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Figure : rate_of_change-80-15
Projected Precipitation Change for Puerto Rico
Figure 20.4Colorado State University, North Carolina State University, North Carolina State University Department of Applied Ecology, U.S. Geological Survey
Kenneth E. Kunkel, Adam Terando, Jared H. Bowden, Azad Henareh Khalyani
This figure appears in chapter 20 of the Impacts, Risks, and Adaptation in the United States: The Fourth National Climate Assessment, Volume II report.
This figure shows the projected percent change in annual precipitation over the U.S. Caribbean region for the period 2040–2060 compared to 1985–2005 based on the results of two regional climate model simulations.8b59c4bd-ba59-4567-9f5d-9c2422b7e05b,66a435ae-179c-49f4-981b-248d647b9579 These simulations downscale two global models for the higher scenario (RCP8.5)75cf1c0b-cc62-4ca4-96a7-082afdfe2ab1 and show that within-island changes are projected to exceed a 10% reduction in annual rainfall. Uncertainty remains as to the location of the largest reductions within the islands. Projections of precipitation change for the U.S. Virgin Islands are particularly uncertain because of model limitations related to resolving these smaller islands. Source: Bowden et al. 2018.66a435ae-179c-49f4-981b-248d647b9579
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This figure was created on May 31, 2017.
This figure was submitted on December 06, 2018.
Related NASA GCMD keywords
ProvenanceThis figure was derived from scenario rcp_4_5
This figure was derived from scenario rcp_8_5
- dataset Weather Research and Forecasting (WRF): Puerto Rico & US Virgin Islands Dynamical Downscaled Climate Change Projections (66a435ae)
- Climate Science Special Report: The Fourth National Climate Assessment: Volume I (75cf1c0b)
- The sensitivity of WRF downscaled precipitation in Puerto Rico to cumulus parameterization and interior grid nudging (8b59c4bd)
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