--- - attrs: Author: "Pederson, Neil; D'Amato, Anthony W.; Dyer, James M.; Foster, David R.; Goldblum, David; Hart, Justin L.; Hessl, Amy E.; Iverson, Louis R.; Jackson, Stephen T.; Martin-Benito, Dario; McCarthy, Brian C.; McEwan, Ryan W.; Mladenoff, David J.; Parker, Albert J.; Shuman, Bryan; Williams, John W." DOI: 10.1111/gcb.12779 ISSN: 1365-2486 Issue: 6 Journal: Global Change Biology Pages: 2105-2110 Title: Climate remains an important driver of post-European vegetation change in the eastern United States Volume: 21 Year: 2015 _record_number: 21961 _uuid: 53677485-6005-45b6-98eb-9f0c1a4d1935 reftype: Journal Article child_publication: /article/10.1111/gcb.12779 href: https://data.globalchange.gov/reference/53677485-6005-45b6-98eb-9f0c1a4d1935.yaml identifier: 53677485-6005-45b6-98eb-9f0c1a4d1935 uri: /reference/53677485-6005-45b6-98eb-9f0c1a4d1935 - attrs: .reference_type: 16 Author: 'ARC,' Place Published: 'Atlanta, GA' Publisher: Atlanta Regional Commission (ARC) Title: Population & Employment Forecasts URL: http://www.atlantaregional.com/info-center/forecasts Year: 2017 _record_number: 24433 _uuid: 541baa00-0f34-41b9-a10f-adf41b03961d reftype: Web Page child_publication: /webpage/f0fe38d2-ec44-4624-9185-fdb6b7e9f065 href: https://data.globalchange.gov/reference/541baa00-0f34-41b9-a10f-adf41b03961d.yaml identifier: 541baa00-0f34-41b9-a10f-adf41b03961d uri: /reference/541baa00-0f34-41b9-a10f-adf41b03961d - attrs: .reference_type: 0 Author: 'Littell, Jeremy S.; Peterson, David L.; Riley, Karin L.; Liu, Yongquiang; Luce, Charles H.' DOI: 10.1111/gcb.13275 ISSN: 1365-2486 Issue: 7 Journal: Global Change Biology Keywords: climate change; climate variability; drought; ecological drought; fire; water balance Pages: 2353-2369 Title: A review of the relationships between drought and forest fire in the United States Volume: 22 Year: 2016 _record_number: 21555 _uuid: 54bc1048-87de-40b1-9f21-7482e2de3883 reftype: Journal Article child_publication: /article/10.1111/gcb.13275 href: https://data.globalchange.gov/reference/54bc1048-87de-40b1-9f21-7482e2de3883.yaml identifier: 54bc1048-87de-40b1-9f21-7482e2de3883 uri: /reference/54bc1048-87de-40b1-9f21-7482e2de3883 - attrs: Author: 'Dahl, Kristina A; Spanger-Siegfried, Erika; Caldas, Astrid; Udvardy, Shana' DOI: 10.1525/elementa.234 Journal: 'Elementa: Science of the Anthropocene' Pages: Article 37 Title: Effective inundation of continental United States communities with 21st century sea level rise Volume: 5 Year: 2017 _record_number: 24304 _uuid: 558f520b-2054-428d-9c91-ed31241c30b2 reftype: Journal Article child_publication: /article/10.1525/elementa.234 href: https://data.globalchange.gov/reference/558f520b-2054-428d-9c91-ed31241c30b2.yaml identifier: 558f520b-2054-428d-9c91-ed31241c30b2 uri: /reference/558f520b-2054-428d-9c91-ed31241c30b2 - attrs: .reference_type: 10 Author: 'Pye, Steve; Dobbins, Audrey; Baffert, Claire; Brajkovi; ć, J; urica; Grgurev, I; vana; De Miglio, R; occo; Deane, Paul' Institution: 'European Commission, Insight_E' Pages: 77 Place Published: 'Stockholm, Sweden' Series Volume: Policy Report 2 Title: 'Energy poverty and vulnerable consumers in the energy sector across the EU: Analysis of policies and measures' URL: https://ec.europa.eu/energy/en/studies/energy-poverty-and-vulnerable-consumers-energy-sector-across-eu-analysis-policies-and Year: 2015 _record_number: 24445 _uuid: 55c97ed9-78e1-45e6-b158-499556982b8d reftype: Report child_publication: /report/energy-poverty-vulnerable-consumers-energy-sector-across-eu-analysis-policies-measures href: https://data.globalchange.gov/reference/55c97ed9-78e1-45e6-b158-499556982b8d.yaml identifier: 55c97ed9-78e1-45e6-b158-499556982b8d uri: /reference/55c97ed9-78e1-45e6-b158-499556982b8d - attrs: .reference_type: 9 Author: 'Noss, Reed F.' ISBN: "9781597264884\r9781597264891\r9781610912259" Place Published: 'Washington, DC' Publisher: Island Press Title: 'Forgotten Grasslands of the South: Natural History and Conservation' Year: 2012 _record_number: 24362 _uuid: 56b229a1-fc34-4010-9b6e-3ab94c77b49c reftype: Book child_publication: /book/forgotten-grasslands-south-natural-history-conservation href: https://data.globalchange.gov/reference/56b229a1-fc34-4010-9b6e-3ab94c77b49c.yaml identifier: 56b229a1-fc34-4010-9b6e-3ab94c77b49c uri: /reference/56b229a1-fc34-4010-9b6e-3ab94c77b49c - attrs: Author: 'Luce, Charles H.; Vose, James M.; Pederson, Neil; Campbell, John; Millar, Connie; Kormos, Patrick; Woods, Ross' DOI: 10.1016/j.foreco.2016.05.020 Date: 2016/11/15/ ISSN: 0378-1127 Journal: Forest Ecology and Management Keywords: Drought; Forests; Climate change; Projections; Climate modes Pages: 299-308 Title: Contributing factors for drought in United States forest ecosystems under projected future climates and their uncertainty Volume: 380 Year: 2016 _record_number: 21978 _uuid: 57d6bbe1-4347-43e1-8727-de49161037bb reftype: Journal Article child_publication: /article/10.1016/j.foreco.2016.05.020 href: https://data.globalchange.gov/reference/57d6bbe1-4347-43e1-8727-de49161037bb.yaml identifier: 57d6bbe1-4347-43e1-8727-de49161037bb uri: /reference/57d6bbe1-4347-43e1-8727-de49161037bb - attrs: Author: 'Drummond, Mark A.; Loveland, Thomas R.' DOI: 10.1525/bio.2010.60.4.7 Date: 2010/04/01 ISSN: 0006-3568 Issue: 4 Journal: BioScience Pages: 286-298 Publisher: American Institute of Biological Sciences Title: Land-use pressure and a transition to forest-cover loss in the eastern United States Volume: 60 Year: 2010 _record_number: 24313 _uuid: 580ea001-95f2-4ec3-ae8b-6f195f234bc9 reftype: Journal Article child_publication: /article/10.1525/bio.2010.60.4.7 href: https://data.globalchange.gov/reference/580ea001-95f2-4ec3-ae8b-6f195f234bc9.yaml identifier: 580ea001-95f2-4ec3-ae8b-6f195f234bc9 uri: /reference/580ea001-95f2-4ec3-ae8b-6f195f234bc9 - attrs: .reference_type: 10 Author: 'Coastal Protection and Restoration Authority of Louisiana,' Institution: Coastal Protection and Restoration Authority of Louisiana Pages: 171 Place Published: 'Baton Rouge, LA' Title: Louisiana’s Comprehensive Master Plan for a Sustainable Coast URL: http://coastal.la.gov/our-plan/2017-coastal-master-plan/ Year: 2017 _record_number: 24455 _uuid: 599704e0-3f9a-4b1c-8178-b674756b0184 reftype: Report child_publication: /report/louisiana-sustainable-coast-master-plan-2012 href: https://data.globalchange.gov/reference/599704e0-3f9a-4b1c-8178-b674756b0184.yaml identifier: 599704e0-3f9a-4b1c-8178-b674756b0184 uri: /reference/599704e0-3f9a-4b1c-8178-b674756b0184 - attrs: Author: 'Wyman, Miriam; Malone, Sparkle; Stein, Taylor; Johnson, Cassandra' DOI: 10.1080/08941920.2012.681752 Date: 2012/12/01 ISSN: 0894-1920 Issue: 12 Journal: Society & Natural Resources Pages: 1293-1307 Publisher: Routledge Title: Race and wildfire risk perceptions among rural forestland owners in north-central Florida Volume: 25 Year: 2012 _record_number: 24394 _uuid: 59a10d66-b0f6-4ad1-ac3e-f287eb052a00 reftype: Journal Article child_publication: /article/10.1080/08941920.2012.681752 href: https://data.globalchange.gov/reference/59a10d66-b0f6-4ad1-ac3e-f287eb052a00.yaml identifier: 59a10d66-b0f6-4ad1-ac3e-f287eb052a00 uri: /reference/59a10d66-b0f6-4ad1-ac3e-f287eb052a00 - attrs: Author: 'Sherrod, C.L.; McMillan, C.' ISSN: 0082-3449 Issue: 9 Journal: Contributions in Marine Science Pages: 129-140 Title: The distributional history and ecology of mangrove vegetation along the northern Gulf of Mexico coastal region URL: http://hdl.handle.net/1969.3/19073 Volume: 28 Year: 1985 _record_number: 24375 _uuid: 59a8ba69-97e3-4a57-8625-45764b465463 reftype: Journal Article child_publication: /article/distributional-history-ecology-mangrove-vegetation-along-northern-gulf-mexico-coastal-region href: https://data.globalchange.gov/reference/59a8ba69-97e3-4a57-8625-45764b465463.yaml identifier: 59a8ba69-97e3-4a57-8625-45764b465463 uri: /reference/59a8ba69-97e3-4a57-8625-45764b465463 - attrs: Author: 'Yates, K. K.; Zawada, D. G.; Smiley, N. A.; Tiling-Range, G.' DOI: 10.5194/bg-14-1739-2017 ISSN: 1726-4189 Issue: 6 Journal: Biogeosciences Notes: BG Pages: 1739-1772 Publisher: Copernicus Publications Title: Divergence of seafloor elevation and sea level rise in coral reef ecosystems Volume: 14 Year: 2017 _record_number: 26301 _uuid: 5c1b02bb-0002-4f57-9a64-68a8d0539cfa reftype: Journal Article child_publication: /article/10.5194/bg-14-1739-2017 href: https://data.globalchange.gov/reference/5c1b02bb-0002-4f57-9a64-68a8d0539cfa.yaml identifier: 5c1b02bb-0002-4f57-9a64-68a8d0539cfa uri: /reference/5c1b02bb-0002-4f57-9a64-68a8d0539cfa - attrs: Abstract: 'Gulf of Mexico (GOM) coastal wetlands contribute to human well-being by providing many ecosystem services. The GOM region continues to experience substantial losses of coastal wetlands, but the magnitude of reduction in ecosystem services resulting from the loss of GOM coastal wetlands is unknown. To gain an appreciation of the impact of GOM coastal wetland loss on ecosystem services, recent literature was reviewed to derive quantitative estimates of ecosystem services provided by GOM coastal wetlands. GOM coastal wetlands provide essential habitat for the production of juvenile shrimp, which supports the GOM’s most valuable commercial fishery; protect coastal communities from storm surge; improve water quality by removing nitrogen from surface waters; and are valuable sinks for greenhouse gases due to high rates of carbon sequestration combined with low rates of methane emission. Using 1998 to 2004 as a baseline, the potential loss of ecosystem services associated with loss of coastal wetlands is presented. Additional research is needed to quantify wetland services at multiple geospatial and socioeconomic scales, to determine the effect of wetland loss on ecosystem services, and to demonstrate the impact of future management decisions on the capacity of GOM coastal wetlands to provide services that affect human well-being.' Author: 'Engle, Virginia D.' DOI: 10.1007/s13157-010-0132-9 Date: February 01 ISSN: 1943-6246 Issue: 1 Journal: Wetlands Pages: 179-193 Title: Estimating the provision of ecosystem services by Gulf of Mexico coastal wetlands Type of Article: journal article Volume: 31 Year: 2011 _record_number: 24316 _uuid: 5c4a0889-c2c7-463f-8414-902bebc9d64b reftype: Journal Article child_publication: /article/10.1007/s13157-010-0132-9 href: https://data.globalchange.gov/reference/5c4a0889-c2c7-463f-8414-902bebc9d64b.yaml identifier: 5c4a0889-c2c7-463f-8414-902bebc9d64b uri: /reference/5c4a0889-c2c7-463f-8414-902bebc9d64b - attrs: .reference_type: 9 Editor: "Conner, William H.\rDoyle, Thomas W.\rKrauss, Ken W. " ISBN: 978-1-4020-5094-7 Number of Pages: '518 ' Place Published: 'Dordrecht, The Netherlands' Publisher: Springer Title: Ecology of Tidal Freshwater Forested Wetlands of the Southeastern United States Year: 2007 _chapter: '["Ch. 25: Coastal Zone FINAL"]' _record_number: 3859 _uuid: 5e1f5b8b-6d2e-49da-8d31-3788c2c9c5f2 reftype: Edited Book child_publication: /book/87e6c96e-d52e-440f-803b-cb420b1c94e2 href: https://data.globalchange.gov/reference/5e1f5b8b-6d2e-49da-8d31-3788c2c9c5f2.yaml identifier: 5e1f5b8b-6d2e-49da-8d31-3788c2c9c5f2 uri: /reference/5e1f5b8b-6d2e-49da-8d31-3788c2c9c5f2 - attrs: Issue Date: September 8 Newspaper: WTVR (CBS Affiliate) Place Published: 'Richmond, VA' Reporter: 'Wise, Scott' Title: Virginia Governor declares state of emergency ahead of Hurricane Irma URL: https://wtvr.com/2017/09/08/hurricane-irma-virginia-state-of-emergency/ Year: 2017 _record_number: 26303 _uuid: 5e59c797-39e0-44f1-9aae-40a404b19982 reftype: Newspaper Article child_publication: /generic/673e7ca3-9a68-44d9-8791-c2213271d73f href: https://data.globalchange.gov/reference/5e59c797-39e0-44f1-9aae-40a404b19982.yaml identifier: 5e59c797-39e0-44f1-9aae-40a404b19982 uri: /reference/5e59c797-39e0-44f1-9aae-40a404b19982 - attrs: Author: 'Ellison, Aaron M.; Bank, Michael S.; Clinton, Barton D.; Colburn, Elizabeth A.; Elliott, Katherine; Ford, Chelcy R.; Foster, David R.; Kloeppel, Brian D.; Knoepp, Jennifer D.; Lovett, Gary M.; Mohan, Jacqueline; Orwig, David A.; Rodenhouse, Nicholas L.; Sobczak, William V.; Stinson, Kristina A.; Stone, Jeffrey K.; Swan, Christopher M.; Thompson, Jill; Von Holle, Betsy; Webster, Jackson R.' DOI: '10.1890/1540-9295(2005)003[0479:LOFSCF]2.0.CO;2' ISSN: 1540-9309 Issue: 9 Journal: Frontiers in Ecology and the Environment Pages: 479-486 Publisher: Ecological Society of America Title: 'Loss of foundation species: Consequences for the structure and dynamics of forested ecosystems' Volume: 3 Year: 2005 _record_number: 24425 _uuid: 5fc89843-73fb-40b2-b337-4698e0e6a9f5 reftype: Journal Article child_publication: /article/10.1890/1540-9295(2005)003%5B0479:LOFSCF%5D2.0.CO;2 href: https://data.globalchange.gov/reference/5fc89843-73fb-40b2-b337-4698e0e6a9f5.yaml identifier: 5fc89843-73fb-40b2-b337-4698e0e6a9f5 uri: /reference/5fc89843-73fb-40b2-b337-4698e0e6a9f5 - attrs: Author: 'Colten, Craig' DOI: 10.21690/foge/2017.60.2f Periodical Title: Focus on Geography Title: Floods collide with sprawl in Louisiana’s Amite River Basin Volume: 60 Year: 2017 _record_number: 24281 _uuid: 60165103-bf76-4bdc-a1f7-f43389eb76f5 reftype: Electronic Article child_publication: /generic/7665a8e7-ec2a-4fd2-aa09-f7979a8fa131 href: https://data.globalchange.gov/reference/60165103-bf76-4bdc-a1f7-f43389eb76f5.yaml identifier: 60165103-bf76-4bdc-a1f7-f43389eb76f5 uri: /reference/60165103-bf76-4bdc-a1f7-f43389eb76f5 - attrs: .reference_type: 0 Author: "Daly, C.\rWidrlechner, M.P.\rHalbleib, M.D.\rSmith, J.I.\rGibson, W.P." DOI: 10.1175/2010JAMC2536.1 ISSN: 1558-8432 Journal: Journal of Applied Meteorology and Climatology Pages: 242-264 Title: Development of a new USDA plant hardiness zone map for the United States URL: http://journals.ametsoc.org/doi/pdf/10.1175/2010JAMC2536.1 Volume: 51 Year: 2012 _chapter: '["Appendix 3: Climate Science FINAL"]' _record_number: 519 _uuid: 613c4c80-9df1-43a5-9990-5387092c74c8 reftype: Journal Article child_publication: /article/10.1175/2010JAMC2536.1 href: https://data.globalchange.gov/reference/613c4c80-9df1-43a5-9990-5387092c74c8.yaml identifier: 613c4c80-9df1-43a5-9990-5387092c74c8 uri: /reference/613c4c80-9df1-43a5-9990-5387092c74c8 - attrs: .reference_type: 10 Author: 'NWS,' Institution: NOAA National Weather Service (NWS) Pages: various Place Published: 'Silver Spring, MD' Series Volume: Service Assessment Title: 'The Historic South Carolina Floods of October 1–5, 2015' URL: https://www.weather.gov/media/publications/assessments/SCFlooding_072216_Signed_Final.pdf Year: 2016 _record_number: 23188 _uuid: 6239c23d-c1e7-4190-a384-f8283df288ef reftype: Report child_publication: /report/historic-south-carolina-floods-october-15-2015 href: https://data.globalchange.gov/reference/6239c23d-c1e7-4190-a384-f8283df288ef.yaml identifier: 6239c23d-c1e7-4190-a384-f8283df288ef uri: /reference/6239c23d-c1e7-4190-a384-f8283df288ef - attrs: .reference_type: 0 Abstract: 'A new technique for statistically downscaling climate model simulations of daily temperature and precipitation is introduced and demonstrated over the western United States. The localized constructed analogs (LOCA) method produces downscaled estimates suitable for hydrological simulations using a multiscale spatial matching scheme to pick appropriate analog days from observations. First, a pool of candidate observed analog days is chosen by matching the model field to be downscaled to observed days over the region that is positively correlated with the point being downscaled, which leads to a natural independence of the downscaling results to the extent of the domain being downscaled. Then, the one candidate analog day that best matches in the local area around the grid cell being downscaled is the single analog day used there. Most grid cells are downscaled using only the single locally selected analog day, but locations whose neighboring cells identify a different analog day use a weighted combination of the center and adjacent analog days to reduce edge discontinuities. By contrast, existing constructed analog methods typically use a weighted average of the same 30 analog days for the entire domain. By greatly reducing this averaging, LOCA produces better estimates of extreme days, constructs a more realistic depiction of the spatial coherence of the downscaled field, and reduces the problem of producing too many light-precipitation days. The LOCA method is more computationally expensive than existing constructed analog techniques, but it is still practical for downscaling numerous climate model simulations with limited computational resources.' Author: David W. Pierce; Daniel R. Cayan; Bridget L. Thrasher DOI: 10.1175/jhm-d-14-0082.1 Issue: 6 Journal: Journal of Hydrometeorology Keywords: 'Hydrometeorology,Climate models,Hydrologic models,Land surface model,Atmosphere-land interaction,Regional effects' Pages: 2558-2585 Title: Statistical downscaling using Localized Constructed Analogs (LOCA) Volume: 15 Year: 2014 _record_number: 21028 _uuid: 62c66ef3-cddb-4797-ba0e-5672fbcc27b3 reftype: Journal Article child_publication: /article/10.1175/jhm-d-14-0082.1 href: https://data.globalchange.gov/reference/62c66ef3-cddb-4797-ba0e-5672fbcc27b3.yaml identifier: 62c66ef3-cddb-4797-ba0e-5672fbcc27b3 uri: /reference/62c66ef3-cddb-4797-ba0e-5672fbcc27b3 - attrs: Abstract: 'Regional warming associated with climate change is linked with altered range and abundance of species and ecosystems worldwide. However, the ecological impacts of changes in the frequency of extreme events have not been as well documented, especially for coastal and marine environments. We used 28 y of satellite imagery to demonstrate that the area of mangrove forests has doubled at the northern end of their historic range on the east coast of Florida. This expansion is associated with a reduction in the frequency of “extreme” cold events (days colder than −4 °C), but uncorrelated with changes in mean annual temperature, mean annual precipitation, and land use. Our analyses provide evidence for a threshold response, with declining frequency of severe cold winter events allowing for poleward expansion of mangroves. Future warming may result in increases in mangrove cover beyond current latitudinal limits of mangrove forests, thereby altering the structure and function of these important coastal ecosystems.' Author: 'Cavanaugh, Kyle C.; Kellner, James R.; Forde, Alexander J.; Gruner, Daniel S.; Parker, John D.; Rodriguez, Wilfrid; Feller, Ilka C.' DOI: 10.1073/pnas.1315800111 Date: 'January 14, 2014' Issue: 2 Journal: Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America Pages: 723-727 Title: Poleward expansion of mangroves is a threshold response to decreased frequency of extreme cold events Volume: 111 Year: 2014 _record_number: 23359 _uuid: 64dedf01-8a9b-49ce-b494-410a386befbe reftype: Journal Article child_publication: /article/10.1073/pnas.1315800111 href: https://data.globalchange.gov/reference/64dedf01-8a9b-49ce-b494-410a386befbe.yaml identifier: 64dedf01-8a9b-49ce-b494-410a386befbe uri: /reference/64dedf01-8a9b-49ce-b494-410a386befbe - attrs: Abstract: "Invasive species represent a significant threat to global biodiversity and a substantial economic burden. Burmese pythons, giant constricting snakes native to Asia, now are found throughout much of southern Florida, including all of Everglades National Park (ENP). Pythons have increased dramatically in both abundance and geographic range since 2000 and consume a wide variety of mammals and birds. Here we report severe apparent declines in mammal populations that coincide temporally and spatially with the proliferation of pythons in ENP. Before 2000, mammals were encountered frequently during nocturnal road surveys within ENP. In contrast, road surveys totaling 56,971 km from 2003–2011 documented a 99.3% decrease in the frequency of raccoon observations, decreases of 98.9% and 87.5% for opossum and bobcat observations, respectively, and failed to detect rabbits. Road surveys also revealed that these species are more common in areas where pythons have been discovered only recently and are most abundant outside the python's current introduced range. These findings suggest that predation by pythons has resulted in dramatic declines in mammals within ENP and that introduced apex predators, such as giant constrictors, can exert significant top-down pressure on prey populations. Severe declines in easily observed and/or common mammals, such as raccoons and bobcats, bode poorly for species of conservation concern, which often are more difficult to sample and occur at lower densities." Author: 'Dorcas, Michael E.; Willson, John D.; Reed, Robert N.; Snow, Ray W.; Rochford, Michael R.; Miller, Melissa A.; Meshaka, Walter E.; Andreadis, Paul T.; Mazzotti, Frank J.; Romagosa, Christina M.; Hart, Kristen M.' DOI: 10.1073/pnas.1115226109 Date: 'February 14, 2012' Issue: 7 Journal: Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America Pages: 2418-2422 Title: Severe mammal declines coincide with proliferation of invasive Burmese pythons in Everglades National Park Volume: 109 Year: 2012 _record_number: 24309 _uuid: 67787b96-a3eb-49d3-a44a-866b9d36ce8e reftype: Journal Article child_publication: /article/10.1073/pnas.1115226109 href: https://data.globalchange.gov/reference/67787b96-a3eb-49d3-a44a-866b9d36ce8e.yaml identifier: 67787b96-a3eb-49d3-a44a-866b9d36ce8e uri: /reference/67787b96-a3eb-49d3-a44a-866b9d36ce8e - attrs: .reference_type: 16 Author: 'NRCS,' Publisher: USDA Natural Resources Conservation Service (NRCS) Title: 'Plant profile: Allium tricoccum Aiton ramp' URL: https://plants.usda.gov/core/profile?symbol=ALTR3 Year: 2017 _record_number: 24453 _uuid: 680169df-b74e-4929-a0ff-1704a290c73e reftype: Web Page child_publication: /webpage/4cd4975a-451c-4390-9da2-afaa9ca253fc href: https://data.globalchange.gov/reference/680169df-b74e-4929-a0ff-1704a290c73e.yaml identifier: 680169df-b74e-4929-a0ff-1704a290c73e uri: /reference/680169df-b74e-4929-a0ff-1704a290c73e - attrs: Abstract: 'We present 50-year updates for two plant hardiness models (maps), developed originally by Agriculture Canada and the US Department of Agriculture (USDA), that are widely used for plant selection decisions in Canada. The updated maps show clear northward shifts in hardiness zones across western Canada. Shifts are less dramatic in southeastern Canada, with modest increases in zone values associated with the Canadian map but modest declines associated with the USDA approach. Species-specific climate envelope models are an alternative to generalized hardiness zones. We generated climate envelopes for 62 northern tree species over the same 50-year interval and found an average northward shift of 57 kilometers. These changes signal an increase in the productivity and diversity of plants that can be grown in Canada. However, late spring frosts and other factors discussed herein may limit the extent to which this potential is realized.' Author: 'McKenney, Daniel W.; Pedlar, John H.; Lawrence, Kevin; Papadopol, Pia; Campbell, Kathy; Hutchinson, Michael F.' DOI: 10.1093/biosci/biu016 ISSN: 0006-3568 Issue: 4 Journal: BioScience Notes: 10.1093/biosci/biu016 Pages: 341-350 Title: Change and evolution in the plant hardiness zones of Canada Volume: 64 Year: 2014 _record_number: 24355 _uuid: 68a46f2e-c76d-4d04-a9cf-11b63759be09 reftype: Journal Article child_publication: /article/10.1093/biosci/biu016 href: https://data.globalchange.gov/reference/68a46f2e-c76d-4d04-a9cf-11b63759be09.yaml identifier: 68a46f2e-c76d-4d04-a9cf-11b63759be09 uri: /reference/68a46f2e-c76d-4d04-a9cf-11b63759be09