--- - attrs: Abstract: 'Mangrove forests are highly productive tidal saline wetland ecosystems found along sheltered tropical and subtropical coasts. Ecologists have long assumed that climatic drivers (i.e., temperature and rainfall regimes) govern the global distribution, structure, and function of mangrove forests. However, data constraints have hindered the quantification of direct climate–mangrove linkages in many parts of the world. Recently, the quality and availability of global-scale climate and mangrove data have been improving. Here, we used these data to better understand the influence of air temperature and rainfall regimes upon the distribution, abundance, and species richness of mangrove forests. Although our analyses identify global-scale relationships and thresholds, we show that the influence of climatic drivers is best characterized via regional range-limit-specific analyses. We quantified climatic controls across targeted gradients in temperature and/or rainfall within 14 mangrove distributional range limits. Climatic thresholds for mangrove presence, abundance, and species richness differed among the 14 studied range limits. We identified minimum temperature-based thresholds for range limits in eastern North America, eastern Australia, New Zealand, eastern Asia, eastern South America, and southeast Africa. We identified rainfall-based thresholds for range limits in western North America, western Gulf of Mexico, western South America, western Australia, Middle East, northwest Africa, east central Africa, and west-central Africa. Our results show that in certain range limits (e.g., eastern North America, western Gulf of Mexico, eastern Asia), winter air temperature extremes play an especially important role. We conclude that rainfall and temperature regimes are both important in western North America, western Gulf of Mexico, and western Australia. With climate change, alterations in temperature and rainfall regimes will affect the global distribution, abundance, and diversity of mangrove forests. In general, warmer winter temperatures are expected to allow mangroves to expand poleward at the expense of salt marshes. However, dispersal and habitat availability constraints may hinder expansion near certain range limits. Along arid and semiarid coasts, decreases or increases in rainfall are expected to lead to mangrove contraction or expansion, respectively. Collectively, our analyses quantify climate–mangrove linkages and improve our understanding of the expected global- and regional-scale effects of climate change upon mangrove forests.' 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Rapid climate changes challenge this process by imposing stronger selection and by distancing populations from environments to which they are adapted. The unprecedented rates of climate changes anticipated to occur in the future, coupled with land use changes that impede gene flow, can be expected to disrupt the interplay of adaptation and migration, likely affecting productivity and threatening the persistence of many species.' Author: 'Davis, Margaret B.; Shaw, Ruth G.' 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Kleypas" DOI: 10.1146/annurev.marine.010908.163834 ISSN: '1941-1405, 1941-0611' Issue: 1 Journal: Annual Review of Marine Science Pages: 169-192 Title: 'Ocean acidification: The other CO2 problem' URL: http://www.annualreviews.org/doi/abs/10.1146/annurev.marine.010908.163834 Volume: 1 Year: 2009 _chapter: '["Ch. 2: Our Changing Climate FINAL","Ch. 22: Alaska FINAL"]' _record_number: 1207 _uuid: 7ab1d9e1-75a1-48c5-8d85-02258496f919 reftype: Journal Article child_publication: /article/10.1146/annurev.marine.010908.163834 href: https://data.globalchange.gov/reference/7ab1d9e1-75a1-48c5-8d85-02258496f919.yaml identifier: 7ab1d9e1-75a1-48c5-8d85-02258496f919 uri: /reference/7ab1d9e1-75a1-48c5-8d85-02258496f919 - attrs: Author: 'Osland, Michael J.; Day, Richard H.; Hall, Courtney T.; Brumfield, Marisa D.; Dugas, Jason L.; Jones, William R.' DOI: 10.1002/ecy.1625 ISSN: 1939-9170 Issue: 1 Journal: Ecology Keywords: Avicennia germinans; climate change; climate extremes; coastal wetland; ecological threshold; freeze events; Louisiana; mangrove; range contraction; range expansion; range limit; temperature Pages: 125-137 Title: 'Mangrove expansion and contraction at a poleward range limit: Climate extremes and land-ocean temperature gradients' Volume: 98 Year: 2017 _record_number: 24366 _uuid: 7b60c739-2b34-4762-bbc9-b3c6893d1ee4 reftype: Journal Article child_publication: /article/10.1002/ecy.1625 href: https://data.globalchange.gov/reference/7b60c739-2b34-4762-bbc9-b3c6893d1ee4.yaml identifier: 7b60c739-2b34-4762-bbc9-b3c6893d1ee4 uri: /reference/7b60c739-2b34-4762-bbc9-b3c6893d1ee4 - attrs: .reference_type: 7 Author: "Carter, Lynne M.\rJones, James W.\rBerry, Leonard\rBurkett, Virginia\rMurley, James F.\rObeysekera, Jayantha\rSchramm, Paul J.\rWear, David" Book Title: 'Climate Change Impacts in the United States: The Third National Climate Assessment' DOI: 10.7930/J0NP22CB Editor: 'Melillo, Jerry M.; Richmond, Terese (T.C.); Yohe, Gary W.' 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S.; Stumpf, R. P.; Raabe, E. A.' Institution: 'U.S. Geological Survey, Center for Coastal Geology' Language: English Pages: various Place Published: 'St. Petersburg, FL' Series Volume: Open-File Report 99-441 Title: Sea-level rise and coastal forests on the Gulf of Mexico Type: Report URL: http://pubs.er.usgs.gov/publication/ofr99441 Year: 1999 _record_number: 24399 _uuid: 7e402cf5-8017-47f6-9f1c-c6d4f98ff2f7 reftype: Report child_publication: /report/sea-level-rise-coastal-forests-on-gulf-mexico href: https://data.globalchange.gov/reference/7e402cf5-8017-47f6-9f1c-c6d4f98ff2f7.yaml identifier: 7e402cf5-8017-47f6-9f1c-c6d4f98ff2f7 uri: /reference/7e402cf5-8017-47f6-9f1c-c6d4f98ff2f7