--- - attrs: .reference_type: 0 Author: "Meehl, G.A.\rArblaster, J.M.\rBranstator, G." DOI: 10.1175/JCLI-D-11-00655.1 ISSN: 0894-8755 Issue: 2012 Journal: Journal of Climate Pages: 6394-6408 Title: Mechanisms contributing to the warming hole and the consequent US east-west differential of heat extremes URL: http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1029/2009GL040736/pdf Volume: 25 Year: 2012 _chapter: '["Appendix 3: Climate Science FINAL"]' _record_number: 1980 _uuid: a7e588f6-e524-4b79-9c3f-b3fa412cb5bc reftype: Journal Article child_publication: /article/10.1175/JCLI-D-11-00655.1 href: https://data.globalchange.gov/reference/a7e588f6-e524-4b79-9c3f-b3fa412cb5bc.yaml identifier: a7e588f6-e524-4b79-9c3f-b3fa412cb5bc uri: /reference/a7e588f6-e524-4b79-9c3f-b3fa412cb5bc - attrs: Author: 'Hauer, Mathew E; Evans, Jason M; Mishra, Deepak R' DOI: 10.1038/nclimate2961 ISSN: 1758-678X Issue: 7 Journal: Nature Climate Change Pages: 691-695 Title: Millions projected to be at risk from sea-level rise in the continental United States Volume: 6 Year: 2016 _record_number: 22589 _uuid: a8fa0719-0cc9-486d-8c9c-3128870578b6 reftype: Journal Article child_publication: /article/10.1038/nclimate2961 href: https://data.globalchange.gov/reference/a8fa0719-0cc9-486d-8c9c-3128870578b6.yaml identifier: a8fa0719-0cc9-486d-8c9c-3128870578b6 uri: /reference/a8fa0719-0cc9-486d-8c9c-3128870578b6 - attrs: Author: 'Harrison, Conor; Popke, Jeff' DOI: 10.1080/00045608.2011.569659 Date: 2011/07/01 ISSN: 0004-5608 Issue: 4 Journal: Annals of the Association of American Geographers Pages: 949-961 Publisher: Routledge Title: '“Because you got to have heat”: The networked assemblage of energy poverty in eastern North Carolina' Volume: 101 Year: 2011 _record_number: 26317 _uuid: aa9fc064-26c6-4187-a6b9-2961a9bf22e0 reftype: Journal Article child_publication: /article/10.1080/00045608.2011.569659 href: https://data.globalchange.gov/reference/aa9fc064-26c6-4187-a6b9-2961a9bf22e0.yaml identifier: aa9fc064-26c6-4187-a6b9-2961a9bf22e0 uri: /reference/aa9fc064-26c6-4187-a6b9-2961a9bf22e0 - attrs: .reference_type: 47 Author: 'Morales, Jimmy' Conference Location: 'West Palm Beach, FL' Conference Name: Forum on Indicators of Coastal Flooding and Flood Impacts Date: May 26 Pages: 3-25 Publisher: South Flordia Water Management District Title: Miami Beach coastal flooding forum URL: ftp://ftp.sfwmd.gov/pub/jabarne/Coastal_Flooding_25May2016.pdf Year: 2016 _record_number: 26331 _uuid: ac8d1049-b044-4f51-80b7-15e704eb69bd reftype: Conference Paper child_publication: /generic/8da3a8c9-c603-4fe4-bc1f-79cbf016ffd0 href: https://data.globalchange.gov/reference/ac8d1049-b044-4f51-80b7-15e704eb69bd.yaml identifier: ac8d1049-b044-4f51-80b7-15e704eb69bd uri: /reference/ac8d1049-b044-4f51-80b7-15e704eb69bd - attrs: .reference_type: 10 Author: 'Kunkel, Ken; R. Frankson; Jennifer Runkle; Sarah Champion; Laura Stevens; David Easterling; Brooke Stewart ' Institution: 'National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration, National Centers for Environmental Information' Pages: '[various]' Place Published: 'Asheville, NC' Series Volume: NOAA Technical Report NESDIS 149 Title: State Climate Summaries for the United States URL: https://statesummaries.ncics.org/ Year: 2017 _record_number: 23940 _uuid: acbb7b12-c119-4c42-8a80-c2555964db4c reftype: Report child_publication: /report/noaa-led-state-summaries-2017 href: https://data.globalchange.gov/reference/acbb7b12-c119-4c42-8a80-c2555964db4c.yaml identifier: acbb7b12-c119-4c42-8a80-c2555964db4c uri: /reference/acbb7b12-c119-4c42-8a80-c2555964db4c - attrs: Author: 'Moore, Georgianne W.; Edgar, Christopher B.; Vogel, Jason G.; Washington-Allen, Robert A.; March, Rosaleen G; Zehnder, Rebekah' DOI: 10.1890/15-0330 ISSN: 1939-5582 Issue: 2 Journal: Ecological Applications Keywords: 'acute drought impact; Central North America; dead carbon pool; forest structure; Texas, USA; tree death' Pages: 602-611 Title: Tree mortality from an exceptional drought spanning mesic to semiarid ecoregions Volume: 26 Year: 2016 _record_number: 24358 _uuid: acd8431a-2d31-4bfd-b64f-905f7c066b74 reftype: Journal Article child_publication: /article/10.1890/15-0330 href: https://data.globalchange.gov/reference/acd8431a-2d31-4bfd-b64f-905f7c066b74.yaml identifier: acd8431a-2d31-4bfd-b64f-905f7c066b74 uri: /reference/acd8431a-2d31-4bfd-b64f-905f7c066b74 - attrs: .reference_type: 16 Author: 'NWS,' Place Published: 'Tallahassee, FL' Publisher: NOAA National Weather Service (NWS) Title: 'Detailed Meteorological Summary on Hurricane Irma [web page]' URL: https://www.weather.gov/tae/Irma_technical_summary Year: 2017 _record_number: 26333 _uuid: aebd6716-caa9-43db-b91a-c057df29ac3b reftype: Web Page child_publication: /webpage/81d58909-d57b-49b8-9b43-47abfb78ee14 href: https://data.globalchange.gov/reference/aebd6716-caa9-43db-b91a-c057df29ac3b.yaml identifier: aebd6716-caa9-43db-b91a-c057df29ac3b uri: /reference/aebd6716-caa9-43db-b91a-c057df29ac3b - attrs: Author: 'Jacobson, Elliott R.; Barker, David G.; Barker, Tracy M.; Mauldin, Richard; Avery, Michael L.; Engeman, Richard; Secor, Stephen' DOI: 10.1111/j.1749-4877.2012.00306.x ISSN: 1749-4877 Issue: 3 Journal: Integrative Zoology Keywords: ambient temperature; Burmese python; invasion; snake; thermal tolerance Pages: 271-285 Publisher: Blackwell Publishing Ltd Title: 'Environmental temperatures, physiology and behavior limit the range expansion of invasive Burmese pythons in southeastern USA' Volume: 7 Year: 2012 _record_number: 24329 _uuid: af01bc23-cb29-41d0-bc74-e80ef0928c6a reftype: Journal Article child_publication: /article/10.1111/j.1749-4877.2012.00306.x href: https://data.globalchange.gov/reference/af01bc23-cb29-41d0-bc74-e80ef0928c6a.yaml identifier: af01bc23-cb29-41d0-bc74-e80ef0928c6a uri: /reference/af01bc23-cb29-41d0-bc74-e80ef0928c6a - attrs: Abstract: 'A review is made of current methods for assessing future changes in urban rainfall extremes and their effects on urban drainage systems, due to anthropogenic-induced climate change. The review concludes that in spite of significant advances there are still many limitations in our understanding of how to describe precipitation patterns in a changing climate in order to design and operate urban drainage infrastructure. Climate change may well be the driver that ensures that changes in urban drainage paradigms are identified and suitable solutions implemented. Design and optimization of urban drainage infrastructure considering climate change impacts and co-optimizing these with other objectives will become ever more important to keep our cities habitable into the future.' Author: 'Arnbjerg-Nielsen, K.; Willems, P.; Olsson, J.; Beecham, S.; Pathirana, A.; Bülow Gregersen, I.; Madsen, H.; Nguyen, V.-T.-V.' DOI: 10.2166/wst.2013.251 Issue: 1 Journal: Water Science and Technology Pages: 16-28 Title: 'Impacts of climate change on rainfall extremes and urban drainage systems: A review' Volume: 68 Year: 2013 _record_number: 24290 _uuid: afa3ac05-9fe6-442e-8c02-677b818feb69 reftype: Journal Article child_publication: /article/10.2166/wst.2013.251 href: https://data.globalchange.gov/reference/afa3ac05-9fe6-442e-8c02-677b818feb69.yaml identifier: afa3ac05-9fe6-442e-8c02-677b818feb69 uri: /reference/afa3ac05-9fe6-442e-8c02-677b818feb69 - attrs: Abstract: 'The urban heat island (UHI), together with summertime heat waves, foster’s biophysical hazards such as heat stress, air pollution, and associated public health problems. Mitigation strategies such as increased vegetative cover and higher albedo surface materials have been proposed. Atlanta, Georgia, is often affected by extreme heat, and has recently been investigated to better understand its heat island and related weather modifications. The objectives of this research were to (1) characterize temporal variations in the magnitude of UHI around Metro Atlanta area, (2) identify climatological attributes of the UHI under extremely high temperature conditions during Atlanta’s summer (June, July, and August) period, and (3) conduct theoretical numerical simulations to quantify the first-order effects of proposed mitigation strategies. Over the period 1984–2007, the climatological mean UHI magnitude for Atlanta-Athens and Athens-Monticello was 1.31 and 1.71°C, respectively. There were statistically significant minimum temperature trends of 0.70°C per decade at Athens and −1.79°C per decade at Monticello while Atlanta’s minimum temperature remained unchanged. The largest (smallest) UHI magnitudes were in spring (summer) and may be coupled to cloud-radiative cycles. Heat waves in Atlanta occurred during 50% of the years spanning 1984–2007 and were exclusively summertime phenomena. The mean number of heat wave events in Atlanta during a given heat wave year was 1.83. On average, Atlanta heat waves lasted 14.18 days, although there was quite a bit of variability (standard deviation of 9.89). The mean maximum temperature during Atlanta’s heat waves was 35.85°C. The Atlanta-Athens UHI was not statistically larger during a heat wave although the Atlanta-Monticello UHI was. Model simulations captured daytime and nocturnal UHIs under heat wave conditions. Sensitivity results suggested that a 100% increase in Atlanta’s surface vegetation or a tripling of its albedo effectively reduced UHI surface temperature. However, from a mitigation and technological standpoint, there is low feasibility of tripling albedo in the foreseeable future. Increased vegetation seems to be a more likely choice for mitigating surface temperature.' Author: 'Zhou, Yan; Shepherd, J. Marshall' DOI: 10.1007/s11069-009-9406-z Date: March 01 ISSN: 1573-0840 Issue: 3 Journal: Natural Hazards Pages: 639-668 Title: Atlanta’s urban heat island under extreme heat conditions and potential mitigation strategies Type of Article: journal article Volume: 52 Year: 2010 _record_number: 24397 _uuid: b0725ea7-9617-4fea-ad43-459a909f4abd reftype: Journal Article child_publication: /article/10.1007/s11069-009-9406-z href: https://data.globalchange.gov/reference/b0725ea7-9617-4fea-ad43-459a909f4abd.yaml identifier: b0725ea7-9617-4fea-ad43-459a909f4abd uri: /reference/b0725ea7-9617-4fea-ad43-459a909f4abd - attrs: Author: 'Gutierrez, Kristie; LePrevost, Catherine' DOI: 10.3390/ijerph13020189 ISSN: 1660-4601 Issue: 2 Journal: International Journal of Environmental Research and Public Health Pages: 189 Title: 'Climate justice in rural southeastern United States: A review of climate change impacts and effects on human health' Volume: 13 Year: 2016 _record_number: 25327 _uuid: b079422e-dafb-4221-83be-0b6a176acbb6 reftype: Journal Article child_publication: /article/10.3390/ijerph13020189 href: https://data.globalchange.gov/reference/b079422e-dafb-4221-83be-0b6a176acbb6.yaml identifier: b079422e-dafb-4221-83be-0b6a176acbb6 uri: /reference/b079422e-dafb-4221-83be-0b6a176acbb6 - attrs: .reference_type: 0 Author: "Hoegh-Guldberg, O.\rMumby, P. J.\rHooten, A. J.\rSteneck, R. S.\rGreenfield, P.\rGomez, E.\rHarvell, C. D.\rSale, P. F.\rEdwards, A. J.\rCaldeira, K.\rKnowlton, N.\rEakin, C. M.\rIglesias-Prieto, R.\rMuthiga, N.\rBradbury, R. H.\rDubi, A.\rHatziolos, M. E." DOI: 10.1126/science.1152509 ISSN: 0036-8075 Issue: 5857 Journal: Science Pages: 1737-1742 Title: Coral reefs under rapid climate change and ocean acidification Volume: 318 Year: 2007 _chapter: '["Ch. 25: Coastal Zone FINAL","Ch. 24: Oceans FINAL","Appendix 1: Process FINAL","RG 10 Coasts","Ch. 23: Hawaii FINAL"]' _record_number: 471 _uuid: b09adbe5-6a17-4d3c-ab96-b3d9e306af67 reftype: Journal Article child_publication: /article/10.1126/science.1152509 href: https://data.globalchange.gov/reference/b09adbe5-6a17-4d3c-ab96-b3d9e306af67.yaml identifier: b09adbe5-6a17-4d3c-ab96-b3d9e306af67 uri: /reference/b09adbe5-6a17-4d3c-ab96-b3d9e306af67 - attrs: Author: 'Stephens, Scott L.; Moghaddas, Jason J.; Edminster, Carl; Fiedler, Carl E.; Haase, Sally; Harrington, Michael; Keeley, Jon E.; Knapp, Eric E.; McIver, James D.; Metlen, Kerry; Skinner, Carl N.; Youngblood, Andrew' DOI: 10.1890/07-1755.1 ISSN: 1939-5582 Issue: 2 Journal: Ecological Applications Keywords: fire hazard; fire policy; fire suppression; fire resistance; fuel management; fuel treatment; mixed conifer; ponderosa pine; wildfire Pages: 305-320 Publisher: Ecological Society of America Title: 'Fire treatment effects on vegetation structure, fuels, and potential fire severity in western U.S. forests' Volume: 19 Year: 2009 _record_number: 24380 _uuid: b271b8b0-8ed7-4c9c-aa6d-c5afa63d0ed8 reftype: Journal Article child_publication: /article/10.1890/07-1755.1 href: https://data.globalchange.gov/reference/b271b8b0-8ed7-4c9c-aa6d-c5afa63d0ed8.yaml identifier: b271b8b0-8ed7-4c9c-aa6d-c5afa63d0ed8 uri: /reference/b271b8b0-8ed7-4c9c-aa6d-c5afa63d0ed8 - attrs: .reference_type: 10 Author: 'Couvillion, Brady R.; Beck, Holly; Schoolmaster, Donald; Fischer, Michelle' DOI: 10.3133/sim3381 Institution: U. S. Geological Survey Language: English Name of Database: USGS Publications Warehouse Pages: 16 Place Published: 'Reston, VA' Report Number: Scientific Investigations Map 3381 Title: Land area change in coastal Louisiana (1932 to 2016) Type: Report Year: 2017 _record_number: 26325 _uuid: b2d510d8-d3c4-493c-ad4c-d94a33c16ec0 reftype: Report child_publication: /report/land-area-change-coastal-louisiana-1932-2016 href: https://data.globalchange.gov/reference/b2d510d8-d3c4-493c-ad4c-d94a33c16ec0.yaml identifier: b2d510d8-d3c4-493c-ad4c-d94a33c16ec0 uri: /reference/b2d510d8-d3c4-493c-ad4c-d94a33c16ec0 - attrs: Abstract: 'Climate change can have profound impacts on biodiversity and the sustainability of many ecosystems. Various studies have investigated the impacts of climate change, but large-scale, trait-specific impacts are less understood. We analyze abundance data over time for 86 tree species/groups across the eastern United States spanning the last three decades. We show that more tree species have experienced a westward shift (73%) than a poleward shift (62%) in their abundance, a trend that is stronger for saplings than adult trees. The observed shifts are primarily due to the changes of subpopulation abundances in the leading edges and are significantly associated with changes in moisture availability and successional processes. These spatial shifts are associated with species that have similar traits (drought tolerance, wood density, and seed weight) and evolutionary histories (most angiosperms shifted westward and most gymnosperms shifted poleward). Our results indicate that changes in moisture availability have stronger near-term impacts on vegetation dynamics than changes in temperature. The divergent responses to climate change by trait- and phylogenetic-specific groups could lead to changes in composition of forest ecosystems, putting the resilience and sustainability of various forest ecosystems in question.' Author: 'Fei, Songlin; Desprez, Johanna M.; Potter, Kevin M.; Jo, Insu; Knott, Jonathan A.; Oswalt, Christopher M.' DOI: 10.1126/sciadv.1603055 Issue: 5 Journal: Science Advances Pages: e1603055 Title: Divergence of species responses to climate change Volume: 3 Year: 2017 _record_number: 25153 _uuid: b476f1c4-a2d2-4944-951d-52a0f2fd90cf reftype: Journal Article child_publication: /article/10.1126/sciadv.1603055 href: https://data.globalchange.gov/reference/b476f1c4-a2d2-4944-951d-52a0f2fd90cf.yaml identifier: b476f1c4-a2d2-4944-951d-52a0f2fd90cf uri: /reference/b476f1c4-a2d2-4944-951d-52a0f2fd90cf - attrs: Author: 'Kovach, Margaret M.; Konrad, Charles E.; Fuhrmann, Christopher M.' DOI: 10.1016/j.apgeog.2015.03.012 Date: 2015/06/01/ ISSN: 0143-6228 Journal: Applied Geography Keywords: Heat; Environmental health; Area-level risk factors; Geographic information systems; Rural health; Urban health Pages: 175-183 Title: 'Area-level risk factors for heat-related illness in rural and urban locations across North Carolina, USA' Volume: 60 Year: 2015 _record_number: 24335 _uuid: b5eb05f2-a3f3-4265-b1e9-10a9c382101c reftype: Journal Article child_publication: /article/10.1016/j.apgeog.2015.03.012 href: https://data.globalchange.gov/reference/b5eb05f2-a3f3-4265-b1e9-10a9c382101c.yaml identifier: b5eb05f2-a3f3-4265-b1e9-10a9c382101c uri: /reference/b5eb05f2-a3f3-4265-b1e9-10a9c382101c - attrs: Author: 'Ebi, Kristie L.; Nealon, Joshua' DOI: 10.1016/j.envres.2016.07.026 Date: 2016/11/01/ ISSN: 0013-9351 Journal: Environmental Research Keywords: Climate change; Dengue; Vector control; Dengue vaccine Pages: 115-123 Title: Dengue in a changing climate Volume: 151 Year: 2016 _record_number: 23246 _uuid: b61cb4f4-19bd-4342-8817-9b42e069afc7 reftype: Journal Article child_publication: /article/10.1016/j.envres.2016.07.026 href: https://data.globalchange.gov/reference/b61cb4f4-19bd-4342-8817-9b42e069afc7.yaml identifier: b61cb4f4-19bd-4342-8817-9b42e069afc7 uri: /reference/b61cb4f4-19bd-4342-8817-9b42e069afc7 - attrs: .reference_type: 10 Author: 'Sun, Liqiang; Kunkel, Kenneth E.; Stevens, Laura E.; Buddenberg, Andrew; Dobson, J.Greg; Easterling, David R.' DOI: 10.7289/V5RB72KG Pages: 111 Publisher: 'National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration, National Environmental Satellite, Data, and Information Service' Report Number: NOAA Technical Report NESDIS 144 Title: 'Regional Surface Climate Conditions in CMIP3 and CMIP5 for the United States: Differences, Similarities, and Implications for the U.S. National Climate Assessment' URL: https://docs.lib.noaa.gov/noaa_documents/NESDIS/TR_NESDIS/TR_NESDIS_144.pdf Year: 2015 _record_number: 19332 _uuid: b63c9720-f770-4718-89cc-53b3616e2bec reftype: Report child_publication: /report/noaa-techreport-nesdis-144 href: https://data.globalchange.gov/reference/b63c9720-f770-4718-89cc-53b3616e2bec.yaml identifier: b63c9720-f770-4718-89cc-53b3616e2bec uri: /reference/b63c9720-f770-4718-89cc-53b3616e2bec - attrs: .reference_type: 16 Author: 'SFRCCC,' Place Published: 'Broward, Miami-Dade, Monroe, and Palm Beach Counties, FL' Publisher: South Florida Regional Climate Change Compact (SFRCCC) Title: 'Regional Climate Action Plan 2.0 [web tool]' URL: http://www.southeastfloridaclimatecompact.org/regional-climate-action-plan/ Year: 2017 _record_number: 26308 _uuid: b8b0eba6-9f78-4777-95d7-42640d763906 reftype: Web Page child_publication: /webpage/e5cbff38-3e8e-4601-9991-37a51053ada7 href: https://data.globalchange.gov/reference/b8b0eba6-9f78-4777-95d7-42640d763906.yaml identifier: b8b0eba6-9f78-4777-95d7-42640d763906 uri: /reference/b8b0eba6-9f78-4777-95d7-42640d763906 - attrs: Author: 'Doyle, Thomas W.; Smith, Thomas J., III; Michael B. Robblee ' Journal: Journal of Coastal Research Pages: 159-168 Title: 'Wind damage effects of Hurricane Andrew on mangrove communities along the southwest coast of Florida, USA' URL: 'http://www.jstor.org/stable/25736006; ' Volume: SI 21 Year: 1995 _record_number: 24312 _uuid: babe9483-5a5a-4167-b004-9e80ab8f0db1 reftype: Journal Article child_publication: /article/wind-damage-effects-hurricane-andrew-on-mangrove-communities-along-southwest-coast-florida-usa href: https://data.globalchange.gov/reference/babe9483-5a5a-4167-b004-9e80ab8f0db1.yaml identifier: babe9483-5a5a-4167-b004-9e80ab8f0db1 uri: /reference/babe9483-5a5a-4167-b004-9e80ab8f0db1 - attrs: Abstract: 'Concern over increasing wildfire activity in the last few decades has prompted increased investment in fuels reduction treatments worldwide. Prescribed fire is a commonly used management tool for reducing fuels and modifying subsequent wildfire dynamics, yet the influence of prescribed fire on wildfire is difficult to evaluate empirically due to the often unpredictable nature of wildfire. In this study we evaluated a 30-year record of wildfire, prescribed fire and drought at Fort Benning, a 74 000-ha military training installation in west-central Georgia, USA. Annual wildfire incidence declined sharply from 1982 to 2012 as prescribed fire hectares increased. Multiple regression models including both prescribed fire and drought (assessed using the Keetch–Byram Drought Index; KBDI) explained ~80% and 54% of the variation in annual wildfire incidence and areal extent, respectively. Current- and previous-year prescribed fire were strongly inversely related to current-year wildfire, suggesting that the cumulative area burned by prescription is important in explaining current-year wildfire incidence. Wildfire activity overall (both incidence and areal extent) was highest during drought years when cumulative prescribed fire hectares were low. Our results suggest some inevitability of wildfire during drought, but also provide evidence for the positive effects of sustained landscape-scale prescribed fire in reducing wildfire activity over time.' Author: 'Addington, Robert N.; Hudson, Stephen J.; Hiers, J. Kevin; Hurteau, Matthew D.; Hutcherson, Thomas F.; Matusick, George; Parker, James M.' DOI: 10.1071/WF14187 Issue: 6 Journal: International Journal of Wildland Fire Keywords: 'Fort Benning, fuels reduction, Keetch–Byram Drought Index, longleaf pine.' Pages: 778-783 Title: 'Relationships among wildfire, prescribed fire, and drought in a fire-prone landscape in the south-eastern United States' Volume: 24 Year: 2015 _record_number: 24285 _uuid: bb7efb4d-1cf9-4ce8-84e7-768910318053 reftype: Journal Article child_publication: /article/10.1071/WF14187 href: https://data.globalchange.gov/reference/bb7efb4d-1cf9-4ce8-84e7-768910318053.yaml identifier: bb7efb4d-1cf9-4ce8-84e7-768910318053 uri: /reference/bb7efb4d-1cf9-4ce8-84e7-768910318053 - attrs: .reference_type: 10 Author: William Sweet; Joseph Park; John Marra; Chris Zervas; Stephen Gill Date Published: June 2014 ISBN: NOAA Technical Report NOS CO-OPS 073 Pages: 58 Place Published: 'Silver Spring, MD' Publisher: 'U.S. Department of Commerce, National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration, National Ocean Service' Series Volume: NOAA Technical Report NOS CO-OPS 073 Title: Sea Level Rise and Nuisance Flood Frequency Changes Around the United States URL: http://tidesandcurrents.noaa.gov/publications/NOAA_Technical_Report_NOS_COOPS_073.pdf Year: 2014 _record_number: 19061 _uuid: bbf3043e-9999-4f0e-8d0c-6012450d9d84 reftype: Report child_publication: /report/noaa-nos-co-ops-073 href: https://data.globalchange.gov/reference/bbf3043e-9999-4f0e-8d0c-6012450d9d84.yaml identifier: bbf3043e-9999-4f0e-8d0c-6012450d9d84 uri: /reference/bbf3043e-9999-4f0e-8d0c-6012450d9d84 - attrs: Abstract: 'High-quality hazard mitigation plans may improve postdisaster outcomes in many ways, including establishing a community fact base and providing rationales for protective policies and actions. Hazard mitigation plans in eighty-four rural counties in the Southeastern United States were scored using an established protocol. To supplement quantitative data, twenty-one key informant interviews were conducted in a subsample of seven counties. While overall plan quality was poor, informants identified areas for improvement. Understanding potential shortcomings of rural hazard mitigation plans can help communities identify areas to direct limited resources to improve plans, particularly in communities that self-identify as highly vulnerable to disasters.' Author: 'Horney, Jennifer; Mai Nguyen; David Salvesen; Caroline Dwyer; John Cooper; Philip Berke' DOI: 10.1177/0739456x16628605 Issue: 1 Journal: Journal of Planning Education and Research Keywords: 'methods,neighborhood planning,sustainability' Pages: 56-65 Title: Assessing the quality of rural hazard mitigation plans in the southeastern United States Volume: 37 Year: 2017 _record_number: 24324 _uuid: bc63cd69-0f13-4d07-8854-1e0e759a31b2 reftype: Journal Article child_publication: /article/10.1177/0739456x16628605 href: https://data.globalchange.gov/reference/bc63cd69-0f13-4d07-8854-1e0e759a31b2.yaml identifier: bc63cd69-0f13-4d07-8854-1e0e759a31b2 uri: /reference/bc63cd69-0f13-4d07-8854-1e0e759a31b2 - attrs: Issue Date: September 6 Newspaper: The News & Observer Place Published: 'Raleigh, NC' Reporter: 'Shaffer, Josh; Bennett, Abbie; Bylythe, Anne' Title: "NC governor declares state of emergency ahead of 'powerful' Hurricane Irma: 'Get ready'" URL: https://www.newsobserver.com/news/weather/article171616057.html Year: 2017 _record_number: 26311 _uuid: bce3d1d1-26b2-4706-98dc-00d191ed25e0 reftype: Newspaper Article child_publication: /generic/cd530903-31c1-45f3-80c9-6a970aede354 href: https://data.globalchange.gov/reference/bce3d1d1-26b2-4706-98dc-00d191ed25e0.yaml identifier: bce3d1d1-26b2-4706-98dc-00d191ed25e0 uri: /reference/bce3d1d1-26b2-4706-98dc-00d191ed25e0 - attrs: .reference_type: 10 Author: 'EPA,' Institution: 'U.S. Environmental Protection Agency (EPA), Office of Atmospheric Programs' Pages: 93 Place Published: 'Washington, DC' Series Volume: EPA 430-R-15-001 Title: 'Climate Change in the United States: Benefits of Global Action' URL: https://www.epa.gov/cira/downloads-cira-report Year: 2015 _record_number: 21925 _uuid: bd3dbfa7-8dc4-4442-9cf2-14f583dc4a36 reftype: Report child_publication: /report/epa-430-r-15-001 href: https://data.globalchange.gov/reference/bd3dbfa7-8dc4-4442-9cf2-14f583dc4a36.yaml identifier: bd3dbfa7-8dc4-4442-9cf2-14f583dc4a36 uri: /reference/bd3dbfa7-8dc4-4442-9cf2-14f583dc4a36 - attrs: Author: 'Williams, John W.; Jackson, Stephen T.' DOI: 10.1890/070037 ISSN: 1540-9309 Issue: 9 Journal: Frontiers in Ecology and the Environment Pages: 475-482 Publisher: Ecological Society of America Title: 'Novel climates, no-analog communities, and ecological surprises' Volume: 5 Year: 2007 _record_number: 23471 _uuid: bd8f4080-8145-4758-894f-24228709de18 reftype: Journal Article child_publication: /article/10.1890/070037 href: https://data.globalchange.gov/reference/bd8f4080-8145-4758-894f-24228709de18.yaml identifier: bd8f4080-8145-4758-894f-24228709de18 uri: /reference/bd8f4080-8145-4758-894f-24228709de18 - attrs: Abstract: 'A recent record cold spell in southern Florida (2–11 January 2010) provided an opportunity to evaluate responses of an established population of Burmese pythons (Python molurus bivittatus) to a prolonged period of unusually cold weather. We observed behavior, characterized thermal biology, determined fate of radio-telemetered (n = 10) and non-telemetered (n = 104) Burmese pythons, and analyzed habitat and environmental conditions experienced by pythons during and after a historic cold spell. Telemetered pythons had been implanted with radio-transmitters and temperature-recording data loggers prior to the cold snap. Only one of 10 telemetered pythons survived the cold snap, whereas 59 of 99 (60%) non-telemetered pythons for which we determined fate survived. Body temperatures of eight dead telemetered pythons fluctuated regularly prior to 9 January 2010, then declined substantially during the cold period (9–11 January) and exhibited no further evidence of active thermoregulation indicating they were likely dead. Unusually cold temperatures in January 2010 were clearly associated with mortality of Burmese pythons in the Everglades. Some radio-telemetered pythons appeared to exhibit maladaptive behavior during the cold spell, including attempting to bask instead of retreating to sheltered refugia. We discuss implications of our findings for persistence and spread of introduced Burmese pythons in the United States and for maximizing their rate of removal.' Author: 'Mazzotti, Frank J.; Cherkiss, Michael S.; Hart, Kristen M.; Snow, Ray W.; Rochford, Michael R.; Dorcas, Michael E.; Reed, Robert N.' DOI: 10.1007/s10530-010-9797-5 Date: January 01 ISSN: 1573-1464 Issue: 1 Journal: Biological Invasions Pages: 143-151 Title: Cold-induced mortality of invasive Burmese pythons in south Florida Type of Article: journal article Volume: 13 Year: 2011 _record_number: 24351 _uuid: bda0487d-9603-4376-888a-328dcd46008d reftype: Journal Article child_publication: /article/10.1007/s10530-010-9797-5 href: https://data.globalchange.gov/reference/bda0487d-9603-4376-888a-328dcd46008d.yaml identifier: bda0487d-9603-4376-888a-328dcd46008d uri: /reference/bda0487d-9603-4376-888a-328dcd46008d - attrs: Abstract: 'High summer temperatures in extratropical areas have an impact on the public’s health, mainly through heat stress, high air pollution concentrations, and the transmission of tropical diseases. The purpose of this study is to examine the current characteristics of heat events and future projections of summer apparent temperature (AT)–and associated health concerns–throughout the southeastern United States. Synoptic climatology was used to assess the atmospheric characteristics of extreme heat days (EHDs) from 1979–2015. Ozone concentrations also were examined during EHDs. Trends in summer-season AT over the 37-year period and correlations between AT and atmospheric circulation were determined. Mid-century estimates of summer AT were calculated using downscaled data from an ensemble of global climate models. EHDs throughout the Southeast were characterized by ridging and anticyclones over the Southeast and the presence of moist tropical air masses. Exceedingly high ozone concentrations occurred on EHDs in the Atlanta area and throughout central North Carolina. While summer ATs did not increase significantly from 1979–2015, summer ATs are projected to increase substantially by mid-century, with most the Southeast having ATs similar to that of present-day southern Florida (i.e., a tropical climate). High ozone concentrations should continue to occur during future heat events. Large urban areas are expected to be the most affected by the future warming, resulting from intensifying and expanding urban heat islands, a large increase in heat-vulnerable populations, and climate conditions that will be highly suitable for tropical-disease transmission by the Aedes aegypti mosquito. This nexus of vulnerability creates the potential for heat-related morbidity and mortality, as well as the appearance of disease not previously seen in the region. These effects can be attenuated by policies that reduce urban heat (e.g., cool roofs and green roofs) and that improve infrastructure (e.g. emergency services, conditioned space).' Author: 'Diem, Jeremy E.; Stauber, Christine E.; Rothenberg, Richard' DOI: 10.1371/journal.pone.0177937 Issue: 5 Journal: PLOS ONE Pages: e0177937 Publisher: Public Library of Science Title: 'Heat in the southeastern United States: Characteristics, trends, and potential health impact' Volume: 12 Year: 2017 _record_number: 26327 _uuid: c0e06dd5-dfa5-40cc-8e99-ba6af9a13902 reftype: Journal Article child_publication: /article/10.1371/journal.pone.0177937 href: https://data.globalchange.gov/reference/c0e06dd5-dfa5-40cc-8e99-ba6af9a13902.yaml identifier: c0e06dd5-dfa5-40cc-8e99-ba6af9a13902 uri: /reference/c0e06dd5-dfa5-40cc-8e99-ba6af9a13902 - attrs: Abstract: 'Whooping crane (Grus americana), a rare and critically endangered species, are wetland dependent throughout their life cycle. The whooping crane’s small population size, limited distribution, and wetland habitat requirements make them vulnerable to potential climate changes. Climate change predictions suggest overall temperature increases and significant changes in precipitation regimes throughout North America. At the individual level, temperature changes should have neutral to positive effects on thermoregulation and overall energy expenditure throughout the whooping crane’s range. In the breeding grounds, earlier snow melt and increasing temperatures should improve food resources. However, increased precipitation and more extreme rainfall events could impact chick survival if rainfall occurs during hatching. Increased precipitation may also alter fire regimes leading to increased woody plant abundance thus reducing nesting habitat quality. During winter, higher temperatures will lead to a northward shifting of the freeze line, which will decrease habitat quality via invasion of black mangrove. Large portions of current winter habitat may be lost if predicted sea level changes occur. Stopover wetland availability during migration may decrease due to drier conditions in the Great Plains. Current and future conservation actions should be planned in light of not only current needs but also considering future expectations.' Author: 'Chavez-Ramirez, Felipe; Wehtje, Walter' DOI: 10.1007/s13157-011-0250-z Date: February 01 ISSN: 1943-6246 Issue: 1 Journal: Wetlands Pages: 11-20 Title: Potential impact of climate change scenarios on whooping crane life history Type of Article: journal article Volume: 32 Year: 2012 _record_number: 24301 _uuid: c1f9ff31-29ac-4182-bb12-87e081d33f1a reftype: Journal Article child_publication: /article/10.1007/s13157-011-0250-z href: https://data.globalchange.gov/reference/c1f9ff31-29ac-4182-bb12-87e081d33f1a.yaml identifier: c1f9ff31-29ac-4182-bb12-87e081d33f1a uri: /reference/c1f9ff31-29ac-4182-bb12-87e081d33f1a - attrs: .publisher: American Institute of Biological Sciences .reference_type: 0 Author: "Dale, Virginia H.\rJoyce, Linda A.\rMcNulty, Steve\rNeilson, Ronald P.\rAyres, Matthew P.\rFlannigan, Michael D.\rHanson, Paul J.\rIrland, Lloyd C.\rLugo, Ariel E.\rPeterson, Chris J.\rSimberloff, Daniel\rSwanson, Frederick J.\rStocks, Brian J.\rWotton, B.M." DOI: '10.1641/0006-3568(2001)051[0723:ccafd]2.0.co;2' Date: 2001/09/01 ISSN: 0006-3568 Issue: 9 Journal: BioScience Pages: 723-734 Title: 'Climate change and forest disturbances: Climate change can affect forests by altering the frequency, intensity, duration, and timing of fire, drought, introduced species, insect and pathogen outbreaks, hurricanes, windstorms, ice storms, or landslides' Volume: 51 Year: 2001 _chapter: '["Ch. 7: Forests FINAL"]' _record_number: 279 _uuid: c3002370-0cf9-4544-a128-fbc42f3ab137 reftype: Journal Article child_publication: /article/10.1641/0006-3568(2001)051%5B0723:ccafd%5D2.0.co;2 href: https://data.globalchange.gov/reference/c3002370-0cf9-4544-a128-fbc42f3ab137.yaml identifier: c3002370-0cf9-4544-a128-fbc42f3ab137 uri: /reference/c3002370-0cf9-4544-a128-fbc42f3ab137 - attrs: Abstract: 'River deltas all over the world are sinking beneath sea-level rise, causing significant threats to natural and social systems. This is due to the combined effects of anthropogenic changes to sediment supply and river flow, subsidence, and sea-level rise, posing an immediate threat to the 500–1,000 million residents, many in megacities that live on deltaic coasts. The Mississippi River Deltaic Plain (MRDP) provides examples for many of the functions and feedbacks, regarding how human river management has impacted source-sink processes in coastal deltaic basins, resulting in human settlements more at risk to coastal storms. The survival of human settlement on the MRDP is arguably coupled to a shifting mass balance between a deltaic landscape occupied by either land built by the Mississippi River or water occupied by the Gulf of Mexico. We developed an approach to compare 50 % L:W isopleths (L:W is ratio of land to water) across the Atchafalaya and Terrebonne Basins to test landscape behavior over the last six decades to measure delta instability in coastal deltaic basins as a function of reduced sediment supply from river flooding. The Atchafalaya Basin, with continued sediment delivery, compared to Terrebonne Basin, with reduced river inputs, allow us to test assumptions of how coastal deltaic basins respond to river management over the last 75 years by analyzing landward migration rate of 50 % L:W isopleths between 1932 and 2010. The average landward migration for Terrebonne Basin was nearly 17,000 m (17 km) compared to only 22 m in Atchafalaya Basin over the last 78 years (p < 0.001), resulting in migration rates of 218 m/year (0.22 km/year) and <0.5 m/year, respectively. In addition, freshwater vegetation expanded in Atchafalaya Basin since 1949 compared to migration of intermediate and brackish marshes landward in the Terrebonne Basin. Changes in salt marsh vegetation patterns were very distinct in these two basins with gain of 25 % in the Terrebonne Basin compared to 90 % decrease in the Atchafalaya Basin since 1949. These shifts in vegetation types as L:W ratio decreases with reduced sediment input and increase in salinity also coincide with an increase in wind fetch in Terrebonne Bay. In the upper Terrebonne Bay, where the largest landward migration of the 50 % L:W ratio isopleth occurred, we estimate that the wave power has increased by 50–100 % from 1932 to 2010, as the bathymetric and topographic conditions changed, and increase in maximum storm-surge height also increased owing to the landward migration of the L:W ratio isopleth. We argue that this balance of land relative to water in this delta provides a much clearer understanding of increased flood risk from tropical cyclones rather than just estimates of areal land loss. We describe how coastal deltaic basins of the MRDP can be used as experimental landscapes to provide insights into how varying degrees of sediment delivery to coastal deltaic floodplains change flooding risks of a sinking delta using landward migrations of 50 % L:W isopleths. The nonlinear response of migrating L:W isopleths as wind fetch increases is a critical feedback effect that should influence human river-management decisions in deltaic coast. Changes in land area alone do not capture how corresponding landscape degradation and increased water area can lead to exponential increase in flood risk to human populations in low-lying coastal regions. Reduced land formation in coastal deltaic basins (measured by changes in the land:water ratio) can contribute significantly to increasing flood risks by removing the negative feedback of wetlands on wave and storm-surge that occur during extreme weather events. Increased flood risks will promote population migration as human risks associated with living in a deltaic landscape increase, as land is submerged and coastal inundation threats rise. These system linkages in dynamic deltaic coasts define a balance of river management and human settlement dependent on a certain level of land area within coastal deltaic basins (L)' Author: 'Twilley, Robert R.; Bentley, Samuel J.; Chen, Qin; Edmonds, Douglas A.; Hagen, Scott C.; Lam, Nina S.-N.; Willson, Clinton S.; Xu, Kehui; Braud, DeWitt; Hampton Peele, R.; McCall, Annabeth' DOI: 10.1007/s11625-016-0374-4 Date: July 01 ISSN: 1862-4057 Issue: 4 Journal: Sustainability Science Pages: 711-731 Title: 'Co-evolution of wetland landscapes, flooding, and human settlement in the Mississippi River Delta Plain' Type of Article: journal article Volume: 11 Year: 2016 _record_number: 24385 _uuid: c3ddb7b6-bf3e-4521-81ec-f8026a355249 reftype: Journal Article child_publication: /article/10.1007/s11625-016-0374-4 href: https://data.globalchange.gov/reference/c3ddb7b6-bf3e-4521-81ec-f8026a355249.yaml identifier: c3ddb7b6-bf3e-4521-81ec-f8026a355249 uri: /reference/c3ddb7b6-bf3e-4521-81ec-f8026a355249 - attrs: Abstract: "The biological and economic values of coral reefs are highly vulnerable to increasing atmospheric and ocean carbon dioxide concentrations. We applied the COMBO simulation model (COral Mortality and Bleaching Output) to three major U.S. locations for shallow water reefs: South Florida, Puerto Rico, and Hawaii. We compared estimates of future coral cover from 2000 to 2100 for a “business as usual” (BAU) greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions scenario with a GHG mitigation policy scenario involving full international participation in reducing GHG emissions. We also calculated the economic value of changes in coral cover using a benefit transfer approach based on published studies of consumers' recreational values for snorkeling and diving on coral reefs as well as existence values for coral reefs. Our results suggest that a reduced emissions scenario would provide a large benefit to shallow water reefs in Hawaii by delaying or avoiding potential future bleaching events. For Hawaii, reducing emissions is projected to result in an estimated “avoided loss” from 2000 to 2100 of approximately $10.6 billion in recreational use values compared to a BAU scenario. However, reducing emissions is projected to provide only a minor economic benefit in Puerto Rico and South Florida, where sea-surface temperatures are already close to bleaching thresholds and coral cover is projected to drop well below 5% cover under both scenarios by 2050, and below 1% cover under both scenarios by 2100." Author: 'Lane, Diana R.; Ready, Richard C.; Buddemeier, Robert W.; Martinich, Jeremy A.; Shouse, Kate Cardamone; Wobus, Cameron W.' DOI: 10.1371/journal.pone.0082579 Issue: 12 Journal: PLOS ONE Pages: e82579 Publisher: Public Library of Science Title: 'Quantifying and valuing potential climate change impacts on coral reefs in the United States: Comparison of two scenarios' Volume: 8 Year: 2013 _record_number: 24344 _uuid: c3eee222-c3b5-4e90-a034-5e90f96c2687 reftype: Journal Article child_publication: /article/10.1371/journal.pone.0082579 href: https://data.globalchange.gov/reference/c3eee222-c3b5-4e90-a034-5e90f96c2687.yaml identifier: c3eee222-c3b5-4e90-a034-5e90f96c2687 uri: /reference/c3eee222-c3b5-4e90-a034-5e90f96c2687 - attrs: .reference_type: 0 Author: "Luedeling, E.\rGirvetz, E.H.\rSemenov, M.A.\rBrown, P.H." DOI: 10.1371/journal.pone.0020155 ISSN: 1932-6203 Issue: 5 Journal: PLoS ONE Pages: e20155 Title: Climate change affects winter chill for temperate fruit and nut trees URL: http://www.plosone.org/article/info%3Adoi%2F10.1371%2Fjournal.pone.0020155 Volume: 6 Year: 2011 _chapter: '["Ch. 20: Southwest FINAL","RG 5 Southwest"]' _record_number: 269 _uuid: c620a37e-b020-4b91-94af-a2511bb66898 reftype: Journal Article child_publication: /article/10.1371/journal.pone.0020155 href: https://data.globalchange.gov/reference/c620a37e-b020-4b91-94af-a2511bb66898.yaml identifier: c620a37e-b020-4b91-94af-a2511bb66898 uri: /reference/c620a37e-b020-4b91-94af-a2511bb66898 - attrs: .reference_type: 10 Author: 'Sweet, W.V.; R.E. Kopp; C.P. Weaver; J. Obeysekera; R.M. Horton; E.R. Thieler; C. Zervas ' Pages: 75 Place Published: 'Silver Spring, MD' Publisher: 'National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration, National Ocean Service' Series Volume: NOAA Tech. Rep. NOS CO-OPS 083 Title: Global and Regional Sea Level Rise Scenarios for the United States URL: https://tidesandcurrents.noaa.gov/publications/techrpt83_Global_and_Regional_SLR_Scenarios_for_the_US_final.pdf Year: 2017 _record_number: 20608 _uuid: c66bf5a9-a6d7-4043-ad99-db0ae6ae562c reftype: Report child_publication: /report/global-regional-sea-level-rise-scenarios-united-states href: https://data.globalchange.gov/reference/c66bf5a9-a6d7-4043-ad99-db0ae6ae562c.yaml identifier: c66bf5a9-a6d7-4043-ad99-db0ae6ae562c uri: /reference/c66bf5a9-a6d7-4043-ad99-db0ae6ae562c - attrs: .reference_type: 10 Author: 'Kinniburgh, Fiona; Mary Greer Simonton; Candice Allouch' Institution: Risky Business Project Pages: 109 Place Published: New York Series Editor: Kate Gordon Title: 'Come heat and high water: Climate risk in the Southeastern U.S. and Texas' URL: https://riskybusiness.org/site/assets/uploads/2015/09/Climate-Risk-in-Southeast-and-Texas.pdf Year: 2015 _record_number: 24446 _uuid: c6bbdca8-9aa4-4288-8fbe-383ca982cf8f reftype: Report child_publication: /report/come-heat-high-water-climate-risk-southeastern-us-texas href: https://data.globalchange.gov/reference/c6bbdca8-9aa4-4288-8fbe-383ca982cf8f.yaml identifier: c6bbdca8-9aa4-4288-8fbe-383ca982cf8f uri: /reference/c6bbdca8-9aa4-4288-8fbe-383ca982cf8f - attrs: Author: 'Kelleway, Jeffrey J.; Cavanaugh, Kyle; Rogers, Kerrylee; Feller, Ilka C.; Ens, Emilie; Doughty, Cheryl; Saintilan, Neil' DOI: 10.1111/gcb.13727 ISSN: 1365-2486 Issue: 10 Journal: Global Change Biology Keywords: blue carbon; climate change; coastal protection; cultural values; habitat function; mangrove expansion; nutrient cycling; salt marsh; sea-level rise; threatened species Pages: 3967-3983 Title: Review of the ecosystem service implications of mangrove encroachment into salt marshes Volume: 23 Year: 2017 _record_number: 24333 _uuid: c6d06eee-5571-481e-9b9e-37d22ef3b9d3 reftype: Journal Article child_publication: /article/10.1111/gcb.13727 href: https://data.globalchange.gov/reference/c6d06eee-5571-481e-9b9e-37d22ef3b9d3.yaml identifier: c6d06eee-5571-481e-9b9e-37d22ef3b9d3 uri: /reference/c6d06eee-5571-481e-9b9e-37d22ef3b9d3 - attrs: .reference_type: 0 Abstract: 'Forests worldwide are in a state of flux, with accelerating losses in some regions and gains in others. Hansen et al. (p. 850) examined global Landsat data at a 30-meter spatial resolution to characterize forest extent, loss, and gain from 2000 to 2012. Globally, 2.3 million square kilometers of forest were lost during the 12-year study period and 0.8 million square kilometers of new forest were gained. The tropics exhibited both the greatest losses and the greatest gains (through regrowth and plantation), with losses outstripping gains. Quantification of global forest change has been lacking despite the recognized importance of forest ecosystem services. In this study, Earth observation satellite data were used to map global forest loss (2.3 million square kilometers) and gain (0.8 million square kilometers) from 2000 to 2012 at a spatial resolution of 30 meters. The tropics were the only climate domain to exhibit a trend, with forest loss increasing by 2101 square kilometers per year. Brazil’s well-documented reduction in deforestation was offset by increasing forest loss in Indonesia, Malaysia, Paraguay, Bolivia, Zambia, Angola, and elsewhere. Intensive forestry practiced within subtropical forests resulted in the highest rates of forest change globally. Boreal forest loss due largely to fire and forestry was second to that in the tropics in absolute and proportional terms. These results depict a globally consistent and locally relevant record of forest change.' Author: 'Hansen, M. C.; Potapov, P. V.; Moore, R.; Hancher, M.; Turubanova, S. A.; Tyukavina, A.; Thau, D.; Stehman, S. V.; Goetz, S. J.; Loveland, T. R.; Kommareddy, A.; Egorov, A.; Chini, L.; Justice, C. O.; Townshend, J. R. G.' DOI: 10.1126/science.1244693 Issue: 6160 Journal: Science Pages: 850-853 Title: High-resolution global maps of 21st-century forest cover change Volume: 342 Year: 2013 _record_number: 21038 _uuid: c7b0af41-0488-4efa-9216-592dc6f30805 reftype: Journal Article child_publication: /article/10.1126/science.1244693 href: https://data.globalchange.gov/reference/c7b0af41-0488-4efa-9216-592dc6f30805.yaml identifier: c7b0af41-0488-4efa-9216-592dc6f30805 uri: /reference/c7b0af41-0488-4efa-9216-592dc6f30805 - attrs: Author: 'Fu, Tzung-May; Zheng, Yiqi; Paulot, Fabien; Mao, Jingqiu; Yantosca, Robert M.' DOI: 10.1038/nclimate2567 Date: 03/23/online Journal: Nature Climate Change Pages: 454-458 Publisher: Nature Publishing Group Title: Positive but variable sensitivity of August surface ozone to large-scale warming in the southeast United States Volume: 5 Year: 2015 _record_number: 24386 _uuid: ca0d310d-2a40-4081-b999-b8d5afc8c63c reftype: Journal Article child_publication: /article/10.1038/nclimate2567 href: https://data.globalchange.gov/reference/ca0d310d-2a40-4081-b999-b8d5afc8c63c.yaml identifier: ca0d310d-2a40-4081-b999-b8d5afc8c63c uri: /reference/ca0d310d-2a40-4081-b999-b8d5afc8c63c - attrs: Abstract: 'PREMISE OF THE STUDY: The Last Glacial Maximum (LGM) was a period of massive range contraction. Post-LGM, water-dispersed coastal species, including the red mangrove (Rhizophora mangle), expanded poleward as propagules were transported by ocean currents. We assessed postglacial marine expansion pathways for R. mangle within the Caribbean Basin and Florida.METHODS: Six microsatellite loci were used to genotype 237 individuals from nine R. mangle populations in the Caribbean, Florida, and Northwest Africa. We evaluated genetic variation, population structure, gene flow along alternative post-LGM expansion pathways to Florida, and potential long-distance dispersal (LDD) from West Africa to Caribbean islands.KEY RESULTS: These R. mangle populations had substantial genetic structure (FST = 0.37, P < 0.0001) with three discrete population clusters (Caribbean mainland, Caribbean islands, and Florida). Genetic connectivity along the mainland pathway (Caribbean mainland to Florida) vs. limited gene dispersal along the Antilles Island pathway (Caribbean islands to Florida) supported Florida recolonization from Caribbean mainland sources. Genetic similarity of Northwest Africa and two Caribbean islands provided evidence for trans-Atlantic LDD. We did not find a pattern of decreasing genetic diversity with latitude.CONCLUSIONS: We outline a complex expansion history for R. mangle, with discrete pathways of recolonization for Florida and Caribbean islands. Contrary to expectation, connectivity to putative Caribbean mainland refugial populations via ocean currents, and not latitude, appears to dictate genetic diversity within Caribbean island and Florida R. mangle. These findings provide a framework for further investigation of additional water-dispersed neotropical species, and insights for management initiatives.' Author: 'Kennedy, John Paul; Pil, Maria W.; Proffitt, C. Edward; Boeger, Walter A.; Stanford, Alice M.; Devlin, Donna J.' DOI: 10.3732/ajb.1500183 Date: 'February 1, 2016' Issue: 2 Journal: American Journal of Botany Pages: 260-276 Title: 'Postglacial expansion pathways of red mangrove, Rhizophora mangle, in the Caribbean Basin and Florida' Volume: 103 Year: 2016 _record_number: 24334 _uuid: cbf0ef25-6799-499e-ab22-2be669a046dd reftype: Journal Article child_publication: /article/10.3732/ajb.1500183 href: https://data.globalchange.gov/reference/cbf0ef25-6799-499e-ab22-2be669a046dd.yaml identifier: cbf0ef25-6799-499e-ab22-2be669a046dd uri: /reference/cbf0ef25-6799-499e-ab22-2be669a046dd - attrs: .reference_type: 10 Author: 'McNulty, Steve; Weiner, Sarah; Moore Myers, Jennifer; Farahani, Hamid; Fouladbash, Lisa; Marshall, David; Steele, Rachel F.' Institution: USDA Agricultural Research Service Pages: 61 Place Published: 'Washington, DC' Series Editor: Terry Anderson Title: Southeast regional climate hub assessment of climate change vulnerability and adaptation and mitigation strategies URL: https://www.srs.fs.usda.gov/pubs/50521 Year: 2015 _record_number: 24409 _uuid: cc31a438-8e10-4957-88f9-cb6e763e2b5e reftype: Report child_publication: /report/southeast-regional-climate-hub-assessment-climate-change-vulnerability-adaptation-mitigation-strategies href: https://data.globalchange.gov/reference/cc31a438-8e10-4957-88f9-cb6e763e2b5e.yaml identifier: cc31a438-8e10-4957-88f9-cb6e763e2b5e uri: /reference/cc31a438-8e10-4957-88f9-cb6e763e2b5e - attrs: .publisher: Nature Publishing Group .reference_type: 0 Author: "Blum, Michael D.\rRoberts, Harry H." DOI: 10.1038/ngeo553 ISSN: 1752-0894 Issue: 7 Journal: Nature Geoscience Pages: 488-491 Title: Drowning of the Mississippi Delta due to insufficient sediment supply and global sea-level rise Volume: 2 Year: 2009 _chapter: '["Ch. 25: Coastal Zone FINAL"]' _record_number: 548 _uuid: cd487d31-a410-4b5d-9c03-35dd4b235785 reftype: Journal Article child_publication: /article/10.1038/ngeo553 href: https://data.globalchange.gov/reference/cd487d31-a410-4b5d-9c03-35dd4b235785.yaml identifier: cd487d31-a410-4b5d-9c03-35dd4b235785 uri: /reference/cd487d31-a410-4b5d-9c03-35dd4b235785 - attrs: Author: 'Lindsay, Steve W.; Anne Wilson; Nick Golding; Thomas W. Scott; Willem Takken' DOI: 10.2471/BLT.16.189688 Issue: 8 Journal: Bulletin of the World Health Organization Pages: 607-608 Title: Improving the built environment in urban areas to control Aedes aegypti-borne diseases Volume: 95 Year: 2017 _record_number: 26314 _uuid: ce3c600e-87ab-4235-861e-349346b27019 reftype: Journal Article child_publication: /article/10.2471/BLT.16.189688 href: https://data.globalchange.gov/reference/ce3c600e-87ab-4235-861e-349346b27019.yaml identifier: ce3c600e-87ab-4235-861e-349346b27019 uri: /reference/ce3c600e-87ab-4235-861e-349346b27019 - attrs: Article Number: 3407325 Author: 'Houghton, Adele; Austin, Jessica; Beerman, Abby; Horton, Clayton' DOI: 10.1155/2017/3407325 Journal: Journal of Environmental and Public Health Pages: 16 Title: An approach to developing local climate change environmental public health indicators in a rural district Volume: 2017 Year: 2017 _record_number: 23534 _uuid: ced8505a-f36f-4c7b-8a0d-ec7f08482297 reftype: Journal Article child_publication: /article/10.1155/2017/3407325 href: https://data.globalchange.gov/reference/ced8505a-f36f-4c7b-8a0d-ec7f08482297.yaml identifier: ced8505a-f36f-4c7b-8a0d-ec7f08482297 uri: /reference/ced8505a-f36f-4c7b-8a0d-ec7f08482297 - attrs: Author: 'Noss, Reed F.; Platt, William J.; Sorrie, Bruce A.; Weakley, Alan S.; Means, D. Bruce; Costanza, Jennifer; Peet, Robert K.' DOI: 10.1111/ddi.12278 ISSN: 1472-4642 Issue: 2 Journal: Diversity and Distributions Keywords: Biodiversity; conservation planning; endemism; hotspot; prioritization Pages: 236-244 Title: 'How global biodiversity hotspots may go unrecognized: Lessons from the North American Coastal Plain' Volume: 21 Year: 2015 _record_number: 24363 _uuid: cfc7534a-a88e-47c0-bff4-47f7416ccc1e reftype: Journal Article child_publication: /article/10.1111/ddi.12278 href: https://data.globalchange.gov/reference/cfc7534a-a88e-47c0-bff4-47f7416ccc1e.yaml identifier: cfc7534a-a88e-47c0-bff4-47f7416ccc1e uri: /reference/cfc7534a-a88e-47c0-bff4-47f7416ccc1e - attrs: .reference_type: 0 Author: "Doney, S.C.\rM. Ruckelshaus\rJ.E. Duffy\rJ.P. Barry\rF. Chan\rC.A. English\rH.M. Galindo\rJ.M. Grebmeier\rA.B. Hollowed\rN. Knowlton\rPolovina, J. \rRabalais, N.N.\rSydeman, W.J.\rTalley, L.D." DOI: 10.1146/annurev-marine-041911-111611 Journal: Annual Review of Marine Science Pages: 11-37 Title: Climate change impacts on marine ecosystems URL: http://www.annualreviews.org/eprint/fzUZd7Z748TeHmB7p8cn/full/10.1146/annurev-marine-041911-111611 Volume: 4 Year: 2012 _chapter: '["Ch. 25: Coastal Zone FINAL","Ch. 24: Oceans FINAL","Ch. 2: Our Changing Climate FINAL","RF 11"]' _record_number: 309 _uuid: cfdaea11-95e2-4789-914b-74901b2f26b0 reftype: Journal Article child_publication: /article/10.1146/annurev-marine-041911-111611 href: https://data.globalchange.gov/reference/cfdaea11-95e2-4789-914b-74901b2f26b0.yaml identifier: cfdaea11-95e2-4789-914b-74901b2f26b0 uri: /reference/cfdaea11-95e2-4789-914b-74901b2f26b0 - attrs: Abstract: 'Despite hazard mitigation efforts and scientific and technological advances, extreme weather events continue to cause substantial losses. The impacts of extreme weather result from complex interactions among physical and human systems across spatial and temporal scales. This article synthesizes current interdisciplinary knowledge about extreme weather, including temperature extremes (heat and cold waves), precipitation extremes (including floods and droughts), and storms and severe weather (including tropical cyclones). We discuss hydrometeorological aspects of extreme weather; projections of changes in extremes with anthropogenic climate change; and how social vulnerability, coping, and adaptation shape the societal impacts of extreme weather. We find four critical gaps where work is needed to improve outcomes of extreme weather: (a) reducing vulnerability; (b) enhancing adaptive capacity, including decision-making flexibility; (c) improving the usability of scientific information in decision making, and (d) understanding and addressing local causes of harm through participatory, community-based efforts formulated within the larger policy context.' Author: 'Morss, Rebecca E.; Olga V. Wilhelmi; Gerald A. Meehl; Lisa Dilling' DOI: 10.1146/annurev-environ-060809-100145 Issue: 1 Journal: Annual Review of Environment and Resources Keywords: 'vulnerability,adaptive capacity,adaptation,disasters,natural hazards,uncertainty' Pages: 1-25 Title: 'Improving societal outcomes of extreme weather in a changing climate: An integrated perspective' Volume: 36 Year: 2011 _record_number: 26313 _uuid: cffe7cf9-79b7-43a7-9a93-4bab73465ba7 reftype: Journal Article child_publication: /article/10.1146/annurev-environ-060809-100145 href: https://data.globalchange.gov/reference/cffe7cf9-79b7-43a7-9a93-4bab73465ba7.yaml identifier: cffe7cf9-79b7-43a7-9a93-4bab73465ba7 uri: /reference/cffe7cf9-79b7-43a7-9a93-4bab73465ba7 - attrs: Author: 'Boucek, Ross E.; Rehage, Jennifer S.' DOI: 10.1111/gcb.12574 ISSN: 1365-2486 Issue: 6 Journal: Global Change Biology Keywords: climate extremes; cold fronts; community ecology; disturbance; droughts; estuaries; functional trait structure Pages: 1821-1831 Title: Climate extremes drive changes in functional community structure Volume: 20 Year: 2014 _record_number: 24297 _uuid: d01b509f-4eeb-44e9-ba26-e7d21b81e3eb reftype: Journal Article child_publication: /article/10.1111/gcb.12574 href: https://data.globalchange.gov/reference/d01b509f-4eeb-44e9-ba26-e7d21b81e3eb.yaml identifier: d01b509f-4eeb-44e9-ba26-e7d21b81e3eb uri: /reference/d01b509f-4eeb-44e9-ba26-e7d21b81e3eb - attrs: Abstract: 'Uncertainty remains about whether current rates of forest carbon uptake will be maintained with on-going climate change and increasing rates of disturbance. The potential exists for climate and disturbance to exceed the physiological tolerances of certain tree species and push forest ecosystems to a point where they become C sources. Thus, a diversity of tree species with a range of physiological tolerances could provide adaptive capacity and potentially sustain a C sink despite adverse abiotic influences. The fire-prone pine forests of the southeastern USA have been impacted by a combination of land use and fire exclusion, which has altered the demographics and composition of these historically diverse forests. We sought to quantify how prescribed fire and planting of climate-resilient tree species would alter forest carbon dynamics under projected climate change at Fort Benning, Georgia. This landscape is comprised of a diversity of forest types with a range of land-use histories and is heavily managed to meet military training objectives and federally listed species habitat requirements. We used a simulation approach to determine species-specific growth responses to projected climate and develop two management scenarios: no-management and prescribed fire coupled with planting. We ran landscape simulations of these two management scenarios under climate projections from ten global climate models to quantify how active management would alter forest carbon dynamics as a function of changing climate and wildfire. We found that the prescribed fire and plant scenario increased total ecosystem carbon (TEC) over our no-management scenario by over 20 Mg C/m2 by late century. Despite the differences in TEC, differences in net ecosystem exchange were not realized over the entire simulation. The primary drivers of TEC differences were sustained carbon uptake and lower carbon loss to wildfire in the prescribed fire and plant scenario. Our results demonstrate that under projected climate, managing to reduce the impacts of fire and planting climate-adapted species can increase the mitigation potential of these forests.' Author: 'Swanteson-Franz, Rachel J.; Krofcheck, Daniel J.; Hurteau, Matthew D.' DOI: 10.1002/ecs2.2191 Issue: 4 Journal: Ecosphere Pages: e02191 Title: Quantifying forest carbon dynamics as a function of tree species composition and management under projected climate Volume: 9 Year: 2018 _record_number: 26300 _uuid: d11b78fa-f35c-46d3-aede-f41af1e9028e reftype: Journal Article child_publication: /article/10.1002/ecs2.2191 href: https://data.globalchange.gov/reference/d11b78fa-f35c-46d3-aede-f41af1e9028e.yaml identifier: d11b78fa-f35c-46d3-aede-f41af1e9028e uri: /reference/d11b78fa-f35c-46d3-aede-f41af1e9028e - attrs: .reference_type: 10 Author: 'Sustain Louisville,' Institution: Office of Sustainability Pages: 24 Place Published: 'Louisville, KY' Title: 2016 progress report URL: https://louisvilleky.gov/sites/default/files/sustainability/sustain_louisville_2016_progress_report.pdf Year: 2017 _record_number: 26307 _uuid: d2b0b99f-6573-49a0-b1d4-b8bb72d61b3f reftype: Report child_publication: /report/2016-progress-report href: https://data.globalchange.gov/reference/d2b0b99f-6573-49a0-b1d4-b8bb72d61b3f.yaml identifier: d2b0b99f-6573-49a0-b1d4-b8bb72d61b3f uri: /reference/d2b0b99f-6573-49a0-b1d4-b8bb72d61b3f - attrs: .reference_type: 10 Author: John A. Hall; Stephen Gill; Jayantha Obeysekera; William Sweet; Kevin Knuuti; John Marburger Pages: 224 Place Published: Alexandria VA Publisher: 'U.S. Department of Defense, Strategic Environmental Research and Development Program' Title: 'Regional Sea Level Scenarios for Coastal Risk Management: Managing the Uncertainty of Future Sea Level Change and Extreme Water Levels for Department of Defense Coastal Sites Worldwide' URL: https://www.usfsp.edu/icar/files/2015/08/CARSWG-SLR-FINAL-April-2016.pdf Year: 2016 _record_number: 20603 _uuid: d2dc9855-41bc-4e94-bb79-f0ba2ff2684b reftype: Report child_publication: /report/regional-sea-level-scenarios-coastal-risk-management-managing-uncertainty-future-sea-level-change-extreme-water-levels-department-defense-coastal-sites-worldwide href: https://data.globalchange.gov/reference/d2dc9855-41bc-4e94-bb79-f0ba2ff2684b.yaml identifier: d2dc9855-41bc-4e94-bb79-f0ba2ff2684b uri: /reference/d2dc9855-41bc-4e94-bb79-f0ba2ff2684b - attrs: Author: 'Nowacki, Gregory J.; Abrams, Marc D.' DOI: 10.1641/B580207 Date: 2008/02/01 ISSN: 0006-3568 Issue: 2 Journal: BioScience Pages: 123-138 Publisher: American Institute of Biological Sciences Title: The demise of fire and “mesophication” of forests in the eastern United States Volume: 58 Year: 2008 _record_number: 21966 _uuid: d4ba4719-d00a-4094-910e-233e32325031 reftype: Journal Article child_publication: /article/10.1641/B580207 href: https://data.globalchange.gov/reference/d4ba4719-d00a-4094-910e-233e32325031.yaml identifier: d4ba4719-d00a-4094-910e-233e32325031 uri: /reference/d4ba4719-d00a-4094-910e-233e32325031 - attrs: .reference_type: 10 Author: 'Sweet, William V.; John J. Marra; Gregory Dusek' Institution: 'National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration, National Centers for Environmental Information' Pages: 8 Title: '2016 State of U.S. High Tide Flooding and a 2017 Outlook. Supplement to State of the Climate: National Overview for June 2017' URL: https://www.ncdc.noaa.gov/monitoring-content/sotc/national/2017/may/2016_StateofHighTideFlooding.pdf Year: 2017 _record_number: 24384 _uuid: d67e2bfd-20fe-4bd8-a491-c3320b7f0044 reftype: Report child_publication: /report/2016-state-us-high-tide-flooding-2017-outlook-supplement-state-climate-national-overview-june-2017 href: https://data.globalchange.gov/reference/d67e2bfd-20fe-4bd8-a491-c3320b7f0044.yaml identifier: d67e2bfd-20fe-4bd8-a491-c3320b7f0044 uri: /reference/d67e2bfd-20fe-4bd8-a491-c3320b7f0044 - attrs: .reference_type: 0 Author: "Bell, M.L.\rGoldberg, R.\rHogrefe, C.\rKinney, P.L.\rKnowlton, K.\rLynn, B.\rRosenthal, J.\rRosenzweig, C.\rPatz, J.A." DOI: 10.1007/s10584-006-9166-7 ISSN: 0165-0009 Issue: 1-2 Journal: Climatic Change Pages: 61-76 Title: 'Climate change, ambient ozone, and health in 50 US cities' Volume: 82 Year: 2007 _chapter: '["Ch. 9: Human Health FINAL"]' _record_number: 333 _uuid: d6e399c7-1efe-4f91-927e-f957965e3aaa reftype: Journal Article child_publication: /article/10.1007/s10584-006-9166-7 href: https://data.globalchange.gov/reference/d6e399c7-1efe-4f91-927e-f957965e3aaa.yaml identifier: d6e399c7-1efe-4f91-927e-f957965e3aaa uri: /reference/d6e399c7-1efe-4f91-927e-f957965e3aaa - attrs: Author: 'McEwan, Ryan W.; Dyer, James M.; Pederson, Neil' DOI: 10.1111/j.1600-0587.2010.06390.x ISSN: 1600-0587 Issue: 2 Journal: Ecography Pages: 244-256 Publisher: Blackwell Publishing Ltd Title: 'Multiple interacting ecosystem drivers: Toward an encompassing hypothesis of oak forest dynamics across eastern North America' Volume: 34 Year: 2011 _record_number: 21192 _uuid: d7cd72b7-d121-4531-ba5a-35e7541ff578 reftype: Journal Article child_publication: /article/10.1111/j.1600-0587.2010.06390.x href: https://data.globalchange.gov/reference/d7cd72b7-d121-4531-ba5a-35e7541ff578.yaml identifier: d7cd72b7-d121-4531-ba5a-35e7541ff578 uri: /reference/d7cd72b7-d121-4531-ba5a-35e7541ff578 - attrs: .reference_type: 10 Author: "Parris, A.\rP. Bromirski\rV. Burkett\rD. Cayan\rM. Culver\rJ. Hall\rR. Horton\rK. Knuuti\rR. Moss\rJ. Obeysekera\rA. Sallenger\rJ. Weiss" Institution: National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration Pages: 37 Place Published: 'Silver Spring, MD' Publisher: National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration Series Volume: NOAA Tech Memo OAR CPO-1 Title: Global Sea Level Rise Scenarios for the United States National Climate Assessment. NOAA Tech Memo OAR CPO-1 URL: http://scenarios.globalchange.gov/sites/default/files/NOAA_SLR_r3_0.pdf Year: 2012 _chapter: '["Appendix 5: Scenarios FINAL","Ch. 20: Southwest FINAL","Ch. 25: Coastal Zone FINAL","Ch. 16: Northeast FINAL","RF 3","RG 10 Coasts","Ch. 2: Our Changing Climate FINAL","Ch. 5: Transportation FINAL","Ch. 4: Energy Supply and Use FINAL","Ch. 0: Intro Regions FINAL","Ch. 17: Southeast and Caribbean FINAL","Ch. 21: Northwest FINAL"]' _record_number: 2432 _uuid: d8089822-678e-4834-a1ec-0dca1da35314 reftype: Report child_publication: /report/noaa-techmemo-oar-cpo-1-2012 href: https://data.globalchange.gov/reference/d8089822-678e-4834-a1ec-0dca1da35314.yaml identifier: d8089822-678e-4834-a1ec-0dca1da35314 uri: /reference/d8089822-678e-4834-a1ec-0dca1da35314 - attrs: Author: 'Berdanier, Aaron B.; Clark, James S.' DOI: 10.1890/15-0274 ISSN: 1939-5582 Issue: 1 Journal: Ecological Applications Keywords: 'adaptive management; drought; forest; long-term data; morbidity; mortality; Piedmont Plateau, North Carolina, USA; southern Appalachian Mountains, North Carolina, USA; tree' Pages: 17-23 Title: Multiyear drought-induced morbidity preceding tree death in southeastern U.S. forests Volume: 26 Year: 2016 _record_number: 22019 _uuid: d8731246-25c1-4f5f-95ed-26eb14d03840 reftype: Journal Article child_publication: /article/10.1890/15-0274 href: https://data.globalchange.gov/reference/d8731246-25c1-4f5f-95ed-26eb14d03840.yaml identifier: d8731246-25c1-4f5f-95ed-26eb14d03840 uri: /reference/d8731246-25c1-4f5f-95ed-26eb14d03840 - attrs: .reference_type: 16 Access Year: 2018 Author: 'Smith, Adam B.' Publisher: Climate.gov Title: '2017 U.S. billion-dollar weather and climate disasters: A historic year in context' URL: https://www.climate.gov/news-features/blogs/beyond-data/2017-us-billion-dollar-weather-and-climate-disasters-historic-year Year: 2018 _record_number: 26309 _uuid: d9ee8071-8309-4068-8607-072562b2c3a2 reftype: Web Page child_publication: /webpage/37b370d0-38a1-4d70-ab1d-5c60593dee62 href: https://data.globalchange.gov/reference/d9ee8071-8309-4068-8607-072562b2c3a2.yaml identifier: d9ee8071-8309-4068-8607-072562b2c3a2 uri: /reference/d9ee8071-8309-4068-8607-072562b2c3a2 - attrs: Article Number: e01400 Author: 'Stevens, P. W.; Blewett, D. A.; Boucek, R. E.; Rehage, J. S.; Winner, B. L.; Young, J. M.; Whittington, J. A.; Paperno, R.' DOI: 10.1002/ecs2.1400 ISSN: 2150-8925 Issue: 8 Journal: Ecosphere Keywords: 'Centropomus undecimalis; coastal areas; common snook; disturbance; fishes; Special Feature: Extreme Cold Spells' Pages: e01400 Title: Resilience of a tropical sport fish population to a severe cold event varies across five estuaries in southern Florida Volume: 7 Year: 2016 _record_number: 24381 _uuid: da29fed3-0376-4167-95f1-90cd096a6ddd reftype: Journal Article child_publication: /article/10.1002/ecs2.1400 href: https://data.globalchange.gov/reference/da29fed3-0376-4167-95f1-90cd096a6ddd.yaml identifier: da29fed3-0376-4167-95f1-90cd096a6ddd uri: /reference/da29fed3-0376-4167-95f1-90cd096a6ddd - attrs: .reference_type: 63 Author: 'City of Fayetteville,' Pages: 3 Place Published: 'Fayetteville, AR' Title: Arkansans Can Take Steps to Respond to Climate Change URL: http://www.fayetteville-ar.gov/DocumentCenter/View/14890/Commentary_Climate-Change?bidId= Year: 2017 _record_number: 26344 _uuid: daef52e5-526b-4499-8c36-c920dbe7df41 reftype: Press Release child_publication: /generic/7abd2ec9-a96d-4ba0-a431-1bc4011e62a0 href: https://data.globalchange.gov/reference/daef52e5-526b-4499-8c36-c920dbe7df41.yaml identifier: daef52e5-526b-4499-8c36-c920dbe7df41 uri: /reference/daef52e5-526b-4499-8c36-c920dbe7df41 - attrs: .reference_type: 7 Author: 'Beard, Charles B.; Eisen, Rebecca J.; Barker, Christopher M.; Garofalo, Jada F.; Hahn, Micah; Hayden, Mary; Monaghan, Andrew J.; Ogden, Nicholas H.; Schramm, Paul J.' Book Title: 'The Impacts of Climate Change on Human Health in the United States: A Scientific Assessment' DOI: 10.7930/J0765C7V Pages: 129–156 Place Published: 'Washington, DC' Publisher: ' U.S. Global Change Research Program' Title: 'Ch. 5: Vector-borne diseases ' Year: 2016 _record_number: 19377 _uuid: dbfb7cd9-7c82-43ea-a4e2-9e2eb0b851fd reftype: Book Section child_publication: /report/usgcrp-climate-human-health-assessment-2016/chapter/vectorborne-diseases href: https://data.globalchange.gov/reference/dbfb7cd9-7c82-43ea-a4e2-9e2eb0b851fd.yaml identifier: dbfb7cd9-7c82-43ea-a4e2-9e2eb0b851fd uri: /reference/dbfb7cd9-7c82-43ea-a4e2-9e2eb0b851fd - attrs: Author: 'Smee, Delbert L.; Sanchez, James A.; Diskin, Meredith; Trettin, Carl' DOI: 10.1016/j.ecss.2017.02.005 Date: 2017/03/05/ ISSN: 0272-7714 Journal: 'Estuarine, Coastal and Shelf Science' Keywords: Vegetation shift; Climate change; Shrimp Pages: 306-313 Title: Mangrove expansion into salt marshes alters associated faunal communities Volume: 187 Year: 2017 _record_number: 24377 _uuid: dc56d025-7d25-499f-b0e9-37451a783c60 reftype: Journal Article child_publication: /article/10.1016/j.ecss.2017.02.005 href: https://data.globalchange.gov/reference/dc56d025-7d25-499f-b0e9-37451a783c60.yaml identifier: dc56d025-7d25-499f-b0e9-37451a783c60 uri: /reference/dc56d025-7d25-499f-b0e9-37451a783c60 - attrs: Abstract: 'Heat waves and air pollution episodes pose a serious threat to human health and may worsen under future climate change. In this paper, we use 15 years (1999–2013) of commensurately gridded (1° x 1°) surface observations of extended summer (April–September) surface ozone (O3), fine particulate matter (PM2.5), and maximum temperature (TX) over the eastern United States and Canada to construct a climatology of the coincidence, overlap, and lag in space and time of their extremes. Extremes of each quantity are defined climatologically at each grid cell as the 50 d with the highest values in three 5-y windows (∼95th percentile). Any two extremes occur on the same day in the same grid cell more than 50% of the time in the northeastern United States, but on a domain average, co-occurrence is approximately 30%. Although not exactly co-occurring, many of these extremes show connectedness with consistent offsets in space and in time, which often defy traditional mechanistic explanations. All three extremes occur primarily in large-scale, multiday, spatially connected episodes with scales of >1,000 km and clearly coincide with large-scale meteorological features. The largest, longest-lived episodes have the highest incidence of co-occurrence and contain extreme values well above their local 95th percentile threshold, by +7 ppb for O3, +6 µg m−3 for PM2.5, and +1.7 °C for TX. Our results demonstrate the need to evaluate these extremes as synergistic costressors to accurately quantify their impacts on human health.' Author: 'Schnell, Jordan L.; Prather, Michael J.' DOI: 10.1073/pnas.1614453114 Date: 'March 14, 2017' Issue: 11 Journal: Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America Pages: 2854-2859 Title: 'Co-occurrence of extremes in surface ozone, particulate matter, and temperature over eastern North America' Volume: 114 Year: 2017 _record_number: 24241 _uuid: dd3e0e92-583c-44d5-9bb8-03e1057e605f reftype: Journal Article child_publication: /article/10.1073/pnas.1614453114 href: https://data.globalchange.gov/reference/dd3e0e92-583c-44d5-9bb8-03e1057e605f.yaml identifier: dd3e0e92-583c-44d5-9bb8-03e1057e605f uri: /reference/dd3e0e92-583c-44d5-9bb8-03e1057e605f - attrs: DOI: 10.7289/V5/TM-SEFSC-699 Editor: 'Lovett, Heidi B.; Sunny B. Snider ; Karla K. Gore; Roldan C. Muñoz ' Pages: 40 Place Published: 'Miami, FL' Series Volume: NOAA Technical Memorandum NMFS-SEFSC-699 Title: Gulf of Mexico regional action plan to implement the NOAA Fisheries climate science strategy Year: 2016 _record_number: 24411 _uuid: ddf445e2-14f6-4d4f-834e-c9cd8b9ff688 reftype: Edited Report child_publication: /report/gulf-mexico-regional-action-plan-implement-noaa-fisheries-climate-science-strategy href: https://data.globalchange.gov/reference/ddf445e2-14f6-4d4f-834e-c9cd8b9ff688.yaml identifier: ddf445e2-14f6-4d4f-834e-c9cd8b9ff688 uri: /reference/ddf445e2-14f6-4d4f-834e-c9cd8b9ff688 - attrs: .reference_type: 0 Abstract: 'Increased forest fire activity across the western continental United States (US) in recent decades has likely been enabled by a number of factors, including the legacy of fire suppression and human settlement, natural climate variability, and human-caused climate change. We use modeled climate projections to estimate the contribution of anthropogenic climate change to observed increases in eight fuel aridity metrics and forest fire area across the western United States. Anthropogenic increases in temperature and vapor pressure deficit significantly enhanced fuel aridity across western US forests over the past several decades and, during 2000–2015, contributed to 75% more forested area experiencing high (>1 σ) fire-season fuel aridity and an average of nine additional days per year of high fire potential. Anthropogenic climate change accounted for ∼55% of observed increases in fuel aridity from 1979 to 2015 across western US forests, highlighting both anthropogenic climate change and natural climate variability as important contributors to increased wildfire potential in recent decades. We estimate that human-caused climate change contributed to an additional 4.2 million ha of forest fire area during 1984–2015, nearly doubling the forest fire area expected in its absence. Natural climate variability will continue to alternate between modulating and compounding anthropogenic increases in fuel aridity, but anthropogenic climate change has emerged as a driver of increased forest fire activity and should continue to do so while fuels are not limiting.' Author: 'Abatzoglou, John T.; Williams, A. Park' DOI: 10.1073/pnas.1607171113 Date: 'October 18, 2016' Issue: 42 Journal: Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America Pages: 11770-11775 Title: Impact of anthropogenic climate change on wildfire across western US forests Volume: 113 Year: 2016 _record_number: 20416 _uuid: de4a77df-03ba-4319-a13f-7fdefbb353a5 reftype: Journal Article child_publication: /article/10.1073/pnas.1607171113 href: https://data.globalchange.gov/reference/de4a77df-03ba-4319-a13f-7fdefbb353a5.yaml identifier: de4a77df-03ba-4319-a13f-7fdefbb353a5 uri: /reference/de4a77df-03ba-4319-a13f-7fdefbb353a5 - attrs: .reference_type: 9 Editor: 'Stein, Bruce A.; Lynn S. Kutner; Jonathan S. Adams' ISBN: 9780195125191 Number of Pages: 432 Place Published: Oxford; New York Publisher: Oxford University Press Title: 'Precious Heritage: The Status of Biodiversity in the United States' Year: 2000 _record_number: 24379 _uuid: de5524c1-8076-4ae6-9558-ec6c96b475b5 reftype: Edited Book child_publication: /book/precious-heritage-status-biodiversity-united-states href: https://data.globalchange.gov/reference/de5524c1-8076-4ae6-9558-ec6c96b475b5.yaml identifier: de5524c1-8076-4ae6-9558-ec6c96b475b5 uri: /reference/de5524c1-8076-4ae6-9558-ec6c96b475b5 - attrs: .reference_type: 10 Author: 'Spanger-Siegfried, Erika; Melanie Fitzpatrick; Kristina Dahl' Institution: Union of Concerned Scientists Pages: 64 Place Published: 'Cambridge, MA' Title: 'Encroaching Tides: How Sea Level Rise and Tidal Flooding Threaten U.S. East and Gulf Coast Communities over the Next 30 Years' URL: http://www.ucsusa.org/global_warming/impacts/effects-of-tidal-flooding-and-sea-level-rise-east-coast-gulf-of-mexico Year: 2014 _record_number: 23183 _uuid: df029572-7e7a-4f65-91c2-da86756620c4 reftype: Report child_publication: /report/encroaching-tides-how-sea-level-rise-tidal-flooding-threaten-us-east-gulf-coast-communities-over-next-30-year href: https://data.globalchange.gov/reference/df029572-7e7a-4f65-91c2-da86756620c4.yaml identifier: df029572-7e7a-4f65-91c2-da86756620c4 uri: /reference/df029572-7e7a-4f65-91c2-da86756620c4 - attrs: .reference_type: 63 Author: 'Acadiana Planning Commission,' Date: February 20 Place Published: 'Lafayette, LA' Title: APC Board allocates $25 million in HMGP funding to regional flood mitigation projects URL: http://planacadiana.org/uncategorized/apc-board-allocates-25-million-in-hmgp-funding-to-regional-flood-mitigation-projects/ Year: 2018 _record_number: 26329 _uuid: e0d6a200-c830-403f-b892-af8c052bf37b reftype: Press Release child_publication: /generic/e943098c-bf7f-468e-85cc-df56ce88963b href: https://data.globalchange.gov/reference/e0d6a200-c830-403f-b892-af8c052bf37b.yaml identifier: e0d6a200-c830-403f-b892-af8c052bf37b uri: /reference/e0d6a200-c830-403f-b892-af8c052bf37b - attrs: .reference_type: 10 Author: 'Emrich, Christopher T.; Daniel P. Morath; Gregg C. Bowser; Rachel Reeves' Institution: Florida Department of Health Pages: various Place Published: 'Tallahassee, FL' Title: 'Climate-sensitive hazards in Florida: Identifying and prioritizing threats to build resilience against climate effects' URL: http://www.floridahealth.gov/environmental-health/climate-and-health/_documents/climate-sensitive-hazards-in-florida-final-report.pdf Year: 2014 _record_number: 24427 _uuid: e1f4f1b2-6b77-465a-bddb-ed992079deea reftype: Report child_publication: /report/climate-sensitive-hazards-florida-identifying-prioritizing-threats-build-resilience-against-climate-effects href: https://data.globalchange.gov/reference/e1f4f1b2-6b77-465a-bddb-ed992079deea.yaml identifier: e1f4f1b2-6b77-465a-bddb-ed992079deea uri: /reference/e1f4f1b2-6b77-465a-bddb-ed992079deea - attrs: .reference_type: 10 Author: 'FHWA,' Institution: 'Federal Highway Administration’s (FHWA), Climate Resilience Pilot Program' Pages: 4 Place Published: 'Washington, DC' Series Volume: FHWA-HEP-16-076 Title: 'FHWA Climate Resilience Pilot Program: Tennessee Department of Transportation' URL: https://www.fhwa.dot.gov/environment/sustainability/resilience/pilots/2013-2015_pilots/tennessee/index.cfm Year: 2017 _record_number: 24422 _uuid: e231be91-fafb-44c7-a1b0-3d3a6cc0aa60 reftype: Report child_publication: /report/fhwa-climate-resilience-pilot-program-tennessee-department-transportation href: https://data.globalchange.gov/reference/e231be91-fafb-44c7-a1b0-3d3a6cc0aa60.yaml identifier: e231be91-fafb-44c7-a1b0-3d3a6cc0aa60 uri: /reference/e231be91-fafb-44c7-a1b0-3d3a6cc0aa60 - attrs: Author: 'Cavanaugh, Kyle C.; Parker, John D.; Cook-Patton, Susan C.; Feller, Ilka C.; Williams, A. Park; Kellner, James R.' DOI: 10.1111/gcb.12843 ISSN: 1365-2486 Issue: 5 Journal: Global Change Biology Keywords: Avicennia germinans; climate change; ecological thresholds; freeze tolerance; Laguncularia racemosa; range expansion; Rhizophora mangle; species distribution modeling Pages: 1928-1938 Title: Integrating physiological threshold experiments with climate modeling to project mangrove species’ range expansion Volume: 21 Year: 2015 _record_number: 24300 _uuid: e3f0f82a-4c3d-4c01-924e-5b396ab55f7d reftype: Journal Article child_publication: /article/10.1111/gcb.12843 href: https://data.globalchange.gov/reference/e3f0f82a-4c3d-4c01-924e-5b396ab55f7d.yaml identifier: e3f0f82a-4c3d-4c01-924e-5b396ab55f7d uri: /reference/e3f0f82a-4c3d-4c01-924e-5b396ab55f7d - attrs: Abstract: 'Climate-driven changes in biotic interactions can profoundly alter ecological communities, particularly when they impact foundation species. In marine systems, changes in herbivory and the consequent loss of dominant habitat forming species can result in dramatic community phase shifts, such as from coral to macroalgal dominance when tropical fish herbivory decreases, and from algal forests to ‘barrens’ when temperate urchin grazing increases. Here, we propose a novel phase-shift away from macroalgal dominance caused by tropical herbivores extending their range into temperate regions. We argue that this phase shift is facilitated by poleward-flowing boundary currents that are creating ocean warming hotspots around the globe, enabling the range expansion of tropical species and increasing their grazing rates in temperate areas. Overgrazing of temperate macroalgae by tropical herbivorous fishes has already occurred in Japan and the Mediterranean. Emerging evidence suggests similar phenomena are occurring in other temperate regions, with increasing occurrence of tropical fishes on temperate reefs.' Author: 'Vergés, Adriana; Steinberg, Peter D.; Hay, Mark E.; Poore, Alistair G. B.; Campbell, Alexandra H.; Ballesteros, Enric; Heck, Kenneth L.; Booth, David J.; Coleman, Melinda A.; Feary, David A.; Figueira, Will; Langlois, Tim; Marzinelli, Ezequiel M.; Mizerek, Toni; Mumby, Peter J.; Nakamura, Yohei; Roughan, Moninya; van Sebille, Erik; Gupta, Alex Sen; Smale, Dan A.; Tomas, Fiona; Wernberg, Thomas; Wilson, Shaun K.' DOI: 10.1098/rspb.2014.0846 Issue: 1789 Journal: 'Proceedings of the Royal Society B: Biological Sciences' Title: 'The tropicalization of temperate marine ecosystems: Climate-mediated changes in herbivory and community phase shifts' Volume: 281 Year: 2014 _record_number: 24389 _uuid: e4313895-fb80-4d31-906c-2fadb9da71de reftype: Journal Article child_publication: /article/10.1098/rspb.2014.0846 href: https://data.globalchange.gov/reference/e4313895-fb80-4d31-906c-2fadb9da71de.yaml identifier: e4313895-fb80-4d31-906c-2fadb9da71de uri: /reference/e4313895-fb80-4d31-906c-2fadb9da71de - attrs: .reference_type: 10 Author: 'Evans, Jason M.; Jill Gambill; Robin J. McDowell; P. Warwick Prichard; Charles S. Hopkinson' DOI: 10.13140/RG.2.1.3825.9604/1 Institution: 'NOAA, Georgia Sea Grant' Pages: 82 Place Published: 'Athens, GA' Title: 'Tybee Island: Sea level rise adaptation plan' Year: 2016 _record_number: 24423 _uuid: e45eceee-7d09-4dbf-abd7-f200683378a6 reftype: Report child_publication: /report/tybee-island-sea-level-rise-adaptation-plan href: https://data.globalchange.gov/reference/e45eceee-7d09-4dbf-abd7-f200683378a6.yaml identifier: e45eceee-7d09-4dbf-abd7-f200683378a6 uri: /reference/e45eceee-7d09-4dbf-abd7-f200683378a6 - attrs: Abstract: 'Mosquito-borne diseases are an increasingly important health concern, which pose great challenges for safe and sustainable control and eradication. This reality calls for management approaches that consider multiple aspects of the transmission cycle from a landscape and vector ecology perspective, to socio-economic elements that may increase exposure. This study seeks to better understand these pathways using dengue fever in the San Juan Bay Estuary (SJBE), Puerto Rico. Dengue is transmitted by Aedes aegypti, a species that thrives in cities. Here we ask which elements within the urban landscape could be managed to help prevent dengue outbreaks. We studied the potential of coastal wetlands in the SJBE to buffer vector proliferation, hypothesizing that wetland ecosystem services lead to lower dengue occurrence. We test this hypothesis using census-block level dengue data from 2010-13, including the largest epidemic in Puerto Rican history. Our analytical model includes socio-economic factors and environmental controls that may also affect dengue dynamics. Results from beta-binomial regressions and model averaging indicated that dengue occurrence was lower in neighborhoods with higher wetland cover even after controlling for population density and other socio-economic aspects. Our models suggest that heat hazard mitigation is partly responsible for the association between wetlands and dengue.' Author: 'De Jesús Crespo, Rebeca; Méndez Lázaro, Pablo; Yee, Susan H.' DOI: 10.1007/s13157-017-0990-5 Date: January 23 ISSN: 1943-6246 Journal: Wetlands Title: 'Linking wetland ecosystem services to vector-borne disease: Dengue fever in the San Juan Bay Estuary, Puerto Rico' Type of Article: journal article Year: 2018 _record_number: 26346 _uuid: e4747552-23aa-45d2-9601-3b4b9b7b9994 reftype: Journal Article child_publication: /article/10.1007/s13157-017-0990-5 href: https://data.globalchange.gov/reference/e4747552-23aa-45d2-9601-3b4b9b7b9994.yaml identifier: e4747552-23aa-45d2-9601-3b4b9b7b9994 uri: /reference/e4747552-23aa-45d2-9601-3b4b9b7b9994 - attrs: Author: 'Jackson, Stephen T.; Overpeck, Jonathan T.' DOI: '10.1666/0094-8373(2000)26[194:ROPPAC]2.0.CO;2' Date: 2000/12/01 ISSN: 0094-8373 Issue: sp4 Journal: Paleobiology Pages: 194-220 Publisher: The Paleontological Society Title: Responses of plant populations and communities to environmental changes of the late Quaternary Volume: 26 Year: 2000 _record_number: 24327 _uuid: e5b81899-7df2-418f-b34b-9a8e6944efb2 reftype: Journal Article child_publication: /article/10.1666/0094-8373(2000)26%5B194:ROPPAC%5D2.0.CO;2 href: https://data.globalchange.gov/reference/e5b81899-7df2-418f-b34b-9a8e6944efb2.yaml identifier: e5b81899-7df2-418f-b34b-9a8e6944efb2 uri: /reference/e5b81899-7df2-418f-b34b-9a8e6944efb2 - attrs: Author: 'Anthony, Kenneth R. N.; Maynard, Jeffrey A.; Diaz-Pulido, Guillermo; Mumby, Peter J.; Marshall, Paul A.; Cao, Long; Hoegh-Guldberg, O. V. E.' DOI: 10.1111/j.1365-2486.2010.02364.x ISSN: 1365-2486 Issue: 5 Journal: Global Change Biology Keywords: climate change; coral reefs; herbivory; ocean acidification; resilience Pages: 1798-1808 Publisher: Blackwell Publishing Ltd Title: Ocean acidification and warming will lower coral reef resilience Volume: 17 Year: 2011 _record_number: 24289 _uuid: e684169c-60a2-4c78-a724-36fb93fb385a reftype: Journal Article child_publication: /article/10.1111/j.1365-2486.2010.02364.x href: https://data.globalchange.gov/reference/e684169c-60a2-4c78-a724-36fb93fb385a.yaml identifier: e684169c-60a2-4c78-a724-36fb93fb385a uri: /reference/e684169c-60a2-4c78-a724-36fb93fb385a - attrs: .reference_type: 7 Author: 'Easterling, D.R.; J.R. Arnold; T. Knutson; K.E. Kunkel; A.N. LeGrande; L.R. Leung; R.S. Vose; D.E. Waliser; M.F. Wehner' Book Title: 'Climate Science Special Report: Fourth National Climate Assessment, Volume I' Chapter: 7 DOI: 10.7930/J0H993CC Editor: 'Wuebbles, D.J.; D.W. Fahey; K.A. Hibbard; D.J. Dokken; B.C. Stewart; T.K. Maycock' Pages: 207-230 Place Published: 'Washington, DC, USA' Publisher: U.S. Global Change Research Program Title: Precipitation Change in the United States Year: 2017 _record_number: 21565 _uuid: e8089a19-413e-4bc5-8c4a-7610399e268c reftype: Book Section child_publication: /report/climate-science-special-report/chapter/precipitation-change href: https://data.globalchange.gov/reference/e8089a19-413e-4bc5-8c4a-7610399e268c.yaml identifier: e8089a19-413e-4bc5-8c4a-7610399e268c uri: /reference/e8089a19-413e-4bc5-8c4a-7610399e268c - attrs: Abstract: 'The economic and ecological costs of wildfire in the United States have risen substantially in recent decades. Although climate change has likely enabled a portion of the increase in wildfire activity, the direct role of people in increasing wildfire activity has been largely overlooked. We evaluate over 1.5 million government records of wildfires that had to be extinguished or managed by state or federal agencies from 1992 to 2012, and examined geographic and seasonal extents of human-ignited wildfires relative to lightning-ignited wildfires. Humans have vastly expanded the spatial and seasonal “fire niche” in the coterminous United States, accounting for 84% of all wildfires and 44% of total area burned. During the 21-y time period, the human-caused fire season was three times longer than the lightning-caused fire season and added an average of 40,000 wildfires per year across the United States. Human-started wildfires disproportionally occurred where fuel moisture was higher than lightning-started fires, thereby helping expand the geographic and seasonal niche of wildfire. Human-started wildfires were dominant (>80% of ignitions) in over 5.1 million km2, the vast majority of the United States, whereas lightning-started fires were dominant in only 0.7 million km2, primarily in sparsely populated areas of the mountainous western United States. Ignitions caused by human activities are a substantial driver of overall fire risk to ecosystems and economies. Actions to raise awareness and increase management in regions prone to human-started wildfires should be a focus of United States policy to reduce fire risk and associated hazards.' Author: 'Balch, Jennifer K.; Bradley, Bethany A.; Abatzoglou, John T.; Nagy, R. Chelsea; Fusco, Emily J.; Mahood, Adam L.' DOI: 10.1073/pnas.1617394114 Date: 'March 14, 2017' Issue: 11 Journal: Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America Pages: 2946-2951 Title: Human-started wildfires expand the fire niche across the United States Volume: 114 Year: 2017 _record_number: 22012 _uuid: ea8d831c-6b6b-4f8c-9b60-f17bab43660e reftype: Journal Article child_publication: /article/10.1073/pnas.1617394114 href: https://data.globalchange.gov/reference/ea8d831c-6b6b-4f8c-9b60-f17bab43660e.yaml identifier: ea8d831c-6b6b-4f8c-9b60-f17bab43660e uri: /reference/ea8d831c-6b6b-4f8c-9b60-f17bab43660e - attrs: .reference_type: 9 Author: 'Millennium Ecosystem Assessment,' ISBN: 1-59726-040-1 Place Published: 'Washington, DC' Publisher: Island Press Series Editor: 'José Sarukhán; Anne Whyte; MA Board of Review Editors,' Title: 'Ecosystems and Human Well-Being: Synthesis' URL: https://www.millenniumassessment.org/documents/document.356.aspx.pdf Year: 2005 _record_number: 24280 _uuid: eae18d2c-125c-45d5-bd2d-36b4c87f9cce reftype: Book child_publication: /book/ecosystems-human-well-being-synthesis href: https://data.globalchange.gov/reference/eae18d2c-125c-45d5-bd2d-36b4c87f9cce.yaml identifier: eae18d2c-125c-45d5-bd2d-36b4c87f9cce uri: /reference/eae18d2c-125c-45d5-bd2d-36b4c87f9cce - attrs: Author: 'Behr, Joshua G.; Rafael Diaz; Molly Mitchell' ISSN: 0042-0271 Issue: 1 Journal: The Virginia News Letter Pages: 1-6 Title: 'Building resiliency in response to sea level rise and recurrent flooding: Comprehensive planning in Hampton Roads' URL: https://vig.coopercenter.org/sites/vig/files/VirginiaNewsLetter_2016_V92-N1.pdf Volume: 92 Year: 2016 _record_number: 24437 _uuid: ec58e058-9bec-479d-83b8-679f27aa4361 reftype: Journal Article child_publication: /article/building-resiliency-response-sea-level-rise-recurrent-flooding-comprehensive-planning-hampton-roads href: https://data.globalchange.gov/reference/ec58e058-9bec-479d-83b8-679f27aa4361.yaml identifier: ec58e058-9bec-479d-83b8-679f27aa4361 uri: /reference/ec58e058-9bec-479d-83b8-679f27aa4361 - attrs: Author: 'Williams, Caroline M.; Henry, Hugh A. L.; Sinclair, Brent J.' DOI: 10.1111/brv.12105 ISSN: 1469-185X Issue: 1 Journal: Biological Reviews Keywords: snow; frost; cold; extreme events; average temperatures; freeze-thaw cycles; sub-lethal impacts; energetics; hibernation Pages: 214-235 Publisher: Blackwell Publishing Ltd Title: 'Cold truths: How winter drives responses of terrestrial organisms to climate change' Volume: 90 Year: 2015 _record_number: 24390 _uuid: ed8b17d0-d3f4-4fc8-bd1c-3034b4ea2599 reftype: Journal Article child_publication: /article/10.1111/brv.12105 href: https://data.globalchange.gov/reference/ed8b17d0-d3f4-4fc8-bd1c-3034b4ea2599.yaml identifier: ed8b17d0-d3f4-4fc8-bd1c-3034b4ea2599 uri: /reference/ed8b17d0-d3f4-4fc8-bd1c-3034b4ea2599 - attrs: Author: 'Ayres, Matthew P.; Lombardero, Marı́a J.' DOI: 10.1016/S0048-9697(00)00528-3 Date: 2000/11/15/ ISSN: 0048-9697 Issue: 3 Journal: Science of The Total Environment Keywords: Climate change; Herbivory; Pathogens; Forest epidemiology; Risk assessment; Disturbance Pages: 263-286 Title: Assessing the consequences of global change for forest disturbance from herbivores and pathogens Volume: 262 Year: 2000 _record_number: 24292 _uuid: ef49ecb5-1388-4e6c-bc78-ba94ea897c0c reftype: Journal Article child_publication: /article/10.1016/S0048-9697(00)00528-3 href: https://data.globalchange.gov/reference/ef49ecb5-1388-4e6c-bc78-ba94ea897c0c.yaml identifier: ef49ecb5-1388-4e6c-bc78-ba94ea897c0c uri: /reference/ef49ecb5-1388-4e6c-bc78-ba94ea897c0c - attrs: .reference_type: 10 Author: IPCC DOI: 10.1017/CBO9781107415324 Pages: 1535 Place Published: 'Cambridge, UK and New York, NY' Publisher: Cambridge University Press Secondary Author: 'Stocker, T.F.; Qin, D.; Plattner, G.-K.; Tignor, M.; Allen, S.K.; Boschung, J.; Nauels, A.; Xia, Y.; Bex, V.; Midgley, P.M.' Title: 'Climate Change 2013: The Physical Science Basis. Contribution of Working Group I to the Fifth Assessment Report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change' URL: http://www.climatechange2013.org/report/ Year: 2013 _record_number: 16456 _uuid: f03117be-ccfe-4f88-b70a-ffd4351b8190 reftype: Report child_publication: /report/ipcc-ar5-wg1 href: https://data.globalchange.gov/reference/f03117be-ccfe-4f88-b70a-ffd4351b8190.yaml identifier: f03117be-ccfe-4f88-b70a-ffd4351b8190 uri: /reference/f03117be-ccfe-4f88-b70a-ffd4351b8190 - attrs: .reference_type: 10 Author: 'Florida House of Representatives,' Pages: 113 Place Published: 'Tallahassee, FL' Title: Select Committee on Hurricane Response and Preparedness Final Report URL: https://www.myfloridahouse.gov/Sections/Documents/loaddoc.aspx?PublicationType=Committees&CommitteeId=2978&Session=2018&DocumentType=General%20Publications&FileName=SCHRP%20-%20Final%20Report%20online.pdf Year: 2018 _record_number: 26339 _uuid: f0694942-9271-4d3a-b82d-a18b858ef2f7 reftype: Report child_publication: /report/select-committee-on-hurricane-response-preparedness-final-report href: https://data.globalchange.gov/reference/f0694942-9271-4d3a-b82d-a18b858ef2f7.yaml identifier: f0694942-9271-4d3a-b82d-a18b858ef2f7 uri: /reference/f0694942-9271-4d3a-b82d-a18b858ef2f7 - attrs: Author: 'Tampa Bay Water,' Last Update Date: November 4 Title of Entry: Tampa Bay Water Hosts Florida Water and Climate Alliance Workshop URL: https://www.tampabaywater.org/newsroom/agency-news/tampa-bay-water-hosts-florida-water-and-climate-alliance-workshop Year: 2014 _record_number: 24448 _uuid: f0bebb46-8652-4edb-aca2-72d1029e6762 reftype: Blog child_publication: /webpage/ec00a87d-afa5-4365-ac7a-be0348c93cce href: https://data.globalchange.gov/reference/f0bebb46-8652-4edb-aca2-72d1029e6762.yaml identifier: f0bebb46-8652-4edb-aca2-72d1029e6762 uri: /reference/f0bebb46-8652-4edb-aca2-72d1029e6762 - attrs: .reference_type: 10 Author: 'City of Atlanta,' Institution: Mayor's Office of Sustainability Pages: 48 Place Published: 'Atlanta, GA' Title: Climate Action Plan URL: http://p2catl.com/wp-content/uploads/Atlanta-Climate-Action-Plan-07-23-2015.pdf Year: 2015 _record_number: 24442 _uuid: f0c5b068-d261-42b1-86e6-a6bd770bbf83 reftype: Report child_publication: /report/climate-action-plan href: https://data.globalchange.gov/reference/f0c5b068-d261-42b1-86e6-a6bd770bbf83.yaml identifier: f0c5b068-d261-42b1-86e6-a6bd770bbf83 uri: /reference/f0c5b068-d261-42b1-86e6-a6bd770bbf83 - attrs: .reference_type: 9 Author: USGCRP DOI: 10.7930/J0R49NQX Number of Pages: 312 Place Published: 'Washington, DC' Publisher: U.S. Global Change Research Program Title: 'The Impacts of Climate Change on Human Health in the United States: A Scientific Assessment' Year: 2016 _record_number: 19368 _uuid: f1e633d5-070a-4a7d-935b-a2281a0c9cb6 reftype: Book child_publication: /report/usgcrp-climate-human-health-assessment-2016 href: https://data.globalchange.gov/reference/f1e633d5-070a-4a7d-935b-a2281a0c9cb6.yaml identifier: f1e633d5-070a-4a7d-935b-a2281a0c9cb6 uri: /reference/f1e633d5-070a-4a7d-935b-a2281a0c9cb6 - attrs: .reference_type: 10 Author: 'CISA,' Institution: Carolinas Integrated Sciences & Assessments (CISA) Pages: 4 Place Published: 'Columbia, SC' Title: The South Carolina Floods of October 2015 URL: http://www.cisa.sc.edu/PDFs/October%202015%20Flood%20Event%204%20Pager.pdf Year: 2016 _record_number: 24439 _uuid: f22f455b-1750-4917-8e88-fc09dc5fa6fb reftype: Report child_publication: /report/south-carolina-floods-october-2015 href: https://data.globalchange.gov/reference/f22f455b-1750-4917-8e88-fc09dc5fa6fb.yaml identifier: f22f455b-1750-4917-8e88-fc09dc5fa6fb uri: /reference/f22f455b-1750-4917-8e88-fc09dc5fa6fb - attrs: .reference_type: 16 Access Date: June 4 Author: 'C3P,' Place Published: 'Columbia, SC' Publisher: Carolinas Integrated Sciences and Assessments Title: 'Carolinas Precipitation Patterns & Probabilities (C3P): An Atlas of Hydroclimate Extremes [web page]. Drought Indexes' URL: https://www.cisa.sc.edu/atlas/carolinas-drought.html Year: 2017 _record_number: 26324 _uuid: f2c76966-a6ae-4f1b-89cf-32ee1956a86a reftype: Web Page child_publication: /webpage/498bf716-0372-45c3-b24a-75990cbedbbe href: https://data.globalchange.gov/reference/f2c76966-a6ae-4f1b-89cf-32ee1956a86a.yaml identifier: f2c76966-a6ae-4f1b-89cf-32ee1956a86a uri: /reference/f2c76966-a6ae-4f1b-89cf-32ee1956a86a - attrs: Author: 'Masson, V.; Marchadier, C.; Adolphe, L.; Aguejdad, R.; Avner, P.; Bonhomme, M.; Bretagne, G.; Briottet, X.; Bueno, B.; de Munck, C.; Doukari, O.; Hallegatte, S.; Hidalgo, J.; Houet, T.; Le Bras, J.; Lemonsu, A.; Long, N.; Moine, M. P.; Morel, T.; Nolorgues, L.; Pigeon, G.; Salagnac, J. L.; Viguié, V.; Zibouche, K.' DOI: 10.1016/j.uclim.2014.03.004 Date: 2014/12/01/ ISSN: 2212-0955 Journal: Urban Climate Keywords: Systemic modelling; Urban Heat Island; Adaptation; Cities; Climate Change Pages: 407-429 Title: 'Adapting cities to climate change: A systemic modelling approach' Volume: 10 Year: 2014 _record_number: 24350 _uuid: f38b1c9b-3c1e-4408-9549-6e32437955ae reftype: Journal Article child_publication: /article/10.1016/j.uclim.2014.03.004 href: https://data.globalchange.gov/reference/f38b1c9b-3c1e-4408-9549-6e32437955ae.yaml identifier: f38b1c9b-3c1e-4408-9549-6e32437955ae uri: /reference/f38b1c9b-3c1e-4408-9549-6e32437955ae - attrs: Abstract: 'Background Mangroves are a group of highly salt-tolerant woody plants. The high water use efficiency of mangroves under saline conditions suggests that regulation of water transport is a crucial component of their salinity tolerance.Scope This review focuses on the processes that contribute to the ability of mangroves to maintain water uptake and limit water loss to the soil and the atmosphere under saline conditions, from micro to macro scales. These processes include: (1) efficient filtering of the incoming water to exclude salt; (2) maintenance of internal osmotic potentials lower than that of the rhizosphere; (3) water-saving properties; and (4) efficient exploitation of less-saline water sources when these become available.Conclusions Mangroves are inherently plastic and can change their structure at the root, leaf and stand levels in response to salinity in order to exclude salt from the xylem stream, maintain leaf hydraulic conductance, avoid cavitation and regulate water loss (e.g. suberization of roots and alterations of leaf size, succulence and angle, hydraulic anatomy and biomass partitioning). However, much is still unknown about the regulation of water uptake in mangroves, such as how they sense and respond to heterogeneity in root zone salinity, the extent to which they utilize non-stomatally derived CO2 as a water-saving measure and whether they can exploit atmospheric water sources.' Author: 'Reef, Ruth; Lovelock, Catherine E.' DOI: 10.1093/aob/mcu174 ISSN: 0305-7364 Issue: 3 Journal: Annals of Botany Notes: 10.1093/aob/mcu174 Pages: 385-395 Title: Regulation of water balance in mangroves Volume: 115 Year: 2015 _record_number: 24370 _uuid: f397a46b-de54-4373-9bd2-23e5550f7358 reftype: Journal Article child_publication: /article/10.1093/aob/mcu174 href: https://data.globalchange.gov/reference/f397a46b-de54-4373-9bd2-23e5550f7358.yaml identifier: f397a46b-de54-4373-9bd2-23e5550f7358 uri: /reference/f397a46b-de54-4373-9bd2-23e5550f7358 - attrs: .reference_type: 9 Author: 'Mitsch, William J.; James G. Gosselink' Edition: 4th ISBN: "0471699675\r978-0471699675" Place Published: New York Publisher: Wiley Title: Wetlands Year: 2007 _record_number: 26338 _uuid: f3efb037-04cf-442a-8d41-812d21f7a6c8 reftype: Book child_publication: /book/3569d7ad-da4f-40c9-a13b-456b277e8e73 href: https://data.globalchange.gov/reference/f3efb037-04cf-442a-8d41-812d21f7a6c8.yaml identifier: f3efb037-04cf-442a-8d41-812d21f7a6c8 uri: /reference/f3efb037-04cf-442a-8d41-812d21f7a6c8 - attrs: .reference_type: 16 Access Date: April 25 Author: 'ERS,' Place Published: 'Washington, DC' Publisher: 'USDA, Economic Research Service (ERS)' Title: 'Atlas of Rural and Small-Town America [web tool]' URL: https://www.ers.usda.gov/data-products/atlas-of-rural-and-small-town-america/ Year: 2017 _record_number: 26341 _uuid: f4f8dff1-bf58-4d82-93ff-5ffabfa1231d reftype: Web Page child_publication: /webpage/514851df-05ff-4be8-9a97-d745bb2dcc94 href: https://data.globalchange.gov/reference/f4f8dff1-bf58-4d82-93ff-5ffabfa1231d.yaml identifier: f4f8dff1-bf58-4d82-93ff-5ffabfa1231d uri: /reference/f4f8dff1-bf58-4d82-93ff-5ffabfa1231d - attrs: Abstract: 'Recent evidence indicates that climate change and intensification of the El Niño Southern Oscillation (ENSO) has increased variation in sea level. Although widespread impacts on intertidal ecosystems are anticipated to arise from the sea level seesaw associated with climate change, none have yet been demonstrated. Intertidal ecosystems, including mangrove forests are among those ecosystems that are highly vulnerable to sea level rise, but they may also be vulnerable to sea level variability and extreme low sea level events. During 16 years of monitoring of a mangrove forest in Mangrove Bay in north Western Australia, we documented two forest dieback events, the most recent one being coincident with the large-scale dieback of mangroves in the Gulf of Carpentaria in northern Australia. Diebacks in Mangrove Bay were coincident with periods of very low sea level, which were associated with increased soil salinization of 20–30% above pre-event levels, leading to canopy loss, reduced Normalized Difference Vegetation Index (NDVI) and reduced recruitment. Our study indicates that an intensification of ENSO will have negative effects on some mangrove forests in parts of the Indo-Pacific that will exacerbate other pressures.' Author: 'Lovelock, Catherine E.; Feller, Ilka C.; Reef, Ruth; Hickey, Sharyn; Ball, Marilyn C.' DOI: 10.1038/s41598-017-01927-6 Date: 2017/05/10 ISSN: 2045-2322 Issue: 1 Journal: Scientific Reports Pages: Article 1680 Title: Mangrove dieback during fluctuating sea levels Volume: 7 Year: 2017 _record_number: 24347 _uuid: f5a55fe1-97ad-4a32-bbdd-e75a76eb679a reftype: Journal Article child_publication: /article/10.1038/s41598-017-01927-6 href: https://data.globalchange.gov/reference/f5a55fe1-97ad-4a32-bbdd-e75a76eb679a.yaml identifier: f5a55fe1-97ad-4a32-bbdd-e75a76eb679a uri: /reference/f5a55fe1-97ad-4a32-bbdd-e75a76eb679a - attrs: Author: 'Census Bureau,' Last Update Date: March 26 Message Number: CB15-56 Publisher: U.S. Census Brueau Title: 'Press release: New Census Bureau Population Estimates Reveal Metro Areas and Counties That Propelled Growth in Florida and the Nation' Title of Entry: 'Press release: New Census Bureau Population Estimates Reveal Metro Areas and Counties That Propelled Growth in Florida and the Nation' Title of WebLog: Census Newsroom URL: https://www.census.gov/newsroom/press-releases/2015/cb15-56.html Year: 2015 _record_number: 24451 _uuid: f5faf77d-e40f-4647-9042-0535a3b2511e reftype: Blog child_publication: /webpage/884cbf2c-8785-428b-9134-c32980e95519 href: https://data.globalchange.gov/reference/f5faf77d-e40f-4647-9042-0535a3b2511e.yaml identifier: f5faf77d-e40f-4647-9042-0535a3b2511e uri: /reference/f5faf77d-e40f-4647-9042-0535a3b2511e - attrs: Abstract: 'Salt marshes in the southeastern United States have recently experienced massive die-off, one of many examples of widespread degradation in marine and coastal ecosystems. Although intense drought is thought to be the primary cause of this die-off, we found snail grazing to be a major contributing factor. Survey of marsh die-off areas in three states revealed high-density fronts of snails on die-off edges at 11 of 12 sites. Exclusion experiments demonstrated that snails actively converted marshes to exposed mudflats. Salt addition and comparative field studies suggest that drought-induced stress and grazers acted synergistically and to varying degrees to cause initial plant death. After these disturbances, snail fronts formed on die-off edges and subsequently propagated through healthy marsh, leading to cascading vegetation loss. These results, combined with model analyses, reveal strong interactions between increasing climatic stress and grazer pressure, both potentially related to human environmental impacts, which amplify the likelihood and intensity of runaway collapse in these coastal systems.' Author: 'Silliman, Brian R.; van de Koppel, Johan; Bertness, Mark D.; Stanton, Lee E.; Mendelssohn, Irving A.' DOI: 10.1126/science.1118229 Issue: 5755 Journal: Science Pages: 1803-1806 Title: 'Drought, snails, and large-scale die-off of southern U.S. salt marshes' Volume: 310 Year: 2005 _record_number: 24376 _uuid: f642c166-4880-4ce0-b798-d00f4ce73486 reftype: Journal Article child_publication: /article/10.1126/science.1118229 href: https://data.globalchange.gov/reference/f642c166-4880-4ce0-b798-d00f4ce73486.yaml identifier: f642c166-4880-4ce0-b798-d00f4ce73486 uri: /reference/f642c166-4880-4ce0-b798-d00f4ce73486 - attrs: .reference_type: 63 Author: 'Scott, Rick' Date: September 9 Place Published: 'Tallahassee, FL' Title: Gov. Scott issues updates on Hurricane Irma preparedness URL: https://www.flgov.com/2017/09/09/gov-scott-issues-updates-on-hurricane-irma-preparedness-10/ Year: 2017 _record_number: 26312 _uuid: f76804ad-7d6a-4ea2-9d45-51e0465a4ec1 reftype: Press Release child_publication: /generic/923b4e3b-9180-4de8-936a-ab455f908ea3 href: https://data.globalchange.gov/reference/f76804ad-7d6a-4ea2-9d45-51e0465a4ec1.yaml identifier: f76804ad-7d6a-4ea2-9d45-51e0465a4ec1 uri: /reference/f76804ad-7d6a-4ea2-9d45-51e0465a4ec1 - attrs: .reference_type: 7 Abstract: 'Human‐caused climate change is predicted to affect the frequency of hazard‐linked extremes. Unusually large wildfires are a type of extreme event that is constrained by climate and can be a hazard to society but also an important ecological disturbance. This chapter focuses on changes in the frequency of extreme monthly area burned by wildfires for the end of the 21st century for a wildfire‐prone region in the southeast United States. Predicting changes in area burned is complicated by the large and varied uncertainties in how the climate will change and in the models used to predict those changes. The chapter characterizes and quantifies multiple sources of uncertainty and propagate the expanded prediction intervals of future area burned. It illustrates that while accounting for multiple sources of uncertainty in global change science problems is a difficult task, it will be necessary in order to properly assess the risk of increased exposure to these society‐relevant events.' Author: 'Terando, Adam J.; Brian Reich; Krishna Pacifici; Jennifer Costanza; Alexa McKerrow; Jaime A. Collazo ' Book Title: 'Natural Hazard Uncertainty Assessment: Modeling and Decision Support' DOI: 10.1002/9781119028116.ch16 Editor: Karin Riley; Peter Webley; Matthew Thompson ISBN: "9781119028116\r9781119027867" Pages: 245-256 Publisher: American Geophysical Union Series Volume: Geophysical Monograph Series 223 Title: 'Uncertainty quantification and propagation for projections of extremes in monthly area burned under climate change: A case study in the coastal plain of Georgia, USA' Year: 2016 _record_number: 25181 _uuid: f7c694dd-7e4f-4a29-be1b-1834614b3e14 reftype: Book Section child_publication: /book/702ab4d9-d271-4240-9b53-b0441cdc4279 href: https://data.globalchange.gov/reference/f7c694dd-7e4f-4a29-be1b-1834614b3e14.yaml identifier: f7c694dd-7e4f-4a29-be1b-1834614b3e14 uri: /reference/f7c694dd-7e4f-4a29-be1b-1834614b3e14 - attrs: Abstract: 'Episodes of severe weather in the United States, such as the present abundance of rainfall in California, are brandished as tangible evidence of the future costs of current climate trends. Hsiang et al. collected national data documenting the responses in six economic sectors to short-term weather fluctuations. These data were integrated with probabilistic distributions from a set of global climate models and used to estimate future costs during the remainder of this century across a range of scenarios (see the Perspective by Pizer). In terms of overall effects on gross domestic product, the authors predict negative impacts in the southern United States and positive impacts in some parts of the Pacific Northwest and New England.Science, this issue p. 1362; see also p. 1330Estimates of climate change damage are central to the design of climate policies. Here, we develop a flexible architecture for computing damages that integrates climate science, econometric analyses, and process models. We use this approach to construct spatially explicit, probabilistic, and empirically derived estimates of economic damage in the United States from climate change. The combined value of market and nonmarket damage across analyzed sectors—agriculture, crime, coastal storms, energy, human mortality, and labor—increases quadratically in global mean temperature, costing roughly 1.2% of gross domestic product per +1°C on average. Importantly, risk is distributed unequally across locations, generating a large transfer of value northward and westward that increases economic inequality. By the late 21st century, the poorest third of counties are projected to experience damages between 2 and 20% of county income (90% chance) under business-as-usual emissions (Representative Concentration Pathway 8.5).' Author: 'Hsiang, Solomon; Kopp, Robert; Jina, Amir; Rising, James; Delgado, Michael; Mohan, Shashank; Rasmussen, D. J.; Muir-Wood, Robert; Wilson, Paul; Oppenheimer, Michael; Larsen, Kate; Houser, Trevor' DOI: 10.1126/science.aal4369 Issue: 6345 Journal: Science Pages: 1362-1369 Title: Estimating economic damage from climate change in the United States Volume: 356 Year: 2017 _record_number: 23965 _uuid: fad9e8ec-8951-4daa-9a9c-e093ef86af16 reftype: Journal Article child_publication: /article/10.1126/science.aal4369 href: https://data.globalchange.gov/reference/fad9e8ec-8951-4daa-9a9c-e093ef86af16.yaml identifier: fad9e8ec-8951-4daa-9a9c-e093ef86af16 uri: /reference/fad9e8ec-8951-4daa-9a9c-e093ef86af16 - attrs: .publisher: Nature Publishing Group .reference_type: 0 Author: 'Wahl, Thomas; Jain, Shaleen; Bender, Jens; Meyers, Steven D.; Luther, Mark E.' DOI: 10.1038/nclimate2736 ISSN: 1758-678X Issue: 12 Journal: Nature Climate Change Pages: 1093-1097 Title: Increasing risk of compound flooding from storm surge and rainfall for major US cities Volume: 5 Year: 2015 _record_number: 21544 _uuid: faea1d4f-493d-4545-bea1-1703ad92ac95 reftype: Journal Article child_publication: /article/10.1038/nclimate2736 href: https://data.globalchange.gov/reference/faea1d4f-493d-4545-bea1-1703ad92ac95.yaml identifier: faea1d4f-493d-4545-bea1-1703ad92ac95 uri: /reference/faea1d4f-493d-4545-bea1-1703ad92ac95 - attrs: .reference_type: 9 Author: 'Kozlowski, T. T.; Pallardy, S. G.' ISBN: 978-0-12-424210-4 Place Published: San Diego Publisher: Academic Press Series Editor: 'Roy, Jacques' Series Volume: Physiological Ecology Title: Growth Control in Woody Plants Year: 1997 _record_number: 24340 _uuid: fb5567e7-7296-4ea0-8749-76c74eae20d5 reftype: Book child_publication: /book/growth-control-woody-plants href: https://data.globalchange.gov/reference/fb5567e7-7296-4ea0-8749-76c74eae20d5.yaml identifier: fb5567e7-7296-4ea0-8749-76c74eae20d5 uri: /reference/fb5567e7-7296-4ea0-8749-76c74eae20d5