--- - attrs: Author: 'Brookhart, M. Alan; Hubbard, Alan E.; van der Laan, Mark J.; Colford, John M.; Eisenberg, Joseph N. S.' DOI: 10.1002/sim.1258 ISSN: 1097-0258 Issue: 23 Journal: Statistics in Medicine Keywords: mathematical model; profile likelihood; disease transmission; Cryptosporidium; outbreak Pages: 3627-3638 Publisher: 'John Wiley & Sons, Ltd.' Title: 'Statistical estimation of parameters in a disease transmission model: Analysis of a Cryptosporidium outbreak' Volume: 21 Year: 2002 _record_number: 23731 _uuid: 46b92d0e-f9f2-4b12-8b9e-8c27d6a4b9da reftype: Journal Article child_publication: /article/10.1002/sim.1258 href: https://data.globalchange.gov/reference/46b92d0e-f9f2-4b12-8b9e-8c27d6a4b9da.yaml identifier: 46b92d0e-f9f2-4b12-8b9e-8c27d6a4b9da uri: /reference/46b92d0e-f9f2-4b12-8b9e-8c27d6a4b9da - attrs: Abstract: 'Studies of multiple taxa across broad-scales suggest that species distributions are shifting poleward in response to global climate change. Recognizing the influence of distribution shifts on population indices will be an important part of interpreting trends within management units because current practice often assumes that changes in local populations reflect local habitat conditions. However, the individual- and population-level processes that drive distribution shifts may occur across a large, regional scale and have little to do with the habitats within the management unit. We examined the latitudinal center of abundance for the winter distributions of six western North America raptor species using Christmas Bird Counts from 1975–2011. Also, we considered whether population indices within western North America Bird Conservation Regions (BCRs) were explained by distribution shifts. All six raptors had significant poleward shifts in their wintering distributions over time. Rough-legged Hawks (Buteo lagopus) and Golden Eagles (Aquila chrysaetos) showed the fastest rate of change, with 8.41 km yr−1 and 7.74 km yr−1 shifts, respectively. Raptors may be particularly responsive to warming winters because of variable migration tendencies, intraspecific competition for nesting sites that drives males to winter farther north, or both. Overall, 40% of BCR population trend models were improved by incorporating information about wintering distributions; however, support for the effect of distribution on BCR indices varied by species with Rough-legged Hawks showing the most evidence. These results emphasize the importance of understanding how regional distribution shifts influence local-scale population indices. If global climate change is altering distribution patterns, then trends within some management units may not reflect changes in local habitat conditions. The methods used to monitor and manage bird populations within local BCRs will fundamentally change as species experience changes in distribution in response to climate change.' Author: 'Paprocki, Neil; Heath, Julie A.; Novak, Stephen J.' DOI: 10.1371/journal.pone.0086814 Issue: 1 Journal: PLOS ONE Pages: e86814 Publisher: Public Library of Science Title: 'Regional distribution shifts help explain local changes in wintering raptor abundance: Implications for interpreting population trends' Volume: 9 Year: 2014 _record_number: 23689 _uuid: 46f6dc39-8375-4539-9999-5161f2284c1a reftype: Journal Article child_publication: /article/10.1371/journal.pone.0086814 href: https://data.globalchange.gov/reference/46f6dc39-8375-4539-9999-5161f2284c1a.yaml identifier: 46f6dc39-8375-4539-9999-5161f2284c1a uri: /reference/46f6dc39-8375-4539-9999-5161f2284c1a - attrs: .reference_type: 0 Abstract: 'Emerging vector-borne diseases are an important issue in global health. Many vector-borne pathogens have appeared in new regions in the past two decades, while many endemic diseases have increased in incidence. Although introductions and emergence of endemic pathogens are often considered to be distinct processes, many endemic pathogens are actually spreading at a local scale coincident with habitat change. We draw attention to key differences between dynamics and disease burden that result from increased pathogen transmission after habitat change and after introduction into new regions. Local emergence is commonly driven by changes in human factors as much as by enhanced enzootic cycles, whereas pathogen invasion results from anthropogenic trade and travel where and when conditions (eg, hosts, vectors, and climate) are suitable for a pathogen. Once a pathogen is established, ecological factors related to vector characteristics can shape the evolutionary selective pressure and result in increased use of people as transmission hosts. We describe challenges inherent in the control of vector-borne zoonotic diseases and some emerging non-traditional strategies that could be effective in the long term.' Author: 'Kilpatrick, A. M.; Randolph, S. E.' Author Address: 'Department of Ecology and Evolutionary Biology, University of California, Santa Cruz, Santa Cruz, CA 95064, USA. akilpatr@ucsc.edu' DOI: 10.1016/s0140-6736(12)61151-9 Date: Dec 1 ISSN: 1474-547X Issue: 9857 Journal: The Lancet Keywords: 'Animals; Blood-Borne Pathogens; Climate Change; Communicable Diseases, Emerging/epidemiology/ prevention & control/transmission; Disease Vectors; Humans; Incidence; Risk Factors; Socioeconomic Factors; Tick Infestations/epidemiology; World Health; Zoonoses/ epidemiology' Language: eng Notes: "Kilpatrick, A Marm Randolph, Sarah E R01 AI090159/AI/NIAID NIH HHS/United States Research Support, N.I.H., Extramural Research Support, U.S. Gov't, Non-P.H.S. Review England Nihms495681 Lancet. 2012 Dec 1;380(9857):1946-55. doi: 10.1016/S0140-6736(12)61151-9." PMCID: PMC3739480 Pages: 1946-1955 Title: 'Drivers, dynamics, and control of emerging vector-borne zoonotic diseases' Volume: 380 Year: 2012 _record_number: 4654 _uuid: 48041d66-fd27-4cf6-8155-9a74d3d664dd reftype: Journal Article child_publication: /article/10.1016/s0140-6736(12)61151-9 href: https://data.globalchange.gov/reference/48041d66-fd27-4cf6-8155-9a74d3d664dd.yaml identifier: 48041d66-fd27-4cf6-8155-9a74d3d664dd uri: /reference/48041d66-fd27-4cf6-8155-9a74d3d664dd - attrs: .reference_type: 9 Editor: 'Maynard, Nancy G.' Number of Pages: 124 Place Published: 'Prior Lake, MN' Publisher: NASA Title: 'Native Peoples - Native Homelands Climate Change Workshop II. Final Report: An Indigenous Response to Climate Change' URL: https://neptune.gsfc.nasa.gov/uploads/images_db/NPNH-Report-No-Blanks.pdf Year: 2014 _record_number: 21676 _uuid: 48541a92-1e3e-4539-8122-c802cee93e4a reftype: Edited Book child_publication: /book/native-peoples-native-homelands-climate-change-workshop-ii-final-report-an-indigenous-response-climate-change href: https://data.globalchange.gov/reference/48541a92-1e3e-4539-8122-c802cee93e4a.yaml identifier: 48541a92-1e3e-4539-8122-c802cee93e4a uri: /reference/48541a92-1e3e-4539-8122-c802cee93e4a - attrs: .reference_type: 47 Author: 'Griggs, Gary B.' Conference Name: Puget Sound Shorelines and the Impacts of Armoring— Proceedings of a State of the Science Workshop Date: May Editor: 'Shipman, Hugh; Megan N. Dethier; Guy Gelfenbaum; Kurt L. Fresh; Richard S. Dinicola' Notes: USGS Scientific Investigations Report 2010–5254 Pages: 77-84 Publisher: U.S. Geological Survey Title: The effects of armoring shorelines—The California experience URL: https://pubs.usgs.gov/sir/2010/5254/pdf/sir20105254_chap8.pdf Year: 2009 _record_number: 26361 _uuid: 496effe3-aacd-4456-a02a-e717f19ebf72 reftype: Conference Paper child_publication: /generic/b66f01ec-9abb-4d3f-b19d-9b4bd0926faa href: https://data.globalchange.gov/reference/496effe3-aacd-4456-a02a-e717f19ebf72.yaml identifier: 496effe3-aacd-4456-a02a-e717f19ebf72 uri: /reference/496effe3-aacd-4456-a02a-e717f19ebf72 - attrs: .reference_type: 16 Author: 'ASCE,' Place Published: 'Reston, VA' Publisher: American Society of Civil Engineers (ASCE) Title: 2017 Infrastructure Report Card URL: https://www.infrastructurereportcard.org/ Year: 2017 _record_number: 23710 _uuid: 497411ba-3eb8-42fd-9b01-8c5a21fc6465 reftype: Web Page child_publication: /webpage/59b3544f-c70d-49e5-9f15-6cae6cda159d href: https://data.globalchange.gov/reference/497411ba-3eb8-42fd-9b01-8c5a21fc6465.yaml identifier: 497411ba-3eb8-42fd-9b01-8c5a21fc6465 uri: /reference/497411ba-3eb8-42fd-9b01-8c5a21fc6465 - attrs: Author: 'La Sorte, Frank A.; Thompson, Frank R., III' DOI: 10.1890/06-1072.1 ISSN: 1939-9170 Issue: 7 Journal: Ecology Keywords: abundance; Christmas Bird Count; common species; distribution of avifauna; geographical range; global climate change; North America; temporal turnover; winter range Pages: 1803-1812 Publisher: Ecological Society of America Title: Poleward shifts in winter ranges of North American birds Volume: 88 Year: 2007 _record_number: 23805 _uuid: 4b5bd341-33e8-4ac5-9341-f4ffc4f6c2ad reftype: Journal Article child_publication: /article/10.1890/06-1072.1 href: https://data.globalchange.gov/reference/4b5bd341-33e8-4ac5-9341-f4ffc4f6c2ad.yaml identifier: 4b5bd341-33e8-4ac5-9341-f4ffc4f6c2ad uri: /reference/4b5bd341-33e8-4ac5-9341-f4ffc4f6c2ad - attrs: Author: 'Hoover, Daniel J.; Odigie, Kingsley O.; Swarzenski, Peter W.; Barnard, Patrick' DOI: 10.1016/j.ejrh.2015.12.055 Date: 2017/06/01/ ISSN: 2214-5818 Journal: 'Journal of Hydrology: Regional Studies' Keywords: Sea-level rise; Groundwater; Coastal aquifer; Inundation projections; Groundwater shoaling; California Pages: 234-249 Title: 'Sea-level rise and coastal groundwater inundation and shoaling at select sites in California, USA' Volume: 11 Year: 2017 _record_number: 23782 _uuid: 4bf832f2-4600-41a3-9d2f-d361052ab69d reftype: Journal Article child_publication: /article/10.1016/j.ejrh.2015.12.055 href: https://data.globalchange.gov/reference/4bf832f2-4600-41a3-9d2f-d361052ab69d.yaml identifier: 4bf832f2-4600-41a3-9d2f-d361052ab69d uri: /reference/4bf832f2-4600-41a3-9d2f-d361052ab69d - attrs: Author: 'Hardin, E.; AghaKouchak, A.; Qomi, M. J. A.; Madani, K.; Tarroja, B.; Zhou, Y.; Yang, T.; Samuelsen, S.' DOI: 10.1016/j.scs.2016.09.004 Date: 2017/01/01/ ISSN: 2210-6707 Journal: Sustainable Cities and Society Keywords: CO emissions; Drought; Energy; Footprint Pages: 450-452 Title: California drought increases CO2 footprint of energy Volume: 28 Year: 2017 _record_number: 23775 _uuid: 4c2f4e56-1de7-4f4c-9f19-d7c51e67d208 reftype: Journal Article child_publication: /article/10.1016/j.scs.2016.09.004 href: https://data.globalchange.gov/reference/4c2f4e56-1de7-4f4c-9f19-d7c51e67d208.yaml identifier: 4c2f4e56-1de7-4f4c-9f19-d7c51e67d208 uri: /reference/4c2f4e56-1de7-4f4c-9f19-d7c51e67d208 - attrs: .reference_type: 0 Abstract: 'The causes of the California drought during November–April winters of 2011/12–2013/14 are analyzed using observations and ensemble simulations with seven atmosphere models forced by observed SSTs. Historically, dry California winters are most commonly associated with a ridge off the west coast but no obvious SST forcing. Wet winters are most commonly associated with a trough off the west coast and an El Niño event. These attributes of dry and wet winters are captured by many of the seven models. According to the models, SST forcing can explain up to a third of California winter precipitation variance. SST forcing was key to sustaining a high pressure ridge over the west coast and suppressing precipitation during the three winters. In 2011/12 this was a response to a La Niña event, whereas in 2012/13 and 2013/14 it appears related to a warm west–cool east tropical Pacific SST pattern. All models contain a mode of variability linking such tropical Pacific SST anomalies to a wave train with a ridge off the North American west coast. This mode explains less variance than ENSO and Pacific decadal variability, and its importance in 2012/13 and 2013/14 was unusual. The models from phase 5 of CMIP (CMIP5) project rising greenhouse gases to cause changes in California all-winter precipitation that are very small compared to recent drought anomalies. However, a long-term warming trend likely contributed to surface moisture deficits during the drought. As such, the precipitation deficit during the drought was dominated by natural variability, a conclusion framed by discussion of differences between observed and modeled tropical SST trends.' Author: Richard Seager; Martin Hoerling; Siegfried Schubert; Hailan Wang; Bradfield Lyon; Arun Kumar; Jennifer Nakamura; Naomi Henderson DOI: 10.1175/JCLI-D-14-00860.1 Issue: 18 Journal: Journal of Climate Keywords: 'North America,Drought,Interannual variability' Pages: 6997-7024 Title: Causes of the 2011–14 California drought Volume: 28 Year: 2015 _record_number: 20258 _uuid: 4ca5a43c-5fbe-4cb0-8a7d-7ee3acafd7c0 reftype: Journal Article child_publication: /article/10.1175/JCLI-D-14-00860.1 href: https://data.globalchange.gov/reference/4ca5a43c-5fbe-4cb0-8a7d-7ee3acafd7c0.yaml identifier: 4ca5a43c-5fbe-4cb0-8a7d-7ee3acafd7c0 uri: /reference/4ca5a43c-5fbe-4cb0-8a7d-7ee3acafd7c0 - attrs: Abstract: 'Two degrees of global warming above the preindustrial level is widely suggested as an appropriate threshold beyond which climate change risks become unacceptably high. This “2 °C” threshold is likely to be reached between 2040 and 2050 for both Representative Concentration Pathway (RCP) 8.5 and 4.5. Resulting sea level rises will not be globally uniform, due to ocean dynamical processes and changes in gravity associated with water mass redistribution. Here we provide probabilistic sea level rise projections for the global coastline with warming above the 2 °C goal. By 2040, with a 2 °C warming under the RCP8.5 scenario, more than 90% of coastal areas will experience sea level rise exceeding the global estimate of 0.2 m, with up to 0.4 m expected along the Atlantic coast of North America and Norway. With a 5 °C rise by 2100, sea level will rise rapidly, reaching 0.9 m (median), and 80% of the coastline will exceed the global sea level rise at the 95th percentile upper limit of 1.8 m. Under RCP8.5, by 2100, New York may expect rises of 1.09 m, Guangzhou may expect rises of 0.91 m, and Lagos may expect rises of 0.90 m, with the 95th percentile upper limit of 2.24 m, 1.93 m, and 1.92 m, respectively. The coastal communities of rapidly expanding cities in the developing world, and vulnerable tropical coastal ecosystems, will have a very limited time after midcentury to adapt to sea level rises unprecedented since the dawn of the Bronze Age.' Author: 'Jevrejeva, Svetlana; Jackson, Luke P.; Riva, Riccardo E. M.; Grinsted, Aslak; Moore, John C.' DOI: 10.1073/pnas.1605312113 Date: 'November 22, 2016' Issue: 47 Journal: Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America Pages: 13342-13347 Title: Coastal sea level rise with warming above 2 °C Volume: 113 Year: 2016 _record_number: 23796 _uuid: 4e1a8986-cfd0-4294-96ed-7e243d1d5091 reftype: Journal Article child_publication: /article/10.1073/pnas.1605312113 href: https://data.globalchange.gov/reference/4e1a8986-cfd0-4294-96ed-7e243d1d5091.yaml identifier: 4e1a8986-cfd0-4294-96ed-7e243d1d5091 uri: /reference/4e1a8986-cfd0-4294-96ed-7e243d1d5091 - attrs: .reference_type: 0 Author: "Richardson, L.A.\rChamp, P.A.\rLoomis, J.B." DOI: 10.1016/j.jfe.2011.05.002 ISSN: 1104-6899 Issue: 1 Journal: Journal of Forest Economics Pages: 14-35 Title: 'The hidden cost of wildfires: Economic valuation of health effects of wildfire smoke exposure in Southern California' Volume: 18 Year: 2012 _chapter: '["Ch. 20: Southwest FINAL"]' _record_number: 2630 _uuid: 4ee18e43-0d8d-4276-ad51-b87db1d8b7bc reftype: Journal Article child_publication: /article/10.1016/j.jfe.2011.05.002 href: https://data.globalchange.gov/reference/4ee18e43-0d8d-4276-ad51-b87db1d8b7bc.yaml identifier: 4ee18e43-0d8d-4276-ad51-b87db1d8b7bc uri: /reference/4ee18e43-0d8d-4276-ad51-b87db1d8b7bc - attrs: .reference_type: 0 Abstract: 'The current California drought has cast a heavy burden on statewide agriculture and water resources, further exacerbated by concurrent extreme high temperatures. Furthermore, industrial-era global radiative forcing brings into question the role of long-term climate change with regard to California drought. How has human-induced climate change affected California drought risk? Here, observations and model experimentation are applied to characterize this drought employing metrics that synthesize drought duration, cumulative precipitation deficit, and soil moisture depletion. The model simulations show that increases in radiative forcing since the late nineteenth century induce both increased annual precipitation and increased surface temperature over California, consistent with prior model studies and with observed long-term change. As a result, there is no material difference in the frequency of droughts defined using bivariate indicators of precipitation and near-surface (10 cm) soil moisture, because shallow soil moisture responds most sensitively to increased evaporation driven by warming, which compensates the increase in the precipitation. However, when using soil moisture within a deep root zone layer (1 m) as covariate, droughts become less frequent because deep soil moisture responds most sensitively to increased precipitation. The results illustrate the different land surface responses to anthropogenic forcing that are relevant for near-surface moisture exchange and for root zone moisture availability. The latter is especially relevant for agricultural impacts as the deep layer dictates moisture availability for plants, trees, and many crops. The results thus indicate that the net effect of climate change has made agricultural drought less likely and that the current severe impacts of drought on California’s agriculture have not been substantially caused by long-term climate changes.' Author: Linyin Cheng; Martin Hoerling; Amir AghaKouchak; Ben Livneh; Xiao-Wei Quan; Jon Eischeid DOI: 10.1175/JCLI-D-15-0260.1 Issue: 1 Journal: Journal of Climate Keywords: 'Physical Meteorology and Climatology,Climate change,Models and modeling,Climate models,Regional models' Pages: 111-120 Title: How has human-induced climate change affected California drought risk? Volume: 29 Year: 2016 _record_number: 19542 _uuid: 4fbaaa13-99d2-43df-93db-2be546f18892 reftype: Journal Article child_publication: /article/10.1175/JCLI-D-15-0260.1 href: https://data.globalchange.gov/reference/4fbaaa13-99d2-43df-93db-2be546f18892.yaml identifier: 4fbaaa13-99d2-43df-93db-2be546f18892 uri: /reference/4fbaaa13-99d2-43df-93db-2be546f18892 - attrs: .reference_type: 0 Author: 'Luedeling, Eike' DOI: 10.1016/j.scienta.2012.07.011 ISSN: 0304-4238 Issue: 0 Journal: Scientia Horticulturae Keywords: "Adaptation\rChilling Hours\rChill Portions\rClimate analogues, Dynamic Model\rTree dormancy" Pages: 218-229 Title: 'Climate change impacts on winter chill for temperate fruit and nut production: A review' URL: http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0304423812003305 Volume: 144 Year: 2012 _chapter: '["Ch. 6: Agriculture FINAL"]' _record_number: 3946 _uuid: 504c60ae-db5f-4b9c-bb9f-2dd7701dc31c reftype: Journal Article child_publication: /article/10.1016/j.scienta.2012.07.011 href: https://data.globalchange.gov/reference/504c60ae-db5f-4b9c-bb9f-2dd7701dc31c.yaml identifier: 504c60ae-db5f-4b9c-bb9f-2dd7701dc31c uri: /reference/504c60ae-db5f-4b9c-bb9f-2dd7701dc31c - attrs: .reference_type: 10 Author: 'Bureau of Reclamation,' Institution: 'U.S. Department of the Interior, Bureau of Reclamation' Pages: 1 Place Published: 'Washington, DC' Title: Lake Mead Annual High and Low Elevations (1935-2017) URL: https://www.usbr.gov/lc/region/g4000/lakemead_line.pdf Year: 2017 _record_number: 23911 _uuid: 50634cf8-401c-49d9-a79d-1a6c97c06a67 reftype: Report child_publication: /report/lake-mead-annual-high-low-elevations-1935-2017 href: https://data.globalchange.gov/reference/50634cf8-401c-49d9-a79d-1a6c97c06a67.yaml identifier: 50634cf8-401c-49d9-a79d-1a6c97c06a67 uri: /reference/50634cf8-401c-49d9-a79d-1a6c97c06a67 - attrs: Abstract: 'Due to climate change and ongoing drought, California and much of the American West face critical water supply challenges. California’s water supply infrastructure sprawls for thousands of miles, from the Colorado River to the Sacramento Delta. Bringing water to growing urban centers in Southern California is especially energy intensive, pushing local utilities to balance water security with factors such as the cost and carbon footprint of the various supply sources. To enhance water security, cities are expanding efforts to increase local water supply. But do these local sources have a smaller carbon footprint than imported sources? To answer this question and others related to the urban water–energy nexus, this study uses spatially explicit life cycle assessment to estimate the energy and emissions intensity of water supply for two utilities in Southern California: Los Angeles Department of Water and Power, which serves Los Angeles, and the Inland Empire Utility Agency, which serves the San Bernardino region. This study differs from previous research in two significant ways: (1) emissions factors are based not on regional averages but on the specific electric utility and generation sources supplying energy throughout transport, treatment, and distribution phases of the water supply chain; (2) upstream (non-combustion) emissions associated with the energy sources are included. This approach reveals that in case of water supply to Los Angeles, local recycled water has a higher carbon footprint than water imported from the Colorado River. In addition, by excluding upstream emissions, the carbon footprint of water supply is potentially underestimated by up to 30%. These results have wide-ranging implications for how carbon footprints are traditionally calculated at local and regional levels. Reducing the emissions intensity of local water supply hinges on transitioning the energy used to treat and distribute water away from fossil fuel, sources such as coal.' Author: 'Fang, A. J.; Joshua P. Newell; Joshua J. Cousins' DOI: 10.1088/1748-9326/10/11/114002 ISSN: 1748-9326 Issue: 11 Journal: Environmental Research Letters Pages: 114002 Title: The energy and emissions footprint of water supply for Southern California Volume: 10 Year: 2015 _record_number: 23674 _uuid: 509480b9-533f-45c0-bb31-5dedfb05c784 reftype: Journal Article child_publication: /article/10.1088/1748-9326/10/11/114002 href: https://data.globalchange.gov/reference/509480b9-533f-45c0-bb31-5dedfb05c784.yaml identifier: 509480b9-533f-45c0-bb31-5dedfb05c784 uri: /reference/509480b9-533f-45c0-bb31-5dedfb05c784 - attrs: Author: 'Cloern, J.E.; Knowles, N.; Brown, L.R.; Cayan, D.; Dettinger, M.D.; Morgan, T.L.; Schoellhamer, D.H.; Stacey, M.T.; van der Wegen, M.; Wagner, R.W.; Jassby, A.D.' DOI: 10.1371/journal.pone.0024465 ISSN: 1932-6203 Issue: 9 Journal: PLOS ONE NIHMSID: ' NCA' Pages: e24465 Title: Projected evolution of California's San Francisco Bay-Delta-River System in a century of climate change Volume: 6 Year: 2011 _record_number: 12954 _uuid: 51804952-a99f-463f-945e-f6f15cfed004 reftype: Journal Article child_publication: /article/10.1371/journal.pone.0024465 href: https://data.globalchange.gov/reference/51804952-a99f-463f-945e-f6f15cfed004.yaml identifier: 51804952-a99f-463f-945e-f6f15cfed004 uri: /reference/51804952-a99f-463f-945e-f6f15cfed004 - attrs: Abstract: 'Unsafe water supplies, limited sanitation and poor hygiene are still important causes of infectious disease (e.g. Cholera, Leptospirosis, Giardiasis), especially in low-income countries. Climate and weather affect the transmission and distribution of infectious diseases. Therefore, scientists are continuously developing new analysis methods to investigate the impacts of weather and climate on infectious disease, and particularly, on those associated with water. As these methods are based on an imperfect representation of the real world, they are inevitably subjected to many challenges. Based on a systematic review of the literature, we identified seven important challenges for scientists who develop new analysis methods.' Author: 'Lo Iacono, Giovanni; Armstrong, Ben; Fleming, Lora E.; Elson, Richard; Kovats, Sari; Vardoulakis, Sotiris; Nichols, Gordon L.' DOI: 10.1371/journal.pntd.0005659 Issue: 6 Journal: PLOS Neglected Tropical Diseases Pages: e0005659 Publisher: Public Library of Science Title: 'Challenges in developing methods for quantifying the effects of weather and climate on water-associated diseases: A systematic review' Volume: 11 Year: 2017 _record_number: 25972 _uuid: 51cb0eb1-c1e6-4697-bb43-1c70bfed2ce2 reftype: Journal Article child_publication: /article/10.1371/journal.pntd.0005659 href: https://data.globalchange.gov/reference/51cb0eb1-c1e6-4697-bb43-1c70bfed2ce2.yaml identifier: 51cb0eb1-c1e6-4697-bb43-1c70bfed2ce2 uri: /reference/51cb0eb1-c1e6-4697-bb43-1c70bfed2ce2 - attrs: .reference_type: 0 Author: 'Bograd, Steven J.; Buil, Mercedes Pozo; Lorenzo, Emanuele Di; Castro, Carmen G.; Schroeder, Isaac D.; Goericke, Ralf; Anderson, Clarissa R.; Benitez-Nelson, Claudia; Whitney, Frank A.' DOI: 10.1016/j.dsr2.2014.04.009 Date: 2// ISSN: 0967-0645 Journal: 'Deep Sea Research Part II: Topical Studies in Oceanography' Keywords: California Current System; California Undercurrent; CalCOFI; Dissolved oxygen; Inorganic nutrients; Water masses; Upwelling Pages: 42-52 Title: Changes in source waters to the Southern California Bight Volume: 112 Year: 2015 _record_number: 20008 _uuid: 52a3a443-6cc8-4903-8517-1ed294241d99 reftype: Journal Article child_publication: /article/10.1016/j.dsr2.2014.04.009 href: https://data.globalchange.gov/reference/52a3a443-6cc8-4903-8517-1ed294241d99.yaml identifier: 52a3a443-6cc8-4903-8517-1ed294241d99 uri: /reference/52a3a443-6cc8-4903-8517-1ed294241d99 - attrs: .reference_type: 7 Author: 'Kossin, J.P.; T. Hall; T. Knutson; K.E. Kunkel; R.J. Trapp; D.E. Waliser; M.F. Wehner' Book Title: 'Climate Science Special Report: Fourth National Climate Assessment, Volume I' DOI: 10.7930/J07S7KXX Editor: 'Wuebbles, D.J.; D.W. Fahey; K.A. Hibbard; D.J. Dokken; B.C. Stewart; T.K. Maycock' Pages: 257-276 Place Published: 'Washington, DC, USA' Publisher: U.S. Global Change Research Program Title: Extreme Storms Year: 2017 _record_number: 21567 _uuid: 52ce1b63-1b04-4728-9f1b-daee39af665e reftype: Book Section child_publication: /report/climate-science-special-report/chapter/extreme-storms href: https://data.globalchange.gov/reference/52ce1b63-1b04-4728-9f1b-daee39af665e.yaml identifier: 52ce1b63-1b04-4728-9f1b-daee39af665e uri: /reference/52ce1b63-1b04-4728-9f1b-daee39af665e - attrs: Author: 'McCabe, Ryan M.; Hickey, Barbara M.; Kudela, Raphael M.; Lefebvre, Kathi A.; Adams, Nicolaus G.; Bill, Brian D.; Gulland, Frances M. D.; Thomson, Richard E.; Cochlan, William P.; Trainer, Vera L.' DOI: 10.1002/2016GL070023 ISSN: 1944-8007 Issue: 19 Journal: Geophysical Research Letters Keywords: 'harmful algal bloom; Pseudo-nitzschia australis; domoic acid; upwelling; warm anomaly; toxin; 1616 Climate variability; 4279 Upwelling and convergences; 4217 Coastal processes; 4855 Phytoplankton; 4815 Ecosystems, structure, dynamics, and modeling' Pages: '10,366-10,376' Title: An unprecedented coastwide toxic algal bloom linked to anomalous ocean conditions Volume: 43 Year: 2016 _record_number: 24640 _uuid: 5300d778-0b4e-44bb-9449-c6a36ead3636 reftype: Journal Article child_publication: /article/10.1002/2016GL070023 href: https://data.globalchange.gov/reference/5300d778-0b4e-44bb-9449-c6a36ead3636.yaml identifier: 5300d778-0b4e-44bb-9449-c6a36ead3636 uri: /reference/5300d778-0b4e-44bb-9449-c6a36ead3636 - attrs: .reference_type: 0 Author: 'Naughton, M. B.; Henderson, Alden; Mirabelli, Maria C.; Kaiser, Reinhard; Wilhelm, John L.; Kieszak, Stephanie M.; Rubin, Carol H.; McGeehin, Michael A.' DOI: 10.1016/S0749-3797(02)00421-X ISSN: 0749-3797 Issue: 4 Journal: American Journal of Preventive Medicine Pages: 221-227 Title: Heat-related mortality during a 1999 heat wave in Chicago Volume: 22 Year: 2002 _record_number: 19220 _uuid: 53b9906c-e4bf-4190-8ce7-73022280cba6 reftype: Journal Article child_publication: /article/10.1016/S0749-3797(02)00421-X href: https://data.globalchange.gov/reference/53b9906c-e4bf-4190-8ce7-73022280cba6.yaml identifier: 53b9906c-e4bf-4190-8ce7-73022280cba6 uri: /reference/53b9906c-e4bf-4190-8ce7-73022280cba6 - attrs: .reference_type: 10 Author: 'Medellín-Azuara, Josué ; Duncan MacEwan; Richard E. Howitt; Daniel A. Sumner; Jay R. Lund' Institution: 'University of California-Davis, Center for Watershed Sciences' Pages: 17 Place Published: 'Davis, CA' Title: Economic Analysis of the 2016 California Drought on Agriculture URL: https://watershed.ucdavis.edu/droughtimpacts Year: 2016 _record_number: 23936 _uuid: 53ceb8c3-f1b8-4cc1-bb65-3268f4f8bb74 reftype: Report child_publication: /report/economic-analysis-2016-california-drought-on-agriculture href: https://data.globalchange.gov/reference/53ceb8c3-f1b8-4cc1-bb65-3268f4f8bb74.yaml identifier: 53ceb8c3-f1b8-4cc1-bb65-3268f4f8bb74 uri: /reference/53ceb8c3-f1b8-4cc1-bb65-3268f4f8bb74 - attrs: Author: 'Kim, Seung Hee; Kim, Jinwon; Walko, Rovert; Myoung, Boksoon; Stack, David; Kafatos, Menas' DOI: 10.1016/j.proenv.2015.07.210 Date: 2015/01/01/ ISSN: 1878-0296 Journal: Procedia Environmental Sciences Keywords: Regional climate change; yield potential; crop model; regional climate model; maize; Southwestern United States Pages: 279-280 Title: Climate change impacts on maize-yield potential in the southwestern United States Volume: 29 Year: 2015 _record_number: 23800 _uuid: 53efddbf-8a1f-44fb-83e2-167fde08c9aa reftype: Journal Article child_publication: /article/10.1016/j.proenv.2015.07.210 href: https://data.globalchange.gov/reference/53efddbf-8a1f-44fb-83e2-167fde08c9aa.yaml identifier: 53efddbf-8a1f-44fb-83e2-167fde08c9aa uri: /reference/53efddbf-8a1f-44fb-83e2-167fde08c9aa - attrs: Abstract: 'Fire suppression in many dry forest types has left a legacy of dense, homogeneous forests. Such landscapes have high water demands and fuel loads, and when burned can result in catastrophically large fires. These characteristics are undesirable in the face of projected warming and drying in the western US. Alternative forest and fire treatments based on managed wildfire—a regime in which fires are allowed to burn naturally and only suppressed under defined management conditions—offer a potential strategy to ameliorate the effects of fire suppression. Understanding the long-term effects of this strategy on vegetation, water, and forest resilience is increasingly important as the use of managed wildfire becomes more widely accepted. The Illilouette Creek Basin in Yosemite National Park has experienced 40 years of managed wildfire, reducing forest cover by 22%, and increasing meadow areas by 200% and shrublands by 24%. Statistical upscaling of 3300 soil moisture observations made since 2013 suggests that large increases in wetness occurred in sites where fire caused transitions from forests to dense meadows. The runoff ratio (ratio of annual runoff to precipitation) from the basin appears to be increasing or stable since 1973, compared to declines in runoff ratio for nearby, unburned watersheds. Managed wildfire appears to increase landscape heterogeneity, and likely improves resilience to disturbances, such as fire and drought, although more detailed analysis of fire effects on basin-scale hydrology is needed.' Author: 'Boisramé, Gabrielle; Thompson, Sally; Collins, Brandon; Stephens, Scott' DOI: 10.1007/s10021-016-0048-1 Date: June 01 ISSN: 1435-0629 Issue: 4 Journal: Ecosystems Pages: 717-732 Title: Managed wildfire effects on forest resilience and water in the Sierra Nevada Type of Article: journal article Volume: 20 Year: 2017 _record_number: 23666 _uuid: 54acf6dd-9fd1-418f-ae0f-39f17afb79b0 reftype: Journal Article child_publication: /article/10.1007/s10021-016-0048-1 href: https://data.globalchange.gov/reference/54acf6dd-9fd1-418f-ae0f-39f17afb79b0.yaml identifier: 54acf6dd-9fd1-418f-ae0f-39f17afb79b0 uri: /reference/54acf6dd-9fd1-418f-ae0f-39f17afb79b0 - attrs: .reference_type: 16 Author: 'DOE,' Place Published: 'Washington, DC' Publisher: U.S. Department of Energy (DOE) Title: Tribal energy projects database URL: https://energy.gov/indianenergy/maps/tribal-energy-projects-database Year: 2017 _record_number: 23907 _uuid: 54f0f885-6503-4fdc-92bd-388969b88585 reftype: Web Page child_publication: /webpage/116898a5-88e3-4595-a201-555ddf8e353c href: https://data.globalchange.gov/reference/54f0f885-6503-4fdc-92bd-388969b88585.yaml identifier: 54f0f885-6503-4fdc-92bd-388969b88585 uri: /reference/54f0f885-6503-4fdc-92bd-388969b88585 - attrs: Abstract: 'Domoic acid is a potent neurotoxin produced by certain marine microalgae that can accumulate in the foodweb, posing a health threat to human seafood consumers and wildlife in coastal regions worldwide. Evidence of climatic regulation of domoic acid in shellfish over the past 20 y in the Northern California Current regime is shown. The timing of elevated domoic acid is strongly related to warm phases of the Pacific Decadal Oscillation and the Oceanic Niño Index, an indicator of El Niño events. Ocean conditions in the northeast Pacific that are associated with warm phases of these indices, including changes in prevailing currents and advection of anomalously warm water masses onto the continental shelf, are hypothesized to contribute to increases in this toxin. We present an applied domoic acid risk assessment model for the US West Coast based on combined climatic and local variables. Evidence of regional- to basin-scale controls on domoic acid has not previously been presented. Our findings have implications in coastal zones worldwide that are affected by this toxin and are particularly relevant given the increased frequency of anomalously warm ocean conditions.' Author: 'McKibben, S. Morgaine; Peterson, William; Wood, A. Michelle; Trainer, Vera L.; Hunter, Matthew; White, Angelicque E.' DOI: 10.1073/pnas.1606798114 Date: 'January 10, 2017' Issue: 2 Journal: Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America Pages: 239-244 Title: Climatic regulation of the neurotoxin domoic acid Volume: 114 Year: 2017 _record_number: 23823 _uuid: 5509daeb-bffb-4395-8582-1fef669a7a49 reftype: Journal Article child_publication: /article/10.1073/pnas.1606798114 href: https://data.globalchange.gov/reference/5509daeb-bffb-4395-8582-1fef669a7a49.yaml identifier: 5509daeb-bffb-4395-8582-1fef669a7a49 uri: /reference/5509daeb-bffb-4395-8582-1fef669a7a49 - attrs: Author: 'Myint, Soe Win; Zheng, Baojuan; Talen, Emily; Fan, Chao; Kaplan, Shai; Middel, Ariane; Smith, Martin; Huang, Huei-ping; Brazel, Anthony' DOI: 10.1890/EHS14-0028.1 Date: 2015/06/01 ISSN: 2096-4129 Issue: 4 Journal: Ecosystem Health and Sustainability Pages: 1-15 Publisher: Taylor & Francis Title: 'Does the spatial arrangement of urban landscape matter? Examples of urban warming and cooling in Phoenix and Las Vegas' Volume: 1 Year: 2015 _record_number: 26374 _uuid: 556b95ec-c32c-4647-9dee-7b91df063ba0 reftype: Journal Article child_publication: /article/10.1890/EHS14-0028.1 href: https://data.globalchange.gov/reference/556b95ec-c32c-4647-9dee-7b91df063ba0.yaml identifier: 556b95ec-c32c-4647-9dee-7b91df063ba0 uri: /reference/556b95ec-c32c-4647-9dee-7b91df063ba0 - attrs: .reference_type: 10 Author: 'Redsteer, M. Hiza, Kelley, K.B., Francis, H. and Block, D.' Institution: UNISDR Place Published: 'Geneva, Switzerland' Title: 'Disaster risk assessment case study: Recent drought on the Navajo nation, southwestern United States. Background Paper prepared for the 2011 Global Assessment Report on Disaster Risk Reduction.' URL: http://www.preventionweb.net/english/hyogo/gar/2011/en/bgdocs/Redsteer_Kelley_Francis_&_Block_2010.pdf Year: 2010 _record_number: 18828 _uuid: 55bb8299-2349-4d73-b75a-acb2754e5ff6 reftype: Report child_publication: /report/isdr-usgs-disasterrisk-2011 href: https://data.globalchange.gov/reference/55bb8299-2349-4d73-b75a-acb2754e5ff6.yaml identifier: 55bb8299-2349-4d73-b75a-acb2754e5ff6 uri: /reference/55bb8299-2349-4d73-b75a-acb2754e5ff6 - attrs: .reference_type: 10 Author: 'EIA,' Institution: U.S. Energy Information Administration (EIA) Pages: 146 Place Published: 'Washington, DC' Series Volume: AEO2018 Title: Annual Energy Outlook 2018 URL: https://www.eia.gov/outlooks/aeo/ Year: 2018 _record_number: 25441 _uuid: 561029d5-4494-43bf-98d2-96ad38606588 reftype: Report child_publication: /report/eia-annual-energy-outlook-2018 href: https://data.globalchange.gov/reference/561029d5-4494-43bf-98d2-96ad38606588.yaml identifier: 561029d5-4494-43bf-98d2-96ad38606588 uri: /reference/561029d5-4494-43bf-98d2-96ad38606588 - attrs: Abstract: 'Many tribes in California and Oregon value California black oak (Quercus kelloggii) as a traditional source of food and other values. Over centuries or millennia, Native Americans learned that they could enhance production of desired resources by regularly igniting low-intensity surface fires in stands of black oak. Although black oak is likely to remain widespread in the future, a warming climate, increasingly dense forests, and altered fire regimes threaten the large, full-crowned mature trees that produce crops of high-quality acorns and provide cavities for many wildlife species. To examine the effects of different kinds of burns on tribal values including associated plants, fungi, and wildlife of special cultural significance, we reviewed and synthesized scientific studies of black oak in conjunction with interviews and workshops with tribal members who use the species and recall burning by their ancestors. We conducted two exploratory analyses to understand trends in large black oaks and potential tradeoffs regarding black oak restoration. Our findings identify opportunities for reintroducing low-intensity fire, in conjunction with thinning, to restore stands that are favorable for acorn gathering. We present examples of such projects and discuss how to overcome challenges in restoring the socioecological benefits of black oak ecosystems for tribes.

Management and Policy Implications Wildfires and forest densification threaten the large California black oaks that produce acorns valued by tribes for food and social well-being. Tribal members identified desired conditions including large black oaks with full crowns and low branches that produce abundant acorns free from pests and a relatively open ground surface with diverse plant communities and edible fungi near the oak trees. Tribal knowledge of using frequent, low-intensity fires and other traditional tending and gathering practices can advance strategies for promoting these conditions. Active treatments that remove competing conifer trees, reduce fuels, and reintroduce low-intensity fire are needed to support tribal values associated with gathering acorns and other plant resources associated with black oak stands. Targeting stands with large black oaks in gently sloped areas close to roads would promote tribal access while reducing the likelihood of adversely affecting sensitive wildlife such as spotted owls and fishers. Forest management plans can build on recent efforts to work with tribes in developing monitoring, forest thinning, and fire management activities to promote black oaks.' Author: 'Long, Jonathan W.; Goode, Ron W.; Gutteriez, Raymond J.; Lackey, Jessica J.; Anderson, M. Kat' DOI: 10.5849/jof.16-033 Date: // Issue: 5 Journal: Journal of Forestry Keywords: cultural burning; traditional ecological knowledge; forest planning; ecosystem services; landscape restoration Pages: 426-434 Title: Managing California black oak for tribal ecocultural restoration Volume: 115 Year: 2017 _record_number: 23682 _uuid: 5631fb79-8860-4b2f-98e9-ae2335ae28e0 reftype: Journal Article child_publication: /article/10.5849/jof.16-033 href: https://data.globalchange.gov/reference/5631fb79-8860-4b2f-98e9-ae2335ae28e0.yaml identifier: 5631fb79-8860-4b2f-98e9-ae2335ae28e0 uri: /reference/5631fb79-8860-4b2f-98e9-ae2335ae28e0 - attrs: .reference_type: 0 Author: "Ault, T. R.\rMacalady, A. K.\rPederson, G. T.\rBetancourt, J. L.\rSchwartz, M. D." DOI: 10.1175/2011jcli4069.1 Date: Aug ISSN: 0894-8755 Issue: 15 Journal: Journal of Climate Keywords: united-states; annular mode; extratropical circulation; geopotential; height; climate-change; part i; trends; phenology; earlier; wildfire Pages: 4003-4014 Title: Northern hemisphere modes of variability and the timing of spring in western North America Type of Article: Article URL: http://journals.ametsoc.org/doi/pdf/10.1175/2011JCLI4069.1 Volume: 24 Year: 2011 _chapter: '["Ch. 20: Southwest FINAL","Ch. 8: Ecosystems FINAL"]' _record_number: 1190 _uuid: 56447233-ad64-46b3-8371-925de98e78c0 reftype: Journal Article child_publication: /article/10.1175/2011jcli4069.1 href: https://data.globalchange.gov/reference/56447233-ad64-46b3-8371-925de98e78c0.yaml identifier: 56447233-ad64-46b3-8371-925de98e78c0 uri: /reference/56447233-ad64-46b3-8371-925de98e78c0 - attrs: Abstract: 'Six decades of observations at 20 coastal airports, from Alaska to southern California, reveal coherent interannual to interdecadal variation of coastal low cloudiness (CLC) from summer to summer over this broad region. The leading mode of CLC variability represents coherent variation, accounting for nearly 40% of the total CLC variance spanning 1950–2012. This leading mode and the majority of individual airports exhibit decreased low cloudiness from the earlier to the later part of the record. Exploring climatic controls on CLC, we identify North Pacific Sea Surface Temperature anomalies, largely in the form of the Pacific Decadal Oscillation (PDO) as well correlated with, and evidently helping to organize, the coherent patterns of summer coastal cloud variability. Links from the PDO to summer CLC appear a few months in advance of the summer. These associations hold up consistently in interannual and interdecadal frequencies.' Author: 'Schwartz, Rachel E.; Gershunov, Alexander; Iacobellis, Sam F.; Cayan, Daniel R.' DOI: 10.1002/2014GL059825 Issue: 9 Journal: Geophysical Research Letters Pages: 3307-3314 Title: 'North American west coast summer low cloudiness: Broadscale variability associated with sea surface temperature' Volume: 41 Year: 2014 _record_number: 26383 _uuid: 566f09cf-bf52-4392-90d5-3b96d6c42c93 reftype: Journal Article child_publication: /article/10.1002/2014GL059825 href: https://data.globalchange.gov/reference/566f09cf-bf52-4392-90d5-3b96d6c42c93.yaml identifier: 566f09cf-bf52-4392-90d5-3b96d6c42c93 uri: /reference/566f09cf-bf52-4392-90d5-3b96d6c42c93 - attrs: Author: 'Van Pelt, Robert; Sillett, Stephen C.; Kruse, William A.; Freund, James A.; Kramer, Russell D.' DOI: 10.1016/j.foreco.2016.05.018 Date: 2016/09/01/ ISSN: 0378-1127 Journal: Forest Ecology and Management Keywords: Old growth; Forest structure; Biomass; LAI; Leaf area; Carbon sequestration; LiDAR; Emergent trees; Heartwood; Allometric equations; Light-use complementarity Pages: 279-308 Title: Emergent crowns and light-use complementarity lead to global maximum biomass and leaf area in Sequoia sempervirens forests Volume: 375 Year: 2016 _record_number: 23877 _uuid: 56f2bfb8-90f4-439c-92a7-a4ab82e13c5c reftype: Journal Article child_publication: /article/10.1016/j.foreco.2016.05.018 href: https://data.globalchange.gov/reference/56f2bfb8-90f4-439c-92a7-a4ab82e13c5c.yaml identifier: 56f2bfb8-90f4-439c-92a7-a4ab82e13c5c uri: /reference/56f2bfb8-90f4-439c-92a7-a4ab82e13c5c - attrs: Abstract: 'Global ocean temperatures are rising, yet the impacts of such changes on harmful algal blooms (HABs) are not fully understood. Here we used high-resolution sea-surface temperature records (1982 to 2016) and temperature-dependent growth rates of two algae that produce potent biotoxins, Alexandrium fundyense and Dinophysis acuminata, to evaluate recent changes in these HABs. For both species, potential mean annual growth rates and duration of bloom seasons significantly increased within many coastal Atlantic regions between 40°N and 60°N, where incidents of these HABs have emerged and expanded in recent decades. Widespread trends were less evident across the North Pacific, although regions were identified across the Salish Sea and along the Alaskan coastline where blooms have recently emerged, and there have been significant increases in the potential growth rates and duration of these HAB events. We conclude that increasing ocean temperature is an important factor facilitating the intensification of these, and likely other, HABs and thus contributes to an expanding human health threat.' Author: 'Gobler, Christopher J.; Doherty, Owen M.; Hattenrath-Lehmann, Theresa K.; Griffith, Andrew W.; Kang, Yoonja; Litaker, R. Wayne' DOI: 10.1073/pnas.1619575114 Date: 'May 9, 2017' Issue: 19 Journal: Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America Pages: 4975-4980 Title: Ocean warming since 1982 has expanded the niche of toxic algal blooms in the North Atlantic and North Pacific oceans Volume: 114 Year: 2017 _record_number: 21822 _uuid: 59d0bcfb-805b-472d-b6fe-3b70bacc3d25 reftype: Journal Article child_publication: /article/10.1073/pnas.1619575114 href: https://data.globalchange.gov/reference/59d0bcfb-805b-472d-b6fe-3b70bacc3d25.yaml identifier: 59d0bcfb-805b-472d-b6fe-3b70bacc3d25 uri: /reference/59d0bcfb-805b-472d-b6fe-3b70bacc3d25 - attrs: Abstract: 'The Yakima River Basin (Basin) in south-central Washington is a prime example of a place where competing water uses, coupled with over-allocation of water resources, have presented water managers with the challenge of meeting current demand, anticipating future demand, and preparing for potential impacts of climate change. We took a decision analysis approach that gathered diverse stakeholders to discuss their concerns pertaining to climate change effects on the Basin and future goals that were collectively important. One main focus was centered on how climate change may influence future salmon populations. Salmon have played a prominent role in the cultures of Basin communities, especially for tribal communities that have social, cultural, spiritual, subsistence, and economic ties to them. Stakeholders identified the need for a better understanding on how the cultural, spiritual, subsistence, and economic aspects of the Confederated Tribes and Bands of the Yakama Nation could be affected by changes in salmon populations. In an attempt to understand the complexities of these potential effects, this paper proposes a conceptual model which 1) identifies cultural values and components and the interactions between those components that could influence tribal well-being, and 2) shows how federal natural resource managers could incorporate intangible tribal cultural components into decision-making processes by understanding important components of tribal well-being. Future work includes defining the parameterization of the cultural components in order for the conceptual model to be incorporated with biophysical resource models for scenario simulations.' Author: 'Montag, J. M.; Swan, K.; Jenni, K.; Nieman, T.; Hatten, J.; Mesa, M.; Graves, D.; Voss, F.; Mastin, M.; Hardiman, J.; Maule, A.' DOI: 10.1007/s10584-013-1001-3 Date: May 01 ISSN: 1573-1480 Issue: 1 Journal: Climatic Change Pages: 385-398 Title: Climate change and Yakama Nation tribal well-being Type of Article: journal article Volume: 124 Year: 2014 _record_number: 21116 _uuid: 5a014fc7-218e-4116-88e9-c47a65b48e8c reftype: Journal Article child_publication: /article/10.1007/s10584-013-1001-3 href: https://data.globalchange.gov/reference/5a014fc7-218e-4116-88e9-c47a65b48e8c.yaml identifier: 5a014fc7-218e-4116-88e9-c47a65b48e8c uri: /reference/5a014fc7-218e-4116-88e9-c47a65b48e8c - attrs: Author: 'Barrows, C. W.' DOI: 10.1016/j.jaridenv.2011.01.018 Date: 2011/07/01/ ISSN: 0140-1963 Issue: 7 Journal: Journal of Arid Environments Keywords: Chuckwalla; Climate change; Desert tortoise; Joshua Tree National Park; Mahalanobis; Mojave Desert; Niche modeling; Sonoran Desert Pages: 629-635 Title: Sensitivity to climate change for two reptiles at the Mojave–Sonoran Desert interface Volume: 75 Year: 2011 _record_number: 23719 _uuid: 5aa9463f-dfab-4ff9-9e39-0edd90c5eae7 reftype: Journal Article child_publication: /article/10.1016/j.jaridenv.2011.01.018 href: https://data.globalchange.gov/reference/5aa9463f-dfab-4ff9-9e39-0edd90c5eae7.yaml identifier: 5aa9463f-dfab-4ff9-9e39-0edd90c5eae7 uri: /reference/5aa9463f-dfab-4ff9-9e39-0edd90c5eae7 - attrs: Abstract: 'Scientists have long predicted large-scale responses of infectious diseases to climate change, giving rise to a polarizing debate, especially concerning human pathogens for which socioeconomic drivers and control measures can limit the detection of climate-mediated changes. Climate change has already increased the occurrence of diseases in some natural and agricultural systems, but in many cases, outcomes depend on the form of climate change and details of the host-pathogen system. In this review, we highlight research progress and gaps that have emerged during the past decade and develop a predictive framework that integrates knowledge from ecophysiology and community ecology with modeling approaches. Future work must continue to anticipate and monitor pathogen biodiversity and disease trends in natural ecosystems and identify opportunities to mitigate the impacts of climate-driven disease emergence.' Author: 'Altizer, S.; Ostfeld, R. S.; Johnson, P. T.; Kutz, S.; Harvell, C. D.' Author Address: 'Odum School of Ecology, University of Georgia, Athens, GA 30602, USA. saltizer@uga.edu' DOI: 10.1126/science.1239401 Database Provider: CCII PubMed NLM Date: Aug 2 EPub Date: 2013/08/03 ISSN: "1095-9203 (Electronic)\r\n0036-8075 (Linking)" Issue: 6145 Journal: Science Keywords: 'Animals; Biodiversity; Climate Change; Communicable Diseases/ epidemiology/transmission; Extinction, Biological; Health; Host-Parasite Interactions; Host-Pathogen Interactions; Humans; Prognosis' Language: eng NIHMSID: ' NIEHS' Name of Database: ' ' Notes: "Altizer, Sonia\r\nOstfeld, Richard S\r\nJohnson, Pieter T J\r\nKutz, Susan\r\nHarvell, C Drew\r\nResearch Support, Non-U.S. Gov't\r\nResearch Support, U.S. Gov't, Non-P.H.S.\r\nReview\r\nUnited States\r\nScience. 2013 Aug 2;341(6145):514-9. doi: 10.1126/science.1239401." Pages: 514-519 Research Notes: 'CCII Unique - PDF retrieved' Title: 'Climate change and infectious diseases: From evidence to a predictive framework' Volume: 341 Year: 2013 _record_number: 4032 _uuid: 5b2d6901-f0b4-499c-b779-eac37504eeac reftype: Journal Article child_publication: /article/10.1126/science.1239401 href: https://data.globalchange.gov/reference/5b2d6901-f0b4-499c-b779-eac37504eeac.yaml identifier: 5b2d6901-f0b4-499c-b779-eac37504eeac uri: /reference/5b2d6901-f0b4-499c-b779-eac37504eeac - attrs: Author: 'Hurteau, Matthew; North, Malcolm' DOI: 10.1890/080049 ISSN: 1540-9309 Issue: 8 Journal: Frontiers in Ecology and the Environment Pages: 409-414 Publisher: Ecological Society of America Title: Fuel treatment effects on tree-based forest carbon storage and emissions under modeled wildfire scenarios Volume: 7 Year: 2009 _record_number: 23785 _uuid: 5b4ff2a9-8480-4682-a5de-2b79b74c27aa reftype: Journal Article child_publication: /article/10.1890/080049 href: https://data.globalchange.gov/reference/5b4ff2a9-8480-4682-a5de-2b79b74c27aa.yaml identifier: 5b4ff2a9-8480-4682-a5de-2b79b74c27aa uri: /reference/5b4ff2a9-8480-4682-a5de-2b79b74c27aa - attrs: .reference_type: 10 Author: 'Norton-Smith, Kathryn; Kathy Lynn; Karletta Chief; Karen Cozzetto; Jamie Donatuto; Margaret Hiza Redsteer; Linda E. Kruger; Julie Maldonado; Carson Viles; Kyle P. Whyte' Institution: 'U.S. Department of Agriculture, Forest Service, Pacific Northwest Research Station' Pages: 136 Place Published: 'Portland, OR' Series Volume: Gen. Tech. Rep. PNW-GTR-944 Title: 'Climate Change and Indigenous Peoples: A Synthesis of Current Impacts and Experiences' URL: https://www.fs.usda.gov/treesearch/pubs/53156 Year: 2016 _record_number: 21324 _uuid: 5b754441-464c-49fd-90e8-c184fc2ba1f5 reftype: Report child_publication: /report/climate-change-indigenous-peoples-synthesis-current-impacts-experiences href: https://data.globalchange.gov/reference/5b754441-464c-49fd-90e8-c184fc2ba1f5.yaml identifier: 5b754441-464c-49fd-90e8-c184fc2ba1f5 uri: /reference/5b754441-464c-49fd-90e8-c184fc2ba1f5 - attrs: Abstract: 'In most Mediterranean climate (MedClim) regions around the world, global climate models (GCMs) consistently project drier futures. In California, however, projections of changes in annual precipitation are inconsistent. Analysis of daily precipitation in 30 GCMs reveals patterns in projected hydrometeorology over each of the five MedClm regions globally and helps disentangle their causes. MedClim regions, except California, are expected to dry via decreased frequency of winter precipitation. Frequencies of extreme precipitation, however, are projected to increase over the two MedClim regions of the Northern Hemisphere where projected warming is strongest. The increase in heavy and extreme precipitation is particularly robust over California, where it is only partially offset by projected decreases in low-medium intensity precipitation. Over the Mediterranean Basin, however, losses from decreasing frequency of low-medium-intensity precipitation are projected to dominate gains from intensifying projected extreme precipitation. MedClim regions are projected to become more sub-tropical, i.e. made dryer via pole-ward expanding subtropical subsidence. California’s more nuanced hydrological future reflects a precarious balance between the expanding subtropical high from the south and the south-eastward extending Aleutian low from the north-west. These dynamical mechanisms and thermodynamic moistening of the warming atmosphere result in increased horizontal water vapor transport, bolstering extreme precipitation events.' Author: 'Polade, Suraj D.; Gershunov, Alexander; Cayan, Daniel R.; Dettinger, Michael D.; Pierce, David W.' DOI: 10.1038/s41598-017-11285-y Date: 2017/09/07 ISSN: 2045-2322 Issue: 1 Journal: Scientific Reports Pages: 10783 Title: 'Precipitation in a warming world: Assessing projected hydro-climate changes in California and other Mediterranean climate regions' Volume: 7 Year: 2017 _record_number: 25977 _uuid: 5dffb545-5207-4630-97d9-72c19d864746 reftype: Journal Article child_publication: /article/10.1038/s41598-017-11285-y href: https://data.globalchange.gov/reference/5dffb545-5207-4630-97d9-72c19d864746.yaml identifier: 5dffb545-5207-4630-97d9-72c19d864746 uri: /reference/5dffb545-5207-4630-97d9-72c19d864746 - attrs: Author: 'Shukla, Shraddhanand; Safeeq, Mohammad; AghaKouchak, Amir; Guan, Kaiyu; Funk, Chris' DOI: 10.1002/2015GL063666 ISSN: 1944-8007 Issue: 11 Journal: Geophysical Research Letters Keywords: California drought; drought predictability; 1812 Drought; 1922 Forecasting Pages: 4384-4393 Title: Temperature impacts on the water year 2014 drought in California Volume: 42 Year: 2015 _record_number: 23857 _uuid: 5eb8278f-8b42-4674-8372-f35dc8eee7c8 reftype: Journal Article child_publication: /article/10.1002/2015GL063666 href: https://data.globalchange.gov/reference/5eb8278f-8b42-4674-8372-f35dc8eee7c8.yaml identifier: 5eb8278f-8b42-4674-8372-f35dc8eee7c8 uri: /reference/5eb8278f-8b42-4674-8372-f35dc8eee7c8 - attrs: Author: 'Stacy, Patrick K. R.; Comrie, Andrew C.; Yool, Stephen R.' DOI: 10.2747/1548-1603.49.2.299 Date: 2012/03/01 ISSN: 1548-1603 Issue: 2 Journal: GIScience & Remote Sensing Pages: 299-316 Publisher: Taylor & Francis Title: Modeling valley fever incidence in Arizona using a satellite-derived soil moisture proxy Volume: 49 Year: 2012 _record_number: 25985 _uuid: 5ed4b50a-08c2-4d27-a60e-eb2475631d53 reftype: Journal Article child_publication: /article/10.2747/1548-1603.49.2.299 href: https://data.globalchange.gov/reference/5ed4b50a-08c2-4d27-a60e-eb2475631d53.yaml identifier: 5ed4b50a-08c2-4d27-a60e-eb2475631d53 uri: /reference/5ed4b50a-08c2-4d27-a60e-eb2475631d53 - attrs: .reference_type: 0 Author: 'Yip, Fuyuen Y.; Flanders, W. Dana; Wolkin, Amy; Engelthaler, David; Humble, William; Neri, Antonio; Lewis, Lauren; Backer, Lorraine; Rubin, Carol' DOI: 10.1007/s00484-008-0169-0 ISSN: 1432-1254 Issue: 8 Journal: International Journal of Biometeorology Pages: 765-772 Title: 'The impact of excess heat events in Maricopa County, Arizona: 2000–2005' Volume: 52 Year: 2008 _chapter: Ch9 _record_number: 17891 _uuid: 5f4db33c-1c7e-4129-9438-e5d8c9d589e4 reftype: Journal Article child_publication: /article/10.1007/s00484-008-0169-0 href: https://data.globalchange.gov/reference/5f4db33c-1c7e-4129-9438-e5d8c9d589e4.yaml identifier: 5f4db33c-1c7e-4129-9438-e5d8c9d589e4 uri: /reference/5f4db33c-1c7e-4129-9438-e5d8c9d589e4 - attrs: .reference_type: 0 Author: "Harlan, S.L.\rBrazel, A.J.\rPrashad, L.\rStefanov, W.L.\rLarsen, L." DOI: 10.1016/j.socscimed.2006.07.030 ISSN: 0277-9536 Issue: 11 Journal: Social Science & Medicine Pages: 2847-2863 Title: Neighborhood microclimates and vulnerability to heat stress Volume: 63 Year: 2006 _chapter: '["Ch. 20: Southwest FINAL","Ch. 9: Human Health FINAL"]' _record_number: 1165 _uuid: 5f587662-8664-420f-8045-196e2bb7ec0d reftype: Journal Article child_publication: /article/10.1016/j.socscimed.2006.07.030 href: https://data.globalchange.gov/reference/5f587662-8664-420f-8045-196e2bb7ec0d.yaml identifier: 5f587662-8664-420f-8045-196e2bb7ec0d uri: /reference/5f587662-8664-420f-8045-196e2bb7ec0d - attrs: Author: 'Liang, Shuang; Hurteau, Matthew D.; Westerling, Anthony LeRoy' DOI: 10.1111/gcb.13544 ISSN: 1365-2486 Issue: 5 Journal: Global Change Biology Keywords: carbon; climate change; forest community change; LANDIS-II; Sierra Nevada; wildfire Pages: 2016-2030 Title: Response of Sierra Nevada forests to projected climate–wildfire interactions Volume: 23 Year: 2017 _record_number: 23810 _uuid: 5f6e8f59-7b2c-434e-b211-fa2c0ebc20a7 reftype: Journal Article child_publication: /article/10.1111/gcb.13544 href: https://data.globalchange.gov/reference/5f6e8f59-7b2c-434e-b211-fa2c0ebc20a7.yaml identifier: 5f6e8f59-7b2c-434e-b211-fa2c0ebc20a7 uri: /reference/5f6e8f59-7b2c-434e-b211-fa2c0ebc20a7 - attrs: .reference_type: 10 Author: 'Gleick, Peter H.' Institution: Pacific Institute Notes: 'ISBN: 978-1-893790-71-1' Pages: 9 Place Published: 'Oakland, CA' Title: 'Impacts of California’s Ongoing Drought: Hydroelectricity Generation 2015 Update' URL: http://pacinst.org/wp-content/uploads/2016/02/Impacts-Californias-Ongoing-Drought-Hydroelectricity-Generation-2015-Update.pdf Year: 2016 _record_number: 21437 _uuid: 5fa958c9-e244-47f2-8f84-7ebf4687f94b reftype: Report child_publication: /report/impacts-californias-ongoing-drought-hydroelectricity-generation-2015-update href: https://data.globalchange.gov/reference/5fa958c9-e244-47f2-8f84-7ebf4687f94b.yaml identifier: 5fa958c9-e244-47f2-8f84-7ebf4687f94b uri: /reference/5fa958c9-e244-47f2-8f84-7ebf4687f94b - attrs: .reference_type: 10 Author: 'Bureau of Reclamation,' Institution: 'U.S. Bureau of Reclamation, ' Pages: various Place Published: 'Boulder City, NV' Title: Colorado River Basin Stakeholders Moving Forward to Address Challenges Identified in the Colorado River Basin Water Supply and Demand Study. Phase 1 Report URL: https://www.usbr.gov/lc/region/programs/crbstudy/MovingForward/Phase1Report.html Year: 2015 _record_number: 23913 _uuid: 5ff910ad-40de-4de2-95e6-0be859b59bb4 reftype: Report child_publication: /report/colorado-river-basin-stakeholders-moving-forward-address-challenges-identified-colorado-river-basin-water-supply-demand-study-phase-1-report href: https://data.globalchange.gov/reference/5ff910ad-40de-4de2-95e6-0be859b59bb4.yaml identifier: 5ff910ad-40de-4de2-95e6-0be859b59bb4 uri: /reference/5ff910ad-40de-4de2-95e6-0be859b59bb4 - attrs: Abstract: 'This study investigates the variability of clouds, primarily marine stratus clouds, and how they are associated with surface temperature anomalies over California, especially along the coastal margin. We focus on the summer months of June to September when marine stratus are the dominant cloud type. Data used include satellite cloud reflectivity (cloud albedo) measurements, hourly surface observations of cloud cover and air temperature at coastal airports, and observed values of daily surface temperature at stations throughout California and Nevada. Much of the anomalous variability of summer clouds is organized over regional patterns that affect considerable portions of the coast, often extend hundreds of kilometers to the west and southwest over the North Pacific, and are bounded to the east by coastal mountains. The occurrence of marine stratus is positively correlated with both the strength and height of the thermal inversion that caps the marine boundary layer, with inversion base height being a key factor in determining their inland penetration. Cloud cover is strongly associated with surface temperature variations. In general, increased presence of cloud (higher cloud albedo) produces cooler daytime temperatures and warmer nighttime temperatures. Summer daytime temperature fluctuations associated with cloud cover variations typically exceed 1°C. The inversion-cloud albedo-temperature associations that occur at daily timescales are also found at seasonal timescales.' Author: 'Iacobellis, Sam F.; Cayan, Daniel R.' DOI: 10.1002/jgrd.50652 Issue: 16 Journal: 'Journal of Geophysical Research: Atmospheres' Pages: 9105-9122 Title: 'The variability of California summertime marine stratus: Impacts on surface air temperatures' Volume: 118 Year: 2013 _record_number: 26366 _uuid: 60730cd1-dc90-4add-957b-2a32981cf398 reftype: Journal Article child_publication: /article/10.1002/jgrd.50652 href: https://data.globalchange.gov/reference/60730cd1-dc90-4add-957b-2a32981cf398.yaml identifier: 60730cd1-dc90-4add-957b-2a32981cf398 uri: /reference/60730cd1-dc90-4add-957b-2a32981cf398 - attrs: .reference_type: 10 Author: 'U.S. Bureau of Land Management,; U.S. Department of Energy,' Institution: U.S. Department of Energy Pages: various Place Published: 'Washington, DC' Report Number: DOE/EIS-0403 Title: 'Solar energy development in six southwestern states (AZ, CA, CO, NV, NM, and UT): Final programmatic environmental impact statement' URL: https://www.energy.gov/nepa/downloads/eis-0403-final-programmatic-environmental-impact-statement Year: 2012 _record_number: 26390 _uuid: 607ad598-58b0-46e3-8371-bede11c93089 reftype: Report child_publication: /report/solar-energy-development-six-southwestern-states-az-ca-co-nv-nm-ut-final-programmatic-environmental-impact-statement href: https://data.globalchange.gov/reference/607ad598-58b0-46e3-8371-bede11c93089.yaml identifier: 607ad598-58b0-46e3-8371-bede11c93089 uri: /reference/607ad598-58b0-46e3-8371-bede11c93089