue: 2 Journal: BioScience Pages: 123-138 Publisher: American Institute of Biological Sciences Title: The demise of fire and “mesophication” of forests in the eastern United States Volume: 58 Year: 2008 _record_number: 21966 _uuid: d4ba4719-d00a-4094-910e-233e32325031 reftype: Journal Article child_publication: /article/10.1641/B580207 href: https://data.globalchange.gov/reference/d4ba4719-d00a-4094-910e-233e32325031.yaml identifier: d4ba4719-d00a-4094-910e-233e32325031 uri: /reference/d4ba4719-d00a-4094-910e-233e32325031 - attrs: .reference_type: 10 Author: 'Sweet, William V.; John J. Marra; Gregory Dusek' Institution: 'National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration, National Centers for Environmental Information' Pages: 8 Title: '2016 State of U.S. High Tide Flooding and a 2017 Outlook. Supplement to State of the Climate: National Overview for June 2017' URL: https://www.ncdc.noaa.gov/monitoring-content/sotc/national/2017/may/2016_StateofHighTideFlooding.pdf Year: 2017 _record_number: 24384 _uuid: d67e2bfd-20fe-4bd8-a491-c3320b7f0044 reftype: Report child_publication: /report/2016-state-us-high-tide-flooding-2017-outlook-supplement-state-climate-national-overview-june-2017 href: https://data.globalchange.gov/reference/d67e2bfd-20fe-4bd8-a491-c3320b7f0044.yaml identifier: d67e2bfd-20fe-4bd8-a491-c3320b7f0044 uri: /reference/d67e2bfd-20fe-4bd8-a491-c3320b7f0044 - attrs: .reference_type: 0 Author: "Bell, M.L.\rGoldberg, R.\rHogrefe, C.\rKinney, P.L.\rKnowlton, K.\rLynn, B.\rRosenthal, J.\rRosenzweig, C.\rPatz, J.A." DOI: 10.1007/s10584-006-9166-7 ISSN: 0165-0009 Issue: 1-2 Journal: Climatic Change Pages: 61-76 Title: 'Climate change, ambient ozone, and health in 50 US cities' Volume: 82 Year: 2007 _chapter: '["Ch. 9: Human Health FINAL"]' _record_number: 333 _uuid: d6e399c7-1efe-4f91-927e-f957965e3aaa reftype: Journal Article child_publication: /article/10.1007/s10584-006-9166-7 href: https://data.globalchange.gov/reference/d6e399c7-1efe-4f91-927e-f957965e3aaa.yaml identifier: d6e399c7-1efe-4f91-927e-f957965e3aaa uri: /reference/d6e399c7-1efe-4f91-927e-f957965e3aaa - attrs: Author: 'McEwan, Ryan W.; Dyer, James M.; Pederson, Neil' DOI: 10.1111/j.1600-0587.2010.06390.x ISSN: 1600-0587 Issue: 2 Journal: Ecography Pages: 244-256 Publisher: Blackwell Publishing Ltd Title: 'Multiple interacting ecosystem drivers: Toward an encompassing hypothesis of oak forest dynamics across eastern North America' Volume: 34 Year: 2011 _record_number: 21192 _uuid: d7cd72b7-d121-4531-ba5a-35e7541ff578 reftype: Journal Article child_publication: /article/10.1111/j.1600-0587.2010.06390.x href: https://data.globalchange.gov/reference/d7cd72b7-d121-4531-ba5a-35e7541ff578.yaml identifier: d7cd72b7-d121-4531-ba5a-35e7541ff578 uri: /reference/d7cd72b7-d121-4531-ba5a-35e7541ff578 - attrs: .reference_type: 10 Author: "Parris, A.\rP. Bromirski\rV. Burkett\rD. Cayan\rM. Culver\rJ. Hall\rR. Horton\rK. Knuuti\rR. Moss\rJ. Obeysekera\rA. Sallenger\rJ. Weiss" Institution: National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration Pages: 37 Place Published: 'Silver Spring, MD' Publisher: National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration Series Volume: NOAA Tech Memo OAR CPO-1 Title: Global Sea Level Rise Scenarios for the United States National Climate Assessment. NOAA Tech Memo OAR CPO-1 URL: http://scenarios.globalchange.gov/sites/default/files/NOAA_SLR_r3_0.pdf Year: 2012 _chapter: '["Appendix 5: Scenarios FINAL","Ch. 20: Southwest FINAL","Ch. 25: Coastal Zone FINAL","Ch. 16: Northeast FINAL","RF 3","RG 10 Coasts","Ch. 2: Our Changing Climate FINAL","Ch. 5: Transportation FINAL","Ch. 4: Energy Supply and Use FINAL","Ch. 0: Intro Regions FINAL","Ch. 17: Southeast and Caribbean FINAL","Ch. 21: Northwest FINAL"]' _record_number: 2432 _uuid: d8089822-678e-4834-a1ec-0dca1da35314 reftype: Report child_publication: /report/noaa-techmemo-oar-cpo-1-2012 href: https://data.globalchange.gov/reference/d8089822-678e-4834-a1ec-0dca1da35314.yaml identifier: d8089822-678e-4834-a1ec-0dca1da35314 uri: /reference/d8089822-678e-4834-a1ec-0dca1da35314 - attrs: Author: 'Berdanier, Aaron B.; Clark, James S.' DOI: 10.1890/15-0274 ISSN: 1939-5582 Issue: 1 Journal: Ecological Applications Keywords: 'adaptive management; drought; forest; long-term data; morbidity; mortality; Piedmont Plateau, North Carolina, USA; southern Appalachian Mountains, North Carolina, USA; tree' Pages: 17-23 Title: Multiyear drought-induced morbidity preceding tree death in southeastern U.S. forests Volume: 26 Year: 2016 _record_number: 22019 _uuid: d8731246-25c1-4f5f-95ed-26eb14d03840 reftype: Journal Article child_publication: /article/10.1890/15-0274 href: https://data.globalchange.gov/reference/d8731246-25c1-4f5f-95ed-26eb14d03840.yaml identifier: d8731246-25c1-4f5f-95ed-26eb14d03840 uri: /reference/d8731246-25c1-4f5f-95ed-26eb14d03840 - attrs: .reference_type: 16 Access Year: 2018 Author: 'Smith, Adam B.' Publisher: Climate.gov Title: '2017 U.S. billion-dollar weather and climate disasters: A historic year in context' URL: https://www.climate.gov/news-features/blogs/beyond-data/2017-us-billion-dollar-weather-and-climate-disasters-historic-year Year: 2018 _record_number: 26309 _uuid: d9ee8071-8309-4068-8607-072562b2c3a2 reftype: Web Page child_publication: /webpage/37b370d0-38a1-4d70-ab1d-5c60593dee62 href: https://data.globalchange.gov/reference/d9ee8071-8309-4068-8607-072562b2c3a2.yaml identifier: d9ee8071-8309-4068-8607-072562b2c3a2 uri: /reference/d9ee8071-8309-4068-8607-072562b2c3a2 - attrs: Article Number: e01400 Author: 'Stevens, P. W.; Blewett, D. A.; Boucek, R. E.; Rehage, J. S.; Winner, B. L.; Young, J. M.; Whittington, J. A.; Paperno, R.' DOI: 10.1002/ecs2.1400 ISSN: 2150-8925 Issue: 8 Journal: Ecosphere Keywords: 'Centropomus undecimalis; coastal areas; common snook; disturbance; fishes; Special Feature: Extreme Cold Spells' Pages: e01400 Title: Resilience of a tropical sport fish population to a severe cold event varies across five estuaries in southern Florida Volume: 7 Year: 2016 _record_number: 24381 _uuid: da29fed3-0376-4167-95f1-90cd096a6ddd reftype: Journal Article child_publication: /article/10.1002/ecs2.1400 href: https://data.globalchange.gov/reference/da29fed3-0376-4167-95f1-90cd096a6ddd.yaml identifier: da29fed3-0376-4167-95f1-90cd096a6ddd uri: /reference/da29fed3-0376-4167-95f1-90cd096a6ddd - attrs: .reference_type: 63 Author: 'City of Fayetteville,' Pages: 3 Place Published: 'Fayetteville, AR' Title: Arkansans Can Take Steps to Respond to Climate Change URL: http://www.fayetteville-ar.gov/DocumentCenter/View/14890/Commentary_Climate-Change?bidId= Year: 2017 _record_number: 26344 _uuid: daef52e5-526b-4499-8c36-c920dbe7df41 reftype: Press Release child_publication: /generic/7abd2ec9-a96d-4ba0-a431-1bc4011e62a0 href: https://data.globalchange.gov/reference/daef52e5-526b-4499-8c36-c920dbe7df41.yaml identifier: daef52e5-526b-4499-8c36-c920dbe7df41 uri: /reference/daef52e5-526b-4499-8c36-c920dbe7df41 - attrs: .reference_type: 7 Author: 'Beard, Charles B.; Eisen, Rebecca J.; Barker, Christopher M.; Garofalo, Jada F.; Hahn, Micah; Hayden, Mary; Monaghan, Andrew J.; Ogden, Nicholas H.; Schramm, Paul J.' Book Title: 'The Impacts of Climate Change on Human Health in the United States: A Scientific Assessment' DOI: 10.7930/J0765C7V Pages: 129–156 Place Published: 'Washington, DC' Publisher: ' U.S. Global Change Research Program' Title: 'Ch. 5: Vector-borne diseases ' Year: 2016 _record_number: 19377 _uuid: dbfb7cd9-7c82-43ea-a4e2-9e2eb0b851fd reftype: Book Section child_publication: /report/usgcrp-climate-human-health-assessment-2016/chapter/vectorborne-diseases href: https://data.globalchange.gov/reference/dbfb7cd9-7c82-43ea-a4e2-9e2eb0b851fd.yaml identifier: dbfb7cd9-7c82-43ea-a4e2-9e2eb0b851fd uri: /reference/dbfb7cd9-7c82-43ea-a4e2-9e2eb0b851fd - attrs: Author: 'Smee, Delbert L.; Sanchez, James A.; Diskin, Meredith; Trettin, Carl' DOI: 10.1016/j.ecss.2017.02.005 Date: 2017/03/05/ ISSN: 0272-7714 Journal: 'Estuarine, Coastal and Shelf Science' Keywords: Vegetation shift; Climate change; Shrimp Pages: 306-313 Title: Mangrove expansion into salt marshes alters associated faunal communities Volume: 187 Year: 2017 _record_number: 24377 _uuid: dc56d025-7d25-499f-b0e9-37451a783c60 reftype: Journal Article child_publication: /article/10.1016/j.ecss.2017.02.005 href: https://data.globalchange.gov/reference/dc56d025-7d25-499f-b0e9-37451a783c60.yaml identifier: dc56d025-7d25-499f-b0e9-37451a783c60 uri: /reference/dc56d025-7d25-499f-b0e9-37451a783c60 - attrs: Abstract: 'Heat waves and air pollution episodes pose a serious threat to human health and may worsen under future climate change. In this paper, we use 15 years (1999–2013) of commensurately gridded (1° x 1°) surface observations of extended summer (April–September) surface ozone (O3), fine particulate matter (PM2.5), and maximum temperature (TX) over the eastern United States and Canada to construct a climatology of the coincidence, overlap, and lag in space and time of their extremes. Extremes of each quantity are defined climatologically at each grid cell as the 50 d with the highest values in three 5-y windows (∼95th percentile). Any two extremes occur on the same day in the same grid cell more than 50% of the time in the northeastern United States, but on a domain average, co-occurrence is approximately 30%. Although not exactly co-occurring, many of these extremes show connectedness with consistent offsets in space and in time, which often defy traditional mechanistic explanations. All three extremes occur primarily in large-scale, multiday, spatially connected episodes with scales of >1,000 km and clearly coincide with large-scale meteorological features. The largest, longest-lived episodes have the highest incidence of co-occurrence and contain extreme values well above their local 95th percentile threshold, by +7 ppb for O3, +6 µg m−3 for PM2.5, and +1.7 °C for TX. Our results demonstrate the need to evaluate these extremes as synergistic costressors to accurately quantify their impacts on human health.' Author: 'Schnell, Jordan L.; Prather, Michael J.' DOI: 10.1073/pnas.1614453114 Date: 'March 14, 2017' Issue: 11 Journal: Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America Pages: 2854-2859 Title: 'Co-occurrence of extremes in surface ozone, particulate matter, and temperature over eastern North America' Volume: 114 Year: 2017 _record_number: 24241 _uuid: dd3e0e92-583c-44d5-9bb8-03e1057e605f reftype: Journal Article child_publication: /article/10.1073/pnas.1614453114 href: https://data.globalchange.gov/reference/dd3e0e92-583c-44d5-9bb8-03e1057e605f.yaml identifier: dd3e0e92-583c-44d5-9bb8-03e1057e605f uri: /reference/dd3e0e92-583c-44d5-9bb8-03e1057e605f - attrs: DOI: 10.7289/V5/TM-SEFSC-699 Editor: 'Lovett, Heidi B.; Sunny B. Snider ; Karla K. Gore; Roldan C. Muñoz ' Pages: 40 Place Published: 'Miami, FL' Series Volume: NOAA Technical Memorandum NMFS-SEFSC-699 Title: Gulf of Mexico regional action plan to implement the NOAA Fisheries climate science strategy Year: 2016 _record_number: 24411 _uuid: ddf445e2-14f6-4d4f-834e-c9cd8b9ff688 reftype: Edited Report child_publication: /report/gulf-mexico-regional-action-plan-implement-noaa-fisheries-climate-science-strategy href: https://data.globalchange.gov/reference/ddf445e2-14f6-4d4f-834e-c9cd8b9ff688.yaml identifier: ddf445e2-14f6-4d4f-834e-c9cd8b9ff688 uri: /reference/ddf445e2-14f6-4d4f-834e-c9cd8b9ff688 - attrs: .reference_type: 0 Abstract: 'Increased forest fire activity across the western continental United States (US) in recent decades has likely been enabled by a number of factors, including the legacy of fire suppression and human settlement, natural climate variability, and human-caused climate change. We use modeled climate projections to estimate the contribution of anthropogenic climate change to observed increases in eight fuel aridity metrics and forest fire area across the western United States. Anthropogenic increases in temperature and vapor pressure deficit significantly enhanced fuel aridity across western US forests over the past several decades and, during 2000–2015, contributed to 75% more forested area experiencing high (>1 σ) fire-season fuel aridity and an average of nine additional days per year of high fire potential. Anthropogenic climate change accounted for ∼55% of observed increases in fuel aridity from 1979 to 2015 across western US forests, highlighting both anthropogenic climate change and natural climate variability as important contributors to increased wildfire potential in recent decades. We estimate that human-caused climate change contributed to an additional 4.2 million ha of forest fire area during 1984–2015, nearly doubling the forest fire area expected in its absence. Natural climate variability will continue to alternate between modulating and compounding anthropogenic increases in fuel aridity, but anthropogenic climate change has emerged as a driver of increased forest fire activity and should continue to do so while fuels are not limiting.' Author: 'Abatzoglou, John T.; Williams, A. Park' DOI: 10.1073/pnas.1607171113 Date: 'October 18, 2016' Issue: 42 Journal: Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America Pages: 11770-11775 Title: Impact of anthropogenic climate change on wildfire across western US forests Volume: 113 Year: 2016 _record_number: 20416 _uuid: de4a77df-03ba-4319-a13f-7fdefbb353a5 reftype: Journal Article child_publication: /article/10.1073/pnas.1607171113 href: https://data.globalchange.gov/reference/de4a77df-03ba-4319-a13f-7fdefbb353a5.yaml identifier: de4a77df-03ba-4319-a13f-7fdefbb353a5 uri: /reference/de4a77df-03ba-4319-a13f-7fdefbb353a5