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Figure : sd-observed-and-projected-temperature-change
Observed and Projected Temperature Change
Figure 41.1Cooperative Institute for Climate and Satellites - NC
Kenneth E. Kunkel
Observed and projected changes (compared to the 1901–1960 average) in near-surface air temperature for South Dakota. Observed data are for 1900–2014. Projected changes for 2006–2100 are from global climate models for two possible futures: one in which greenhouse gas emissions continue to increase (higher emissions) and another in which greenhouse gas emissions increase at a slower rate (lower emissions). Temperatures in South Dakota (orange line) have risen almost 2°F since the beginning of the 20th century. Shading indicates the range of annual temperatures from the set of models. Observed temperatures are generally within the envelope of model simulations of the historical period (gray shading). Historically unprecedented warming is projected during the 21st century. Less warming is expected under a lower emissions future (the coldest years being about 2°F warmer than the long-term average; green shading) and more warming under a higher emissions future (the hottest years being about 16°F warmer than the long-term average; red shading). Source: CICS-NC and NOAA NCEI.
The time range for this figure is January 01, 1900 (00:00 AM) to December 31, 2100 (00:00 AM).
This figure was created on August 12, 2015.
The spatial range for this figure is 42.4796° to 45.9455° latitude, and -96.4364° to -104.0577° longitude.
ProvenanceThis figure was derived from dataset World Climate Research Program's (WCRP's) Coupled Model Intercomparison Project phase 5 (CMIP5) multi-model ensemble using the activity sd_observed-nca3-cmip5-r1-process
This figure was derived from dataset nClimdDiv CONUS dataset (based on GHCN-D) using the activity sd-noaa-ncdc-cag-us-temperature-nclimdiv-process
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