--- - attrs: .reference_type: 7 Abstract: 'Societies are addressing increasingly complex governance challenges that necessitate collaboration between many organizations. Harnessing the emergent abilities of these collective efforts requires new administrative strategies and techniques, but if done well also provides promise for addressing important social challenges. In Maricopa County Arizona the Department of Public Health reports 632 confirmed heat-associated deaths from 2006 to 2013. In response, public health and other organizations coordinate across the County with a collection of public and private organizations and non-profit groups to provide services for heat relief as cooling centers during the summer. Here we show how participatory modeling can be used as a tool to enable this ad-hoc collaborative network to self-organize to provide more efficient service. The voluntary nature of the network imposes a structure on cooling service provision as the locations and open hours of centers are largely based on other ongoing operations. There are consequently both gaps and redundancies in spatial and temporal cooling center availability that exist when the network is examined from a system perspective. Over the last year, we engaged members of the heat relief community in central Arizona in a participatory modeling effort to help improve a simple prototype agent-based model that visualizes relevant components of the regional Heat Relief Network’s function. Through this process, the members developed systemic awareness of both the challenges and opportunities of coordination across the network. This effort helped network members begin to see cooling centers from a systems perspective, leverage their ability to see dynamic cooling center availability spatially and temporally and thus increase opportunities to align services along both dimensions. Our collaboration with the Heat Relief Network in central Arizona highlights participatory modeling as an innovative means for translating evidence to practice and facilitating knowledge dissemination, two important elements for successful applications on complexity governance.' Author: 'Uebelherr, Joshua; Hondula, David M.; Johnston, Erik W.' Book Title: 'Innovation Networks for Regional Development: Concepts, Case Studies, and Agent-Based Models' DOI: 10.1007/978-3-319-43940-2_9 Editor: 'Vermeulen, Ben; Paier, Manfred' ISBN: 978-3-319-43940-2 Pages: 215-236 Place Published: Cham Publisher: Springer International Publishing Title: Using participatory modeling to enable local innovation through complexity governance Year: 2017 _record_number: 25988 _uuid: beced1bd-55b2-4716-9154-cdccc23e3114 reftype: Book Section child_publication: /book/ee637891-77c2-4593-8bf9-39f1f0fb564b href: https://data.globalchange.gov/reference/beced1bd-55b2-4716-9154-cdccc23e3114.yaml identifier: beced1bd-55b2-4716-9154-cdccc23e3114 uri: /reference/beced1bd-55b2-4716-9154-cdccc23e3114 - attrs: .reference_type: 10 Author: 'Cooley, Heather; Michael Cohen; Rapichan Phurisamban; Guillaume Gruère' DOI: 10.1787/5jlr3bx95v48-en Institution: OECD Publishing Pages: 29 Place Published: Paris Series Volume: 'OECD Food, Agriculture and Fisheries Papers No. 96' Title: 'Water Risk Hotspots for Agriculture: The Case of the Southwest United States' Year: 2016 _record_number: 23956 _uuid: bf7e284b-6333-477d-883f-23e002742a6c reftype: Report child_publication: /report/water-risk-hotspots-agriculture-case-southwest-united-states href: https://data.globalchange.gov/reference/bf7e284b-6333-477d-883f-23e002742a6c.yaml identifier: bf7e284b-6333-477d-883f-23e002742a6c uri: /reference/bf7e284b-6333-477d-883f-23e002742a6c - attrs: .reference_type: 0 Author: 'Lewitus, Alan J.; Horner, Rita A.; Caron, David A.; Garcia-Mendoza, Ernesto; Hickey, Barbara M.; Hunter, Matthew; Huppert, Daniel D.; Kudela, Raphael M.; Langlois, Gregg W.; Largier, John L.; Lessard, Evelyn J.; RaLonde, Raymond; Rensel, J.E. Jack; Strutton, Peter G.; Trainer, Vera L.; Tweddle, Jacqueline F.' DOI: 10.1016/j.hal.2012.06.009 ISSN: 1878-1470 Journal: Harmful Algae Pages: 133-159 Title: 'Harmful algal blooms along the North American west coast region: History, trends, causes, and impacts' Volume: 19 Year: 2012 _record_number: 17114 _uuid: bf9e1e12-177e-4d6a-bae5-c9ed434d64b2 reftype: Journal Article child_publication: /article/10.1016/j.hal.2012.06.009 href: https://data.globalchange.gov/reference/bf9e1e12-177e-4d6a-bae5-c9ed434d64b2.yaml identifier: bf9e1e12-177e-4d6a-bae5-c9ed434d64b2 uri: /reference/bf9e1e12-177e-4d6a-bae5-c9ed434d64b2 - attrs: Author: 'Cheung, William W. L.; Brodeur, Richard D.; Okey, Thomas A.; Pauly, Daniel' DOI: 10.1016/j.pocean.2014.09.003 Date: 2015/01/01/ ISSN: 0079-6611 Journal: Progress in Oceanography Pages: 19-31 Title: Projecting future changes in distributions of pelagic fish species of Northeast Pacific shelf seas Volume: 130 Year: 2015 _record_number: 23741 _uuid: bfd896fb-e6cf-45bb-90fc-46742079789c reftype: Journal Article child_publication: /article/10.1016/j.pocean.2014.09.003 href: https://data.globalchange.gov/reference/bfd896fb-e6cf-45bb-90fc-46742079789c.yaml identifier: bfd896fb-e6cf-45bb-90fc-46742079789c uri: /reference/bfd896fb-e6cf-45bb-90fc-46742079789c - attrs: .publisher: Springer Netherlands .reference_type: 0 Alternate Journal: Climatic Change Author: "Gautam, Mahesh R.\rChief, Karletta\rSmith, William J., Jr." DOI: 10.1007/s10584-013-0737-0 Date: Cotober 2013 Epub Date: 2013/04/09 ISSN: 0165-0009 Issue: 3 Journal: Climatic Change Language: English Pages: 585-599 Title: 'Climate change in arid lands and Native American socioeconomic vulnerability: The case of the Pyramid Lake Paiute Tribe' URL: http://link.springer.com/content/pdf/10.1007%2Fs10584-013-0737-0.pdf Volume: 120 Year: 2013 _chapter: '["Ch. 20: Southwest FINAL","Ch. 12: Indigenous FINAL","Ch. 1: Overview FINAL"]' _record_number: 3909 _uuid: c1162288-6379-4b60-b573-d0f8482d8fa0 reftype: Journal Article child_publication: /article/10.1007/s10584-013-0737-0 href: https://data.globalchange.gov/reference/c1162288-6379-4b60-b573-d0f8482d8fa0.yaml identifier: c1162288-6379-4b60-b573-d0f8482d8fa0 uri: /reference/c1162288-6379-4b60-b573-d0f8482d8fa0 - attrs: Abstract: 'Projections of possible precipitation change in California under global warming have been subject to considerable uncertainty because California lies between the region anticipated to undergo increases in precipitation at mid-to-high latitudes and regions of anticipated decrease in the subtropics. Evaluation of the large-scale model experiments for phase 5 of the Coupled Model Intercomparison Project (CMIP5) suggests a greater degree of agreement on the sign of the winter (December–February) precipitation change than in the previous such intercomparison, indicating a greater portion of California falling within the increased precipitation zone. While the resolution of global models should not be relied on for accurate depiction of topographic rainfall distribution within California, the precipitation changes depend substantially on large-scale shifts in the storm tracks arriving at the coast. Significant precipitation increases in the region arriving at the California coast are associated with an eastward extension of the region of strong Pacific jet stream, which appears to be a robust feature of the large-scale simulated changes. This suggests that effects of this jet extension in steering storm tracks toward the California coast constitute an important factor that should be assessed for impacts on incoming storm properties for high-resolution regional model assessments.' Author: 'Neelin, J. David; Baird Langenbrunner; Joyce E. Meyerson; Alex Hall; Neil Berg' DOI: 10.1175/jcli-d-12-00514.1 Issue: 17 Journal: Journal of Climate Keywords: 'North America,Climate change,Hydrology,Climate models' Pages: 6238-6256 Title: California winter precipitation change under global warming in the Coupled Model Intercomparison Project Phase 5 Ensemble Volume: 26 Year: 2013 _record_number: 23835 _uuid: c137667f-ab0a-49fb-a324-1f5e2b9ad3e5 reftype: Journal Article child_publication: /article/10.1175/jcli-d-12-00514.1 href: https://data.globalchange.gov/reference/c137667f-ab0a-49fb-a324-1f5e2b9ad3e5.yaml identifier: c137667f-ab0a-49fb-a324-1f5e2b9ad3e5 uri: /reference/c137667f-ab0a-49fb-a324-1f5e2b9ad3e5 - attrs: Abstract: 'Although declining oxygen concentration has been reported for the oxygen minimum zones (OMZs) of the tropical oceans and the North Pacific Ocean, consistent with model predictions of the effects of global warming, its ecological impacts are poorly understood. We report the apparent impact of declining oxygen on midwater fishes within the OMZ of the southern California Current (CC). Principal component analysis of the California Cooperative Oceanic Fisheries Investigations (CalCOFI) ichthyoplankton time series from 1951 to 2008 indicates that the dominant temporal pattern (principal component 1 [PC1]) represents the marked decline of the region’s mesopelagic fishes during periods of reduced oxygen. Of the 27 taxa with loadings > 0.5 on PC1, 24 were mesopelagic. PC1 was strongly correlated with intermediate-water oxygen concentrations (r = 0.75, p < 0.05), which were about 20% lower in the past decade and the 1950s than in the period from 1970 to 1995. The abundance of mesopelagic fishes represented by PC1 was reduced, on average, by 63% between periods of high and low oxygen concentrations. We hypothesize that the underlying mechanism is the shoaling of the hypoxic boundary layer during periods of reduced oxygen, which renders the mesopelagic fauna more vulnerable to visually orienting predators. The mesopelagic fish fauna provides a vital trophodynamic link between the marine plankton and many higher predators. The decline of deepwater fish populations has profound implications for commercial fisheries, marine food webs and marine conservation: climate models predict a 20 to 40% decline in global deepwater oxygen concentrations over the coming century.' Author: 'Koslow, J. Anthony; Goericke, Ralf; Lara-Lopez, Ana; Watson, William' DOI: 10.3354/meps09270 Journal: Marine Ecology Progress Series Notes: 10.3354/meps09270 Pages: 207-218 Title: Impact of declining intermediate-water oxygen on deepwater fishes in the California Current Volume: 436 Year: 2011 _record_number: 23801 _uuid: c142629b-17fd-48b5-9e56-c57bca0523c2 reftype: Journal Article child_publication: /article/10.3354/meps09270 href: https://data.globalchange.gov/reference/c142629b-17fd-48b5-9e56-c57bca0523c2.yaml identifier: c142629b-17fd-48b5-9e56-c57bca0523c2 uri: /reference/c142629b-17fd-48b5-9e56-c57bca0523c2 - attrs: Abstract: 'Both obesity and strenuous outdoor work are known risk factors for heat-related illness (HRI). These risk factors may be compounded by more and longer periods of extreme heat in the southeastern U.S. To quantify occupational risk and investigate the possible predictive value of a GIS-based tool, a weighted occupation-based metabolic equivalent (MET) index was created. The correlation between current MET-weighted employment rates or obesity rates and 2012 HRI report rates in Alabama were then determined. With the current dataset, results indicate occupational and obesity rates may explain some of the geographical variation seen in HRI report rates, although results are not statistically significant with this limited dataset. Mapping occupational and physiological risk factors with HRI rates may be useful for environmental and occupational health professionals to identify “hotspots” that may require special attention.' Author: 'Crider, Kyle G.; Maples, Elizabeth H.; Gohlke, Julia M.' Date: Jul-Aug ISSN: 0022-0892 Issue: 1 Journal: Journal of Environmental Health Name of Database: PMC Notes: "25185323[pmid]\rJ Environ Health" Pages: 16-22 Title: Incorporating occupational risk in heat stress vulnerability mapping URL: http://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC4211285/ Volume: 77 Year: 2014 _record_number: 23751 _uuid: c170c3ae-9595-4908-a5a8-18062e153fcf reftype: Journal Article child_publication: /article/pmid-25185323 href: https://data.globalchange.gov/reference/c170c3ae-9595-4908-a5a8-18062e153fcf.yaml identifier: c170c3ae-9595-4908-a5a8-18062e153fcf uri: /reference/c170c3ae-9595-4908-a5a8-18062e153fcf - attrs: Author: 'Choudhary, Ekta; Vaidyanathan, Ambarish' ISSN: 1545-8636 Issue: 13 Journal: MMWR Surveillance Summaries Pages: 1-10 Title: 'Heat stress illness hospitalizations—Environmental public health tracking program, 20 States, 2001-2010.' URL: https://www.cdc.gov/mmwr/preview/mmwrhtml/ss6313a1.htm Volume: 63 Year: 2014 _record_number: 23742 _uuid: c2022b30-10b5-40f8-b14b-82c43209dd3d reftype: Journal Article child_publication: /article/heat-stress-illness-hospitalizationsenvironmental-public-health-tracking-program-20-states-2001-2010 href: https://data.globalchange.gov/reference/c2022b30-10b5-40f8-b14b-82c43209dd3d.yaml identifier: c2022b30-10b5-40f8-b14b-82c43209dd3d uri: /reference/c2022b30-10b5-40f8-b14b-82c43209dd3d - attrs: .reference_type: 10 Author: 'Elias, Emile; Caiti Steele; Kris Havstad; Kerri Steenwerth; Jeanne Chambers; Helena Deswood; Amber Kerr; Albert Rango; Mark Schwartz; Peter Stine; Rachel Steele' Institution: 'U.S. Department of Agriculture, Rocky Mountain Research Station' Pages: 76 Place Published: 'Washington, DC' Series Editor: 'Anderson, Terry' Series Volume: Miscellaneaous publication Title: Southwest Regional Climate Hub and California Subsidiary Hub Assessment of Climate Change Vulnerability and Adaptation and Mitigation Strategies URL: https://www.fs.fed.us/rm/pubs_journals/2015/rmrs_2015_elias_e001.pdf Year: 2015 _record_number: 23955 _uuid: c29be9d3-c558-41ec-979c-f8d0c0b6f0e6 reftype: Report child_publication: /report/southwest-regional-climate-hub-california-subsidiary-hub-assessment-climate-change-vulnerability-adaptation-mitigation-strategies href: https://data.globalchange.gov/reference/c29be9d3-c558-41ec-979c-f8d0c0b6f0e6.yaml identifier: c29be9d3-c558-41ec-979c-f8d0c0b6f0e6 uri: /reference/c29be9d3-c558-41ec-979c-f8d0c0b6f0e6 - attrs: Author: 'Berman, Jesse D.; Ebisu, Keita; Peng, Roger D.; Dominici, Francesca; Bell, Michelle L.' DOI: 10.1016/S2542-5196(17)30002-5 Date: 2017/04/01/ ISSN: 2542-5196 Issue: 1 Journal: The Lancet Planetary Health Pages: e17-e25 Title: 'Drought and the risk of hospital admissions and mortality in older adults in western USA from 2000 to 2013: A retrospective study ' Volume: 1 Year: 2017 _record_number: 21858 _uuid: c2e222fc-c5e0-4e34-8f28-ab1fad575053 reftype: Journal Article child_publication: /article/10.1016/S2542-5196(17)30002-5 href: https://data.globalchange.gov/reference/c2e222fc-c5e0-4e34-8f28-ab1fad575053.yaml identifier: c2e222fc-c5e0-4e34-8f28-ab1fad575053 uri: /reference/c2e222fc-c5e0-4e34-8f28-ab1fad575053 - attrs: .reference_type: 0 Author: 'Stephens, S. L.; Agee, J. K.; Fulé, P. Z.; North, M. P.; Romme, W. H.; Swetnam, T. W.; Turner, M. G.' DOI: 10.1126/science.1240294 Issue: 6154 Journal: Science Pages: 41-42 Title: Managing forests and fire in changing climates Volume: 342 Year: 2013 _record_number: 20988 _uuid: c387ad96-7868-4751-89f7-d0d62911b346 reftype: Journal Article child_publication: /article/10.1126/science.1240294 href: https://data.globalchange.gov/reference/c387ad96-7868-4751-89f7-d0d62911b346.yaml identifier: c387ad96-7868-4751-89f7-d0d62911b346 uri: /reference/c387ad96-7868-4751-89f7-d0d62911b346 - attrs: .reference_type: 10 Author: IPCC Pages: 1132 Place Published: 'Cambridge, UK and New York, NY' Publisher: Cambridge University Press Secondary Author: 'Field, C.B.; Barros, V.R.; Dokken, D. J.; Mach,K.J.; Mastrandrea, M.D.; Bilir, T. E.; Chatterjee, M.; Ebi,K.L.; Estrada,Y.O.; Genova, R. C.; Girma,B.; Kissel, E. S.; Levy, A. N.; MacCracken, S.; Mastrandrea, P. R.; White, L. L.' Title: 'Climate Change 2014: Impacts, Adaptation, and Vulnerability. Part A: Global and Sectoral Aspects. Contribution of Working Group II to the Fifth Assessment Report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change' URL: http://www.ipcc.ch/report/ar5/wg2/ Year: 2014 _record_number: 17681 _uuid: c390e13f-8517-40a9-a236-ac4dede3a7a0 reftype: Report child_publication: /report/ipcc-ar5-wg2-parta href: https://data.globalchange.gov/reference/c390e13f-8517-40a9-a236-ac4dede3a7a0.yaml identifier: c390e13f-8517-40a9-a236-ac4dede3a7a0 uri: /reference/c390e13f-8517-40a9-a236-ac4dede3a7a0 - attrs: .reference_type: 9 Author: 'IPCC,' Editor: "Solomon, S.\r\nD. Qin\r\nM. Manning\r\n Z. Chen\r\nM. Marquis\r\nK.B. Averyt\r\nM. Tignor\r\nH.L. Miller" ISBN: 978 0521 88009-1 Number of Pages: 996 Place Published: 'Cambridge, U.K, New York, NY, USA' Publisher: Cambridge University Press Reviewer: c54b9473-cdc3-4f22-97a8-4df5253f9682 Title: 'Climate Change 2007: The Physical Science Basis. Contribution of Working Group I to the Fourth Assessment Report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change' URL: http://www.ipcc.ch/publications_and_data/publications_ipcc_fourth_assessment_report_wg1_report_the_physical_science_basis.htm Year: 2007 _chapter: '["Ch. 25: Coastal Zone FINAL","Ch. 15: Biogeochemical FINAL","Ch. 12: Indigenous FINAL","RF 3","Ch. 2: Our Changing Climate FINAL","Ch. 6: Agriculture FINAL","Ch. 4: Energy Supply and Use FINAL","Ch. 17: Southeast and Caribbean FINAL","Ch. 27: Mitigation FINAL","Appendix 3: Climate Science FINAL"]' _record_number: 263 _uuid: c54b9473-cdc3-4f22-97a8-4df5253f9682 reftype: Book child_publication: /report/ipcc-ar4-wg1 href: https://data.globalchange.gov/reference/c54b9473-cdc3-4f22-97a8-4df5253f9682.yaml identifier: c54b9473-cdc3-4f22-97a8-4df5253f9682 uri: /reference/c54b9473-cdc3-4f22-97a8-4df5253f9682 - attrs: .reference_type: 9 Author: "Vogel, Jason; Smith, Joel; O'Grady, Megan; Flemming, Paul; Heyn, Kavita; Adams, Alison; Pierson, Don; Brooks, Keely; Behar, David" Place Published: 'Las Vegas, NV' Publisher: Water Utility Climate Alliance Title: 'Actionable Science in Practice: Co-producing Climate Change Information for Water Utility Vulnerability Assessments' URL: https://www.researchgate.net/publication/280492176_Actionable_Science_in_Practice_Co-producing_Climate_Change_Information_for_Water_Utility_Vulnerability_Assessments Year: 2015 _record_number: 26393 _uuid: c54bb72b-a4af-41f4-9f0a-1464f047610d reftype: Book child_publication: /book/actionable-science-practice-co-producing-climate-change-information-water-utility-vulnerability-assessments href: https://data.globalchange.gov/reference/c54bb72b-a4af-41f4-9f0a-1464f047610d.yaml identifier: c54bb72b-a4af-41f4-9f0a-1464f047610d uri: /reference/c54bb72b-a4af-41f4-9f0a-1464f047610d - attrs: Abstract: 'The sensitivity of agricultural productivity to climate has not been sufficiently quantified. The total factor productivity (TFP) of the US agricultural economy has grown continuously for over half a century, with most of the growth typically attributed to technical change. Many studies have examined the effects of local climate on partial productivity measures such as crop yields and economic returns, but these measures cannot account for national-level impacts. Quantifying the relationships between TFP and climate is critical to understanding whether current US agricultural productivity growth will continue into the future. We analyze correlations between regional climate variations and national TFP changes, identify key climate indices, and build a multivariate regression model predicting the growth of agricultural TFP based on a physical understanding of its historical relationship with climate. We show that temperature and precipitation in distinct agricultural regions and seasons explain ∼70% of variations in TFP growth during 1981–2010. To date, the aggregate effects of these regional climate trends on TFP have been outweighed by improvements in technology. Should these relationships continue, however, the projected climate changes could cause TFP to drop by an average 2.84 to 4.34% per year under medium to high emissions scenarios. As a result, TFP could fall to pre-1980 levels by 2050 even when accounting for present rates of innovation. Our analysis provides an empirical foundation for integrated assessment by linking regional climate effects to national economic outcomes, offering a more objective resource for policy making.' Author: 'Liang, Xin-Zhong; Wu, You; Chambers, Robert G.; Schmoldt, Daniel L.; Gao, Wei; Liu, Chaoshun; Liu, Yan-An; Sun, Chao; Kennedy, Jennifer A.' DOI: 10.1073/pnas.1615922114 Date: 'March 21, 2017' Issue: 12 Journal: Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America Pages: E2285-E2292 Title: Determining climate effects on US total agricultural productivity Volume: 114 Year: 2017 _record_number: 21170 _uuid: c5857041-2594-47cf-a6bc-3fab052fa903 reftype: Journal Article child_publication: /article/10.1073/pnas.1615922114 href: https://data.globalchange.gov/reference/c5857041-2594-47cf-a6bc-3fab052fa903.yaml identifier: c5857041-2594-47cf-a6bc-3fab052fa903 uri: /reference/c5857041-2594-47cf-a6bc-3fab052fa903 - attrs: Abstract: 'The Southwestern US is a five-state region that has supported animal agriculture since the late 16th Century when European settlers crossed the Rio Grande into present day west Texas and southern New Mexico with herds of cattle, sheep, goats and horses. For the past 400 years the rangeland livestock industry, in its many forms and manifestations, has developed management strategies and conservation practices that impart resilience to the climatic extremes, especially prolonged droughts, that are common and extensive across this region. Livestock production from rangelands in the southwest (SW) is adapted to low rainfall and high ambient temperatures, but will have to continue to adapt management strategies, such as reduced stocking rates, proper grazing management practices, employing animal genetics suited to arid environments with less herbaceous production, erosion control conservation practices, and alternative forage supplies, in an increasingly arid and variable climatic environment. Even though the aging demographics of western ranchers could be a deterrent to implementing various adaptations, there are examples of creative management coalitions to cope with climatic change that are emerging in the SW that can serve as instructive examples. More importantly, there are additional opportunities for incorporation of transformative practices and technologies that can sustain animal agriculture in the SW in a warmer environment. Animal agriculture in the SW is inherently resilient, and has the capacity to adapt and transform as needed to the climatic changes that are now occurring and will continue to occur across this region. However, producers and land managers will need to thoroughly understand the vulnerabilities and sensitivities that face them as well as the ecological characteristics of their specific landscapes in order to cope with the emerging climatic changes across the SW region.' Author: 'Havstad, K. M.; Brown, J. R.; Estell, R.; Elias, E.; Rango, A.; Steele, C.' DOI: 10.1007/s10584-016-1834-7 Date: November 08 ISSN: 1573-1480 Journal: Climatic Change Title: Vulnerabilities of southwestern U.S. rangeland-based animal agriculture to climate change Type of Article: journal article Year: 2016 _record_number: 23531 _uuid: c779538d-b066-4e38-8527-ff3f7552f26e reftype: Journal Article child_publication: /article/10.1007/s10584-016-1834-7 href: https://data.globalchange.gov/reference/c779538d-b066-4e38-8527-ff3f7552f26e.yaml identifier: c779538d-b066-4e38-8527-ff3f7552f26e uri: /reference/c779538d-b066-4e38-8527-ff3f7552f26e - attrs: Author: 'West, J. Jason; Smith, Steven J.; Silva, Raquel A.; Naik, Vaishali; Zhang, Yuqiang; Adelman, Zachariah; Fry, Meridith M.; Anenberg, Susan; Horowitz, Larry W.; Lamarque, Jean-Francois' DOI: 10.1038/nclimate2009 Date: 10//print ISSN: 1758-678X Issue: 10 Journal: Nature Climate Change Pages: 885-889 Publisher: Nature Publishing Group Title: Co-benefits of mitigating global greenhouse gas emissions for future air quality and human health Type of Article: Letter Volume: 3 Year: 2013 _record_number: 21695 _uuid: c826f3cd-fcd9-46b1-b781-f33ff27d0680 reftype: Journal Article child_publication: /article/10.1038/nclimate2009 href: https://data.globalchange.gov/reference/c826f3cd-fcd9-46b1-b781-f33ff27d0680.yaml identifier: c826f3cd-fcd9-46b1-b781-f33ff27d0680 uri: /reference/c826f3cd-fcd9-46b1-b781-f33ff27d0680 - attrs: Author: 'State of California,' Pages: 4 Place Published: 'Sacramento, CA' Publisher: 'State of California, Executive Department' Title: 'Executive Order B-40-17 (Terminating the January 17, 2014 Drought State of Emergency in all California Counties except Fresno, Kings, Tulare, and Tuolumne)' URL: https://www.gov.ca.gov/wp-content/uploads/2017/09/4.7.17_Exec_Order_B-40-17.pdf Year: 2017 _record_number: 23917 _uuid: c8a744d8-11d1-420b-ab72-f175efb028d9 reftype: Government Document child_publication: /report/executive-order-b-40-17 href: https://data.globalchange.gov/reference/c8a744d8-11d1-420b-ab72-f175efb028d9.yaml identifier: c8a744d8-11d1-420b-ab72-f175efb028d9 uri: /reference/c8a744d8-11d1-420b-ab72-f175efb028d9 - attrs: .reference_type: 10 Author: 'GNEB,' Institution: Good Neighbor Environmental Board Pages: 90 Place Published: 'Washington, DC' Report Number: EPA 202-R-16-001 Title: 'Climate Change and Resilient Communities Along the U.S.-Mexico Border: The Role of Federal Agencies' URL: https://irsc.sdsu.edu/docs/17th_gneb_report_publication_120516_final_508.pdf Year: 2016 _record_number: 26158 _uuid: c8ae5ca2-1afd-4b7c-972b-0bf99c24d12e reftype: Report child_publication: /report/climate-change-resilient-communities-along-us-mexico-border-role-federal-agencies href: https://data.globalchange.gov/reference/c8ae5ca2-1afd-4b7c-972b-0bf99c24d12e.yaml identifier: c8ae5ca2-1afd-4b7c-972b-0bf99c24d12e uri: /reference/c8ae5ca2-1afd-4b7c-972b-0bf99c24d12e - attrs: .reference_type: 0 Author: 'Barbero, R.; Abatzoglou, J.T.; Larkin, N.K.; Kolden, C.A.; Stocks, B.' DOI: 10.1071/WF15083 ISSN: 1448-5516 Journal: International Journal of Wildland Fire Title: Climate change presents increased potential for very large fires in the contiguous United States Year: 2015 _record_number: 19295 _uuid: ca5c4b38-9aa8-4edc-9aea-42f1625cc45b reftype: Journal Article child_publication: /article/10.1071/WF15083 href: https://data.globalchange.gov/reference/ca5c4b38-9aa8-4edc-9aea-42f1625cc45b.yaml identifier: ca5c4b38-9aa8-4edc-9aea-42f1625cc45b uri: /reference/ca5c4b38-9aa8-4edc-9aea-42f1625cc45b - attrs: Abstract: 'Summary 1 Tropospheric ozone (O3) and carbon dioxide (CO2) are significant drivers of plant growth and chemical composition. We hypothesized that exposure to elevated concentrations of O3 and CO2, singly and in combination, would modify the chemical composition of Trifolium and thus alter its digestibility and nutritive quality for ruminant herbivores. 2 We tested our hypothesis by collecting samples of Red Clover (Trifolium pratense) and White Clover (Trifolium repens) from the understoreys of Trembling Aspen (Populus tremuloides)–Sugar Maple (Acer saccharum) communities that had been exposed since 1998 to ambient air, elevated CO2, elevated O3 or elevated CO2 + O3 at the Aspen Free-Air CO2 and O3 Enrichment (FACE) site located near Rhinelander, WI, USA. Foliage samples were analysed for (1) concentrations of N, total cell wall constituents, lignin and soluble phenolics; and (2) in vitro dry-matter digestibility (IVDMD) and in vitro cell-wall digestibility (IVCWD) using batch cultures of ruminal micro-organisms. 3 Significant air-treatment effects were observed for lignin concentration, IVDMD and IVCWD, and between Red and White Clover for all dependent variables. No air treatment × clover species interactions were detected. 4 Exposure to elevated O3 resulted in increased concentration of lignin and decreased IVDMD and IVCWD compared with exposure to ambient air, and the response was similar regardless of whether plants had been coexposed to elevated CO2. Exposure to elevated CO2 alone did not affect chemical composition or in vitro digestibility, nor did it ameliorate the negative effect of elevated O3 on these determinants of nutritive quality for ruminant herbivores. 5 In contrast to recent reports of a protective effect of elevated CO2 against growth reduction in plants under O3 stress, our results indicate that elevated CO2 would not be expected to ameliorate the negative impact of elevated O3 on nutritive quality of Trifolium under projected future global climate scenarios.' Author: 'Muntifering, R. B.; Chappelka, A. H.; Lin, J. C.; Karnosky, D. F.; Somers, G. L.' DOI: 10.1111/j.1365-2435.2006.01093.x Issue: 2 Journal: Functional Ecology Pages: 269-275 Title: Chemical composition and digestibility of Trifolium exposed to elevated ozone and carbon dioxide in a free-air (FACE) fumigation system Volume: 20 Year: 2006 _record_number: 25974 _uuid: ca9cdd27-f128-4a98-83bd-d8b40b2429cf reftype: Journal Article child_publication: /article/10.1111/j.1365-2435.2006.01093.x href: https://data.globalchange.gov/reference/ca9cdd27-f128-4a98-83bd-d8b40b2429cf.yaml identifier: ca9cdd27-f128-4a98-83bd-d8b40b2429cf uri: /reference/ca9cdd27-f128-4a98-83bd-d8b40b2429cf - attrs: Abstract: 'BACKGROUND: Extremes of temperature are associated with short-term increases in daily mortality. OBJECTIVES: We set out to identify subpopulations and mortality causes with increased susceptibility to temperature extremes. METHODS: We conducted a case-only analysis using daily mortality and hourly weather data from 50 U.S. cities for the period 1989–2000, covering a total of 7,789,655 deaths. We used distributions of daily minimum and maximum temperature in each city to define extremely hot days (≥ 99th percentile) and extremely cold days (≤ 1st percentile), respectively. For each (hypothesized) effect modifier, a city-specific logistic regression model was fitted and an overall estimate calculated in a subsequent meta-analysis. RESULTS: Older subjects [odds ratio (OR) = 1.020; 95% confidence interval (CI), 1.005–1.034], diabetics (OR = 1.035; 95% CI, 1.010–1.062), blacks (OR = 1.037; 95% CI, 1.016–1.059), and those dying outside a hospital (OR = 1.066; 95% CI, 1.036–1.098) were more susceptible to extreme heat, with some differences observed between those dying from a cardiovascular disease and other decedents. Cardiovascular deaths (OR = 1.053; 95% CI, 1.036–1.070), and especially cardiac arrest deaths (OR =1.137; 95% CI, 1.051–1.230), showed a greater relative increase on extremely cold days, whereas the increase in heat-related mortality was marginally higher for those with coexisting atrial fibrillation (OR = 1.059; 95% CI, 0.996–1.125). CONCLUSIONS: In this study we identified several subpopulations and mortality causes particularly susceptible to temperature extremes. This knowledge may contribute to establishing health programs that would better protect the vulnerable.' Author: 'Medina-Ramón, Mercedes; Zanobetti, Antonella; Cavanagh, David Paul; Schwartz, Joel' DOI: 10.1289/ehp.9074 Date: "07/06\r02/06/received\r07/05/accepted" ISSN: "0091-6765\r1552-9924" Issue: 9 Journal: Environmental Health Perspectives Name of Database: PMC Notes: "ehp0114-001331[PII]\r16966084[pmid]\rEnviron Health Perspect" Pages: 1331-1336 Publisher: National Institute of Environmental Health Sciences Title: 'Extreme temperatures and mortality: Assessing effect modification by personal characteristics and specific cause of death in a multi-city case-only analysis' Volume: 114 Year: 2006 _record_number: 23824 _uuid: cc49dc7d-d481-4103-a681-a17fe17d35c2 reftype: Journal Article child_publication: /article/10.1289/ehp.9074 href: https://data.globalchange.gov/reference/cc49dc7d-d481-4103-a681-a17fe17d35c2.yaml identifier: cc49dc7d-d481-4103-a681-a17fe17d35c2 uri: /reference/cc49dc7d-d481-4103-a681-a17fe17d35c2 - attrs: Author: 'Crooks, James Lewis; Wayne E. Cascio; Madelyn S. Percy; Jeanette Reyes; Lucas M. Neas; Elizabeth D. Hilborn' DOI: 10.1289/EHP216 Issue: 11 Journal: Environmental Health Perspectives Pages: 1735-1743 Title: 'The association between dust storms and daily non-accidental mortality in the United States, 1993–2005' Volume: 124 Year: 2016 _record_number: 23754 _uuid: ccc19864-47c9-4e36-af43-fbc650359f44 reftype: Journal Article child_publication: /article/10.1289/EHP216 href: https://data.globalchange.gov/reference/ccc19864-47c9-4e36-af43-fbc650359f44.yaml identifier: ccc19864-47c9-4e36-af43-fbc650359f44 uri: /reference/ccc19864-47c9-4e36-af43-fbc650359f44 - attrs: Abstract: 'Urban crime may be an important but overlooked public health impact of rising ambient temperatures. We conducted a time series analysis of associations between temperature and crimes in Philadelphia, PA, for years 2006–2015. We obtained daily crime data from the Philadelphia Police Department, and hourly temperature and dew point data from the National Centers for Environmental Information. We calculated the mean daily heat index and daily deviations from each year’s seasonal mean heat index value. We used generalized additive models with a quasi-Poisson distribution, adjusted for day of the week, public holiday, and long-term trends and seasonality, to estimate relative rates (RR) and 95% confidence intervals. We found that the strongest associations were with violent crime and disorderly conduct. For example, relative to the median of the distribution of mean daily heat index values, the rate of violent crimes was 9% (95% CI 6–12%) higher when the mean daily heat index was at the 99th percentile of the distribution. There was a positive, linear relationship between deviations of the daily mean heat index from the seasonal mean and rates of violent crime and disorderly conduct, especially in cold months. Overall, these analyses suggest that disorderly conduct and violent crimes are highest when temperatures are comfortable, especially during cold months. This work provides important information regarding the temporal patterns of crime activity.' Author: 'Schinasi, Leah H.; Hamra, Ghassan B.' DOI: 10.1007/s11524-017-0181-y Date: December 01 ISSN: 1468-2869 Issue: 6 Journal: Journal of Urban Health Pages: 892-900 Title: 'A time series analysis of associations between daily temperature and crime events in Philadelphia, Pennsylvania' Type of Article: journal article Volume: 94 Year: 2017 _record_number: 25981 _uuid: cd84eaa2-f9fd-449f-ba51-39ded685b0cb reftype: Journal Article child_publication: /article/10.1007/s11524-017-0181-y href: https://data.globalchange.gov/reference/cd84eaa2-f9fd-449f-ba51-39ded685b0cb.yaml identifier: cd84eaa2-f9fd-449f-ba51-39ded685b0cb uri: /reference/cd84eaa2-f9fd-449f-ba51-39ded685b0cb