---
- attrs:
Abstract: 'Climate change and fire suppression have altered fire regimes globally, leading to larger, more frequent, and more severe wildfires. Responses of coldwater stream biota to single wildfires are well studied, but measured responses to consecutive wildfires in warmwater systems that often include mixed assemblages of native and nonnative taxa are lacking. We quantified changes in physical habitat, resource availability, and biomass of cold- and warmwater oligochaetes, insects, crayfish, fishes, and tadpoles following consecutive megafires (covering >100 km2) in the upper Gila River, New Mexico, USA. We were particularly interested in comparing responses of native and nonnative fishes that might have evolved under different disturbance regimes. Changes in habitat and resource availability were related to cumulative fire effects, fire size, and postfire precipitation. The 2nd of 2 consecutive wildfires in the basin was larger and, coupled with moderate postfire discharge, resulted in increased siltation and decreased algal biomass. Several insect taxa responded to these fires with reduced biomass, whereas oligochaete biomass was unaffected. Biomass of 6 of 7 native fish species decreased after the fires, and decreases were associated with site proximity to fire. Nonnative fish decreases after fire were most pronounced for coldwater salmonids, and warmwater nonnative fishes exhibited limited responses. All crayfish and tadpoles collected were nonnative and were unresponsive to fire disturbance. More pronounced responses of native insects and fishes to fires indicate that increasing fire size and frequency threatens the persistence of native fauna and suggests that management activities promoting ecosystem resilience might help ameliorate wildfire effects.'
Author: 'Whitney, James E.; Keith B. Gido; Tyler J. Pilger; David L. Propst; Thomas F. Turner'
DOI: 10.1086/683391
Issue: 4
Journal: Freshwater Science
Keywords: 'mega-fire,native fish,invasive species,macroinvertebrates,warmwater stream,disturbance, ash flows'
Pages: 1510-1526
Title: 'Consecutive wildfires affect stream biota in cold- and warmwater dryland river networks'
Volume: 34
Year: 2015
_record_number: 23883
_uuid: 312954a5-9b1c-44cb-859f-8cc777d15924
reftype: Journal Article
child_publication: /article/10.1086/683391
href: https://data.globalchange.gov/reference/312954a5-9b1c-44cb-859f-8cc777d15924.yaml
identifier: 312954a5-9b1c-44cb-859f-8cc777d15924
uri: /reference/312954a5-9b1c-44cb-859f-8cc777d15924
- attrs:
.reference_type: 10
Author: 'Lane, Nic'
Institution: Congressional Research Service (CRS)
Pages: 10
Place Published: 'Washington, DC'
Series Volume: Order Code RL34466
Title: The Bureau of Reclamation’s Aging Infrastructure. CRS Report for Congress
URL: https://www.everycrsreport.com/files/20080430_RL34466_999c4f1e853858e3c312f08c1888d8b83929d19b.pdf
Year: 2008
_record_number: 23957
_uuid: 316a43e3-84fa-4eae-af65-7ff2dbc2ebbb
reftype: Report
child_publication: /report/bureau-reclamations-aging-infrastructure-crs-report-congress
href: https://data.globalchange.gov/reference/316a43e3-84fa-4eae-af65-7ff2dbc2ebbb.yaml
identifier: 316a43e3-84fa-4eae-af65-7ff2dbc2ebbb
uri: /reference/316a43e3-84fa-4eae-af65-7ff2dbc2ebbb
- attrs:
Abstract: 'California’s San Francisco Bay/Sacramento-San Joaquin Delta (bay/delta) estuary system is subject to externally forced storm surge propagating from the open ocean. In the lower reaches of the delta, storm surge dominates water level extremes and can have a significant impact on wetlands, freshwater aquifers, levees, and ecosys- tems. The magnitude and distribution of open-ocean tide generated storm surge throughout the bay/delta are described by a network of stations within the bay/delta system and along the California coast. Correlation of non-tide water levels between stations in the network indicates that peak storm surge fluctuations propagate into the bay/delta system from outside the Golden Gate. The initial peak surge propa- gates from the open ocean inland, while a trailing (smaller amplitude) secondary peak is associated with river discharge. Extreme non-tide water levels are generally associated with extreme Sacramento-San Joaquin river flows, underscoring the po- tential impact of sea level rise on the delta levees and bay/delta ecosystem.'
Author: 'Bromirski, Peter D.; Flick, Reinhard E.'
Journal: Shore & Beach
Pages: 29-37
Title: Storm surge in the San Francisco Bay/Delta and nearby coastal locations
URL: https://www.semanticscholar.org/paper/Storm-surge-in-the-San-Francisco-Bay-%2F-Delta-and-Bromirski-Flick/42e3b5b84e3252cd2147ca5a2f3a382316233c9d
Volume: 76
Year: 2008
_record_number: 25960
_uuid: 31856fff-487f-4e52-b536-2f22b0d485ae
reftype: Journal Article
child_publication: /article/storm-surge-san-francisco-baydelta-nearby-coastal-locations
href: https://data.globalchange.gov/reference/31856fff-487f-4e52-b536-2f22b0d485ae.yaml
identifier: 31856fff-487f-4e52-b536-2f22b0d485ae
uri: /reference/31856fff-487f-4e52-b536-2f22b0d485ae
- attrs:
.reference_type: 10
Author: 'State of California,'
Institution: California Governor’s Office of Emergency Services
Pages: 61
Place Published: 'Sacramento, CA'
Title: Contingency Plan for Excessive Heat Emergencies
URL: http://www.caloes.ca.gov/PlanningPreparednessSite/Documents/ExcessiveHeatContingencyPlan2014.pdf
Year: 2014
_record_number: 23918
_uuid: 31c9a217-7e78-4574-885e-ff6ce7e4511a
reftype: Report
child_publication: /report/contingency-plan-excessive-heat-emergencies
href: https://data.globalchange.gov/reference/31c9a217-7e78-4574-885e-ff6ce7e4511a.yaml
identifier: 31c9a217-7e78-4574-885e-ff6ce7e4511a
uri: /reference/31c9a217-7e78-4574-885e-ff6ce7e4511a
- attrs:
.reference_type: 0
Author: "Analitis, A.; Michelozzi, P.; D'Ippoliti, D.; de'Donato, F.; Menne, B.; Matthies, F.; Atkinson, R.W.; Iñiguez, C.; Basagaña, X.; Schneider, A.; Lefranc, A.; Paldy, A.; Bisanti, L.; Katsouyanni, K."
DOI: 10.1097/EDE.0b013e31828ac01b
ISSN: 1531-5487
Issue: 1
Journal: Epidemiology
Pages: 15-22
Title: 'Effects of heat waves on mortality: Effect modification and confounding by air pollutants'
Volume: 25
Year: 2014
_chapter: Ch2
_record_number: 19126
_uuid: 31d5b802-7b91-4580-a10c-741035c5f9f6
reftype: Journal Article
child_publication: /article/10.1097/EDE.0b013e31828ac01b
href: https://data.globalchange.gov/reference/31d5b802-7b91-4580-a10c-741035c5f9f6.yaml
identifier: 31d5b802-7b91-4580-a10c-741035c5f9f6
uri: /reference/31d5b802-7b91-4580-a10c-741035c5f9f6
- attrs:
Date: March 28
Editor: 'Maldonado, Julie; Powell, Dana'
Pages: 18
Place Published: 'Santa Fe, NM'
Series Title: Society for Applied Anthropology Annual Meeting
Title: 'Just Environmental and Climate Pathways: Knowledge Exchange among Community Organizers, Scholar-Activists, Citizen-Scientists and Artists'
URL: http://likenknowledge.org/wp-content/uploads/2018/02/Climate-Pathways-Workshop-Report_Santa-Fe_March-2017.pdf
Year: 2017
_record_number: 26401
_uuid: 329424f7-8338-4f49-bb76-892fcaff2bc5
reftype: Edited Report
child_publication: /report/just-environmental-climate-pathways-knowledge-exchange-among-community-organizers-scholar-activists-citizen-scientists-artists
href: https://data.globalchange.gov/reference/329424f7-8338-4f49-bb76-892fcaff2bc5.yaml
identifier: 329424f7-8338-4f49-bb76-892fcaff2bc5
uri: /reference/329424f7-8338-4f49-bb76-892fcaff2bc5
- attrs:
.publisher: Springer Netherlands
.reference_type: 0
Alternate Journal: Climatic Change
Author: "Cozzetto, K.\rChief, K.\rDittmer, K.\rBrubaker, M.\rGough, R.\rSouza, K.\rEttawageshik, F.\rWotkyns, S.\rOpitz-Stapleton, S.\rDuren, S.\rChavan, P."
DOI: 10.1007/s10584-013-0852-y
Date: 2013/10/01
ISSN: 0165-0009
Issue: 3
Journal: Climatic Change
Language: English
Pages: 569-584
Title: Climate change impacts on the water resources of American Indians and Alaska Natives in the U.S
Volume: 120
Year: 2013
_chapter: '["Ch. 20: Southwest FINAL"]'
_record_number: 4339
_uuid: 32a621bf-5225-47a3-b7df-559443b3486e
reftype: Journal Article
child_publication: /article/10.1007/s10584-013-0852-y
href: https://data.globalchange.gov/reference/32a621bf-5225-47a3-b7df-559443b3486e.yaml
identifier: 32a621bf-5225-47a3-b7df-559443b3486e
uri: /reference/32a621bf-5225-47a3-b7df-559443b3486e
- attrs:
Author: 'Ferrenberg, Scott; Tucker, Colin L.; Reed, Sasha C.'
DOI: 10.1002/fee.1469
ISSN: 1540-9309
Issue: 3
Journal: Frontiers in Ecology and the Environment
Pages: 160-167
Title: 'Biological soil crusts: Diminutive communities of potential global importance'
Volume: 15
Year: 2017
_record_number: 23763
_uuid: 32a6b190-a684-46b4-a499-bf30f51beebc
reftype: Journal Article
child_publication: /article/10.1002/fee.1469
href: https://data.globalchange.gov/reference/32a6b190-a684-46b4-a499-bf30f51beebc.yaml
identifier: 32a6b190-a684-46b4-a499-bf30f51beebc
uri: /reference/32a6b190-a684-46b4-a499-bf30f51beebc
- attrs:
Abstract: 'Climate change is expected to modify the timing of seasonal transitions this century, impacting wildlife migrations, ecosystem function, and agricultural activity. Tracking seasonal transitions in a consistent manner across space and through time requires indices that can be used for monitoring and managing biophysical and ecological systems during the coming decades. Here a new gridded dataset of spring indices is described and used to understand interannual, decadal, and secular trends across the coterminous United States. This dataset is derived from daily interpolated meteorological data, and the results are compared with historical station data to ensure the trends and variations are robust. Regional trends in the first leaf index range from −0.8 to −1.6 days decade−1, while first bloom index trends are between −0.4 and −1.2 for most regions. However, these trends are modulated by interannual to multidecadal variations, which are substantial throughout the regions considered here. These findings emphasize the important role large-scale climate modes of variability play in modulating spring onset on interannual to multidecadal time scales. Finally, there is some potential for successful subseasonal forecasts of spring onset, as indices from most regions are significantly correlated with antecedent large-scale modes of variability.'
Author: 'Ault, Toby R.; Mark D. Schwartz; Raul Zurita-Milla; Jake F. Weltzin; Julio L. Betancourt'
DOI: 10.1175/jcli-d-14-00736.1
Issue: 21
Journal: Journal of Climate
Keywords: 'Climate variability,Decadal variability,Interannual variability,Multidecadal variability,Spring season,Agriculture'
Pages: 8363-8378
Title: Trends and natural variability of spring onset in the coterminous United States as evaluated by a new gridded dataset of spring indices
Volume: 28
Year: 2015
_record_number: 21918
_uuid: 3307a62c-ed45-4399-bcb9-f77e71b1e626
reftype: Journal Article
child_publication: /article/10.1175/jcli-d-14-00736.1
href: https://data.globalchange.gov/reference/3307a62c-ed45-4399-bcb9-f77e71b1e626.yaml
identifier: 3307a62c-ed45-4399-bcb9-f77e71b1e626
uri: /reference/3307a62c-ed45-4399-bcb9-f77e71b1e626
- attrs:
.reference_type: 0
Article Number: S4
Author: "Moore, S.K.\rTrainer, V.L.\rMantua, N.J.\rParker, M.S.\rLaws, E.A.\rBacker, L.C.\rFleming, L.E."
DOI: 10.1186/1476-069X-7-S2-S4
ISSN: 1476-069X
Issue: Suppl 2
Journal: Environmental Health
Pages: S4
Title: Impacts of climate variability and future climate change on harmful algal blooms and human health
URL: http://www.ehjournal.net/content/pdf/1476-069X-7-S2-S4.pdf
Volume: 7
Year: 2008
_chapter: '["Ch. 9: Human Health FINAL","RG 2 Southeast","Ch. 17: Southeast and Caribbean FINAL"]'
_record_number: 2079
_uuid: 3325ef64-347b-4c33-9289-9e05e905dcbe
reftype: Journal Article
child_publication: /article/10.1186/1476-069X-7-S2-S4
href: https://data.globalchange.gov/reference/3325ef64-347b-4c33-9289-9e05e905dcbe.yaml
identifier: 3325ef64-347b-4c33-9289-9e05e905dcbe
uri: /reference/3325ef64-347b-4c33-9289-9e05e905dcbe
- attrs:
Author: 'Crouch, Jake; Heim, Richard R.; Fenimore, Chris'
DOI: 10.1175/2015BAMSStateoftheClimate.1
Issue: 8
Journal: Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society
Pages: S175-S176
Title: 'Regional climates: United States [in "State of the Climate in 2015"]'
Volume: 97
Year: 2016
_record_number: 26356
_uuid: 355736ff-9fd5-4aa5-973b-92f8755f1110
reftype: Journal Article
child_publication: /article/10.1175/2015BAMSStateoftheClimate.1
href: https://data.globalchange.gov/reference/355736ff-9fd5-4aa5-973b-92f8755f1110.yaml
identifier: 355736ff-9fd5-4aa5-973b-92f8755f1110
uri: /reference/355736ff-9fd5-4aa5-973b-92f8755f1110
- attrs:
Abstract: 'During the Medieval Climate Anomaly (MCA), Western North America experienced episodes of intense aridity that persisted for multiple decades or longer. These megadroughts are well documented in many proxy records, but the causal mechanisms are poorly understood. General circulation models (GCMs) simulate megadroughts, but do not reproduce the temporal clustering of events during the MCA, suggesting they are not caused by the time history of volcanic or solar forcing. Instead, GCMs generate megadroughts through (1) internal atmospheric variability, (2) sea-surface temperatures, and (3) land surface and dust aerosol feedbacks. While no hypothesis has been definitively rejected, and no GCM has accurately reproduced all features (e.g., timing, duration, and extent) of any specific megadrought, their persistence suggests a role for processes that impart memory to the climate system (land surface and ocean dynamics). Over the 21st century, GCMs project an increase in the risk of megadrought occurrence through greenhouse gas forced reductions in precipitation and increases in evaporative demand. This drying is robust across models and multiple drought indicators, but major uncertainties still need to be resolved. These include the potential moderation of vegetation evaporative losses at higher atmospheric [CO2], variations in land surface model complexity, and decadal to multidecadal modes of natural climate variability that could delay or advance onset of aridification over the the next several decades. Because future droughts will arise from both natural variability and greenhouse gas forced trends in hydroclimate, improving our understanding of the natural drivers of persistent multidecadal megadroughts should be a major research priority. WIREs Clim Change 2016, 7:411–432. doi: 10.1002/wcc.394 This article is categorized under: Paleoclimates and Current Trends > Paleoclimate Climate Models and Modeling > Knowledge Generation with Models'
Author: 'Cook, Benjamin I.; Cook, Edward R.; Smerdon, Jason E.; Seager, Richard; Williams, A. Park; Coats, Sloan; Stahle, David W.; Díaz, José Villanueva'
DOI: 10.1002/wcc.394
Issue: 3
Journal: 'Wiley Interdisciplinary Reviews: Climate Change'
Pages: 411-432
Title: 'North American megadroughts in the Common Era: Reconstructions and simulations'
Volume: 7
Year: 2016
_record_number: 26347
_uuid: 355da812-737f-42a1-845f-698282d3cbd6
reftype: Journal Article
child_publication: /article/10.1002/wcc.394
href: https://data.globalchange.gov/reference/355da812-737f-42a1-845f-698282d3cbd6.yaml
identifier: 355da812-737f-42a1-845f-698282d3cbd6
uri: /reference/355da812-737f-42a1-845f-698282d3cbd6
- attrs:
.reference_type: 10
Author: 'Arizona Department of Health Services,'
Institution: 'Arizona Department of Health Services '
Pages: 40
Place Published: 'Phoenix, AZ'
Title: Heat Emergency Response Plan
URL: http://www.azdhs.gov/documents/preparedness/epidemiology-disease-control/extreme-weather/heat/heat-emergency-response-plan.pdf
Year: 2014
_record_number: 23712
_uuid: 35b6273c-6f5b-427e-b559-36c0390f7679
reftype: Report
child_publication: /report/heat-emergency-response-plan
href: https://data.globalchange.gov/reference/35b6273c-6f5b-427e-b559-36c0390f7679.yaml
identifier: 35b6273c-6f5b-427e-b559-36c0390f7679
uri: /reference/35b6273c-6f5b-427e-b559-36c0390f7679
- attrs:
.reference_type: 0
Author: 'Lute, A. C.; Abatzoglou, J. T.; Hegewisch, K. C.'
DOI: 10.1002/2014WR016267
ISSN: 1944-7973
Issue: 2
Journal: Water Resources Research
Keywords: snow; climate variability; climate change; extreme events; 0736 Snow; 1616 Climate variability; 1637 Regional climate change; 1817 Extreme events
Pages: 960-972
Title: Projected changes in snowfall extremes and interannual variability of snowfall in the western United States
Volume: 51
Year: 2015
_record_number: 19695
_uuid: 35f5fd61-d32c-4604-89b4-9bf7de191fc3
reftype: Journal Article
child_publication: /article/10.1002/2014WR016267
href: https://data.globalchange.gov/reference/35f5fd61-d32c-4604-89b4-9bf7de191fc3.yaml
identifier: 35f5fd61-d32c-4604-89b4-9bf7de191fc3
uri: /reference/35f5fd61-d32c-4604-89b4-9bf7de191fc3
- attrs:
Author: 'Marinucci, Gino; Luber, George; Uejio, Christopher; Saha, Shubhayu; Hess, Jeremy'
DOI: 10.3390/ijerph110606433
ISSN: 1660-4601
Issue: 6
Journal: International Journal of Environmental Research and Public Health
Pages: 6433
Title: Building resilience against climate effects—A novel framework to facilitate climate readiness in public health agencies
Volume: 11
Year: 2014
_record_number: 23818
_uuid: 3604af97-e60e-4478-9883-045e8bf9573f
reftype: Journal Article
child_publication: /article/10.3390/ijerph110606433
href: https://data.globalchange.gov/reference/3604af97-e60e-4478-9883-045e8bf9573f.yaml
identifier: 3604af97-e60e-4478-9883-045e8bf9573f
uri: /reference/3604af97-e60e-4478-9883-045e8bf9573f
- attrs:
.reference_type: 10
Author: 'Trent, R. B.'
Institution: California Department of Public Health
Pages: 10
Place Published: 'Sacramento, CA'
Title: Review of July 2006 Heat Wave Related Fatalities in California
Year: 2007
_record_number: 26399
_uuid: 36b60b2c-b15a-4830-9f40-4bf832f5242f
reftype: Report
child_publication: /report/review-july-2006-heat-wave-related-fatalities-california
href: https://data.globalchange.gov/reference/36b60b2c-b15a-4830-9f40-4bf832f5242f.yaml
identifier: 36b60b2c-b15a-4830-9f40-4bf832f5242f
uri: /reference/36b60b2c-b15a-4830-9f40-4bf832f5242f
- attrs:
Author: 'Das, Tapash; Maurer, Edwin P.; Pierce, David W.; Dettinger, Michael D.; Cayan, Daniel R.'
DOI: 10.1016/j.jhydrol.2013.07.042
Date: 2013/09/25/
ISSN: 0022-1694
Journal: Journal of Hydrology
Keywords: Climate change; Statistical downscaling; Flood risk; Sierra Nevada
Pages: 101-110
Title: Increases in flood magnitudes in California under warming climates
Volume: 501
Year: 2013
_record_number: 25962
_uuid: 371a2787-89a1-48bf-ac3a-15ee3c5be9f3
reftype: Journal Article
child_publication: /article/10.1016/j.jhydrol.2013.07.042
href: https://data.globalchange.gov/reference/371a2787-89a1-48bf-ac3a-15ee3c5be9f3.yaml
identifier: 371a2787-89a1-48bf-ac3a-15ee3c5be9f3
uri: /reference/371a2787-89a1-48bf-ac3a-15ee3c5be9f3
- attrs:
Author: 'Busch, D. Shallin; Griffis, Roger; Link, Jason; Abrams, Karen; Baker, Jason; Brainard, Russell E.; Ford, Michael; Hare, Jonathan A.; Himes-Cornell, Amber; Hollowed, Anne; Mantua, Nathan J.; McClatchie, Sam; McClure, Michelle; Nelson, Mark W.; Osgood, Kenric; Peterson, Jay O.; Rust, Michael; Saba, Vincent; Sigler, Michael F.; Sykora-Bodie, Seth; Toole, Christopher; Thunberg, Eric; Waples, Robin S.; Merrick, Richard'
DOI: 10.1016/j.marpol.2016.09.001
Date: 2016/12/01/
ISSN: 0308-597X
Journal: Marine Policy
Keywords: Adaptation; Climate policy; Ecosystem-based management; Fisheries management; Living marine resources; Marine conservation
Pages: 58-67
Title: Climate science strategy of the US National Marine Fisheries Service
Volume: 74
Year: 2016
_record_number: 23353
_uuid: 372d0974-9c5c-4501-be26-0a787ba59ec3
reftype: Journal Article
child_publication: /article/10.1016/j.marpol.2016.09.001
href: https://data.globalchange.gov/reference/372d0974-9c5c-4501-be26-0a787ba59ec3.yaml
identifier: 372d0974-9c5c-4501-be26-0a787ba59ec3
uri: /reference/372d0974-9c5c-4501-be26-0a787ba59ec3
- attrs:
Author: 'Ziska, Lewis H.; Beggs, Paul J.'
DOI: 10.1016/j.jaci.2011.10.032
Date: 2012/01/01/
ISSN: 0091-6749
Issue: 1
Journal: Journal of Allergy and Clinical Immunology
Keywords: Climate change; aerobiology; pollen; allergen; allergic rhinitis; asthma; exposure
Pages: 27-32
Title: 'Anthropogenic climate change and allergen exposure: The role of plant biology'
Volume: 129
Year: 2012
_record_number: 23896
_uuid: 376d6db3-0999-4bc8-9844-86c5a20ea7a0
reftype: Journal Article
child_publication: /article/10.1016/j.jaci.2011.10.032
href: https://data.globalchange.gov/reference/376d6db3-0999-4bc8-9844-86c5a20ea7a0.yaml
identifier: 376d6db3-0999-4bc8-9844-86c5a20ea7a0
uri: /reference/376d6db3-0999-4bc8-9844-86c5a20ea7a0
- attrs:
.reference_type: 0
Author: "Gonzalez, P.\rNeilson, R. P.\rLenihan, J. M.\rDrapek, R. J."
DOI: 10.1111/j.1466-8238.2010.00558.x
Date: Nov
ISSN: 1466-8238
Issue: 6
Journal: Global Ecology and Biogeography
Pages: 755-768
Short Title: Global patterns in the vulnerability of ecosystems to vegetation shifts due to climate change
Title: Global patterns in the vulnerability of ecosystems to vegetation shifts due to climate change
URL: http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1111/j.1466-8238.2010.00558.x/pdf
Volume: 19
Year: 2010
_chapter: '["Ch. 20: Southwest FINAL","Ch. 8: Ecosystems FINAL","RG 5 Southwest"]'
_record_number: 780
_uuid: 37982de0-0e01-476f-b522-b8162d709134
reftype: Journal Article
child_publication: /article/10.1111/j.1466-8238.2010.00558.x
href: https://data.globalchange.gov/reference/37982de0-0e01-476f-b522-b8162d709134.yaml
identifier: 37982de0-0e01-476f-b522-b8162d709134
uri: /reference/37982de0-0e01-476f-b522-b8162d709134
- attrs:
.reference_type: 0
Author: "Littell, J.S.\rMcKenzie, D.\rPeterson, D.L.\rWesterling, A.L."
DOI: 10.1890/07-1183.1
ISSN: 1051-0761
Issue: 4
Journal: Ecological Applications
Pages: 1003-1021
Title: 'Climate and wildfire area burned in western U.S. ecoprovinces, 1916-2003'
Volume: 19
Year: 2009
_chapter: '["Ch. 20: Southwest FINAL","Ch. 9: Human Health FINAL","RF 10","Overview","RG 5 Southwest","Ch. 7: Forests FINAL","Appendix 3: Climate Science FINAL"]'
_record_number: 257
_uuid: 391560e0-40c1-4f9d-b063-e87d18c87e02
reftype: Journal Article
child_publication: /article/10.1890/07-1183.1
href: https://data.globalchange.gov/reference/391560e0-40c1-4f9d-b063-e87d18c87e02.yaml
identifier: 391560e0-40c1-4f9d-b063-e87d18c87e02
uri: /reference/391560e0-40c1-4f9d-b063-e87d18c87e02
- attrs:
.reference_type: 10
Author: 'California Energy Commission,'
Pages: 32
Place Published: 'Sacramento, CA'
Title: 'California Energy Commission: Tracking Progress'
URL: https://www.energy.ca.gov/renewables/tracking_progress/documents/renewable.pdf
Year: 2018
_record_number: 26732
_uuid: 39467a2f-002f-4e9d-aeb9-2358b7aca14c
reftype: Report
child_publication: /report/california-energy-commission-tracking-progress
href: https://data.globalchange.gov/reference/39467a2f-002f-4e9d-aeb9-2358b7aca14c.yaml
identifier: 39467a2f-002f-4e9d-aeb9-2358b7aca14c
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.reference_type: 0
Author: "Gruber, N.\rC. Hauri\rZ. Lachkar\rD. Loher\rT.L. Frölicher\rG.K. Plattner"
DOI: 10.1126/science.1216773
ISSN: 0036-8075
Issue: 6091
Journal: Science
Pages: 220-223
Title: Rapid progression of ocean acidification in the California Current System
URL: http://www.sciencemag.org/content/337/6091/220.short
Volume: 337
Year: 2012
_chapter: '["Ch. 2: Our Changing Climate FINAL"]'
_record_number: 1368
_uuid: 3a3c7408-89fa-417a-81c3-0345de986cb0
reftype: Journal Article
child_publication: /article/10.1126/science.1216773
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identifier: 3a3c7408-89fa-417a-81c3-0345de986cb0
uri: /reference/3a3c7408-89fa-417a-81c3-0345de986cb0
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.reference_type: 10
Author: 'Norgaard, Kari Marie '
Date: November 2005
Institution: Karuk Tribe of California
Pages: 106
Title: The Effects of Altered Diet on the Health of the Karuk People
URL: http://pages.uoregon.edu/norgaard/pdf/Effects-Altered-Diet-Karuk-Norgaard-2005.pdf
Year: 2005
_chapter: '["Ch. 12: Indigenous FINAL"]'
_record_number: 3908
_uuid: 3a7765e1-e518-45e4-b42b-a519a2dbc7a2
reftype: Report
child_publication: /report/norgaard-effectsaltereddiet-2005
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identifier: 3a7765e1-e518-45e4-b42b-a519a2dbc7a2
uri: /reference/3a7765e1-e518-45e4-b42b-a519a2dbc7a2
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.reference_type: 0
.text_styles: ''
Abstract: 'Using inorganic carbon measurements from an international survey effort in the 1990s and a tracer-based separation technique, we estimate a global oceanic anthropogenic carbon dioxide (CO2) sink for the period from 1800 to 1994 of 118 ± 19 petagrams of carbon. The oceanic sink accounts for ∼48% of the total fossil-fuel and cement-manufacturing emissions, implying that the terrestrial biosphere was a net source of CO2 to the atmosphere of about 39 ± 28 petagrams of carbon for this period. The current fraction of total anthropogenic CO2 emissions stored in the ocean appears to be about one-third of the long-term potential.'
Author: "Sabine, Christopher L.\rFeely, Richard A.\rGruber, Nicolas\rKey, Robert M.\rLee, Kitack\rBullister, John L.\rWanninkhof, Rik\rWong, C. S.\rWallace, Douglas W. R.\rTilbrook, Bronte\rMillero, Frank J.\rPeng, Tsung-Hung\rKozyr, Alexander\rOno, Tsueno\rRios, Aida F."
DOI: 10.1126/science.1097403
Date: 'July 16, 2004'
Issue: 5682
Journal: Science
Pages: 367-371
Title: The oceanic sink for anthropogenic CO2
Volume: 305
Year: 2004
_chapter: '["Ch. 24: Oceans FINAL","RF 11"]'
_record_number: 4594
_uuid: 3b17cf9b-5120-4ef2-a25c-6d31bf3d9ff9
reftype: Journal Article
child_publication: /article/10.1126/science.1097403
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identifier: 3b17cf9b-5120-4ef2-a25c-6d31bf3d9ff9
uri: /reference/3b17cf9b-5120-4ef2-a25c-6d31bf3d9ff9
- attrs:
.reference_type: 7
Author: 'Sweet, W.V.; R. Horton; R.E. Kopp; A.N. LeGrande; A. Romanou'
Book Title: 'Climate Science Special Report: Fourth National Climate Assessment, Volume I'
DOI: 10.7930/J0VM49F2
Editor: 'Wuebbles, D.J.; D.W. Fahey; K.A. Hibbard; D.J. Dokken; B.C. Stewart; T.K. Maycock'
Pages: 333-363
Place Published: 'Washington, DC, USA'
Publisher: U.S. Global Change Research Program
Title: Sea Level Rise
Year: 2017
_record_number: 21570
_uuid: 3bae2310-7572-47e2-99a4-9e4276764934
reftype: Book Section
child_publication: /report/climate-science-special-report/chapter/sea-level-rise
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identifier: 3bae2310-7572-47e2-99a4-9e4276764934
uri: /reference/3bae2310-7572-47e2-99a4-9e4276764934
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.reference_type: 10
.text_styles: ''
Author: 'Walthall, C.; Backlund, P.; Hatfield, J.; Lengnick, L.; Marshall, E.; Walsh, M.; Adkins, S.; Aillery, M.; Ainsworth, E.A.; Amman, C.; Anderson, C.J.; Bartomeus, I.; Baumgard, L.H.; Booker, F.; Bradley, B.; Blumenthal, D.M.; Bunce, J.; Burkey, K.; Dabney, S.M.; Delgado, J.A.; Dukes, J.; Funk, A.; Garrett, K.; Glenn, M.; Grantz, D.A.; Goodrich, D.; Hu, S.; Izaurralde, R.C.; Jones, R.A.C.; Kim, S-H.; Leaky, A.D.B.; Lewers, K.; Mader, T.L.; McClung, A.; Morgan, J.; Muth, D.J.; Nearing, M.; Oosterhuis, D.M.; Ort, D.; Parmesan, C.; Pettigrew, W.T.; Polley, W.; Rader, R.; Rice, C.; Rivington, M.; Rosskopf, E.; Salas, W.A.; Sollenberger, L.E.; Srygley, R.; Stockle, C.; Takle, E.S.; Timlin, D.; White, J.W.; Winfree, R.; Wright-Morton, L.; Ziska, L.H.'
Institution: U.S. Department of Agriculture
Pages: 186
Place Published: 'Washington, D.C.'
Series Volume: USDA Technical Bulletin 1935
Title: 'Climate Change and Agriculture in the United States: Effects and Adaptation'
URL: http://www.usda.gov/oce/climate_change/effects_2012/CC%20and%20Agriculture%20Report%20(02-04-2013)b.pdf
Year: 2012
_chapter: '["Ch. 14: Rural Communities FINAL","Ch. 6: Agriculture FINAL"]'
_record_number: 3329
_uuid: 3baf471f-751f-4d68-9227-4197fdbb6e5d
reftype: Report
child_publication: /report/usda-techbul-1935
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identifier: 3baf471f-751f-4d68-9227-4197fdbb6e5d
uri: /reference/3baf471f-751f-4d68-9227-4197fdbb6e5d
- attrs:
.reference_type: 9
Author: 'Curtin, Charles G.'
ISBN: "159726993X\r978-1597269933"
Place Published: 'Washington, DC'
Publisher: Island Press
Title: 'The Science of Open Spaces: Theory and Practice for Conserving Large, Complex Systems'
Year: 2015
_record_number: 26358
_uuid: 3bde6123-7825-4429-9f28-a0486a8223ad
reftype: Book
child_publication: /book/science-open-spaces-theory-practice-conserving-large-complex-systems
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identifier: 3bde6123-7825-4429-9f28-a0486a8223ad
uri: /reference/3bde6123-7825-4429-9f28-a0486a8223ad
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.reference_type: 0
Author: 'Mote, Philip W.; Rupp, David E.; Li, Sihan; Sharp, Darrin J.; Otto, Friederike; Uhe, Peter F.; Xiao, Mu; Lettenmaier, Dennis P.; Cullen, Heidi; Allen, Myles R.'
DOI: 10.1002/2016GL069965
ISSN: 1944-8007
Issue: 20
Journal: Geophysical Research Letters
Keywords: snow drought; weather@home; drought; attribution; superensemble; regional climate model; 0736 Snow; 1630 Impacts of global change; 1637 Regional climate change; 1812 Drought; 1863 Snow and ice
Pages: '10,980-10,988'
Title: Perspectives on the causes of exceptionally low 2015 snowpack in the western United States
Volume: 43
Year: 2016
_record_number: 20930
_uuid: 3c0fc226-ca97-4b80-aeb7-517cd5d1acff
reftype: Journal Article
child_publication: /article/10.1002/2016GL069965
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identifier: 3c0fc226-ca97-4b80-aeb7-517cd5d1acff
uri: /reference/3c0fc226-ca97-4b80-aeb7-517cd5d1acff
- attrs:
.reference_type: 10
Author: 'ITEP,'
Institution: 'Institute for Tribal Environmental Professionals (ITEP), Northern Arizona University'
Pages: 4
Place Published: 'Flagstaff, AZ'
Title: 'Tribal Climate Change Profile. Fort McDowell Yavapai: Harnessing Solar Power for Energy Independence and Utilities Savings'
URL: http://www7.nau.edu/itep/main/tcc/docs/tribes/tribes_FtMcDYavapai.pdf
Year: 2013
_record_number: 23945
_uuid: 3c483f61-3d2a-4238-881e-e70ac97f7fb2
reftype: Report
child_publication: /report/tribal-climate-change-profile-fort-mcdowell-yavapai-harnessing-solar-power-energy-independence-utilities-savings
href: https://data.globalchange.gov/reference/3c483f61-3d2a-4238-881e-e70ac97f7fb2.yaml
identifier: 3c483f61-3d2a-4238-881e-e70ac97f7fb2
uri: /reference/3c483f61-3d2a-4238-881e-e70ac97f7fb2
- attrs:
Author: 'Woodhouse, Connie A.; Pederson, Gregory T.; Morino, Kiyomi; McAfee, Stephanie A.; McCabe, Gregory J.'
DOI: 10.1002/2015GL067613
ISSN: 1944-8007
Issue: 5
Journal: Geophysical Research Letters
Keywords: Colorado River Basin; warming temperatures; water year streamflow; soil moisture; 1812 Drought; 1860 Streamflow; 1833 Hydroclimatology; 3305 Climate change and variability; 3354 Precipitation
Pages: 2174-2181
Title: Increasing influence of air temperature on upper Colorado River streamflow
Volume: 43
Year: 2016
_record_number: 23887
_uuid: 3d53beca-0617-4351-a7e9-f5af06a049dc
reftype: Journal Article
child_publication: /article/10.1002/2015GL067613
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identifier: 3d53beca-0617-4351-a7e9-f5af06a049dc
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Abstract: 'The costly interactions between humans and wildfires throughout California demonstrate the need to understand the relationships between them, especially in the face of a changing climate and expanding human communities. Although a number of statistical and process-based wildfire models exist for California, there is enormous uncertainty about the location and number of future fires, with previously published estimates of increases ranging from nine to fifty-three percent by the end of the century. Our goal is to assess the role of climate and anthropogenic influences on the state’s fire regimes from 1975 to 2050. We develop an empirical model that integrates estimates of biophysical indicators relevant to plant communities and anthropogenic influences at each forecast time step. Historically, we find that anthropogenic influences account for up to fifty percent of explanatory power in the model. We also find that the total area burned is likely to increase, with burned area expected to increase by 2.2 and 5.0 percent by 2050 under climatic bookends (PCM and GFDL climate models, respectively). Our two climate models show considerable agreement, but due to potential shifts in rainfall patterns, substantial uncertainty remains for the semiarid inland deserts and coastal areas of the south. Given the strength of human-related variables in some regions, however, it is clear that comprehensive projections of future fire activity should include both anthropogenic and biophysical influences. Previous findings of substantially increased numbers of fires and burned area for California may be tied to omitted variable bias from the exclusion of human influences. The omission of anthropogenic variables in our model would overstate the importance of climatic ones by at least 24%. As such, the failure to include anthropogenic effects in many models likely overstates the response of wildfire to climatic change.'
Author: 'Mann, Michael L.; Batllori, Enric; Moritz, Max A.; Waller, Eric K.; Berck, Peter; Flint, Alan L.; Flint, Lorraine E.; Dolfi, Emmalee'
DOI: 10.1371/journal.pone.0153589
Issue: 4
Journal: PLOS ONE
Pages: e0153589
Publisher: Public Library of Science
Title: 'Incorporating anthropogenic influences into fire probability models: Effects of human activity and climate change on fire activity in California'
Volume: 11
Year: 2016
_record_number: 23684
_uuid: 3d9043af-6837-4573-bf92-e8931b277d26
reftype: Journal Article
child_publication: /article/10.1371/journal.pone.0153589
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uri: /reference/3d9043af-6837-4573-bf92-e8931b277d26
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.reference_type: 10
Author: 'Roach, M.; Brown, Heidi; Wilder, Margaret; Smith, G.; Chambers, S.; Patten, I.; Rabby, Q.'
Institution: Climate Assessment for the Southwest (CLIMAS)
Place Published: 'Tucson, AZ'
Title: Assessment of Climate and Health Impacts on Vector-Borne Diseases and Valley Fever in Arizona. Report for the Arizona Department of Health Services and the U.S. Centers for Disease Control and Prevention Climate-Ready States and Cities Initiative.
URL: https://www.climas.arizona.edu/publication/report/assessment-climate-and-health-impacts-vector-borne-diseases-and-valley-fever-0
Year: 2017
_record_number: 23923
_uuid: 3d9b7135-b89c-4a20-a660-13217078a6ee
reftype: Report
child_publication: /report/assessment-climate-health-impacts-on-vector-borne-diseases-valley-fever-arizona-report-arizona-department-health-services-us-centers-disease-control-prevention-climate-ready-states-cities-initiative
href: https://data.globalchange.gov/reference/3d9b7135-b89c-4a20-a660-13217078a6ee.yaml
identifier: 3d9b7135-b89c-4a20-a660-13217078a6ee
uri: /reference/3d9b7135-b89c-4a20-a660-13217078a6ee
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Abstract: 'Although disturbances such as fire and native insects can contribute to natural dynamics of forest health, exceptional droughts, directly and in combination with other disturbance factors, are pushing some temperate forests beyond thresholds of sustainability. Interactions from increasing temperatures, drought, native insects and pathogens, and uncharacteristically severe wildfire are resulting in forest mortality beyond the levels of 20th-century experience. Additional anthropogenic stressors, such as atmospheric pollution and invasive species, further weaken trees in some regions. Although continuing climate change will likely drive many areas of temperate forest toward large-scale transformations, management actions can help ease transitions and minimize losses of socially valued ecosystem services.'
Author: 'Millar, Constance I.; Stephenson, Nathan L.'
DOI: 10.1126/science.aaa9933
Issue: 6250
Journal: Science
Pages: 823-826
Title: Temperate forest health in an era of emerging megadisturbance
Volume: 349
Year: 2015
_record_number: 21196
_uuid: 3def47b9-0e32-440b-bef1-f9bc176a7dd0
reftype: Journal Article
child_publication: /article/10.1126/science.aaa9933
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identifier: 3def47b9-0e32-440b-bef1-f9bc176a7dd0
uri: /reference/3def47b9-0e32-440b-bef1-f9bc176a7dd0
- attrs:
Author: 'Yardley, Jane E.; Stapleton, Jill M.; Sigal, Ronald J.; Kenny, Glen P.'
DOI: 10.1089/dia.2012.0324
Date: 2013/06/01
ISSN: 1520-9156
Issue: 6
Journal: Diabetes Technology & Therapeutics
Pages: 520-529
Publisher: 'Mary Ann Liebert, Inc., publishers'
Title: Do heat events pose a greater health risk for individuals with Type 2 diabetes?
Volume: 15
Year: 2013
_record_number: 23890
_uuid: 3f9da3c6-9da3-41ad-9e91-b22d4cf2245d
reftype: Journal Article
child_publication: /article/10.1089/dia.2012.0324
href: https://data.globalchange.gov/reference/3f9da3c6-9da3-41ad-9e91-b22d4cf2245d.yaml
identifier: 3f9da3c6-9da3-41ad-9e91-b22d4cf2245d
uri: /reference/3f9da3c6-9da3-41ad-9e91-b22d4cf2245d
- attrs:
Author: 'Brouillard, Brent M.; Dickenson, Eric R. V.; Mikkelson, Kristin M.; Sharp, Jonathan O.'
DOI: 10.1016/j.scitotenv.2016.06.106
Date: 2016/12/01/
ISSN: 0048-9697
Journal: Science of The Total Environment
Keywords: Total organic carbon; Disinfection byproducts; Tree mortality; Bark beetle infestation; Hydrologic drivers
Pages: 649-659
Title: 'Water quality following extensive beetle-induced tree mortality: Interplay of aromatic carbon loading, disinfection byproducts, and hydrologic drivers'
Volume: 572
Year: 2016
_record_number: 23732
_uuid: 3fbbd0b8-e2cd-4d09-bfab-ea2d4d04ee52
reftype: Journal Article
child_publication: /article/10.1016/j.scitotenv.2016.06.106
href: https://data.globalchange.gov/reference/3fbbd0b8-e2cd-4d09-bfab-ea2d4d04ee52.yaml
identifier: 3fbbd0b8-e2cd-4d09-bfab-ea2d4d04ee52
uri: /reference/3fbbd0b8-e2cd-4d09-bfab-ea2d4d04ee52
- attrs:
Author: 'Lydersen, Jamie M.; Collins, Brandon M.; Brooks, Matthew L.; Matchett, John R.; Shive, Kristen L.; Povak, Nicholas A.; Kane, Van R.; Smith, Douglas F.'
DOI: 10.1002/eap.1586
ISSN: 1939-5582
Issue: 7
Journal: Ecological Applications
Keywords: fire progression; fire severity; fuels reduction; fuels treatment; landscape analysis; mixed conifer forest; Rim Fire; Stanislaus National Forest; thinning; wildfire; Yosemite National Park
Pages: 2013-2030
Title: Evidence of fuels management and fire weather influencing fire severity in an extreme fire event
Volume: 27
Year: 2017
_record_number: 23813
_uuid: 3ffafef5-60a1-4b91-aacf-4e2e22727d4c
reftype: Journal Article
child_publication: /article/10.1002/eap.1586
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identifier: 3ffafef5-60a1-4b91-aacf-4e2e22727d4c
uri: /reference/3ffafef5-60a1-4b91-aacf-4e2e22727d4c
- attrs:
Author: 'Gonzalez, Patrick; Battles, John J.; Collins, Brandon M.; Robards, Timothy; Saah, David S.'
DOI: 10.1016/j.foreco.2015.03.040
Date: 2015/07/15/
ISSN: 0378-1127
Journal: Forest Ecology and Management
Keywords: Carbon; Climate change; Protected areas; Uncertainty; Wildfire
Pages: 68-77
Title: 'Aboveground live carbon stock changes of California wildland ecosystems, 2001–2010'
Volume: 348
Year: 2015
_record_number: 23771
_uuid: 4079aea0-5440-49ce-b828-d0a239907bfb
reftype: Journal Article
child_publication: /article/10.1016/j.foreco.2015.03.040
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identifier: 4079aea0-5440-49ce-b828-d0a239907bfb
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.reference_type: 0
Abstract: 'Most extreme precipitation events that occur along the North American west coast are associated with winter atmospheric river (AR) events. Global climate models have sufficient resolution to simulate synoptic features associated with AR events, such as high values of vertically integrated water vapor transport (IVT) approaching the coast. From phase 5 of the Coupled Model Intercomparison Project (CMIP5), 10 simulations are used to identify changes in ARs impacting the west coast of North America between historical (1970–99) and end-of-century (2070–99) runs, using representative concentration pathway (RCP) 8.5. The most extreme ARs are identified in both time periods by the 99th percentile of IVT days along a north–south transect offshore of the coast. Integrated water vapor (IWV) and IVT are predicted to increase, while lower-tropospheric winds change little. Winter mean precipitation along the west coast increases by 11%–18% [from 4% to 6% (°C)−1], while precipitation on extreme IVT days increases by 15%–39% [from 5% to 19% (°C)−1]. The frequency of IVT days above the historical 99th percentile threshold increases as much as 290% by the end of this century.'
Author: 'Michael D. Warner; Clifford F. Mass; Salathé Jr., Eric P.'
DOI: 10.1175/JHM-D-14-0080.1
Issue: 1
Journal: Journal of Hydrometeorology
Keywords: 'North America,North Pacific Ocean,Extreme events,Flood events,Precipitation,Climate change'
Pages: 118-128
Title: Changes in winter atmospheric rivers along the North American West Coast in CMIP5 climate models
Volume: 16
Year: 2015
_record_number: 19769
_uuid: 40ffbbdf-74f1-4511-b1f1-a2b2a165185e
reftype: Journal Article
child_publication: /article/10.1175/JHM-D-14-0080.1
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identifier: 40ffbbdf-74f1-4511-b1f1-a2b2a165185e
uri: /reference/40ffbbdf-74f1-4511-b1f1-a2b2a165185e
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.reference_type: 0
Author: "Craine, J.M.\rElmore, A.J.\rOlson, KC\rTolleson, D."
DOI: 10.1111/j.1365-2486.2009.02060.x
ISSN: 1365-2486
Issue: 10
Journal: Global Change Biology
Pages: 2901-2911
Title: Climate change and cattle nutritional stress
Volume: 16
Year: 2010
_chapter: '["Ch. 6: Agriculture FINAL"]'
_record_number: 273
_uuid: 4192437a-d6c8-4b61-b051-8b2e0721279a
reftype: Journal Article
child_publication: /article/10.1111/j.1365-2486.2009.02060.x
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identifier: 4192437a-d6c8-4b61-b051-8b2e0721279a
uri: /reference/4192437a-d6c8-4b61-b051-8b2e0721279a
- attrs:
Author: 'Belova, Anna; David Mills; Ronald Hall; Alexis St. Juliana; Allison Crimmins; Chris Barker; Russell Jones'
DOI: 10.4236/ajcc.2017.61010
Issue: 1
Journal: American Journal of Climate Change
Pages: 75278
Title: Impacts of increasing temperature on the future incidence of West Nile neuroinvasive disease in the United States
Volume: 6
Year: 2017
_record_number: 23725
_uuid: 4308e866-5976-4181-8102-24b521ff4033
reftype: Journal Article
child_publication: /article/10.4236/ajcc.2017.61010
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identifier: 4308e866-5976-4181-8102-24b521ff4033
uri: /reference/4308e866-5976-4181-8102-24b521ff4033
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.reference_type: 10
Author: 'EIA,'
Institution: U.S. Energy Information Administration (EIA)
Pages: 25
Place Published: 'Washington, DC'
Title: 'Energy-Related Carbon Dioxide Emissions at the State Level, 2000-2014'
URL: https://www.eia.gov/environment/emissions/state/analysis/
Year: 2017
_record_number: 23904
_uuid: 437ba8f2-66cf-44f5-8bea-173c02458858
reftype: Report
child_publication: /report/energy-related-carbon-dioxide-emissions-at-state-level-2000-2014
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identifier: 437ba8f2-66cf-44f5-8bea-173c02458858
uri: /reference/437ba8f2-66cf-44f5-8bea-173c02458858
- attrs:
Author: 'Dettinger, Michael; Udall, Bradley; Georgakakos, Aris'
DOI: 10.1890/15-0938.1
ISSN: 1939-5582
Issue: 8
Journal: Ecological Applications
Keywords: Centennial Paper; climate change; Colorado River; Klamath River; Rio Grande; Sacramento–San Joaquin Bay Delta; water resources; western United States
Pages: 2069-2093
Publisher: Ecological Society of America
Title: Western water and climate change
Volume: 25
Year: 2015
_record_number: 23758
_uuid: 43e0a0e0-057e-4ebd-aede-f3766cfa02a5
reftype: Journal Article
child_publication: /article/10.1890/15-0938.1
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uri: /reference/43e0a0e0-057e-4ebd-aede-f3766cfa02a5
- attrs:
Abstract: 'Refugia have long been studied from paleontological and biogeographical perspectives to understand how populations persisted during past periods of unfavorable climate. Recently, researchers have applied the idea to contemporary landscapes to identify climate change refugia, here defined as areas relatively buffered from contemporary climate change over time that enable persistence of valued physical, ecological, and socio-cultural resources. We differentiate historical and contemporary views, and characterize physical and ecological processes that create and maintain climate change refugia. We then delineate how refugia can fit into existing decision support frameworks for climate adaptation and describe seven steps for managing them. Finally, we identify challenges and opportunities for operationalizing the concept of climate change refugia. Managing climate change refugia can be an important option for conservation in the face of ongoing climate change.'
Author: 'Morelli, Toni Lyn; Daly, Christopher; Dobrowski, Solomon Z.; Dulen, Deanna M.; Ebersole, Joseph L.; Jackson, Stephen T.; Lundquist, Jessica D.; Millar, Constance I.; Maher, Sean P.; Monahan, William B.; Nydick, Koren R.; Redmond, Kelly T.; Sawyer, Sarah C.; Stock, Sarah; Beissinger, Steven R.'
DOI: 10.1371/journal.pone.0159909
Issue: 8
Journal: PLOS ONE
Pages: e0159909
Publisher: Public Library of Science
Title: Managing climate change refugia for climate adaptation
Volume: 11
Year: 2016
_record_number: 23422
_uuid: 4401b714-c4aa-4e90-af15-4153b3c6880a
reftype: Journal Article
child_publication: /article/10.1371/journal.pone.0159909
href: https://data.globalchange.gov/reference/4401b714-c4aa-4e90-af15-4153b3c6880a.yaml
identifier: 4401b714-c4aa-4e90-af15-4153b3c6880a
uri: /reference/4401b714-c4aa-4e90-af15-4153b3c6880a
- attrs:
Abstract: 'Over the last century, northeast Pacific coastal sea surface temperatures (SSTs) and land-based surface air temperatures (SATs) display multidecadal variations associated with the Pacific Decadal Oscillation, in addition to a warming trend of ∼0.5–1 °C. Using independent records of sea-level pressure (SLP), SST, and SAT, this study investigates northeast (NE) Pacific coupled atmosphere–ocean variability from 1900 to 2012, with emphasis on the coastal areas around North America. We use a linear stochastic time series model to show that the SST evolution around the NE Pacific coast can be explained by a combination of regional atmospheric forcing and ocean persistence, accounting for 63% of nonseasonal monthly SST variance (r = 0.79) and 73% of variance in annual means (r = 0.86). We show that SLP reductions and related atmospheric forcing led to century-long warming around the NE Pacific margins, with the strongest trends observed from 1910–1920 to 1940. NE Pacific circulation changes are estimated to account for more than 80% of the 1900–2012 linear warming in coastal NE Pacific SST and US Pacific northwest (Washington, Oregon, and northern California) SAT. An ensemble of climate model simulations run under the same historical radiative forcings fails to reproduce the observed regional circulation trends. These results suggest that natural internally generated changes in atmospheric circulation were the primary cause of coastal NE Pacific warming from 1900 to 2012 and demonstrate more generally that regional mechanisms of interannual and multidecadal temperature variability can also extend to century time scales.'
Author: 'Johnstone, James A.; Mantua, Nathan J.'
DOI: 10.1073/pnas.1318371111
Date: 'October 7, 2014'
Issue: 40
Journal: Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America
Pages: 14360-14365
Title: 'Atmospheric controls on northeast Pacific temperature variability and change, 1900–2012'
Volume: 111
Year: 2014
_record_number: 20548
_uuid: 4411e040-3b14-4d03-a44c-1fd33582e496
reftype: Journal Article
child_publication: /article/10.1073/pnas.1318371111
href: https://data.globalchange.gov/reference/4411e040-3b14-4d03-a44c-1fd33582e496.yaml
identifier: 4411e040-3b14-4d03-a44c-1fd33582e496
uri: /reference/4411e040-3b14-4d03-a44c-1fd33582e496
- attrs:
.reference_type: 7
Author: "Frisvold, G. \rL.E. Jackson \rJ.G. Pritchett \rJ. Ritten"
Book Title: 'Assessment of Climate Change in the Southwest United States: A Report Prepared for the National Climate Assessment'
Editor: "Garfin, G.\rJardine, A.\rMerideth, R.\rBlack, Mary\rLeRoy, Sarah"
ISBN: 9781610914468
Pages: 218-239
Place Published: 'Washington, D.C.'
Publisher: Island Press
Reviewer: 4442506b-fbba-41ea-9cef-1eac88ce2049
Title: 'Ch. 11: Agriculture and ranching'
URL: http://swccar.org/sites/all/themes/files/SW-NCA-color-FINALweb.pdf
Year: 2013
_chapter: '["Ch. 20: Southwest FINAL","RF 1"]'
_record_number: 57
_uuid: 4442506b-fbba-41ea-9cef-1eac88ce2049
reftype: Book Section
child_publication: /book/c9625c65-c20f-4163-87fe-cebf734f7836
href: https://data.globalchange.gov/reference/4442506b-fbba-41ea-9cef-1eac88ce2049.yaml
identifier: 4442506b-fbba-41ea-9cef-1eac88ce2049
uri: /reference/4442506b-fbba-41ea-9cef-1eac88ce2049
- attrs:
Abstract: 'Declining mountain snowpack and earlier snowmelt across the western United States has implications for downstream communities. We present a possible mechanism linking snowmelt rate and streamflow generation using a gridded implementation of the Budyko framework. We computed an ensemble of Budyko streamflow anomalies (BSAs) using Variable Infiltration Capacity model-simulated evapotranspiration, potential evapotranspiration, and estimated precipitation at 1/16° resolution from 1950 to 2013. BSA was correlated with simulated baseflow efficiency (r2 = 0.64) and simulated snowmelt rate (r2 = 0.42). The strong correlation between snowmelt rate and baseflow efficiency (r2 = 0.73) links these relationships and supports a possible streamflow generation mechanism wherein greater snowmelt rates increase subsurface flow. Rapid snowmelt may thus bring the soil to field capacity, facilitating below-root zone percolation, streamflow, and a positive BSA. Previous works have shown that future increases in regional air temperature may lead to earlier, slower snowmelt and hence decreased streamflow production via the mechanism proposed by this work.'
Author: 'Barnhart, Theodore B.; Molotch, Noah P.; Livneh, Ben; Harpold, Adrian A.; Knowles, John F.; Schneider, Dominik'
DOI: 10.1002/2016GL069690
Issue: 15
Journal: Geophysical Research Letters
Pages: 8006-8016
Title: Snowmelt rate dictates streamflow
Volume: 43
Year: 2016
_record_number: 25958
_uuid: 449cf522-1bde-4f6f-8e24-2d5685ddf235
reftype: Journal Article
child_publication: /article/10.1002/2016GL069690
href: https://data.globalchange.gov/reference/449cf522-1bde-4f6f-8e24-2d5685ddf235.yaml
identifier: 449cf522-1bde-4f6f-8e24-2d5685ddf235
uri: /reference/449cf522-1bde-4f6f-8e24-2d5685ddf235
- attrs:
Author: 'Allen, Larry S.'
DOI: '10.2111/1551-501X(2006)28[17:CITBTM]2.0.CO;2'
Date: 2006/06/01/
ISSN: 0190-0528
Issue: 3
Journal: Rangelands
Pages: 17-21
Title: 'Collaboration in the Borderlands: The Malpai Borderlands Group'
Volume: 28
Year: 2006
_record_number: 23708
_uuid: 44ce5933-c657-477a-b2d0-91367949a47f
reftype: Journal Article
child_publication: /article/10.2111/1551-501X(2006)28%5B17:CITBTM%5D2.0.CO;2
href: https://data.globalchange.gov/reference/44ce5933-c657-477a-b2d0-91367949a47f.yaml
identifier: 44ce5933-c657-477a-b2d0-91367949a47f
uri: /reference/44ce5933-c657-477a-b2d0-91367949a47f
- attrs:
Author: 'Worfolk, Jean B.'
DOI: 10.1067/mgn.2000.107131
Date: 2000/03/01/
ISSN: 0197-4572
Issue: 2
Journal: Geriatric Nursing
Pages: 70-77
Title: 'Heat waves: Their impact on the health of elders'
Volume: 21
Year: 2000
_record_number: 23888
_uuid: 456f68bb-c834-4003-b130-47c6fd6bb3a7
reftype: Journal Article
child_publication: /article/10.1067/mgn.2000.107131
href: https://data.globalchange.gov/reference/456f68bb-c834-4003-b130-47c6fd6bb3a7.yaml
identifier: 456f68bb-c834-4003-b130-47c6fd6bb3a7
uri: /reference/456f68bb-c834-4003-b130-47c6fd6bb3a7
- attrs:
Author: 'Elias, E. H.; Rango, A.; Steele, C. M.; Mejia, J. F.; Smith, R.'
DOI: 10.1016/j.ejrh.2015.04.004
Date: 2015/03/01/
ISSN: 2214-5818
Journal: 'Journal of Hydrology: Regional Studies'
Keywords: Snowmelt runoff model; Climate change; Upper Rio Grande; Water resources
Pages: 525-546
Title: Assessing climate change impacts on water availability of snowmelt-dominated basins of the Upper Rio Grande basin
Volume: 3
Year: 2015
_record_number: 23760
_uuid: 4644d099-f5ae-4db5-99b5-8a683b4e1933
reftype: Journal Article
child_publication: /article/10.1016/j.ejrh.2015.04.004
href: https://data.globalchange.gov/reference/4644d099-f5ae-4db5-99b5-8a683b4e1933.yaml
identifier: 4644d099-f5ae-4db5-99b5-8a683b4e1933
uri: /reference/4644d099-f5ae-4db5-99b5-8a683b4e1933