--- - attrs: Abstract: 'In recent years increasing attention has been focused on understanding the different resources that can support decision makers at all levels in responding to climate variability and change. This article focuses on the role that access to information and other potential constraints may play in the context of water decision making across three U.S. regions (the Intermountain West, the Great Lakes, and the Carolinas). The authors report on the degree to which climate-related needs or constraints pertinent to water resources are regionally specific. They also find that stakeholder-identified constraints or needs extended beyond the need for data/information to enabling factors such as governance arrangements and how to improve collaboration and communication. As climate information networks expand and emphasis is placed on encouraging adaptation more broadly, these constraints have implications not only for how information dissemination efforts are organized but for how those efforts need to be informed by the larger regional context in a resource-limited and fragmented landscape.' Author: 'Dilling, Lisa; Kirsten Lackstrom; Benjamin Haywood; Kirstin Dow; Maria Carmen Lemos; John Berggren; Scott Kalafatis' DOI: 10.1175/wcas-d-14-00001.1 Issue: 1 Journal: 'Weather, Climate, and Society' Keywords: 'Climate change,Climate variability,Policy,Societal impacts' Pages: 5-17 Title: 'What stakeholder needs tell us about enabling adaptive capacity: The intersection of context and information provision across regions in the United States' Volume: 7 Year: 2015 _record_number: 26359 _uuid: da714e9f-808c-4aae-8d24-aef041988322 reftype: Journal Article child_publication: /article/10.1175/wcas-d-14-00001.1 href: https://data.globalchange.gov/reference/da714e9f-808c-4aae-8d24-aef041988322.yaml identifier: da714e9f-808c-4aae-8d24-aef041988322 uri: /reference/da714e9f-808c-4aae-8d24-aef041988322 - attrs: Author: 'Bucci, Monica; Marques, Sara Silvério; Oh, Debora; Harris, Nadine Burke' DOI: 10.1016/j.yapd.2016.04.002 ISSN: 0065-3101 Issue: 1 Journal: Advances in Pediatrics Pages: 403-428 Publisher: Elsevier Title: Toxic stress in children and adolescents Volume: 63 Year: 2016 _record_number: 23734 _uuid: da90ef66-3e0e-4b0c-a7ea-c0503b993cb2 reftype: Journal Article child_publication: /article/10.1016/j.yapd.2016.04.002 href: https://data.globalchange.gov/reference/da90ef66-3e0e-4b0c-a7ea-c0503b993cb2.yaml identifier: da90ef66-3e0e-4b0c-a7ea-c0503b993cb2 uri: /reference/da90ef66-3e0e-4b0c-a7ea-c0503b993cb2 - attrs: Abstract: "California's primary hydrologic system, the San Francisco estuary and its upstream watershed, is vulnerable to the regional hydrologic consequences of projected global climate change. Projected temperature anomalies from a global climate model are used to drive a combined model of watershed hydrology and estuarine dynamics. By 2090, a projected temperature increase of 2.1°C results in a loss of about half of the average April snowpack storage, with greatest losses in the northern headwaters. Consequently, spring runoff is reduced by 5.6 km3 (∼20% of historical annual runoff), with associated increases in winter flood peaks. The smaller spring flows yield spring/summer salinity increases of up to 9 psu, with larger increases in wet years." Author: 'Knowles, Noah; Cayan, Daniel R.' DOI: 10.1029/2001GL014339 Issue: 18 Journal: Geophysical Research Letters Pages: 1891 Title: Potential effects of global warming on the Sacramento/San Joaquin watershed and the San Francisco estuary Volume: 29 Year: 2002 _record_number: 26371 _uuid: dca58e36-d2c9-43af-b3fd-67338f710de9 reftype: Journal Article child_publication: /article/10.1029/2001GL014339 href: https://data.globalchange.gov/reference/dca58e36-d2c9-43af-b3fd-67338f710de9.yaml identifier: dca58e36-d2c9-43af-b3fd-67338f710de9 uri: /reference/dca58e36-d2c9-43af-b3fd-67338f710de9 - attrs: Author: 'Henson, Stephanie A.; Beaulieu, Claudie; Ilyina, Tatiana; John, Jasmin G.; Long, Matthew; Séférian, Roland; Tjiputra, Jerry; Sarmiento, Jorge L.' DOI: 10.1038/ncomms14682 Database Provider: opensky.ucar.edu Date: 2017 ISSN: 2041-1723 Journal: Nature Communications Pages: 14682 Title: Rapid emergence of climate change in environmental drivers of marine ecosystems Volume: 8 Year: 2017 _record_number: 22449 _uuid: dd11662f-f1a1-4a3b-a34f-295e5364e5ed reftype: Journal Article child_publication: /article/10.1038/ncomms14682 href: https://data.globalchange.gov/reference/dd11662f-f1a1-4a3b-a34f-295e5364e5ed.yaml identifier: dd11662f-f1a1-4a3b-a34f-295e5364e5ed uri: /reference/dd11662f-f1a1-4a3b-a34f-295e5364e5ed - attrs: Author: 'Crouch, Jake; Heim, Richard R.; Hughes, P. E.; Fenimore, Chris' DOI: 10.1175/2013BAMSStateoftheClimate.1 Issue: 8 Journal: Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society Pages: S149-S152 Title: 'Regional climates: United States [in "State of the Climate in 2012"]' Volume: 94 Year: 2013 _record_number: 26354 _uuid: dd9585ac-dc38-4e88-9899-edebb82d51f6 reftype: Journal Article child_publication: /article/10.1175/2013BAMSStateoftheClimate.1 href: https://data.globalchange.gov/reference/dd9585ac-dc38-4e88-9899-edebb82d51f6.yaml identifier: dd9585ac-dc38-4e88-9899-edebb82d51f6 uri: /reference/dd9585ac-dc38-4e88-9899-edebb82d51f6 - attrs: .publisher: Nature Publishing Group .reference_type: 0 Author: 'Slangen, Aimee B. A.; Church, John A.; Agosta, Cecile; Fettweis, Xavier; Marzeion, Ben; Richter, Kristin' DOI: 10.1038/nclimate2991 Date: 04/11/online ISSN: 1758-6798 Journal: Nature Climate Change Pages: 701-705 Title: Anthropogenic forcing dominates global mean sea-level rise since 1970 Volume: 6 Year: 2016 _record_number: 19982 _uuid: dde395ae-d68c-4fdd-b3c8-d1ccbee85102 reftype: Journal Article child_publication: /article/10.1038/nclimate2991 href: https://data.globalchange.gov/reference/dde395ae-d68c-4fdd-b3c8-d1ccbee85102.yaml identifier: dde395ae-d68c-4fdd-b3c8-d1ccbee85102 uri: /reference/dde395ae-d68c-4fdd-b3c8-d1ccbee85102 - attrs: .reference_type: 0 Abstract: 'Increased forest fire activity across the western continental United States (US) in recent decades has likely been enabled by a number of factors, including the legacy of fire suppression and human settlement, natural climate variability, and human-caused climate change. We use modeled climate projections to estimate the contribution of anthropogenic climate change to observed increases in eight fuel aridity metrics and forest fire area across the western United States. Anthropogenic increases in temperature and vapor pressure deficit significantly enhanced fuel aridity across western US forests over the past several decades and, during 2000–2015, contributed to 75% more forested area experiencing high (>1 σ) fire-season fuel aridity and an average of nine additional days per year of high fire potential. Anthropogenic climate change accounted for ∼55% of observed increases in fuel aridity from 1979 to 2015 across western US forests, highlighting both anthropogenic climate change and natural climate variability as important contributors to increased wildfire potential in recent decades. We estimate that human-caused climate change contributed to an additional 4.2 million ha of forest fire area during 1984–2015, nearly doubling the forest fire area expected in its absence. Natural climate variability will continue to alternate between modulating and compounding anthropogenic increases in fuel aridity, but anthropogenic climate change has emerged as a driver of increased forest fire activity and should continue to do so while fuels are not limiting.' Author: 'Abatzoglou, John T.; Williams, A. Park' DOI: 10.1073/pnas.1607171113 Date: 'October 18, 2016' Issue: 42 Journal: Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America Pages: 11770-11775 Title: Impact of anthropogenic climate change on wildfire across western US forests Volume: 113 Year: 2016 _record_number: 20416 _uuid: de4a77df-03ba-4319-a13f-7fdefbb353a5 reftype: Journal Article child_publication: /article/10.1073/pnas.1607171113 href: https://data.globalchange.gov/reference/de4a77df-03ba-4319-a13f-7fdefbb353a5.yaml identifier: de4a77df-03ba-4319-a13f-7fdefbb353a5 uri: /reference/de4a77df-03ba-4319-a13f-7fdefbb353a5 - attrs: .publisher: Springer Netherlands .reference_type: 0 Alternate Journal: Climatic Change Author: "Voggesser, Garrit\rLynn, Kathy\rDaigle, John\rLake, Frank K.\rRanco, Darren" DOI: 10.1007/s10584-013-0733-4 Date: October 2013 Epub Date: 2013/03/29 ISSN: 0165-0009 Issue: 3 Journal: Climatic Change Language: English Pages: 615-626 Title: Cultural impacts to tribes from climate change influences on forests Volume: 120 Year: 2013 _chapter: '["Ch. 12: Indigenous FINAL","RG 6 Northwest","Ch. 1: Overview FINAL","Ch. 21: Northwest FINAL"]' _record_number: 3852 _uuid: debdf209-4050-4706-965c-09cff7ec353b reftype: Journal Article child_publication: /article/10.1007/s10584-013-0733-4 href: https://data.globalchange.gov/reference/debdf209-4050-4706-965c-09cff7ec353b.yaml identifier: debdf209-4050-4706-965c-09cff7ec353b uri: /reference/debdf209-4050-4706-965c-09cff7ec353b - attrs: .reference_type: 0 Author: 'Klos, P. Zion; Link, Timothy E.; Abatzoglou, John T.' DOI: 10.1002/2014GL060500 ISSN: 1944-8007 Issue: 13 Journal: Geophysical Research Letters Keywords: precipitation phase; rain-snow transition; rain snow transition; climate change; 0736 Snow; 1621 Cryospheric change; 1637 Regional climate change; 1854 Precipitation; 1840 Hydrometeorology Pages: 4560-4568 Title: Extent of the rain–snow transition zone in the western U.S. under historic and projected climate Volume: 41 Year: 2014 _record_number: 20539 _uuid: df25e033-b388-4aab-b7a4-00d6a9ef3e7e reftype: Journal Article child_publication: /article/10.1002/2014GL060500 href: https://data.globalchange.gov/reference/df25e033-b388-4aab-b7a4-00d6a9ef3e7e.yaml identifier: df25e033-b388-4aab-b7a4-00d6a9ef3e7e uri: /reference/df25e033-b388-4aab-b7a4-00d6a9ef3e7e - attrs: Author: 'Sherson, Lauren R.; Van Horn, David J.; Gomez-Velez, Jesus D.; Crossey, Laura J.; Dahm, Clifford N.' DOI: 10.1002/hyp.10426 ISSN: 1099-1085 Issue: 14 Journal: Hydrological Processes Keywords: nutrient dynamics; continuous monitoring; wildfire; monsoonal storms; water quality; headwater streams Pages: 3193-3207 Title: 'Nutrient dynamics in an alpine headwater stream: Use of continuous water quality sensors to examine responses to wildfire and precipitation events' Volume: 29 Year: 2015 _record_number: 23855 _uuid: e02079e4-6160-4552-8493-ba80eeeeff8c reftype: Journal Article child_publication: /article/10.1002/hyp.10426 href: https://data.globalchange.gov/reference/e02079e4-6160-4552-8493-ba80eeeeff8c.yaml identifier: e02079e4-6160-4552-8493-ba80eeeeff8c uri: /reference/e02079e4-6160-4552-8493-ba80eeeeff8c - attrs: Author: 'Stewart, Joseph A. E.; Perrine, John D.; Nichols, Lyle B.; Thorne, James H.; Millar, Constance I.; Goehring, Kenneth E.; Massing, Cody P.; Wright, David H.' DOI: 10.1111/jbi.12466 ISSN: 1365-2699 Issue: 5 Journal: Journal of Biogeography Keywords: Climate change; global warming; historical resurvey; metapopulation; Ochotona princeps; pika; range shift; species distribution modelling; talus Pages: 880-890 Title: 'Revisiting the past to foretell the future: Summer temperature and habitat area predict pika extirpations in California' Volume: 42 Year: 2015 _record_number: 23865 _uuid: e028e561-0d0d-4ebd-acc0-5aa92fc73750 reftype: Journal Article child_publication: /article/10.1111/jbi.12466 href: https://data.globalchange.gov/reference/e028e561-0d0d-4ebd-acc0-5aa92fc73750.yaml identifier: e028e561-0d0d-4ebd-acc0-5aa92fc73750 uri: /reference/e028e561-0d0d-4ebd-acc0-5aa92fc73750 - attrs: Author: 'Writer, Jeffrey H.; Hohner, Amanda; Oropeza, Jill; Schmidt, Amanda; Cawley, Kaelin M.; Rosario-Ortiz, Fernando L.' DOI: 10.5942/jawwa.2014.106.0055 Issue: 4 Journal: Journal—American Water Works Association Pages: E189-E199 Title: 'Water treatment implications after the High Park Wildfire, Colorado' Volume: 106 Year: 2014 _record_number: 23889 _uuid: e0d237d0-bc2d-4538-9eb0-4732237cae82 reftype: Journal Article child_publication: /article/10.5942/jawwa.2014.106.0055 href: https://data.globalchange.gov/reference/e0d237d0-bc2d-4538-9eb0-4732237cae82.yaml identifier: e0d237d0-bc2d-4538-9eb0-4732237cae82 uri: /reference/e0d237d0-bc2d-4538-9eb0-4732237cae82 - attrs: .reference_type: 0 Abstract: 'The 2012–2015 drought has left California with severely reduced snowpack, soil moisture, ground water, and reservoir stocks, but the impact of this estimated millennial-scale event on forest health is unknown. We used airborne laser-guided spectroscopy and satellite-based models to assess losses in canopy water content of California’s forests between 2011 and 2015. Approximately 10.6 million ha of forest containing up to 888 million large trees experienced measurable loss in canopy water content during this drought period. Severe canopy water losses of greater than 30% occurred over 1 million ha, affecting up to 58 million large trees. Our measurements exclude forests affected by fire between 2011 and 2015. If drought conditions continue or reoccur, even with temporary reprieves such as El Niño, we predict substantial future forest change.' Author: 'Asner, Gregory P.; Brodrick, Philip G.; Anderson, Christopher B.; Vaughn, Nicholas; Knapp, David E.; Martin, Roberta E.' DOI: 10.1073/pnas.1523397113 Date: 'January 12, 2016' Issue: 2 Journal: Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America Pages: E249-E255 Title: Progressive forest canopy water loss during the 2012–2015 California drought Volume: 113 Year: 2016 _record_number: 19775 _uuid: e126059c-67f3-4522-8381-ae2499296312 reftype: Journal Article child_publication: /article/10.1073/pnas.1523397113 href: https://data.globalchange.gov/reference/e126059c-67f3-4522-8381-ae2499296312.yaml identifier: e126059c-67f3-4522-8381-ae2499296312 uri: /reference/e126059c-67f3-4522-8381-ae2499296312 - attrs: .reference_type: 10 Author: 'Largier, John; Brian Cheng; Kelley Higgason' Institution: 'National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration, Office of National Marine Sanctuaries' Pages: 121 Place Published: 'Silver Spring, MD' Series Volume: Marine Sanctuaries Conservation Series ONMS-11-04 Title: 'Climate Change Impacts: Gulf of the Farallones and Cordell Bank National Marine Sanctuaries' URL: https://nmssanctuaries.blob.core.windows.net/sanctuaries-prod/media/archive/science/conservation/pdfs/gf_cbnms_climate_report.pdf Year: 2011 _record_number: 23938 _uuid: e1dd379b-04d7-447d-ac40-27ed82995e4c reftype: Report child_publication: /report/climate-change-impacts-gulf-farallones-cordell-bank-national-marine-sanctuaries href: https://data.globalchange.gov/reference/e1dd379b-04d7-447d-ac40-27ed82995e4c.yaml identifier: e1dd379b-04d7-447d-ac40-27ed82995e4c uri: /reference/e1dd379b-04d7-447d-ac40-27ed82995e4c - attrs: Author: 'Tarroja, Brian; AghaKouchak, Amir; Samuelsen, Scott' DOI: 10.1016/j.energy.2016.05.131 Date: 2016/09/15/ ISSN: 0360-5442 Journal: Energy Keywords: Hydropower; Hydroelectricity; Climate change; Greenhouse gas emissions; Electric grid Pages: 295-305 Title: Quantifying climate change impacts on hydropower generation and implications on electric grid greenhouse gas emissions and operation Volume: 111 Year: 2016 _record_number: 23869 _uuid: e22493ce-7924-4036-90f4-9c0e69ddfcfd reftype: Journal Article child_publication: /article/10.1016/j.energy.2016.05.131 href: https://data.globalchange.gov/reference/e22493ce-7924-4036-90f4-9c0e69ddfcfd.yaml identifier: e22493ce-7924-4036-90f4-9c0e69ddfcfd uri: /reference/e22493ce-7924-4036-90f4-9c0e69ddfcfd - attrs: .reference_type: 9 Editor: "Karl, T.R.\rJ.T. Melillo\rT.C. Peterson " ISBN: 978-0-521-14407-0 Number of Pages: 189 Place Published: 'New York, NY' Publisher: Cambridge University Press Series Editor: "Karl, T.R.\rJ.T. Melillo\rT.C. Peterson " Title: Global Climate Change Impacts in the United States URL: http://downloads.globalchange.gov/usimpacts/pdfs/climate-impacts-report.pdf Year: 2009 _chapter: '["Ch. 20: Southwest FINAL","Ch. 25: Coastal Zone FINAL","Ch. 16: Northeast FINAL","Ch. 24: Oceans FINAL","Ch. 12: Indigenous FINAL","Ch. 19: Great Plains FINAL","Ch. 2: Our Changing Climate FINAL","Ch. 6: Agriculture FINAL","Ch. 29: Research Needs FINAL","Ch. 11: Urban Systems FINAL","Ch. 28: Adaptation FINAL","Ch. 23: Hawaii FINAL","Ch. 8: Ecosystems FINAL","Ch. 17: Southeast and Caribbean FINAL","RF 12","Ch. 3: Water Resources FINAL","Ch. 30: NCA Long-Term Process FINAL","NCA Report Citations","Appendix 3: Climate Science FINAL","RF 1","Ch. 10: Energy Water Land FINAL","Ch. 18: Midwest FINAL","Ch. 21: Northwest FINAL","Ch. 22: Alaska FINAL"]' _record_number: 769 _uuid: e251f590-177e-4ba6-8ed1-6f68b5e54c8a reftype: Edited Book child_publication: /report/nca2 href: https://data.globalchange.gov/reference/e251f590-177e-4ba6-8ed1-6f68b5e54c8a.yaml identifier: e251f590-177e-4ba6-8ed1-6f68b5e54c8a uri: /reference/e251f590-177e-4ba6-8ed1-6f68b5e54c8a - attrs: Author: 'Munson, Seth M.; Webb, Robert H.; Belnap, Jayne; Hubbard, J.A.; Swann, Don E.; Rutman, Sue' DOI: 10.1111/j.1365-2486.2011.02598.x ISSN: 1365-2486 Issue: 3 Journal: Global Change Biology Keywords: arid; drought; long-term change; plant cover; southwestern United States NIHMSID: ' NCA' Pages: 1083-1095 Title: Forecasting climate change impacts to plant community composition in the Sonoran Desert region Volume: 18 Year: 2012 _record_number: 14640 _uuid: e2ad8754-f271-4960-b198-51edd21e2e04 reftype: Journal Article child_publication: /article/10.1111/j.1365-2486.2011.02598.x href: https://data.globalchange.gov/reference/e2ad8754-f271-4960-b198-51edd21e2e04.yaml identifier: e2ad8754-f271-4960-b198-51edd21e2e04 uri: /reference/e2ad8754-f271-4960-b198-51edd21e2e04 - attrs: Abstract: 'Climate change is likely to affect the generation of energy from California’s high-elevation hydropower systems. To investigate these impacts, this study formulates a linear programming model of an 11-reservoir hydroelectric system operated by the Sacramento Municipal Utility District in the Upper American River basin. Four sets of hydrologic scenarios are developed using the Variable Infiltration Capacity model combined with climatic output from two general circulation models under two greenhouse-gas emissions scenarios. Power generation and revenues fall under two of the four climate change scenarios, as a consequence of drier hydrologic conditions. Energy generation is primarily limited by annual volume of streamflow, and is affected more than revenues, reflecting the ability of the system to store water when energy prices are low for use when prices are high (July through September). Power generation and revenues increase for two of the scenarios, which predict wetter hydrologic conditions. In this case, power generation increases more than revenues indicating that the system is using most of its available capacity under current hydrologic conditions. Hydroelectric systems located in basins with hydrograph centroids occuring close to summer months (July through September) are likely to be affected by the changes in hydrologic timing associated with climate change (e.g., earlier snowmelts and streamflows) if the systems lack sufficient storage capacity. High Sierra hydroelectric systems with sufficiently large storage capacity should not be affected by climate-induced changes in hydrologic timing.' Author: 'Vicuna, S.; Leonardson, R.; Hanemann, M. W.; Dale, L. L.; Dracup, J. A.' DOI: 10.1007/s10584-007-9365-x Date: March 01 ISSN: 1573-1480 Issue: 1 Journal: Climatic Change Label: Vicuna2008 Pages: 123-137 Title: 'Climate change impacts on high elevation hydropower generation in California’s Sierra Nevada: A case study in the Upper American River' Type of Article: journal article Volume: 87 Year: 2008 _record_number: 26397 _uuid: e2cbf775-6f83-4a51-8042-010716f7d47e reftype: Journal Article child_publication: /article/10.1007/s10584-007-9365-x href: https://data.globalchange.gov/reference/e2cbf775-6f83-4a51-8042-010716f7d47e.yaml identifier: e2cbf775-6f83-4a51-8042-010716f7d47e uri: /reference/e2cbf775-6f83-4a51-8042-010716f7d47e - attrs: .reference_type: 0 Author: "Millar, C. I.\rWestfall, R. D.\rDelany, D. L.\rKing, J. C.\rGraumlich, L. J." DOI: '10.1657/1523-0430(2004)036[0181:roscit]2.0.co;2' Date: May ISSN: 1523-0430 Issue: 2 Journal: 'Arctic, Antarctic, and Alpine Research' Label: IN Pages: 181-200 Title: 'Response of subalpine conifers in the Sierra Nevada, California, USA, to 20th-century warming and decadal climate variability' Volume: 36 Year: 2004 _chapter: '["Ch. 8: Ecosystems FINAL"]' _record_number: 2029 _uuid: e353701d-b2bf-4ddd-af78-6bced072e963 reftype: Journal Article child_publication: /article/10.1657/1523-0430(2004)036%5B0181:roscit%5D2.0.co;2 href: https://data.globalchange.gov/reference/e353701d-b2bf-4ddd-af78-6bced072e963.yaml identifier: e353701d-b2bf-4ddd-af78-6bced072e963 uri: /reference/e353701d-b2bf-4ddd-af78-6bced072e963 - attrs: Abstract: 'Mountain snowpack stores a significant quantity of water in the western US, accumulating during the wet season and melting during the dry summers and supplying much of the water used for irrigated agriculture, and municipal and industrial uses. Updating our earlier work published in 2005, we find that with 14 additional years of data, over 90% of snow monitoring sites with long records across the western US now show declines, of which 33% are significant (vs. 5% expected by chance) and 2% are significant and positive (vs. 5% expected by chance). Declining trends are observed across all months, states, and climates, but are largest in spring, in the Pacific states, and in locations with mild winter climate. We corroborate and extend these observations using a gridded hydrology model, which also allows a robust estimate of total western snowpack and its decline. We find a large increase in the fraction of locations that posted decreasing trends, and averaged across the western US, the decline in average April 1 snow water equivalent since mid-century is roughly 15–30% or 25–50 km3, comparable in volume to the West’s largest man-made reservoir, Lake Mead.' Author: 'Mote, Philip W.; Li, Sihan; Lettenmaier, Dennis P.; Xiao, Mu; Engel, Ruth' DOI: 10.1038/s41612-018-0012-1 Date: 2018/03/02 ISSN: 2397-3722 Issue: 1 Journal: npj Climate and Atmospheric Science Pages: 2 Title: Dramatic declines in snowpack in the western US Volume: 1 Year: 2018 _record_number: 25165 _uuid: e450ba2c-db69-43c8-8af4-e0c8ce7c8f2f reftype: Journal Article child_publication: /article/10.1038/s41612-018-0012-1 href: https://data.globalchange.gov/reference/e450ba2c-db69-43c8-8af4-e0c8ce7c8f2f.yaml identifier: e450ba2c-db69-43c8-8af4-e0c8ce7c8f2f uri: /reference/e450ba2c-db69-43c8-8af4-e0c8ce7c8f2f - attrs: .reference_type: 0 Abstract: 'The highly variable timing of streamflow in snowmelt-dominated basins across western North America is an important consequence, and indicator, of climate fluctuations. Changes in the timing of snowmelt-derived streamflow from 1948 to 2002 were investigated in a network of 302 western North America gauges by examining the center of mass for flow, spring pulse onset dates, and seasonal fractional flows through trend and principal component analyses. Statistical analysis of the streamflow timing measures with Pacific climate indicators identified local and key large-scale processes that govern the regionally coherent parts of the changes and their relative importance.|Widespread and regionally coherent trends toward earlier onsets of springtime snowmelt and streamflow have taken place across most of western North America, affecting an area that is much larger than previously recognized. These timing changes have resulted in increasing fractions of annual flow occurring earlier in the water year by 1-4 weeks. The immediate (or proximal) forcings for the spatially coherent parts of the year-to-year fluctuations and longer-term trends of streamflow timing have been higher winter and spring temperatures. Although these temperature changes are partly controlled by the decadal-scale Pacific climate mode [Pacific decadal oscillation (PDO)], a separate ani significant part of the variance is associated with a springtime warming trend that spans the PDO phases.' Accession Number: 158 Author: "Stewart, I.T.\rCayan, D.R.\rDettinger, M.D." Author Address: 'Stewart, IT (reprint author), Scripps Inst Oceanog, 9500 Gilman Dr, La Jolla, CA 92093 USA; Scripps Inst Oceanog, La Jolla, CA 92093 USA; US Geol Survey, La Jolla, CA USA' DOI: 10.1175/JCLI3321.1 Date: APR 15 2005 ISSN: 0894-8755 Issue: 8 Journal: Journal of Climate Keywords: UNITED-STATES; CLIMATE-CHANGE; MASS-BALANCE; ATMOSPHERIC CIRCULATION; PACIFIC-NORTHWEST; SNOWMELT RUNOFF; SIERRA-NEVADA; RIVER-BASIN; VARIABILITY; PRECIPITATION Language: English Pages: 1136-1155 Title: Changes toward earlier streamflow timing across western North America Volume: 18 Year: 2005 _chapter: '["Ch. 3: Water Resources FINAL","Appendix 3: Climate Science FINAL","Ch. 21: Northwest FINAL"]' _record_number: 2957 _uuid: e4a5a03e-0138-4ebb-98ad-6fb28ec56be5 reftype: Journal Article child_publication: /article/10.1175/JCLI3321.1 href: https://data.globalchange.gov/reference/e4a5a03e-0138-4ebb-98ad-6fb28ec56be5.yaml identifier: e4a5a03e-0138-4ebb-98ad-6fb28ec56be5 uri: /reference/e4a5a03e-0138-4ebb-98ad-6fb28ec56be5 - attrs: .publisher: Elsevier Science .reference_type: 0 Author: "Luber, George\rMcGeehin, Michael" DOI: 10.1016/j.amepre.2008.08.021 ISSN: 0749-3797 Issue: 5 Journal: American Journal of Preventive Medicine Pages: 429-435 Title: Climate change and extreme heat events URL: http://download.journals.elsevierhealth.com/pdfs/journals/0749-3797/PIIS0749379708006867.pdf Volume: 35 Year: 2008 _chapter: '["Ch. 18: Midwest FINAL"]' _record_number: 4293 _uuid: e4c07020-0c97-4a6c-ab4a-1859aaebd5ab reftype: Journal Article child_publication: /article/10.1016/j.amepre.2008.08.021 href: https://data.globalchange.gov/reference/e4c07020-0c97-4a6c-ab4a-1859aaebd5ab.yaml identifier: e4c07020-0c97-4a6c-ab4a-1859aaebd5ab uri: /reference/e4c07020-0c97-4a6c-ab4a-1859aaebd5ab - attrs: Author: 'Hirshon, Jon Mark; Alson, Roy L.; Blunk, David; Brosnan, Douglas P.; Epstein, Stephen K.; Gardner, Angela F.; Lum, Donald L.; Moskovitz, Joshua B.; Richardson, Lynne D.; Stankus, Jennifer L.; Kivela, Paul D.; Wilkerson, Dean; Price, Craig; Bromley, Marilyn; Calaway, Nancy; Geist, Marjorie; Gore, Laura; Singh, Cynthia; Wheeler, Gordon' DOI: 10.1016/j.annemergmed.2013.11.024 ISSN: 0196-0644 Issue: 2 Journal: Annals of Emergency Medicine Pages: 100-243 Publisher: Elsevier Title: "America's emergency care environment, a state-by-state report card" Volume: 63 Year: 2014 _record_number: 23847 _uuid: e523f9c0-56f9-44ff-b2d9-7debec2a19d0 reftype: Journal Article child_publication: /article/10.1016/j.annemergmed.2013.11.024 href: https://data.globalchange.gov/reference/e523f9c0-56f9-44ff-b2d9-7debec2a19d0.yaml identifier: e523f9c0-56f9-44ff-b2d9-7debec2a19d0 uri: /reference/e523f9c0-56f9-44ff-b2d9-7debec2a19d0 - attrs: Abstract: 'Climate projections for the southwestern US suggest a warmer, drier future and have the potential to impact forest carbon (C) sequestration and post-fire C recovery. Restoring forest structure and surface fire regimes initially decreases total ecosystem carbon (TEC), but can stabilize the remaining C by moderating wildfire behavior. Previous research has demonstrated that fire maintained forests can store more C over time than fire suppressed forests in the presence of wildfire. However, because the climate future is uncertain, I sought to determine the efficacy of forest management to moderate fire behavior and its effect on forest C dynamics under current and projected climate. I used the LANDIS-II model to simulate carbon dynamics under early (2010–2019), mid (2050–2059), and late (2090–2099) century climate projections for a ponderosa pine (Pinus ponderosa) dominated landscape in northern Arizona. I ran 100-year simulations with two different treatments (control, thin and burn) and a 1 in 50 chance of wildfire occurring. I found that control TEC had a consistent decline throughout the simulation period, regardless of climate. Thin and burn TEC increased following treatment implementation and showed more differentiation than the control in response to climate, with late-century climate having the lowest TEC. Treatment efficacy, as measured by mean fire severity, was not impacted by climate. Fire effects were evident in the cumulative net ecosystem exchange (NEE) for the different treatments. Over the simulation period, 32.8–48.9% of the control landscape was either C neutral or a C source to the atmosphere and greater than 90% of the thin and burn landscape was a moderate C sink. These results suggest that in southwestern ponderosa pine, restoring forest structure and surface fire regimes provides a reasonable hedge against the uncertainty of future climate change for maintaining the forest C sink.' Author: 'Hurteau, Matthew D.' DOI: 10.1371/journal.pone.0169275 Issue: 1 Journal: PLOS ONE Pages: e0169275 Publisher: Public Library of Science Title: Quantifying the carbon balance of forest restoration and wildfire under projected climate in the fire-prone southwestern US Volume: 12 Year: 2017 _record_number: 23678 _uuid: e56d8268-7bc7-4d40-a36f-21bfbf54a7cf reftype: Journal Article child_publication: /article/10.1371/journal.pone.0169275 href: https://data.globalchange.gov/reference/e56d8268-7bc7-4d40-a36f-21bfbf54a7cf.yaml identifier: e56d8268-7bc7-4d40-a36f-21bfbf54a7cf uri: /reference/e56d8268-7bc7-4d40-a36f-21bfbf54a7cf - attrs: .reference_type: 10 Author: 'Mawdsley, Jonathan; Lamb, Rachel' Institution: 'The H. John Heinz III Center for Science, Economics and the Environment for the Navajo Nation Department of Fish and Wildlife' Pages: 49 Place Published: 'Washington, DC' Title: Climate change vulnerability assessment for priority wildlife species URL: https://conbio.org/images/content_publications/Final_Navajo_Vulnerability_Assessment_Report_2.pdf Year: 2013 _record_number: 26377 _uuid: e6404db9-fef8-42ba-95c8-3a7c5b7d8d05 reftype: Report child_publication: /report/climate-change-vulnerability-assessment-priority-wildlife-species href: https://data.globalchange.gov/reference/e6404db9-fef8-42ba-95c8-3a7c5b7d8d05.yaml identifier: e6404db9-fef8-42ba-95c8-3a7c5b7d8d05 uri: /reference/e6404db9-fef8-42ba-95c8-3a7c5b7d8d05 - attrs: Author: 'Nicholas, Kimberly A.; Matthews, Mark A.; Lobell, David B.; Willits, Neil H.; Field, Christopher B.' DOI: 10.1016/j.agrformet.2011.06.010 Date: 2011/12/15/ ISSN: 0168-1923 Issue: 12 Journal: Agricultural and Forest Meteorology Keywords: Climate change; Vitis vinifera; Wine; Climate sensitivity; Anthocyanins; Phenology; Temperature Pages: 1556-1567 Title: Effect of vineyard-scale climate variability on Pinot noir phenolic composition Volume: 151 Year: 2011 _record_number: 25975 _uuid: e6928875-a32d-445c-90c0-e97bce50364c reftype: Journal Article child_publication: /article/10.1016/j.agrformet.2011.06.010 href: https://data.globalchange.gov/reference/e6928875-a32d-445c-90c0-e97bce50364c.yaml identifier: e6928875-a32d-445c-90c0-e97bce50364c uri: /reference/e6928875-a32d-445c-90c0-e97bce50364c - attrs: .reference_type: 10 Author: 'Nania, Julie; Cozzetto, Karen; Gillet, Nicole; Duren, Sabre; Tapp, Anne Mariah; Eitner, Michael; Baldwin, Beth' Institution: University of Colorado Law School Pages: 204 Place Published: 'Boulder, CO' Title: Considerations for climate change and variability adaptation on the Navajo Nation URL: http://wwa.colorado.edu/publications/reports/navajo_report4_9.pdf Year: 2014 _record_number: 24985 _uuid: e7386ded-fc42-4907-b607-4ccc458dd638 reftype: Report child_publication: /report/considerations-climate-change-variability-adaptation-on-navajo-nation href: https://data.globalchange.gov/reference/e7386ded-fc42-4907-b607-4ccc458dd638.yaml identifier: e7386ded-fc42-4907-b607-4ccc458dd638 uri: /reference/e7386ded-fc42-4907-b607-4ccc458dd638 - attrs: Abstract: 'Valley fever is endemic to the southwestern United States. Humans contract this fungal disease by inhaling spores of Coccidioides spp. Changes in the environment can influence the abundance and dispersal of Coccidioides spp., causing fluctuations in valley fever incidence. We combined county‐level case records from state health agencies to create a regional valley fever database for the southwestern United States, including Arizona, California, Nevada, New Mexico, and Utah. We used this data set to explore how environmental factors influenced the spatial pattern and temporal dynamics of valley fever incidence during 2000–2015. We compiled climate and environmental geospatial data sets from multiple sources to compare with valley fever incidence. These variables included air temperature, precipitation, soil moisture, surface dust concentration, normalized difference vegetation index, and cropland area. We found that valley fever incidence was greater in areas with warmer air temperatures and drier soils. The mean annual cycle of incidence varied throughout the southwestern United States and peaked following periods of low precipitation and soil moisture. From year‐to‐year, however, autumn incidence was higher following cooler, wetter, and productive springs in the San Joaquin Valley of California. In southcentral Arizona, incidence increased significantly through time. By 2015, incidence in this region was more than double the rate in the San Joaquin Valley. Our analysis provides a framework for interpreting the influence of climate change on valley fever incidence dynamics. Our results may allow the U.S. Centers for Disease Control and Prevention to improve their estimates of the spatial pattern and intensity of valley fever endemicity.' Author: 'Gorris, M. E.; L. A. Cat; C. S. Zender; K. K. Treseder; J. T. Randerson' DOI: 10.1002/2017GH000095 Issue: 1 Journal: GeoHealth Pages: 6-24 Title: Coccidioidomycosis dynamics in relation to climate in the southwestern United States Volume: 2 Year: 2018 _record_number: 25334 _uuid: e7604efd-b24b-43f7-93b9-5046de36a18a reftype: Journal Article child_publication: /article/10.1002/2017GH000095 href: https://data.globalchange.gov/reference/e7604efd-b24b-43f7-93b9-5046de36a18a.yaml identifier: e7604efd-b24b-43f7-93b9-5046de36a18a uri: /reference/e7604efd-b24b-43f7-93b9-5046de36a18a - attrs: .reference_type: 0 Author: "Bouchama, A.\rDehbi, M.\rMohamed, G.\rMatthies, F.\rShoukri, M.\rMenne, B." DOI: 10.1001/archinte.167.20.ira70009 ISSN: 1538-3679 Issue: 20 Journal: Archives of Internal Medicine Pages: 2170-2176 Title: 'Prognostic factors in heat wave-related deaths: A meta-analysis' Volume: 167 Year: 2007 _chapter: '["Ch. 9: Human Health FINAL"]' _record_number: 1326 _uuid: e7927819-0782-42ff-a491-6e125f61600e reftype: Journal Article child_publication: /article/10.1001/archinte.167.20.ira70009 href: https://data.globalchange.gov/reference/e7927819-0782-42ff-a491-6e125f61600e.yaml identifier: e7927819-0782-42ff-a491-6e125f61600e uri: /reference/e7927819-0782-42ff-a491-6e125f61600e - attrs: .reference_type: 7 Author: 'Easterling, D.R.; J.R. Arnold; T. Knutson; K.E. Kunkel; A.N. LeGrande; L.R. Leung; R.S. Vose; D.E. Waliser; M.F. Wehner' Book Title: 'Climate Science Special Report: Fourth National Climate Assessment, Volume I' Chapter: 7 DOI: 10.7930/J0H993CC Editor: 'Wuebbles, D.J.; D.W. Fahey; K.A. Hibbard; D.J. Dokken; B.C. Stewart; T.K. Maycock' Pages: 207-230 Place Published: 'Washington, DC, USA' Publisher: U.S. Global Change Research Program Title: Precipitation Change in the United States Year: 2017 _record_number: 21565 _uuid: e8089a19-413e-4bc5-8c4a-7610399e268c reftype: Book Section child_publication: /report/climate-science-special-report/chapter/precipitation-change href: https://data.globalchange.gov/reference/e8089a19-413e-4bc5-8c4a-7610399e268c.yaml identifier: e8089a19-413e-4bc5-8c4a-7610399e268c uri: /reference/e8089a19-413e-4bc5-8c4a-7610399e268c - attrs: Author: 'Hobday, Alistair J.; Alexander, Lisa V.; Perkins, Sarah E.; Smale, Dan A.; Straub, Sandra C.; Oliver, Eric C. J.; Benthuysen, Jessica A.; Burrows, Michael T.; Donat, Markus G.; Feng, Ming; Holbrook, Neil J.; Moore, Pippa J.; Scannell, Hillary A.; Sen Gupta, Alex; Wernberg, Thomas' DOI: 10.1016/j.pocean.2015.12.014 Date: 2016/02/01/ ISSN: 0079-6611 Journal: Progress in Oceanography Pages: 227-238 Title: A hierarchical approach to defining marine heatwaves Volume: 141 Year: 2016 _record_number: 23779 _uuid: e99ced6d-a1ff-421b-af94-b6aa5ba4e57e reftype: Journal Article child_publication: /article/10.1016/j.pocean.2015.12.014 href: https://data.globalchange.gov/reference/e99ced6d-a1ff-421b-af94-b6aa5ba4e57e.yaml identifier: e99ced6d-a1ff-421b-af94-b6aa5ba4e57e uri: /reference/e99ced6d-a1ff-421b-af94-b6aa5ba4e57e - attrs: Author: 'Perry, Laura G.; Reynolds, Lindsay V.; Beechie, Timothy J.; Collins, Mathias J.; Shafroth, Patrick B.' DOI: 10.1002/eco.1645 ISSN: 1936-0592 Issue: 5 Journal: Ecohydrology Keywords: climate adaptation; global change; hydrology; ecological restoration; riparian ecosystems; river management; streamflow Pages: 863-879 Title: Incorporating climate change projections into riparian restoration planning and design Volume: 8 Year: 2015 _record_number: 23841 _uuid: e9a8c5d2-f0f1-4c11-b2f7-9a7f0d1c639c reftype: Journal Article child_publication: /article/10.1002/eco.1645 href: https://data.globalchange.gov/reference/e9a8c5d2-f0f1-4c11-b2f7-9a7f0d1c639c.yaml identifier: e9a8c5d2-f0f1-4c11-b2f7-9a7f0d1c639c uri: /reference/e9a8c5d2-f0f1-4c11-b2f7-9a7f0d1c639c - attrs: Author: 'Brand, L. Arriana; Farnsworth, Matthew L.; Meyers, Jay; Dickson, Brett G.; Grouios, Christopher; Scheib, Amanda F.; Scherer, Rick D.' DOI: 10.1016/j.biocon.2016.05.032 Date: 2016/08/01/ ISSN: 0006-3207 Journal: Biological Conservation Keywords: Utility-scale solar development; Desert tortoise (); Renewable energy; Thermoregulation; Mitigation-driven translocation; Mojave Desert Pages: 104-111 Title: 'Mitigation-driven translocation effects on temperature, condition, growth, and mortality of Mojave desert tortoise (Gopherus agassizii) in the face of solar energy development' Volume: 200 Year: 2016 _record_number: 23728 _uuid: ea30a052-6cc4-43c0-98e7-653e767a2c96 reftype: Journal Article child_publication: /article/10.1016/j.biocon.2016.05.032 href: https://data.globalchange.gov/reference/ea30a052-6cc4-43c0-98e7-653e767a2c96.yaml identifier: ea30a052-6cc4-43c0-98e7-653e767a2c96 uri: /reference/ea30a052-6cc4-43c0-98e7-653e767a2c96 - attrs: .reference_type: 16 Author: 'NOAA,' Place Published: 'Boulder, CO' Publisher: NOAA Earth System Research Laboratory Title: NOAA Climate Change Web Portal URL: https://www.esrl.noaa.gov/psd/ipcc/ Year: 2017 _record_number: 26376 _uuid: ea364386-1191-4070-b0c3-5fad624883ca reftype: Web Page child_publication: /webpage/f9a2ef85-c903-4ac5-be93-0f0104eb5b73 href: https://data.globalchange.gov/reference/ea364386-1191-4070-b0c3-5fad624883ca.yaml identifier: ea364386-1191-4070-b0c3-5fad624883ca uri: /reference/ea364386-1191-4070-b0c3-5fad624883ca - attrs: Abstract: 'Drought affects virtually every region of the world, and potential shifts in its character in a changing climate are a major concern. This article presents a synthesis of current understanding of meteorological drought, with a focus on the large-scale controls on precipitation afforded by sea surface temperature (SST) anomalies, land surface feedbacks, and radiative forcings. The synthesis is primarily based on regionally focused articles submitted to the Global Drought Information System (GDIS) collection together with new results from a suite of atmospheric general circulation model experiments intended to integrate those studies into a coherent view of drought worldwide. On interannual time scales, the preeminence of ENSO as a driver of meteorological drought throughout much of the Americas, eastern Asia, Australia, and the Maritime Continent is now well established, whereas in other regions (e.g., Europe, Africa, and India), the response to ENSO is more ephemeral or nonexistent. Northern Eurasia, central Europe, and central and eastern Canada stand out as regions with few SST-forced impacts on precipitation on interannual time scales. Decadal changes in SST appear to be a major factor in the occurrence of long-term drought, as highlighted by apparent impacts on precipitation of the late 1990s “climate shifts” in the Pacific and Atlantic SST. Key remaining research challenges include (i) better quantification of unforced and forced atmospheric variability as well as land–atmosphere feedbacks, (ii) better understanding of the physical basis for the leading modes of climate variability and their predictability, and (iii) quantification of the relative contributions of internal decadal SST variability and forced climate change to long-term drought.' Author: 'Schubert, Siegfried D.; Ronald E. Stewart; Hailan Wang; Mathew Barlow; Ernesto H. Berbery; Wenju Cai; Martin P. Hoerling; Krishna K. Kanikicharla; Randal D. Koster; Bradfield Lyon; Annarita Mariotti; Carlos R. Mechoso; Omar V. Müller; Belen Rodriguez-Fonseca; Richard Seager; Sonia I. Seneviratne; Lixia Zhang; Tianjun Zhou' DOI: 10.1175/jcli-d-15-0452.1 Issue: 11 Journal: Journal of Climate Keywords: 'Atm/Ocean Structure/ Phenomena,Drought,Precipitation,Sea surface temperature,Variability,Climate variability,Decadal variability,Interannual variability' Pages: 3989-4019 Title: 'Global meteorological drought: A synthesis of current understanding with a focus on SST drivers of precipitation deficits' Volume: 29 Year: 2016 _record_number: 26349 _uuid: ea3751db-694e-4a40-b005-b98bede9c812 reftype: Journal Article child_publication: /article/10.1175/jcli-d-15-0452.1 href: https://data.globalchange.gov/reference/ea3751db-694e-4a40-b005-b98bede9c812.yaml identifier: ea3751db-694e-4a40-b005-b98bede9c812 uri: /reference/ea3751db-694e-4a40-b005-b98bede9c812 - attrs: .reference_type: 0 Author: 'Saha, Michael V.; Davis, Robert E.; Hondula, David M.' DOI: 10.1093/aje/kwt264 ISSN: 1476-6256 Issue: 4 Journal: American Journal of Epidemiology Pages: 467-474 Title: Mortality displacement as a function of heat event strength in 7 US cities Volume: 179 Year: 2014 _chapter: Ch2 _record_number: 19131 _uuid: eaabcdba-02ea-478b-899b-d0924862128b reftype: Journal Article child_publication: /article/10.1093/aje/kwt264 href: https://data.globalchange.gov/reference/eaabcdba-02ea-478b-899b-d0924862128b.yaml identifier: eaabcdba-02ea-478b-899b-d0924862128b uri: /reference/eaabcdba-02ea-478b-899b-d0924862128b - attrs: Author: 'Harpold, Adrian A.; Michael Dettinger; Seshadri Rajagopal ' DOI: 10.1029/2017EO068775 Journal: Eos Title: Defining snow drought and why it matters Volume: 98 Year: 2017 _record_number: 26364 _uuid: ec22582a-b534-47c5-b116-5c8b22a4d2b6 reftype: Journal Article child_publication: /article/10.1029/2017EO068775 href: https://data.globalchange.gov/reference/ec22582a-b534-47c5-b116-5c8b22a4d2b6.yaml identifier: ec22582a-b534-47c5-b116-5c8b22a4d2b6 uri: /reference/ec22582a-b534-47c5-b116-5c8b22a4d2b6 - attrs: Abstract: 'The area burned annually by wildfires is expected to increase worldwide due to climate change. Burned areas increase soil erosion rates within watersheds, which can increase sedimentation in downstream rivers and reservoirs. However, which watersheds will be impacted by future wildfires is largely unknown. Using an ensemble of climate, fire, and erosion models, we show that postfire sedimentation is projected to increase for nearly nine tenths of watersheds by >10% and for more than one third of watersheds by >100% by the 2041 to 2050 decade in the western USA. The projected increases are statistically significant for more than eight tenths of the watersheds. In the western USA, many human communities rely on water from rivers and reservoirs that originates in watersheds where sedimentation is projected to increase. Increased sedimentation could negatively impact water supply and quality for some communities, in addition to affecting stream channel stability and aquatic ecosystems.' Author: 'Sankey, Joel B.; Kreitler, Jason; Hawbaker, Todd J.; McVay, Jason L.; Miller, Mary Ellen; Mueller, Erich R.; Vaillant, Nicole M.; Lowe, Scott E.; Sankey, Temuulen T.' DOI: 10.1002/2017GL073979 Issue: 17 Journal: Geophysical Research Letters Pages: 8884-8892 Title: 'Climate, wildfire, and erosion ensemble foretells more sediment in western USA watersheds' Volume: 44 Year: 2017 _record_number: 25980 _uuid: ecb17415-90a9-421c-8e49-620b2f1a71b6 reftype: Journal Article child_publication: /article/10.1002/2017GL073979 href: https://data.globalchange.gov/reference/ecb17415-90a9-421c-8e49-620b2f1a71b6.yaml identifier: ecb17415-90a9-421c-8e49-620b2f1a71b6 uri: /reference/ecb17415-90a9-421c-8e49-620b2f1a71b6 - attrs: Author: 'Yurok Wildland Fire Crew,' Issue: June Journal: 'Yorok Today: The Voice of the Yurok People' Pages: 2-4 Title: Fire council ignites long term burn plan URL: http://www.yuroktribe.org/documents/2014_june.pdf Year: 2014 _record_number: 23892 _uuid: ecd94324-df90-4ee6-a2a3-d58edcc95d35 reftype: Journal Article child_publication: /generic/8a62b4e4-eec2-4ea3-9677-3af29f7f323f href: https://data.globalchange.gov/reference/ecd94324-df90-4ee6-a2a3-d58edcc95d35.yaml identifier: ecd94324-df90-4ee6-a2a3-d58edcc95d35 uri: /reference/ecd94324-df90-4ee6-a2a3-d58edcc95d35 - attrs: .reference_type: 0 Abstract: 'In the Southwest and Central Plains of Western North America, climate change is expected to increase drought severity in the coming decades. These regions nevertheless experienced extended Medieval-era droughts that were more persistent than any historical event, providing crucial targets in the paleoclimate record for benchmarking the severity of future drought risks. We use an empirical drought reconstruction and three soil moisture metrics from 17 state-of-the-art general circulation models to show that these models project significantly drier conditions in the later half of the 21st century compared to the 20th century and earlier paleoclimatic intervals. This desiccation is consistent across most of the models and moisture balance variables, indicating a coherent and robust drying response to warming despite the diversity of models and metrics analyzed. Notably, future drought risk will likely exceed even the driest centuries of the Medieval Climate Anomaly (1100–1300 CE) in both moderate (RCP 4.5) and high (RCP 8.5) future emissions scenarios, leading to unprecedented drought conditions during the last millennium.' Author: 'Cook, Benjamin I.; Ault, Toby R.; Smerdon, Jason E.' DOI: 10.1126/sciadv.1400082 Issue: 1 Journal: Science Advances Pages: e1400082 Title: Unprecedented 21st century drought risk in the American Southwest and Central Plains Volume: 1 Year: 2015 _record_number: 20415 _uuid: ed70fd44-147d-4ffa-ab1b-68451bd1d335 reftype: Journal Article child_publication: /article/10.1126/sciadv.1400082 href: https://data.globalchange.gov/reference/ed70fd44-147d-4ffa-ab1b-68451bd1d335.yaml identifier: ed70fd44-147d-4ffa-ab1b-68451bd1d335 uri: /reference/ed70fd44-147d-4ffa-ab1b-68451bd1d335 - attrs: Author: 'Coats, Sloan; Smerdon, Jason E.; Seager, Richard; Griffin, Daniel; Cook, Benjamin I.' DOI: 10.1002/2015JD023085 ISSN: 2169-8996 Issue: 16 Journal: Journal of Geophysical Research Atmospheres Keywords: paleoclimate; North American monsoon; teleconnection; 0429 Climate dynamics; 1854 Precipitation; 3344 Paleoclimatology; 3335 North Amercan Monsoon; 4522 ENSO Pages: 8052-8064 Title: 'Winter-to-summer precipitation phasing in southwestern North America: A multicentury perspective from paleoclimatic model-data comparisons' Volume: 120 Year: 2015 _record_number: 23746 _uuid: edb441b8-5b84-4476-9406-3e4ca7c6bc87 reftype: Journal Article child_publication: /article/10.1002/2015JD023085 href: https://data.globalchange.gov/reference/edb441b8-5b84-4476-9406-3e4ca7c6bc87.yaml identifier: edb441b8-5b84-4476-9406-3e4ca7c6bc87 uri: /reference/edb441b8-5b84-4476-9406-3e4ca7c6bc87 - attrs: .reference_type: 10 Author: IPCC DOI: 10.1017/CBO9781107415324 Pages: 1535 Place Published: 'Cambridge, UK and New York, NY' Publisher: Cambridge University Press Secondary Author: 'Stocker, T.F.; Qin, D.; Plattner, G.-K.; Tignor, M.; Allen, S.K.; Boschung, J.; Nauels, A.; Xia, Y.; Bex, V.; Midgley, P.M.' Title: 'Climate Change 2013: The Physical Science Basis. Contribution of Working Group I to the Fifth Assessment Report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change' URL: http://www.climatechange2013.org/report/ Year: 2013 _record_number: 16456 _uuid: f03117be-ccfe-4f88-b70a-ffd4351b8190 reftype: Report child_publication: /report/ipcc-ar5-wg1 href: https://data.globalchange.gov/reference/f03117be-ccfe-4f88-b70a-ffd4351b8190.yaml identifier: f03117be-ccfe-4f88-b70a-ffd4351b8190 uri: /reference/f03117be-ccfe-4f88-b70a-ffd4351b8190 - attrs: .reference_type: 10 Author: 'van Riper, Charles, III; James R. Hatten; J. Tom Giermakowski; David Mattson; Jennifer A. Holmes; Matthew J. Johnson; Erika M. Nowak; Kirsten Ironside; Michael Peters; Paul Heinrich; K. L. Cole; C. Truettner; Cecil R. Schwalbe' DOI: 10.3133/ofr20141050 Institution: U.S. Geological Survey Pages: 100 Place Published: 'Reston, VA' Series Volume: Open-File Report 2014–1050 Title: Projecting Climate Effects on Birds and Reptiles of the Southwestern United States Year: 2014 _record_number: 23902 _uuid: f0366470-ff07-4d4f-b785-8bea5f8e54c2 reftype: Report child_publication: /report/projecting-climate-effects-on-birds-reptiles-southwestern-united-states href: https://data.globalchange.gov/reference/f0366470-ff07-4d4f-b785-8bea5f8e54c2.yaml identifier: f0366470-ff07-4d4f-b785-8bea5f8e54c2 uri: /reference/f0366470-ff07-4d4f-b785-8bea5f8e54c2 - attrs: .reference_type: 0 Author: 'Lavers, David A.; Ralph, F. Martin; Waliser, Duane E.; Gershunov, Alexander; Dettinger, Michael D.' DOI: 10.1002/2015GL064672 ISSN: 1944-8007 Issue: 13 Journal: Geophysical Research Letters Keywords: water vapor transport; CMIP5; climate change; 1616 Climate variability; 1627 Coupled models of the climate system; 3305 Climate change and variability Pages: 5617-5625 Title: Climate change intensification of horizontal water vapor transport in CMIP5 Volume: 42 Year: 2015 _record_number: 20580 _uuid: f0a98dc9-f5c5-4fa0-a90c-7791e2809744 reftype: Journal Article child_publication: /article/10.1002/2015GL064672 href: https://data.globalchange.gov/reference/f0a98dc9-f5c5-4fa0-a90c-7791e2809744.yaml identifier: f0a98dc9-f5c5-4fa0-a90c-7791e2809744 uri: /reference/f0a98dc9-f5c5-4fa0-a90c-7791e2809744 - attrs: Author: 'Jeon, S.; Prabhat,; Byna, S.; Gu, J.; Collins, W. D.; Wehner, M. F.' DOI: 10.5194/ascmo-1-45-2015 ISSN: 2364-3587 Issue: 1 Journal: 'Advances in Statistical Climatology, Meteorology and Oceanography' Notes: ASCMO Pages: 45-57 Publisher: Copernicus Publications Title: Characterization of extreme precipitation within atmospheric river events over California Volume: 1 Year: 2015 _record_number: 23795 _uuid: f0d25167-e8ea-435d-838b-44d0f8be9dc9 reftype: Journal Article child_publication: /article/10.5194/ascmo-1-45-2015 href: https://data.globalchange.gov/reference/f0d25167-e8ea-435d-838b-44d0f8be9dc9.yaml identifier: f0d25167-e8ea-435d-838b-44d0f8be9dc9 uri: /reference/f0d25167-e8ea-435d-838b-44d0f8be9dc9 - attrs: .reference_type: 9 Author: USGCRP DOI: 10.7930/J0R49NQX Number of Pages: 312 Place Published: 'Washington, DC' Publisher: U.S. Global Change Research Program Title: 'The Impacts of Climate Change on Human Health in the United States: A Scientific Assessment' Year: 2016 _record_number: 19368 _uuid: f1e633d5-070a-4a7d-935b-a2281a0c9cb6 reftype: Book child_publication: /report/usgcrp-climate-human-health-assessment-2016 href: https://data.globalchange.gov/reference/f1e633d5-070a-4a7d-935b-a2281a0c9cb6.yaml identifier: f1e633d5-070a-4a7d-935b-a2281a0c9cb6 uri: /reference/f1e633d5-070a-4a7d-935b-a2281a0c9cb6 - attrs: Author: 'Hornor, Gail' DOI: 10.1016/j.pedhc.2016.09.005 Date: 2017/05/01/ ISSN: 0891-5245 Issue: 3 Journal: Journal of Pediatric Health Care Keywords: Trauma; resilience; stress Pages: 384-390 Title: Resilience Volume: 31 Year: 2017 _record_number: 23784 _uuid: f3814030-383d-4915-8615-d1e00db524aa reftype: Journal Article child_publication: /article/10.1016/j.pedhc.2016.09.005 href: https://data.globalchange.gov/reference/f3814030-383d-4915-8615-d1e00db524aa.yaml identifier: f3814030-383d-4915-8615-d1e00db524aa uri: /reference/f3814030-383d-4915-8615-d1e00db524aa - attrs: Author: 'Talati, Shuchi; Zhai, Haibo; Kyle, G. Page; Morgan, M. Granger; Patel, Pralit; Liu, Lu' DOI: 10.1021/acs.est.6b01389 Date: 2016/11/15 ISSN: 0013-936X Issue: 22 Journal: Environmental Science & Technology Pages: 12095-12104 Publisher: American Chemical Society Title: 'Consumptive water use from electricity generation in the Southwest under alternative climate, technology, and policy futures' Volume: 50 Year: 2016 _record_number: 23868 _uuid: f3b04c41-c83d-49dc-b7f7-69fb527b0a4f reftype: Journal Article child_publication: /article/10.1021/acs.est.6b01389 href: https://data.globalchange.gov/reference/f3b04c41-c83d-49dc-b7f7-69fb527b0a4f.yaml identifier: f3b04c41-c83d-49dc-b7f7-69fb527b0a4f uri: /reference/f3b04c41-c83d-49dc-b7f7-69fb527b0a4f - attrs: .reference_type: 10 Author: 'Nakashima, D.J.; Galloway McLean, K.; Thulstrup, H.D.; Ramos Castillo, A.; Rubis, J.T.' Pages: 120 Publisher: 'UNESCO, Paris and UNU, Darwin' Title: 'Weathering Uncertainty: Traditional Knowledge for Climate Change Assessment and Adaptation' URL: http://unesdoc.unesco.org/images/0021/002166/216613E.pdf Year: 2012 _record_number: 19124 _uuid: f459e358-3071-4fe5-a934-86ad4b007b57 reftype: Report child_publication: /report/unesco-unu-adaptation-2012 href: https://data.globalchange.gov/reference/f459e358-3071-4fe5-a934-86ad4b007b57.yaml identifier: f459e358-3071-4fe5-a934-86ad4b007b57 uri: /reference/f459e358-3071-4fe5-a934-86ad4b007b57 - attrs: Abstract: 'Global climate change drives sea-level rise, increasing the frequency of coastal flooding. In most coastal regions, the amount of sea-level rise occurring over years to decades is significantly smaller than normal ocean-level fluctuations caused by tides, waves, and storm surge. However, even gradual sea-level rise can rapidly increase the frequency and severity of coastal flooding. So far, global-scale estimates of increased coastal flooding due to sea-level rise have not considered elevated water levels due to waves, and thus underestimate the potential impact. Here we use extreme value theory to combine sea-level projections with wave, tide, and storm surge models to estimate increases in coastal flooding on a continuous global scale. We find that regions with limited water-level variability, i.e., short-tailed flood-level distributions, located mainly in the Tropics, will experience the largest increases in flooding frequency. The 10 to 20 cm of sea-level rise expected no later than 2050 will more than double the frequency of extreme water-level events in the Tropics, impairing the developing economies of equatorial coastal cities and the habitability of low-lying Pacific island nations.' Author: 'Vitousek, Sean; Barnard, Patrick L.; Fletcher, Charles H.; Frazer, Neil; Erikson, Li; Storlazzi, Curt D.' DOI: 10.1038/s41598-017-01362-7 Database Provider: www.nature.com Date: 2017/05/18/ ISSN: 2045-2322 Issue: 1 Journal: Scientific Reports Language: En Pages: 1399 Title: Doubling of coastal flooding frequency within decades due to sea-level rise Volume: 7 Year: 2017 _record_number: 22533 _uuid: f4859f1b-a4d7-4e21-a05b-70204fd6df59 reftype: Journal Article child_publication: /article/10.1038/s41598-017-01362-7 href: https://data.globalchange.gov/reference/f4859f1b-a4d7-4e21-a05b-70204fd6df59.yaml identifier: f4859f1b-a4d7-4e21-a05b-70204fd6df59 uri: /reference/f4859f1b-a4d7-4e21-a05b-70204fd6df59