--- - attrs: .reference_type: 0 Author: 'Hess, Jeremy J.; Saha, Shubhayu; Luber, George' DOI: 10.1289/ehp.1306796 ISSN: 1552-9924 Issue: 11 Journal: Environmental Health Perspectives Pages: 1209-1215 Title: 'Summertime acute heat illness in U.S. emergency departments from 2006 through 2010: Analysis of a nationally representative sample' Volume: 122 Year: 2014 _chapter: Ch2 _record_number: 16112 _uuid: 7d16ea3a-c4dc-4ebd-8d38-c3d6a64a3e66 reftype: Journal Article child_publication: /article/10.1289/ehp.1306796 href: https://data.globalchange.gov/reference/7d16ea3a-c4dc-4ebd-8d38-c3d6a64a3e66.yaml identifier: 7d16ea3a-c4dc-4ebd-8d38-c3d6a64a3e66 uri: /reference/7d16ea3a-c4dc-4ebd-8d38-c3d6a64a3e66 - attrs: .publisher: American Meteorological Society .reference_type: 0 Access Date: 2013/08/02 Author: "Das, T.\rHidalgo, H. G.\rPierce, D. W.\rBarnett, T. P.\rDettinger, M. D.\rCayan, D. R.\rBonfils, C.\rBala, G.\rMirin, A." DOI: 10.1175/2009jhm1095.1 Date: 2009/08/01 ISSN: 1525-755X Issue: 4 Journal: Journal of Hydrometeorology Pages: 871-892 Title: Structure and detectability of trends in hydrological measures over the western United States URL: http://journals.ametsoc.org/doi/pdf/10.1175/2009JHM1095.1 Volume: 10 Year: 2009 _chapter: '["Ch. 3: Water Resources FINAL"]' _record_number: 4106 _uuid: 7db8f4ff-81fb-4d22-949a-076aab55aa86 reftype: Journal Article child_publication: /article/10.1175/2009jhm1095.1 href: https://data.globalchange.gov/reference/7db8f4ff-81fb-4d22-949a-076aab55aa86.yaml identifier: 7db8f4ff-81fb-4d22-949a-076aab55aa86 uri: /reference/7db8f4ff-81fb-4d22-949a-076aab55aa86 - attrs: .reference_type: 0 Author: 'Albertine, Jennifer M.; Manning, William J.; DaCosta, Michelle; Stinson, Kristina A.; Muilenberg, Michael L.; Rogers, Christine A.' DOI: 10.1371/journal.pone.0111712 ISSN: 1932-6203 Issue: 11 Journal: PLoS ONE Pages: e111712 Title: Projected carbon dioxide to increase grass pollen and allergen exposure despite higher ozone levels Volume: 9 Year: 2014 _chapter: Ch3 _record_number: 16124 _uuid: 7dff169a-bb19-4f80-bdc9-9aae8d13a86f reftype: Journal Article child_publication: /article/10.1371/journal.pone.0111712 href: https://data.globalchange.gov/reference/7dff169a-bb19-4f80-bdc9-9aae8d13a86f.yaml identifier: 7dff169a-bb19-4f80-bdc9-9aae8d13a86f uri: /reference/7dff169a-bb19-4f80-bdc9-9aae8d13a86f - attrs: Author: 'Luo, Lifeng; Apps, Deanna; Arcand, Samuel; Xu, Huating; Pan, Ming; Hoerling, Martin' DOI: 10.1002/2016GL072027 ISSN: 1944-8007 Issue: 7 Journal: Geophysical Research Letters Keywords: drought; temperature anomaly; precipitation deficit; snowpack Pages: 3184-3192 Title: Contribution of temperature and precipitation anomalies to the California drought during 2012–2015 Volume: 44 Year: 2017 _record_number: 23812 _uuid: 7e31e226-148a-44b3-9314-ddc15d118e30 reftype: Journal Article child_publication: /article/10.1002/2016GL072027 href: https://data.globalchange.gov/reference/7e31e226-148a-44b3-9314-ddc15d118e30.yaml identifier: 7e31e226-148a-44b3-9314-ddc15d118e30 uri: /reference/7e31e226-148a-44b3-9314-ddc15d118e30 - attrs: Abstract: 'Observed streamflow and climate data are used to test the hypothesis that climate change is already affecting Rio Grande streamflow volume derived from snowmelt runoff in ways consistent with model-based projections of 21st-Century streamflow. Annual and monthly changes in streamflow volume and surface climate variables on the Upper Rio Grande, near its headwaters in southern Colorado, are assessed for water years 1958–2015. Results indicate winter and spring season temperatures in the basin have increased significantly, April 1 snow water equivalent (SWE) has decreased by approximately 25%, and streamflow has declined slightly in the April–July snowmelt runoff season. Small increases in precipitation have reduced the impact of declining snowpack on trends in streamflow. Changes in the snowpack–runoff relationship are noticeable in hydrographs of mean monthly streamflow, but are most apparent in the changing ratios of precipitation (rain + snow, and SWE) to streamflow and in the declining fraction of runoff attributable to snowpack or winter precipitation. The observed changes provide observational confirmation for model projections of decreasing runoff attributable to snowpack, and demonstrate the decreasing utility of snowpack for predicting subsequent streamflow on a seasonal basis in the Upper Rio Grande Basin.' Author: 'Chavarria, Shaleene B.; Gutzler, David S.' DOI: 10.1111/1752-1688.12640 Issue: 3 Journal: JAWRA Journal of the American Water Resources Association Pages: 644-659 Title: Observed changes in climate and streamflow in the Upper Rio Grande basin Volume: 54 Year: 2018 _record_number: 25961 _uuid: 7e8738a6-8451-4e90-823a-ec9797aff33d reftype: Journal Article child_publication: /article/10.1111/1752-1688.12640 href: https://data.globalchange.gov/reference/7e8738a6-8451-4e90-823a-ec9797aff33d.yaml identifier: 7e8738a6-8451-4e90-823a-ec9797aff33d uri: /reference/7e8738a6-8451-4e90-823a-ec9797aff33d - attrs: Abstract: Wildfire is a particular concern in the wildland–urban interface (WUI) of the western United States where human development occurs close to flammable natural vegetation. Author: 'Liu, Zhihua; Wimberly, Michael C.; Lamsal, Aashis; Sohl, Terry L.; Hawbaker, Todd J.' DOI: 10.1007/s10980-015-0222-4 Date: December 01 ISSN: 1572-9761 Issue: 10 Journal: Landscape Ecology Pages: 1943-1957 Title: 'Climate change and wildfire risk in an expanding wildland–urban interface: A case study from the Colorado Front Range Corridor' Type of Article: journal article Volume: 30 Year: 2015 _record_number: 21979 _uuid: 7ef4f167-6123-4660-8d23-e50f7fa99dbc reftype: Journal Article child_publication: /article/10.1007/s10980-015-0222-4 href: https://data.globalchange.gov/reference/7ef4f167-6123-4660-8d23-e50f7fa99dbc.yaml identifier: 7ef4f167-6123-4660-8d23-e50f7fa99dbc uri: /reference/7ef4f167-6123-4660-8d23-e50f7fa99dbc - attrs: Author: 'Westerling, Anthony LeRoy' DOI: 10.1098/rstb.2015.0178 Journal: 'Philosophical Transactions of the Royal Society B: Biological Sciences' Pages: 20150178 Title: 'Increasing western US forest wildfire activity: Sensitivity to changes in the timing of spring' Volume: 371 Year: 2016 _record_number: 21942 _uuid: 80cf45a9-2066-4434-ae46-0e8f53b2427d reftype: Journal Article child_publication: /article/10.1098/rstb.2015.0178 href: https://data.globalchange.gov/reference/80cf45a9-2066-4434-ae46-0e8f53b2427d.yaml identifier: 80cf45a9-2066-4434-ae46-0e8f53b2427d uri: /reference/80cf45a9-2066-4434-ae46-0e8f53b2427d - attrs: Author: 'McDowell, N. G.; Williams, A. P.; Xu, C.; Pockman, W. T.; Dickman, L. T.; Sevanto, S.; Pangle, R.; Limousin, J.; Plaut, J.; Mackay, D. S.; Ogee, J.; Domec, J. C.; Allen, C. D.; Fisher, R. A.; Jiang, X.; Muss, J. D.; Breshears, D. D.; Rauscher, S. A.; Koven, C.' DOI: 10.1038/nclimate2873 Date: 03//print ISSN: 1758-678X Issue: 3 Journal: Nature Climate Change Pages: 295-300 Publisher: Nature Publishing Group Title: Multi-scale predictions of massive conifer mortality due to chronic temperature rise Type of Article: Letter Volume: 6 Year: 2016 _record_number: 21972 _uuid: 811ef6d7-304b-40e0-8b90-433d80cdb5f0 reftype: Journal Article child_publication: /article/10.1038/nclimate2873 href: https://data.globalchange.gov/reference/811ef6d7-304b-40e0-8b90-433d80cdb5f0.yaml identifier: 811ef6d7-304b-40e0-8b90-433d80cdb5f0 uri: /reference/811ef6d7-304b-40e0-8b90-433d80cdb5f0 - attrs: Abstract: 'Changes in the amount and timing of snowmelt have large effects on water for society and ecosystems. Using long-term records from across the western United States, we demonstrate that atmospheric humidity is a major control on how seasonal snow responds to warming temperatures. Specifically, we observe an increase in the frequency and magnitude of episodic winter melt events under higher humidity that may alter the timing of water availability. In lower-humidity regions, however, warming is associated with increased sublimation and/or evaporation from the snowpack further reducing the amount of available water in these dry regions. Management approaches to address these changes in snowmelt water resources from continued warming will require improved estimation of variable and changing atmospheric humidity.Climate change is altering historical patterns of snow accumulation and melt, threatening societal frameworks for water supply. However, decreases in spring snow water equivalent (SWE) and changes in snowmelt are not ubiquitous despite widespread warming in the western United States, highlighting the importance of latent and radiant energy fluxes in snow ablation. Here we demonstrate how atmospheric humidity and solar radiation interact with warming temperature to control snowpack ablation at 462 sites spanning a gradient in mean winter temperature from −8.9 to +2.9 °C. The most widespread response to warming was an increase in episodic, midwinter ablation events. Under humid conditions these ablation events were dominated by melt, averaging 21% (202 mm/year) of SWE. Winter ablation under dry atmospheric conditions at similar temperatures was smaller, averaging 12% (58 mm/year) of SWE and likely dominated by sublimation fluxes. These contrasting patterns result from the critical role that atmospheric humidity plays in local energy balance, with latent and longwave radiant fluxes cooling the snowpack under dry conditions and warming it under humid conditions. Similarly, spring melt rates were faster under humid conditions, yet the second most common trend was a reduction in spring melt rates associated with earlier initiation when solar radiation inputs are smaller. Our analyses demonstrate that regional differences in atmospheric humidity are a major cause of the spatial variability in snowpack response to warming. Better constraints on humidity will be critical to predicting both the amount and timing of surface water supplies under climate change.' Author: 'Harpold, Adrian A.; Brooks, Paul D.' DOI: 10.1073/pnas.1716789115 Issue: 6 Journal: Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America Pages: 1215-1220 Title: Humidity determines snowpack ablation under a warming climate Volume: 115 Year: 2018 _record_number: 26363 _uuid: 81925b96-fbad-4ee2-b175-6552ecd1e0fe reftype: Journal Article child_publication: /article/10.1073/pnas.1716789115 href: https://data.globalchange.gov/reference/81925b96-fbad-4ee2-b175-6552ecd1e0fe.yaml identifier: 81925b96-fbad-4ee2-b175-6552ecd1e0fe uri: /reference/81925b96-fbad-4ee2-b175-6552ecd1e0fe - attrs: .reference_type: 10 Author: 'Maupin, Molly A.; Joan F. Kenny; Susan S. Hutson; John K. Lovelace; Nancy L. Barber; Kristin S. Linsey ' DOI: 10.3133/cir1405 Institution: U.S. Geological Survey Pages: 56 Place Published: 'Reston, VA' Series Volume: USGC Circular 1405 Title: Estimated Use of Water in the United States in 2010 Year: 2014 _record_number: 21508 _uuid: 81bd7c9e-d465-4eb4-a0d9-5b3f244c839e reftype: Report child_publication: /report/estimated-use-water-united-states-2010 href: https://data.globalchange.gov/reference/81bd7c9e-d465-4eb4-a0d9-5b3f244c839e.yaml identifier: 81bd7c9e-d465-4eb4-a0d9-5b3f244c839e uri: /reference/81bd7c9e-d465-4eb4-a0d9-5b3f244c839e - attrs: Abstract: 'Analyses of observed non-Gaussian daily minimum and maximum temperature probability distribution functions (PDFs) in the Southwest US highlight the importance of variance and warm tail length in determining future heat wave probability. Even if no PDF shape change occurs with climate change, locations with shorter warm tails and/or smaller variance will see a greater increase in heat wave probability, defined as exceedances above the historical 95th percentile threshold, than will long tailed/larger variance distributions. Projections from ten downscaled CMIP5 models show important geospatial differences in the amount of warming expected for a location. However, changes in heat wave probability do not directly follow changes in background warming. Projected changes in heat wave probability are largely explained by a rigid shift of the daily temperature distribution. In some locations where there is more warming, future heat wave probability is buffered somewhat by longer warm tails. In other parts of the Southwest where there is less warming, heat wave probability is relatively enhanced because of shorter tailed PDFs. Effects of PDF shape changes are generally small by comparison to those from a rigid shift, and fall within the range of uncertainty among models in the amount of warming expected by the end of the century.' Author: 'Guirguis, Kristen; Gershunov, Alexander; Cayan, Daniel R.; Pierce, David W.' DOI: 10.1007/s00382-017-3850-3 Date: May 01 ISSN: 1432-0894 Issue: 9-10 Journal: Climate Dynamics Pages: 3853-3864 Title: Heat wave probability in the changing climate of the Southwest US Type of Article: journal article Volume: 50 Year: 2018 _record_number: 25968 _uuid: 81df3f02-3aa9-4c38-a7a5-a0602f8668ff reftype: Journal Article child_publication: /article/10.1007/s00382-017-3850-3 href: https://data.globalchange.gov/reference/81df3f02-3aa9-4c38-a7a5-a0602f8668ff.yaml identifier: 81df3f02-3aa9-4c38-a7a5-a0602f8668ff uri: /reference/81df3f02-3aa9-4c38-a7a5-a0602f8668ff - attrs: Abstract: 'Climate warming poses two major challenges for birds: exposure to higher temperatures and disruption of the synchrony between nesting and resource emergence. To cope, birds are expected to track temperature by moving to cooler areas and to track resource emergence by breeding earlier. We show that these two responses are intertwined. Earlier breeding can substitute for range shifts by reducing temperatures during critical breeding-season life-history events. We show that early-summer temperatures affect nesting success in North American birds and that Californian birds breed ∼1 wk earlier today than a century ago. Thus, without shifting geographically, birds now nest at similar temperatures as they did a century ago, which might reshape both the need and the opportunity for range shifts.Species respond to climate change in two dominant ways: range shifts in latitude or elevation and phenological shifts of life-history events. Range shifts are widely viewed as the principal mechanism for thermal niche tracking, and phenological shifts in birds and other consumers are widely understood as the principal mechanism for tracking temporal peaks in biotic resources. However, phenological and range shifts each present simultaneous opportunities for temperature and resource tracking, although the possible role for phenological shifts in thermal niche tracking has been widely overlooked. Using a canonical dataset of Californian bird surveys and a detectability-based approach for quantifying phenological signal, we show that Californian bird communities advanced their breeding phenology by 5–12 d over the last century. This phenological shift might track shifting resource peaks, but it also reduces average temperatures during nesting by over 1 °C, approximately the same magnitude that average temperatures have warmed over the same period. We further show that early-summer temperature anomalies are correlated with nest success in a continental-scale database of bird nests, suggesting avian thermal niches might be broadly limited by temperatures during nesting. These findings outline an adaptation surface where geographic range and breeding phenology respond jointly to constraints imposed by temperature and resource phenology. By stabilizing temperatures during nesting, phenological shifts might mitigate the need for range shifts. Global change ecology will benefit from further exploring phenological adjustment as a potential mechanism for thermal niche tracking and vice versa.' Author: 'Socolar, Jacob B.; Epanchin, Peter N.; Beissinger, Steven R.; Tingley, Morgan W.' DOI: 10.1073/pnas.1705897114 Issue: 49 Journal: Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America Pages: 12976-12981 Title: Phenological shifts conserve thermal niches in North American birds and reshape expectations for climate-driven range shifts Volume: 114 Year: 2017 _record_number: 25983 _uuid: 820ced23-71ae-4607-8353-74e3881db2a1 reftype: Journal Article child_publication: /article/10.1073/pnas.1705897114 href: https://data.globalchange.gov/reference/820ced23-71ae-4607-8353-74e3881db2a1.yaml identifier: 820ced23-71ae-4607-8353-74e3881db2a1 uri: /reference/820ced23-71ae-4607-8353-74e3881db2a1 - attrs: Abstract: 'High temperatures and severe drought contributed to extensive tree mortality from fires and bark beetles during the 2000s in parts of the western continental United States. Several states in this region have greenhouse gas (GHG) emission targets and would benefit from information on the amount of carbon stored in tree biomass killed by disturbance. We quantified mean annual tree mortality from fires, bark beetles, and timber harvest from 2003–2012 for each state in this region. We estimated tree mortality from fires and beetles using tree aboveground carbon (AGC) stock and disturbance data sets derived largely from remote sensing. We quantified tree mortality from harvest using data from US Forest Service reports. In both cases, we used Monte Carlo analyses to track uncertainty associated with parameter error and temporal variability. Regional tree mortality from harvest, beetles, and fires (MORT H+B+F ) together averaged 45.8 ± 16.0 Tg AGC yr −1 (±95% confidence interval), indicating a mortality rate of 1.10 ± 0.38% yr −1 . Harvest accounted for the largest percentage of MORT H+B+F (∼50%), followed by beetles (∼32%), and fires (∼18%). Tree mortality from harvest was concentrated in Washington and Oregon, where harvest accounted for ∼80% of MORT H+B+F in each state. Tree mortality from beetles occurred widely at low levels across the region, yet beetles had pronounced impacts in Colorado and Montana, where they accounted for ∼80% of MORT H+B+F . Tree mortality from fires was highest in California, though fires accounted for the largest percentage of MORT H+B+F in Arizona and New Mexico (∼50%). Drought and human activities shaped regional variation in tree mortality, highlighting opportunities and challenges to managing GHG emissions from forests. Rising temperatures and greater risk of drought will likely increase tree mortality from fires and bark beetles during coming decades in this region. Thus, sustained monitoring and mapping of tree mortality is necessary to inform forest and GHG management.' Author: 'Berner, Logan T.; Beverly E. Law; Arjan J. H. Meddens; Jeffrey A. Hicke' DOI: 10.1088/1748-9326/aa6f94 ISSN: 1748-9326 Issue: 6 Journal: Environmental Research Letters Pages: 065005 Title: 'Tree mortality from fires, bark beetles, and timber harvest during a hot and dry decade in the western United States (2003–2012)' Volume: 12 Year: 2017 _record_number: 23664 _uuid: 8252d3e9-6de4-4d92-942a-69ffa9769fc1 reftype: Journal Article child_publication: /article/10.1088/1748-9326/aa6f94 href: https://data.globalchange.gov/reference/8252d3e9-6de4-4d92-942a-69ffa9769fc1.yaml identifier: 8252d3e9-6de4-4d92-942a-69ffa9769fc1 uri: /reference/8252d3e9-6de4-4d92-942a-69ffa9769fc1 - attrs: .reference_type: 10 Author: 'TCCP,' Institution: 'Tribal Climate Change Profile (TCCP) Project, University of Oregon' Pages: 6 Place Published: 'Eugene, OR' Title: 'Tribal Climate Change Profile. Santa Ynez Band of Chumash Indians: Climate Change and Environmental Management Programs' URL: http://www7.nau.edu/itep/main/tcc/docs/tribes/tribes_Chumash.pdf Year: 2013 _record_number: 23944 _uuid: 826a78bd-d04d-44d7-b400-ce3d095d7358 reftype: Report child_publication: /report/tribal-climate-change-profile-santa-ynez-band-chumash-indians-climate-change-environmental-management-programs href: https://data.globalchange.gov/reference/826a78bd-d04d-44d7-b400-ce3d095d7358.yaml identifier: 826a78bd-d04d-44d7-b400-ce3d095d7358 uri: /reference/826a78bd-d04d-44d7-b400-ce3d095d7358 - attrs: .reference_type: 10 Author: 'City of San Francisco,' Institution: City and County of San Francisco Notes: 'Broader web site: ' Pages: various Place Published: 'San Francisco, CA' Title: Sea Level Rise Action Plan URL: http://default.sfplanning.org/plans-and-programs/planning-for-the-city/sea-level-rise/160309_SLRAP_Final_ED.pdf Year: 2016 _record_number: 23959 _uuid: 82b84134-2a64-4012-8d88-31bee34874bb reftype: Report child_publication: /report/sea-level-rise-action-plan href: https://data.globalchange.gov/reference/82b84134-2a64-4012-8d88-31bee34874bb.yaml identifier: 82b84134-2a64-4012-8d88-31bee34874bb uri: /reference/82b84134-2a64-4012-8d88-31bee34874bb - attrs: Author: 'North, M. P.; Stephens, S. L.; Collins, B. M.; Agee, J. K.; Aplet, G.; Franklin, J. F.; Fulé, P. Z.' DOI: 10.1126/science.aab2356 Issue: 6254 Journal: Science Pages: 1280-1281 Title: Reform forest fire management Volume: 349 Year: 2015 _record_number: 23837 _uuid: 82c292bd-b80a-425b-8300-23330807b4f6 reftype: Journal Article child_publication: /article/10.1126/science.aab2356 href: https://data.globalchange.gov/reference/82c292bd-b80a-425b-8300-23330807b4f6.yaml identifier: 82c292bd-b80a-425b-8300-23330807b4f6 uri: /reference/82c292bd-b80a-425b-8300-23330807b4f6 - attrs: .reference_type: 0 Abstract: 'California’s coastal observations and global model projections indicate that California’s open coast and estuaries will experience rising sea levels over the next century. During the last several decades, the upward historical trends, quantified from a small set of California tide gages, have been approximately 20 cm/century, quite similar to that estimated for global mean sea level. In the next several decades, warming produced by climate model simulations indicates that sea level rise (SLR) could substantially exceed the rate experienced during modern human development along the California coast and estuaries. A range of future SLR is estimated from a set of climate simulations governed by lower (B1), middle–upper (A2), and higher (A1fi) GHG emission scenarios. Projecting SLR from the ocean warming in GCMs, observational evidence of SLR, and separate calculations using a simple climate model yields a range of potential sea level increases, from 11 to 72 cm, by the 2070–2099 period. The combination of predicted astronomical tides with projected weather forcing, El Niño related variability, and secular SLR, gives a series of hourly sea level projections for 2005–2100. Gradual sea level rise progressively worsens the impacts of high tides, surge and waves resulting from storms, and also freshwater floods from Sierra and coastal mountain catchments. The occurrence of extreme sea levels is pronounced when these factors coincide. The frequency and magnitude of extreme events, relative to current levels, follows a sharply escalating pattern as the magnitude of future sea level rise increases.' Author: "Cayan, D.R.\rBromirski, P.D.\rHayhoe, K.\rTyree, M.\rDettinger, M.D.\rFlick, R.E." DOI: 10.1007/s10584-007-9376-7 ISSN: 0165-0009 Issue: 1 Supplement Journal: Climatic Change Keywords: Earth and Environmental Science Pages: 57-73 Title: Climate change projections of sea level extremes along the California coast Volume: 87 Year: 2008 _chapter: '["Ch. 4: Energy Supply and Use FINAL"]' _record_number: 323 _uuid: 83265c54-8988-42a0-a194-11744d0e1742 reftype: Journal Article child_publication: /article/10.1007/s10584-007-9376-7 href: https://data.globalchange.gov/reference/83265c54-8988-42a0-a194-11744d0e1742.yaml identifier: 83265c54-8988-42a0-a194-11744d0e1742 uri: /reference/83265c54-8988-42a0-a194-11744d0e1742 - attrs: .reference_type: 16 Author: 'California Energy Commission,' Place Published: 'Sacramento, CA' Title: 'California Electrical Energy Generation [web site]' URL: http://www.energy.ca.gov/almanac/electricity_data/electricity_generation.html; . Year: 2018 _record_number: 26404 _uuid: 8347d2b2-855d-4765-b7a2-6d2a9e0c99f4 reftype: Web Page child_publication: /webpage/c7746707-90e0-48aa-8aef-6392cbe6896c href: https://data.globalchange.gov/reference/8347d2b2-855d-4765-b7a2-6d2a9e0c99f4.yaml identifier: 8347d2b2-855d-4765-b7a2-6d2a9e0c99f4 uri: /reference/8347d2b2-855d-4765-b7a2-6d2a9e0c99f4 - attrs: Author: 'Smith, R. G.; Knight, R.; Chen, J.; Reeves, J. A.; Zebker, H. A.; Farr, T.; Liu, Z.' DOI: 10.1002/2016WR019861 ISSN: 1944-7973 Issue: 3 Journal: Water Resources Research Keywords: InSAR; subsidence; groundwater; 1835 Hydrogeophysics; 1829 Groundwater hydrology; 1855 Remote sensing Pages: 2133-2148 Title: 'Estimating the permanent loss of groundwater storage in the southern San Joaquin Valley, California' Volume: 53 Year: 2017 _record_number: 23858 _uuid: 836f1c9d-7866-4a78-9aca-c10ddce687a3 reftype: Journal Article child_publication: /article/10.1002/2016WR019861 href: https://data.globalchange.gov/reference/836f1c9d-7866-4a78-9aca-c10ddce687a3.yaml identifier: 836f1c9d-7866-4a78-9aca-c10ddce687a3 uri: /reference/836f1c9d-7866-4a78-9aca-c10ddce687a3 - attrs: .reference_type: 10 Author: 'Rising Voices,' Institution: University Corporation for Atmospheric Research (UCAR) Pages: 21 Place Published: 'Boulder, CO' Title: 'Adaptation to Climate Change and Variability: Bringing Together Science and Indigenous Ways of Knowing to Create Positive Solutions (Rising Voices 2 Workshop Report)' URL: https://risingvoices.ucar.edu/sites/default/files/rv2_full_workshop_report_2014.pdf Year: 2014 _record_number: 23924 _uuid: 83a76545-f6df-4797-99f1-2eee3dd768be reftype: Report child_publication: /report/adaptation-climate-change-variability-bringing-together-science-indigenous-ways-knowing-create-positive-solutions-rising-voices-2-workshop-report href: https://data.globalchange.gov/reference/83a76545-f6df-4797-99f1-2eee3dd768be.yaml identifier: 83a76545-f6df-4797-99f1-2eee3dd768be uri: /reference/83a76545-f6df-4797-99f1-2eee3dd768be - attrs: Author: 'McDonnell, William F.; Abbey, David E.; Nishino, Naomi; Lebowitz, Michael D.' DOI: 10.1006/enrs.1998.3894 Date: 1999/02/01/ ISSN: 0013-9351 Issue: 2 Journal: Environmental Research Keywords: asthma; ozone; air pollution; epidemiology. Pages: 110-121 Title: 'Long-term ambient ozone concentration and the incidence of asthma in nonsmoking adults: The Ahsmog study' Volume: 80 Year: 1999 _record_number: 23821 _uuid: 83c1c095-1738-4258-a936-1468e078b57b reftype: Journal Article child_publication: /article/10.1006/enrs.1998.3894 href: https://data.globalchange.gov/reference/83c1c095-1738-4258-a936-1468e078b57b.yaml identifier: 83c1c095-1738-4258-a936-1468e078b57b uri: /reference/83c1c095-1738-4258-a936-1468e078b57b - attrs: Abstract: 'Although biotic responses to contemporary climate change are spatially pervasive and often reflect synergies between climate and other ecological disturbances, the relative importance of climatic factors versus habitat extent for species persistence remains poorly understood. To address this shortcoming, we performed surveys for American pikas (Ochotona princeps) at > 910 locations in 3 geographic regions of western North America during 2014 and 2015, complementing earlier modern (1994–2013) and historical (1898–1990) surveys. We sought to compare extirpation rates and the relative importance of climatic factors versus habitat area for pikas in a mainland-versus-islands framework. In each region, we found widespread evidence of distributional loss—local extirpations, upslope retractions, and encounter of only old sign. Locally comprehensive surveys suggest extirpation of O. princeps from 5 of 9 new sites from the hydrographic Great Basin and from 11 of 29 sites in northeastern California. Although American pikas were recorded as recently as 2011 in Zion National Park and in 2012 from Cedar Breaks National Monument in Utah, O. princeps now appears extirpated from all reported localities in both park units. Multiple logistic regressions for each region suggested that both temperature-related and water-balance-related variables estimated from DAYMET strongly explained pika persistence at sites in the Great Basin and in Utah but not in the Sierra-Cascade “mainland” portion of northeastern California. Conversely, talus-habitat area did not predict American pika persistence in the Great Basin or Utah but strongly predicted persistence in the Sierra-Cascade mainland. These results not only add new areas to our understanding of long-term trend of the American pika’s distribution, but also can inform decisions regarding allocation of conservation effort and management actions. Burgeoning research on species such as O. princeps has collectively demonstrated the heterogeneity and nuance with which climate can act on the distribution of mountain-dwelling mammals.Aunque las respuestas bióticas al cambio climático contemporáneo son espacialmente generalizadas y frecuentemente reflejan sinergias entre el clima y otros disturbios ecológicos, la importancia relativa de factores climáticos frente al área de hábitat para el mantenimiento de especies sigue siendo poco conocida. Para subsanar esta deficiencia, realizamos muestreos de la pika Americana (Ochotona princeps) en más de 910 sitios en 3 regiones geográficas del oeste de Norteamérica durante 2014 y 2015, complementando muestreos realizados en tiempos recientes (1994–2013) e históricos (1898–1990). Comparamos las tasas de extirpación para dilucidar la importancia relativa de los factores climáticos con respeto al área del hábitat disponible de las pikas bajo un marco conceptual de áreas continentales frente a zonas aisladas. En cada región, encontramos amplia evidencia en la pérdida de área de distribución - extinciones locales, desapariciones de las zonas bajas, y encuentro sólo de evidencia de ocupación pasada. Estudios localmente exhaustivos sugieren la extirpación de O. princeps en 5 de las 9 localidades nuevas muestreadas de la Gran Cuenca Hidrográfica (Great Basin), y en 11 de las 29 localidades en el noreste de California. Aunque las pikas todavía se encontraban en fechas recientes como en 2011 en el Parque Nacional Zion y en el Monumento Nacional Cedar Breaks en Utah en 2012, O. princeps ahora parece extirpada de todas las localidades donde fue encontrada anteriormente en ambos parques. Regresiones logísticas múltiples para cada región basados en factores ambientales como la temperatura y los factores relacionados con el balance del agua (ambos estimados por el DAYMET) explicaron claramente el patrón de persistencia de la pika en localidades de la Gran Cuenca y en Utah, pero no en el noreste de California, en el área “continental” de la montañas de Sierra Nevada y Cascades. Por el contrario, el hábitat de talud no p edijo la persistencia de la pika en los sitios aislados en la Gran Cuenca y en Utah, pero lo predijo significativamente en el área continental (i.e., en las montañas de Sierra Nevada y Cascades). Estos resultados incrementan el conocimiento sobre la distribución histórica y la tendencia a largo plazo de la pika Americana. Este conocimiento también puede ayudar en la toma de decisiones sobre las prioridades en las acciones en conservación y manejo. El avance en conjunto en investigaciones de especies como O. princeps ha demostrado la heterogeneidad y la forma con que el clima actúa de diferente manera sobre la distribución de los mamíferos de montaña.' Author: 'Beever, Erik A.; Perrine, John D.; Rickman, Tom; Flores, Mary; Clark, John P.; Waters, Cassie; Weber, Shana S.; Yardley, Braden; Thoma, David; Chesley-Preston, Tara; Goehring, Kenneth E.; Magnuson, Michael; Nordensten, Nancy; Nelson, Melissa; Collins, Gail H.' DOI: 10.1093/jmammal/gyw128 ISSN: 0022-2372 Issue: 6 Journal: Journal of Mammalogy Notes: 10.1093/jmammal/gyw128 Pages: 1495-1511 Title: 'Pika (Ochotona princeps) losses from two isolated regions reflect temperature and water balance, but reflect habitat area in a mainland region' Volume: 97 Year: 2016 _record_number: 23724 _uuid: 83e4ade9-14c6-40b4-ae82-508e72e0597f reftype: Journal Article child_publication: /article/10.1093/jmammal/gyw128 href: https://data.globalchange.gov/reference/83e4ade9-14c6-40b4-ae82-508e72e0597f.yaml identifier: 83e4ade9-14c6-40b4-ae82-508e72e0597f uri: /reference/83e4ade9-14c6-40b4-ae82-508e72e0597f - attrs: .reference_type: 10 Author: 'Rockman, Marcy; Morgan, Marissa; Ziaja, Sonya; Hambrecht, George; Meadow, Alison' Institution: 'Cultural Resources, Partnerships, and Science and Climate Change Response Program, National Park Service' Keywords: Climate change; Cultural Place Published: 'Washington, DC' Title: Cultural Resources Climate Change Strategy URL: https://www.nps.gov/subjects/climatechange/upload/NPS-2016_Cultural-Resoures-Climate-Change-Strategy.pdf Year: 2016 _record_number: 22827 _uuid: 83f70578-19a7-4a1c-a2af-92f1c28f5740 reftype: Report child_publication: /report/cultural-resources-climate-change-strategy href: https://data.globalchange.gov/reference/83f70578-19a7-4a1c-a2af-92f1c28f5740.yaml identifier: 83f70578-19a7-4a1c-a2af-92f1c28f5740 uri: /reference/83f70578-19a7-4a1c-a2af-92f1c28f5740 - attrs: Article Number: art98 Author: 'Mazer, Susan J.; Gerst, Katharine L.; Matthews, Elizabeth R.; Evenden, Angela' DOI: 10.1890/ES14-00433.1 ISSN: 2150-8925 Issue: 6 Journal: Ecosphere Keywords: Baccharis pilularis; California Phenology Project; citizen science; climate change; Eriogonum fasciculatum; first flowering date; phenology; phenological response; phenophase; Quercus lobata; Sambucus nigra; USA National Phenology Network Pages: 1-27 Publisher: Ecological Society of America Title: Species-specific phenological responses to winter temperature and precipitation in a water-limited ecosystem Volume: 6 Year: 2015 _record_number: 23685 _uuid: 846ee6e9-5136-4423-8aaf-d9daf73352ca reftype: Journal Article child_publication: /article/10.1890/ES14-00433.1 href: https://data.globalchange.gov/reference/846ee6e9-5136-4423-8aaf-d9daf73352ca.yaml identifier: 846ee6e9-5136-4423-8aaf-d9daf73352ca uri: /reference/846ee6e9-5136-4423-8aaf-d9daf73352ca - attrs: Abstract: 'BackgroundExertional heat illness (EHI) affects military personnel, athletes and occupational groups such as agricultural workers, despite knowledge of preventive measures.AimsTo evaluate EHI diagnoses during US Army basic training and its associations with fitness and body fat on entering military service.MethodsFrom February 2005 to September 2006, US Army recruits at six different military entrance stations took a pre-accession fitness test, including a 5-min step test scored as pass or fail. Subsequent EHI incidence and incidence rate ratios were analysed with reference to subjects’ fitness (step test performance) and whether they met (weight qualified [WQ]) or exceeded body fat (EBF) standards.ResultsAmong the 8621 WQ and 834 EBF male subjects, there were 67 incidents of EHI within 180 days of entering military service. Among WQ subjects, step test failure was significantly associated with EHI (odds ratio [OR] 2.00, 95% confidence interval [CI] 1.13, 3.53). For those passing the step test, the risk of EHI was significantly higher in EBF than in WQ subjects (OR 3.98, 95% CI 2.17, 7.29). Expected ORs for the joint effects of step test failure and EBF classification under additive and multiplicative models were 4.98 and 7.96, respectively. There were too few women to evaluate their data in detail.ConclusionsThis study demonstrated that fitness and body fat are independently associated with incident EHI, and the effect of both was substantially higher. Those with low fitness levels and/or obesity should be evaluated further before engaging in intense physical activity, especially in warmer months.' Author: 'Bedno, S. A.; Urban, N.; Boivin, M. R.; Cowan, D. N.' DOI: 10.1093/occmed/kqu062 ISSN: 0962-7480 Issue: 6 Journal: Occupational Medicine Notes: 10.1093/occmed/kqu062 Pages: 461-467 Title: 'Fitness, obesity and risk of heat illness among army trainees' Volume: 64 Year: 2014 _record_number: 23723 _uuid: 852e2333-496f-4c49-afed-3d3c57d33308 reftype: Journal Article child_publication: /article/10.1093/occmed/kqu062 href: https://data.globalchange.gov/reference/852e2333-496f-4c49-afed-3d3c57d33308.yaml identifier: 852e2333-496f-4c49-afed-3d3c57d33308 uri: /reference/852e2333-496f-4c49-afed-3d3c57d33308 - attrs: .reference_type: 7 Author: 'Redsteer, M.; Hiza, Bemis; Chief, K.D.; Gautam, M.; Middleton, B.R.; Tsosie, R.' Book Title: 'Assessment of Climate Change in the Southwest United States: A Report Prepared for the National Climate Assessment' Editor: 'Garfin, Greg; Jardine, Angie; Overpeck, Jonathan' Pages: 385-404 Place Published: 'Washington, DC' Publisher: Island Press Title: 'Unique challenges facing southwestern Tribes: Impacts, adaptation and mitigation' Year: 2013 _record_number: 18271 _uuid: 85923ac2-22e6-4265-9d70-1887132abfce reftype: Book Section child_publication: /book/c9625c65-c20f-4163-87fe-cebf734f7836 href: https://data.globalchange.gov/reference/85923ac2-22e6-4265-9d70-1887132abfce.yaml identifier: 85923ac2-22e6-4265-9d70-1887132abfce uri: /reference/85923ac2-22e6-4265-9d70-1887132abfce - attrs: Author: 'Bednaršek, N.; Feely, R. A.; Reum, J. C. P.; Peterson, B.; Menkel, J.; Alin, S. R.; Hales, B.' DOI: 10.1098/rspb.2014.0123 Issue: 1785 Journal: 'Proceedings of the Royal Society B: Biological Sciences' Title: Limacina helicina shell dissolution as an indicator of declining habitat suitability owing to ocean acidification in the California Current Ecosystem Type of Article: 10.1098/rspb.2014.0123 Volume: 281 Year: 2014 _record_number: 22171 _uuid: 861d5508-2a4d-4c92-848d-65bb5984b21a reftype: Journal Article child_publication: /article/10.1098/rspb.2014.0123 href: https://data.globalchange.gov/reference/861d5508-2a4d-4c92-848d-65bb5984b21a.yaml identifier: 861d5508-2a4d-4c92-848d-65bb5984b21a uri: /reference/861d5508-2a4d-4c92-848d-65bb5984b21a - attrs: Author: 'Young, Kristina E.; Grover, Henry S.; Bowker, Matthew A.' DOI: 10.1111/nph.13910 Issue: 1 Journal: New Phytologist Pages: 18-22 Title: Altering biocrusts for an altered climate Volume: 210 Year: 2016 _record_number: 26407 _uuid: 8627dc43-0f4f-4504-b0e6-9bd74ac36b45 reftype: Journal Article child_publication: /article/10.1111/nph.13910 href: https://data.globalchange.gov/reference/8627dc43-0f4f-4504-b0e6-9bd74ac36b45.yaml identifier: 8627dc43-0f4f-4504-b0e6-9bd74ac36b45 uri: /reference/8627dc43-0f4f-4504-b0e6-9bd74ac36b45 - attrs: .reference_type: 10 Author: 'Hutto, Sara V.; Kelley D. Higgason; Jessi M. Kershner; Whitney A. Reynier; Darrell S. Gregg ' Institution: 'National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration, Office of National Marine Sanctuaries' Pages: 475 Place Published: 'Silver Spring, MD' Series Volume: Marine Sanctuaries Conservation Series ONMS-15-02 Title: 'Climate Change Vulnerability Assessment for the North-central California Coast and Ocean ' URL: https://nmssanctuaries.blob.core.windows.net/sanctuaries-prod/media/archive/science/conservation/pdfs/vulnerability-assessment-gfnms.pdf Year: 2015 _record_number: 23947 _uuid: 868f45d1-d3c6-46c6-bad4-cc82dcbd4b36 reftype: Report child_publication: /report/climate-change-vulnerability-assessment-north-central-california-coast-ocean href: https://data.globalchange.gov/reference/868f45d1-d3c6-46c6-bad4-cc82dcbd4b36.yaml identifier: 868f45d1-d3c6-46c6-bad4-cc82dcbd4b36 uri: /reference/868f45d1-d3c6-46c6-bad4-cc82dcbd4b36 - attrs: .reference_type: 10 Author: 'Flessa, Karl; Eloise Kendy; Karen Schlatter' Institution: University of Arizona (for the International Boundary and Water Commission) Pages: 78 Place Published: 'Tucson, AZ' Title: 'Minute 319: Colorado River Limitrophe and Delta Environmental Flows Monitoring. Interim Report' URL: https://www.ibwc.gov/Files/Minutes%20319/2016_EFM_InterimReport_Min319.pdf Year: 2016 _record_number: 23954 _uuid: 86db4a9f-c8bd-4fbe-ac00-605a277c67ab reftype: Report child_publication: /report/minute-319-colorado-river-limitrophe-delta-environmental-flows-monitoring-interim-report href: https://data.globalchange.gov/reference/86db4a9f-c8bd-4fbe-ac00-605a277c67ab.yaml identifier: 86db4a9f-c8bd-4fbe-ac00-605a277c67ab uri: /reference/86db4a9f-c8bd-4fbe-ac00-605a277c67ab - attrs: .reference_type: 10 Author: 'Salmon Technical Team (STT),' Institution: Pacific Fishery Management Council Pages: 335 Place Published: 'Portland, OR' Title: Review of 2017 Ocean Salmon Fisheries. Stock Assessment and Fishery Evaluation (SAFE) document URL: https://www.pcouncil.org/wp-content/uploads/2018/02/Review_of_2017_Ocean_Salmon_Fisheries_18Final.pdf Year: 2018 _record_number: 26378 _uuid: 8725a83b-a72b-420d-ac68-c4938504de2d reftype: Report child_publication: /report/review-2017-ocean-salmon-fisheries-stock-assessment-fishery-evaluation-safe-document href: https://data.globalchange.gov/reference/8725a83b-a72b-420d-ac68-c4938504de2d.yaml identifier: 8725a83b-a72b-420d-ac68-c4938504de2d uri: /reference/8725a83b-a72b-420d-ac68-c4938504de2d - attrs: .publisher: 'Wiley Periodicals, Inc.' .reference_type: 0 Author: 'Janssen, Emily; Wuebbles, Donald J.; Kunkel, Kenneth E.; Olsen, Seth C.; Goodman, Alex' DOI: 10.1002/2013EF000185 ISSN: 2328-4277 Issue: 2 Journal: Earth’s Future Keywords: Extreme Precipitation; CMIP5; 1637 Regional climate change; 1610 Atmosphere; 1620 Climate dynamics; 1626 Global climate models; 1627 Coupled models of the climate system Pages: 99-113 Title: 'Observational- and model-based trends and projections of extreme precipitation over the contiguous United States' Volume: 2 Year: 2014 _record_number: 19689 _uuid: 8785e73d-2258-47f6-b4f5-a79b6ac5ce25 reftype: Journal Article child_publication: /article/10.1002/2013EF000185 href: https://data.globalchange.gov/reference/8785e73d-2258-47f6-b4f5-a79b6ac5ce25.yaml identifier: 8785e73d-2258-47f6-b4f5-a79b6ac5ce25 uri: /reference/8785e73d-2258-47f6-b4f5-a79b6ac5ce25 - attrs: .reference_type: 0 Abstract: 'Observations have shown that the hydrological cycle of the western United States changed significantly over the last half of the 20th century. We present a regional, multivariable climate change detection and attribution study, using a high- resolution hydrologic model forced by global climate models, focusing on the changes that have already affected this primarily arid region with a large and growing population. The results show that up to 60% of the climate- related trends of river flow, winter air temperature, and snow pack between 1950 and 1999 are human- induced. These results are robust to perturbation of study variates and methods. They portend, in conjunction with previous work, a coming crisis in water supply for the western United States.' Accession Number: 34 Alternate Journal: Science Author: "Barnett, T.P.\rPierce, D.W.\rHidalgo, H.G.\rBonfils, C.\rSanter, B.D.\rDas, T.\rBala, G.\rWood, A.W.\rNozawa, T.\rMirin, A. A.\rCayan, D.R.\rDettinger, M.D." Author Address: '[Barnett, Tim P.; Pierce, David W.; Hidalgo, Hugo G.; Das, Tapash; Cayan, Daniel R.; Dettinger, Michael D.] Univ Calif San Diego, Scripps Inst Oceanog, La Jolla, CA 92093 USA. [Bonfils, Celine; Santer, Benjamin D.; Bala, Govindasamy; Mirin, Arthur A.] Lawrence Livermore Natl Lab, Livermore, CA 94550 USA. [Wood, Andrew W.] Univ Washington, Land Surface Hydrol Res Grp, Seattle, WA 98195 USA. [Nozawa, Toru] Natl Inst Environm Studies, Tsukuba, Ibaraki 3058506, Japan. [Cayan, Daniel R.; Dettinger, Michael D.] US Geol Survey, La Jolla, CA 92093 USA.; Barnett, TP, Univ Calif San Diego, Scripps Inst Oceanog, La Jolla, CA 92093 USA.; tbarnett-ul@ucsd.edu' DOI: 10.1126/science.1152538 Date: Feb ISSN: 0036-8075 Issue: 5866 Journal: Science Keywords: north-america; climate-change; trends; model; attribution; streamflow; snowpack; cycle Language: English Notes: 'ISI Document Delivery No.: 264SW; Times Cited: 69; Cited Reference Count: 29; Barnett, Tim P. Pierce, David W. Hidalgo, Hugo G. Bonfils, Celine Santer, Benjamin D. Das, Tapash Bala, Govindasamy Wood, Andrew W. Nozawa, Toru Mirin, Arthur A. Cayan, Daniel R. Dettinger, Michael D.; Amer assoc advancement science; Washington' Pages: 1080-1083 Title: Human-induced changes in the hydrology of the western United States Type of Article: Article URL: http://www.sciencemag.org/cgi/content/abstract/1152538 Volume: 319 Year: 2008 _chapter: '["Ch. 20: Southwest FINAL","Ch. 8: Ecosystems FINAL","Ch. 3: Water Resources FINAL","Appendix 3: Climate Science FINAL"]' _record_number: 862 _uuid: 87875dde-385b-4f57-b0ae-aa21648b2833 reftype: Journal Article child_publication: /article/10.1126/science.1152538 href: https://data.globalchange.gov/reference/87875dde-385b-4f57-b0ae-aa21648b2833.yaml identifier: 87875dde-385b-4f57-b0ae-aa21648b2833 uri: /reference/87875dde-385b-4f57-b0ae-aa21648b2833 - attrs: Author: 'Jacox, Michael G.; Michael A. Alexander; Nathan J. Mantua; James D . Scott; Gaelle Hervieux; Robert S. Webb; Francisco E. Werner' DOI: 10.1175/BAMS-D-17-0119.1 Issue: 1 Journal: Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society Pages: S27-S33 Title: 'Forcing of multiyear extreme ocean temperatures that impacted California Current living marine resources in 2016 [in "Explaining Extreme Events of 2016 from a Climate Perspective"]' Volume: 99 Year: 2018 _record_number: 23790 _uuid: 87d40ebf-edbf-4216-a021-b94f8d944602 reftype: Journal Article child_publication: /article/10.1175/BAMS-D-17-0119.1 href: https://data.globalchange.gov/reference/87d40ebf-edbf-4216-a021-b94f8d944602.yaml identifier: 87d40ebf-edbf-4216-a021-b94f8d944602 uri: /reference/87d40ebf-edbf-4216-a021-b94f8d944602 - attrs: Author: 'Guo, Qinghua; Kelly, Maggi; Graham, Catherine H.' DOI: 10.1016/j.ecolmodel.2004.07.012 Date: 2005/02/25/ ISSN: 0304-3800 Issue: 1 Journal: Ecological Modelling Keywords: Geographic information systems; Support vector machines; Potential disease spread; Sudden Oak Death Pages: 75-90 Title: Support vector machines for predicting distribution of Sudden Oak Death in California Volume: 182 Year: 2005 _record_number: 23773 _uuid: 8843699c-4922-470e-a1cd-641106cec6bc reftype: Journal Article child_publication: /article/10.1016/j.ecolmodel.2004.07.012 href: https://data.globalchange.gov/reference/8843699c-4922-470e-a1cd-641106cec6bc.yaml identifier: 8843699c-4922-470e-a1cd-641106cec6bc uri: /reference/8843699c-4922-470e-a1cd-641106cec6bc - attrs: .reference_type: 0 Author: "Levitus, S.\rAntonov, J.I.\rBoyer, T.P.\rLocarnini, R.A.\rGarcia, H.E.\rMishonov, A.V." DOI: 10.1029/2008GL037155 Issue: 7 Journal: Geophysical Research Letters Pages: L07608 Title: Global ocean heat content 1955–2008 in light of recently revealed instrumentation problems Volume: 36 Year: 2009 _chapter: '["Ch. 24: Oceans FINAL"]' _record_number: 778 _uuid: 88eb1d21-c245-468e-9508-33f3beebe215 reftype: Journal Article child_publication: /article/10.1029/2008GL037155 href: https://data.globalchange.gov/reference/88eb1d21-c245-468e-9508-33f3beebe215.yaml identifier: 88eb1d21-c245-468e-9508-33f3beebe215 uri: /reference/88eb1d21-c245-468e-9508-33f3beebe215 - attrs: .reference_type: 10 Author: 'Mai, Trieu; Ryan Wiser; Galen Barbose; Lori Bird; Jenny Heeter; David Keyser; Venkat Krishnan; Jordan Macknick; Dev Millstein' Institution: National Renewable Energy Laboratory Pages: 58 Place Published: 'Golden, CO' Series Volume: NREL/TP-6A20-67455; LBNL-1006962 Title: 'A Prospective Analysis of the Costs, Benefits, and Impacts of U.S. Renewable Portfolio Standards' URL: https://www.nrel.gov/docs/fy17osti/67455.pdf Year: 2016 _record_number: 23937 _uuid: 89088f91-a16a-4a72-8712-8004fba09c64 reftype: Report child_publication: /report/prospective-analysis-costs-benefits-impacts-us-renewable-portfolio-standards href: https://data.globalchange.gov/reference/89088f91-a16a-4a72-8712-8004fba09c64.yaml identifier: 89088f91-a16a-4a72-8712-8004fba09c64 uri: /reference/89088f91-a16a-4a72-8712-8004fba09c64 - attrs: Author: 'Toyofuku, Takashi; Matsuo, Miki Y.; de Nooijer, Lennart Jan; Nagai, Yukiko; Kawada, Sachiko; Fujita, Kazuhiko; Reichart, Gert-Jan; Nomaki, Hidetaka; Tsuchiya, Masashi; Sakaguchi, Hide; Kitazato, Hiroshi' DOI: 10.1038/ncomms14145 Date: 01/27/online Journal: Nature Communications Pages: 14145 Publisher: The Author(s) Title: Proton pumping accompanies calcification in foraminifera Type of Article: Article Volume: 8 Year: 2017 _record_number: 23700 _uuid: 893d8808-72b4-4728-8759-76fd65dd724d reftype: Journal Article child_publication: /article/10.1038/ncomms14145 href: https://data.globalchange.gov/reference/893d8808-72b4-4728-8759-76fd65dd724d.yaml identifier: 893d8808-72b4-4728-8759-76fd65dd724d uri: /reference/893d8808-72b4-4728-8759-76fd65dd724d - attrs: .reference_type: 0 Abstract: 'California is currently in the midst of a record-setting drought. The drought began in 2012 and now includes the lowest calendar-year and 12-mo precipitation, the highest annual temperature, and the most extreme drought indicators on record. The extremely warm and dry conditions have led to acute water shortages, groundwater overdraft, critically low streamflow, and enhanced wildfire risk. Analyzing historical climate observations from California, we find that precipitation deficits in California were more than twice as likely to yield drought years if they occurred when conditions were warm. We find that although there has not been a substantial change in the probability of either negative or moderately negative precipitation anomalies in recent decades, the occurrence of drought years has been greater in the past two decades than in the preceding century. In addition, the probability that precipitation deficits co-occur with warm conditions and the probability that precipitation deficits produce drought have both increased. Climate model experiments with and without anthropogenic forcings reveal that human activities have increased the probability that dry precipitation years are also warm. Further, a large ensemble of climate model realizations reveals that additional global warming over the next few decades is very likely to create ∼100% probability that any annual-scale dry period is also extremely warm. We therefore conclude that anthropogenic warming is increasing the probability of co-occurring warm–dry conditions like those that have created the acute human and ecosystem impacts associated with the “exceptional” 2012–2014 drought in California.' Author: 'Diffenbaugh, Noah S.; Swain, Daniel L.; Touma, Danielle' DOI: 10.1073/pnas.1422385112 Date: 'March 31, 2015' Issue: 13 Journal: Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America Pages: 3931-3936 Title: Anthropogenic warming has increased drought risk in California Volume: 112 Year: 2015 _record_number: 19545 _uuid: 89e08a41-6091-45fa-a92e-6168a90a8151 reftype: Journal Article child_publication: /article/10.1073/pnas.1422385112 href: https://data.globalchange.gov/reference/89e08a41-6091-45fa-a92e-6168a90a8151.yaml identifier: 89e08a41-6091-45fa-a92e-6168a90a8151 uri: /reference/89e08a41-6091-45fa-a92e-6168a90a8151 - attrs: Abstract: 'Adaptation planning offers a promising approach for identifying and devising solutions to address local climate change impacts. Yet there is little empirical understanding of the content and quality of these plans. We use content analysis to evaluate 44 local adaptation plans in the United States and multivariate regression to examine how plan quality varies across communities. We find that plans draw on multiple data sources to analyse future climate impacts and include a breadth of strategies. Most plans, however, fail to prioritize impacts and strategies or provide detailed implementation processes, raising concerns about whether adaptation plans will translate into on-the-ground reductions in vulnerability. Our analysis also finds that plans authored by the planning department and those that engaged elected officials in the planning process were of higher quality. The results provide important insights for practitioners, policymakers and scientists wanting to improve local climate adaptation planning and action.' Author: 'Woodruff, Sierra C.; Stults, Missy' DOI: 10.1038/nclimate3012 Date: 08//print ISSN: 1758-678X Issue: 8 Journal: Nature Climate Change Pages: 796-802 Publisher: Nature Publishing Group Title: Numerous strategies but limited implementation guidance in US local adaptation plans Type of Article: Article Volume: 6 Year: 2016 _record_number: 21160 _uuid: 8a61b1a7-bb52-496d-86f7-21911efcf5f8 reftype: Journal Article child_publication: /article/10.1038/nclimate3012 href: https://data.globalchange.gov/reference/8a61b1a7-bb52-496d-86f7-21911efcf5f8.yaml identifier: 8a61b1a7-bb52-496d-86f7-21911efcf5f8 uri: /reference/8a61b1a7-bb52-496d-86f7-21911efcf5f8 - attrs: Abstract: 'Temperature and airport elevation significantly influence the maximum allowable takeoff weight of an aircraft by changing the surface air density and thus the lift produced at a given speed. For a given runway length, airport elevation, and aircraft type, there is a temperature threshold above which the airplane cannot take off at its maximum weight and thus must be weight restricted. The number of summer days necessitating weight restriction has increased since 1980 along with the observed increase in surface temperature. Climate change is projected to increase mean temperatures at all airports and to significantly increase the frequency and severity of extreme heat events at some. These changes will negatively affect aircraft performance, leading to increased weight restrictions, especially at airports with short runways and little room to expand. For a Boeing 737-800 aircraft, it was found that the number of weight-restriction days between May and September will increase by 50%–200% at four major airports in the United States by 2050–70 under the RCP8.5 emissions scenario. These performance reductions may have a negative economic effect on the airline industry. Increased weight restrictions have previously been identified as potential impacts of climate change, but this study is the first to quantify the effect of higher temperatures on commercial aviation. Planning for changes in extreme heat events will help the aviation industry to reduce its vulnerability to this aspect of climate change.' Author: 'Coffel, E.; R. Horton' DOI: 10.1175/wcas-d-14-00026.1 Issue: 1 Journal: 'Weather, Climate, and Society' Keywords: 'Extreme events,Climate change,Economic value,Societal impacts' Pages: 94-102 Title: Climate change and the impact of extreme temperatures on aviation Volume: 7 Year: 2015 _record_number: 24541 _uuid: 8acf6392-b55f-4fbe-a660-1777e06b6607 reftype: Journal Article child_publication: /article/10.1175/wcas-d-14-00026.1 href: https://data.globalchange.gov/reference/8acf6392-b55f-4fbe-a660-1777e06b6607.yaml identifier: 8acf6392-b55f-4fbe-a660-1777e06b6607 uri: /reference/8acf6392-b55f-4fbe-a660-1777e06b6607 - attrs: Author: 'van Vliet, Michelle T. H.; Wiberg, David; Leduc, Sylvain; Riahi, Keywan' DOI: 10.1038/nclimate2903 Date: 04//print ISSN: 1758-678X Issue: 4 Journal: Nature Climate Change Pages: 375-380 Publisher: Nature Publishing Group Title: Power-generation system vulnerability and adaptation to changes in climate and water resources Type of Article: Letter Volume: 6 Year: 2016 _record_number: 21334 _uuid: 8c12cc4c-3448-4055-b7a2-e03ead1c2572 reftype: Journal Article child_publication: /article/10.1038/nclimate2903 href: https://data.globalchange.gov/reference/8c12cc4c-3448-4055-b7a2-e03ead1c2572.yaml identifier: 8c12cc4c-3448-4055-b7a2-e03ead1c2572 uri: /reference/8c12cc4c-3448-4055-b7a2-e03ead1c2572 - attrs: .reference_type: 7 Author: 'Smith, Joel B.; Richels, Richard; Miller, Barbara' Book Title: 'Climate Change Impacts on the United States: The Potential Consequences of Climate Variability and Change' Editor: USGCRP Pages: 219-249 Place Published: 'Cambridge, UK and New York, NY' Publisher: Cambridge University Press Title: Potential consequences of climate variaility and change for the western United States Year: 2001 _record_number: 23920 _uuid: 8c622c97-0a72-48dc-b899-a6a3cced9b1d reftype: Book Section child_publication: /report/climate-change-impacts-on-united-states-potential-consequences-climate-variability-change-report-us-global-change-research-program href: https://data.globalchange.gov/reference/8c622c97-0a72-48dc-b899-a6a3cced9b1d.yaml identifier: 8c622c97-0a72-48dc-b899-a6a3cced9b1d uri: /reference/8c622c97-0a72-48dc-b899-a6a3cced9b1d - attrs: Author: 'Xiao, Mu; Koppa, Akash; Mekonnen, Zelalem; Pagán, Brianna R.; Zhan, Shengan; Cao, Qian; Aierken, Abureli; Lee, Hyongki; Lettenmaier, Dennis P.' DOI: 10.1002/2017GL073333 ISSN: 1944-8007 Issue: 10 Journal: Geophysical Research Letters Keywords: groundwater loss; Central Valley; water balance; 1829 Groundwater hydrology; 1876 Water budgets Pages: 4872-4879 Title: How much groundwater did California's Central Valley lose during the 2012–2016 drought? Volume: 44 Year: 2017 _record_number: 21388 _uuid: 8ca4a4ae-9b6c-478f-bfc9-16762726dfff reftype: Journal Article child_publication: /article/10.1002/2017GL073333 href: https://data.globalchange.gov/reference/8ca4a4ae-9b6c-478f-bfc9-16762726dfff.yaml identifier: 8ca4a4ae-9b6c-478f-bfc9-16762726dfff uri: /reference/8ca4a4ae-9b6c-478f-bfc9-16762726dfff - attrs: .reference_type: 0 Author: 'Reid, Colleen E.; Mann, Jennifer K.; Alfasso, Ruth; English, Paul B.; King, Galatea C.; Lincoln, Rebecca A.; Margolis, Helene G.; Rubado, Dan J.; Sabato, Joseph E.; West, Nancy L.; Woods, Brian; Navarro, Kathleen M.; Balmes, J. R.' DOI: 10.1289/ehp.1103766 ISSN: 1552-9924 Issue: 5 Journal: Environmental Health Perspectives Pages: 715-720 Title: 'Evaluation of a heat vulnerability index on abnormally hot days: An environmental public health tracking study' URL: http://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC3346770/pdf/ehp.1103766.pdf Volume: 120 Year: 2012 _chapter: '["Ch. 9: Human Health FINAL"]' _record_number: 4227 _uuid: 8ddfda37-f9e3-4848-aa97-6f5eb0704765 reftype: Journal Article child_publication: /article/10.1289/ehp.1103766 href: https://data.globalchange.gov/reference/8ddfda37-f9e3-4848-aa97-6f5eb0704765.yaml identifier: 8ddfda37-f9e3-4848-aa97-6f5eb0704765 uri: /reference/8ddfda37-f9e3-4848-aa97-6f5eb0704765 - attrs: .reference_type: 0 Author: "Westerling, A.L.\rBryant, B.P.\rPreisler, H.K.\rHolmes, T.P.\rHidalgo, H.G.\rDas, T.\rShrestha, S.R." DOI: 10.1007/s10584-011-0329-9 ISSN: 0165-0009 Issue: 1 supplement Journal: Climatic Change Pages: 445-463 Title: Climate change and growth scenarios for California wildfire Volume: 109 Year: 2011 _chapter: '["Ch. 20: Southwest FINAL","RG 5 Southwest"]' _record_number: 3395 _uuid: 8dfecf8b-f8a8-4f03-8d68-551b13794a1d reftype: Journal Article child_publication: /article/10.1007/s10584-011-0329-9 href: https://data.globalchange.gov/reference/8dfecf8b-f8a8-4f03-8d68-551b13794a1d.yaml identifier: 8dfecf8b-f8a8-4f03-8d68-551b13794a1d uri: /reference/8dfecf8b-f8a8-4f03-8d68-551b13794a1d - attrs: .reference_type: 0 Abstract: 'Large changes in the hydrology of the western United States have been observed since the mid-twentieth century. These include a reduction in the amount of precipitation arriving as snow, a decline in snowpack at low and midelevations, and a shift toward earlier arrival of both snowmelt and the centroid (center of mass) of streamflows. To project future water supply reliability, it is crucial to obtain a better understanding of the underlying cause or causes for these changes. A regional warming is often posited as the cause of these changes without formal testing of different competitive explanations for the warming. In this study, a rigorous detection and attribution analysis is performed to determine the causes of the late winter/early spring changes in hydrologically relevant temperature variables over mountain ranges of the western United States. Natural internal climate variability, as estimated from two long control climate model simulations, is insufficient to explain the rapid increase in daily minimum and maximum temperatures, the sharp decline in frost days, and the rise in degree-days above 0°C (a simple proxy for temperature-driven snowmelt). These observed changes are also inconsistent with the model-predicted responses to variability in solar irradiance and volcanic activity. The observations are consistent with climate simulations that include the combined effects of anthropogenic greenhouse gases and aerosols. It is found that, for each temperature variable considered, an anthropogenic signal is identifiable in observational fields. The results are robust to uncertainties in model-estimated fingerprints and natural variability noise, to the choice of statistical downscaling method, and to various processing options in the detection and attribution method.' Author: "Bonfils, C.\rSanter, B.D.\rPierce, D.W.\rHidalgo, H.G.\rBala, G.\rDas, T.\rBarnett, T.P.\rCayan, D.R.\rDoutriaux, C.\rWood, A.W.\rMirin, A.\rNozawa, T." DOI: 10.1175/2008JCLI2397.1 ISSN: 1520-0442 Issue: 23 Journal: Journal of Climate Keywords: 'Climate models, ; ENSO, ; Pacific decadal oscillation, ; Orographic effects, ; Climate variability' Pages: 6404-6424 Title: Detection and attribution of temperature changes in the mountainous western United States URL: http://journals.ametsoc.org/doi/abs/10.1175/2008JCLI2397.1 Volume: 21 Year: 2008 _chapter: '["Ch. 20: Southwest FINAL","Ch. 3: Water Resources FINAL","RG 5 Southwest"]' _record_number: 507 _uuid: 8e18883e-9d45-4998-a0dd-bf59bab323ad reftype: Journal Article child_publication: /article/10.1175/2008JCLI2397.1 href: https://data.globalchange.gov/reference/8e18883e-9d45-4998-a0dd-bf59bab323ad.yaml identifier: 8e18883e-9d45-4998-a0dd-bf59bab323ad uri: /reference/8e18883e-9d45-4998-a0dd-bf59bab323ad - attrs: .reference_type: 16 Author: 'NOAA,' Place Published: 'Silver Spring, MD' Publisher: 'National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA), National Ocean Service' Title: 'Mean sea level trend: 9414290 San Francisco, California' URL: https://tidesandcurrents.noaa.gov/sltrends/sltrends_station.shtml?stnid=9414290 Year: 2017 _record_number: 23931 _uuid: 8e1ab38d-5d31-4a6a-8ad6-e06fe74a4aa1 reftype: Web Page child_publication: /webpage/92fcc83c-c31a-46b0-bdd7-99a9070bdda7 href: https://data.globalchange.gov/reference/8e1ab38d-5d31-4a6a-8ad6-e06fe74a4aa1.yaml identifier: 8e1ab38d-5d31-4a6a-8ad6-e06fe74a4aa1 uri: /reference/8e1ab38d-5d31-4a6a-8ad6-e06fe74a4aa1 - attrs: Author: "Balch, Jennifer K.; Bradley, Bethany A.; D'Antonio, Carla M.; Gómez-Dans, José" DOI: 10.1111/gcb.12046 ISSN: 1365-2486 Issue: 1 Journal: Global Change Biology Keywords: Bromus tectorum; exotic grasses; fire frequency; grass-fire cycle; invasive species; MODIS burned-area product; satellite-based fire data Pages: 173-183 Title: Introduced annual grass increases regional fire activity across the arid western USA (1980–2009) Volume: 19 Year: 2013 _record_number: 23717 _uuid: 8e56543a-5a74-43e9-9ce5-a4170e5b3dde reftype: Journal Article child_publication: /article/10.1111/gcb.12046 href: https://data.globalchange.gov/reference/8e56543a-5a74-43e9-9ce5-a4170e5b3dde.yaml identifier: 8e56543a-5a74-43e9-9ce5-a4170e5b3dde uri: /reference/8e56543a-5a74-43e9-9ce5-a4170e5b3dde - attrs: Author: 'Anderson, Dean M.; Estell, Rick E.; Gonzalez, Alfredo L.; Cibils, Andres F.; Torell, L. Allen' DOI: 10.1016/j.rala.2015.01.006 Date: 2015/04/01/ ISSN: 0190-0528 Issue: 2 Journal: Rangelands Keywords: livestock; dry lands; foraging; Mexican cattle Pages: 62-67 Title: 'Criollo cattle: Heritage genetics for arid landscapes' Volume: 37 Year: 2015 _record_number: 23711 _uuid: 8e91f42b-50a5-4b30-a4ce-445f836056c6 reftype: Journal Article child_publication: /article/10.1016/j.rala.2015.01.006 href: https://data.globalchange.gov/reference/8e91f42b-50a5-4b30-a4ce-445f836056c6.yaml identifier: 8e91f42b-50a5-4b30-a4ce-445f836056c6 uri: /reference/8e91f42b-50a5-4b30-a4ce-445f836056c6